WH2004: General (6)

[ Home ] [ Up ]

White House 2004: General Election (p. 6)

Polls listed chronologically. All data are from nationwide surveys of Americans 18 & older.

Quinnipiac University Poll. Jan. 28-31, 2004. N=1,219 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 2.8.
					.
"Suppose the general election for president were being held today, and the candidates were [see below] the Democrat, and George W. Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?"
					.
		George W. Bush	John Kerry	Someone Else (vol.)	Wouldn't Vote (vol.)	Don't Know
		%	%	%	%	%
	1/28-31/04	43	51	1	1	4
	1/21-25/04	49	45	-	1	5
	12/03	51	39	2	2	6
	10/03	49	43	1	1	5
	9/03	53	38	2	2	6
	7/03	51	40	1	1	7
	6/03	53	37	2	1	6
	1-2/03	50	42	1	1	7
					.
		George W. Bush	John Edwards	Someone Else (vol.)	Wouldn't Vote (vol.)	Don't Know
		%	%	%	%	%
	1/28-31/04	47	45	1	1	6
	1/21-25/04	50	42	1	2	6
	12/03	52	37	2	2	6
					.
		Bush	Howard Dean	Someone Else (vol.)	Wouldn't Vote (vol.)	Don't Know
		%	%	%	%	%
	1/28-31/04	49	44	1	2	4
	1/21-25/04	54	38	1	2	5
	12/03	51	40	2	2	5
	10/03	48	42	2	2	6
	9/03	53	38	1	2	7
	7/03	53	37	2	1	6
	1-2/03	53	36	2	2	7
					.
		George W. Bush	Wesley Clark	Someone Else (vol.)	Wouldn't Vote (vol.)	Don't Know
		%	%	%	%	%
	1/28-31/04	48	45	1	1	5
	1/21-25/04	51	41	1	2	5
	12/03	50	41	2	1	6
	10/03	47	43	1	2	7
					.
		George W. Bush	Joe Lieberman	Someone Else (vol.)	Wouldn't Vote (vol.)	Don't Know
		%	%	%	%	%
	1/28-31/04	49	44	1	2	4
	1/21-25/04	53	39	1	2	5
	12/03	51	40	2	2	5
	10/03	48	43	2	2	5
	9/03	52	41	1	2	4
	7/03	51	41	1	1	5
	6/03	53	40	1	1	5
	1-2/03	49	43	2	1	5

Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates. Jan. 29-30, 2004. N=1,022 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.
					.
"Suppose the next general election for president were being held TODAY and you had to choose between George W. Bush, the Republican, and [see below], the Democrat -- who would you vote for?" If "Other" or "Undecided": "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more toward Bush, the Republican, or [see below], the Democrat?" Names rotated
					.
		George W. Bush	Joe Lieberman	Other (vol.)/ Undecided
		%	%	%
	1/29-30/04	52	41	7
	1/22-23/04	49	45	6
	1/8-9/04	52	41	7
	12/18-19/03	52	40	8
	12/11-12/03	51	42	7
	11/6-7/03	48	44	8
	10/23-24/03	50	43	7
	10/9-10/03	50	42	8
	9/25-26/03	51	42	7
	7/03	52	39	9
	10/02	60	33	7

American Research Group Poll. Jan. 27-29, 2004. N=768 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.5 (total sample).
					.
"If the election for president were being held today between George W. Bush, the Republican, and the Democratic nominee for president, for whom would you vote: Bush or the Democratic nominee?" Options rotated
		George W. Bush	Democrat	Unsure	.
		%	%	%	.
	ALL	47	46	7	.
	Republicans	88	2	10	.
	Democrats	9	85	6	.
	Independents	46	49	5	.

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Jan. 21-22, 2004. N=900 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.
						.
"If the 2004 presidential election were held today, do you think you would be more likely to vote for Republican George W. Bush OR for the Democratic candidate?" Options rotated
						.
		Bush	Democrat	Depends (vol.)	Not Sure
		%	%	%	%
	1/21-22/04	43	39	13	5
	12/03	43	36	12	9
	10/03	44	38	11	7
						.
"If the election for president of the United States were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Republican George W. Bush and Democrat [see below]?" Names rotated; respondents pushed for decision
						.
		George W. Bush	John Kerry	Neither (vol.)	Not Sure
		%	%	%	%
	1/21-22/04	49	42	8	1
	1/7-8/04	54	32	12	2
	7/03	54	35	8	3
	5/03	58	29	11	2
	12/02	57	29	12	2
						.
		George W. Bush	John Edwards	Neither (vol.)	Not Sure
		%	%	%	%
	1/21-22/04	51	39	9	1
						.
		George W. Bush	Howard Dean	Neither (vol.)	Not Sure
		%	%	%	%
	1/21-22/04	54	34	9	3
	1/7-8/04	54	33	10	3
	11/03	49	36	12	3
	7/03	55	27	15	3
						.
		George W. Bush	Wesley Clark	Neither (vol.)	Not Sure
		%	%	%	%
	1/21-22/04	51	37	11	1
	1/7-8/04	52	32	14	2
	11/03	49	36	13	2
	9/03	46	37	7	10
						.
		George W. Bush	Hillary Clinton	Neither (vol.)	Not Sure
		%	%	%	%
	1/21-22/04	52	39	7	2
	11/03	52	38	8	2
	7/03	52	35	10	3
	5/03	60	30	8	2
	11/02	59	24	16	1
	8/02	58	28	12	2
	1/01	45	34	21	-

*ABC News/Washington Post* Poll**. Jan. 15-18, 2004. N=1,036 adults nationwide. MoE ą 3. Fieldwork by TNS Intersearch.
						.
"If the 2004 presidential election were being held today, would you vote for George W. Bush, the Republican, or for the Democratic nominee for president?" Options rotated
						.
		Bush	Democrat	Neither/ Other (vol.)	Wouldn't Vote (vol.)	No Opinion
		%	%	%	%	%
	Among ALL adults:
	1/15-18/04	48	46	2	2	3
	Among registered voters:
	12/18-21/03	51	41	4	1	3
	10/26-29/03	48	47	2	1	2
	10/9-13/03	44	49	3	1	3
	Among ALL adults:
	9/03	49	44	3	2	2
	8/03	48	40	3	1	7
	4/03	53	40	2	1	3

Zogby America Poll. Jan. 15-18, 2004. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.2.
					.
"If the election for president were held today, for whom would you vote: the Republican George W. Bush or the Democratic candidate?" Options rotated. Trend includes slight variations in wording.
					.
		George W. Bush	Democrat	Other (vol.)	Not Sure
		%	%	%	%
	1/15-18/04	41	45	2	12
	12/15-17/03	47	42	2	9
	12/4-6/03	43	41	3	13
	11/3-5/03	41	41	2	16
	10/15-18/03	43	45	1	12
	9/22-24/03	41	45	3	12
	9/3-5/03	39	47	3	11
	8/16-19/03	43	42	2	13
	7/16-17/03	47	44	1	8
	6/6-10/03	44	37	3	16
	3/03	48	38	2	13

Time/CNN Poll conducted by Harris Interactive. Jan. 14-15, 2004. N=1,003 adults nationwide. MoE ą 3.1.
					.
"If George W. Bush runs for reelection, how likely are you to vote for him: very likely, somewhat likely, somewhat unlikely, or very unlikely?"
					.
		Very Likely	Some- what Likely	Some- what Unlikely	Very Unlikely	Not Sure
		%	%	%	%	%
	1/14-15/04	30	19	12	36	3
	12/30/03 & 1/1/04	33	18	8	38	3
	11/03	32	15	10	38	5
	7/03	33	17	10	36	4
	5/03	38	18	8	33	3
	3/03	40	16	9	32	3
	10/02	35	19	8	32	6
	1/02	40	23	11	22	4
	5/01	26	17	8	42	7

*NBC News/Wall Street Journal* Poll** conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Robert Teeter (R). Jan. 10-12, 2004. N=1,002 adults nationwide. MoE ą 3.1.
					.
"If the next election for president were held today, and George W. Bush were running as the Republican candidate and [see below] were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?"
		George W. Bush	Howard Dean	Depends (vol.)	Neither/ Other (vol.)	Not Sure
		%	%	%	%	%
	1/10-12/04	54	37	2	4	4
	12/14/03	52	31	3	4	10
	12/13/03	51	39	1	4	5
	11/03	50	35	2	6	8
	9/03	48	35	3	7	8
	7/03	52	30	3	7	8
					.
		George W. Bush	Wesley Clark	Depends (vol.)	Neither/ Other (vol.)	Not Sure
		%	%	%	%	%
	1/10-12/04	53	35	2	4	6
	12/14/03	53	28	2	4	13
	12/13/03	50	34	2	4	10
	11/03	49	37	2	5	7
	9/03	45	38	2	5	11
					.
		George W. Bush	Richard Gephardt	Depends (vol.)	Neither/ Other (vol.)	Not Sure
		%	%	%	%	%
	1/10-12/04	55	34	2	4	5
	12/13/03	51	35	1	5	8
	11/03	52	36	1	5	6
	5/03	55	29	3	5	7
	1/03	51	32	3	6	8
	1/02	67	21	n/a	3	9

CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll. Jan. 9-11, 2004. N=793 likely voters nationwide. MoE ą 4.
						.
"If [see below] were the Democratic Party's candidate and George W. Bush were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for: [see below], the Democrat, or George W. Bush, the Republican?" If undecided: "As of today, do you lean more toward [see below], the Democrat, or Bush, the Republican?" Names rotated
		George W. Bush	Richard Gephardt	Neither (vol.)	Other (vol.)	No Opinion
		%	%	%	%	%
	1/9-11/04	55	42	2	1	1
	Among registered voters:
	11/03	52	46	1	-	1
	9/03	48	46	3	1	2
						.
"Which comes closest to your view about the election for president in November? You plan to vote for Bush regardless of whom the Democrats nominate for president. You are waiting to see who the Democrats nominate for president before you make up your mind about who to vote for. OR, You plan to vote against Bush regardless of whom the Democrats nominate for president." Options rotated
		Vote For Bush	Waiting	Vote Against Bush
		%	%	%
	1/9-11/04	39	28	33

Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates. Jan. 6-11, 2004. N=1,140 registered voters nationwide.
.
"Looking ahead to the general election in November, would you like to see George W. Bush reelected president in 2004 or would you prefer that a Democratic candidate win the election?" If "Other" or "Someone else": "If you had to choose, would you like to see George W. Bush reelected or would you prefer that a Democratic candidate win the election?"
		Bush	Democrat	Other/ Unsure
		%	%	%
	1/6-11/04	48	38	14
	12/19/03 - 1/4/04	44	42	14
	12/15-17/03	49	37	14
	10/15-19/03	42	42	16
	9/17-22/03	45	43	12
	7/14 - 8/5/03	43	38	19
	6/24 - 7/8/03	47	37	16
	4/03	48	34	18

Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates. Jan. 8-9, 2004. N=842 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 4.
					.
"Suppose the next general election for president were being held TODAY and you had to choose between George W. Bush, the Republican, and [see below], the Democrat -- who would you vote for?" If "Other" or "Undecided": "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more toward Bush, the Republican, or [see below], the Democrat?" Names rotated
					.
		George W. Bush	Dick Gephardt	Other (vol.)/ Undecided
		%	%	%
	1/8-9/04	50	43	7
	12/18-19/03	54	38	8
	12/11-12/03	51	40	9
	11/6-7/03	49	44	7
	10/23-24/03	51	42	7
	10/9-10/03	49	42	9
	9/25-26/03	53	39	8
	7/03	51	42	7
	11/02	56	37	7

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Jan. 7-8, 2004. N=900 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.
						.
"If the election for president of the United States were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Republican George W. Bush and Democrat [see below]?" Names rotated; respondents pushed for decision
		George W. Bush	Dick Gephardt	Neither (vol.)	Not Sure
		%	%	%	%
	1/04	56	30	12	2
	11/03	49	36	12	3
	7/03	52	33	12	3
	5/03	56	30	12	2

Associated Press poll conducted by Ipsos-Public Affairs. Jan. 5-7, 2004. N=774 registered voters nationwide. (Data from 11/03 and earlier co-sponsored by *Cook Political Report.)*
					.
"If the election for president were held today and the candidates were George W. Bush, the Republican, and [see below], the Democrat, for whom would you vote?" If "other" or "not sure": "Do you lean more toward [see below], the Democrat, or George W. Bush, the Republican?" Each pairing asked of half the sample.
		George W. Bush	Howard Dean	Other/ Neither (vol.)	Not Sure
		%	%	%	%
	1/5-7/04	54	39	2	5
	11/18-20/03	50	36	9	5
	11/4-6/03	52	34	8	6
	10/7-9/03	50	32	10	8
					.
		George W. Bush	Richard Gephardt	Other/ Neither (vol.)	Not Sure
		%	%	%	%
	1/5-7/04	57	35	3	5
	11/18-20/03	52	34	10	4
	11/4-6/03	50	35	9	6
					.
		George W. Bush	Wesley Clark	Other/ Neither (vol.)	Not Sure
		%	%	%	%
	1/5-7/04	49	42	2	7
	10/7-9/03	48	33	9	10

CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll. Jan. 2-5, 2004. N=800 likely voters nationwide. MoE ą 4.
						.
"Thinking about the presidential election in November, in general, are you more likely to vote for George W. Bush or for the Democratic Party's candidate for president?" If undecided: "As of today, do you lean more to Bush or to the Democratic Party's candidate for president?" Wording 2001-2003: "If George W. Bush runs for reelection in 2004, in general, are you more likely to vote for Bush or for the Democratic Party's candidate for president?"
		Bush	Democrat	Other (vol.)	Not Sure
		%	%	%	%
	1/2-5/04	56	40	1	3
	10/3-6/02	53	37	2	8
	Among registered voters:
	12/5-7/03	48	41	4	7
	10/24-26/03	46	43	6	5
	9/8-10/03	47	43	3	7
	8/25-26/03	51	39	4	6
	7/25-27/03	49	40	5	6
	7/18-20/03	46	42	3	9
	6/12-18/03	51	39	3	7
	4/22-23/03	49	36	3	12
	3/29-30/03	51	36	4	9
	3/14-15/03	45	42	5	8
	2/24-26/03	47	39	4	10
	12/16-17/02	51	37	3	9
	10/3-6/02	54	35	1	10
	7/29-31/02	51	34	3	12
	6/21-23/02	51	37	3	9
	4/29 - 5/1/02	56	32	3	9
	10/01	56	29	2	13

Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates. Dec. 19, 2003-Jan. 4, 2004. N=1,167 registered voters nationwide.
.
"Suppose the 2004 presidential election were being held TODAY, and the candidates were [see below]. Who would you vote for?" If "Other" or "Unsure": "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more to [see below]?" Names rotated.
		Bush	Dean	Other/ Unsure
		%	%	%
	12/19/03 - 1/4/04	53	42	5
	10/03	52	41	7
.
		Bush	Lieberman	Other/ Unsure
		%	%	%
	12/19/03 - 1/4/04	52	42	6
	10/03	53	41	6
.
		Bush	Edwards	Other/ Unsure
		%	%	%
	12/19/03 - 1/4/04	54	39	7
.
		Bush	Clark	Other/ Unsure
		%	%	%
	12/19/03 - 1/4/04	52	42	6
	10/03	50	40	10
.
		Bush	Gephardt	Other/ Unsure
		%	%	%
	12/19/03 - 1/4/04	52	42	6
	10/03	49	43	8

Time/CNN Poll conducted by Harris Interactive. Dec. 30, 2003 & Jan. 1, 2004. Nationwide:
					.
"Suppose the 2004 election for president were being held today and you had to choose between [see below], the Democrat, and George W. Bush, the Republican. For whom would you vote: [see below]?" N=604 likely voters, MoE ą 4
					.
		George W. Bush	Howard Dean	Not Sure
		%	%	%
	12/03 - 1/04	51	46	3
	Among all registered voters:
	11/03	52	40	8
	9/03	52	42	6
					.
		George W. Bush	Joseph Lieberman	Not Sure
		%	%	%
	12/03 - 1/04	52	46	2
	Among all registered voters:
	11/03	53	40	7
	9/03	50	44	6
	12/02	55	39	6
					.
		George W. Bush	Dick Gephardt	Not Sure
		%	%	%
	12/03 - 1/04	53	44	3
	Among all registered voters:
	11/03	52	39	9
	9/03	53	42	5

CBS News Poll. Dec. 21-22, 2003. N=685 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 4 (total sample).
						.
"If the 2004 presidential election were being held today, and the candidates were George W. Bush, the Republican, and Howard Dean, the Democrat, do you think you would vote for George W. Bush or Howard Dean?"
		George W. Bush	Howard Dean	Depends (vol.)	None/ Won't Vote (vol.)	Don't Know
		%	%	%	%	%
	ALL	55	35	3	1	6
	Republicans	91	3	2	0	4
	Democrats	20	70	2	1	7
	Independents	57	28	3	1	11

*ABC News/Washington Post* Poll**. Dec. 18-21, 2003. Registered voters nationwide (from a total sample of 1,001 adults). Fieldwork by TNS Intersearch.
						.
"How about if the candidates were George W. Bush, the Republican, and Howard Dean, the Democrat -- for whom would you vote?" Options rotated
						.
		George W. Bush	Howard Dean	Neither/ Other (vol.)	Wouldn't Vote (vol.)	No Opinion
		%	%	%	%	%
	12/18-21/03	56	38	4	1	2
	10/26-29/03	53	39	3	1	3
	Among ALL adults:
	9/03	56	36	4	2	2

CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll. Dec. 15-16, 2003. N=847 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 4.
						.
"If [see below] were the Democratic Party's candidate and George W. Bush were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for: [see below], the Democrat, or George W. Bush, the Republican?" If undecided: "As of today, do you lean more toward [see below], the Democrat, or Bush, the Republican?" Names rotated
						.
		George W. Bush	Joe Lieberman	Neither (vol.)	Other (vol.)	No Opinion
		%	%	%	%	%
	12/15-16/03	59	38	2	-	1
	11/03	52	46	1	-	1
	9/03	48	47	3	-	2

CBS News/New York Times Poll. Dec. 14-15, 2003. N=525 registered voters nationwide.
						.
"If George W. Bush runs for reelection in 2004, do you think you will probably vote for George W. Bush or probably vote for the Democratic candidate?"
		Bush	Democrat	Can't Say Until Chosen (vol.)	None/ Won't Vote (vol.)	Don't Know
		%	%	%	%	%
	12/14-15/03	44	40	8	1	7
	12/10-13/03	42	41	11	2	4
	11/10-13/03	41	43	12	1	3
	10/20-21/03	46	34	16	0	4
	9/28 - 10/1/03	44	44	7	1	4

National Public Radio Poll conducted by Public Opinion Strategies (R) and Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D). Dec. 10-15, 2003. N=1,002 likely voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.1.
					.
"I know it is a long way off, but thinking about the elections in 2004, if the election for president were held today and the candidates were Republican George W. Bush and the Democratic nominee for president, for whom would you vote: Republican George W. Bush or the Democratic nominee for president?" If undecided, ask: "Which way do you lean as of today? Do you lean toward Republican George W. Bush or the Democratic nominee?" Options rotated
		Bush	Democrat	Other Candidate (vol.)	Don't Know
		%	%	%	%
	12/10-15/03	46	42	3	10
	11/11-13/03	44	41
	9-10/03	46	46	2	6
	5/03	50	35	1	13

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Robert Teeter (R). Dec. 14, 2003. N=512 adults nationwide. MoE ą 4.3.
					.
"If President Bush runs for reelection in 2004, do you think you will probably vote for President Bush or probably vote for the Democratic candidate?"
		Bush	Democrat	Another Party's Candidate (vol.)	Depends (vol.)	Not Sure
		%	%	%	%	%
	12/14/03	44	33	1	9	12
	12/13/03	46	40	1	6	7
	11/03	43	40	2	8	8
	9/03	42	40	2	9	7
	7/03	45	36	3	10	7
	5/03	47	32	2	12	7
	4/03	52	24	4	14	6
	1/03	41	34	3	16	6
	12/02	42	28	4	20	6
	10/02 *	45	31	3	17	4
	* Among registered voters

Quinnipiac University Poll. Dec. 4-8, 2003. N=1,071 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.
					.
"Suppose the general election for president were being held today, and the candidates were [see below] the Democrat, and George W. Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?"
					.
		Bush	Dick Gephardt	Someone Else (vol.)	Wouldn't Vote (vol.)	Don't Know
		%	%	%	%	%
	12/03	53	38	1	2	5
	10/03	49	43	2	2	5
	9/03	51	39	2	2	6
	7/03	51	42	1	1	5
	6/03	54	38	2	1	5
	1-2/03	51	42	2	1	5
					.
		Bush	Al Sharpton	Someone Else (vol.)	Wouldn't Vote (vol.)	Don't Know
		%	%	%	%	%
	12/03	59	29	3	4	6
					.
		Bush	Carol Moseley Braun	Someone Else (vol.)	Wouldn't Vote (vol.)	Don't Know
		%	%	%	%	%
	12/03	56	33	3	4	6
					.
		Bush	Dennis Kucinich	Someone Else (vol.)	Wouldn't Vote (vol.)	Don't Know
		%	%	%	%	%
	12/03	55	32	2	3	8
					.
		Bush	Hillary Rodham Clinton	Someone Else (vol.)	Wouldn't Vote (vol.)	Don't Know
		%	%	%	%	%
	12/03	50	44	1	2	3
	10/03	50	42	2	3	4
	9/03	52	42	1	2	3
	7/03	50	43	1	2	3
	6/03	52	40	1	2	4
	1-2/03	52	41	2	2	3

The Los Angeles Times Poll. Nov. 15-18, 2003. N=1,144 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 3 (total sample).
					.
"Do you think George W. Bush deserves to be elected for a second term of office, or not?"
		Does	Does Not	Don't Know
		%	%	%
	11/03	42	46	12
					.
"If George W. Bush runs for reelection in 2004, are you more likely to vote for Bush or more likely to vote for the Democratic Party's candidate for president?"
		Bush	Democrat	Neither (vol.)	Depends (vol.)	Don't Know
		%	%	%	%	%
	11/03	38	42	2	6	12

*CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll*. Nov. 14-16, 2003. N=876 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 4.
			.
"If George W. Bush runs for reelection in 2004, would you say you are certain to vote for Bush, you are probably going to vote for him, you are leaning toward voting for him, you are unsure about voting for or against him, you are leaning against voting for him, you are probably going to vote against him, or would you say you are certain to vote against Bush?" Options rotated
			.
		%
	Certain to vote for Bush	24
	Probably going to vote for Bush	13
	Leaning toward voting for Bush	7
	Unsure	13
	Leaning against voting against Bush	4
	Probably going to vote against Bush	6
	Certain to vote against Bush	33

CBS News Poll. Nov. 10-13, 2003. N=501 registered voters nationwide.
						.
"If George W. Bush runs for reelection in 2004, do you think you will probably vote for George W. Bush, or probably vote for the Democratic candidate, or don't you know yet?"
		Bush	Democrat	Don't Know Yet	Can't Say Until Chosen (vol.)	None/ Won't Vote (vol.)/ Don't Know
		%	%	%	%	%
	11/10-13/03	30	24	42	1	3
	10/20-21/03	32	23	42	3	0
	8/03	33	27	36	1	3
	5/03	34	21	42	2	1

Marist College Poll. Oct. 27-29, 2003. N=788 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.5.
					.
"Do you definitely plan to vote for George Bush for reelection as president in 2004 or do you definitely plan to vote against him?"
		For	Against	Depends (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	10/03	38	44	7	11
	4/03	40	30	14	16
	2/03	36	34	10	20
	1/03	37	35	12	16
	10/02	42	29	11	18
	4/02	41	24	15	20
	1/02	43	21	13	23
					.
"If the 2004 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?"
		George Bush	Richard Gephardt	Unsure
		%	%	%
	10/03	48	43	9		.
					.
		George Bush	Howard Dean	Unsure
		%	%	%
	10/03	49	41	10		.
					.
		George Bush	Joe Lieber- man	Unsure
		%	%	%
	10/03	52	41	7		.
					.
		George Bush	Wesley Clark	Unsure
		%	%	%
	10/03	55	36	9		.

*ABC News/Washington Post* Poll**. Oct. 26-29, 2003. Registered voters nationwide. Fieldwork by TNS Intersearch.
						.
"How about if the candidates were George W. Bush, the Republican, and [see below], the Democrat -- for whom would you vote?" Options rotated
						.
		George W. Bush	Richard Gephardt	Neither (vol.)	Wouldn't Vote (vol.)	No Opinion
		%	%	%	%	%
	10/26-29/03	51	42	4	1	1
	Among ALL adults:
	9/03	54	39	3	2	2
	4/03	60	35	2	1	2
						.
		George W. Bush	Wesley Clark	Neither (vol.)	Wouldn't Vote (vol.)	No Opinion
		%	%	%	%	%
	10/26-29/03	52	40	4	1	3
						.
		George W. Bush	Joseph Lieber- man	Neither (vol.)	Wouldn't Vote (vol.)	No Opinion
		%	%	%	%	%
	10/26-29/03	56	38	3	1	1
	Among ALL adults:
	9/03	54	40	3	2	2
	4/03	61	34	2	1	2

Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates. Oct. 15-19, 2003. Nationwide.
.
"Suppose the 2004 presidential election were being held TODAY, and the candidates were [see below]. Who would you vote for?" If "Other" or "Unsure": "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more to [see below]?" Names rotated. N=557 registered voters.
		George W. Bush	Hillary Clinton	Other/ Unsure
		%	%	%
	10/15-19/03	55	40	5

Zogby America Poll. Oct. 15-18, 2003. N=921 likely voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.3.
					.
"If the election for president were held today and the candidates were Republican George W. Bush and Democrat [see below], for whom would you vote?" Names rotated
					.
		George W. Bush	Wesley Clark	Other (vol.)	Not Sure
		%	%	%	%
	10/15-18/03	46	37	2	15
	9/22-24/03	45	35	2	17
	3/14-15/03	52	28	3	18
	1/24-26/03	56	24	5	15
					.
		George W. Bush	Howard Dean	Other (vol.)	Not Sure
		%	%	%	%
	10/15-18/03	47	39	2	12
	9/22-24/03	47	37	3	13
	9/03	47	37	3	13
	3/03	52	31	3	15
	1/24-26/03	55	25	5	16
					.
		George W. Bush	John Kerry	Other (vol.)	Not Sure
		%	%	%	%
	10/15-18/03	45	41	2	12
	9/22-24/03	47	37	2	14
	3/03	49	36	3	13
	1/24-26/03	53	34	3	11
	1/4-6/03	54	31	3	12
					.
		George W. Bush	Richard Gephardt	Other (vol.)	Not Sure
		%	%	%	%
	10/15-18/03	47	38	3	12
	9/22-24/03	49	37	2	12
	3/03	50	38	2	9
	1/24-26/03	52	32	4	12
	1/4-6/03	55	31	3	11
					.
		George W. Bush	Joe Lieberman	Other (vol.)	Not Sure
		%	%	%	%
	10/15-18/03	46	38	5	11
	9/22-24/03	49	37	2	12
	3/03	50	38	2	9
	1/24-26/03	52	35	3	10
	1/4-6/03	55	31	3	12

*CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll*. Oct. 10-12, 2003. Registered voters nationwide.
					.
"Please tell me whether you think each of the following political officeholders deserves to be reelected, or not. How about President Bush?"
		Yes, Deserves	No, Does Not	No Opinion
		%	%	%
	10/03	53	45	2
	9/02	60	35	5
	4-5/02	69	25	6
	8/01	46	44	10
					.
"If George W. Bush runs for reelection in 2004, would you say you will definitely vote for him, might vote for or against him, or will you definitely vote against him?" Options were rotated
		Definitely For Bush	Might Vote For or Against	Definitely Against Bush	No Opinion
		%	%	%	%
	10/03	38	24	38	-
	1/03	36	31	32	1

Democratic National Committee poll conducted by Lake Snell Perry & Associates (D) and Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D). Oct. 1-6, 2003. N=1,157 likely voters nationwide. MoE ą 2.9.
					.
"I know it is a long way off, but thinking about the elections in 2004, if the election for president were held today and the candidates were Republican George W. Bush and the Democratic nominee for president, for whom would you vote: Republican George W. Bush or the Democratic nominee for president?" If undecided, ask: "Well, if the election for president were held today and you had to decide right now, to which candidate would you lean: Republican George W. Bush or the Democratic nominee for president?"
		Bush	Democrat	Other Candidate (vol.)	Don't Know
		%	%	%	%
	10/03	42	46	2	10

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Sept. 23-24, 2003. N=900 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.
						.
"If the 2004 presidential election were held today, do you think you would be more likely to vote to reelect President Bush OR for the Democratic candidate?" Options rotated
		Bush	Democrat	Depends (vol.)	Not Sure
		%	%	%	%
	9/03	39	39	15	7
	7/03	42	31	19	8
	6/03	51	30	11	8
	4/22-23/03	47	31	16	6
	4/8-9/03	51	26	15	8
	2/03	42	38	10	10
	11/02	44	21	27	8
	1/02	49	21	14	16
						.
"In the 2004 presidential election, let's say the Republican ticket is President George W. Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney versus a Democratic ticket of New York Senator Hillary Clinton for president and retired General Wesley Clark for vice president. If the election were held today, which ticket would you support?"
		Bush/ Cheney	Clinton/ Clark	Neither (vol.)	Not Sure
		%	%	%	%
	9/03	50	39	5	6
						.
"In the 2004 presidential election, let's say the Republican ticket is President George W. Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney versus a Democratic ticket of retired General Wesley Clark for president and New York Senator Hillary Clinton for vice president. If the election were held today, which ticket would you support?"
		Bush/ Cheney	Clark/ Clinton	Neither (vol.)	Not Sure
		%	%	%	%
	9/03	50	40	5	5

Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates. Sept. 18-19, 2003. N=855 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 4 (total sample).
					.
"Suppose the next general election for president were being held TODAY and you had to choose between George W. Bush, the Republican, and [see below], the Democrat -- who would you vote for?" If "Other" or "Undecided": "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more toward Bush, the Republican, or [see below], the Democrat?"
					.
		George W. Bush	Al Gore	Other (vol.)/ Undecided
		%	%	%
	9/18-19/03	48	45	7
	11/02	54	39	7
	10/02	58	36	6
	9/02	58	36	6
					.
		George W. Bush	Hillary Clinton	Other (vol.)/ Undecided
		%	%	%
	9/18-19/03	50	43	7
	9/11-12/03	51	41	8
	11/02	55	40	5
	10/02	58	38	4

Tarrance Group (R)/Lake Snell Perry & Associates (D) Battleground Survey. Sept. 7-10, 2003. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.1.
					.
"Now, thinking about the election for U.S. president that will be held in November 2004 -- If the general election for U.S. president were held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote: George W. Bush, the Republican, or the Democratic nominee for president?" If undecided: "And which candidate do you lean toward slightly?" Names rotated
		Bush	Democrat	Other (vol.)	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	9/03	47	43	1	9

Zogby International for the Draft Gore 2004 Committee. Sept. 5-9, 2003. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.2.
					.
"If the election for president of the United States were held today and the candidates were Democrat Al Gore and Republican George W. Bush, for whom would you vote?"
		George W. Bush	Al Gore	Other (vol.)	Not Sure
		%	%	%	%
	9/03	48	46	4	3
	3/03	51	42	2	6

Time/CNN Poll conducted by Harris Interactive. Sept. 3-4, 2003. N=883 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.3.
					.
If George W. Bush runs for reelection in 2004, would you say you will definitely vote for him, might vote for or against him, or will you definitely vote against him?
		Definitely For	Might Vote For Or Against	Definitely Against	Not Sure
		%	%	%	%
	9/03	29	25	41	5
					.
Now suppose Hillary Rodham Clinton were to run for the Democratic nomination for president. Suppose the 2004 election for president were being held today, and you had to choose between Hillary Rodham Clinton, the Democrat, and George W. Bush, the Republican. For whom would you vote, Clinton or Bush?
		George W. Bush	Hillary Rodham Clinton	Not Sure
		%	%	%
	9/03	50	47	3

Zogby International for DraftWesleyClark.com. Aug. 16-19, 2003. N=1,019 likely voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.2.
						.
*General Election Trial Heats:*
						.	.
		George W. Bush	Joe Lieberman	Other (vol.)	Not Sure
		%	%	%	%
	8/03	48	43	3	6
						.	.
		George W. Bush	Dick Gephardt	Other (vol.)	Not Sure
		%	%	%	%
	8/03	49	43	3	6
						.	.
		George W. Bush	John Kerry	Other (vol.)	Not Sure
		%	%	%	%
	8/03	50	41	2	8
						.	.
		George W. Bush	Howard Dean	Other (vol.)	Not Sure
		%	%	%	%
	8/03	50	40	2	8
						.	.
		George W. Bush	Wesley Clark	Other (vol.)	Not Sure
		%	%	%	%
	8/03	49	37	4	10

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Aug. 12-13, 2003. N=900 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.
						.
"In the 2004 presidential election, lets say the Republican ticket is President George W. Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney versus a Democratic ticket of former Vice President Al Gore for president and New York Senator Hillary Clinton for vice president. If the election were held today, which ticket would you support?"
		Bush/ Cheney	Gore/ Clinton	Neither (vol.)	Not Sure
		%	%	%	%
	ALL	50	39	5	6
	Men	55	35	5	5
	Women	46	42	5	7

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. July 29-30, 2003. N=900 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.
						.
"Considering how President Bush has performed so far, do you think he deserves to be reelected or would the country probably be better off with someone else as president?"
		Deserves Reelection	Someone Else	Depends (vol.)	Not Sure
		%	%	%	%
	7/03	47	40	8	5
	8/01	36	42	13	9
						.
"If the election for president of the United States were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were . . . ?"
						.	.
		George W. Bush	Joe Lieberman	Not Sure/ Other (vol.)	Would Not Vote (vol.)
		%	%	%	%
	7/03	52	33	12	3
	5/03	57	31	10	2
	12/02	56	31	10	3
	8/02	55	30	14	1
	6/01	53	32	14	1

Andres McKenna Research. July 8-10, 2003. N=600 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 4.
					.
General Election Trial Heats:
		George W. Bush	Joe Lieberman	Undecided
		%	%	%
	7/03	51	32	18
					.
		George W. Bush	Dick Gephardt	Undecided
		%	%	%
	7/03	52	30	18

Penn Schoen & Berland Associates (D) for the Democratic Leadership Council. June 29-July 1, 2003. N=1,225 likely voters nationwide. MoE ą 2.8 (total sample).
					.
"Do you think President Bush deserves to be reelected or is it time to give somebody else a chance?"
		Bush	Somebody Else	Not Sure
		%	%	%
	ALL	48	42	10
	Men	52	38	10
	Women	43	46	11

Penn Schoen & Berland Associates (D) for the New Democrat Network. June 8-15, 2003. N=1,001 likely voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.1.
					.
"If the election for president were held today and the candidates were a Democratic candidate or Republican George W. Bush, for whom would you vote?"
		Bush	Democrat	Not Sure
		%	%	%
	6/03	45	36	19

ABC News Poll. May 28-June 1, 2003. N=1,029 adults nationwide. MoE ą 3. Fieldwork by TNS Intersearch.
						.
"If the 2004 presidential election were being held today, and the candidates were George W. Bush, the Republican, and Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, for whom would you vote?" Options rotated
		George W. Bush	Hillary Clinton	Neither (vol.)	Wouldn't Vote (vol.)	No Opinion
		%	%	%	%	%
	5-6/03	58	34	4	2	2

Zogby America Poll. March 14-15, 2003. N=1,129 likely voters nationwide. MoE ą 3.
					.
"If the election for president were held today and the candidates were Republican George W. Bush and Democrat [see below], for whom would you vote?"
		George W. Bush	Hillary Clinton	Other (vol.)	Not Sure
		%	%	%	%
	3/14-15/03	53	39	3	6
					.
		George W. Bush	John Edwards	Other (vol.)	Not Sure
		%	%	%	%
	3/14-15/03	51	32	3	14
	1/24-26/03	53	29	4	13

Quinnipiac University Poll. Feb. 26-March 3, 2003. N=1,232 voters nationwide. MoE ą 2.8 (total sample).
					.
"If George W. Bush runs for reelection in 2004, in general, are you more likely to vote for Bush or for the Democratic Party's candidate for president?"
		Bush	Demo- crat	Other (vol.)	Don't Know
		%	%	%	%
	ALL	44	48	2	6
	Men	48	44	3	5
	Women	39	51	2	7

Quinnipiac University Poll. Jan. 29-Feb. 3, 2003. N=1,307 voters nationwide. MoE ą 2.7 (total sample).
					.
"Suppose the general election for president were being held today, and the candidates were [see below] the Democrat, and George W. Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?"
		ALL	Men	Women
		%	%	%
	George W. Bush (R)	50	53	48
	John Edwards (D)	39	36	42
	Someone else (vol.)	2	2	1
	Wouldn't vote (vol.)	1	2	1
	Don't know	7	7	8

The Los Angeles Times Poll. Jan. 30-Feb. 2, 2003. N=1,197 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 3 (total sample).
					.
"If George W. Bush runs for reelection in 2004, are you more likely to vote for Bush or more likely to vote for the Democratic Party's candidate for president?"
		ALL	Men	Women
		%	%	%
	George W. Bush	45	49	42
	Democratic candidate	40	37	43
	Don't know	15	14	15

The Los Angeles Times Poll. Dec. 12-15, 2002. N=1,305 adults nationwide. (This question asked of registered voters only.)
						.
"Will you definitely vote to reelect George W. Bush as president in 2004, probably vote for him, probably not vote for him or would you definitely not vote to reelect George W. Bush as president in 2004?"
		Definitely Bush	Probably Bush	Probably Not Bush	Definitely Not Bush	Don't Know
		%	%	%	%	%
	12/02	28	24	10	28	10

*CBS News/New York Times* Poll**. Nov. 20-24, 2002. N=996 adults nationwide. MoE ą 3 (total sample).
				.
"If George W. Bush is renominated as the Republican Party's nominee for president in 2004, do you think you will probably vote for George W. Bush, or vote for the Democratic candidate, or don't you know yet?"
		Bush	Democrat	Don't Know Yet	Don't Know
		%	%	%	%
	ALL	32	18	47	3
	Republicans	73	0	26	1
	Democrats	9	45	45	1
	Independents	21	10	65	4

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Nov. 19-20, 2002. N=900 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 3 (total sample).
						.
"Do you think Florida Governor Jeb Bush should run for president in 2008?"
		Yes	No	Up To Him (vol.)	Not Sure
		%	%	%	%
	ALL	12	62	4	22
	Republicans	20	46	5	29
							.
"Thinking about the 2004 presidential elections, if the elections were held today, for whom do you think you would vote if the candidates were [see below]?" Probe for leaners; push for decision; rotate choices
		George W. Bush	Al Gore	Someone Else (vol.)	Not Sure	Would Not Vote (vol.)
		%	%	%	%	%
	11/02	54	28	4	13	1
	8/02	50	37	5	7	1
	12/01	61	23	4	11	1
	6/01	50	38	7	4	1
	1/01	39	36	6	19	-

*CNN/Time* Poll** conducted by Harris Interactive. Nov. 13-14, 2002. N=1,006 adults nationwide. MoE ą 3.1 (total sample).
					.
"Suppose the 2004 election for president were being held today and you had to choose between Al Gore, the Democrat, and George W. Bush, the Republican. For whom would you vote: Gore or Bush?"
		ALL	Repub- licans	Indepen- dents	Demo- crats
		%	%	%	%
	George W. Bush (R)	57	94	59	25
	Al Gore (D)	40	6	36	72
	Not sure	3	-	5	3

Quinnipiac University Poll. Nov. 7-11, 2002. N=1,069 registered voters nationwide. MoE ą 3 (total sample).
					.
"Suppose the general election for president were being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?"
		ALL	Men	Women
		%	%	%
	George W. Bush (R)	53	59	48
	Al Gore (D)	41	35	46
	Someone else (vol.)	2	2	2
	Wouldn't vote (vol.)	1	1	1
	Don't know/No answer	3	2	3

	George W. Bush (R)	55	62	50
	Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)	38	31	45
	Someone else (vol.)	2	2	2
	Wouldn't vote (vol.)	1	2	1
	Don't know/No answer	3	3	3
					.
	George W. Bush (R)	54	59	50
	Joe Lieberman (D)	37	33	41
	Someone else (vol.)	2	2	1
	Wouldn't vote (vol.)	1	1	1
	Don't know/No answer	6	4	7

*CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll*. Nov. 8-10, 2002. N=1,014 adults nationwide. MoE ą 3.
					.
"Suppose the 2004 presidential election were being held today. If George W. Bush runs for reelection, are you more likely to vote for Bush, the Republican, or for the Democratic Party's candidate for president?" If "Other" or "Undecided": "As of today, do you lean more to Bush, the Republican, or to a Democratic candidate?"
		Bush	Democrat	Depends (vol.)	Neither/ Other (vol.)	Not Sure
		%	%	%	%	%
	11/02	55	39	3	1	2

CBS News Poll. Nov. 2-4, 2002. N=1,867 likely voters nationwide. MoE ą 2.
				.
"If George W. Bush runs for reelection in 2004, do you think you will probably vote for Bush, or do you think you will probably vote for the Democratic candidate, or don't you know yet?"
		Probably Bush	Probably Democrat	Don't Know
		%	%	%
	11/02	40	26	34

Bloomberg News Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates. June 11-16, 2002. N=1,201 adults nationwide. MoE ą 3.
					.
"Thinking ahead, suppose the 2004 presidential election were being held today. If you had to choose between George W. Bush, the Republican, or Al Gore, the Democrat, who would you vote for?"
		Bush	Gore	Other (vol.)	Won't Vote (vol.)	Not Sure
		%	%	%	%	%
	6/02	56	32	3	3	6
	4-5/02	55	34	2	2	8
	1/02	64	27	2	2	5
	12/01	60	29	3	1	8
	11/01	59	30	2	2	7
	9/01	58	29	2	2	9
	8/01	46	43	3	2	5

Tarrance Group (R)/Lake Snell Perry & Associates (D) Battleground Survey. June 9-11, 2002. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide.
					.
"In thinking about the 2004 election for president, do you think George W. Bush has performed his job as president well enough to deserve reelection, or do you think it's time to give a new person a chance?" Half sample (Form A)
		Deserves Reelection	Time For New Person	Depends/ Unsure
		%	%	%
	6/02	57	29	14
					.
"In thinking about the 2004 election for president, if the election for president were held today, would you definitely vote for George W. Bush, consider voting for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else?" Half sample (Form B)
		Definitely Bush	Consider Someone Else	Definitely Someone Else	Unsure
		%	%	%	%
	6/02	43	29	23	6

The Gallup Poll. Nov. 2-4, 2001. N=1,012 adults nationwide.
					.
"Suppose that the presidential election were being held today, and it included George W. Bush as the Republican candidate and Al Gore as the Democratic candidate. Would you vote for [rotate] George W. Bush, the Republican, or Al Gore, the Democrat? If "Undecided": "As of today do you lean toward Bush, the Republican, or Gore, the Democrat?" Asked of registered voters
		Bush	Gore	Other (vol.)	No Opinion
		%	%	%	%
	11/01	60	36	2	2
	8/01	49	48	-	3
	6/01	51	42	1	6
	12/00	41	50	1	8

HOME | TABLE OF CONTENTS | SEARCH THE SITECopyright Š 2015 POLLING REPORT, INC., and polling/sponsoring organizations