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  Election 2006 (p. 2)                           ► STATE POLLS are in our subscriber area. INFO
 

2006 Congressional Election, including generic ballot trends  See also: Ballot summary table

Polls listed chronologically.
 
 

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Nov. 4-5, 2006. N=900 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.

.

"Thinking ahead to this November's elections, if the congressional election were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate in your district or the Republican candidate in your district?" If unsure: "Well, if you had to vote, which way would you lean?" Options rotated

.
Republican Democrat Unsure
% % %

11/4-5/06

 36 49 15

10/24-25/06

 38 49 13

10/10-11/06

 41 50 10
9/26-27/06 38 49 14

9/12-13/06

 38 41 21

.

Among registered voters:

8/29-30/06

 32 48 21

8/8-9/06

 30 48 22
7/11-12/06 34 42 25
6/13-14/06 33 46 20
5/2-3/06 38 41 21
2/28 - 3/1/06 34 48 18

 

CNN Poll conducted by Opinion Research Corporation. Nov. 3-5, 2006. N=934 registered voters nationwide (MoE ± 3); 636 likely voters (MoE ± 4).

.

"If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your congressional district: the Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's candidate?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward the Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's candidate?" Options rotated

.
Republican Democrat Other (vol.) Unsure  
% % % %  

Among likely voters:

11/3-5/06

 38 58 2 2  

10/27-29/06

 42 53 2 3  

10/20-22/06

 40 57 1 2  

10/13-15/06

 40 56 2 2  

10/6-8/06

 37 58 2 3  

9/29 - 10/2/06

 42 53 2 3  
9/22-24/06 42 55 1 2  

8/30 - 9/2/06

 43 53 2 2  

.

Among registered voters:

11/3-5/06

 39 54 3 4  

10/27-29/06

 38 54 2 5  

10/20-22/06

 39 56 1 4  

10/13-15/06

 38 56 3 4  

10/6-8/06

 38 54 3 5  

9/29 - 10/2/06

 40 53 2 5  
9/22-24/06 41 54 1 4  

8/30 - 9/2/06

 40 56 2 3  

8/18-20/06

 43 52 3 3  

8/2-3/06

 40 53 3 4  

6/14-15/06

 38 45 4 12  
5/5-7/06 38 52 3 7  
4/21-23/06 40 50 3 6  

 

USA Today/Gallup Poll. Nov. 2-5, 2006. N=1,362 registered voters nationwide (MoE ± 3); 1,007 likely voters (MoE ± 4); 801 regular voters (MoE ± 4).

.

"If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your congressional district: the Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's candidate?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward the Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's candidate?" Options rotated

.
Republican Democrat Other (vol.)/
Unsure
% % %

Among likely voters:

11/2-5/06

 44 51 5

10/20-22/06

 41 54 5
10/6-8/06 36 59 5
9/15-17/06 48 48 4

.

Among registered voters:

11/2-5/06

 40 51 9

10/20-22/06

 38 53 9
10/6-8/06 35 58 8
9/15-17/06 42 51 8
9/7-10/06 41 53 7
8/18-20/06 45 47 7
8/7-10/06 41 50 9
7/28-30/06 40 51 8
7/6-9/06 41 51 9
6/23-25/06 38 54 7
6/9-11/06 39 51 10
6/1-4/06 42 51 7
4/28-30/06 39 54 7

4/7-9/06

 42 52 6

3/10-12/06

 39 55 7

2/28 - 3/1/06

 39 53 7
2/9-12/06 43 50 8

1/6-8/06

 43 49 8

10/21-23/05

 43 50 7
8/28-30/05 41 53 6

.

Among regular voters:
Defined as registered voters who say they “always vote” and who say they voted in the last midterm election.

11/2-5/06

 43 51 6

10/20-22/06

 44 48 8
10/6-8/06 42 52 6
9/15-17/06 45 49 7
9/7-10/06 43 53 4
8/18-20/06 48 48 4
7/28-30/06 42 50 7
7/6-9/06 42 51 7
6/23-25/06 38 55 7
6/9-11/06 44 49 7
6/1-4/06 40 55 5
4/28-30/06 44 53 3

4/7-9/06

 44 51 5

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Nov. 1-4, 2006. N=1,205 adults nationwide. Fieldwork by TNS.
 LV = likely voters (and early voters). RV = registered voters.

.

"If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate in your congressional district?" If other/unsure: "Would you lean toward the Democratic candidate or toward the Republican candidate?" Options rotated

.
Republican Democrat Neither/
Other (vol.)		 Unsure Won't
Vote (vol.)
% % % % %

11/1-4/06 LV

 45 51 2 2 -

10/19-22/06 LV

 41 55 1 3 -

.

11/1-4/06 RV

 43 53 2 3 -

10/19-22/06 RV

 41 54 1 3 -

10/5-8/06 RV

 41 54 1 3 1

9/5-7/06 RV

 42 50 3 4 2

8/3-6/06 RV

 39 52 2 5 1

6/22-25/06 RV

 39 52 4 4 1

5/11-15/06 RV

 40 52 4 4 1
4/6-9/06 RV 40 55 2 3 -

1/23-26/06 RV

 38 54 4 4 1

12/15-18/05 RV

 41 51 4 4 1

10/30 - 11/2/05 RV

 37 52 5 6 2

.

"Do you think most of the Democrats in Congress deserve to be reelected, or not?"

.
Yes No Unsure    
% % %    

11/1-4/06 RV

 48 41 10    
10/5-8/06 RV 55 37 8    

.

"Do you think most of the Republicans in Congress deserve to be reelected, or not?"

.
Yes No Unsure    
% % %    

11/1-4/06 RV

 39 53 8    
10/5-8/06 RV 38 56 5    

 

Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International and Schulman, Ronca & Bucuvalas. Nov. 1-4, 2006. N=2,369 registered voters nationwide (MoE ± 2.5); 1,795 likely voters  (MoE ± 3). (All prior surveys conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International, except July 2006 survey conducted by Schulman, Ronca & Bucuvalas.)
 LV = likely voters. Except where noted, results below are among registered voters.

.

"If the 2006 elections for U.S. Congress were being held TODAY, would you vote for the Republican Party's candidate or the Democratic Party's candidate for Congress in your district?" If other/unsure: "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more to the Republican or the Democrat?"

.
Republican Democrat Other (vol.)/
Unsure		  
% % %  
11/1-4/06 LV 43 47 10  

.
11/1-4/06 40 48 12  
10/17-22/06 38 49 13  
9/21 - 10/4/06 38 51 11  
9/6-10/06 39 50 11  
8/9-13/06 41 50 9  
6/14-19/06 39 51 10  
4/7-16/06 41 51 8  
2/1-5/06 41 50 9  
9/8-11/05 40 52 8  

.

"Would you like to see your representative in Congress be reelected on Tuesday [previously: "in the upcoming congressional election"], or not?"

.
Yes No Isn't Running
(vol.)		 Unsure
% % % %
11/1-4/06 55 25 1 19
10/17-22/06 55 26 1 18
9/21 - 10/4/06 50 27 1 22
9/6-10/06 53 27 1 19
8/9-13/06 51 30 - 19
6/14-19/06 51 32 1 16
4/7-16/06 57 28 1 14
2/1-5/06 59 28 1 12
9/8-11/05 57 25 1 17

.

"Regardless of how you feel about your own representative, would you like to see most members of Congress reelected on Tuesday [previously: "in the upcoming congressional election"], or not?"

.
Yes No Unsure  
% % %  
11/1-4/06 37 46 17  
10/17-22/06 34 49 17  
9/21 - 10/4/06 32 48 20  
9/6-10/06 35 49 16  
8/9-13/06 36 49 15  
6/14-19/06 29 57 14  
4/7-16/06 34 53 13  
2/1-5/06 36 49 15  
9/8-11/05 36 48 16  
10/02 39 38 23  
6/02 45 37 18  
10/00 40 34 26  

.

"Do you think of your vote for Congress this Tuesday [previously: "this fall"] as a vote for George W. Bush, as a vote against George W. Bush, or isn't George W. Bush much of a factor in your vote?"

.
For Against Not a Factor Unsure
% % % %
11/1-4/06 21 35 41 3
10/17-22/06 20 37 38 5
9/21 - 10/4/06 18 39 40 3
9/6-10/06 20