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White House
2004: General Election
(p. 3)
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| Polls listed chronologically.
All data are from nationwide surveys
of Americans 18 & older. |
|
ABC News
Tracking Poll
and Washington Post
Tracking
Poll. Rolling sample. Fieldwork by TNS.
ABC News and The Washington Post share data collection for this tracking
poll, but calculate and report the results independently.
WASHINGTON POST:
Oct. 28-31, 2004. N=3,511
registered voters nationwide; 2,904
likely voters (MoE ± 2).
ABC NEWS:
Oct. 28-31,
2004.
N=3,511 registered voters nationwide;
2,904 likely voters (MoE ± 2).
<GRAPHIC> |
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. |
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"If the 2004 presidential
election were being held today, would you vote for George W. Bush
and Dick Cheney, the
Republicans, John Kerry and
John Edwards, the Democrats, or Ralph Nader
and Peter Camejo, the independents?"
If undecided: "Which
candidate are you leaning toward?"
Order of Bush/Cheney and Kerry/Edwards tickets rotated,
with Nader/Camejo ticket always last |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Bush/
Cheney |
Kerry/
Edwards |
Nader/
Camejo |
None/
Wouldn't
Vote (vol.) |
No
Opinion |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Washington Post Tracking Poll
-- among likely
voters: |
|
10/28-31/04 |
49 |
48 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
10/27-30/04 |
48 |
48 |
- |
1 |
2 |
|
10/26-29/04 |
49 |
48 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
10/25-28/04 |
50 |
47 |
- |
2 |
1 |
|
10/24-27/04 |
49 |
48 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
|
10/23-26/04 |
48 |
49 |
1 |
- |
1 |
|
10/22-25/04 |
48 |
50 |
1 |
- |
1 |
|
10/21-24/04 |
48 |
49 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
10/20-23/04 |
49 |
48 |
1 |
- |
2 |
|
10/20-22/04 |
50 |
46 |
1 |
- |
2 |
|
10/19-21/04 |
50 |
46 |
1 |
- |
2 |
|
10/18-20/04 |
51 |
45 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
10/17-19/04 |
50 |
47 |
1 |
- |
2 |
|
10/16-18/04 |
51 |
46 |
1 |
- |
2 |
|
10/14-17/04 |
50 |
47 |
1 |
- |
2 |
|
10/13-16/04 |
50 |
46 |
2 |
- |
2 |
|
10/13-15/04 |
50 |
47 |
2 |
- |
1 |
|
10/12-14/04 |
48 |
48 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
10/11-13/04 |
48 |
48 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
10/10-12/04 |
48 |
49 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
10/9-11/04 |
50 |
47 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
10/8-10/04 |
51 |
45 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
10/6-9/04 |
51 |
46 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
10/6-8/04 |
50 |
46 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
10/5-7/04 |
50 |
47 |
- |
1 |
1 |
|
10/4-6/04 |
49 |
47 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
|
10/3-5/04 |
49 |
47 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
|
10/2-4/04 |
51 |
45 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
10/1-3/04 |
51 |
46 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
ABC News Tracking Poll
-- among likely
voters: |
|
10/28-31/04 |
49 |
48 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
10/27-30/04 |
49 |
48 |
- |
1 |
2 |
|
10/26-29/04 |
49 |
48 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
10/25-28/04 |
50 |
47 |
- |
2 |
1 |
|
10/24-27/04 |
49 |
48 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
10/23-26/04 |
48 |
49 |
1 |
- |
1 |
|
10/22-25/04 |
48 |
49 |
1 |
- |
1 |
|
10/21-24/04 |
48 |
49 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
10/20-23/04 |
49 |
48 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
10/19-21/04 |
50 |
46 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
10/17-20/04 |
51 |
46 |
1 |
- |
2 |
|
10/17-19/04 |
51 |
46 |
1 |
- |
2 |
|
10/16-18/04 |
51 |
46 |
1 |
- |
2 |
|
10/14-17/04 |
50 |
47 |
1 |
- |
2 |
|
10/13-16/04 |
50 |
46 |
2 |
- |
2 |
|
10/12-14/04 |
48 |
48 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
10/11-13/04 |
48 |
48 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
10/10-12/04 |
48 |
48 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
10/9-11/04 |
50 |
46 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
10/7-10/04 |
50 |
46 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
10/6-9/04 |
50 |
46 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
10/6-8/04 |
50 |
47 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
10/5-7/04 |
50 |
47 |
- |
1 |
1 |
|
10/4-6/04 |
49 |
47 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
|
10/3-5/04 |
49 |
47 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
|
10/2-4/04 |
51 |
45 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
10/1-3/04 |
51 |
46 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
ABC
News/Washington Post Poll trend -- among likely
voters: |
|
9/23-26/04 |
51 |
45 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
9/6-8/04 |
52 |
43 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
|
8/26-29/04 |
48 |
48 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
7/30 - 8/1/04 |
47 |
49 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
|
7/22-25/04 |
50 |
46 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
Washington Post Tracking Poll
-- among
registered
voters: |
|
10/28-31/04 |
48 |
48 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
10/27-30/04 |
47 |
48 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
|
10/26-29/04 |
47 |
48 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
10/25-28/04 |
48 |
46 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
10/24-27/04 |
47 |
48 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
|
10/23-26/04 |
47 |
48 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
10/22-25/04 |
47 |
48 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
10/21-24/04 |
46 |
48 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
|
10/20-23/04 |
49 |
46 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
|
10/20-22/04 |
50 |
45 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
|
10/19-21/04 |
50 |
44 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
|
10/18-20/04 |
51 |
44 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
|
10/17-19/04 |
51 |
45 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
10/16-18/04 |
50 |
45 |
1 |
- |
3 |
|
10/14-17/04 |
48 |
47 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
|
10/13-16/04 |
48 |
47 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
|
10/13-15/04 |
48 |
47 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
|
10/12-14/04 |
47 |
48 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
|
10/11-13/04 |
47 |
47 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
|
10/10-12/04 |
46 |
48 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
|
10/9-11/04 |
46 |
48 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
|
10/8-10/04 |
47 |
47 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
|
10/6-9/04 |
48 |
47 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
|
10/6-8/04 |
48 |
46 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
|
10/5-7/04 |
48 |
47 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
|
10/4-6/04 |
48 |
47 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
|
10/3-5/04 |
49 |
46 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
|
10/2-4/04 |
50 |
44 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
|
10/1-3/04 |
49 |
46 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
|
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. |
|
ABC News Tracking Poll
-- among
registered
voters: |
|
10/28-31/04 |
48 |
47 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
|
10/27-30/04 |
48 |
47 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
|
10/26-29/04 |
48 |
47 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
10/25-28/04 |
49 |
45 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
10/24-27/04 |
48 |
46 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
|
10/23-26/04 |
47 |
47 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
|
10/22-25/04 |
47 |
47 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
|
10/21-24/04 |
47 |
47 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
|
10/20-23/04 |
49 |
45 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
|
10/19-21/04 |
50 |
44 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
|
10/17-20/04 |
51 |
44 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
|
10/17-19/04 |
51 |
44 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
10/16-18/04 |
51 |
44 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
|
10/14-17/04 |
49 |
46 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
|
10/13-16/04 |
49 |
45 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
|
10/12-14/04 |
47 |
48 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
|
10/11-13/04 |
47 |
47 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
|
10/10-12/04 |
47 |
47 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
|
10/9-11/04 |
48 |
46 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
|
10/7-10/04 |
48 |
46 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
|
10/6-9/04 |
48 |
47 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
|
10/6-8/04 |
48 |
46 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
|
10/5-7/04 |
48 |
47 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
|
10/4-6/04 |
49 |
46 |
1 |
3 |
2 |
|
10/3-5/04 |
50 |
45 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
|
10/2-4/04 |
52 |
43 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
|
10/1-3/04 |
50 |
45 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
|
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. |
|
ABC
News/Washington Post Poll trend -- among registered voters: |
|
9/23-26/04 |
51 |
44 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
|
9/6-8/04 |
50 |
44 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
|
8/26-29/04 |
48 |
47 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
|
7/30 - 8/1/04 |
44 |
50 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
|
7/22-25/04 |
48 |
46 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
|
7/8-11/04 |
46 |
46 |
4 |
4 |
1 |
|
|
American
Research Group Poll. Oct. 28-30, 2004. N=1,500
registered voters
nationwide (MoE ± 2.5); 1,258
likely voters (MoE ± 2.8). |
|
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. |
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"If the election for president and vice president
were being held today and the names on the ballot included George W. Bush
for president
and Dick Cheney
for vice president, the Republicans, and John Kerry for president and John
Edwards for vice president , the Democrats, for whom would you vote:
Bush, Kerry, or someone else?"
Options
rotated |
|
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|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Bush/
Cheney |
Kerry/
Edwards |
Other/
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
Likely voters |
48 |
49 |
3 |
|
|
|
Registered voters |
48 |
49 |
3 |
|
|
|
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. |
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"What if the election for president and vice
president were being held today and the names on the ballot included George
W. Bush for president and Dick Cheney for vice president, the Republicans,
John Kerry for president and John Edwards for vice president, the Democrats,
and Ralph Nader for president and Peter Camejo for vice president, the
independents, for whom would you vote: Bush,
Kerry, Nader, or someone else?"
Options
rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Bush/
Cheney |
Kerry/
Edwards |
Nader/
Camejo |
Other/
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Likely voters |
48 |
48 |
1 |
3 |
|
|
Registered voters |
48 |
48 |
1 |
3 |
|
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|
Pew
Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey
Research Associates International.
Oct. 27-30, 2004. N=2,408 registered voters
nationwide (MoE ± 2.5); 1,925 likely voters (MoE ±
2.5). |
. |
|
"If the presidential election
were being held TODAY, would you vote for the
Republican ticket of George W. Bush and Dick Cheney, for the
Democratic ticket of John Kerry and John Edwards,
or for the ticket of Ralph Nader and Peter Camejo?"
If "Other" or "Unsure": "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more
to [see below]?"
Order of Bush/Cheney and Kerry/Edwards tickets rotated,
with Nader/Camejo ticket always last. As of 10/15-19, Nader/Camejo option
not included in states where they are not on the ballot. |
. |
|
|
Bush/
Cheney |
Kerry/
Edwards |
Nader/
Camejo |
Other/
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
. |
|
VOTE PROJECTION,
based on likely
voters, with undecideds allocated: |
|
10/27-30/04 |
51 |
48 |
1 |
|
|
. |
|
Among likely
voters: |
|
10/27-30/04 |
48 |
45 |
1 |
6 |
</ | |
