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     White House 2004: Miscellany (p. 2)


Polls listed chronologically. All data are from nationwide surveys of Americans 18 & older.

.

.

ABC News Poll. Oct. 5, 2004. N=509 registered voters nationwide who watched the vice-presidential debate. Respondents were initially interviewed Oct. 1-4. MoE 4.5 (for all registered voters). Fieldwork by TNS.

.

"Who, in your opinion, won the debate?"

.

Cheney Edwards Tie    
% % %    

ALL

43 35 19    

  Bush supporters

80 4 13    
  Kerry supporters 6 69 23    

.

Party ID of debate viewers:

%        

Democrats

31        
Republicans 38        
Independents 27        

 

Los Angeles Times Poll. Sept. 30 (following the presidential debate) & Oct. 1, 2004. N=725 registered voters nationwide who watched the presidential debate. MoE 4. Respondents had been polled Sept. 25-28 by the Los Angeles Times.

.

"Who do you think did the best job, or won, the debate between George W. Bush and John Kerry -- or do you think the debate was about even?"

.

Bush Kerry Even Unsure  
% % % %  

9/30 - 10/1/04

15 54 30 1  

.

"Who do you think seemed more knowledgeable: George W. Bush or John Kerry -- or do you think they were about even?"

.

Bush Kerry Even Unsure  
% % % %  

9/30 - 10/1/04

29 42 28 1  

.

"Who do you think displayed the strongest personality and character: George W. Bush or John Kerry -- or do you think they were about even?"

.

Bush Kerry Even Unsure  
% % % %  

9/30 - 10/1/04

33 40 25 2  

.

"Who do you think was better at getting across his message: George W. Bush or John Kerry -- or do you think they were about even?"

.

Bush Kerry Even Unsure  
% % % %  

9/30 - 10/1/04

23 49 27 1  

.

"Regardless of your personal preference for president, who do you think responded best under pressure: George W. Bush or John Kerry -- or do you think they were about even?"

.

Bush Kerry Even Unsure  
% % % %  

9/30 - 10/1/04

16 54 27 3  

.

"Who do you think seemed more 'presidential': George W. Bush or John Kerry -- or do you think they were about even?"

.

Bush Kerry Even Unsure  
% % % %  

9/30 - 10/1/04

38 40 19 3  

.

"Who appeared to be the most likable: George W. Bush or John Kerry -- or do you think they were about even?"

.

Bush Kerry Even Unsure  
% % % %  

9/30 - 10/1/04

39 38 22 1  

 

ABC News Poll. Sept. 30, 2004. N=531 registered voters nationwide who watched the presidential debate. Respondents were initially interviewed Sept. 23-29. MoE 4.5 (for all registered voters). Fieldwork by TNS.

.

"Who, in your opinion, won the debate?"

.

Bush Kerry Tie    
% % %    

ALL

36 45 17    

  Democrats

6 81 11    
  Republicans 69 7 22    
  Independents 28 48 24    
  Men 34 43 23    
  Women 39 46 12    

.

Party ID of debate viewers:

%        

Democrats

35        
Republicans 35        
Independents 24        

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Sept. 6-8, 2004. N=952 registered voters nationwide. MoE 3. Fieldwork by TNS.

.

"Who do you trust to do a better job handling [see below], Bush or Kerry?" Names rotated

.

Bush Kerry Both
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
No
Opinion
% % % % %

"The U.S. campaign against terrorism"

9/6-8/04

57 35 1 3 4

7/30 - 8/1/04

48 45 - 1 5
7/22-25/04 55 37 2 3 3
Among ALL adults:
6/17-20/04 47 48 1 3 1
5/20-23/04 52 39 1 4 4
4/15-18/04 58 37 1 3 1
3/4-7/04 57 36 2 2 3
2/10-11/04 53 37 1 4 5

.

"The situation in Iraq"

9/6-8/04

53 37 1 4 6

7/30 - 8/1/04

46 48 - 2 4
7/22-25/04 52 40 1 3 3
Among ALL adults:
6/17-20/04 50 45 - 4 1
5/20-23/04 48 42 - 6 3
4/15-18/04 52 41 - 4 2
3/4-7/04 47 48 1 3 2
2/10-11/04 48 41 1 6 5

.

"Taxes"

9/6-8/04

50 40 - 5 5

7/30 - 8/1/04

43 49 1 3 4
7/22-25/04 49 43 1 4 4
Among ALL adults:
6/17-20/04 40 53 0 4 2
4/15-18/04 49 43 - 6 2
3/4-7/04 43 51 1 4 2

.

"Relations with other countries"

9/6-8/04

47 42 1 4 6

7/30 - 8/1/04

42 51 1 2 5

.

"The economy"

9/6-8/04

47 43 1 4 5

7/30 - 8/1/04

41 52 - 3 4
7/22-25/04 47 46 1 3 4
Among ALL adults:
6/17-20/04 45 50 1 3 1
5/20-23/04 43 48 - 5 3
4/15-18/04 47 47 1 4 1
3/4-7/04 41 53 - 4 2
2/10-11/04 41 49 1 4 5

.

"Appointments to the U.S. Supreme Court"

9/6-8/04

46 36 1 3 15

.

"Education"

9/6-8/04

46 42 1 5 6

7/30 - 8/1/04

39 52 1 3 5
7/22-25/04 44 45 1 4 6
Among ALL adults:
6/17-20/04 42 52 1 2 2
4/15-18/04 47 44 1 6 2
3/4-7/04 40 52 1 3 4
2/10-11/04 40 49 1 6 5

.

"Creating jobs"

9/6-8/04

43 45 1 6 6

.

"Health care"

9/6-8/04

42 45 1 5 8

7/30 - 8/1/04

36 55 - 3 5
7/22-25/04 44 47 1 4 5
Among ALL adults:
6/17-20/04 37 58 - 4 2

.

"Helping the middle class"

9/6-8/04

42 47 1 6 4

 

CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll. Sept. 3-5, 2004. N=1,018 adults voters nationwide. MoE 3.

.

"Please tell me whether you agree or disagree that George W. Bush has the personality and leadership qualities a president should have."

.

Agree Disagree Unsure    
% % %    
9/3-5/04 59 41 -    
7/30 - 8/1/04 55 43 2    

.

"Please tell me whether you agree or disagree that John Kerry has the personality and leadership qualities a president should have."

.

Agree Disagree Unsure    
% % %    
9/3-5/04 51 45 4    
7/30 - 8/1/04 58 38 4    

.

"Please tell me whether you agree or disagree with George W. Bush on the issues that matter most to you."

.

Agree Disagree Unsure    
% % %    
9/3-5/04 50 48 2    
7/30 - 8/1/04 48 51 1    

.

"Please tell me whether you agree or disagree with John Kerry on the issues that matter most to you."

.

Agree Disagree Unsure    
% % %    
9/3-5/04 48 47 5    
7/30 - 8/1/04 52 43 5    

.

"Regardless of which presidential candidate you support, please tell me if you think John Kerry or George W. Bush would better handle each of the following issues. How about [see below]?"

.

Bush Kerry Same
(vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  

.

"Terrorism"

  9/3-5//04

61 34 1 4  

  5/7-9/04

55 38 1 6  

  3/5-7/04

60 33 2 5  

.

"The situation in Iraq"

  9/3-5//04

54 41 1 4  

  5/7-9/04

48 45 1 6  

  3/5-7/04

54 39 2 5  

.

"The economy"

  9/3-5//04

46 49 2 3  

  5/7-9/04

40 54 1 5  

  3/5-7/04

42 50 2 6  

.

"Health care"

  9/3-5//04

40 53 1 6  

  3/5-7/04

36 55 2 7  

.

"Thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say whether you think each one applies more to John Kerry or more to George W. Bush. How about [see below]?"

.

Bush Kerry Both
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %

.

"Is a strong and decisive leader"

  9/3-5//04

60 32 4 3 1

.

"Shares your values"

  9/3-5//04

48 45 2 3 2

.

"Is honest and trustworthy"

  9/3-5//04

47 38 5 8 2

.

"Has an optimistic vision for the country's future"

  9/3-5//04

46 44 7 1 2

.

"Will unite the country and not divide it"

  9/3-5//04

44 46 3 5 2

.

"Cares about the needs of people like you"

  9/3-5//04

41 48 5 5 1

.

"Thinking about the likelihood of terrorist attacks against the U.S., do you think the chances of terrorist attacks will be less if John Kerry is elected president, the chances of terrorist attacks will be less if George W. Bush is reelected president, or the outcome of the presidential election this year will not have any effect on the chances of additional terrorist attacks in the next four years?"

.

Less if
Kerry
Less if
Bush
No Effect Unsure  
% % % %  
9/3-5/04 16 31 49 4  
8/23-25/04 20 23 53 4  

.

"Would you say that the Republican Party has or has not attacked John Kerry unfairly?"

.

Has Has Not Unsure    
% % %    
9/3-5/04 52 41 7    

.

"Would you say that the Democratic Party has or has not attacked George W. Bush unfairly?"

.

Has Has Not Unsure    
% % %    
9/3-5/04 41 53 6    

 

Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates. Sept. 2-3, 2004. N=1,008 registered voters nationwide. MoE 4.

.

"If you could vote separately for vice president, would you be more likely to vote for Dick Cheney, the Republican, or John Edwards, the Democrat?" Options rotated

.

Cheney Edwards Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  
9/2-3/04 44 45 3 8  
7/29-30/04 36 55 3 6  
7/8-9/04 41 52 2 5  

.

"Regardless of which presidential candidate you support, please tell me if you trust George W. Bush or John Kerry to do a better job handling each of the following issues. What about [see below]? Which do you trust to do a better job handling this issue: Bush or Kerry?" Names rotated

.

Bush Kerry Equal
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Don't
Know
% % % % %

.

"Terrorism and homeland security"

  9/2-3/04 60 32 2 3 4
  7/29-30/04 48 43 2 2 5
  3/18-19/04 56 35 2 1 6

.

"The situation in Iraq"

  9/2-3/04 55 37 1 2 5
  7/29-30/04 46 46 1 2 5
  3/18-19/04 53 38 2 2 5

.

"Foreign policy in general"

  9/2-3/04 54 38 2 1 5
  7/29-30/04 44 49 1 2 4

.

"Taxes"

  9/2-3/04 52 38 1 2 7
  7/29-30/04 42 48 1 3 6
  3/18-19/04 45 44 1 3 7

.

"The economy"

  9/2-3/04 49 43 1 2 5
  7/29-30/04 42 49 1 2 6
  3/18-19/04 43 47 2 2 6

.

"Education"

  9/2-3/04 48 42 2 2 6
  7/29-30/04 40 48 2 2 8
  3/18-19/04 43 46 2 2 7

.

"American jobs and foreign competition"

  9/2-3/04 45 44 1 3 7
  7/29-30/04 36 53 1 2 8
  3/18-19/04 39 50 1 3 7

.

"Gay marriage"

  9/2-3/04 44 36 1 6 13

.

"Health care, including Medicare"

  9/2-3/04 43 45 2 2 8
  7/29-30/04 32 55 2 3 8
  3/18-19/04 37 53 1 2 7

.

"The environment"

  9/2-3/04 36 50 2 2 10
  7/29-30/04 29 59 2 2 8

 

Time Poll conducted by Schulman, Ronca & Bucuvalas (SRBI) Public Affairs. Aug. 24-26, 2004. N=1,026 registered voters nationwide. MoE 4.

.

"Which candidate, Bush or Kerry, do you trust more to handle each of the following areas? . . ."

.

Bush Kerry Neither
(vol.)
Both
(vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %

"Providing strong leadership in difficult times"

   8/24-26/04

52 41 2 0 4

   8/3-5/04

48 43 3 1 5

   7/20-22/04

49 42 3 1 6

.

"The war on terrorism"

   8/24-26/04

51 41 3 1 4

   8/3-5/04

49 41 4 1 5

   7/20-22/04

50 42 2 1 5

.

"Being commander-in-chief of the armed forces"

   8/24-26/04

50 42 1 0 6

   8/3-5/04

45 47 2 1 4

.

"The situation in Iraq"

   8/24-26/04

49 41 4 0 6

   8/3-5/04

46 44 4 1 5

   7/20-22/04

48 44 3 - 4

.

"Moral values issues"

   8/24-26/04

47 39 5 1 8

   8/3-5/04

44 44 4 0 8

   7/20-22/04

48 40 4 1 8

.

"Tax policy"

   8/24-26/04

44 45 3 0 7

   8/3-5/04

43 47 4 0 5

.

"The economy"

   8/24-26/04

43 46 4 0 7

   8/3-5/04

42 51 2 1 4

   7/20-22/04

42 50 2 - 5

.

"Understanding the needs of people like yourself"

   8/24-26/04

42 45 7 1 5

   8/3-5/04

38 53 5 1 3

   7/20-22/04

40 52 5 0 3

.

"Health care"

   8/24-26/04

39 47 4 0 10

   8/3-5/04

36 54 4 1 5

   7/20-22/04

36 53 4 - 8

 

Los Angeles Times Poll. Aug. 21-24, 2004. N=1,352 registered voters nationwide. MoE 3:

.

"Does what you know about George W. Bush's military record make you more or less likely to vote for him for president, or doesn't his military record make a difference in the way you will vote one way or another?"

.

More
Likely
Less
Likely
No
Difference
Unsure
% % % %
8/21-24/04 8 19 70 3

.

"Does what you know about John Kerry's military record make you more or less likely to vote for him for president, or doesn't his military record make a difference in the way you will vote one way or another?"

.

More
Likely
Less
Likely
No
Difference
Unsure
% % % %
8/21-24/04 23 21 53 3

.

"As you may know, John Kerry is a Vietnam veteran who earned several medals for combat. He also protested the war when he returned. Which statement comes closer to your view: In his combat missions in Vietnam, John Kerry demonstrated qualities America needs in a president. OR, By protesting the war in Vietnam, John Kerry demonstrated a judgment and belief that is inappropriate in a president." Order of statements rotated

.

Qualities
America
Needs
Inapprop-
riate
Both
(vol.)
Unsure
% % % %
8/21-24/04 48 37 4 11

.

"Does knowing that John Kerry protested the war in Vietnam make you more or less likely to vote for him for president, or does knowing that he protested the war not make a difference in the way you will vote one way or the other?"

.

More
Likely
Less
Likely
No
Difference
Unsure
% % % %
8/21-24/04 20 26 52 2

.

"Do you believe that John Kerry misrepresented his war record and does not deserve his war medals, or that John Kerry fought honorably and does deserve his war medals?"

.

Does Not
Deserve
Does
Deserve
Haven't
Heard
Enough
(vol.)
Unsure
% % % %
8/21-24/04 18 58 5 19

 

University of Pennsylvania National Annenberg Election Survey. Aug. 9-16, 2004. N=2,209 adults nationwide. MoE 2 (for all adults). Interviewing conducted by Schulman, Ronca, Bucuvalas, Inc.

.

"Have you seen or heard about a television ad from some Viet Nam veterans that says John Kerry did not earn his medals in the Viet Nam War but lied about his war record?"

.

Yes No      
% %      
8/9-16/04 57 41      

.

Asked of those who have seen or heard of ad (MoE 3):
"From what you have seen or heard about the ad, how believable do you find the ad . . . ?"

.

  %      
Very/Somewhat believable 46      
Very/Somewhat UNbelievable 49      

.

"During the Viet Nam War, John Kerry was awarded purple hearts, a bronze star and a silver star. Do you believe that Kerry earned all of these medals or do you think he did not earn them?"

.

Did Earn
Them
Did Not
Earn
Them
     
% %      
ALL 59 21      
  Republicans 39 38      
  Democrats 78 8      
  Independents 59 20      

 

Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates. July 29-30, 2004. N=1,010 registered voters nationwide. MoE 4.

.

"Regardless of which presidential candidate you support, please tell me if you trust George W. Bush or John Kerry to do a better job handling each of the following issues. What about stem cell research? Which do you trust to do a better job handling this issue: Bush or Kerry?" Names rotated

.

Bush Kerry Equal
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Don't
Know
% % % % %
  7/29-30/04 26 53 1 3 17

 

Marist College Poll. July 12-15, 2004. N=938 registered voters nationwide. MoE 3.5.

.

"Do you think it matters a great deal, somewhat, not too much, or not at all whether George Bush or John Kerry wins the presidential election this year?"

.

A Great
Deal
Somewhat Not Too
Much

Not
At All

% % % %

7/04

75

15

5

5

.

4/04

66

16

9

9

.


 

Gallup Poll. July 8-11, 2004. N=1,005 adults nationwide (MoE 3), including 360 Republicans (MoE 6).

.

"If President Bush runs for reelection in 2004, do you think he should keep Dick Cheney as his vice-presidential running mate, or choose someone new?"

.

Cheney

Someone
New

No
Opinion

%

%

%

ALL adults:

7/8-11/04

59 34 7

7/18-20/03

53 39 8

.

Republicans:

7/8-11/04

71 25 4

7/18-20/03

72 24 4

 

Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. July 8-9, 2004. N=1,001 registered voters nationwide. MoE 4.

.

"Does John Kerry's choice of John Edwards as his vice-presidential running mate make you more likely or less likely to vote for Kerry in November -- or does it not make much difference either way?"

.

More
Likely
Less
Likely
No Diff-
erence
Unsure

.

% % % %

.

7/8-9/04 21 8 69 2

.


 

NBC News Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. July 6, 2004. N=504 registered voters nationwide. MoE 5.

.

"Does Kerry's choice of John Edwards as his vice-presidential running mate make you more likely to vote for Kerry for president in November, less likely to vote for Kerry, or does it not make much difference either way?"

.

More
Likely
Less
Likely
No Diff-
erence
Unsure

.

% % % %

.

7/6/04 24 7 63 6

.

.

"Does George Bush's choice of Dick Cheney to once again be his vice-presidential running mate make you more likely to vote for Bush for president in November, less likely to vote for Bush, or does it not make much difference either way?"

.

More
Likely
Less
Likely
No Diff-
erence
Unsure

.

% % % %

.

7/6/04 15 21 60 4

.

.

"If he were ever called upon to be president, who do you think would do a better job of running the country: Dick Cheney or John Edwards?" Names rotated

.

Cheney Edwards Both
Equally
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)/
Unsure

.

% % % %

.

7/6/04 38 45 2 15

.

.

"Who do you think is more optimistic about the future of the country: George Bush or John Kerry?"

.

Bush Kerry Both/
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure

.

% % % %

.

7/6/04 41 49 3 7

.

.

"What about the vice-presidential candidates? Who do you think is more optimistic about the future of the country: Dick Cheney or John Edwards?"

.

Cheney Edwards Both/
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure

.

% % % %

.

7/6/04 28 49 3 20

.


 

George Washington University Battleground Poll conducted by the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Snell Perry & Associates (D). June 20-23, 2004. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. MoE 3.1.

.

"Now, I would like to read you a list of leadership qualities that some people from this part of the country have said are important to them. Please listen as I read the list and tell me, for each one, who better represents this quality: President George W. Bush or John Kerry [names rotated]. Here is the first one . . . ."

.

  Bush Kerry Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
  % % % %
"Says what he believes" 57 34 4 5

.

"Steady, consistent leader" 54 37 3 6

.

"Strong leader" 54 38 3 5

.

"Represents my values" 48 44 4 3

.

"Is honest and trustworthy" 45 42 6 6

.

"Cares about people like me" 41 46 7 6

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. June 17-20, 2004. N=approx. 600 adults nationwide. Fieldwork by TNS Intersearch.

.

"Who do you trust to do a better job handling [see below], Bush or Kerry?" Names rotated

.

Bush Kerry Both
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
No
Opinion
% % % % %

"The federal budget deficit"

6/17-20/04 44 48 1 5 3
4/15-18/04 45 46 1 6 2
3/4-7/04 38 53 2 5 3

.

"International affairs"

6/17-20/04 43 51 - 3 2

.

"Prescription drug benefits for the elderly"

6/17-20/04 38 50 1 7 4
4/15-18/04 42 45 2 7 4
3/4-7/04 41 50 1 4 5

 

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. June 8-9, 2004. N=900 registered voters nationwide. MoE 3.

 

 

 

 

 

 

.

"Which candidate do you think would do a better job on the following issues: George W. Bush or John Kerry? . . ."

 

 

 

 

 

 

.

 

 

Bush

Kerry

Both
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

Not
Sure

 

 

%

%

%

%

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

.

 

"A national crisis"

 

  6/8-9/04

48

34

3

4

11

 

 

 

 

 

 

.

 

"The war on terrorism"

 

  6/8-9/04

47

32

3

6

12

 

  5/4-5/04

52

26

3

5

14

 

  4/6-7/04

51

33

3

3

10

 

 

 

 

 

 

.

 

"Foreign policy"

 

  6/8-9/04

45

40

2

2

11

 

  5/4-5/04

47

37

1

4

11

 

  4/6-7/04

45

37

2

3

13

 

 

 

 

 

 

.

 

"The situation in Iraq"

 

  6/8-9/04

43

39

1

6

11

 

  5/4-5/04

48

35

1

6

10

 

  4/6-7/04

47

34

2

5

12

 

 

 

 

 

 

.

 

"Taxes"

 

  6/8-9/04

41

41

1

5

12

 

  5/4-5/04

44

37

1

5

13

 

  4/6-7/04

43

40

1

4

12

 

 

 

 

 

 

.

 

"The economy"

 

  6/8-9/04

41

44

2

3

10

 

  5/4-5/04

41

39

2

6

12

 

  4/6-7/04

39

44

2

4

11

 

 

 

 

 

 

.

 

"Education"

 

  6/8-9/04

40

44

3

3

10

 

  5/4-5/04

42

40

1

3

14

 

  4/6-7/04

38

42

3

4

13

 

 

 

 

 

 

.

 

"Health care"

 

  6/8-9/04

34

48

3

4

11

 

  5/4-5/04

34

41

2

8

15

 

  4/6-7/04

31

47

2

5

15

 

 

 

 

 

 

.

 

"Social Security"

 

  6/8-9/04

33

44

3

6

14

 

  5/4-5/04

34

37

2

9

18

 

 

 

 

 

 

.

 

"Gas prices"

 

  6/8-9/04

32

39

2

12

15


 

Time/CNN Poll conducted by Harris Interactive. May 12-13, 2004. N=1,001 adults nationwide. MoE 3.1.

.

"Which candidate -- George W. Bush or John Kerry -- do you think would do a better job on each of the following issues? . . ."

.

 

Bush

Kerry

Not
Sure

 

%

%

%

Handling the war on terrorism 49 42 9
Moral values 46 42 12
Handling foreign policy 44 46 10
Handling the situation in Iraq 43 46 11
Taxes 41 47 12
Gay marriage 39 39 22
Handling the economy 38 51 11
Reducing unemployment 36 52 12
Reducing the deficit 34 52 14
Health care 33 52 15
Protecting the environment 33 55 12

 

CBS News/New York Times Poll. April 23-27, 2004. N=856 registered voters nationwide. MoE 3.

.

"Do you think of George W. Bush / John Kerry more as a liberal, a moderate, or a conservative?"

.

Liberal Moderate Conser-
vative
Don't
Know
% % % %
Bush 12 21 56 11
Kerry 43 28 12 17

.

"Do you think George W. Bush / John Kerry has the same priorities for the country as you have, or not?"

.

Same Not the
Same
Don't
Know
% % %
Bush 42 55 3
Kerry 37 45 18

.

"Do you think George W. Bush / John Kerry says what he really believes most of the time, or does he say what he thinks people want to hear?"

.

What He
Believes
What
People
Want to
Hear
Don't
Know
% % %
Bush 53 43 4
Kerry 29 61 10

.

"Whether or not you approve of his policies, do you think of George W. Bush / John Kerry as someone you would like personally?"

.

Yes No Don't
Know
% % %
Bush 57 37 6
Kerry 48 33 19

.

"Do you think George W. Bush / John Kerry shares the moral values most Americans try to live by, or doesn't he?"

.

Does Does
Not
Don't
Know
% % %
Bush 68 25 7
Kerry 58 23 19

.

"Do you think George W. Bush / John Kerry has a vision of where he wants to lead the country, or not?"

.

Does Does
Not
Don't
Know
% % %
Bush 77 19 4
Kerry 69 20 11

.

"Do you have confidence in George W. Bush's / John Kerry's ability to deal wisely with an international crisis, or are you uneasy about his approach?"

.

Have
Confidence
Uneasy Don't
Know
% % %
Bush 44 53 3
Kerry 39 47 14

.

"How much confidence do you have in George W. Bush's / John Kerry's ability to make the right decisions about the ongoing conflict in Iraq -- a lot, some, not much, or none at all?"

.

A Lot Some Not
Much
None
At All
Don't
Know
% % % % %
Bush 28 30 18 24 0
Kerry 18 43 23 12 4

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. April 21-25, 2004. N=approx. 500 adults nationwide. Fieldwork by TNS Intersearch.

.

"Please tell me whether the following statement applies more to George W. Bush, or more to John Kerry. . . ." Names rotated

.

Bush Kerry Both
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
No
Opinion
% % % % %
"He is a caring and compassionate person"
4/21-25/04 45 37 4 9 6

.

"He shares my values and beliefs"
4/21-25/04 45 38 2 8 7

.

"He is a 'people person'"
4/21-25/04 45 41 4 6 4

.

"He is a friendly and likeable person"
4/21-25/04 44 36 6 8 6

.

"He sometimes seems cold and distant"
4/21-25/04 39 36 3 12 10

.

"He has a boring personality"
4/21-25/04 37 41 5 11 5

 

Marist College Poll. April 20-23, 2004. N=787 registered voters nationwide. MoE 3.5 (total sample).

.

"Which one of the following Democrats would you most like to see Senator John Kerry choose to run with him as vice president . . . ?" Names and titles read

.

ALL Reg.
Voters
Dem. &
Leaners
  % %
John Edwards 28 34
Wesley Clark 14 12
Dick Gephardt 9 10
Bob Graham 6 6
Bill Richardson 5 6
Sam Nunn 4 1
Evan Bayh 3 3
Janet Napolitano 3 4
Mark Warner 3 2
Tom Vilsack 2 1
Unsure 23 21

 

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. April 21-22, 2004. N=376 Democratic voters nationwide.

.

"Is there anyone in particular you would like to see on the 2004 Democratic ticket as John Kerry's running mate?" Open-ended

.

Dem.
Voters
  %
John Edwards 18
Hillary Clinton 9
Howard Dean 4
Wesley Clark 3
Bill Clinton 3
Al Gore 3
John McCain 3
Dick Gephardt 2
Evan Bayh 1
Bob Graham 1
Dennis Kucinich 1
Joe Lieberman 1
Bill Richardson 1
Other 6
Anybody 13
Don't know 31

 

CBS News Poll. March 30-April 1, 2004. N=834 registered voters nationwide. MoE 3.

.

"John Kerry and George W. Bush have begun their campaigns for the November election. What do you think George W. Bush has been spending more time doing in his campaign: explaining what he would do as president or attacking John Kerry?"

.

Explaining Attacking Don't
Know
   
  % % %    
3/30 - 4/1/04 41 43 16    

.

"What do you think John Kerry has been spending more time doing in his campaign: explaining what he would do as president or attacking George W. Bush?"

.

Explaining Attacking Don't
Know
   
  % % %    
3/30 - 4/1/04 31 53 16    

.

"Do you think either of these candidates for president -- John Kerry or George W. Bush -- has attacked the other unfairly?" If Yes: "Who attacked unfairly?"

.

Kerry Bush Both
Equally
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Don't
Know
  % % % % %
3/30 - 4/1/04 21 12 21 31 15

 

The Los Angeles Times Poll. March 27-30, 2004. N=1,415 registered voters nationwide. MoE 3.

.

"For the next seven [sic] questions, do you think each statement applies more to George W. Bush or more to John Kerry? . . ."

.

Bush Kerry Both
Equally
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Don't
Know
% % % % %

.

"He has good judgment in a crisis"

51 26 2 8 13

.

"He will be a strong leader for the country"

48 39 3 5 5

.

"He has the honesty and integrity to serve as president"

41 36 7 10 6

.

"He would be best at protecting the financial security of the average American"

35 46 2 9 8

.

"He cares about people like me"

33 46 4 11 6

.

"He flip flops on the issues"

31 41 8 9 11

 

Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates. March 22-28, 2004. N=613 registered voters nationwide. MoE 4.5.

.

"Regardless of who you support, which one of the presidential candidates, George W. Bush or John Kerry, do you think would do the best job of [see below]?" If someone other than Bush or Kerry: "If you had to choose between Bush and Kerry . . . ?"

.

  Bush Kerry Neither
(vol.)
Don't
Know
  % % % %

.

"Defending the country from future terrorist attacks" 53 29 4 14

.

"Making wise decisions about what to do in Iraq"

49 37 4 10

.

"Making wise decisions about foreign policy"

44 38 4 14

.

"Improving education"

39 43 5 13

.

"Improving economic conditions"

39 44 6 11

.

"Making wise decisions about U.S. trade policies"

38 39 5 18

.

"Improving the job situation"

37 45 7 11

.

"Improving the health care system"

33 46 6 15

 

Quinnipiac University Poll. March 16-22, 2004. N=1,865 registered voters nationwide. MoE 2.3 (total sample).

.

"Thinking about the next presidential election, do you think George W. Bush should keep Dick Cheney on the ticket as vice president or do you think Bush should consider replacing Cheney with a different running mate?"

.

Keep
Cheney
Consider
Replacing
Unsure
  % % %
ALL 47 30 23
Republicans 66 22 12
Democrats 34 35 31
Independents 42 33 25

.

"Who do you think John Kerry should select to be his vice-presidential running mate?" Among Democratic voters

.

Demo-
crats
  %
John Edwards 27
Hillary Clinton 5
John McCain 3
Howard Dean 2
Richard Gephardt 2
Wesley Clark 1
Joseph Lieberman 1
Al Sharpton 1
Bob Graham 1
Bill Richardson 1
Other 5
Don't know 52

 

Associated Press-Ipsos poll conducted by Ipsos-Public Affairs. March 19-21, 2004. N=784 registered voters nationwide. MoE 3.5.

.

"Now I'm going to read you a list of characteristics a president might have. Regardless of how you might vote in November, please tell me whether you think it applies more to George W. Bush or John Kerry. . . ."

.

Bush Kerry Both
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Not
Sure
% % % % %

.

He is a strong leader

60 32 1 4 3

.

He stands up for what he believes 57 34 5 3 1

.

He is honest

45 40 3 9 3

.

He has a vision for the future 45 45 5 3 2

.

He shares your view of government 45 45 1 6 3

.

He cares about people like you

42 49 2 5 2

.

"Now, thinking about some issues -- no matter whom you might vote for in the presidential election, who do you think will be BETTER at creating jobs . . . ?"

.

Bush Kerry Both
Would
Do Well
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Not
Sure
% % % % %
  37 53 1 6 3

.

"Who do you trust to do a BETTER job of protecting the country . . . ?"

.

Bush Kerry Both
Would
Do Well
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Not
Sure
% % % % %
  58 35 1 4 2

.

"Who is MORE LIKELY to share your values . . . ?"

.

Bush Kerry Both
Would
Do Well
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Not
Sure
% % % % %
  47 47 1 3 2

 

Case Western Reserve University poll conducted by Synovate. March 19-21, 2004. N=1,000 adults nationwide. MoE 3 (total sample).

.

"As a vice-presidential candidate, who is most likely to help Senator John Kerry win the general election in November: [see below]?"

.

  ALL Demo-
crats
Repub-
licans
  % % %
Senator John Edwards 21 31 15
Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton 12 18 8
Senator John McCain 11 10 14
Retired General Wesley Clark 6 8 4
Representative Dick Gephardt 5 4 6
Senator Bob Graham 2 2 3
Governor Bill Richardson 2 2 1
Governor Ed Rendell 1 1 -
Senator Mary Landrieu 1 1 1
Governor Tom Vilsack - - -
Don't know 41 24 49

.

"Of these Democrats [sic], who is most qualified to assume the presidency should that be necessary: [see below]?"

.

  ALL Demo-
crats
Repub-
licans
  % % %
Senator John McCain 15 12 21
Senator John Edwards 14 21 12
Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton 12 21 5
Representative Dick Gephardt 7 8 7
Retired General Wesley Clark 6 10 4
Senator Bob Graham 3 1 3
Governor Bill Richardson 2 1 2
Governor Ed Rendell 1 1 -
Senator Mary Landrieu 1 1 1
Governor Tom Vilsack - - -
Don't know 40 24 46

.

"As a vice-presidential candidate, who is most likely to help President George W. Bush win reelection in November: [see below]?"

.

  ALL Demo-
crats
Repub-
licans
  % % %
Vice President Dick Cheney 27 23 38
Secretary of State Colin Powell 23 22 24
Mayor Rudi Giuliani 12 13 16
National Security Advisor Condoleeza Rice 4 4 5
Senator Elizabeth Dole 2 2 3
U.S. Homeland Security Secretary Tom Ridge 1 1 1
Don't know 31 35 14

.

"Of these Republicans, who is most qualified to assume the presidency should that be necessary: [see below]?"

.

  ALL Demo-
crats
Repub-
licans
  % % %
Secretary of State Colin Powell 32 33 32
Vice President Dick Cheney 19 16 31
Mayor Rudi Giuliani 11 12 12
National Security Advisor Condoleeza Rice 4 4 6
U.S. Homeland Security Secretary Tom Ridge 2 4 3
Senator Elizabeth Dole 2 3 2
Don't know 29 29 13

 

CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll. March 5-7, 2004. N=1,005 adults nationwide (MoE 3), including 489 Democrats and Democratic leaners (MoE 5).

.

"Would you say that George W. Bush and the Republican Party have or have not attacked John Kerry unfairly?"

.

Have Have
Not
No
Opinion
  % % %
3/04 21 67 12

.

"Would you say that John Kerry and the Democratic Party have or have not attacked George W. Bush unfairly?"

.

Have Have
Not
No
Opinion
  % % %
3/04 35 57 8

.

"Is there any Democrat you would like to see John Kerry choose as his vice-presidential running mate for the coming election?" If "Yes": "Who is that?"

.

ALL Demo-
crats/
Leaners
  % %
John Edwards 23 30
Howard Dean 2 3
Hillary Clinton 2 4
Wesley Clark 2 3
Al Gore 2 3
Dick Gephardt 1 2
Joe Lieberman 1 -
Evan Bayh 1 1
Al Sharpton 1 1
Bob Graham 1 1
Dennis Kucinich 1 1
Bill Richardson 1 1
Other 3 2
Anyone 1 1
No one 46 35
No opinion 12 12

.

"Do you think it is appropriate or inappropriate for political candidates to run campaign ads that use images depicting the September 11th, 2001, terrorist attacks?" Form A (N=503, MoE 5)

.

  %
Appropriate 30
Inappropriate 66
No opinion 4

.

"Do you think it is appropriate or inappropriate for George W. Bush to run campaign ads that use images depicting the September 11th, 2001, terrorist attacks?" Form B (N=502, MoE 5)

  %
Appropriate 42
Inappropriate 54
No opinion 4

 

University of Connecticut Poll. Feb. 12-16, 2004. N=474 Democratic and Democratic-leaning registered voters nationwide. MoE 4.5.

.

"I'm going to read you a list of individuals who some people have suggested be the Democratic vice-presidential candidate. For each one, I'd like you to tell me if you think they would be an excellent, good, fair or poor choice for vice president on the Democratic ticket . . . ."

.

Excellent Good Fair

Poor

Don't
Know

% % % % %
New York Senator Hillary Clinton
2/04 30 25 17 22 6

.

North Carolina Senator John Edwards
2/04 27 37 18 8 11

.

Retired General Wesley Clark
2/04 14 22 31 17 15

.

Former Vermont Governor Howard Dean
2/04 8 25 31 25 11

.

Missouri Congressman Dick Gephardt
2/04 8 25 27 23 16

.

Connecticut Senator Joe Lieberman
2/04 7 25 25 31 13

.

Florida Senator Bob Graham
2/04 3 18 27 26 25

.

"Which of the candidates I just named do you think would add the most to the ticket in terms of beating George W. Bush in November?"

.

%

.

.

Edwards 34

.

.

Clinton 31

.

.

Clark 9

.

.

Dean 7

.

.

Gephardt 5

.

.

Lieberman 3

.

.

Graham 3

.

.

Don't know 8

.

.


 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Feb. 10-11, 2004. N=1,003 adults nationwide. MoE 3. Fieldwork by TNS Intersearch.

.

"Do you think [see below] are or are not a legitimate issue in this year's presidential election?"

.

Legitimate Not
Legitimate
No
Opinion

.

% % %

.

"Questions about Bush's service in the National Guard during the Vietnam War"

2/04 30 66 4

.

.

"Questions about Kerry's fundraising while a U.S. senator"

2/04 42 46 11

.


 


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