Election 2006 (2)

Election 2006 (p. 2) ► STATE POLLS are in our subscriber area. INFO

2006 Congressional Election, including generic ballot trends See also: Ballot summary table

Polls listed chronologically.

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Nov. 4-5, 2006. N=900 likely voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.
					.
"Thinking ahead to this November's elections, if the congressional election were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate in your district or the Republican candidate in your district?" If unsure: "Well, if you had to vote, which way would you lean?" Options rotated
					.
		Republican	Democrat	Unsure
		%	%	%
	11/4-5/06	36	49	15
	10/24-25/06	38	49	13
	10/10-11/06	41	50	10
	9/26-27/06	38	49	14
	9/12-13/06	38	41	21
					.
	Among registered voters:
	8/29-30/06	32	48	21
	8/8-9/06	30	48	22
	7/11-12/06	34	42	25
	6/13-14/06	33	46	20
	5/2-3/06	38	41	21
	2/28 - 3/1/06	34	48	18

CNN Poll conducted by Opinion Research Corporation. Nov. 3-5, 2006. N=934 registered voters nationwide (MoE ą 3); 636 likely voters (MoE ą 4).
					.
"If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your congressional district: the Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's candidate?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward the Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's candidate?" Options rotated
					.
		Republican	Democrat	Other (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	Among likely voters:
	11/3-5/06	38	58	2	2
	10/27-29/06	42	53	2	3
	10/20-22/06	40	57	1	2
	10/13-15/06	40	56	2	2
	10/6-8/06	37	58	2	3
	9/29 - 10/2/06	42	53	2	3
	9/22-24/06	42	55	1	2
	8/30 - 9/2/06	43	53	2	2
					.
	Among registered voters:
	11/3-5/06	39	54	3	4
	10/27-29/06	38	54	2	5
	10/20-22/06	39	56	1	4
	10/13-15/06	38	56	3	4
	10/6-8/06	38	54	3	5
	9/29 - 10/2/06	40	53	2	5
	9/22-24/06	41	54	1	4
	8/30 - 9/2/06	40	56	2	3
	8/18-20/06	43	52	3	3
	8/2-3/06	40	53	3	4
	6/14-15/06	38	45	4	12
	5/5-7/06	38	52	3	7
	4/21-23/06	40	50	3	6

USA Today/Gallup Poll. Nov. 2-5, 2006. N=1,362 registered voters nationwide (MoE ą 3); 1,007 likely voters (MoE ą 4); 801 regular voters (MoE ą 4).
					.
"If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your congressional district: the Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's candidate?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward the Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's candidate?" Options rotated
					.
		Republican	Democrat	Other (vol.)/ Unsure
		%	%	%
	Among likely voters:
	11/2-5/06	44	51	5
	10/20-22/06	41	54	5
	10/6-8/06	36	59	5
	9/15-17/06	48	48	4
					.
	Among registered voters:
	11/2-5/06	40	51	9
	10/20-22/06	38	53	9
	10/6-8/06	35	58	8
	9/15-17/06	42	51	8
	9/7-10/06	41	53	7
	8/18-20/06	45	47	7
	8/7-10/06	41	50	9
	7/28-30/06	40	51	8
	7/6-9/06	41	51	9
	6/23-25/06	38	54	7
	6/9-11/06	39	51	10
	6/1-4/06	42	51	7
	4/28-30/06	39	54	7
	4/7-9/06	42	52	6
	3/10-12/06	39	55	7
	2/28 - 3/1/06	39	53	7
	2/9-12/06	43	50	8
	1/6-8/06	43	49	8
	10/21-23/05	43	50	7
	8/28-30/05	41	53	6
					.
	Among regular voters: Defined as registered voters who say they always vote and who say they voted in the last midterm election.
	11/2-5/06	43	51	6
	10/20-22/06	44	48	8
	10/6-8/06	42	52	6
	9/15-17/06	45	49	7
	9/7-10/06	43	53	4
	8/18-20/06	48	48	4
	7/28-30/06	42	50	7
	7/6-9/06	42	51	7
	6/23-25/06	38	55	7
	6/9-11/06	44	49	7
	6/1-4/06	40	55	5
	4/28-30/06	44	53	3
	4/7-9/06	44	51	5

*ABC News/Washington Post* Poll. Nov. 1-4, 2006. N=1,205 adults nationwide. Fieldwork by TNS. LV = likely voters (and early voters). RV = registered voters.
					.
"If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate in your congressional district?" If other/unsure: "Would you lean toward the Democratic candidate or toward the Republican candidate?" Options rotated
					.
		Republican	Democrat	Neither/ Other (vol.)	Unsure	Won't Vote (vol.)
		%	%	%	%	%
	11/1-4/06 LV	45	51	2	2	-
	10/19-22/06 LV	41	55	1	3	-
					.
	11/1-4/06 RV	43	53	2	3	-
	10/19-22/06 RV	41	54	1	3	-
	10/5-8/06 RV	41	54	1	3	1
	9/5-7/06 RV	42	50	3	4	2
	8/3-6/06 RV	39	52	2	5	1
	6/22-25/06 RV	39	52	4	4	1
	5/11-15/06 RV	40	52	4	4	1
	4/6-9/06 RV	40	55	2	3	-
	1/23-26/06 RV	38	54	4	4	1
	12/15-18/05 RV	41	51	4	4	1
	10/30 - 11/2/05 RV	37	52	5	6	2
					.
"Do you think most of the Democrats in Congress deserve to be reelected, or not?"
					.
		Yes	No	Unsure
		%	%	%
	11/1-4/06 RV	48	41	10
	10/5-8/06 RV	55	37	8
					.
"Do you think most of the Republicans in Congress deserve to be reelected, or not?"
					.
		Yes	No	Unsure
		%	%	%
	11/1-4/06 RV	39	53	8
	10/5-8/06 RV	38	56	5

Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International and Schulman, Ronca & Bucuvalas. Nov. 1-4, 2006. N=2,369 registered voters nationwide (MoE ą 2.5); 1,795 likely voters (MoE ą 3). (All prior surveys conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International, except July 2006 survey conducted by Schulman, Ronca & Bucuvalas.) LV = likely voters. Except where noted, results below are among registered voters.
					.
"If the 2006 elections for U.S. Congress were being held TODAY, would you vote for the Republican Party's candidate or the Democratic Party's candidate for Congress in your district?" If other/unsure: "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more to the Republican or the Democrat?"
					.
		Republican	Democrat	Other (vol.)/ Unsure
		%	%	%
	11/1-4/06 LV	43	47	10
					.
	11/1-4/06	40	48	12
	10/17-22/06	38	49	13
	9/21 - 10/4/06	38	51	11
	9/6-10/06	39	50	11
	8/9-13/06	41	50	9
	6/14-19/06	39	51	10
	4/7-16/06	41	51	8
	2/1-5/06	41	50	9
	9/8-11/05	40	52	8
					.
"Would you like to see your representative in Congress be reelected on Tuesday [previously: "in the upcoming congressional election"], or not?"
					.
		Yes	No	Isn't Running (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	11/1-4/06	55	25	1	19
	10/17-22/06	55	26	1	18
	9/21 - 10/4/06	50	27	1	22
	9/6-10/06	53	27	1	19
	8/9-13/06	51	30	-	19
	6/14-19/06	51	32	1	16
	4/7-16/06	57	28	1	14
	2/1-5/06	59	28	1	12
	9/8-11/05	57	25	1	17
					.
"Regardless of how you feel about your own representative, would you like to see most members of Congress reelected on Tuesday [previously: "in the upcoming congressional election"], or not?"
					.
		Yes	No	Unsure
		%	%	%
	11/1-4/06	37	46	17
	10/17-22/06	34	49	17
	9/21 - 10/4/06	32	48	20
	9/6-10/06	35	49	16
	8/9-13/06	36	49	15
	6/14-19/06	29	57	14
	4/7-16/06	34	53	13
	2/1-5/06	36	49	15
	9/8-11/05	36	48	16
	10/02	39	38	23
	6/02	45	37	18
	10/00	40	34	26
					.
"Do you think of your vote for Congress this Tuesday [previously: "this fall"] as a vote for George W. Bush, as a vote against George W. Bush, or isn't George W. Bush much of a factor in your vote?"
					.
		For	Against	Not a Factor	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	11/1-4/06	21	35	41	3
	10/17-22/06	20	37	38	5
	9/21 - 10/4/06	18	39	40	3
	9/6-10/06	20	36	40	4
	8/9-13/06	17	35	43	5
	6/14-19/06	15	38	44	3
	4/7-16/06	17	34	46	3
	2/1-5/06	18	31	47	4
	11/02	29	16	49	6
	2/02	34	9	50	7

Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Nov. 2-3, 2006. N=1,206 adults nationwide (MoE ą 3), 1,045 registered voters (MoE ą 4), 838 likely voters (MoE ą 4).
					.
"Suppose the elections for U.S. CONGRESS were being held TODAY. Would you vote for the Republican Party's candidate or the Democratic Party's candidate for Congress in your district?" If other/unsure: "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more toward the Republican or the Democrat?" Options rotated
					.
		Republican	Democrat	Other (vol.)/ Unsure
		%	%	%
	Among likely voters:
	11/2-3/06	38	54	8
	10/26-27/06	39	53	8
	10/19-20/06	37	55	8
	10/5-6/06	39	51	10
					.
	Among registered voters:
	11/2-3/06	36	52	12
	10/26-27/06	38	49	13
	10/19-20/06	37	51	12
	10/5-6/06	38	51	11
	8/24-25/06	38	50	12
	8/10-11/06	39	51	10
	5/11-12/06	39	50	11
	3/16-17/06	39	50	11
	11/10-11/05	36	53	11
	9/29-30/05	42	47	11
	9/8-9/05	38	50	12
					.
"Which of the following outcomes would you most like to see for this year's congressional elections? Would you rather see the Republicans keep control of Congress or the Democrats win enough seats to take over Congress?" Options rotated
					.
		Republican Control	Democratic Control	Unsure
		%	%	%
	Among all adults:
	11/2-3/06	32	53	15
	10/26-27/06	35	50	15
	10/19-20/06	32	55	13
	10/5-6/06	35	53	12
	8/10-11/06	34	53	13
	5/11-12/06	35	52	13
	3/16-17/06	34	50	16

Time Poll conducted by Schulman, Ronca & Bucuvalas (SRBI) Public Affairs. Nov. 1-3, 2006. N=679 likely voters nationwide.
						.
". . . If the election for Congress were being held today, would you be more likely to vote for (did you vote for) the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in the district where you live? . . ." If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward the Republican Party's candidate or the Democratic Party's candidate for Congress?"
						.
		Republican	Democrat	Other (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	11/1-3/06	40	55	1	3
	Active voters, excluding leaners:
	6/27-29/06	35	47	6	12

CBS News/New York Times Poll. Oct. 27-31, 2006. N=598 likely voters nationwide. MoE ą 4 (for all likely voters).
					.
"If the 2006 election for U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in your district?"
					.
		Republican	Democrat	Other (vol.)	Depends (vol.)	Won't Vote (vol.)/Unsure
		%	%	%	%	%
	ALL likely voters	34	52	1	5	8
	Republicans	84	6	1	5	4
	Democrats	3	90	1	2	4
	Independents	23	50	1	10	16
					.
	Among registered voters:.
	10/5-8/06	35	49	1	6	9
	9/15-19/06	35	50	1	7	7
	8/17-21/06	32	47	0	12	9
	7/21-25/06	35	45	1	13	6
	5/4-8/06	33	44	1	13	9
	4/6-9/06	34	44	1	13	8
	1/20-25/06	34	43	2	14	7
	12/2-6/05	33	42	1	15	9
					.
"Do you think the representative in Congress from your district has performed his or her job well enough to deserve reelection, or do you think it's time to give a new person a chance?"
					.
		Deserves Reelection	New Person	Depends (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	10/27-31/06	49	42	2	7
	10/5-8/06	43	47	1	9
	9/15-19/06	42	47	2	9
					.
"Do you think most members of Congress have done a good enough job to deserve reelection, or do you think it's time to give new people a chance?"
					.
		Deserve Reelection	New People	Depends (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	10/27-31/06	16	70	7	7
	10/5-8/06	13	78	3	6
	9/15-19/06	12	76	5	7

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Oct. 28-30, 2006. N=1,010 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.1.
					.
"What is your preference for the outcome of this year's congressional elections: a Congress controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats?"
					.
		Controlled by Republicans	Controlled by Democrats	Unsure
		%	%	%
	10/28-30/06	37	52	11
	10/13-16/06	37	52	11
	9/30 - 10/2/06	39	48	13
	9/8-11/06	39	48	13
	7/21-24/06	38	48	14
	6/9-12/06	38	49	13
	4/21-24/06	39	45	16
	3/10-13/06	37	50	13
	1/26-29/06	38	47	15
	12/9-12/05	38	46	16
	11/4-7/05	37	48	15
	10/8-10/05	39	48	13
	7/8-11/05	40	45	15
	5/12-16/05	40	47	13

Cook Political Report/RT Strategies Poll. Oct. 26-29, 2006. N=1,764 registered voters nationwide (MoE ą 2.3), 807 most-likely voters (MoE ą 3.5). RV = registered voters. MLV = most-likely voters. Except where noted, results below are among all adults.
					.
"Now, thinking about the election for U.S. Congress in November, regardless of how you might plan to vote in your own district, which party would you like to see in control of Congress after the congressional elections in November: the Democrats or the Republicans?" If other/unsure: "Well, which way do you lean: more toward the Democrats or the Republicans?" Options rotated
					.
		Republicans	Democrats	Other (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	10/26-29/06 MLV	35	61	2	2
	10/19-22/06 MLV	35	57	3	6
					.
	10/26-29/06 RV	39	52	5	4
	10/19-22/06 RV	37	49	3	11
	10/5-8/06 RV	38	49	5	8
	9/27-30/06 RV	35	48	6	11
	9/21-24/06 RV	35	49	7	9
	8/25-27/06 RV	40	51	5	4
	7/28-30/06 RV	36	49	6	9
	6/1-4/06 RV	38	50	6	7
					.
	ALL adults (excludes leaners):
	4/27-30/06	37	48	6	9
	4/6-9/06	36	46	8	10
	2/23-26/06	38	47	7	8
	1/22-25/06	39	51	10	-
	12/8-11/05	38	49	13	-

Associated Press-AOL News poll conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs. Oct. 20-25, 2006. N=1,621 registered voters nationwide (MoE ą 2.4), 970 likely voters (MoE ą 3.1). LV = likely voters. RV = registered voters. Except where noted, results below are among all adults.
					.
"If the election for U.S. House of Representatives were held today, would you vote for the Democratic or Republican candidate in your congressional district?" If none/unsure: "Do you lean more towards the Democratic or Republican candidate in your district?" Options rotated
					.
		Republican	Democrat	Other (vol.)	Unsure	Won't Vote (vol.)
		%	%	%	%	%
	10/20-25/06 LV	37	56	1	6	1
	10/2-4/06 LV	41	51	2	5	2
	9/11-13/06 LV	39	53	2	5	1
					.
	10/20-25/06 RV	37	54	1	6	2
	10/2-4/06 RV	38	54	1	6	2
	9/11-13/06 RV	39	51	1	7	2
	8/7-9/06 RV	37	55	1	6	1
	7/10-12/06 RV	40	51	3	4	2
					.
"No matter how you will vote in November, if the election for Congress were held today, would you want to see the Republicans or Democrats win control of Congress?"
					.
		Republicans	Democrats	Neither (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	10/20-25/06 LV	37	55	4	4
	10/2-4/06 LV	36	53	7	4
	9/11-13/06 LV	38	54	6	2
					.
	8/7-9/06	33	52	10	5
	7/10-12/06	36	53	7	4

The Harris Poll. Oct. 20-23, 2006. N=1,000 adults nationwide (MoE ą 3), 795 likely voters. LV = likely voters. Except where noted, results below are among all adults.
					.
"If the election for Congress were being held today, would you be voting for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate?"
					.
		Republican	Democrat	Other (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	10/20-23/06 LV	33	47	14	6
	10/6-9/06 LV	36	49	10	5
	9/8-11/06 LV	35	46	13	6
					.
	10/20-23/06	31	46	16	7
	10/6-9/06	33	45	15	8
	9/8-11/06	34	45	15	6
	8/18-21/06	32	47	13	8
	8/4-7/06	30	45	18	7
	7/7-10/06	31	44	17	7
	4/7-10/06	37	41	15	6
	1/6-9/06	34	43	14	9

Reuters/Zogby America Poll. Oct. 20-23, 2006. N=1,013 likely voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.1.
					.
"In the congressional race in 2006, for which party's candidate do you intend to vote: Democrat or Republican?" Options rotated
					.
		Republican	Democrat	Neither (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	10/20-23/06	33	44	4	19
	10/10-12/06	34	37	6	22
	9/22-25/06	33	42	5	20
	9/12-14/06	34	37	6	23
	8/11-15/06	31	39	3	27
	7/21-25/06	32	37	4	28
	6/15-20/06	29	38	4	28
	6/2-6/06	29	40	4	28
	5/12-16/06	31	38	6	25
	2/27 - 3/2/06	32	38	2	28
	2/15-18/06	29	36	5	29
	1/9-12/06	26	33	5	36

Diageo/Hotline Poll conducted by Financial Dynamics. Oct. 19-23, 2006. N=1,000 registered voters nationwide (MoE ą 3.1); 580 likely voters (MoE ą 4.1). LV = likely voters. Except where noted, results below are among registered voters.
					.
"In your opinion, do you think the country would be better off if the Republicans controlled Congress or if the Democrats controlled Congress?" Options rotated
					.
		Republicans	Democrats	Neither (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	10/19-23/06 LV	33	46	13	8
					.
	10/19-23/06	30	42	16	12
	9/24-26/06	32	42	16	11
	8/17-20/06	28	39	22	11
	7/20-23/06	30	37	20	13
	6/21-25/06	32	40	16	12
	5/18-21/06	30	43	19	9
	2/16-19/06	29	38	21	13
	1/12-15/06	35	37	18	11
	12/12-13/05	31	37	23	10
	11/11-15/05	29	39	20	12
	10/12-16/05	30	38	22	9
	7/7-10/05	30	34	24	12
	6/2-5/05	36	35	20	10
					.
"Thinking about the next election for U.S. Congress, do you think you will vote to reelect your member of Congress, will you consider voting for someone else, or do you think you will vote to replace your current member of Congress?"
					.
		Vote to Reelect Member	Consider Someone Else	Vote to Replace Member	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	10/19-23/06 LV	37	17	30	16
					.
	10/19-23/06	34	18	27	21
	9/24-26/06	30	25	24	21
	8/17-20/06	28	17	27	27
	7/20-23/06	24	27	24	25
	6/21-25/06	27	25	27	21
	5/18-21/06	25	24	26	25
	2/16-19/06	29	23	24	24
	1/12-15/06	31	21	25	23
	12/12-13/05	32	22	22	23
	11/11-15/05	30	22	26	22
	10/12-16/05	31	28	19	22
					.
"And, thinking about the next election for U.S. Congress, if the election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate in your district where you live?" Options rotated
					.
		Republican	Democrat	Neither (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	10/19-23/06 LV	34	52	3	10
					.
	10/19-23/06	34	49	5	13
	9/24-26/06	33	43	10	14
	8/17-20/06	33	40	9	18
	7/20-23/06	32	48	6	14
	6/21-25/06	36	41	7	17
	5/18-21/06	36	42	6	16
	2/16-19/06	31	46	8	15
	1/12-15/06	33	40	7	20
	12/12-13/05	33	43	11	14
	11/11-15/05	35	41	6	18
	10/12-16/05	31	40	10	19
	7/7-10/05	33	39	10	17
	6/2-5/05	37	39	5	18

USA Today/Gallup Poll. Oct. 20-22, 2006. N=923 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 4 (for all likely voters).
					.
"If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your congressional district: the Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's candidate?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward the Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's candidate?" Options rotated
					.
		Republican	Democrat	Other (vol.)/ Unsure
		%	%	%
	Among likely voters:
	10/20-22/06	41	54	5
	10/6-8/06	36	59	5
	9/15-17/06	48	48	4
					.
	Among registered voters:
	10/20-22/06	38	53	9
	10/6-8/06	35	58	8
	9/15-17/06	42	51	8
	9/7-10/06	41	53	7
	8/18-20/06	45	47	7
	8/7-10/06	41	50	9
	7/28-30/06	40	51	8
	7/6-9/06	41	51	9
	6/23-25/06	38	54	7
	6/9-11/06	39	51	10
	6/1-4/06	42	51	7
	4/28-30/06	39	54	7
	4/7-9/06	42	52	6
	3/10-12/06	39	55	7
	2/28 - 3/1/06	39	53	7
	2/9-12/06	43	50	8
	1/6-8/06	43	49	8
	10/21-23/05	43	50	7
	8/28-30/05	41	53	6
					.
	Among regular voters: Defined as registered voters who say they always vote and who say they voted in the last midterm election.
	10/20-22/06	44	48	8
	10/6-8/06	42	52	6
	9/15-17/06	45	49	7
	9/7-10/06	43	53	4
	8/18-20/06	48	48	4
	7/28-30/06	42	50	7
	7/6-9/06	42	51	7
	6/23-25/06	38	55	7
	6/9-11/06	44	49	7
	6/1-4/06	40	55	5
	4/28-30/06	44	53	3
	4/7-9/06	44	51	5
					.
"Please tell me whether you think each of the following political officeholders deserves to be reelected, or not. How about [see below]?" Among registered voters:
					.
		Deserves	Does Not	Unsure
		%	%	%
	"The U.S. representative in your congressional district"
	10/20-22/06	54	33	14
	10/6-8/06	57	28	14
	6/23-25/06	62	25	13
	4/28-30/06	59	26	14
	1/6-8/06	62	26	12
	10/21-23/05	65	24	11
					.
	"Most members of Congress"
	10/20-22/06	38	52	10
	10/6-8/06	39	50	11
	6/23-25/06	38	51	11
	4/28-30/06	38	53	10
	1/6-8/06	43	47	10
	10/21-23/05	46	44	10

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Oct. 13-16, 2006. N=1,006 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.1.
					.
"What is your preference for the outcome of this year's congressional elections: a Congress controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats?"
					.
		Controlled by Republicans	Controlled by Democrats	Unsure
		%	%	%
	10/13-16/06	37	52	11
	9/30 - 10/2/06	39	48	13
	9/8-11/06	39	48	13
	7/21-24/06	38	48	14
	6/9-12/06	38	49	13
	4/21-24/06	39	45	16
	3/10-13/06	37	50	13
	1/26-29/06	38	47	15
	12/9-12/05	38	46	16
	11/4-7/05	37	48	15
	10/8-10/05	39	48	13
	7/8-11/05	40	45	15
	5/12-16/05	40	47	13
					.
"In November's election for U.S. Congress, do you feel that your representative deserves to be reelected, or do you think it is time to give a new person a chance?"
					.
		Deserves to Be Reelected	New Person	Unsure
		%	%	%
	10/13-16/06	39	45	16
	9/30 - 10/2/06	38	45	17
	9/8-11/06	41	43	16
	7/21-24/06	38	48	14
	6/9-12/06	42	45	13
	3/10-13/06	41	48	11
	1/26-29/06	41	46	13
	12/9-12/05	41	44	15
	11/4-7/05	37	51	12
	7/8-11/05	41	46	13
	5/12-16/05	42	45	13

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Oct. 10-11, 2006. N=900 likely voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.
					.
"Do you think most Democrats in Congress deserve to be reelected?"
					.
		Yes	No	Unsure
		%	%	%
	10/10-11/06	44	38	18
					.
"Do you think most Republicans in Congress deserve to be reelected?"
					.
		Yes	No	Unsure
		%	%	%
	10/10-11/06	33	53	14

CNN Poll conducted by Opinion Research Corporation. Oct. 6-8, 2006. N=1,028 adults nationwide; 920 registered voters (MoE ą 3); 543 likely voters (MoE ą 4).
					.
"Please tell me whether you think each of the following political officeholders deserves to be reelected or not. . . ." Half sample of adults, MoE ą 4.5
					.
		Does	Does Not	Unsure
		%	%	%
	"The U.S. representative in your congressional district"
	10/6-8/06	52	31	17
	9/29 - 10/2/06	57	33	10
					.
	"Most members of Congress"
	10/6-8/06	34	51	15
	9/29 - 10/2/06	42	52	7
					.
	"Most Democratic members of Congress"
	10/6-8/06	50	35	14
	9/29 - 10/2/06	53	41	6
					.
	"Most Republican members of Congress"
	10/6-8/06	36	51	13
	9/29 - 10/2/06	38	57	5

*ABC News/Washington Post* Poll. Oct. 5-8, 2006. N=1,204 adults nationwide. MoE ą 3. Fieldwork by TNS.
					.
"Regardless of your local contest, which party would you like to see in control of Congress after the congressional elections in November: the Democrats or the Republicans?" Options rotated
					.
		Republicans	Democrats	Neither (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	10/5-8/06	36	59	3	2
	5/11-15/06	33	56	8	3
	10/30 - 11/2/05	37	55	6	2

Time Poll conducted by Schulman, Ronca & Bucuvalas (SRBI) Public Affairs. Oct. 3-4, 2006. N=860 active voters nationwide.
						.
"If the election for Congress were being held today, do you think that you would vote for the Democratic candidate for Congress in your district or the Republican candidate?" If unsure: "If you had to choose, do you lean more toward the Democratic candidate or more toward the Republican candidate?" Options rotated
						.
		Republican	Democrat	Other (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	10/3-4/06	39	54	2	5
	8/22-24/06	40	51	4	5

CNN Poll conducted by Opinion Research Corporation. Sept. 29-Oct. 2, 2006. N=1,014 adults nationwide; 914 registered voters (MoE ą 3); 548 likely voters (MoE ą 4).
					.
"Would you be more likely to vote for a candidate for Congress who supports President Bush, or more likely to vote for a candidate who opposes President Bush?"
					.
		Supports Bush	Opposes Bush	No Differ- ence (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	9/29 - 10/2/06	37	57	4	1

George Washington University Battleground Poll conducted by the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D). Sept. 24-27, 2006. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.1.
					.
"Now turning to the election for Congress that will be held in November 2006: If the election for Congress were being held today, and you had to make a choice, would you be voting for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in your district?" If unsure: "And which party's candidate do you lean toward at this time?" Options rotated
					.
		Republican	Democrat	Unsure
		%	%	%
	9/24-27/06	41	49	10
	2/12-15/06	41	46	14
	10/9-12/05	41	47	13
	3/7-9/05	41	44	15

Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg Poll. Sept. 16-19, 2006. N=1,347 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.
					.
"If the election for Congress was being held today, which party would you like to see win in your congressional district: the Democratic Party or the Republican Party?" Results include leaners
					.
		Republican Party	Democratic Party	Other (vol.)	Neither (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%	%
	9/16-19/06	39	49	1	2	9
	7/28 - 8/1/06	37	48	1	5	9
	6/24-27/06	35	49	1	5	10
	4/8-11/06	35	49	3	6	7
	1/22-25/06	35	47	2	8	8
					.
"Do you think the U.S. representative in Congress who represents your district deserves to be reelected to another term, or do you think it is time to have someone else represent your district?"
					.
		Deserves Reelection	Someone Else	Unsure
		%	%	%
	9/16-19/06	46	40	14
					.
"After the election in November, would you like to see the Democrats take control of Congress, or would you like to see the Republicans continue to be in control of Congress?"
					.
		Democrats Control	Republicans Control	Each Party Control One Chamber (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	9/16-19/06	48	39	2	11

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Sept. 12-13, 2006. N=900 likely voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.
					.
"Do you think it would be better for the country if Democrats or Republicans win control of Congress in this year's election?" Options rotated
					.
		Republicans	Democrats	No Difference/ Neither (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	9/12-13/06	34	41	18	7
					.
	Among registered voters:
	6/27-28/06	33	39	20	8
	5/16-18/06	29	46	19	6
	2/28 - 3/1/06	31	45	19	5
	2/7-8/06	34	42	18	5
	1/10-11/06	33	44	16	7

Associated Press-Ipsos poll conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs. Sept. 11-13, 2006. N=1,215 registered voters nationwide (MoE ą 2.8), 661 likely voters (MoE ą 3.8). LV = likely voters. RV = registered voters. Except where noted, results below are among all adults.
					.
"Regardless of how you will vote, do you think most members of Congress deserve to be reelected or deserve to be voted out of office?"
					.
		Reelected	Voted Out	Unsure
		%	%	%
	9/11-13/06 LV	28	60	12
					.
"Regardless of how you will vote, do you think your own member of Congress deserves to be reelected or deserves to be voted out of office?"
					.
		Reelected	Voted Out	Unsure
		%	%	%
	9/11-13/06 LV	57	36	7

CNN Poll conducted by Opinion Research Corporation. Aug. 30-Sept. 2, 2006. N=1,004 adults nationwide, including 535 likely voters (MoE ą 4).
					.
"Thinking about how you might vote for a candidate for Congress in your district, would you be more likely or less likely to vote for a candidate who has supported the policies of the Bush Administration?" All adults
					.
		More Likely	Less Likely	No Differ- ence (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	8/30 - 9/2/06	40	55	2	2
					.
"Now thinking about all the federal, state and local offices you are going to vote for this November: Compared to previous years, are you more likely to vote for an incumbent who currently holds an elected office, or are you more likely to vote for the challenger?" Half sample of adults, MoE ą 4.5
					.
		Incumbent	Challenger	No Differ- ence (vol.)	Don't Vote (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%	%
	8/30 - 9/2/06	27	55	6	2	10
					.
"Suppose that after the November elections most of the present members of Congress are replaced with new members. Do you think it would change Congress for the better, change Congress for the worse, or not make much difference?" Half sample of adults, MoE ą 4.5
					.
		Change for the Better	Change for the Worse	No Differ- ence (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	8/30 - 9/2/06	42	7	48	3

Quinnipiac University Poll. Aug. 17-23, 2006. N=1,080 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.
					.
"What is your preference for the outcome of the November 2006 congressional elections: a Congress controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats?"
					.
		Republicans	Democrats	Unsure
		%	%	%
	8/17-23/06	39	48	13
	2/21-28/06	37	49	14
	11/28 - 12/4/05	36	47	17
					.
"If a candidate for Congress supports President George W. Bush, does that make you more likely to vote for that candidate, less likely to vote for that candidate, or doesn't it make a difference?"
					.
		More Likely	Less Likely	No Difference	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	8/17-23/06	21	38	41	1
	2/21-28/06	16	37	45	1
	11/28 - 12/4/05	16	37	45	2

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Aug. 8-9, 2006. N=900 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.
					.
"If you were voting in an election and all that you knew about the candidates for Congress, was that one was the incumbent -- that is, someone who currently holds that position -- and the other was the challenger, who would you be more inclined to vote for: the incumbent or the challenger?" Options rotated
					.
		Incumbent	Challenger	Unsure
		%	%	%
	8/8-9/06	21	46	33

*ABC News/Washington Post* Poll. Aug. 3-6, 2006. N=1,002 adults nationwide. MoE ą 3. Fieldwork by TNS. RV = registered voters.
					.
"Generally would you say your mood is anti-incumbent -- meaning you're inclined to vote for challengers who are running for public office -- or would you say your mood is pro-incumbent -- meaning you're inclined to vote to reelect people already in public office?"
					.
		Anti- incumbent	Pro- incumbent	Neither (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	8/3-6/06	53	29	13	4
	6/94	54	29	13	4

Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg Poll. June 24-27, 2006. N=1,170 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 3 (for all registered voters).
					.
"As you may know, this November all seats of the U.S. House of Representatives and a third of the seats in the United States Senate are up for election. After the election in November, would you like to see the Democrats take control of Congress, or would you like to see the Republicans continue to be in control of Congress?"
					.
		Republicans Keep Control	Democrats Take Control	Each Party Control One Chamber (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	ALL reg. voters	34	54	4	8
	Democrats	5	90	3	2
	Independents	16	49	7	28
	Republicans	84	7	4	5
					.
	Trend:
	4/8-11/06	38	51	2	9

Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. June 14-19, 2006. N=1,215 registered voters nationwide.
					.
"Will the issue of which party controls Congress, the Republicans or the Democrats, be a factor in your vote for Congress this year, or not?"
					.
		Will	Will Not	Unsure
		%	%	%
	6/14-19/06	58	39	3
	4/7-16/06	56	39	5
	6/04	43	51	6
	11/02	48	49	3
	10/02	42	55	3

CNN Poll conducted by Opinion Research Corporation. June 14-15, 2006. N=1,017 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters.
					.
"If George W. Bush supported a candidate for political office in your area, would you be more likely or less likely to vote for that candidate?"
					.
		More Likely	Less Likely	No Difference (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	6/14-15/06	27	47	20	6

Associated Press-Ipsos poll conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs. June 5-7, 2006. N=1,003 adults nationwide. MoE ą 3.1.
					.
"And if the election for Congress were held today, would you want to see the Republicans or Democrats win control of Congress?"
					.
		Republicans	Democrats	Neither (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	6/5-7/06	32	52	12	4
	5/1-3/06	34	51	13	2
	4/3-5/06	33	49	15	3
	3/6-8/06	36	47	13	4
	2/6-8/06	37	47	13	3
	1/3-5/06	36	49	12	3

Fabrizio, McLaughlin & Associates (R) for the National School Boards Association. May 15-17, 2006. N=1,200 likely voters nationwide. MoE ą 2.8.
					.
"And if the election for Congress were held today, would you be more likely to vote for the Republican or Democrat candidate in your district?" Options rotated
					.
		Republican	Democrat	Unsure
		%	%	%
	5/15-17/06	36	39	25

*ABC News/Washington Post* Poll. May 11-15, 2006. N=1,103 adults nationwide. MoE ą 3. Fieldwork by TNS. RV = registered voters. LV = likely voters.
					.
"Right now, are you inclined to vote to reelect your representative in Congress in the next election or are you inclined to look around for someone else to vote for?"
					.
		Reelect	Look Around	Depends (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	5/11-15/06	35	55	6	4
	6/2-5/05	40	50	8	3
	2/02	40	48	7	6
	10/99	41	47	8	3
	9/98	44	46	n/a	10
	9/98 LV	52	42	n/a	6
	7/98	42	44	5	10
	1/98	47	41	7	4

Cook Political Report/RT Strategies Poll. April 27-30, 2006. N=1,003 adults nationwide. MoE ą 3.1.
					.
"November is a long way off and things can change, but generally speaking, do you think you will vote to reelect your current member of Congress in the House of Representative, or will you consider voting for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else?"
					.
		Reelect Current Member	Consider Someone Else	Vote for Someone Else	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	4/27-30/06	25	36	20	19
					.
"Still thinking about the election for U.S. Congress in November, will you vote for the Democratic or Republican candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives from your district?" Options rotated
					.
		Republican	Democrat	Other/ Depends (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	4/27-30/06	32	44	11	13

Time Poll conducted by Schulman, Ronca & Bucuvalas (SRBI) Public Affairs. March 22-23, 2006. N=848 voters nationwide.
						.
"There will be elections for the U.S. House of Representatives this year. If the election were being held today, would you be more likely to vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in the district where you live? If you don't usually vote in congressional elections or are not registered to vote, just tell me." If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward the Republican Party's candidate or the Democratic Party's candidate for Congress?" Options rotated. 2005 results exclude leaners.
						.
		Republican	Democrat	Other (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	3/22-23/06	41	50	1	8
	11/29 - 12/1/05	36	48	4	11

National Public Radio Poll conducted by Public Opinion Strategies (R) and Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D). March 12-14, 2006. N=800 likely voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.5.
					.
"I know it is far ahead, but thinking about this year's elections, if the election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate in your district where you live?" Includes leaners
					.
		Republican	Democrat	Other (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	3/12-14/06	37	52	1	10
	7/7-11/05	40	47	2	11
					.
	Alternate wording: "If the 2006 elections for United States Congress were being held today, for whom would you vote: the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in this district?" If unsure: "Well, if the election for Congress were held today and you had to decide right now in your own district where you live, which candidate would you lean toward: the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in this district?" Options rotated
					.
		Republican	Democrat	Unsure
		%	%	%
	12/15, 17-18/05	37	45	17
	2/15-17/05	36	42	22

Democracy Corps Poll conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D). Feb. 23-27, 2006. N=1,135 likely voters nationwide. MoE ą 2.9.
					.
"I know it is far ahead, but thinking about the elections this November, if the election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate in your district where you live?"
					.
		Republican	Democrat	Other (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	2/23-27/06	40	48	1	11
	1/22-25/06	41	49	2	8
	12/8-12/05	41	49	1	8
	11/30 - 12/4/05	39	49	1	11
	11/16-20/05	41	48	1	10
	11/2-6/05	40	48	1	11
	10/19-23/05	39	48	2	10
	10/5-10/05	41	46	2	12
	9/19-21/05	39	48	2	11
	7/19-25/05	41	48	2	9
	6/20-26/05	43	48	1	8
	5/17-23/05	43	48	1	8
	4/13-19/05	42	47	1	10
	3/15-21/05	45	46	1	9
	2/13-17/05	44	46	1	10
	1/16-20/05	43	48	2	8

CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll. Jan. 20-22, 2006. N=928 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 4.
					.
"Looking ahead to the congressional elections this November: Would you be more likely to vote for a candidate for Congress who supports President Bush, or more likely to vote for a candidate who opposes President Bush?"
					.
		Supports	Opposes	No Differ- ence (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	1/20-22/06	40	51	5	3
	10/21-23/05	39	55	4	2

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Jan. 10-11, 2006. N=900 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 3 (for all registered voters).
					.
"If you were voting in the midterm election today, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who supports President Bush on the issues, opposes President Bush on the issues, or would President Bush not be a major factor in your vote for Congress this year?"
					.
		Supports Bush	Opposes Bush	Not a Major Factor	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	ALL reg. voters	26	34	36	4
	Democrats	6	62	29	3
	Republicans	54	6	38	2
	Independents	18	32	43	7

Zogby America Poll. Dec. 6-8, 2005. N=1,013 likely voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.1.
						.
"In the election for congress next year, for whom will you vote -- definitely for the Republican, probably for the Republican, definitely for the Democrat, or probably for the Democrat?" Options rotated
						.
		Definitely Republican	Probably Republican	Definitely Democrat	Probably Democrat	Other (vol.)/ Unsure
		%	%	%	%	%
	12/6-8/05	16	24	26	22	12

*CNN/USA Today/Gallup* Poll. Nov. 11-13, 2005. N=1,006 adults nationwide. MoE ą 3 (for all adults).
						.
"Do you think the country would be better off if the Republicans controlled Congress, or if the Democrats controlled Congress?"
						.
		Republicans	Democrats	Neither (vol.)	Same (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%	%
	11/11-13/05	34	46	12	2	6
	10/13-16/05	32	45	12	4	7
	5/20-22/05	36	47	9	2	6
	10/22-24/04	41	45	4	3	7
	3/26-28/04	39	41	7	4	9
	7/29-31/02	38	39	9	5	9
	7/5-8/02	40	39	11	3	7
	1/02	44	43	3	3	7
	10/01	38	37	11	7	7
	8/01	34	43	10	6	7
	4/01	41	43	6	3	7
	1/01	39	41	7	5	8
	7/99	37	42	12	2	7
	6/99	41	41	11	2	5
	5/99	36	37	14	4	9
	12/98	30	41	13	5	11
	9/98	35	41	11	3	10
						.
"Thinking ahead to next year's congressional elections, which type of candidate would you be most likely to support: a Republican who agrees with George W. Bush on almost every major issue, a Republican who has had both agreements and disagreements with Bush, a Democrat who has had both agreements and disagreements with Bush, or a Democrat who disagrees with George W. Bush on almost every major issue?" Options rotated. Asked of registered voters.
						.
		Republican/ Mostly Agrees	Republican/ Sometimes Disagrees	Democrat/ Sometimes Agrees	Democrat/ Mostly Disagrees	Unsure
		%	%	%	%	%
	11/11-13/05 RV	9	33	29	24	5

*ABC News/Washington Post* Poll. Oct. 30-Nov. 2, 2005. N=1,202 adults nationwide. MoE ą 3. Fieldwork by TNS.
					.
"If a candidate for Congress supports Bush in many areas, would that make you more likely to support that candidate for Congress, more likely to oppose that candidate, or wouldn't it make much difference in your vote?"
					.
		More Likely To Support	More Likely To Oppose	Not Much Difference	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	10/30 - 11/2/05	18	34	48	1

*Winston Group (R) New Models Survey*. Sept. 14-15, 2005. N=1,000 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.
					.
"If the elections were held today for U.S. Congress, would you be more likely to vote for the Republican candidate or the Democrat candidate?" If unsure: "Would you be leaning toward the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate?" Options rotated
					.
		Republican	Democrat	Unsure
		%	%	%
	9/14-15/05	40	48	12

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Aug. 30-31, 2005. N=900 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.
					.
"Who do you want to win next year's congressional elections: the Democrats or the Republicans?"
					.
		Republicans	Democrats	Neither (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	8/30-31/05	35	38	6	21

Zogby America Poll. June 20-22, 2005. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.2.
					.
"For which partys candidate will you vote for for Congress: Democrat, Republican, or other?"
					.
		Republican	Democrat	Other	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	6/20-22/05	33	38	9	20

The Feldman Group (D) for a "private client." May 23-28, 2005. N=1,000 voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.1.
					.
"In the elections for Congress next year, are you more likely to support the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate, are you undecided, or do you think you are unlikely to vote in the congressional election?" If unsure: "Well, if the election for Congress were held today and you had to decide right now, would you be more likely to lean toward the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?" Options rotated
					.
		Republican	Democrat	Unsure	Unlikely To Vote
		%	%	%	%
	5/23-28/05	36	41	20	2

Americans United to Protect Social Security poll conducted by Peter D. Hart Research Associates (D). April 15-19, 2005. N=811 voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.5.
					.
"In next year's election for U.S. House of Representatives, do you plan to vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in your district?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean at this time?"
					.
		Republican	Democrat	Other/Won't Vote (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	4/15-19/05	28	35	6	31

Moore Information (R). March 21-23, 2005. N=800 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.
					.
"Looking ahead, if the election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for the Republican or Democrat candidate?" Options rotated
					.
		Republican	Democrat	Neither	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	3/21-23/05	33	37	1	30

Ipsos-Public Affairs poll. Dec. 17-19, 2004. N=839 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.4.
					.
"And if the election for Congress were held today, would you want to see the Republicans or Democrats win control of Congress?" If unsure: "If you had to choose, would you lean more towards the Republicans or the Democrats?"
					.
		Republicans	Democrats	Neither (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	12/17-19/04	44	51	4	1