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   Campaign 2008 (p. 3)                    See also:  General election trial heats | Rating the contenders


Polls listed chronologically.

STATE POLLS are in our subscriber area. INFO     

.

         

ABC News Poll. Sept. 4, 2008. N=505 adults nationwide. MoE 4.5.

.

"Do you approve or disapprove of John McCain's choice of Palin as his vice presidential running mate?"

.

Approve Disapprove Unsure    
% % %    

9/4/08

60

34

6

 

 

.

"For each item I name, please tell me if it makes you think more favorably toward Palin, less favorably, or if it doesn't change your opinion of her one way or another. . . ."

.

More
Favorably
Less
Favorably
No Change Unsure  
% % % %  

.

"She decided to have her fifth baby earlier this year after it was diagnosed with Down Syndrome"

9/4/08

41

6

52

1

 

.

"Her 17-year-old daughter is pregnant, keeping the baby and marrying the father"

9/4/08

17

12

70

1

 

.

"As mayor she obtained 27 million dollars in federal funding for projects in her town of about 7,000 people"

9/4/08

32

19

48

1

 

.

"She opposes legal abortion unless the mother's life is in direct danger"

9/4/08

33

36

31

1

 

.

"She opposes stricter controls on handgun ownership"

9/4/08

37

29

33

1

 

.

"Given what you've heard about her family situation, do you personally think Palin made the right choice or the wrong choice in agreeing to run for vice president?"

.

Right
Choice
Wrong
Choice
Unsure    
% % %    

9/4/08

60

30

10

 

 

.

"Overall, do you think the news coverage of Palin has been fair or unfair?"

.

Fair Unfair Unsure    
% % %    

9/4/08

50

41

9

 

 

 

CBS News Poll. Sept. 1-2, 2008. N=540 registered voters nationwide. MoE 4.

.

"Does John McCain naming Sarah Palin as his vice-presidential running mate make a difference in whether or not you will vote for John McCain in November?" If yes: "Does having Sarah Palin on the ticket make you more likely or less likely to vote for John McCain in November?"

.

More Likely Less Likely No Difference Unsure  
% % % %  

9/1-2/08

14

13

68

5

 

8/29-31/08

13

11

72

4

 

 

USA Today/Gallup Poll. Aug. 30-31, 2008. N=2,035 adults nationwide. MoE 2.

.

"Next, thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say whether you think each one applies more to Barack Obama or more to John McCain. How about [see below]?"

.

Obama McCain Both
Equally (vol.)
Neither (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

.

.

"Is a strong and decisive leader"

8/30-31/08

46

44

4

2

4

6/15-19/08

40

46

7

4

3

.

.

"Shares your values"

8/30-31/08

52

39

3

3

4

6/15-19/08

47

39

4

6

4

.

.

"Is honest and trustworthy"

8/30-31/08

45

37

8

6

4

6/15-19/08

39

35

14

8

4


 

CBS News Poll. Aug. 29-31, 2008. N=781 registered voters nationwide. MoE 4.

.

"Do you think Barack Obama is tough enough?"

.

Yes No Unsure    
% % %    

8/29-31/08

58

29

13

   

 

CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Aug. 29-31, 2008. N=927 registered voters nationwide. MoE 3 (for all registered voters).

.

"Does having Sarah Palin as his running mate make you more likely to vote for John McCain in November, less likely, or will it not have much effect on your vote?" N=467, MoE 4.5 (Form A)

.

More Likely Less Likely Not Much
Effect
   
% % %    

8/29-31/08

22

20

58

   

.

"Will the fact that a woman will be running for vice president with John McCain make you more or less likely to vote for McCain, or won't that make any difference to you one way or the other?" N=460, MoE 4.5 (Form B)

.

More Likely Less Likely No
Difference
Unsure  
% % % %  

8/29-31/08

14

5

81

1

 

.

"Do you think John McCain's choice of Sarah Palin reflects favorably or unfavorably on McCain's ability to make important presidential decisions?"

.

Favorably Unfavorably Unsure    
% % %    

8/29-31/08

57

40

2

   

.

"Do you agree or disagree with the following statements? . . ." Statements rotated

.

"John McCain chose Sarah Palin because he felt the time had come to nominate a woman."

.

Agree Disagree Unsure    
% % %    

8/29-31/08

43

56

1

   

.

"John McCain chose Sarah Palin because he thought having a woman on the ticket would help him get elected."

.

Agree Disagree      
% %      

8/29-31/08

75

25

     

.

"From what you have heard or read, how would you rate Barack Obama's acceptance speech at the Democratic National Convention on Thursday night -- as [see below]?"

.

%        

Excellent

36

       

Good

28

       

Just okay

13

       

Poor

3

       

Terrible

4

       

Didn't see (vol.)

16

       

Unsure

1

       

.

"Does what you saw or read of this week's Democratic National Convention in Denver make you more likely or less likely to vote for Barack Obama?"

.

More Likely Less Likely No Differ-
ence (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  

8/29-31/08

51

32

16

1

 

 

USA Today/Gallup Poll. Aug. 29, 2008. Adults nationwide.

.

"As you may know, Republican presidential candidate John McCain has selected Alaska Governor Sarah Palin as his vice presidential running mate. How would you rate John McCain's choice of Sarah Palin for vice president? Would you rate this choice as: excellent, pretty good, only fair, or poor?" N=898 registered voters, MoE 4

.

Excellent Pretty Good Only Fair Poor Unsure
% % % % %

8/29/08

19

27

19

18

17

.

"Does having Sarah Palin as his running mate make you more likely to vote for John McCain in November, less likely, or will it not have much effect on your vote?" N=898 registered voters, MoE 4

.

More Likely Less Likely Not Much
Effect
Unsure  
% % % %  

8/29/08

18

11

67

3

 

.

"Based on what you know about Sarah Palin, do you think she is qualified to serve as president if it becomes necessary, or not?" N=898 registered voters, MoE 4

.

Qualified Not
Qualified
Unsure    
% % %    

8/29/08

39

33

29

   

.

"Now, turning to the recent Democratic Convention: From what you have heard or read, how would you rate Barack Obama's acceptance speech at the Democratic Convention on Thursday night -- as excellent, good, just okay, poor, or terrible?" N=1,016 adults, MoE 3

.

%        

Excellent

35

       

Good

23

       

Just okay

15

       

Poor

3

       

Terrible

4

       

Didn't see (vol.)

16

       

Unsure

4

       

.

"Does what you saw or read of this week's Democratic National Convention in Denver make you more likely or less likely to vote for Barack Obama?" N=1,016 adults, MoE 3

.

More Likely Less Likely No Differ-
ence (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  

8/29/08

43

29

19

8

 

 

CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Aug. 23-24, 2008. N=909 registered voters nationwide. MoE 3.5.

.

"How would you rate Barack Obama's choice of Joe Biden for vice president? Would you rate this choice as excellent, pretty good, only fair, or poor?"

.

Excellent Pretty Good Only Fair Poor Unsure
% % % % %

8/23-24/08

18

36

26

16

5

.

"Does having Joe Biden as his running mate make you more likely to vote for Barack Obama in November, less likely, or will it not have much effect on your vote?"

.

More Likely Less Likely Not Much
Effect
Unsure  
% % % %  

8/23-24/08

15

11

74

1

 

.

"Based on what you know about Joe Biden, do you think he is qualified to serve as president if it becomes necessary, or not?"

.

Qualified Not Qualified Unsure    
% % %    

8/23-24/08

63

26

10

   

.

"Do you think Barack Obama's choice of Joe Biden reflects favorably or unfavorably on Obama's ability to make important presidential decisions?"

.

Favorably Unfavorably Unsure    
% % %    

8/23-24/08

67

28

5

   

.

"Which of the following statements comes closer to your view of the fact that Joe Biden has been in the U.S. Senate for 35 years? It means that Biden has the experience needed to be a good vice president. It means that Biden has been part of the problem in Washington for so long that change would be less likely to occur."

.

Has Needed
Experience
Change Less
Likely
Mixed (vol.) Neither (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

8/23-24/08

54

38

3

2

2

.

"Which of the following statements comes closer to your view of negative comments that Joe Biden made in the past year about Barack Obama while they were both running for president? They should be taken seriously because Biden knows a lot about another senator like Obama. They should not be taken seriously because that's the kind of thing candidates say about each other."

.

Taken
Seriously
Not Taken
Seriously
Mixed (vol.) Neither (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

8/23-24/08

25

70

3

1

2


 

Diageo/Hotline Poll conducted by Financial Dynamics. Aug. 18-24, 2008. N=approx. 500 registered voters nationwide.

.

"Which candidate -- John McCain or Barack Obama -- do you think would do the best job [see below]?"

.

McCain Obama Neither (vol.) Unsure  
% % % %  

.

"Handling the nation's health care"

8/18-24/08

36

47

5

11

 

6/5-8/08

31

44

8

17

 

.

"Handling the nation's economy"

8/18-24/08

40

48

3

8

 

.

"Handling the war in Iraq"

8/18-24/08

49

40

4

6

 

6/5-8/08

49

41

2

8

 

.

"Managing America's energy policies"

8/18-24/08

37

49

4

10

 

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Aug. 19-22, 2008. N=approx. 450 registered voters nationwide.

.

"If Obama chooses Delaware Senator Joe Biden as his vice presidential running mate, would that make you more likely to vote for Obama, less likely, or wouldn't it make any difference in your vote?"

.

More Likely Less Likely No Difference Unsure  
% % % %  

8/19-22/08

13

10

75

3

 

 

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Aug. 19-20, 2008. N=900 registered voters nationwide. MoE 3 (for all registered voters).

.

"When deciding your vote for president this year, do you think the vice presidential running mate will be more important to your decision than in previous years, less important or about the same as usual?"

.

More
Important
Less
Important
About the
Same
Unsure  
% % % %  

ALL

33

10

55

2

 

Democrats

37

8

53

2

 

Republicans

27

12

59

2

 

Independents

35

8

54

3

 

.

"Are you more or less likely to vote for Barack Obama for president if he picks Delaware Senator Joe Biden as his vice presidential running mate?"

.

More Likely Less Likely No
Difference
(vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  

ALL

27

29

35

9

 

Democrats

45

16

32

8

 

Republicans

10

45

37

8

 

Independents

23

29

36

12

 

.

"Would Colin Powell's endorsement of Barack Obama make you more or less likely to vote for him for president?"

.

More Likely Less Likely No
Difference
(vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  

ALL

35

19

43

3

 

Democrats

49

10

40

2

 

Republicans

21

32

45

2

 

Independents

37

15

42

5

 

 

CBS News/New York Times Poll. Aug. 15-19, 2008. N=869 registered voters nationwide. MoE 3.

.

"How much do you think Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like yourself: a lot, some, not much, or not at all?"

.

A Lot Some Not Much Not at All Unsure
% % % % %

8/15-19/08

37

34

14

12

3

5/30 - 6/3/08

38

36

15

9

2

.

"How much do you think John McCain cares about the needs and problems of people like yourself: a lot, some, not much, or not at all?"

.

A Lot Some Not Much Not at All Unsure
% % % % %

8/15-19/08

23

42

19

13

3

5/30 - 6/3/08

22

45

16

13

4

.

"If he is elected president, would you rather see John McCain generally continue George W. Bush's policies, change to more conservative policies, or change to less conservative policies?"

.

Bush
Policies
More
Conservative
Less
Conservative
Unsure  
% % % %  

8/15-19/08

9

33

48

10

 

.

"Do you think Barack Obama's energy policies would help bring down gas prices if he is elected president, or not?"

.

Yes No Unsure    
% % %    

8/15-19/08

35

47

18

   

.

"Do you think John McCain's energy policies would help bring down gas prices if he is elected president, or not?"

.

Yes No Unsure    
% % %    

8/15-19/08

32

48

20

   

.

"What do you think Barack Obama has been spending more time doing in his campaign: explaining what he would do as president or attacking John McCain?"

.

Explaining Attacking Unsure    
% % %    

8/15-19/08

61

26

13

   

.

"What do you think John McCain has been spending more time doing in his campaign: explaining what he would do as president or attacking Barack Obama?"

.

Explaining Attacking Unsure    
% % %    

8/15-19/08

38

52

10

   

 

Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg Poll. Aug. 15-18, 2008. N=1,248 registered voters nationwide. MoE 3.

.

"As you may know, John McCain will be 72 years of age at the time of the presidential election in November. Do you agree or disagree that McCain is too old to be president?"

.

Agree Disagree Unsure    
% % %    
8/15-18/08

32

65

3

   

.

"Do you have a lot of confidence, some confidence, or no confidence in Barack Obama's ability to deal wisely with an international crisis?"

.

A Lot Some None Unsure  
% % % %  
8/15-18/08

27

37

32

5

 

.

"Do you have a lot of confidence, some confidence, or no confidence in John McCain's ability to deal wisely with an international crisis?"

.

A Lot Some None Unsure  
% % % %  
8/15-18/08

34

43

19

4

 

.

"Do you think Obama's patriotism is strong, or do you have questions about how patriotic Obama is?"

.

Strong Have
Questions
Unsure    
% % %    
8/15-18/08

55

35

9

   

.

"Do you think McCain's patriotism is strong, or do you have questions about how patriotic McCain is?"

.

Strong Have
Questions
Unsure    
% % %    
8/15-18/08

84

9

7

   

.

"Who do you think has the better ideas for strengthening the nation's economy: Barack Obama or John McCain?"

.

Obama McCain Both
Equally (vol.)
Neither (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %
8/15-18/08

45

28

8

11

8

.

"Who do you think would be best at dealing with the rising gas and oil prices: Barack Obama or John McCain?"

.

Obama McCain Both
Equally (vol.)
Neither (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %
8/15-18/08

39

32

7

14

8

.

"Who do you think has more honesty and integrity: Barack Obama or John McCain?"

.

Obama McCain Both
Equally (vol.)
Neither (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %
8/15-18/08

30

34

22

8

6

.

"Who would be best at protecting the country from terrorism: Barack Obama or John McCain?"

.

Obama McCain Both
Equally (vol.)
Neither (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %
8/15-18/08

25

47

13

7

8

.

"As you may know, Barack Obama has opposed the war in Iraq from the start and opposed the surge of additional troops. He said he would withdraw all American combat troops from Iraq within sixteen months. John McCain supported the war in Iraq and said the surge of additional troops has worked. He believes progress is being made in Iraq and we should stay and finish the job. Which position do you agree with more: Barack Obama's or John McCain's?"

.

Obama's
Position
McCain's
Position
Neither (vol.) Unsure  
% % % %  
8/15-18/08

48

42

6

4

 

.

"As you may know, in dealing with the energy crisis, John McCain favors drilling for oil off the U.S. coastline, building more nuclear power plants and giving a $5,000 tax credit to anyone who buys an energy efficient car. He also opposes imposing any new taxes on oil companies. Barack Obama opposes offshore oil drilling, favors spending more on alternative energy sources and 'green' jobs, and wants to give $1,000 energy rebates to working families, paid for by higher taxes on oil company profits. Which candidate's plan do you prefer: John McCain's or Barack Obama's?"

.

Obama's
Plan
McCain's
Plan
Neither (vol.) Unsure  
% % % %  
8/15-18/08

44

40

9

7

 

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Neil Newhouse (R). Aug. 15-18, 2008. N=1,005 registered voters nationwide. MoE 3.1 (for all registered voters).

.

"Now I'd like you to compare Barack Obama and John McCain on a few issues. For each one, please tell me whether you think that Barack Obama or John McCain would be better on that issue. If you think that both would be equally good or that neither would be good on a particular issue, just say so. Who do you think would be better when it comes to [see below]: Barack Obama or John McCain, or do you think that both would be equally good or neither would be good?"

.

Obama McCain Equally Good Neither Unsure
% % % % %

.

.

"The environment and global warming" Half sample (Form B)

8/15-18/08

47

21

14

12

6

.

.

"Jobs and unemployment" Half sample (Form A)

8/15-18/08

47

25

15

6

7

.

.

"Social Security" Half sample (Form B)

8/15-18/08

34

32

11

12

11

.

.

"International crises, such as Iran or Russia and the nation of Georgia" Half sample (Form A)

8/15-18/08

27

52

11

4

6

.

.

"Terrorism" Half sample (Form B)

8/15-18/08

23

51

17

6

3


 

Quinnipiac University Poll. Aug. 12-17, 2008. N=1,547 likely voters nationwide. MoE 2.5.

.

"If you honestly assessed yourself, thinking in general about an African-American president of the United States, is that something you'd be entirely comfortable with, somewhat comfortable, somewhat uncomfortable or entirely uncomfortable with?"

.

Entirely
Comfortable
Somewhat
Comfortable
Somewhat
Uncomfortable
Entirely
Uncomfortable
Unsure
% % % % %
8/12-17/08

72

17

5

3

4

7/8-13/08

71

17

6

3

4

.

"If you honestly assessed yourself, thinking in general about someone entering office as president of the United States at age 72, is that something you'd be entirely comfortable with, somewhat comfortable, somewhat uncomfortable or entirely uncomfortable with?"

.

Entirely
Comfortable
Somewhat
Comfortable
Somewhat
Uncomfortable
Entirely
Uncomfortable
Unsure
% % % % %
8/12-17/08

37

27

24

10

2

7/8-13/08

37

27

23

11

2

.

"Regardless of whom you support, which candidate for president -- Barack Obama or John McCain -- is better qualified to deal with Russia?"

.

Obama McCain Unsure    
% % %    
8/12-17/08

27

55

18

   

 

Time Poll conducted by Abt SRBI. July 31-Aug. 4, 2008. N=808 likely voters nationwide. MoE 3.

.

"Turning again to the race between Barack Obama and John McCain, which candidate -- Barack Obama or John McCain -- would best be described by each of the following statements? . . ."

.

Obama McCain Neither (vol.) Both/
Same (vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %

.

.

"Is the most likeable"

7/31 - 8/4/08

65

20

4

4

6

6/18-25/08

58

23

5

7

6

.

.

"Is the real candidate of change"

7/31 - 8/4/08

61

17

13

2

7

.

.

"Would best be able to restore America's image in the world"

7/31 - 8/4/08

52

33

7

1

7

.

.

"Best understands the concerns of people like yourself"

7/31 - 8/4/08

48

35

10

2

5

.

.

"Best able to handle the economy"

7/31 - 8/4/08

43

39

8

1

8

6/18-25/08

44

37

7

2

9

.

.

"Who shares your values"

7/31 - 8/4/08

41

39

10

5

4

.

.

"Is the candidate who switches his positions for political reasons"

7/31 - 8/4/08

40

26

5

14

15

.

.

"Would best handle the situation in Iraq"

7/31 - 8/4/08

36

51

4

2

7

6/18-25/08

38

48

5

1

9

.

.

"Is most guided by his religious beliefs"

7/31 - 8/4/08

30

28

11

4

27

.

.

"Would best protect the U.S. against terrorism"

7/31 - 8/4/08

29

56

3

4

7

6/18-25/08

33

53

3

3

8

.

"Is [see below] pretty much just another politician, or is he really a different kind of candidate?"

.

Just Another
Politician
A Different
Kind of
Candidate
Unsure    
% % %    

Barack Obama

37

52

10

   

John McCain

61

32

7

   

 

CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. July 27-29, 2008. N=914 registered voters nationwide. MoE 3.

.

"Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me if you think Barack Obama or John McCain would better handle that issue if they were elected president. . . ."

.

McCain Obama Neither (vol.) Unsure  
% % % %  

"Jobs"

7/27-29/08

38

57

4

1

 

.

"Afghanistan"

7/27-29/08

53

43

3

-

 

.

"The Middle East"

7/27-29/08

52

45

2

-

 

.

"Iran"

7/27-29/08

52

45

2

1

 

.

"Do you think the way the media have covered [see below] has been too positive, too negative, or about right?" Candidate names rotated

.

Too
Positive
Too
Negative
About
Right
Unsure  
% % % %  

"Barack Obama"

7/27-29/08

39

11

49

-

 

.

"John McCain"

7/27-29/08

12

26

62

1

 

.

"As you may know, Barack Obama recently returned from a trip to several foreign countries. Based on what you have read or heard, do you think that what Obama did during that trip was appropriate or inappropriate for a presidential candidate?"

.

Appropriate In-
appropriate
Unsure    
% % %    

7/27-29/08

65

33

2

   

.

"As you may know, John McCain has taken trips to several foreign countries this year. Based on what you have read or heard, do you think that what McCain did during those trips was appropriate or inappropriate for a presidential candidate?"

.

Appropriate In-
appropriate
Unsure    
% % %    

7/27-29/08

77

20

3

   

.

"Please say whether you think each of the following applies or does not apply to Barack Obama. . . ."

.

Applies Does Not
Apply
     
% %      

"He is arrogant"

7/27-29/08

37

63

 

   

.

"He is acting as if he has already won the election"

7/27-29/08

44

56

 

   

.

"He doesn't care about military veterans and the U.S. troops currently in Iraq"

7/27-29/08

27

72

 

   

.

"He is attacking John McCain unfairly"

7/27-29/08

22

77

 

   

.

"Please say whether you think each of the following applies or does not apply to John McCain. . . ."

.

Applies Does Not
Apply
     
% %      

"He is arrogant"

7/27-29/08

34

66

 

   

.

"He is acting as if he has already won the election"

7/27-29/08

19

81

 

   

.

"He doesn't care about military veterans and the U.S. troops currently in Iraq"

7/27-29/08

15

84

 

   

.

"He is attacking Barack Obama unfairly"

7/27-29/08

40

59

 

   

 

ABC News/Planet Green/Stanford University poll. July 23-28, 2008. N=1,000 adults nationwide. MoE 3. Fieldwork by TNS.

.

"Regardless of how much detail you know, which candidate do you think would do more to reduce global warming in the future: Obama or McCain?" Options rotated

.

Obama McCain Neither (vol.) Both (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %
7/23-28/08

55

23

9

2

11


 

Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. July 23-27, 2008. N=1,241 registered voters nationwide. MoE 3.5. April survey conducted by Abt SRBI.

.

"Regardless of who you support, which one of the presidential candidates -- John McCain or Barack Obama -- do you think would do the best job of [see below]?" Candidate names rotated

.

McCain Obama Neither (vol.) Unsure  
% % % %  

.

"Improving economic conditions"

7/23-27/08

32

47

7

14

 

6/18-29/08

31

51

8

10

 

5/21-25/08

36

51

4

9

 

4/23-27/08

33

53

8

6

 

.

"Making wise decisions about what to do in Iraq"

7/23-27/08

44

41

3

12

 

6/18-29/08

47

41

4

8

 

5/21-25/08

46

43

2

9

 

4/23-27/08

50

38

5

7

 

.

"Defending the country from future terrorist attacks"

7/23-27/08

48

33

5

14

 

6/18-29/08

55

31

5

9

 

4/23-27/08

63

26

5

6

 

.

"Making wise decisions about foreign policy"

7/23-27/08

43

42

2

13

 

.

"If Barack Obama were elected president, do you think he would do too much, too little, or about the right amount for [see below]?"

.

Too
Much
Too
Little
About
Right
Unsure  
% % % %  

.

"African Americans"

7/23-27/08

20

5

65

10

 

.

"Wealthy Americans"

7/23-27/08

13

24

47

16

 

.

"Christian conservatives"

7/23-27/08

6

27

47

20

 

.

"Environmentalists"

7/23-27/08

16

13

56

15

 

.

"If John McCain were elected president, do you think he would do too much, too little, or about the right amount for [see below]?"

.

Too
Much
Too
Little
About
Right
Unsure  
% % % %  

.

"African Americans"

7/23-27/08

2

30

52

16

 

.

"Wealthy Americans"

7/23-27/08

45

8

35

12

 

.

"Christian conservatives"

7/23-27/08

16

16

48

20

 

.

"Environmentalists"

7/23-27/08

6

40

39

15

 

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. July 10-13, 2008. N=1,119 adults nationwide. MoE 3 (for all adults). Fieldwork by TNS.

.

"Regardless of who you may support, who do you trust more to handle [see below]: Obama or McCain?" Candidate names rotated

.

Obama McCain Both (vol.) Neither (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

"Immigration issues" Half sample

7/10-13/08

48

38

4

7

3

5/8-11/08

37

42

3

10

7

2/28 - 3/2/08

35

48

3

6

8

.

"The situation involving Israel and the Palestinians" Half sample

7/10-13/08

42

44

2

5

6

.

"The situation involving Iran" Half sample

7/10-13/08

44

46

1

6

4

.

"Please tell me whether the following statement applies to [see below] or not? He would be a good commander-in-chief of the military."

.

Does Apply Does Not
Apply
Unsure    
% % %    

McCain

7/10-13/08

72

25

4

   

.

Obama

7/10-13/08

48

48

4

   

.

"Do you think [see below] has been clear or unclear in his position on withdrawing U.S. forces from Iraq?"

.

Clear Unclear Unsure    
% % %    

John McCain

7/10-13/08

60

34

6

   

.

Barack Obama

7/10-13/08

56

38

7

   

.

"Obama has proposed a timetable to withdraw most U.S. forces from Iraq within 16 months of his taking office. McCain has opposed a specific timetable and said events should dictate when troops are withdrawn. Which approach do you prefer: a timetable or no timetable?"

.

Timetable No
Timetable
Unsure    
% % %    

7/10-13/08

50

49

1

   

 

Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. July 9-10, 2008. N=1,037 registered voters nationwide. MoE 3.6.

.

"Some people say that since Barack Obama became the presumed Democratic nominee for president, he has changed his position on key policy issues to try to gain political advantage. Do you agree or disagree?"

.

Agree Disagree Unsure    
% % %    
7/9-10/08

53

32

15

   

 

CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. June 26-29, 2008. N=906 registered voters nationwide. MoE 3.5.

.

"Thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say whether you think it applies or doesn't apply to Barack Obama. . . ."

.

Applies Does Not
Apply
Unsure    
% % %    

"Has the right experience to be president"

6/26-29/08

48

49

2

   

3/14-16/08

40

58

2

   

.

"Cares about people like you"

6/26-29/08

67

31

2

   

3/14-16/08

67

32

1

   

.

"Can end the partisan gridlock in Washington"

6/26-29/08

43

52

4

   

.

"Thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say whether you think it applies or doesn't apply to John McCain. . . ."

.

Applies Does Not
Apply
Unsure    
% % %    

"Has the right experience to be president"

6/26-29/08

76

23

1

   

3/14-16/08

68

31

1

   

.

"Cares about people like you"

6/26-29/08

58

40

2

   

3/14-16/08

51

47

2

   

.

"Can end the partisan gridlock in Washington"

6/26-29/08

31

64

5

   

.

"Do you think [see below] has or has not changed his position on issues for political reasons?"

.

Has Has Not Unsure    
% % %    

John McCain

61

37

2

   

Barack Obama

59

38

4

   

 

Time Poll conducted by Abt SRBI. June 18-25, 2008. N=805 likely voters nationwide. MoE 3.

.

"Which candidate -- Barack Obama or John McCain -- would best be described by each of the following statements? . . ."

.

Obama McCain Neither (vol.) Both/
Same (vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %

.

.

"Best understands the concerns of people like myself"

6/18-25/08

47

36

9

3

5

.

.

"Will take on special interests in Washington"

6/18-25/08

46

31

7

5

11

.

.

"Is most comfortable talking about his religious beliefs"

6/18-25/08

40

34

5

6

15

.

.

"Is closest to your views on so-called values issues, such as abortion and gay marriage"

6/18-25/08

40

39

5

1

16

.

"If Republican John McCain is elected, do you expect that he would mainly continue the policies of President Bush, or is he mainly independent of Bush?"

.

Mainly
Continue
Bush Policies
Mainly
Independent
Of Bush
Both/
Neither (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  

6/18-25/08

46

44

2

8

 

 

Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg Poll. June 19-23, 2008. N=1,115 registered voters nationwide. MoE 3 (for all registered voters).

.

"Do you think Barack Obama should choose Hillary Clinton as his vice president, or not?" Asked of registered Democrats and Democratic primary and caucus voters

.

Should Should Not Unsure    
% % %    

6/19-23/08

36 42 22    

.

"If Barack Obama chooses Hillary Clinton as his vice president, would that make you more or less likely to vote for the Democratic ticket in November, or would that not have an effect on your vote?" Asked of registered Democrats and Democratic primary and caucus voters

.

More Likely Less Likely No Effect Unsure  
% % % %  

6/19-23/08

34 9 54 3  

 

USA Today/Gallup Poll. June 15-19, 2008. N=1,625 adults nationwide. MoE 3 (for all adults).

.

"Next, thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say whether you think each one applies more to Barack Obama or more to John McCain. How about [see below]?" Some items asked of half the sample

.

Obama McCain Both
Equally (vol.)
Neither (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

.

.

"Understands the problems Americans face in their daily lives"

6/15-19/08

54

29

7

8

2

.

.

"Cares about the needs of people like you"

6/15-19/08

52

30

8

8

2

.

.

"Is independent in his thoughts and actions"

6/15-19/08

52

36

4

5

3

.

.

"Would stand up to special interests, including those aligned with his party"

6/15-19/08

48

34

7

6

5

.

.

"Would work well with both parties to get things done in Washington"

6/15-19/08

48

35

9

5

3

.

.

"Shares your values"

6/15-19/08

47

39

4

6

4

.

.

"Can manage the government effectively"

6/15-19/08

42

42

7

6

3

.

.

"Has a clear plan for solving the country's problems"

6/15-19/08

41

31

5

19

4

.

.

"Is a strong and decisive leader"

6/15-19/08

40

46

7

4

3

.

.

"Is honest and trustworthy"

6/15-19/08

39

35

14

8

4

.

"How concerned are you that, as president, John McCain would pursue policies that are too similar to what George W. Bush has pursued: very concerned, somewhat concerned, not too concerned, or not concerned at all?" N=781, MoE 4 (Form A)

.

Very
Concerned
Somewhat
Concerned
Not Too
Concerned
Not
Concerned
At All
Unsure
% % % % %

6/15-19/08

49

19

16

15

1

.

"How concerned are you that, as president, Barack Obama would go too far in changing the policies that George W. Bush pursued: very concerned, somewhat concerned, not too concerned, or not concerned at all?" N=844, MoE 4 (Form B)

.

Very
Concerned
Somewhat
Concerned
Not Too
Concerned
Not
Concerned
At All
Unsure
% % % % %

6/15-19/08

30

19

19

31

1

.

"If you had to choose, which of the following presidential candidates would you be more likely to vote for: a candidate whose greatest strength is fixing the economy or a candidate whose greatest strength is protecting the country from terrorism?" Options rotated

.

Fixing the
Economy
Protecting
The Country
Unsure    
% % %    

6/15-19/08

56

39

5

   

.

"Do you think [see below] can or cannot handle the responsibilities of commander-in-chief of the military?"

.

Can Cannot Unsure    
% % %    

.

John McCain

80

17

3

   

.

Barack Obama

55

40

5

   

.

"If a situation arose that required the president to make a decision whether or not to send U.S. troops into combat, who would you trust more to make that decision: Barack Obama or John McCain?" Names rotated. N=781, MoE 4 (Form A).

.

Obama McCain Both
Equally (vol.)
Neither (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

6/15-19/08

40

53

3

2

2

.

"If a situation arose that required the president to make a decision whether or not to send U.S. troops to Iran, who would you trust more to make that decision: Barack Obama or John McCain?" Names rotated. N=844, MoE 4 (Form B).

.

Obama McCain Both
Equally (vol.)
Neither (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

6/15-19/08

43

48

2

3

4

.

"Everything else being equal, do you think the fact that Barack Obama is black would make him a more effective president, would not make any difference, or would make him a less effective president?"

.

More
Effective
No
Difference
Less
Effective
Unsure  
% % % %  

6/15-19/08

9

82

8

1

 

.

"Everything else being equal, do you think the fact that John McCain would be 72 years old when elected president would make him a more effective president, would not make any difference, or would make him a less effective president?"

.

More
Effective
No
Difference
Less
Effective
Unsure  
% % % %  

6/15-19/08

11

65

23

1

 

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. June 12-15, 2008. N=1,125 adults nationwide. Fieldwork by TNS.

.

"Regardless of who you may support, who do you trust more to handle [see below]: Obama or McCain?" Candidate names rotated

.

McCain Obama Both (vol.) Neither (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

"Issues of special concern to women" N=approx. 560 adults

6/12-15/08

26

58

3

5

9

.

"Gasoline prices" N=approx. 560 adults

6/12-15/08

30

50

2

11

6

5/8-11/08

28

48

3

14

7

.

"Global warming and other environmental issues" N=approx. 560 adults

6/12-15/08

28

55

2

6

9

.

"Health care" N=approx. 560 adults

6/12-15/08

33

53

1

6

7

5/8-11/08

31

55

2

7

5

2/28 - 3/2/08

30

56

-

7

6

.

"Appointments to the U.S. Supreme Court" N=approx. 560 adults

6/12-15/08

43

45

1

2

9

.

"Regardless of who you may support, who do you think would do more to stand up to lobbyists and special interest groups: Obama or McCain?" Candidate names rotated

.

McCain Obama Both (vol.) Neither (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

6/12-15/08

36

51

2

6

5

.

"Who would you like Obama to choose as his vice presidential running-mate?" Open-ended. Asked of Democrats/leaners.

.

%        

Hillary Clinton

46

       

John Edwards

8

       

Bill Richardson

2

       

Jim Webb

2

       

Al Gore

1

       

Joe Biden

1

       

Other

5

       

Up to him (vol.)

4

       

Unsure

31

       

 

Gallup Poll. June 9-12, 2008. N=822 adults nationwide. MoE 4.

.

"Regardless of whom you support, and trying to be as objective as possible, who do you think will win the presidential election in November: [see below]?" Names rotated

.

Obama McCain Unsure    
% % %    

6/9-12/08

52

41

6

   

 

CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. June 4-5, 2008. N=447 registered Democrats nationwide. MoE 4.5.

.

"Do you think Barack Obama should select Hillary Clinton as his vice presidential running mate, or do you think Obama should select someone else?"

.

Clinton Someone
Else
Unsure    
% % %    

6/4-5/08

54

43

3

   

 

CBS News Poll. May 30-June 3, 2008. N=930 registered voters nationwide. MoE 4 (for all registered voters).

.

"If Barack Obama wins the Democratic nomination, would you like to see him pick Hillary Clinton as his vice presidential running mate, or not?" Among Democratic primary voters

.

Yes No Unsure    
% % %    

5/30 - 6/3/08

59

35

6

   

4/25-29/08

59

37

4

   

.

"If John McCain is elected president he will be 72 years old when he takes office. Do you think his age would help him be an effective president, or do you think his age would be an obstacle to being an effective president, or wouldn't his age matter that much?"

.

Help Him Would be an
Obstacle
Wouldn't
Matter
Unsure  
% % % %  

5/30 - 6/3/08

7

30

62

1

 

 

Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. May 21-25, 2008. Registered voters nationwide. April survey conducted by Abt SRBI.

.

"Regardless of who you support, which one of the presidential candidates -- John McCain or Barack Obama -- do you think would do the best job of [see below]?" Candidate names rotated

.

McCain Obama Neither (vol.) Unsure  
% % % %  

.

"Reflecting your views on social issues like abortion and gay rights" N=644 (Form 1)

5/21-25/08

34

48

5

13

 

.

"Dealing with the nation's energy problems" N=644 (Form 1)

5/21-25/08

33

51

5

11

 

.

"Dealing with taxes" N=598 (Form 2)

5/21-25/08

44

39

5

12

 

.

"Improving the health care system" N=598 (Form 2)

5/21-25/08

32

49

6

13

 

.

"Dealing with immigration" N=598 (Form 2)

5/21-25/08

44

39

7

10

 

 

Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. May 21-22, 2008. N=1,205 registered voters nationwide. MoE 3.5.

.

"As far as you know, what is Barack Obama's religion? Is he a Christian, a Muslim, or something else?"

.

Christian

Muslim

Something
Else

Unsure

%

%

%

%

5/21-22/08

58 11 9 22

4/24-25/08

52 13 9 26

 

Quinnipiac University Poll. May 8-12, 2008. N=1,745 registered voters nationwide. MoE 2.4 (for all registered voters).

.

"If Barack Obama wins the Democratic presidential nomination, would you like him to pick Hillary Clinton to be his vice presidential running mate?"

.

Yes No Unsure    
% % %    

ALL

45

47

9

   

  Republicans

25

66

9

   

  Democrats

60

33

7

   

  Independents

43

47

9

   

 

USA Today/Gallup Poll. May 8-11, 2008. N=537 Democrats and Democratic leaners nationwide. MoE 5.

.

"If Barack Obama is the Democratic presidential nominee, would you like to see him choose Hillary Clinton as his vice presidential running mate, or would you rather he choose someone else?"

.

Clinton Someone
Else
Unsure    
% % %    

5/8-11/08

55

38

7

   

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. May 8-11, 2008. N=1,122 adults nationwide. Fieldwork by TNS.

.

"Given the current standings, do you think Clinton should stay in the race, or drop out?" Options rotated. Asked of Democrats/leaners.

.

Stay In Drop Out Unsure    
% % %    

5/8-11/08

64

35

1

   

.

"If Obama is the nominee, how confident are you that Democrats will come together and support him against McCain in November: very confident, somewhat confident, not so confident or not confident at all?" Asked of Democrats/leaners

.

Very
Confident
Somewhat
Confident
Not So
Confident
Not at All
Confident
Unsure
% % % % %

5/8-11/08

45

39

11

3

1

.

"If Obama is the Democratic nominee for president, who would you like him to choose as his vice presidential running mate?" Open-ended. Asked of Democrats/leaners.

.

%        

Hillary Clinton

39

       

John Edwards

10

       

Bill Richardson

3

       

Al Gore

2

       

Jim Webb

1

       

Other

4

       

Up to him (vol.)

4

       

Unsure

36

       

.

"Who would you like McCain to choose as his vice presidential running mate?" Open-ended. Asked of Republicans/leaners.

.

%        

Mitt Romney

12

       

Mike Huckabee

7

       

Condoleezza Rice

5

       

Colin Powell

3

       

Rudy Giuliani

2

       

Fred Thompson

1

       

Jeb Bush

1

       

Joe Lieberman

1

       

Ron Paul

1

       

Other

9

       

Up to him (vol.)

7

       

Unsure

47

       

.

"Regardless of who you may support, who do you think [see below]: Obama or McCain?" Candidate names rotated. N=approx. 560 adults.

.

McCain Obama Both (vol.) Neither (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

"Has the better experience to be president"

5/8-11/08

71

18

3

4

5

2/28 - 3/2/08

70

19

2

5

5

.

"Has a clearer vision for the future"

5/8-11/08

34

54

3

5

3

2/28 - 3/2/08

32

53

5

5

4

.

"Has higher personal and ethical standards"

5/8-11/08

41

42

9

3

5

2/28 - 3/2/08

31

43

10

4

11

.

"Has better knowledge of world affairs"

5/8-11/08

65

24

4

2

5

2/28 - 3/2/08

64

24

4

3

5

.

"Regardless of who you may support, who do you trust more to handle [see below]: Obama or McCain?" Candidate names rotated

.

McCain Obama Both (vol.) Neither (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

"Immigration issues" N=approx. 560 adults

5/8-11/08

37

42

3

10

7

2/28 - 3/2/08

35

48

3

6

8

.

"Ethics in government" N=approx. 560 adults

5/8-11/08

39

46

8

4

4

2/28 - 3/2/08

35

48

7

5

6

.

"As you may know there has been some controversy lately over the preaching of Reverend Jeremiah Wright, who has been Barack Obama's minister. In terms of distancing himself from Wright's comments, do you think Obama has done too much, too little or about the right amount?" N=1,122 adults, MoE 3

.

Too Much Too Little About Right Unsure  
% % % %  

5/8-11/08

6

27

60

7

 

4/10-13/08

5

30

59

7

 

 

CBS News/New York Times Poll. May 1-3, 2008. N=601 registered voters nationwide.

.

"How much have you heard or read about the controversy over statements made by Reverend Jeremiah Wright, who was Barack Obama's minister: a lot, some, or not much?"

.

A Lot Some Not Much Nothing
(vol.)
 
% % % %  
ALL

51

24

22

3

 
   Republicans

46

21

31

2

 
   Democrats

56

25

14

5

 
   Independents

48

26

23

3

 

.

Asked of registered voters who have heard/read about Wright controversy:
"Is your opinion of Jeremiah Wright favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Jeremiah Wright yet to have an opinion?"

.

Favorable Not
Favorable
Undecided Haven't
Heard
Refused
% % % % %
ALL

3

53

14

25

3

   Republicans

0

59

3

31

7

   Democrats

5

56

19

18

2

   Independents

3

42

19

30

6

.

Asked of registered voters who have heard/read about Wright controversy:
"Have Reverend Wright's statements affected your opinion of Barack Obama?"
If yes: "Do they make you feel more favorable or less favorable toward Barack Obama?"

.

Yes: More
Favorable
Yes: Less
Favorable
Haven't
Affected
Unsure  
% % % %  
ALL

2

22

75

1

 
   Republicans

4

29

65

2

 
   Democrats

1

19

79

1

 
   Independents

0

18

79

3

 

.

Asked of registered voters who have heard/read about Wright controversy:
"Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama has handled the situation with Reverend Wright?"

.

Approve Disapprove Unsure    
% % %    
ALL

60

23

17

   
   Republicans

51

28

21

   
   Democrats

71

19

10

   
   Independents

53

25

22

   

.

Asked of registered voters who have heard/read about Wright controversy:
"Has the situation involving Reverend Wright made you more likely to support Obama, less likely, or made no difference in whether or not you support Obama?"

.

More Less No Difference Unsure  
% % % %  
ALL

6

18

73

3

 
   Republicans

3

25

67

5

 
   Democrats

7

12

80

1

 
   Independents

7

17

69

7

 

.

Asked of registered voters who have heard/read about Wright controversy:
"Do you think Barack Obama decided to renounce his ties to Reverend Wright mainly because he really disagreed with the things Reverend Wright said, or mainly because he thought it would help him politically?"

.

Disagreed Help Him
Politically
Both (vol.) Unsure  
% % % %  
ALL

34

47

6

13

 
   Republicans

29

55

3

13

 
   Democrats

40

39

10

11

 
   Independents

32

48

5

15

 

.

Asked of registered voters who have heard/read about Wright controversy:
"From what you know, do you think Barack Obama shares Reverend Wright's anger at the United States or doesn't he share Reverend Wright's anger at the United States?"

.

Shares
Anger
Doesn't
Share Anger
Unsure    
% % %    
ALL

16

63

21

   
   Republicans

23

56

21

   
   Democrats

9

73

18

   
   Independents

19

57

24

   

.

Asked of registered voters who have heard/read about Wright controversy:
"If Barack Obama is the Democratic nominee, how much will the Reverend Wright issue matter to you in deciding how you vote in November: a lot, some, not much or not at all?"

.

A Lot Some Not Much Not at All Unsure
% % % % %
ALL

11

13

16

57

3

   Republicans

14

20

19

45

2

   Democrats

10

11

13

65

1

   Independents

8

10

19

57

6

.

Asked of registered voters who have heard/read about Wright controversy:
"What about most people you know? If Barack Obama is the Democratic nominee, how much will the Reverend Wright issue matter to them in deciding how they vote in November: a lot, some, not much or not at all?"

.

A Lot Some Not Much Not at All Unsure
% % % % %
ALL

15

29

20

25

11

   Republicans

17

37

18

22

6

   Democrats

15

24

18

30

13

   Independents

14

27

25

19

15


 

USA Today/Gallup Poll. May 1-3, 2008. Adults nationwide.

.

"In your view, what should happen now in the Democratic presidential nomination campaign? Hillary Clinton should drop out of the race and concede the nomination to Barack Obama. Both Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama should continue to campaign. OR, Barack Obama should drop out of the race and concede the nomination to Hillary Clinton." Options rotated. N=516 Democrats and Democratic leaners, MoE 5.

.

Clinton Should
Drop Out
Both Should
Continue
Obama Should
Drop Out
Unsure  
% % % %  

5/1-3/08

23

60

15

2

 

.

"As you may know, a large number of Democratic superdelegates have yet to decide who they will support for the Democratic presidential nomination. When do you think these uncommitted superdelegates should make their decision: after the North Carolina and Indiana primaries next week, right after all the state primaries and caucuses are completed in early June, or at the Democratic convention in late August?" Options rotated. N=516 Democrats and Democratic leaners, MoE 5.

.

After N.C./
Indiana
June August Unsure  
% % % %  

5/1-3/08

24

45

26

5

 

.

"How closely are you following the news about controversial statements made by Jeremiah Wright, former pastor of Barack Obama's church: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not at all?" N=1,019 adults, MoE 3

.

Very
Closely
Somewhat
Closely
Not Too
Closely
Not at All  
% % % %  

5/1-3/08

25

35

20

20

 

.

Asked of those following the controversy very, somewhat or not too closely:
"Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Jeremiah Wright, or have you never heard of him?"
N=855 adults, MoE 4

.

Favorable Unfavorable Unsure    
% % %    

5/1-3/08

7

75

18

   

.

Asked of those following the controversy very, somewhat or not too closely:
"Based on what you know about the more controversial comments Jeremiah Wright has made in his speeches and sermons, do you strongly agree, agree, disagree, or strongly disagree with those comments?"
Options rotated. N=855 adults, MoE 4.

.

Strongly
Agree
Agree Disagree Strongly
Disagree
Unsure
% % % % %

5/1-3/08

1

7

32

54

6

.

Asked of those following the controversy very, somewhat or not too closely:
"Just your best guess: Do you think in general Barack Obama strongly agrees, agrees, disagrees, or strongly disagrees with the more controversial comments Jeremiah Wright has made?"
Options rotated. N=855 adults, MoE 4.

.

Strongly
Agrees
Agrees Disagrees Strongly
Disagrees
Unsure
% % % % %

5/1-3/08

5

21

42

25

7

.

Asked of those following the controversy very, somewhat or not too closely:
"Regardless of whether you think Obama agrees with Jeremiah Wright's statements, how do you think Obama has handled the controversy: very well, well, poorly, or very poorly?"
Options rotated. N=855 adults, MoE 4.

.

Very Well Well Poorly Very Poorly Unsure
% % % % %

5/1-3/08

21

43

27

7

2

.

Asked of those following the controversy very, somewhat or not too closely:
"Which comes closer to your view? Barack Obama's association with Jeremiah Wright is a meaningful reflection on Obama's character and judgment that should be discussed in the campaign. OR, Barack Obama's association with Jeremiah Wright should not be discussed in the campaign because it is not a meaningful reflection on Obama's character and judgment."
Options rotated. N=855 adults, MoE 4.

.

Should Be
Discussed
Should Not Be
Discussed
Unsure    
% % %    

5/1-3/08

43

52

5

   

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Neil Newhouse (R). April 25-28, 2008. Asked of Democrats, and non-Democrats who said they would vote or have voted in a Democratic presidential primary (from a total sample of 1,006 registered voters nationwide).

.

"If Barack Obama is selected as the Democratic nominee, do you think he should or should not choose Hillary Clinton as his vice presidential running mate?"

.

Should Should Not Depends
(vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  

4/25-28/08

48

39

5

8

 

.

"If Hillary Clinton is selected as the Democratic nominee, do you think she should or should not choose Barack Obama as her vice presidential running mate?"

.

Should Should Not Depends
(vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  

4/25-28/08

51

35

3

11

 

.

"In addition to primaries and caucuses, the Democratic selection rules for the presidential nominee include the votes of elected officeholders or party officials who are often called superdelegates. If one of the candidates loses among delegates selected by voters but still wins the nomination by winning among superdelegates, would you consider that nominee legitimate, would you consider that nominee NOT legitimate, or do you not have an opinion either way?"

.

Legitimate Not
Legitimate
No Opinion
Either Way
Unsure  
% % % %  

4/25-28/08

31

37

27

5

 

3/24-25/08

32

41

20

7

 

3/7-10/08

29

38

28

5

 

 

Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. April 16-17, 2008. N=588 registered voters nationwide who are Democrats or lean Democratic. MoE 5.

.

"Suppose it is left to the party leaders and elected officials known as the super delegates to decide whether Clinton or Obama is the Democratic Party's presidential nominee. In which of the following ways would you MOST like to see them make their choice? Should the super delegates choose the candidate who won the biggest share of the POPULAR VOTE in primaries and caucuses across the country, or choose the candidate who won the most DELEGATES in the primaries and caucuses, or choose the candidate who is BEST QUALIFIED to be the nominee in their judgment?"

.

Popular Vote
Winner
Candidate
With Most
Delegates
Best
Qualified
Unsure  
% % % %  
4/16-17/08

38

12

46

4

 

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. April 10-13, 2008. N=643 Democrats and Democratic-leaners nationwide. MoE 4. Fieldwork by TNS.

.

"The Democratic nomination may be decided by so-called 'super delegates' who can pick any candidate they choose. Do you think the super delegates should support the candidate who won the most delegates in primaries and caucuses; the candidate who won the most overall votes; or the candidate they think is best, regardless of either delegate or vote totals?" Options rotated

.

Most
Delegates
Most
Votes
Best
Candidate
Unsure  
% % % %  

4/10-13/08

13

46

37

4

 

.

"As you may know, the Pennsylvania Democratic primary will be held later this month. If Clinton loses in Pennsylvania, should she stay in the race, or drop out?" Options rotated

.

Stay In Drop Out Unsure    
% % %    

4/10-13/08

55

43

2

   

 

CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. March 14-16, 2008. N=463 registered Democrats nationwide. MoE 4.5.

.

"As you may know, nearly 800 delegates to the Democratic convention are party leaders and elected officials known as superdelegates. These superdelegates are not chosen in primaries or caucuses and are able to support any candidate they want. In general, do you think it is a good idea or a bad idea for the Democratic Party to have superdelegates at the national convention?"

.

Good Idea Bad Idea Mixed (vol.) Unsure  
% % % %  

3/14-16/08

42

50

5

3

 

.

"Would you rather see those superdelegates base their votes at the convention on the results of the primaries and caucuses held this year, or would you rather see the superdelegates base their votes on their view of who would be the best candidate?" If primaries and caucuses: "Do you think the superdelegates should base their votes on the nationwide results from every primary and caucus held this year, or only on the results from the contest held in the state or congressional district that they come from?"

.

All Primaries
and Caucuses
Primaries
and Caucuses
In Their
State or District
View of Who
Would Be the
Best Candidate
Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

3/14-16/08

19

27

49

1

3

.

"As you may know, Florida and Michigan currently do not have delegates to the Democratic national convention because those states held their primaries in January, before the party rules allowed them to do so. Do you think Florida and Michigan should or should not hold new primaries or caucuses?" If "should not": "Do you think Florida and Michigan should have no delegates to the convention at all, or should the party allow those states to have delegates that are chosen based on the results of the primaries held in January?"

.

Hold New
Primaries
No Delegates
At All
Based on
January
Primaries
Unsure  
% % % %  

3/14-16/08

63

15

19

2

 

 

USA Today/Gallup Poll. March 14-16, 2008. N=530 Democrats and Democratic leaners nationwide. MoE 5.

.

"Suppose Barack Obama wins more delegates in the Democratic primaries and caucuses but Hillary Clinton wins the presidential nomination because she gets more votes from Democratic superdelegates at the party's convention. If that happens, which would come closer to your view of the Democratic Party's process for picking a nominee: it worked and produced a fair outcome, or it is flawed and produced an unfair outcome?" Options rotated

.

Fair
Outcome
Unfair
Outcome
Unsure    
% % %    

3/14-16/08

37

55

8

   

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). March 7-10, 2008. Asked of Democrats, and non-Democrats who said they would vote or have voted in a Democratic presidential primary (from a total sample of 1,012 registered voters nationwide).

.

"Who do you think would have the better chance of defeating John McCain in the general election in November: Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama?"

.

Clinton Obama Other (vol.) Neither (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

3/7-10/08

38

48

1

2

11

.

"Now I'd like you to compare Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama on a few issues. For each one, please tell me whether you think that Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama would be better on that issue. If you think that both would be equally good or that neither would be good on a particular issue, just say so. . . ."

.

Clinton Obama Equal (vol.) Neither (vol.) Depends
(vol.)/Unsure
% % % % %

Health care

  3/7-10/08

50

23

20

4

3

.

Dealing with an international crisis

  3/7-10/08

48

25

19

4

4

.

Dealing with leaders of foreign countries

  3/7-10/08

44

32

18

3

3

.

Jobs and the economy

  3/7-10/08

37

27

28

5

3

.

The war in Iraq

  3/7-10/08

34

33

21

7

5

.

Illegal immigration

  3/7-10/08

30

24

26

9

11

.

The environment

  3/7-10/08

28

27

31

6

8

.

Uniting the country

  3/7-10/08

23

48

21

5

3


 

Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. March 5-6, 2008. N=573 registered voters nationwide who are Democrats or lean Democratic. MoE 5.

.

"Putting aside the issue of which would be the presidential and vice-presidential candidate, in general, would you personally like to see Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton run together on the national Democratic ticket this fall, or not?"

.

Would Would Not Unsure    
% % %    
3/5-6/08

69

27

4

   

.

"Suppose that after all the votes in the Democratic primaries and caucuses have been counted, neither Hillary Clinton nor Barack Obama has enough pledged delegates to secure the nomination. Which of the following would you most prefer: that the candidate trailing in delegates drop out of the race and concede the nomination to their opponent, OR, that the Democratic elected officials and party leaders who are the superdelegates decide which candidate becomes the party's nominee?" Options rotated

.

Trailing
Candidate
Concede
Super-
delegates
Decide
Unsure    
% % %    
3/5-6/08

43

42

15

   

.

"Suppose that, in the end, the Democratic superdelegates decide whether Clinton or Obama is the party's presidential nominee. Which the following ways would you MOST like to see them choose between the candidates? Should the superdelegates choose the candidate who won the biggest share of the POPULAR VOTE in primaries and caucuses across the country, OR choose the candidate who won the most DELEGATES in the primaries and caucuses, OR choose the candidate who is BEST QUALIFIED to be the nominee in their judgment?"

.

Popular Vote
Winner
Candidate
With Most
Delegates
Best
Qualified
Unsure  
% % % %  
3/5-6/08

38

14

42

6

 

 

Time Poll conducted by abt SRBI. Feb. 1-4, 2008. N=439 registered Democratic likely voters. MoE 4.

.

"At this point, either Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama is likely to be the Democratic Party's nominee for president. What if Hillary Clinton were to win the Democratic Party nomination for president? Would you personally want Hillary Clinton to choose Barack Obama as her vice presidential running mate, or would you want her to choose someone else?"

.

Obama Someone Else Unsure    
% % %    

2/1-4/08

62

24

14

   

.

"What if Barack Obama were to win the Democratic Party nomination for president. Would you personally want Barack Obama to choose Hillary Clinton as his vice presidential running mate, or would you want him to choose someone else?"

.

Clinton Someone Else Unsure    
% % %    

2/1-4/08

51

36

13

   

 

 


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