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     Congress 2012

See also:  Ratings of Congress


 
 

George Washington University/Politico Battleground Poll conducted by the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D). Nov. 4-5, 2012. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.1.

             

"If the election for CONGRESS were being held today, and you had to make a choice, would you be voting for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate, in your congressional district?" If unsure: "And which party's candidate do you lean toward at this time?"

 
    Republican
candidate
Democratic
candidate
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

11/4-5/12

47 46 7    
 

10/29 - 11/1/12

46 46 8    
 

10/22-25/12

46 45 9    
 

10/15-18/12

46 46 8    
 

10/7-11/12

44 46 10    
 

10/1-4/12

45 46 9    
 

9/24-27/12

44 46 10    
 

9/16-20/12

45 47 9    
 

8/5-8/12

45 42 13    
 

4/29 - 5/3/12

46 44 11    
 

2/19-22/12

45 47 8    
 

11/6-9/11

43 44 13    
 

8/28 - 9/1/11

40 41 18    
 

5/8-12/11

41 42 16    

 

CNN/ORC Poll. Nov. 2-4, 2012. N=693 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.
LV = likely voters. RV = registered voters.

             

"If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your congressional district?" If unsure: "As of today, who do you lean more toward?"

 
    Republican
candidate
Democratic
candidate
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

11/2-4/12 LV

49 48 1 1  
 

5/29-31/12 RV

45 48 3 2  
 

4/29 - 5/1/11 RV

46 50 3 1  

 

Gallup Poll. Nov. 2012. Voters nationwide. Nov. 2012 only: Based on Gallup Daily Election Tracking Poll.
LV = likely voters. Among registered voters, except where noted.

             

"If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your congressional district: the Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's candidate?" If unsure/other: "As of today, do you lean more toward: the Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's candidate?" Options rotated. N=2,551 likely voters, margin of error 2.

 
    Republican
candidate
Democratic
candidate
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
   
    % % %    
 

11/1-4/12 LV

48 49 3    
 
 

9/24-27/12

46 47 8    
 

8/20-22/12

47 47 6    
 

5/10-13/12

50 44 6    
 

2/16-19/12

47 47 6    
 

12/15-18/11

45 49 6    
 

8/4-7/11

44 51 6    
             

"Please tell me whether you think each of the following political office-holders deserves to be reelected, or not. How about the U.S. representative in your congressional district?" N=1,406 registered voters, margin of error 3

 
    Deserves
to be
Does not Unsure    
    % % %    
 

11/3-4/12

59 30 11    
 
 

11/28 - 12/1/11

53 39 8    
 

8/4-7/11

54 34 12    
 

5/12-15/11

57 34 8    
 

10/14-17/10

51 31 18    
 

6/11-13/10

49 40 11    
 

5/24-25/10

50 40 10    
 

3/26-28/10

49 40 10    
             

"Please tell me whether you think each of the following political office-holders deserves to be reelected, or not. How about most members of Congress?" N=1,406 registered voters, margin of error 3

 
    Deserve
to be
Do not Unsure    
    % % %    
 

11/3-4/12

36 56 8    
 
 

11/28 - 12/1/11

20 76 3    
 

8/4-7/11

21 70 9    
 

5/12-15/11

28 63 9    
 

10/14-17/10

33 56 12    
 

6/11-13/10

28 64 7    
 

5/24-25/10

32 63 6    
 

3/26-28/10

28 65 7    

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Nov. 1-3, 2012. N=1,475 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 2.6.
LV = likely voters. Among registered voters, except where noted.

             

"What is your preference for the outcome of this year's congressional elections: a Congress controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats?" Options rotated

 
    Controlled by
Republicans
Controlled by
Democrats
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

11/1-3/12 LV

45 47 8    
 

10/17-20/12 LV

45 45 10    
 

9/26-30/12

43 47 10    
 

8/16-20/12

42 47 11    
 

7/18-22/12

45 46 9    
 

6/20-24/12

44 45 11    
 

5/16-20/12

43 44 13    
 

4/13-17/12

44 46 10    
 

2/29 - 3/3/12

41 46 13    
 

1/22-24/12

41 47 12    
 

12/7-11/11

43 45 12    
 

11/2-5/11

43 46 11    
 

10/6-10/11

41 45 14    
 

8/27-31/11

47 41 12    
 

6/9-13/11

44 44 12    

 

CBS News/New York Times Poll. Oct. 25-28, 2012. N=563 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 4.

             

"If the 2012 election for U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in your district?" If unsure: "Well as of today, do you lean more toward the Republican candidate or more toward the Democratic candidate?"

 
    Republican
candidate
Democratic
candidate
Depends
(vol.)
Unsure/
Refused
 
    % % % %  
 

10/25-28/12

46 48 3 2  

 

National Public Radio poll conducted by Democracy Corps (D) and Resurgent Republic (R). Oct. 23-25, 2012. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.1.

             

"If the 2012 election for U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate?" Options rotated

 
    Republican
candidate
Democratic
candidate
Depends
(vol.)
Unsure/
Refused
 
    % % % %  
 

10/23-25/12

43 43 6 7  

 

National Public Radio poll conducted by Democracy Corps (D) and Resurgent Republic (R). Sept. 26-30, 2012. N=800 likely voters nationwide.

             

"Thinking about the election for Congress in November, if the election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?" Results include leaners

 
    Republican
candidate
Democratic
candidate
Other (vol.) Unsure Refused/
Won't vote
(vol.)
    % % % % %
 

9/26-30/12

45 48 2 5 2

 

United Technologies/National Journal Congressional Connection Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Sept. 27-30, 2012. N=789 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 4.2. RV = registered voters

             

"As you may know, Republicans currently control a majority in the U.S. House of Representatives and Democrats control a majority in the U.S. Senate. After the 2012 elections, which of the following outcomes would you prefer? First, would you rather see the Republicans keep control of the U.S. House of Representatives, OR the Democrats win enough seats to take over control of the House?"
2011: "Thinking about the 2012 elections, which of the following outcomes would you prefer? Would you rather see the Republicans keep control of the U.S. House of Representatives, OR the Democrats win enough seats to take over control of the House?"

 
    Republicans
keep control
Democrats
take over
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure/
Refused
 
    % % % %  
 

9/27-30/12

43 45 4 8  
 

4/19-22/12 RV

43 46 6 6  
 

10/27-30/11

41 43 6 9  
             

"Next, would you rather see the Democrats keep control of the U.S. Senate, OR the Republicans win enough seats to take over control of the Senate?"

 
    Democrats
keep control
Republicans
take over
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure/
Refused
 
    % % % %  
 

9/27-30/12

47 42 3 8  
 

4/19-22/12 RV

50 39 5 6  

 

Reuters/Ipsos Poll conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs. Sept.7-10, 2012. N=942 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.4.

             

"If the election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate in your district where you live?" If other/unsure: "If you had to choose, would you lean more towards the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?"

 
    Republican
candidate
Democratic
candidate
Another
party (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

9/7-10/12

43 49 - 1 6
 

8/2-6/12

46 46 1 2 5
 

7/5-9/12

48 44 - 2 6
 

6/7-11/12

44 47 2 2 5
 

5/3-7/12

44 46 1 3 5
 

4/12-15/12

41 42 3 5 9
 

3/8-11/12

43 47 2 1 7
 

2/2-6/12

44 46 1 3 6
 

1/5-9/12

44 48 2 1 5
 

12/8-12/11

42 48 1 2 7
 

10/31 - 11/3/11

43 48 1 2 6
 

10/6-10/11

40 48 2 2 8

 

Resurgent Republic poll conducted by North Star Opinion Research (R). Aug. 16-22, 2012. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.1. RV = registered voters.

             

"If the 2012 election for U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate?" Options rotated

 
    Republican
candidate
Democratic
candidate
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
   
    % % %    
 

8/16-22/12

40 44 16    
 

7/9-12/12

39 42 19    
 

4/30 - 5/3/12 RV

40 45 15    

 

CNN/ORC Poll. Aug. 7-8, 2012. N=1,010 adults nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"Do you think the country would be better off if the Republicans controlled Congress, or if the Democrats controlled Congress?"

 
    Republicans Democrats Neither
(vol.)
Same
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

8/7-8/12

39 45 11 4 2
 

12/2-3/09

39 40 16 3 2
 

7/31 - 8/3/09

34 44 15 4 3
 

4/3-5/09

34 49 11 3 2
 

1/12-15/09

31 56 10 3 1

 

Democracy Corps poll conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D). July 21-25, 2012. N=900 likely voters (700 weighted) nationwide. Margin of error 3.7.

             

"I know it is a long way off, but thinking about the elections for Congress this November, if the election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for [the Democratic candidate] or [the Republican candidate]?" Results include leaners.
Per Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research: In the landline sample, the incumbent names were inserted preceded by party identification. Generic "the Democratic candidate" or "the Republican candidate" were inserted for the opposition. For the cell phone sample and open seat districts, both candidates were given as generic.

 
    Republican
candidate
Democratic
candidate
Another
candidate
(vol.)
Unsure/
Refused
 
    % % % %  
 

7/21-25/12

46 46 1 7  
 

6/23-27/12

46 45 2 6  
 

4/28 - 5/1/12

45 46 1 6  
 

2/11-14/12

45 47 1 7  
 

1/8-11/12

44 47 2 6  
 

10/15-18/11

45 46 2 7  
 

8/6-10/11

47 46 1 5  
 

6/18-21/11

47 44 1 7  
 

5/21-25/11

45 46 2 7  
 

4/10-12/11

47 45 1 6  
 

2/7-9/11

48 46 1 4  
 

1/9-12/11

47 44 2 7  

 

Quinnipiac University Poll. July 1-8, 2012. N=2,722 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 1.9.

             

"If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in your district?"
8/11: "If the 2012 election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or for the Democratic candidate?"

 
    Republican
candidate
Democratic
candidate
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

7/1-8/12

40 43 1 1 15
 

4/11-17/12

39 40 1 2 17
 

2/14-20/12

40 38 2 2 18
 

11/14-20/11

36 40 2 2 20
 

10/25-31/11

34 42 3 2 19
 

9/27 - 10/3/11

39 39 2 1 19
 

8/16-27/11

38 38 3 2 19
 

3/22-28/11

40 37 2 1 20

 

Bloomberg National Poll conducted by Selzer & Company. June 15-18, 2012. N=734 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.6.

             

"If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your congressional district: the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?" If unsure: "Which way are you leaning -- toward the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate?" Options rotated

 
    Republican
candidate
Democratic
candidate
Other (vol.) Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

6/15-18/12

41 48 3 8  
 

3/8-11/12

46 44 3 7  

 

Pew Research Center. June 7-17, 2012. N=1,563 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 2.9.

             

"... If the elections for U.S. Congress were being held TODAY, would you vote for the Republican Party's candidate or the Democratic Party's candidate for Congress in your district?" If unsure: "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more to the Republican or the Democrat?"

 
    Republican
candidate
Democratic
candidate
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

6/7-17/12

43 47 10    
 

8/17-21/11

44 48 8    

 

United Technologies/National Journal Congressional Connection Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. April 19-22, 2012. N=799 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 4.2.

             

"Do you think the representative in Congress from your district has performed his or her job well enough to deserve reelection, or do you think it's time to give a new person a chance?"

 
    Deserves
reelection
Time for
new person
Depends on
candidates
(vol.)
Unsure/
Refused
 
    % % % %  
 

4/19-22/12

38 48 1 13  
 

12/8-11/11

34 50 2 14  
 

7/28-31/11 Adults

31 53 1 14  
             

"Do you think most members of Congress have done a good enough job to deserve reelection, or do you think it's time to give new people a chance?"

 
    Deserve
reelection
Time for
new people
Depends on
candidates
(vol.)
Unsure/
Refused
 
    % % % %  
 

4/19-22/12

13 77 5 6  
 

12/8-11/11

7 80 6 6  
 

7/28-31/11 Adults

10 79 4 7  

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. March 20-22, 2012. N=846 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"If November's election for Congress were held today, which party's candidate are you more likely to vote for in your district . . . ?"

 
    Republican
candidate
Democratic
candidate
Neither Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

3/20-22/12

47 43 3 7  

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Feb. 29-March 3, 2012. N=800 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters.

             

"In the next election for U.S. Congress, do you feel that your representative deserves to be reelected, or do you think that it is time to give a new person a chance?"

 
    Deserves to
be reelected
Give a new
person a
chance
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

2/29 - 3/3/12

40 48 12    
 

8/27-31/11

42 47 11    

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Feb. 1-4, 2012. N=1,000 adults nationwide. Margin of error 4.
RV = registered voters

             

"Thinking about the next election, in November, right now, are you inclined to vote to reelect your representative in Congress, or are you inclined to look around for someone else to vote for?"

 
    Reelect
representative
Look for
someone else
Depends
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

2/1-4/12

34 53 3 9  
 

10/31 - 11/3/11

31 59 3 8  
 

8/9/11 RV

18 67 7 7  
 

7/14-17/11 RV

32 63 2 3  
 

6/2-5/11 RV

37 53 4 6  

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Jan. 22-24, 2012. N=1,000 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters.

             

"If there were a place on your ballot that allowed you to vote to defeat and replace every single member of Congress, including your own representative, would you do this, or not?"

 
    Yes No Unsure    
    % % %    
 

1/22-24/12

56 40 4    
 

8/27-31/11

54 41 5    

 

Pew Research Center. Dec. 7-11, 2011. N=1,211 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"Would you like to see your representative in Congress be reelected in the next congressional election, or not?"

 
    Yes No Rep. is not
running (vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

12/7-11/11

50 33 1 16  
             

"Regardless of how you feel about your own representative, would you like to see most members of Congress reelected in the next congressional election, or not?"

 
    Yes No Unsure    
    % % %    
 

12/7-11/11

20 67 13    

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Oct. 31-Nov. 3, 2011. N=1,004 adults nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"Regardless of your local contest, which party would you like to see in control of Congress after the next congressional elections, the Republicans or the Democrats?" Options rotated

 
    The
Republicans
The
Democrats
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

10/31 - 11/3/11

41 44 10 4  

 

United Technologies/National Journal Congressional Connection Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Oct. 27-30, 2011. N=770 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 4.2.

             

"If the elections for U.S. Congress were being held TODAY, would you vote for the Republican Party's candidate OR the Democratic Party's candidate for Congress in your district?" If other/unsure: "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more to the Republican Party's candidate OR the Democratic Party's candidate?" Options rotated

 
    Republican
candidate
Democratic
candidate
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
   
    % % %    
 

10/27-30/11

43 42 15    

 

CBS News/New York Times Poll. Sept. 10-15, 2011. N=1,356 registered voters nationwide.

             

"Do you think most members of Congress have done a good enough job to deserve reelection, or do you think it's time to give new people a chance?"

 
    Deserve
reelection
Give new
people a
chance
Depends on
candidates
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

9/10-15/11

6 84 5 5  
             

"Do you think the representative in Congress from your district has performed his or her job well enough to deserve reelection, or do you think it's time to give a new person a chance?"

 
    Deserves
reelection
Give new
person a
chance
Depends on
candidates
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

9/10-15/11

33 57 2 8  

 

Resurgent Republic poll conducted by Ayres, McHenry & Associates (R). Aug. 28-31, 2011. N=1,000 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.1.

             

"In general, would you prefer that the next congressman from your congressional district be a Republican or a Democrat?" Options rotated

 
    Republican Democrat Depends on
candidates
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

8/28-31/11

36 41 16 7  

 

AP-GfK Poll conducted by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Corporate Communications. Aug. 18-22, 2011. N=1,000 adults nationwide. Margin of error 4.1.

             

"Would you like to see your own member of Congress get reelected in November, or would you like to see someone else win the election?"

 
    Own
member
Someone
else
Don't care
(vol.)
Unsure Refused
    % % % % %
 

8/18-22/11

38 53 4 5 1

 

CNN/ORC Poll. Aug. 5-7, 2011. N=930 registered voters nationwide.

             

"Please tell me whether you think each of the following political officeholders deserves to be reelected or not.  . . ."

 
    Deserve(s) reelection Do(es) not
deserve
reelection
Unsure    
    % % %    
 
 

"The U.S. representative in your congressional district" Half sample (Version A)

 

8/5-7/11

45 48 7    
             
 

"Most members of Congress" Half sample (Version A)

 

8/5-7/11

23 72 5    
             
 

"Most Democratic members of Congress" Half sample (Version B)

 

8/5-7/11

39 57 4    
             
 

"Most Republican members of Congress" Half sample (Version B)

 

8/5-7/11

31 65 4    

 

USA Today/Gallup Poll. Aug. 4-7, 2011. N=1,204 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 4.

             

"Please tell me whether you think each of the following political office-holders deserves to be reelected, or not. How about the U.S. representative in your congressional district?"

 
    Deserves
to be
Does not Unsure    
    % % %    
 

8/4-7/11

54 34 12    
 

5/12-15/11

57 34 8    
 

10/14-17/10

51 31 18    
 

6/11-13/10

49 40 11    
 

5/24-25/10

50 40 10    
 

3/26-28/10

49 40 10    
             

"Please tell me whether you think each of the following political office-holders deserves to be reelected, or not. How about most members of Congress?"

 
    Deserve
to be
Do not Unsure    
    % % %    
 

8/4-7/11

21 70 9    
 

5/12-15/11

28 63 9    
 

10/14-17/10

33 56 12    
 

6/11-13/10

28 64 7    
 

5/24-25/10

32 63 6    
 

3/26-28/10

28 65 7    

 

Public Opinion Strategies (R). July 10-12, 2011. N=800 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"Now, thinking about 2012 elections for U.S. Congress -- While I know they are a long way off, if the November 2012 elections for U.S. Congress were held today, for whom would you vote: the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate for Congress from this district?" Options rotated

 
    Republican
candidate
Democratic
candidate
Unsure Refused  
    % % % %  
 

7/10-12/11

42 37 19 1  

 

Newsweek/Daily Beast Poll conducted by Douglas E. Schoen LLC. Feb. 12-15, 2011. N=918 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"Who would you like to see control Congress after the 2012 elections: the Democrats or the Republicans?"

 
    Republicans Democrats Divided
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

2/12-15/11

38 31 13 18  

 

McLaughlin & Associates (R). Jan. 11-12, 2011. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.1.

             

"If the election for U.S. Congress in your district were held today, would you be more likely to vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate?"

 
    Republican
candidate
Democratic
candidate
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

1/11-12/11

39 35 26    


 


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