|
|
White House 2020: General Election |
|
|
Quinnipiac University Poll. Oct. 28-Nov. 1, 2020. N=1,516 likely voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 2.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates
were Joe Biden the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would
you vote?" If unsure:
"As of today, do you lean more toward Joe Biden the Democrat or Donald
Trump the Republican?" |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Joe
Biden (D) |
Someone
else (vol.) |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
| |
10/28 - 11/1/20 |
39 |
50 |
2 |
9 |
|
| |
10/16-19/20 |
41 |
51 |
2 |
6 |
|
| |
9/17-21/20 |
42 |
52 |
1 |
4 |
|
| |
8/28-31/20 |
42 |
52 |
2 |
3 |
|
|
|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research
Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). Oct. 29-31, 2020. N=1,000
registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.1. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the election for president were held today, with ONLY Donald Trump and
Mike Pence as the Republican candidates and Joe Biden and Kamala Harris as
the Democratic candidates, for whom would you vote?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Trump/
Pence (R) |
Biden/
Harris (D) |
Neither/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
| |
10/29-31/20 |
42 |
52 |
3 |
3 |
|
| |
10/9-12/20 |
42 |
53 |
3 |
2 |
|
| |
9/30 - 10/1/20 |
39 |
53 |
2 |
6 |
|
| |
9/13-16/20 |
43 |
51 |
3 |
3 |
|
|
|
Fox News Poll conducted by Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company
Research (R). Oct. 27-29, 2020. N=1,246 likely voters nationwide. Margin
of error ± 2.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the presidential election were today, how would you vote if the
candidates were Democrats Joe Biden and Kamala Harris, and Republicans
Donald Trump and Mike Pence?" If unsure:
"Well, which way do you lean?" If already voted: "When you cast
your early ballot, who did you vote for in the election for president?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Trump/
Pence (R) |
Biden/
Harris (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
| |
10/27-29/20 |
44 |
52 |
2 |
2 |
|
| |
10/3-6/20 |
43 |
53 |
1 |
3 |
|
| |
9/7-10/20 |
46 |
51 |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
Suffolk University/USA Today Poll. Oct. 23-27, 2020. N=1,000
likely voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.1.
LV = likely voters. RV = registered voters. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"In the general election in November there will be four choices – and
possibly more - for president of the United States on your state ballot,
including Donald Trump, Republican, Joe Biden, Democrat, Howie Hawkins,
Green Party, and Jo Jorgensen, Libertarian Party. At this point, will you
vote Trump, Biden, Hawkins, Jorgensen, someone else, or will you skip voting
in November?" |
| |
|
|
|
10/23-27/20
LV |
8/28-31/20
RV |
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Donald Trump (R) |
43 |
42 |
|
|
|
| |
Joe Biden (D) |
50 |
47 |
|
|
|
| |
Jo Jorgensen (L) |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
| |
Howie Hawkins (G) |
1 |
- |
|
|
|
| |
Someone else |
0 |
1 |
|
|
|
| |
Will skip voting |
0 |
1 |
|
|
|
| |
Unsure |
4 |
7 |
|
|
|
| |
Refused |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"In the general election in November there will be four choices – and
possibly more - for president of the United States on your state ballot,
including Donald Trump, Republican, Joe Biden, Democrat, Howie Hawkins,
Green Party, and Jo Jorgensen, Libertarian Party. At this point, will you
vote Trump, Biden, Hawkins, Jorgensen, someone else, or will you skip voting
in November?" Asked of those who don't support Trump or Biden:
"What if the choice was between Donald Trump or Joe Biden?" Combined
responses |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Joe
Biden (D) |
Unsure |
Refused |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
| |
10/23-27/20 LV |
44 |
52 |
2 |
2 |
|
| |
8/28-31/20 RV |
43 |
50 |
4 |
3 |
|
|
|
CNN Poll conducted by SSRS. Oct. 23-26, 2020. N=917 registered voters
nationwide (margin of error ± 3.7), including 886 likely voters (margin of
error ± 3.8). |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Suppose that the presidential election were being held today and you had to
choose between Joe Biden and Kamala Harris as the Democratic Party's
candidates, and Donald Trump and Mike Pence as the Republican Party's
candidates. Who would you be more likely to vote for?" If unsure:
"As of today, do you lean more toward [see below]?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Trump/
Pence (R) |
Biden/
Harris (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
Among likely voters: |
| |
10/23-26/20 |
42 |
54 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
| |
10/1-4/20 |
41 |
57 |
1 |
- |
1 |
|
|
| |
Among registered voters: |
| |
10/23-26/20 |
42 |
54 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
| |
10/1-4/20 |
41 |
56 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
| |
8/28 - 9/1/20 |
43 |
51 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
| |
8/12-15/20 |
46 |
50 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
CNBC All-America Economic Survey conducted by Hart Research
Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). Oct. 21-24 2020. N=800
registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the November election for president were held today, and Donald Trump
were the Republican candidate and Joe Biden were the Democratic candidate,
for whom would you vote?" If depends or unsure:
"Well, as of right now do you lean towards voting for Donald Trump or Joe
Biden?" |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Joe
Biden (D) |
Depends
(vol.) |
Neither/
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
10/21-24/20 |
40 |
51 |
- |
3 |
6 |
| |
6/19-22/20 |
38 |
47 |
2 |
6 |
7 |
|
|
New York Times/Siena College Poll. Oct. 15-18, 2020. N=987 likely
voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.4. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2020 presidential election were held today, who would you vote for
if the candidates were Joe Biden, the Democrat, Donald Trump, the
Republican, Jo Jorgensen, the Libertarian, and Howie Hawkins of the Green
Party?"
Includes leaners, early voters. |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Joe
Biden (D) |
Jo
Jorgensen (L) |
Howie
Hawkins (G) |
Other (vol.)/
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
10/15-18/20 |
41 |
50 |
2 |
0 |
7 |
| |
9/22-24/20 |
41 |
49 |
2 |
1 |
7 |
|
|
Gallup Poll. Sept. 30-Oct. 15, 2020. N=941 registered voters nationwide.
Margin of error ± 4. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Please tell me whether you think each of the following political
office-holders deserves to be reelected, or not. ... How about President Trump?" |
| |
|
|
|
Deserves to
be reelected |
Does not
deserve |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
9/30 - 10/15/20 |
43 |
56 |
1 |
|
|
| |
1/16-29/20 |
50 |
50 |
- |
|
|
| |
10/15-28/18 |
41 |
56 |
3 |
|
|
| |
4/9-15/18 |
37 |
59 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll. Oct. 8-13, 2020. N=896 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error ±
3.8. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If November's election for president were held today, whom would you
support if the candidates are Joe Biden and Kamala Harris, the Democrats,
and Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans?" If unsure:
"If you had to decide today, are you leaning more towards [see below]?"
If already voted: "Whom did you support in the presidential election?" |
| |
|
|
|
Trump/
Pence (R) |
Biden/
Harris (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
| |
10/8-13/20 |
43 |
54 |
1 |
2 |
|
| |
9/11-16/20 |
43 |
52 |
3 |
2 |
|
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Oct. 6-9, 2020. N=725 likely
voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the presidential election were being held today and the candidates were
Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans, Joe Biden and Kamala Harris,
the Democrats, Jo Jorgensen and Spike Cohen of the Libertarian Party, or
Howie Hawkins and Angela Walker of the Green Party, for whom would you
vote?" If unsure:
"Would you lean toward Trump, Biden, Jorgensen, or Hawkins?" If already voted:
"Confidentially and for statistical purposes only, did you vote for [see
below]?"
Options rotated. Hawkins & Walker included where on the ballot. |
| |
|
|
|
Trump/
Pence (R) |
Biden/
Harris (D) |
Jorgensen/
Cohen (L) |
Hawkins/
Walker (G) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
10/6-9/20 |
42 |
54 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
|
|
Monmouth University Poll. Sept. 24-27, 2020. N=809 registered voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the election for president was today, would you vote for Donald Trump
the Republican, Joe Biden the Democrat, Jo Jorgensen the Libertarian, Howie
Hawkins of the Green Party, or another candidate?" If unsure:
"If you had to vote for one of the following candidates at this moment, who
do you lean toward: Donald Trump or Joe Biden?"
Candidate options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
9/24-27/20 |
9/3-8/20 |
8/6-10/20 |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
Donald Trump (R) |
44 |
42 |
41 |
|
|
| |
Joe Biden (D) |
50 |
51 |
51 |
|
|
| |
Jo Jorgensen (L) |
2 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
| |
Howie Hawkins (G) |
1 |
2 |
1 |
|
|
| |
Another candidate |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
| |
No one (vol.) |
- |
- |
1 |
|
|
| |
Unsure |
2 |
3 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Sept. 21-24, 2020. N=739 likely
voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the presidential election were being held today and the candidates were
Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans, and Joe Biden and Kamala
Harris, the Democrats, for whom would you vote? ... Would you lean toward
Trump and Pence, or Biden and Harris?" If already voted:
"Confidentially and for statistical purposes only, did you vote for [see
below]?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Trump/
Pence (R) |
Biden/
Harris (D) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Would not
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
9/21-24/20 |
44 |
54 |
- |
- |
1 |
| |
8/12-15/20 |
44 |
54 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
|
|
NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll. Sept. 11-16, 2020. N=723 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error ±
4.3. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If November's election for president were held today, whom would you
support if the candidates are Joe Biden and Kamala Harris, the Democrats,
and Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans?" If unsure:
"If you had to decide today, are you leaning more towards [see below]?" |
| |
|
|
|
Trump/
Pence (R) |
Biden/
Harris (D) |
Unsure |
Refused |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
| |
9/11-16/20 |
43 |
52 |
3 |
2 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If November's election for president were held today, whom would you
support if the candidates are Joe Biden, the Democrat, Donald Trump, the
Republican, Jo Jorgensen, the Libertarian, and Howie Hawkins, of the Green
Party?" If unsure:
"If you had to decide today, are you leaning more towards [see below]?" |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Donald Trump (R) |
42 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Joe Biden (D) |
49 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Jo Jorgensen (L) |
5 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Howie Hawkins (G) |
2 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Unsure |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Grinnell College National Poll conducted by Selzer & Co. Aug.
26-30,
2020. N=827 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.4. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the general election were held today, and the candidates for
president were Joe Biden
for the Democrats and Donald Trump for the Republicans, for whom would you
vote: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, someone else, or would you not vote?"
Candidate options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Joe
Biden (D) |
Someone
else |
Would
not vote |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
8/26-30/20 |
41 |
49 |
3 |
1 |
5 |
| |
3/27-30/20 |
43 |
47 |
8 |
2 |
1 |
|
|
Fox News Poll conducted by Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company
Research (R). Aug. 9-12, 2020. N=1,000 registered voters nationwide. Margin
of error ± 3. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the presidential election were today, how would you vote if
the candidates were Democrat Joe Biden and Republican Donald Trump?" If
unsure:
"Well, which way do you lean?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Joe
Biden (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
8/9-12/20 |
42 |
49 |
3 |
1 |
5 |
| |
7/12-15/20 |
41 |
49 |
4 |
1 |
5 |
| |
6/13-16/20 |
38 |
50 |
5 |
2 |
5 |
| |
5/17-20/20 |
40 |
48 |
4 |
2 |
5 |
| |
4/4-7/20 |
42 |
42 |
7 |
3 |
6 |
| |
3/21-24/20 |
40 |
49 |
5 |
2 |
4 |
| |
2/23-26/20 |
41 |
49 |
2 |
4 |
4 |
| |
1/19-22/20 |
41 |
50 |
6 |
2 |
2 |
| |
12/8-11/19 |
41 |
48 |
2 |
4 |
4 |
| |
10/27-30/19 |
39 |
51 |
5 |
2 |
4 |
| |
10/6-8/19 |
40 |
50 |
5 |
2 |
2 |
| |
9/15-17/19 |
38 |
52 |
5 |
3 |
2 |
| |
8/11-13/19 |
38 |
50 |
5 |
3 |
4 |
| |
7/21-23/19 |
39 |
49 |
5 |
3 |
5 |
| |
6/9-12/19 |
39 |
49 |
5 |
3 |
5 |
| |
5/11-14/19 |
38 |
49 |
5 |
3 |
5 |
| |
3/17-20/19 |
40 |
47 |
4 |
3 |
5 |
|
|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research
Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). Aug. 9-12, 2020. N=900 registered voters nationwide. Margin of
error ± 3.3. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the election for
president were held today, and Donald Trump were the Republican candidate
and Joe Biden
were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Joe
Biden (D) |
Depends
(vol.) |
Neither/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
8/9-12/20 |
41 |
50 |
- |
5 |
4 |
| |
7/9-12/20 |
40 |
51 |
1 |
7 |
1 |
| |
5/28 - 6/2/20 |
42 |
49 |
1 |
5 |
3 |
| |
4/13-15/20 |
42 |
49 |
- |
5 |
4 |
| |
3/11-13/20 |
43 |
52 |
- |
3 |
2 |
| |
2/14-17/20 |
44 |
52 |
- |
2 |
2 |
| |
1/26-29/20 |
44 |
50 |
- |
4 |
2 |
| |
10/27-30/19 |
41 |
50 |
- |
6 |
3 |
| |
7/7-9/19 |
42 |
51 |
- |
4 |
3 |
|
|
NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll. Aug. 3-11, 2020. N=1,118 registered voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.6. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If November's election for president were held today, whom would you
support if the candidates are Joe Biden, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the
Republican?"
If unsure:
"If you had to decide today, are you leaning more towards
[see below]?"
6/2-3/20 & earlier: Results do not include voters who are undecided yet
leaning toward a candidate. |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Joe
Biden (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
| |
8/3-11/20 |
42 |
53 |
2 |
4 |
|
| |
6/22-24/20 |
44 |
52 |
3 |
2 |
|
| |
6/2-3/20 |
43 |
50 |
2 |
5 |
|
| |
2/13-16/20 |
44 |
50 |
1 |
5 |
|
|
|
Georgetown Institute of Politics and Public Service Battleground Poll
conducted by the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D). Aug.
1-6, 2020. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.1. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Now, thinking about the election for president that will be held in
November, if the general election were held today and you had to make a
choice, for whom would you vote: Donald Trump, the Republican, or Joe Biden,
the Democrat?" If unsure:
"And which candidate do you lean toward slightly?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Joe
Biden (D) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
8/1-6/20 |
40 |
53 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. July 12-15, 2020. N=845 registered
voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2020 presidential election
were being held today, and the candidates were Donald Trump, the Republican,
and Joe Biden, the Democrat, for whom would you vote?" If
unsure:
"Would you lean toward Trump or Biden?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Joe
Biden (D) |
Neither/
Other
(vol.) |
Would not
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
7/12-15/20 |
40 |
55 |
4 |
1 |
1 |
| |
5/25-28/20 |
43 |
53 |
2 |
- |
1 |
| |
3/22-25/20 |
47 |
49 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
| |
2/14-17/20 |
45 |
52 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
| |
1/20-23/20 |
46 |
50 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
| |
10/27-30/19 |
39 |
56 |
2 |
2 |
- |
| |
9/2-5/19 |
40 |
55 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
| |
6/28 - 7/1/19 |
43 |
53 |
1 |
- |
1 |
|
|
Quinnipiac University Poll. July 9-13, 2020. N=1,273 registered voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 2.8. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates
were Joe Biden the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would
you vote?" |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Joe
Biden (D) |
Someone
else (vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
7/9-13/20 |
37 |
52 |
3 |
2 |
6 |
| |
6/11-15/20 |
41 |
49 |
3 |
1 |
5 |
| |
5/14-18/20 |
39 |
50 |
2 |
2 |
7 |
| |
4/2-6/20 |
41 |
49 |
3 |
2 |
5 |
| |
3/5-8/20 |
41 |
52 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
| |
2/5-9/20 |
43 |
50 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
| |
12/4-9/19 |
42 |
51 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
| |
10/4-7/19 |
40 |
51 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
| |
8/21-26/19 |
38 |
54 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
| |
6/6-10/19 |
40 |
53 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
|
|
Monmouth University Poll. June 26-30, 2020. N=733 registered voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.6. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the election for president was today, would you vote for Donald Trump
the Republican, Joe Biden the Democrat, or another candidate?" If
unsure:
"If you had to vote for one of the following candidates at this moment, who
do you lean toward: Donald Trump or Joe Biden?"
Candidate options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Joe
Biden (D) |
Another
candidate |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
| |
6/26-30/20 |
41 |
53 |
4 |
2 |
|
|
|
Suffolk University/USA Today Poll. June 25-29, 2020. N=1,000
registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.1. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the November general election were held today and the choices were
Republican Donald Trump, Democrat Joe Biden, or a third party candidate, for
whom would you vote or lean toward?" |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Joe
Biden (D) |
Third party
candidate |
Unsure |
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
6/25-29/20 |
37 |
46 |
11 |
5 |
1 |
| |
4/21-25/20 |
38 |
44 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the November general election were held today and the choices were
Republican Donald Trump, Democrat Joe Biden, or a third party candidate, for
whom would you vote or lean toward?" Asked of those who don't support
Trump or Biden:
"What if the choice was between Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Joe
Biden?" Combined responses |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Joe
Biden (D) |
Unsure |
Refused |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
| |
6/25-29/20 |
41 |
53 |
5 |
1 |
|
| |
4/21-25/20 |
40 |
50 |
8 |
1 |
|
|
|
New York Times/Siena College Poll. June 17-22, 2020. N=1,337 registered voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 3. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2020 presidential election were held today, who would you vote for
if the candidates were
[see below]?" |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Joe
Biden (D) |
Another
candidate |
Wouldn't
vote |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
6/17-22/20 |
36 |
50 |
3 |
2 |
9 |
|
|
Kaiser Family Foundation. June 8-14, 2020. N=1,094 registered voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 4. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Thinking about the upcoming presidential election, do you think you are
definitely going to vote for President Trump, probably going to vote for
President Trump, probably going to vote for Joe Biden, or are you definitely
going to vote for Joe Biden?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Definitely Trump |
30 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Probably Trump |
8 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Probably Biden |
14 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Definitely Biden |
37 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Someone else (vol.) |
3 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Won't vote (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Unsure |
7 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Refused |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
CNN Poll conducted by SSRS. June 2-5, 2020. N=1,125 registered voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.6. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Suppose that the presidential election were being held today and you had to
choose between Joe Biden as the Democratic Party's candidate, and Donald
Trump as the Republican Party's candidate. Who would you be more likely to
vote for?" If unsure:
"As of today, do you lean more toward [see below]?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Joe
Biden (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
6/2-5/20 |
41 |
55 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
| |
5/7-10/20 |
46 |
51 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
| |
4/3-6/20 |
42 |
53 |
- |
2 |
3 |
|
|
Monmouth University Poll. May 28-June 1, 2020. N=742 registered voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.6. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the election for president was today, would you vote for Donald Trump
the Republican or Joe Biden the Democrat?" If unsure:
"If you had to vote for one of the following candidates at this moment, who
do you lean toward: Donald Trump or Joe Biden?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Joe
Biden (D) |
Someone
else (vol.) |
No one
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
5/28 - 6/1/20 |
41 |
52 |
5 |
1 |
1 |
| |
4/30 - 5/4/20 |
41 |
50 |
3 |
1 |
5 |
| |
4/3-7/20 |
44 |
48 |
5 |
1 |
3 |
| |
3/18-22/20 |
45 |
48 |
3 |
0 |
4 |
|
|
Monmouth University Poll. April 30-May 4, 2020. N=739 registered voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.6. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the candidates were the following, who would you vote for: Donald Trump
the Republican, Joe Biden the Democrat, or Justin Amash the Libertarian?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Joe
Biden (D) |
Justin
Amash (L) |
Someone
else (vol.) |
Unsure/No
one
(vol.) |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
4/30 - 5/4/20 |
40 |
47 |
5 |
1 |
7 |
|
|
CNBC All-America Economic Survey conducted by Hart Research
Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). April 3-6, 2020. N=804
adults nationwide. Results below are among registered
voters. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the November election for president were held today, and Donald Trump
were the Republican candidate and Joe Biden were the Democratic candidate,
for whom would you vote?" |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Joe
Biden (D) |
Depends
(vol.) |
Neither/
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
4/3-6/20 |
39 |
44 |
4 |
4 |
9 |
|
|
Grinnell College National Poll conducted by Selzer & Co. March 27-30,
2020. N=777 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the general election were held today, and the candidates were Bernie
Sanders for the Democrats and Donald Trump for the Republicans, for whom
would you vote: Bernie Sanders, Donald Trump, someone else, or would you not
vote?"
Candidate options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Bernie
Sanders (D) |
Someone
else |
Would
not vote |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
3/27-30/20 |
44 |
43 |
9 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
Fox News Poll conducted by Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company
Research (R). March 21-24, 2020. N=1,011 registered voters nationwide. Margin
of error ± 3. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Let's say the Democratic ticket is Joe Biden for president and
[see below]
for vice president, and the Republican ticket is Donald Trump for president
and Mike Pence for vice president. If you were voting today, how would you
vote?"
If unsure:
"Well, which way do you lean?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Trump/
Pence (R) |
Biden/Kamala
Harris (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
3/21-24/20 |
42 |
50 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Trump/
Pence (R) |
Biden/Amy
Klobuchar (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
3/21-24/20 |
42 |
50 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Trump/
Pence (R) |
Biden/
Elizabeth
Warren (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
3/21-24/20 |
42 |
52 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
|
|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research
Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). March 11-13, 2020. N=900
registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.3. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the election for
president were held today, and Donald Trump were the Republican candidate
and Bernie Sanders
were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Bernie
Sanders (D) |
Neither/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
| |
3/11-13/20 |
45 |
49 |
4 |
2 |
|
| |
2/14-17/20 |
46 |
50 |
3 |
1 |
|
| |
1/26-29/20 |
45 |
49 |
5 |
1 |
|
| |
7/7-9/19 |
43 |
50 |
4 |
3 |
|
|
|
Quinnipiac University Poll. March 5-8, 2020. N=1,261 registered voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 2.8. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates
were [see below]
the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?" |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Bernie
Sanders (D) |
Someone
else (vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
3/5-8/20 |
42 |
49 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
| |
2/5-9/20 |
43 |
51 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
| |
12/4-9/19 |
43 |
51 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
| |
10/4-7/19 |
42 |
49 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
| |
8/21-26/19 |
39 |
53 |
1 |
3 |
4 |
| |
6/6-10/19 |
42 |
51 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
|
|
CNN Poll conducted by SSRS. March 4-7, 2020. N=1,084 registered voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If [see below]
were the Democratic Party's candidate and Donald Trump
were the Republican Party's candidate, for whom would you be more likely to
vote?" Options
rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Joe
Biden (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
3/4-7/20 |
43 |
53 |
- |
1 |
2 |
| |
1/16-19/20 |
44 |
53 |
- |
1 |
1 |
| |
12/12-15/19 |
44 |
49 |
1 |
3 |
3 |
| |
10/17-20/19 |
43 |
53 |
- |
2 |
1 |
| |
4/25-28/19 |
45 |
51 |
- |
1 |
2 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Bernie
Sanders (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
3/4-7/20 |
45 |
52 |
- |
2 |
1 |
| |
1/16-19/20 |
45 |
52 |
- |
2 |
1 |
| |
12/12-15/19 |
45 |
49 |
- |
3 |
2 |
| |
10/17-20/19 |
43 |
52 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
| |
4/25-28/19 |
44 |
50 |
0 |
4 |
2 |
|
|
Investor's Business Daily/TIPP Poll. Feb. 20-29, 2020. N=839
registered voters
nationwide. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Thinking about the 2020 presidential election, I am going to read a few
head-to-head match-ups. If the election were held today, for whom would you
vote? How about Donald Trump, the Republican, and [see below], the
Democrat?" |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Joe
Biden (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
2/20-29/20 |
46 |
49 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
| |
1/23-30/20 |
48 |
49 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
| |
1/3-11/20 |
46 |
48 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
| |
12/5-14/19 |
45 |
50 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
| |
10/24-31/19 |
43 |
53 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
| |
9/26 - 10/3/19 |
44 |
51 |
1 |
3 |
1 |
| |
8/22-30/19 |
42 |
54 |
1 |
3 |
0 |
| |
7/25 - 8/1/19 |
41 |
54 |
1 |
3 |
1 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Bernie
Sanders (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
2/20-29/20 |
47 |
49 |
2 |
2 |
0 |
| |
1/23-30/20 |
49 |
47 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
| |
1/3-11/20 |
47 |
48 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
| |
12/5-14/19 |
48 |
47 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
| |
10/24-31/19 |
44 |
51 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
| |
9/26 - 10/3/19 |
45 |
49 |
2 |
3 |
1 |
| |
8/22-30/19 |
45 |
49 |
2 |
3 |
1 |
| |
7/25 - 8/1/19 |
45 |
50 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Elizabeth
Warren (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
2/20-29/20 |
46 |
48 |
2 |
3 |
1 |
| |
1/23-30/20 |
50 |
46 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
| |
1/3-11/20 |
47 |
46 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
| |
12/5-14/19 |
49 |
44 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
| |
10/24-31/19 |
44 |
52 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
| |
9/26 - 10/3/19 |
46 |
48 |
2 |
3 |
1 |
| |
8/22-30/19 |
46 |
49 |
1 |
3 |
1 |
| |
7/25 - 8/1/19 |
45 |
49 |
2 |
4 |
1 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Pete
Buttigieg (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
2/20-29/20 |
45 |
48 |
2 |
3 |
1 |
| |
1/23-30/20 |
48 |
45 |
3 |
3 |
1 |
| |
1/3-11/20 |
46 |
47 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
| |
12/5-14/19 |
46 |
44 |
3 |
4 |
2 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Michael
Bloomberg (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
2/20-29/20 |
45 |
48 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
| |
1/23-30/20 |
47 |
48 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
| |
1/3-11/20 |
45 |
47 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
| |
12/5-14/19 |
47 |
46 |
4 |
3 |
1 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Amy
Klobuchar (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
2/20-29/20 |
46 |
46 |
2 |
4 |
1 |
|
|
Fox News Poll conducted by Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company
Research (R). Feb. 23-26, 2020. N=1,000 registered voters nationwide. Margin
of error ± 3. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2020 presidential election were held today ...
"How would you vote if
the candidates were Democrat Elizabeth Warren and Republican Donald Trump?" If unsure:
"Well, which way do you lean?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Elizabeth
Warren (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
2/23-26/20 |
43 |
46 |
3 |
4 |
4 |
| |
1/19-22/20 |
42 |
47 |
6 |
3 |
3 |
| |
12/8-11/19 |
45 |
46 |
2 |
4 |
3 |
| |
10/27-30/19 |
41 |
46 |
7 |
2 |
4 |
| |
10/6-8/19 |
40 |
50 |
4 |
3 |
4 |
| |
9/15-17/19 |
40 |
46 |
7 |
4 |
3 |
| |
8/11-13/19 |
39 |
46 |
7 |
2 |
6 |
| |
7/21-23/19 |
42 |
41 |
7 |
3 |
7 |
| |
6/9-12/19 |
41 |
43 |
6 |
3 |
6 |
| |
5/11-14/19 |
41 |
43 |
6 |
4 |
6 |
| |
3/17-20/19 |
42 |
40 |
7 |
4 |
8 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"How would you vote if
the candidates were Democrat Bernie Sanders and Republican Donald Trump?"
If unsure:
"Well, which way do you lean?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Bernie
Sanders (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
2/23-26/20 |
42 |
49 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
| |
1/19-22/20 |
42 |
48 |
5 |
2 |
3 |
| |
12/8-11/19 |
43 |
49 |
2 |
4 |
3 |
| |
10/27-30/19 |
41 |
49 |
5 |
1 |
4 |
| |
10/6-8/19 |
40 |
49 |
6 |
3 |
2 |
| |
9/15-17/19 |
40 |
48 |
6 |
4 |
2 |
| |
8/11-13/19 |
39 |
48 |
7 |
2 |
5 |
| |
7/21-23/19 |
40 |
46 |
6 |
3 |
5 |
| |
6/9-12/19 |
40 |
49 |
5 |
2 |
5 |
| |
5/11-14/19 |
41 |
46 |
5 |
3 |
5 |
| |
3/17-20/19 |
41 |
44 |
6 |
3 |
5 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"How would you vote if
the candidates were Democrat Pete Buttigieg and Republican Donald Trump?"
If unsure:
"Well, which way do you lean?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Pete
Buttigieg (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
2/23-26/20 |
42 |
45 |
3 |
5 |
6 |
| |
1/19-22/20 |
41 |
45 |
7 |
3 |
4 |
| |
12/8-11/19 |
42 |
43 |
3 |
5 |
7 |
| |
10/27-30/19 |
41 |
41 |
9 |
2 |
6 |
| |
6/9-12/19 |
40 |
41 |
7 |
3 |
9 |
| |
5/11-14/19 |
41 |
40 |
7 |
4 |
8 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"How would you vote if the candidates were Democrat Mike Bloomberg and Republican Donald Trump?"
If unsure:
"Well, which way do you lean?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Mike
Bloomberg (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
2/23-26/20 |
40 |
48 |
2 |
5 |
5 |
| |
1/19-22/20 |
41 |
49 |
5 |
2 |
3 |
| |
12/8-11/19 |
40 |
45 |
3 |
5 |
7 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"How would you vote if the candidates were Democrat Amy Klobuchar and Republican Donald Trump?"
If unsure:
"Well, which way do you lean?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Amy
Klobuchar (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
2/23-26/20 |
43 |
44 |
3 |
4 |
6 |
| |
1/19-22/20 |
42 |
43 |
7 |
3 |
4 |
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Feb. 14-17, 2020. N=913 registered
voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2020 presidential election
were being held today, and the candidates were Donald Trump, the Republican,
and [see below], the Democrat, for whom would you vote?" If
unsure:
"Would you lean toward Trump or [see below]?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Bernie
Sanders (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)/
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
2/14-17/20 |
45 |
51 |
0 |
3 |
1 |
| |
1/20-23/20 |
47 |
49 |
- |
2 |
1 |
| |
10/27-30/19 |
41 |
55 |
- |
2 |
1 |
| |
9/2-5/19 |
43 |
52 |
- |
2 |
3 |
| |
6/28 - 7/1/19 |
48 |
49 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Elizabeth
Warren (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)/
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
2/14-17/20 |
47 |
48 |
- |
2 |
1 |
| |
1/20-23/20 |
48 |
48 |
- |
2 |
2 |
| |
10/27-30/19 |
40 |
55 |
- |
2 |
3 |
| |
9/2-5/19 |
44 |
51 |
- |
2 |
3 |
| |
6/28 - 7/1/19 |
48 |
48 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Mike
Bloomberg (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)/
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
2/14-17/20 |
45 |
50 |
- |
2 |
2 |
| |
1/20-23/20 |
46 |
49 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Pete
Buttigieg (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)/
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
2/14-17/20 |
46 |
49 |
1 |
3 |
2 |
| |
1/20-23/20 |
48 |
45 |
- |
3 |
3 |
| |
10/27-30/19 |
41 |
52 |
1 |
3 |
3 |
| |
9/2-5/19 |
43 |
47 |
- |
3 |
6 |
| |
6/28 - 7/1/19 |
47 |
47 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Amy
Klobuchar (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)/
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
2/14-17/20 |
46 |
48 |
- |
3 |
2 |
| |
1/20-23/20 |
47 |
48 |
- |
2 |
4 |
|
|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research
Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). Feb. 14-17, 2020. N=900
registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.3. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the election for
president were held today, and Donald Trump were the Republican candidate
and [see below]
were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Michael
Bloomberg (D) |
Depends
(vol.) |
Neither/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
2/14-17/20 |
43 |
50 |
- |
3 |
4 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Pete
Buttigieg (D) |
Depends
(vol.) |
Neither/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
2/14-17/20 |
44 |
48 |
- |
3 |
5 |
| |
1/26-29/20 |
45 |
46 |
- |
6 |
3 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Amy
Klobuchar (D) |
Depends
(vol.) |
Neither/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
2/14-17/20 |
45 |
48 |
- |
3 |
4 |
|
|
NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll. Feb. 13-16, 2020. N=1,164 registered voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.7. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2020 election for president were held today, whom would you support
if the candidates are [see below]?" |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Joe
Biden (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
| |
2/13-16/20 |
44 |
50 |
1 |
5 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Michael
Bloomberg (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
| |
2/13-16/20 |
44 |
48 |
2 |
5 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Pete
Buttigieg (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
| |
2/13-16/20 |
45 |
47 |
2 |
7 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Amy
Klobuchar (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
| |
2/13-16/20 |
45 |
47 |
2 |
6 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Bernie
Sanders (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
| |
2/13-16/20 |
45 |
48 |
1 |
5 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Elizabeth
Warren (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
| |
2/13-16/20 |
46 |
47 |
2 |
5 |
|
|
|
Monmouth University Poll. Feb. 6-9, 2020. N=827 registered voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.4. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Looking ahead to the 2020 election for president, do you think that Donald
Trump should be reelected, or do you think that it is time to have someone
else in office?" |
| |
|
|
|
Should
be
reelected |
Time for
someone else |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
2/6-9/20 |
42 |
55 |
3 |
|
|
| |
12/4-8/19 |
43 |
54 |
3 |
|
|
| |
10/30 - 11/3/19 |
42 |
55 |
3 |
|
|
| |
9/23-29/19 |
39 |
57 |
4 |
|
|
| |
8/16-20/19 |
39 |
57 |
4 |
|
|
| |
6/12-17/19 |
37 |
59 |
4 |
|
|
| |
5/16-20/19 |
37 |
60 |
4 |
|
|
| |
3/1-4/19 |
38 |
57 |
5 |
|
|
| |
1/25-27/19 |
38 |
57 |
5 |
|
|
| |
11/9-12/18 |
37 |
58 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
Quinnipiac University Poll. Feb. 5-9, 2020. N=1,519 registered voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 2.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates
were [see below]
the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?" |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Elizabeth
Warren (D) |
Someone
else (vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
2/5-9/20 |
44 |
48 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
| |
12/4-9/19 |
43 |
50 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
| |
10/4-7/19 |
41 |
49 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
| |
8/21-26/19 |
40 |
52 |
1 |
3 |
4 |
| |
6/6-10/19 |
42 |
49 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Pete
Buttigieg (D) |
Someone
else (vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
2/5-9/20 |
43 |
47 |
2 |
3 |
5 |
| |
12/4-9/19 |
43 |
48 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
| |
8/21-26/19 |
40 |
49 |
2 |
3 |
7 |
| |
6/6-10/19 |
42 |
47 |
1 |
3 |
7 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Amy
Klobuchar (D) |
Someone
else (vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
2/5-9/20 |
43 |
49 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
| |
12/4-9/19 |
43 |
47 |
2 |
2 |
5 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Michael
Bloomberg (D) |
Someone
else (vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
2/5-9/20 |
42 |
51 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
| |
12/4-9/19 |
42 |
48 |
2 |
3 |
5 |
|
|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research
Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). Jan. 26-29, 2020. N=1,000
registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.1. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the election for
president were held today, and Donald Trump were the Republican candidate
and [see below]
were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Elizabeth
Warren (D) |
Depends
(vol.) |
Neither/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
1/26-29/20 |
45 |
48 |
- |
5 |
2 |
| |
10/27-30/19 |
42 |
50 |
- |
5 |
3 |
| |
7/7-9/19 |
43 |
48 |
1 |
4 |
4 |
|
|
Gallup Poll. Jan. 16-29, 2020. N=946 registered voters nationwide.
Margin of error ± 4. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Which comes closest to your view about the election for president in
November? You plan to vote for Donald Trump regardless of whom the Democrats
nominate for president. You are waiting to see who the Democrats nominate
for president before you make up your mind about who to vote for. OR, You
plan to vote against Donald Trump regardless of whom the Democrats nominate
for president."
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
For
Trump |
Waiting
to see |
Against
Trump |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
| |
1/16-29/20 |
39 |
24 |
36 |
1 |
|
|
|
CNN Poll conducted by SSRS. Jan. 16-19, 2020. N=1,051 registered voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.6. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If [see below]
were the Democratic Party's candidate and Donald Trump
were the Republican Party's candidate, for whom would you be more likely to
vote?" Options
rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Michael
Bloomberg (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
1/16-19/20 |
43 |
52 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Pete
Buttigieg (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
1/16-19/20 |
45 |
49 |
- |
3 |
2 |
| |
12/12-15/19 |
46 |
45 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
| |
10/17-20/19 |
44 |
50 |
1 |
3 |
2 |
| |
4/25-28/19 |
44 |
47 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Amy
Klobuchar (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
1/16-19/20 |
45 |
48 |
- |
3 |
3 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Elizabeth
Warren (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
1/16-19/20 |
45 |
50 |
- |
3 |
2 |
| |
12/12-15/19 |
46 |
47 |
1 |
4 |
3 |
| |
10/17-20/19 |
44 |
52 |
- |
3 |
1 |
| |
4/25-28/19 |
48 |
47 |
0 |
2 |
3 |
|
|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research
Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). Dec. 14-17, 2019. N=733
registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.6. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Which one of these three statements comes closest to your point of view? I
am almost certain to vote for Donald Trump no matter whom the Democrats
nominate for president. I am almost certain to vote against Donald Trump no
matter whom the Democrats decide to nominate. I may vote for or against
Donald Trump depending upon whom the Democrats nominate for president." |
| |
|
|
|
Almost certain
to vote for
Trump |
Almost certain
to vote against
Trump |
Depends on
Democratic
nominee |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
| |
12/14-17/19 |
34 |
48 |
18 |
- |
|
| |
10/27-30/19 |
34 |
46 |
17 |
3 |
|
|
|
Suffolk University/USA Today Poll. Dec. 10-14, 2019. N=1,000
registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'm going to run the top five nationally polled Democratic candidates
against Donald Trump. In each scenario, you'll have three choices: either
you plan to vote for that Democrat, President Trump, or a third-party
candidate. If you are undecided in a particular match-up, you can just say
so. ..." |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Joe
Biden (D) |
Third-party
candidate |
Undecided |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
| |
12/10-14/19 |
44 |
41 |
11 |
4 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Bernie
Sanders (D) |
Third-party
candidate |
Undecided |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
| |
12/10-14/19 |
44 |
39 |
13 |
5 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Elizabeth
Warren (D) |
Third-party
candidate |
Undecided |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
| |
12/10-14/19 |
45 |
37 |
12 |
6 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Pete
Buttigieg (D) |
Third-party
candidate |
Undecided |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
| |
12/10-14/19 |
43 |
33 |
15 |
9 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Michael
Bloomberg (D) |
Third-party
candidate |
Undecided |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
| |
12/10-14/19 |
43 |
34 |
15 |
9 |
|
|
|
Investor's Business Daily/TIPP Poll. Dec. 5-14, 2019. N=849
registered voters
nationwide. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Thinking about the 2020 presidential election, I am going to read a few
head-to-head match-ups. If the election were held today, for whom would you
vote? How about Donald Trump, the Republican, and Hillary Clinton, the
Democrat?" |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
12/5-14/19 |
49 |
43 |
4 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll. Nov. 11-15, 2019. N=988 registered voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.8. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Thinking about the 2020 election, do you definitely plan to vote for Donald
Trump for reelection as president or do you definitely plan to vote against
him?" |
| |
|
|
|
Definitely
for Trump |
Definitely
against him |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
11/11-15/19 |
39 |
52 |
9 |
|
|
| |
10/3-8/19 |
39 |
52 |
9 |
|
|
| |
9/5-8/19 |
38 |
52 |
9 |
|
|
| |
7/15-17/19 |
39 |
53 |
8 |
|
|
| |
5/31 - 6/4/19 |
36 |
51 |
13 |
|
|
| |
4/24-29/19 |
33 |
54 |
12 |
|
|
| |
3/25-27/19 |
35 |
54 |
11 |
|
|
| |
1/10-13/19 |
30 |
57 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
Investor's Business Daily/TIPP Poll. Oct. 24-31, 2019. N=903 adults
nationwide. Results below are among registered voters. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Thinking about the 2020 presidential election, I am going to read a few
head-to-head match-ups. If the election were held today, for whom would you
vote? How about Donald Trump, the Republican, and [see below], the
Democrat?" |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Kamala
Harris (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
10/24-31/19 |
45 |
49 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
| |
9/26 - 10/3/19 |
46 |
46 |
2 |
5 |
1 |
| |
8/22-30/19 |
46 |
49 |
1 |
4 |
1 |
| |
7/25 - 8/1/19 |
45 |
47 |
2 |
5 |
2 |
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Oct. 27-30, 2019. N=876 registered
voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2020 presidential election
were being held today, and the candidates were Donald Trump, the Republican,
and [see below], the Democrat, for whom would you vote?" If
unsure:
"Would you lean toward Trump or [see below]?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Kamala
Harris (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)/
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
10/27-30/19 |
42 |
51 |
- |
2 |
5 |
| |
9/2-5/19 |
43 |
50 |
- |
2 |
4 |
| |
6/28 - 7/1/19 |
46 |
48 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
Fox News Poll conducted by Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company
Research (R). Oct. 27-30, 2019. N=1,040 registered voters nationwide. Margin
of error ± 3. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2020 presidential election were held today ... How would you vote if
the candidates were Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump?"
If unsure:
"Well, which way do you lean?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Hillary
Clinton (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
10/27-30/19 |
41 |
43 |
9 |
5 |
3 |
|
|
Suffolk University/USA Today Poll. Oct. 23-26, 2019. N=1,000
registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2020 presidential election were held today, would you vote for
President Trump, the Democratic nominee, or a third party candidate?" |
| |
|
|
|
President
Trump |
Democratic
nominee |
Third party
candidate |
Unsure |
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
10/23-26/19 |
41 |
39 |
10 |
10 |
- |
| |
3/13-17/19 |
39 |
36 |
11 |
14 |
1 |
|
|
Grinnell College National Poll conducted by Selzer & Co. Oct.
17-23, 2019. N=806 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If a vote for president of the United States were held today, would you
definitely vote to reelect President Trump, consider someone else, or
definitely vote to elect someone else, or would you not vote?" |
| |
|
|
|
Definitely
Trump |
Consider
someone else |
Definitely
someone else |
Would
not vote |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
10/17-23/19 |
38 |
13 |
47 |
- |
2 |
| |
11/24-27/18 |
35 |
17 |
45 |
1 |
3 |
| |
8/29 - 9/2/18 |
36 |
17 |
43 |
- |
3 |
|
|
Georgetown Institute of Politics and Public Service Battleground Poll
conducted by the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D). Oct.
6-10, 2019. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.1. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Now, thinking about the election for president that will be held in
November 2020, if the general election were held today and you had to make a
choice, for whom would you vote: Donald Trump, the Republican, or the
Democratic candidate?" If unsure:
"And which candidate do you lean toward slightly?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Democratic
candidate |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
10/6-10/19 |
42 |
50 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
Quinnipiac University Poll. Sept. 19-23, 2019. N=1,337 registered
voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.2. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"In the 2020 general election for president, if Donald Trump is the
Republican candidate, would you definitely vote for him, consider voting for
him, or would you definitely not vote for him?" |
| |
|
|
|
Definitely
vote for |
Consider
voting for |
Definitely
not vote for |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
| |
9/19-23/19 |
33 |
10 |
54 |
3 |
|
| |
7/25-28/19 |
32 |
12 |
54 |
3 |
|
| |
5/16-20/19 |
31 |
12 |
54 |
3 |
|
| |
4/26-29/19 |
33 |
13 |
52 |
2 |
|
| |
3/21-25/19 |
30 |
13 |
53 |
3 |
|
|
|
Fox News Poll conducted by Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company
Research (R). Sept. 15-17, 2019. N=1,008 registered voters nationwide.
Margin of error ± 3. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"How would you vote if
the candidates were Democrat Kamala Harris and Republican Donald Trump?"
If unsure:
"Well, which way do you lean?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Kamala
Harris (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
9/15-17/19 |
40 |
42 |
10 |
4 |
4 |
| |
8/11-13/19 |
39 |
45 |
6 |
2 |
7 |
| |
7/21-23/19 |
41 |
40 |
7 |
4 |
8 |
| |
6/9-12/19 |
41 |
42 |
6 |
3 |
7 |
| |
5/11-14/19 |
41 |
41 |
7 |
4 |
8 |
| |
3/17-20/19 |
41 |
39 |
7 |
4 |
9 |
|
|
CNN Poll conducted by SSRS. Sept. 5-9, 2019. N=1,639 adults
nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.2. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you think Donald Trump deserves to be re-elected, or not?" |
| |
|
|
|
Think
he does |
Do not think
he does |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
ALL |
36 |
60 |
3 |
|
|
| |
Men |
42 |
53 |
4 |
|
|
| |
Women |
30 |
67 |
2 |
|
|
| |
Democrats |
7 |
92 |
1 |
|
|
| |
Independents |
29 |
66 |
5 |
|
|
| |
Republicans |
84 |
13 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
Quinnipiac University Poll. Aug. 21-26, 2019. N=1,422 registered
voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.1. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates
were [see below]
the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?" |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Kamala
Harris (D) |
Someone
else (vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
8/21-26/19 |
40 |
51 |
2 |
3 |
5 |
| |
6/6-10/19 |
41 |
49 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
|
|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research
Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). Aug. 10-14, 2019. N=834
registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.4. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Looking ahead to the next election for president, if Donald Trump runs for
reelection as the Republican candidate, will you definitely vote for Trump
in that election, probably vote for Trump, probably vote for the Democratic
candidate, or definitely vote for the Democratic candidate?" |
| |
|
|
|
8/10-14/19 |
2/24-27/19 |
12/9-12/18 |
12/13-15/17 |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
| |
Definitely Trump |
29 |
27 |
23 |
18 |
|
| |
Probably Trump |
11 |
14 |
15 |
18 |
|
| |
Probably Democrat |
11 |
15 |
13 |
14 |
|
| |
Definitely Democrat |
41 |
33 |
39 |
38 |
|
| |
Someone else (vol.) |
2 |
2 |
2 |
n/a |
|
| |
Depends (vol.) |
2 |
5 |
3 |
4 |
|
| |
Neither (vol.) |
1 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
|
| |
Unsure |
3 |
3 |
3 |
5 |
|
|
|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research
Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). July 7-9, 2019. N=800
registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Thinking again about the 2020 presidential election, if the election for
president were held today, and Donald Trump were the Republican candidate
and [see below]
were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Kamala
Harris (D) |
Depends
(vol.) |
Neither/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
7/7-9/19 |
44 |
45 |
1 |
4 |
6 |
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. June 28-July 1, 2019. N=875 registered
voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"All else equal, if the election were between Trump and a Democratic
candidate who you regard as a socialist, who would you support: Trump or the
Democrat who you regard as a socialist?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Trump |
Socialist |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
6/28 - 7/1/19 |
49 |
43 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
Quinnipiac University Poll. June 6-10, 2019. N=1,214 registered
voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates
were [see below]
the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?" |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Cory
Booker (D) |
Someone
else (vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
6/6-10/19 |
42 |
47 |
1 |
3 |
7 |
|
|
NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll. May 31-June 4, 2019. N=783 registered
voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Thinking about the 2020 election, do you definitely plan to vote for Donald
Trump for reelection as president or do you definitely plan to vote against
him?" |
| |
|
|
|
Definitely
for Trump |
Definitely
against him |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
5/31 - 6/4/19 |
36 |
51 |
13 |
|
|
| |
4/24-29/19 |
33 |
54 |
12 |
|
|
| |
3/25-27/19 |
35 |
54 |
11 |
|
|
| |
1/10-13/19 |
30 |
57 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
CNN Poll conducted by SSRS. May 28-31, 2019. N=1,006 adults
nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.8. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"As you may have heard, Donald Trump has decided to run for reelection.
Please just give me your best guess: Do you think he will win the
presidential election in 2020, or do you think he will lose?" |
| |
|
|
|
Think he
will win |
Think he
will lose |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
5/28-31/19 |
54 |
41 |
5 |
|
|
| |
12/6-9/18 |
43 |
51 |
6 |
|
|
| |
10/4-7/18 |
46 |
47 |
7 |
|
|
| |
3/22-25/18 |
40 |
54 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
Fox News Poll conducted by Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company
Research (R). May 11-14, 2019. N=1,008 registered voters nationwide.
Margin of error ± 3. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2020 presidential election were held today, would you definitely
vote to reelect Donald Trump, probably vote to reelect Trump, probably vote
for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else?" |
| |
|
|
|
Definitely/
Probably vote
to reelect
Trump |
Probably/
Definitely vote
for someone
else |
Too soon
to say
(vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
5/11-14/19 |
38 |
54 |
5 |
2 |
2 |
| |
12/9-11/18 |
38 |
55 |
5 |
1 |
2 |
| |
1/21-23/18 |
35 |
56 |
8 |
1 |
1 |
| |
4/23-25/17 |
36 |
55 |
5 |
- |
3 |
|
|
CNN Poll conducted by SSRS. April 25-28, 2019. Registered voters
nationwide. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If Kamala Harris were the Democratic Party's candidate and Donald Trump
were the Republican Party's candidate, for whom would you be more likely to
vote?"
N=453; margin of error ± 5.5 |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Kamala
Harris (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
4/25-28/19 |
45 |
49 |
0 |
3 |
3 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If Beto O'Rourke were the Democratic Party's candidate and Donald Trump
were the Republican Party's candidate, for whom would you be more likely to
vote?"
N=469; margin of error ± 5.5 |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Beto
O'Rourke (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
4/25-28/19 |
42 |
52 |
- |
2 |
4 |
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. April 22-25, 2019. N=865 registered
voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Assuming Trump is the Republican candidate for president in 2020, would you
definitely vote for him, would you consider voting for him, or would you
definitely not vote for him?" |
| |
|
|
|
Definitely
for Trump |
Consider
Trump |
Definitely
not Trump |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
| |
4/22-25/19 |
30 |
14 |
52 |
3 |
|
| |
1/21-24/19 |
28 |
14 |
56 |
1 |
|
|
|
Georgetown Institute of Politics and Public Service Battleground Poll
conducted by the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D). March
31-April 4, 2019. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.1. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Now thinking ahead to the election for president that will be held in
November 2020, do you think Donald Trump has performed his job as president
well enough to deserve reelection, or do you think it's time to give a new
person a chance?" |
| |
|
|
|
Trump
deserves
reelection |
Time to give
new person
a chance |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
3/31 - 4/4/19 |
38 |
57 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
Wason Center for Public Policy Survey Research Lab at Christopher Newport
University. Feb. 3-17, 2019. N=1,001 likely voters nationwide. Margin of
error ± 3.2. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2020 presidential election were held today, would you vote for the
incumbent president, Republican Donald Trump, or for the Democrat running
against him?" |
| |
|
|
|
Trump |
Democrat |
Someone
else (vol.) |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
| |
2/3-17/19 |
37 |
48 |
5 |
9 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"And if instead the choices were the incumbent president, Republican Donald
Trump, the Democratic Party's nominee, or a candidate running on an
independent ticket, for whom would you vote?" |
| |
|
|
|
Trump |
Democrat |
Independent
candidate |
Someone
else (vol.) |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
2/3-17/19 |
34 |
32 |
16 |
1 |
17 |
|
|
CNN Poll conducted by SSRS. Jan. 30-Feb. 2, 2019. N=1,011 adults
nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.8. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'm going to read you the names of a few people who are running or may run
for president in 2020. For each one, please tell me whether you would be
very likely, somewhat likely, not too likely, or not likely at all to
support them if they decide to run in 2020. ..." |
| |
|
|
|
Very/Some-
what likely |
Not too/Not
at all likely |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
"Former vice president Joe
Biden" |
| |
1/30 - 2/2/19 |
50 |
47 |
4 |
|
|
| |
| |
"President Donald Trump" |
| |
1/30 - 2/2/19 |
41 |
58 |
1 |
|
|
| |
| |
"Vermont Senator Bernie
Sanders" |
| |
1/30 - 2/2/19 |
41 |
54 |
5 |
|
|
| |
| |
"California Senator Kamala
Harris" |
| |
1/30 - 2/2/19 |
38 |
51 |
11 |
|
|
| |
| |
"Massachusetts Senator
Elizabeth Warren" |
| |
1/30 - 2/2/19 |
36 |
56 |
8 |
|
|
| |
| |
"New Jersey Senator Cory
Booker" |
| |
1/30 - 2/2/19 |
29 |
55 |
15 |
|
|
| |
| |
"Former Texas congressman Beto
O'Rourke" |
| |
1/30 - 2/2/19 |
29 |
56 |
15 |
|
|
| |
| |
"Former New York City mayor
Michael Bloomberg" |
| |
1/30 - 2/2/19 |
27 |
65 |
8 |
|
|
| |
| |
"New York Senator Kirsten
Gillibrand" |
| |
1/30 - 2/2/19 |
22 |
63 |
16 |
|
|
| |
| |
"Ohio Senator Sherrod Brown" |
| |
1/30 - 2/2/19 |
21 |
55 |
24 |
|
|
| |
| |
"Businessman Howard Schultz" |
| |
1/30 - 2/2/19 |
20 |
66 |
14 |
|
|
|
|
Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw &
Company Research (R). Dec. 9-11, 2018. N=1,006 registered voters nationwide.
Margin of error ± 3. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Just your best guess: As of today, do you think Donald Trump will be
reelected president in 2020, or not?" |
| |
|
|
|
Think he
will be |
Don't think
he will be |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
12/9-11/18 |
39 |
52 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
CNN Poll conducted by SSRS. Jan. 14-15 & 17-18, 2018. N=913
registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.8. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I know it's a long way off, but thinking about the election for president
that will happen in 2020, if [see below]
were the Democratic Party's candidate and Donald Trump were the Republican
Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for: [see below]?"
If unsure:
"As of today, do you lean more toward [see below]?" |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Bernie
Sanders (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
1/14-15, 17-18/18 |
42 |
55 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Oprah
Winfrey (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
1/14-15, 17-18/18 |
42 |
51 |
2 |
3 |
1 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Joe
Biden (D) |
Other
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
1/14-15, 17-18/18 |
40 |
57 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
Quinnipiac University Poll. Jan. 12-16, 2018. N=1,212 registered
voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.4. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Would you be inclined to vote to reelect Donald Trump as president, or
not?" |
| |
|
|
|
Inclined |
Not
inclined |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
1/12-16/18 |
34 |
62 |
3 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the presidential election were being held today, and the candidates were
Oprah Winfrey the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would
you vote?" |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Oprah
Winfrey (D) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Someone
else (vol.) |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
| |
1/12-16/18 |
39 |
52 |
4 |
2 |
4 |
|
|
NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll. Jan. 8-10, 2018. N=1,092 registered
voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you want Oprah Winfrey to run for president in 2020, or not?" |
| |
|
|
|
Want
her to run |
Don't want
her to run |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
ALL |
33 |
56 |
11 |
|
|
| |
Democrats |
47 |
40 |
13 |
|
|
| |
Republicans |
15 |
77 |
7 |
|
|
| |
Independents |
32 |
56 |
12 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2020 election for president were held today, whom would you support
if the candidates are Oprah Winfrey, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the
Republican?" |
| |
|
|
|
Donald
Trump (R) |
Oprah
Winfrey (D) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
ALL |
39 |
50 |
11 |
|
|
| |
Democrats |
4 |
91 |
6 |
|
|
| |
Republicans |
85 |
8 |
6 |
|
|
| |
Independents |
37 |
46 |
17 |
|
|
|
|
CNN Poll conducted by SSRS. Nov. 2-5, 2017. N=1,021 adults
nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.6. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Please tell me whether you think each of the following political
officeholders deserves to be reelected or not. ... How about Donald Trump?" |
| |
|
|
|
Deserves to
be reelected |
Does not |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
11/2-5/17 |
33 |
63 |
4 |
|
|
| |
Democrats |
4 |
94 |
2 |
|
|
| |
Independents |
30 |
64 |
6 |
|
|
| |
Republicans |
80 |
17 |
3 |
|
|
| |
| |
9/17-20/17 |
33 |
61 |
6 |
|
|
| |
Democrats |
7 |
91 |
1 |
|
|
| |
Independents |
28 |
64 |
8 |
|
|
| |
Republicans |
76 |
18 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
| |
Among registered voters: |
| |
11/2-5/17 |
35 |
62 |
4 |
|
|
| |
9/17-20/17 |
35 |
59 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
Quinnipiac University Poll. March 2-6, 2017. N=1,283 registered
voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 2.7. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you want Oprah Winfrey to run for president in the 2020 election, or
not?" |
| |
|
|
|
Want
her to run |
Don't want
her to run |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
| |
ALL |
21 |
69 |
10 |
|
|
| |
Republicans |
11 |
82 |
7 |
|
|
| |
Democrats |
32 |
56 |
11 |
|
|
| |
Independents |
19 |
70 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
