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     White House 2004: General Election (p. 4)


Polls listed chronologically. All data are from nationwide surveys of Americans 18 & older.

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Reuters/Zogby Tracking Poll. Rolling 3-day sample (as of 10/4/04). N=approx. 1,200 likely voters nationwide. MoE 2.9. Sponsored by Reuters, as of Oct. 4-6.

                 

"Do you think President Bush deserves to be reelected, or do you think it is time for someone new?" Trend includes slight variations in wording.

                 
    Deserves
Reelection
Someone
New
Unsure        
    % % %        
  10/8-10/04 46 49 5        
  10/5-7/04 45 50 5        
  10/4-6/04 44 50 6        
                 
  10/1-3/04 46 49 5        
  9/17-19/04 47 50 3        
  9/8-9/04 46 49 6        
  8/30 - 9/2/04 46 48 6        
  8/12-14/04 43 53 4        
  7/26-29/04 42 51 7        
  7/6-7/04 43 53 4        
  6/2-5/04 43 53 5        
  5/10-13/04 42 53 6        
  4/15-17/04 43 51 6        
  4/1-4/04 44 51 5        
  3/17-19/04 45 51 4        
  1/15-18/04 41 48 10        
  12/15-17/03 45 47 8        
  12/4-6/03 44 46 10        
  11/3-5/03 43 49 8        
  10/15-18/03 42 50 8        
  9/22-24/03 43 49 8        
  9/3-5/03 40 52 8        
  8/16-19/03 45 48 8        
  7/16-17/03 46 47 6        
  6/6-10/03 49 38 13        
  1/24-26/03 49 41 10        
  1/4-6/03 51 36 13        
  10/02 49 35 16        
  7/02 47 32 21        
  6/02 51 28 20        

 

Time Poll conducted by Schulman, Ronca & Bucuvalas (SRBI) Public Affairs. Oct. 6-7, 2004. N=1,024 registered voters nationwide. MoE 3.

.

"In your opinion, do you think President Bush deserves to be reelected to a second term, or do you think it is time for someone else to be president?"

.

Deserves
Reelection
Someone
Else
Unsure    
% % %    

Among registered voters:

10/6-7/04

45 51 4    

9/21-23/04

47 49 4    

9/7-9/04

52 45 3    

8/31 - 9/2/04

49 48 3    

8/24-26/04

46 49 5    

8/3-5/04

42 54 3    

7/20-22/04

43 53 4    

.

Trend, among likely voters:

8/31 - 9/2/04

51 47 2    

8/3-5/04

43 53 4    

7/20-22/04

45 52 3    

 

American Research Group Poll. Oct. 2-4, 2004. N=1,005 registered voters nationwide (MoE 3); 800 likely voters (MoE 3.5).

.

"If the election for president were being held between George W. Bush, the Republican, and John Kerry, the Democrat, for whom would you vote: Bush or Kerry?" Names rotated

.

George
W. Bush
John
Kerry
Unsure

.

% % %

.

Among likely voters:

10/2-4/04 46 47 7

.

8/30 - 9/1/04 48 47 5

.

.

Among registered voters:

10/2-4/04 45 48 7

.

8/30 - 9/1/04 46 48 6

.

7/30 - 8/1/04 46 49 5

.

7/1-3/04 45 49 6

.

6/1-3/04 46 48 6

.

5/3-6/04 44 47 9

.

4/6-9/04 44 50 6

.

3/9-11/04 43 50 7

.

2/04 46 48 6

.

1/04 46 47 7

.

.

"What if the election for president were being held between George W. Bush, the Republican, and John Kerry, the Democrat, and Ralph Nader, for whom would you vote: Bush, Kerry or Nader?" Names rotated

.

George
W. Bush
John
Kerry
Ralph
Nader
Unsure

.

% % % %

.

Among likely voters:

10/2-4/04 46 46 2 6

.

8/30 - 9/1/04 47 47 3 3

.

.

Among registered voters:

10/2-4/04 44 47 2 7

.

8/30 - 9/1/04 45 46 3 6

.

7/30 - 8/1/04 45 49 2 4

.

7/1-3/04 44 47 3 6

.

6/1-3/04 45 46 3 6

.

5/3-6/04 44 45 4 7

.

4/6-9/04 43 48 2 7

.

3/9-11/04 42 48 2 8

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McLaughlin & Associates (R). Oct. 2-3, 2004. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. MoE 3.1.

.

"If the election for president were held today, and the candidates were George W. Bush, the Republican candidate, John Kerry, the Democrat candidate, and Ralph Nader, the independent candidate, for whom would you vote?" As of 10/04, Nader included only in states where he is on the ballot.

Bush Kerry Nader Unsure
% % % %
10/2-3/04 48 45 1 6
7/14-15/04 46 45 3 6

 

Zogby America Poll. Oct. 1-3, 2004. N=1,036 likely voters nationwide. MoE 3.1.

                 

General Election Trial Heat:

                 
    Bush/
Cheney
Kerry/
Edwards
Other
(vol.)
Unsure      
    % % % %      
  10/1-3/04 46 45 1 8      
  9/17-19/04 47 44   7      
  9/8-9/04 47 45   7      
  8/30 - 9/2/04 46 44 1 9      
  8/12-14/04 43 50 1 6      
  7/26-29/04 43 48 2 8      
  7/6-7/04 46 48 2 5      

 

Democracy Corps Poll conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D). Sept. 19-21, 2004. N=1,017 likely voters nationwide. MoE 3.1.

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"Thinking about the elections in November, if the election for president were held today and the candidates were Republican George Bush and the Democrat John Kerry, for whom would you vote: George Bush or John Kerry?"

       
George
Bush
John
Kerry
Other
(vol.)
Unsure
% % % %
9/19-21/04 49 49 1 2
9/12-14/04 49 48 1 3
9/6-9/04 50 47 1 2
8/2-5/04 45 52 1 2
7/10-13/04 47 50 1 2
6/14-17/04 48 49 2 1
5/10-13/04 47 49 1 2
4/19-22/04 49 48 1 1
3/16-21/04 50 47 1 1
2/10-15/04 47 51 - 2

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Sept. 17-19, 2004. N=1,006 registered voters nationwide (MoE 3); 787 likely voters.

.

"If the election for president were held today, and George W. Bush and Dick Cheney were the Republican candidates, John Kerry and John Edwards were the Democratic candidates, and Ralph Nader and Peter Camejo were running as independent candidates, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean at this time?"

.

Bush/
Cheney
Kerry/
Edwards
Nader/
Camejo
None/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %

Among likely voters:

9/17-19/04 50 46 1 1 2

.

Among registered voters:

9/17-19/04 48 45 2 1 4
8/23-25/04 47 45 3 1 4
7/19-21/04 47 45 2 1 5

.

"And if the election for president were held today, and George W. Bush and Dick Cheney were the Republican candidates and John Kerry and John Edwards were the Democratic candidates, for whom would you vote?"

.

Bush/
Cheney
Kerry/
Edwards
Depends
(vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  

Among registered voters:

9/17-19/04 49 46 1 4  

 

George Washington University Battleground Poll conducted by the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Snell Perry & Associates (D). Sept. 13-16, 2004. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide (250 per day rolling sample). MoE 3.1.

.

"If the election for president were held today, and you had to make a choice, for which candidate would you probably vote?" NOTE: Candidate names NOT read to respondents.

.

Bush Kerry Nader Other Unsure
% % % % %
9/13-16/04 46 39 1 1 14

.

8/15-17/04 43 44 1 - 12
6/20-23/04 43 41 1 1 13
3/28-31/04 43 39 1 1 15

 

Gallup Poll. Sept. 13-15, 2004. N=935 registered voters nationwide (MoE 4); 767 likely voters (MoE 4).

                 

"Next, I'm going to read a list of six candidates for president who may appear on the ballot in a significant number of states this November. Supposing that all of these candidates were on the ballot in your state, which one would you be most likely to vote for: John Kerry, the Democratic candidate, George W. Bush, the Republican candidate, Ralph Nader, the independent or Reform Party candidate, Michael Badnarik, the Libertarian Party candidate, David Cobb, the Green Party candidate, Michael Peroutka, the Constitution Party candidate -- or will you be voting for someone else?" If undecided: "As of today, which one of these candidates do you lean toward: John Kerry, the Democratic candidate, George W. Bush, the Republican candidate, Ralph Nader, the independent or Reform Party candidate, Michael Badnarik, the Libertarian Party candidate, David Cobb, the Green Party candidate, Michael Peroutka, the Constitution Party candidate -- or will you be voting for someone else?" Names rotated

                 
    Bush Kerry Nader Badnarik Cobb Peroutka Other (vol.)/
Unsure
    % % % % % % %
 

Among likely voters:

 

9/13-15/04

54 40 3 1 - - 2
                 
 

Among registered voters:

 

9/13-15/04

50 42 4 1 - - 3

 

The Harris Poll. Sept. 9-13, 2004. N=803 likely voters nationwide. MoE 4.

.

"If the next presidential election were held today between George W. Bush for the Republicans, John Kerry for the Democrats, and Ralph Nader as an independent, for whom would you most likely vote?" If undecided: "Well, if you had to say would you lean toward George W. Bush, John Kerry, or Ralph Nader?"

.

George
W. Bush
John
Kerry
Ralph
Nader
None of
These (vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %

Among likely voters:

9/9-13/04 47 48 2 - 3
8/10-15/04 47 47 3 - 3
6/8-15/04 51 41 6 - 1
4/8-15/04 46 43 8 1 2

.

Trend, among all adults:

6/8-15/04 48 42 7 - 2
4/8-15/04 43 43 9 2 2

.

"Based on who he is and his record, do you think George W. Bush deserves to be reelected for another four years?"

.

Yes No Unsure    
% % %    
9/9-13/04 45 51 4    

 

New Democrat Network poll conducted by Penn, Schoen & Berland Associates (D). Sept. 9-12, 2004. N=800 likely voters nationwide. MoE 3.5.

.

General Election Trial Heat:

.

Bush Kerry Unsure

.

  % % %  
9/9-12/04 49 45 6  

.

Bush Kerry Nader Unsure
  % % % %
9/9-12/04 49 44 3 4

 

Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Sept. 9-10, 2004. N=1,003 registered voters nationwide. MoE 4 (for all registered voters).

.

"Suppose the election were being held TODAY and you had the following three choices for president and vice president: George W. Bush and Dick Cheney, the Republicans; John Kerry and John Edwards, the Democrats; and Ralph Nader and Peter Camejo, the independent or third party candidates. [Choices rotated.] Who would you vote for?" If none of these: "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more toward Bush and Cheney, the Republicans; Kerry and Edwards, the Democrats; or Nader and Camejo?"

.

Bush/
Cheney
Kerry/
Edwards
Nader/
Camejo
Other (vol.)/
Undecided
% % % %
ALL 49 43 2 6
  Republicans 93 4 1 2
  Democrats 7 87 - 6
  Independents 39 45 7 9
  Men 49 43 3 5
  Women 49 43 2 6
  18-29 43 46 7 4
  30-49 51 41 2 6
  50-64 46 46 2 6
  65 & older 50 40 - 10
  Military households 55 36 2 7
  Non-military 46 46 3 5

.


 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Aug. 26-29, 2004. N=945 registered voters nationwide (MoE 3), 775 likely voters (MoE  3.5). Fieldwork by TNS. 7/8-11/04: Washington Post Poll.

.

"If the 2004 presidential election were being held today, would you vote for George W. Bush and Dick Cheney, the Republicans, John Kerry and John Edwards, the Democrats, or Ralph Nader and Peter Camejo, the independents?" If undecided: "Which one are you leaning toward?" Names rotated.

.

Bush/
Cheney
Kerry/
Edwards
Nader/
Camejo
None/
Wouldn't
Vote (vol.)
No
Opinion
% % % % %
Among likely voters:

8/26-29/04

48 48 1 1 2

7/30 - 8/1/04

47 49 2 1 1

7/22-25/04

50 46 2 1 1

.

Among registered voters:

8/26-29/04

48 47 2 1 2

7/30 - 8/1/04

44 50 2 2 2

7/22-25/04

48 46 3 1 1

7/8-11/04

46 46 4 4 1

.

Asked of Nader supporters and undecideds:
"
If Nader does not run or is not on the ballot, for whom would you vote: Bush or Kerry?" If undecided: "Which one are you leaning toward?" Names rotated.
 

Combined results of this question and preceding question:

George
W. Bush
John
Kerry
Neither
(vol.)
Wouldn't
Vote (vol.)
No
Opinion
% % % % %
Among likely voters:

8/26-29/04

49 49 1 - 1

7/30 - 8/1/04

48 49 1 0 1

7/22-25/04

51 47 1 - 1

.

Among registered voters:

8/26-29/04

48 49 1 - 1

7/30 - 8/1/04

45 52 2 1 1

7/22-25/04

49 48 2 1 1

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Aug. 23-25, 2004. N=806 registered voters nationwide. MoE 3.5.

.

"If the election for president were held today, and George W. Bush and Dick Cheney were the Republican candidates, John Kerry and John Edwards were the Democratic candidates, and Ralph Nader and Peter Camejo were running as independent candidates, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean at this time?"

.

Bush/
Cheney
Kerry/
Edwards
Nader/
Camejo
None/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %
8/23-25/04 47 45 3 1 4
7/19-21/04 47 45 2 1 5

.

"Looking ahead to November's presidential election, do you feel George W. Bush deserves to be reelected, or do you feel he does not deserve to be reelected?"

.

Deserves Does Not
Deserve
Not
Sure

.

% % %

.

8/23-25/04 46 50 4

.

7/19-21/04 46 47 7

.

6/25-28/04 45 50 5

.

5/1-3/04 45 49 6

.

3/6-8/04 49 48 4

.

.

Among ALL adults:

1/10-12/04 51 42 7

.

12/14/03 52 38 11

.

12/13/03 47 46 7

.


 

National Public Radio Poll conducted by Public Opinion Strategies (R) and Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D). Aug. 21-24, 2004. N=800 likely voters nationwide. MoE 3.5.

.

"Thinking again about the election to be held in November, if the election for president were held today and the candidates were Republican George W. Bush and Democrat John Kerry, for whom would you vote: Republican George W. Bush or Democrat John Kerry?" If undecided: "Which way do you lean as of today? Do you lean toward Republican George W. Bush or Democrat John Kerry?" Options rotated

.

George
W.
Bush
John
Kerry

Unsure

% % %

8/21-24/04

45 50 4

6/6-10/04

49 48 2

2-3/04

47 45 8

.

"If the candidates for president were Republican George Bush, Democrat John Kerry and independent Ralph Nader, for whom would you vote?"

.

George
W.
Bush
John
Kerry
Ralph
Nader

Unsure

% % % %

8/21-24/04

43 47 3 6

 

George Washington University Battleground Poll conducted by the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Snell Perry & Associates (D). Aug. 15-17, 2004. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. MoE 3.1.

.

"Do you feel that George W. Bush has done his job as president well enough to deserve reelection, or do you feel it is time to give someone new a chance?"

.

Reelect
Bush
Someone
New
Unsure
% % %
8/15-17/04 47 50 4
6/20-23/04 47 51 2
3/28-31/04 49 49 2
9/03 48 47 5

.

"If the election for president were held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote: George W. Bush and Dick Cheney, the Republicans, John Kerry and John Edwards, the Democrats, OR Ralph Nader and Peter Camejo?" Names rotated

.

Bush/
Cheney
Kerry/
Edwards
Nader/
Camejo
Unsure
% % % %
8/15-17/04 47 48 3 3

 

CBS News Poll. July 30-Aug. 1, 2004. N=881 registered voters nationwide. MoE 3.

.

"If the 2004 presidential election were being held today, and the candidates were John Kerry, the Democrat, George W. Bush, the Republican, and Ralph Nader, would you vote for John Kerry, George W. Bush, or Ralph Nader?"

.

George
W. Bush
John
Kerry
Ralph
Nader
Other/
Depends
(vol.)
Won't Vote
(vol.)/Don't
Know
% % % % %
7/30 - 8/1/04 43 48 3 1 5
7/11-15/04 42 45 5 2 6
6/23-27/04 43 42 5 2 8
5/20-23/04 41 47 5 2 5
4/23-27/04 43 41 5 2 9
3/10-14/04 46 38 7 1 8

.

"Suppose you were voting only for president and not for vice president. If the 2004 presidential election were being held today, would you vote for John Kerry, the Democratic candidate, or for George W. Bush, the Republican candidate?" Names rotated

.

Bush Kerry Neither/
Other (vol.)
Don't
Know
 
% % % %  
7/30 - 8/1/04 44 51 1 4  

 

Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. July 29-30, 2004. N=1,010 registered voters nationwide. MoE 4 (for all registered voters).

.

"Suppose the election were being held TODAY and you had the following three choices for president and vice president: George W. Bush and Dick Cheney, the Republicans; John Kerry and John Edwards, the Democrats; and Ralph Nader and Peter Camejo, the independent or third party candidates. [Choices rotated.] Who would you vote for?" If none of these: "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more toward Bush and Cheney, the Republicans; Kerry and Edwards, the Democrats; or Nader and Camejo, the third party candidates?"

.

Bush/
Cheney
Kerry/
Edwards
Nader/
Camejo
Other (vol.)/
Undecided
% % % %
ALL 42 49 3 6
  Republicans 90 7 1 2
  Democrats 8 86 1 5
  Independents 39 45 7 9
  Men 48 43 3 6
  Women 37 53 3 7
  18-29 32 51 9 8
  30-49 47 46 2 5
  50 & older 44 49 1 6
  Southern white 54 38 3 5
  Non-South, white 47 46 2 5
  Non-white 20 65 5 10
  Urban 30 63 2 5
  Suburban 47 45 2 6
  Rural 49 37 4 10
  7/30 only 40 50 3 7
  7/29 only 45 47 2 6

 

Quinnipiac University Poll. July 18-22, 2004. N=1,551 registered voters nationwide. MoE 2.5.

.

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were John Kerry the Democrat and George W. Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

.

George
W. Bush
John
Kerry
Someone
Else (vol.)
Wouldn't
Vote (vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %
7/18-22/04 43 46 1 2 8
5/18-24/04 45 45 2 1 8
4/26 - 5/3/04 44 43 2 1 9
3/16-22/04 46 43 2 1 7
1/28-31/04 43 51 1 1 4
1/21-25/04 49 45 - 1 5
12/03 51 39 2 2 6
10/03 49 43 1 1 5
9/03 53 38 2 2 6
7/03 51 40 1 1 7
6/03 53 37 2 1 6
1-2/03 50 42 1 1 7

.

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were John Kerry the Democrat, George W. Bush the Republican, and Ralph Nader the independent, for whom would you vote?"

.

George
W. Bush
John
Kerry
Ralph
Nader
Someone
Else (vol.)
Wouldn't
Vote (vol.)/
Unsure
% % % % %
7/18-22/04 43 44 4 - 9
5/18-24/04 43 42 6 1 8
4/26 - 5/3/04 43 40 6 1 10
3/16-22/04 46 40 6 1 7

 

National Public Radio Poll conducted by Public Opinion Strategies (R) and Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D). July 18-20, 2004. N=800 likely voters nationwide. MoE 3.5.

.

"Thinking again about the election to be held in November: If the election for president were being held today and the candidates were George W. Bush and Richard Cheney, Republicans, and John Kerry and John Edwards, Democrats . . . ?" Includes leaners

.

Bush/
Cheney
Kerry/
Edwards
Other
(vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  
7/18-20/04 46 47 1 7  

 

Democracy Corps Poll conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D). July 10-13, 2004. N=505 likely voters nationwide.

.

"Thinking about the elections in November, if the election for president were held today and the candidates were John Kerry, with John Edwards for vice president, and George Bush, with Dick Cheney for vice president -- would you vote for the Democrats, Kerry and Edwards, or the Republicans, Bush and Cheney?"

       
Bush/
Cheney
Kerry/
Edwards
Other
(vol.)
Unsure
% % % %
7/10-13/04 45 52 1 2

 

Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. July 8-9, 2004. N=1,001 registered voters nationwide. MoE 4 (for all registered voters).

.

"Suppose the election were being held TODAY and you had the following three choices for president and vice president: George W. Bush and Dick Cheney, the Republicans; John Kerry and John Edwards, the Democrats; and Ralph Nader and Peter Camejo, the independent or third party candidates. [Choices rotated.] Who would you vote for?" If none of these: "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more toward Bush and Cheney, the Republicans; Kerry and Edwards, the Democrats; or Nader and Camejo, the third party candidates?"

.

Bush/
Cheney
Kerry/
Edwards
Nader/
Camejo
Other (vol.)/
Undecided
% % % %
ALL 44 47 3 6
  Republicans 90 6 1 3
  Democrats 10 83 1 6
  Independents 34 53 6 7
  Men 47 44 3 6
  Women 42 50 2 6
  18-29 38 51 4 7
  30-49 43 49 3 5
  50 & older 48 44 2 6
  Southern white 60 35 2 3
  Non-South, white 44 46 4 6
  Non-white 28 64 0 8
  Urban 36 55 3 6
  Suburban 47 46 2 5
  Rural 49 39 2 10

.

"Now I'm going to ask how you would vote if George W. Bush's vice-presidential running mate this year was someone other than Dick Cheney. What if Bush's running mate was [see below]? If the election were held TODAY, would you be more likely to vote for Bush and Powell, the Republicans; or Kerry and Edwards, the Democrats?" Choices rotated. If neither: "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more toward Bush and [see below], the Republicans; or Kerry and Edwards, the Democrats?"

.

Secretary of State Colin Powell

.

Bush/
Powell
Kerry/
Edwards
Other (vol.)/
Undecided
% % %
7/8-9/04 53 44 3

.

Arizona Senator John McCain

.

Bush/
McCain
Kerry/
Edwards
Other (vol.)/
Undecided
% % %
7/8-9/04 49 47 4

.

Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist

.

Bush/
Frist
Kerry/
Edwards
Other (vol.)/
Undecided
% % %
7/8-9/04 43 53 4

 

Time Poll conducted by Ken Dautrich and Chris Barnes. July 6-8, 2004. N=774 likely voters nationwide. MoE 3.5.

.

"Suppose the 2004 election for president were being held today, and you had to choose between Massachusetts Senator John Kerry, the Democrat, and George W. Bush, the Republican -- for whom would you vote?"
6/2-4/04: Asked of undecideds: "Even though you haven't made up your mind yet, do you lean more toward supporting Bush or Kerry?"

.

George
W. Bush
John
Kerry
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
   
% % %    
7/6-8/04 45 49 6    
6/2-4/04 49 48 3    

.

"Now suppose the 2004 election for president were being held today, and you had to choose between George W. Bush, the Republican, John Kerry, the Democrat, and Ralph Nader -- for whom would you vote?"

.

George
W. Bush
John
Kerry
Ralph
Nader
Unsure  
% % % %  
7/6-8/04 45 47 4 5  
6/2-4/04* 48 43 6 3  

.

* 6/2-4/04: "Now suppose the 2004 election for president were being held today, and you had to choose between George W. Bush, the Republican, John Kerry, the Democrat, and Ralph Nader, running as an independent -- for whom would you vote?" If undecided: "Even if you haven't made up you mind yet, do you lean more toward supporting Bush, Kerry, or Nader?"

 

Zogby America Poll. July 6-7, 2004. N=1,008 likely voters nationwide. MoE 3.1.

.

General Election Trial Heats:

.

George
W. Bush
John
Kerry
Other (vol.)/
Unsure

.

% % %

.

7/6-7/04 44 46 9

.

6/2-5/04 42 44 14

.

5/10-13/04 42 47 11

.

4/15-17/04 44 47 9

.

4/1-4/04 45 47 6

.

3/17-19/04 46 48 5

.

10/15-18/03 45 41 14

.

9/22-24/03 47 37 16

.

3/03 49 36 16

.

1/24-26/03 53 34 14

.

1/4-6/03 54 31 15

.

.

George
W. Bush
John
Kerry
Ralph
Nader
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
% % % %
7/6-7/04 45 47 2 6
6/2-5/04 42 44 3 11
5/10-13/04 42 47 3 8
4/15-17/04 45 45 3 7
4/1-4/04 46 45 3 5
3/17-19/04 46 46 3 5

 

Associated Press-Ipsos poll conducted by Ipsos-Public Affairs. July 5-7, 2004. N=804 registered voters nationwide. MoE 3.5.

.

"If the election for president were held today and the candidates were George W. Bush, the Republican, and John Kerry, the Democrat, and Ralph Nader, the independent, for whom would you vote?" If "other" or "not sure": "Do you lean more toward Kerry, Bush or Nader?"

.

George
W. Bush
John
Kerry
Ralph
Nader
Other/
Unsure
% % % %
7/5-7/04 49 45 3 3
6/7-9/04 46 45 6 2
5/3-5/04 46 43 7 5
4/5-7/04 45 44 6 5
3/19-21/04 46 43 5 6
3/1-3/04 46 45 6 2

 

NBC News Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. July 6, 2004. N=504 registered voters nationwide. MoE 5.

.

"Suppose the election for president and vice president were being held today and the candidates were George W. Bush and Dick Cheney, the Republicans; John Kerry and John Edwards, the Democrats; and Ralph Nader and Peter Camejo, independent candidates, who would you vote for?" If "None:" "As of today, do you lean more toward Bush and Cheney, the Republicans; Kerry and Edwards, the Democrats; or Nader and Camejo, independents?" Names rotated

.

Bush/
Cheney
Kerry/
Edwards
Nader/
Camejo
Unsure

.

% % % %

.

7/6/04 41 49 4 6

.

.

"Suppose there were only two choices for president and vice president on the ballot and you had to choose between George W. Bush and Dick Cheney, the Republicans; and John Kerry and John Edwards, the Democrats. If the election were held today, who would you vote for?" Names rotated

.

Bush/
Cheney
Kerry/
Edwards
Unsure

.

% % %

.

7/6/04 43 54 3

.


 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Robert Teeter (R). June 25-28, 2004. N=1,025 registered voters nationwide. MoE 3.

.

"If the election for president were held today, and George W. Bush were running as the Republican candidate, John Kerry were running as the Democratic candidate, and Ralph Nader were running as an independent candidate, for whom would you vote?"

.

George
W.
Bush
John
Kerry
Ralph
Nader
Depends/
None/
Other (vol.)
Not
Sure
% % % % %
6/25-28/04 45 44 4 2 5
5/1-3/04 46 42 5 2 5
3/6-8/04 46 43 5 3 3

.

"If the election for president were held today, and George W. Bush were running as the Republican candidate and John Kerry were running as the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?"

.

George
W.
Bush
John
Kerry
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Not
Sure
% % % % %
6/25-28/04 47 47 1 1 4
5/1-3/04 48 45 1 2 4
3/6-8/04 48 45 1 2 4

.

Among ALL adults:

1/10-12/04 54 35 2 3 6
7/03 49 34 1 6 9
5/03 55 27 2 6 11
1/03 48 31 4 3 14

 

CBS News/New York Times Poll. June 23-27, 2004. N=875 registered voters nationwide. MoE 3.

.

"If the 2004 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were John Kerry, the Democrat, and George W. Bush, the Republican, would you vote for John Kerry or George W. Bush?" Names rotated

.

George
W. Bush
John
Kerry
Other/
Depends
(vol.)
Won't
Vote (vol.)
Don't
Know
% % % % %
6/23-27/04 44 45 3 1 7
5/20-23/04 41 49 3 1 6
4/23-27/04 44 46 2 0 8
3/30 - 4/1/04 43 48 3 1 5
3/10-14/04 46 43 3 1 7
2/24-27/04 46 47 1 2 4
2/12-15/04 43 48 3 1 5

Earlier polling on the general election


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