ABC News/Facebook poll.
Dec. 16-19, 2007. N=1,142 adults nationwide. Fieldwork by TNS.
Results below are among leaned Democrats.
.
"If the 2008 Democratic
presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the
candidates were
[see below], for whom would you vote?"
.
%
Hillary
Clinton
44
Barack Obama
27
John Edwards
11
Dennis Kucinich
3
Joe Biden
2
Bill Richardson
2
Chris Dodd
-
Other/None
(vol.)
4
Unsure
7
USA Today/Gallup Poll.
Dec. 14-16, 2007. N=513 Democrats and Democratic leaners nationwide. MoE ±
5.
.
"Suppose the choice for the Democratic presidential
nomination narrows down to Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama. Which one would
you prefer the Democratic Party nominate for president: Hillary Clinton or
Barack Obama?"
Names rotated
.
Clinton
Obama
Unsure
%
%
%
12/14-16/07
55
38
6
11/2-4/07
60
33
7
9/7-8/07
63
32
5
8/13-16/07
61
34
5
8/3-5/07
59
36
5
7/12-15/07
54
42
4
6/11-14/07
53
42
5
6/1-3/07
49
46
5
5/10-13/07
54
40
7
5/4-6/07
56
37
7
4/13-15/07
53
41
6
4/2-5/07
61
33
6
3/23-25/07
56
37
6
3/2-4/07
56
36
8
2/9-11/07
62
33
5
1/12-14/07
53
39
8
George Washington University
Battleground Poll conducted by the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research
Partners (D). Dec. 9-12, 2007. N=1,013 likely voters nationwide. Results below
are among Democratic primary voters.
.
"If the Democratic primary for
president was held today and you had to make a choice from this list of
candidates, for whom would you vote:
[see below]?"
If unsure: "And which candidate do you lean toward slightly?"
.
%
Hillary
Clinton
47
Barack Obama
24
John Edwards
13
Bill Richardson
4
Joe Biden
3
Dennis Kucinich
2
Chris Dodd
-
Unsure
8
Associated Press/Pew Research Center poll conducted by Schulman,
Ronca, & Bucuvalas.
Nov. 20-26, 2007. N=467 likely Democratic primary voters nationwide. MoE ±
5.
.
"Which one of the following
Democratic candidates would be your first choice for president: [see
below]?" If unsure: "Just as
of today, would you say you LEAN toward [see below]?"
"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running
in the Democratic primary for president in the next election. After I read
all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most
likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in the year
2008, or if you would support someone else. . . ."
Names rotated
.
11/11-14/07
11/2-4/07
%
%
Hillary
Clinton
42
43
Al Gore
17
14
Barack Obama
16
18
John Edwards
9
14
Dennis Kucinich
4
1
Bill Richardson
1
3
Joe Biden
1
1
Christopher Dodd
1
1
Mike Gravel
1
-
None (vol.)/Unsure
8
4
10/12-14/07
10/4-7/07
9/14-16/07
9/7-8/07
8/13-16/07
%
%
%
%
%
Hillary
Clinton
44
43
40
39
42
Barack Obama
19
24
21
19
21
Al Gore
14
10
15
16
15
John Edwards
10
10
9
14
11
Bill Richardson
3
4
5
1
1
Joe Biden
2
2
3
2
1
Dennis Kucinich
1
1
1
2
1
Christopher Dodd
-
-
1
1
1
Mike Gravel
-
-
1
1
-
Someone else
1
1
-
2
1
None (vol.)/Unsure
5
5
4
4
5
8/3-5/07
7/12-15/07
7/6-8/07
6/11-14/07
6/1-3/07
%
%
%
%
%
Hillary
Clinton
42
34
37
33
29
Barack Obama
19
25
21
21
30
Al Gore
18
16
16
18
17
John Edwards
10
9
13
11
11
Joe Biden
3
3
3
3
3
Bill Richardson
3
4
2
5
3
Dennis Kucinich
1
1
2
1
-
Christopher Dodd
-
1
-
-
-
Mike Gravel
-
-
1
1
-
Someone else
1
-
-
1
1
None (vol.)/Unsure
4
6
5
7
4
5/10-13/07
5/4-6/07
4/13-15/07
4/2-5/07
3/23-25/07
%
%
%
%
%
Hillary
Clinton
35
38
31
38
35
Barack Obama
26
23
26
19
22
Al Gore
16
14
15
14
17
John Edwards
12
12
16
15
14
Joe Biden
2
2
1
1
1
Bill Richardson
2
2
3
2
3
Wesley Clark
1
1
1
3
1
Christopher Dodd
1
-
1
-
-
Al Sharpton
1
-
2
-
-
Dennis Kucinich
-
1
1
-
-
Mike Gravel
-
-
1
1
-
Someone else
1
1
-
2
-
None
(vol.)
-
1
1
1
2
Unsure
4
4
3
5
4
3/2-4/07
2/9-11/07
1/12-14/07
12/11-14/06
11/9-12/06
%
%
%
%
%
Hillary
Rodham Clinton
36
40
29
33
31
Barack Obama
22
21
18
20
19
Al Gore
18
14
11
12
9
John Edwards
9
13
13
8
10
Joe Biden
3
1
5
3
4
Wesley Clark
2
1
2
2
3
Mike Gravel
1
-
n/a
n/a
n/a
Bill Richardson
1
4
3
2
2
Christopher Dodd
-
1
1
1
1
Dennis Kucinich
-
-
-
-
n/a
Al Sharpton
-
-
1
n/a
n/a
Someone else
1
-
2
2
2
None
(vol.)
3
1
2
3
1
All/Any
(vol.)
-
-
-
1
-
Unsure
4
3
4
5
6
Tom Vilsack
n/a
-
-
1
1
John Kerry
n/a
n/a
8
6
7
Evan Bayh
n/a
n/a
n/a
1
2
Russ Feingold
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
1
Tom Daschle
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
1
Newsweek Poll
conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Oct.
31-Nov. 1, 2007. N=433 registered Democrats and leaners nationwide. MoE ± 6.
.
"Now I’m going to name seven Democratic presidential
candidates. After I read all the names, tell me which ONE you would most
like to see nominated as the Democratic Party’s presidential candidate in
2008. The choices are [see below]?" Names
rotated
"If
the 2008 Democratic presidential primary were held today, for whom would you
vote if the candidates were[see below]?" Names
rotated
.
10/23-24/07
10/9-10/07
%
%
Hillary
Clinton
37
44
Barack
Obama
23
17
Al Gore
13
10
John Edwards
11
9
Bill Richardson
2
3
Dennis Kucinich
1
2
Joseph Biden
1
1
Chris Dodd
-
1
Mike Gravel
-
-
Other (vol.)
1
-
Unsure
11
11
Wouldn't vote (vol.)
1
2
.
9/11-12/07
8/21-22/07
7/17-18/07
6/26-27/07
6/5-6/07
%
%
%
%
%
Hillary
Clinton
39
35
39
42
36
Barack
Obama
20
23
23
19
23
John Edwards
13
6
9
10
12
Al Gore
9
10
9
14
14
Dennis Kucinich
2
3
3
2
1
Joseph Biden
1
2
1
1
1
Chris Dodd
1
1
-
1
-
Bill Richardson
1
3
2
1
1
Mike Gravel
-
-
-
1
1
Other (vol.)
-
1
1
-
-
Unsure
11
13
11
6
9
Wouldn't vote (vol.)
2
3
2
3
2
.
5/15-16/07
4/17-18/07
3/27-28/07
2/27-28/07
1/30-31/07
%
%
%
%
%
Hillary
Clinton
35
41
36
34
43
Barack
Obama
20
20
18
23
15
John Edwards
13
12
13
12
12
Al Gore
13
16
14
14
11
Bill Richardson
4
2
2
1
2
Joseph Biden
-
1
1
1
4
Chris Dodd
-
-
-
-
-
Mike Gravel
-
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Dennis Kucinich
-
2
2
1
-
Other (vol.)
1
-
1
-
2
Unsure
13
5
12
12
9
Wouldn't vote (vol.)
2
1
2
1
1
Tom Vilsack
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
-
.
12/5-6/06
8/29-30/06
3/14-15/06
9/27-28/05
6/14-15/05
%
%
%
%
%
Hillary
Clinton
33
32
43
42
44
Barack
Obama
12
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Al Gore
11
15
12
11
n/a
John Edwards
8
9
11
14
13
John Kerry
6
13
10
14
17
Evan Bayh
2
2
2
n/a
1
Joseph Biden
2
4
4
5
6
Tom Vilsack
2
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Wesley Clark
1
4
4
1
2
Bill Richardson
1
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Other (vol.)
3
-
-
3
2
Unsure
20
18
10
8
13
Wouldn't vote (vol.)
-
1
1
2
1
Mark Warner
n/a
2
3
1
1
Pew
Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by
Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Oct. 17-23, 2007. N=837
registered voters nationwide who are Democrats or lean Democratic. MoE ±
4.
.
"I'm going to read you
the names of some Democratic presidential candidates. Who would you
most like to see nominated as the Democratic Party's candidate for president in
2008: [see below]?"
If unsure: "Is there anyone you are leaning toward as of today?"
Names rotated
"Suppose the race for the Democratic Party's presidential
nomination in 2008 comes down to a choice among Hillary
Rodham Clinton,
Barack Obama, and John Edwards. Who would you most like to see nominated:
Clinton, Obama, Edwards -- or would you rather see someone else nominated?"
Names rotated
.
Hillary
Clinton
Barack
Obama
John
Edwards
Other/
None
Unsure
%
%
%
%
%
10/12-16/07
51
23
13
7
6
9/14-16/07
43
22
16
7
12
9/4-9/07
44
26
17
6
7
8/8-12/07
45
25
14
7
9
7/9-17/07
43
24
16
9
8
6/26-28/07
48
24
11
8
9
5/18-23/07
46
24
14
11
5
4/9-12/07
39
24
21
6
10
3/26-27/07
36
28
18
5
13
.
"Suppose Al Gore decided to run for president. If the race
for the Democratic Party's nomination in 2008 comes down to a choice among
Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, Al Gore, and Barack Obama, who would you like
to see nominated: Clinton, Edwards, Gore, Obama, or someone else?"
.
Hillary
Clinton
Al Gore
Barack
Obama
John
Edwards
Other/None/
Unsure
%
%
%
%
%
10/12-16/07
37
32
16
7
8
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll.
Oct. 12-14, 2007. N=485 registered voters nationwide who are Democrats or
independents who lean to the Democratic Party. MoE ± 4.5.
.
"Please tell me which of the following people you would be
most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in the
year 2008 . . . ."
Names rotated
.
10/12-14/07
9/7-9/07
%
%
Hillary
Clinton
46
39
Barack
Obama
17
20
Al Gore
14
13
John Edwards
12
15
Bill Richardson
3
4
Joe Biden
1
2
Christopher Dodd
1
-
Mike
Gravel
1
1
Dennis
Kucinich
1
3
Unsure
4
3
.
8/6-8/07
6/22-24/07
5/4-6/07
4/10-12/07
3/9-11/07
%
%
%
%
%
Hillary
Clinton
40
35
38
30
37
Barack
Obama
21
23
24
26
22
John Edwards
13
13
12
12
12
Al Gore
11
16
12
15
14
Bill Richardson
5
4
5
3
3
Joe Biden
2
2
2
1
1
Dennis
Kucinich
2
1
1
1
1
Christopher Dodd
-
-
2
1
-
Mike
Gravel
-
-
-
n/a
n/a
Unsure
6
5
6
7
9
Wesley
Clark
n/a
n/a
n/a
3
1
Al
Sharpton
n/a
n/a
n/a
1
-
.
1/19-21/07
12/5-7/06
11/17-19/06
10/27-29/06
8/30 - 9/2/06
%
%
%
%
%
Hillary
Rodham Clinton
34
37
33
28
38
Barack
Obama
18
15
15
17
n/a
John Edwards
15
9
14
13
12
Al Gore
10
14
14
13
19
John Kerry
5
7
7
12
9
Joe Biden
3
2
3
2
3
Wesley
Clark
2
2
4
n/a
n/a
Dennis
Kucinich
2
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Bill Richardson
2
2
3
2
3
Christopher Dodd
1
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Al
Sharpton
1
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Tom
Vilsack
1
1
1
1
-
Unsure
7
10
4
8
8
Evan Bayh
n/a
1
2
2
2
Russ Feingold
n/a
n/a
n/a
2
3
Mark Warner
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
3
Associated Press-Ipsos poll conducted by
Ipsos Public Affairs. Oct. 1-3, 2007. N=482 Democrats and leaners
nationwide. MoE ± 4.4.
.
"If the 2008
Democratic presidential primary or caucus in your
state were being held today, and the candidates were [see
below], for whom would you vote?"
"I am going to read a list of people who might seek the
Democratic nomination for president in 2008, and I will read the list twice.
I would like you to tell me who would be your FIRST CHOICE for the
nomination. . . ." Names rotated
.
Without
Gore (recalculated, based on second choice of Gore
voters):
"If Hillary
Clinton and Barack Obama were the only choices in the Democratic primary, how
would you vote?" Names
rotated
.
Hillary
Clinton
Barack
Obama
Unsure
Wouldn't
Vote (vol.)
%
%
%
%
9/11-12/07
55
39
5
2
3/27-28/07
52
32
11
5
2/13-14/07
49
32
14
5
12/5-6/06
52
30
16
1
ABC News/Washington Post Poll.
Sept. 4-7, 2007. N=467 Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents nationwide.
MoE ± 4.5. Fieldwork by TNS.
.
"If the 2008 Democratic
presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the
candidates were
[see below], for whom would you vote?"
Names rotated. For 7/07 and earlier, includes second choices of Gore supporters.
.
9/4-7/07
7/18-21/07
5/29 - 6/1/07
4/12-15/07
2/22-25/07
%
%
%
%
%
Hillary
Clinton
41
45
42
41
43
Barack Obama
27
30
27
25
27
John Edwards
14
12
11
17
14
Joe Biden
3
2
2
2
2
Dennis Kucinich
2
1
2
1
-
Bill Richardson
2
3
2
3
3
Chris Dodd
1
1
1
-
-
Mike Gravel
1
0
-
-
-
Other (vol.)
1
1
-
-
-
None
of these
(vol.)
4
2
4
3
4
Wouldn't vote (vol.)
0
2
1
1
1
Unsure
5
2
6
5
4
Wesley Clark
n/a
n/a
n/a
1
-
Tom Vilsack
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
-
.
"Overall, how satisfied or
dissatisfied are you with the choice of candidates for the Democratic nomination
for president this year -- are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat
dissatisfied or very dissatisfied?"
.
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Unsure
%
%
%
9/4-7/07
78
21
2
7/18-21/07
83
16
1
5/29 - 6/1/07
79
18
2
4/12-15/07
80
18
2
2/22-25/07
86
12
2
CBS News Poll.
Aug. 8-12, 2007. N=492 Democratic primary voters nationwide.
.
"Are you generally satisfied with the candidates now running
for the Democratic nomination for president, or do you wish there were more
choices?"
.
Satisfied
More Choices
Unsure
%
%
%
8/8-12/07
67
28
5
7/9-17/07
61
37
2
6/26-28/07
61
35
4
5/18-23/07
63
35
2
Pew
Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by
Schulman, Ronca & Bucuvalas. July 25-29, 2007. N=623
registered voters nationwide who are Democrats or lean Democratic.
Prior surveys conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates
International.
.
"I'm going to read you
the names of some possible Democratic presidential candidates. Who would you
most like to see nominated as the Democratic Party's candidate for president in
2008: [see below]?"
If unsure: "Is there anyone you are leaning toward as of today?"
Names rotated
.
7/25-29/07
4/18-22/07
3/21-25/07
%
%
%
Hillary
Clinton
40
34
35
Barack Obama
21
24
26
Al Gore
12
14
12
John Edwards
11
18
16
Bill Richardson
2
1
1
Dennis Kucinich
2
1
-
Joe Biden
2
1
1
Chris Dodd
1
-
-
Other (vol.)
1
-
-
None
(vol.)
2
5
3
Unsure
6
2
6
Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg Poll. June 7-10, 2007. N=449 Democratic
primary voters nationwide. MoE ± 5.
.
"What if the primary or
caucus in your state was narrowed down to Hillary Rodham Clinton, John Edwards
and Barack Obama? Regardless of your choice for president, if the election were
being held today for whom would you vote: Clinton, Edwards or Obama?" Names rotated. Results include leaners.
.
Clinton
Obama
Edwards
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
%
%
%
%
6/7-10/07
42
32
20
6
4/5-9/07
42
32
20
6
ABC News/Washington Post Poll.
July 18-21, 2007. N=606 Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents
nationwide. MoE ± 4.
Fieldwork by TNS.
.
"If the 2008 Democratic
presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the
candidates were
[see below], for whom would you vote?"
Names rotated
.
7/18-21/07
%
Hillary
Clinton
39
Barack Obama
28
Al Gore
14
John Edwards
9
Bill Richardson
2
Joe Biden
2
Dennis Kucinich
1
Chris Dodd
-
Mike Gravel
0
None
of these
(vol.)
2
Wouldn't vote (vol.)
2
Unsure
2
.
5/29 - 6/1/07
4/12-15/07
2/22-25/07
1/16-19/07
12/7-11/06
%
%
%
%
%
Hillary
Clinton
35
37
36
41
39
Barack Obama
23
20
24
17
17
Al Gore
17
17
14
10
10
John Edwards
8
14
12
11
12
Joe Biden
2
2
1
3
2
Bill Richardson
2
3
3
1
2
Chris Dodd
1
-
-
-
-
Dennis Kucinich
1
1
-
1
n/a
Mike Gravel
-
-
0
-
n/a
None
of these
(vol.)
4
3
3
2
2
Other (vol.)
-
-
-
1
-
Wouldn't vote (vol.)
1
-
1
-
1
Unsure
5
2
3
3
4
Wesley Clark
n/a
1
-
1
1
Tom Vilsack
n/a
n/a
-
-
1
John Kerry
n/a
n/a
n/a
8
7
Evan Bayh
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
1
Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton
Survey Research Associates International. July 2-3, 2007. N=484 registered
Democrats and Democratic leaners nationwide. MoE ± 5.
.
"Suppose the race for the Democratic Party's
presidential nomination next year comes down to a choice between [see
below]. Who would you MOST like to see nominated?" If other/unsure:
"As of TODAY, do you LEAN more toward [see below]?"
.
Hillary
Clinton
Barack
Obama
Unsure
%
%
%
7/2-3/07
56
33
11
5/2-3/07
51
39
10
2/28 - 3/1/07
52
38
10
1/24-25/07
55
35
10
Diageo/Hotline Pollconducted by Financial Dynamics. May
16-20, 2007. N=261 Democratic primary voters nationwide.
.
"If the 2008 Democraticpresidential primary were held today, whom
would you support if the candidates were[see below]?"If
"All": "If you absolutely had
to choose, which one person would you support?"
Names rotated
.
%
Hillary
Clinton
31
Barack
Obama
21
Al Gore
13
John Edwards
10
Dennis Kucinich
2
Bill Richardson
2
Joe Biden
-
Christopher Dodd
-
Mike Gravel
-
All of these (vol.)
2
None of these (vol.)
2
Unsure
16
FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll.
May 15-16, 2007. N=900 registered voters nationwide.
Results below are among Democratic voters (MoE ± 5).
.
"If
the 2008 Democratic presidential primary were held today, for whom would you
vote if the candidates were[see below]?" Names
rotated
.
Without
Clinton (recalculated, based on second choice of Clinton
voters):
.
%
Barack
Obama
34
Al Gore
23
John Edwards
16
Bill Richardson
5
Joseph Biden
1
Chris Dodd
-
Mike Gravel
-
Dennis Kucinich
-
.
Without
Obama (recalculated, based on second choice of Obama
voters):
.
%
Hillary
Clinton
47
Al Gore
15
John Edwards
15
Bill Richardson
4
Joseph Biden
1
Chris Dodd
-
Mike Gravel
-
Dennis Kucinich
-
.
Without
Edwards (recalculated, based on second choice of Edwards
voters):
.
%
Hillary
Clinton
39
Barack
Obama
23
Al Gore
14
Bill Richardson
4
Joseph Biden
1
Mike Gravel
1
Dennis Kucinich
1
Chris Dodd
-
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll.
May 4-6, 2007. N=454
registered voters nationwide who are Democrats or independents who lean to
the Democratic Party.
MoE ± 4.5.
.
"How satisfied are you with the field of Democratic
candidates running for president? Are you very satisfied, fairly satisfied,
not very satisfied, or not satisfied at all?"
.
Very
Satisfied
Fairly
Satisfied
Not Very
Satisfied
Not at All
Satisfied
Unsure
%
%
%
%
%
5/4-6/07
38
46
10
4
3
Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton
Survey Research Associates International. May 2-3,
2007.
N=422 registered Democrats and Democratic leaners
nationwide. MoE ± 6.
.
"Suppose the race for the Democratic Party's
presidential nomination next year comes down to a choice between [see
below]. Who would you MOST like to see nominated?" If other/unsure:
"As of TODAY, do you LEAN more toward [see below]?"
.
Hillary
Clinton
John
Edwards
Unsure
%
%
%
5/2-3/07
57
38
5
2/28 - 3/1/07
63
32
5
1/24-25/07
62
29
9
.
Barack
Obama
John
Edwards
Unsure
%
%
%
5/2-3/07
49
41
10
2/28 - 3/1/07
49
42
9
1/24-25/07
46
39
15
.
"All in all, are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the
choice of candidates running for your party's
presidential nomination?"
.
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Unsure
%
%
%
5/2-3/07
77
14
9
Cook Political Report/RT Strategies Poll.
April 27-29, 2007. N=303 registered voters nationwide who are Democrats or
lean Democratic. MoE ± 5.6.
.
"I am going to read a list of people who might seek the
Democratic nomination for president in 2008, and I will read the list twice.
I would like you to tell me who would be your FIRST CHOICE for the
nomination. . . ." Names rotated
.
Without
Gore or Clinton (recalculated, based on second choice of Gore and
Clinton
voters):
.
%
Barack Obama
43
John Edwards
29
Bill Richardson
5
Joe Biden
2
Chris Dodd
2
Dennis Kucinich
1
Mike Gravel
-
Other (vol.)
1
Unsure
17
.
Without
Gore or Edwards (recalculated, based on second choice of Gore and
Edwards
voters):
.
%
Hillary
Rodham Clinton
43
Barack Obama
32
Bill Richardson
6
Joe Biden
3
Chris Dodd
2
Dennis Kucinich
1
Mike Gravel
-
Unsure
13
Time
Pollconducted by Schulman, Ronca &
Bucuvalas (SRBI) Public Affairs. April 5-9, 2007.
N=493 registered voters nationwide
who are Democrats or lean Democratic. MoE ± 4.
.
"What if your choices for the
Democratic nomination were just Hillary Rodham Clinton and Barack Obama and John
Edwards -- which one would you vote for if you had to
decide today?"
Names rotated
.
4/5-9/07
3/23-26/07
3/9-12/07
2/23-26/07
%
%
%
%
Hillary
Rodham Clinton
33
38
42
42
Barack Obama
26
30
31
30
John Edwards
25
26
17
22
Other (vol.)
-
-
1
-
Will not vote (vol.)
3
1
2
2
Unsure
13
4
8
4
Cook Political Report/RT Strategies Poll.
March 29-April 1, 2007. N=355 registered voters nationwide who are Democrats
or lean Democratic. MoE ± 5.2.
.
"I am going to read a list of people who might seek the
Democratic nomination for president in 2008, and I will read the list twice.
I would like you to tell me who would be your FIRST CHOICE for the
nomination. . . ." Names rotated
.
3/29 - 4/1/07
2/15-18/07
11/9-12/06
8/25-27/06
6/1-4/06
%
%
%
%
%
Hillary
Rodham Clinton
41
42
34
32
31
John Edwards
19
16
9
11
11
Barack Obama
17
20
20
n/a
n/a
Joe Biden
4
1
4
5
4
Bill Richardson
3
5
2
2
2
Wesley Clark
-
1
2
1
3
Chris Dodd
-
-
-
1
1
Dennis Kucinich
-
1
n/a
n/a
n/a
Mike Gravel
-
1
n/a
n/a
n/a
Other (vol.)
1
1
n/a
n/a
n/a
Unsure
16
11
11
11
10
Tom Vilsack
n/a
1
1
1
-
Al Gore
n/a
n/a
11
19
18
John Kerry
n/a
n/a
4
9
14
Evan Bayh
n/a
n/a
1
2
2
Russ Feingold
n/a
n/a
1
3
2
Mark Warner
n/a
n/a
n/a
2
3
.
Without
Obama (recalculated, based on second choice of Obama
voters):
.
3/29 - 4/1/07
2/15-18/07
11/9-12/06
%
%
%
Hillary
Rodham Clinton
50
53
45
John Edwards
22
19
12
Joe Biden
4
3
4
Bill Richardson
3
7
2
Wesley Clark
-
1
2
Mike Gravel
-
1
n/a
Dennis Kucinich
-
1
n/a
Chris Dodd
-
-
-
Other (vol.)
1
1
n/a
Unsure
19
12
13
Tom Vilsack
n/a
1
1
Al Gore
n/a
n/a
13
John Kerry
n/a
n/a
5
Russ Feingold
n/a
n/a
2
Evan Bayh
n/a
n/a
1
.
Without
Clinton (recalculated, based on second choice of Clinton
voters):
.
3/29 - 4/1/07
2/15-18/07
%
%
Barack Obama
33
35
John Edwards
29
28
Joe Biden
6
3
Bill Richardson
4
6
Chris Dodd
1
1
Mike Gravel
1
2
Dennis Kucinich
1
1
Wesley Clark
-
4
Other (vol.)
1
1
Unsure
24
18
Tom Vilsack
n/a
1
.
Without
Edwards (recalculated, based on second choice of Edwards
voters):
.
3/29 - 4/1/07
2/15-18/07
%
%
Hillary
Rodham Clinton
51
46
Barack Obama
20
23
Bill Richardson
5
7
Joe Biden
4
3
Wesley Clark
-
1
Chris Dodd
-
1
Mike Gravel
-
1
Dennis Kucinich
-
1
Other (vol.)
1
-
Unsure
19
15
Tom Vilsack
n/a
1
Time
Pollconducted by Schulman, Ronca &
Bucuvalas (SRBI) Public Affairs. March 23-26, 2007.
N=511 registered voters nationwide
who are Democrats or lean Democratic.
.
"Now I'm
going to read a list of candidates who might be running for the
DemocraticParty
presidential nomination in 2008. If the Democratic
presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, listen
carefully to the names and then tell me which candidate you would be most likely
to vote for. . . ."
Names rotated
.
3/23-26/07
3/9-12/07
2/23-26/07
1/22-23/07
%
%
%
%
Hillary
Rodham Clinton
31
34
36
40
Barack Obama
24
26
24
21
John Edwards
16
10
11
11
Al Gore
15
13
13
9
Bill Richardson
3
2
3
4
Joe Biden
2
1
2
2
Chris Dodd
1
-
-
1
Dennis Kucinich
-
2
1
1
Al Sharpton
-
1
1
1
Other (vol.)
-
1
1
1
Will not vote (vol.)
-
1
1
-
Unsure
7
10
7
6
John Kerry
n/a
n/a
n/a
4
Tom Vilsack
n/a
n/a
n/a
-
.
"What if your choices for the
Democratic nomination were just Hillary Rodham Clinton and Barack Obama and John
Edwards -- which one would you vote for if you had to decide today?"
Names rotated
.
3/23-26/07
3/9-12/07
2/23-26/07
%
%
%
Hillary
Rodham Clinton
38
42
42
Barack Obama
30
31
30
John Edwards
26
17
22
Other (vol.)
-
1
-
Will not vote (vol.)
1
2
2
Unsure
4
8
4
McLaughlin & Associates (R). March
21-25,
2007. N=1,000 likely voters
nationwide.
Results below are among Democrats and independents.
.
Preference for Democratic Presidential Nominee:
.
%
Hillary
Clinton
26
Barack Obama
18
John Edwards
11
Al Gore
11
Bill Richardson
2
Joe
Biden
1
Dennis Kucinich
1
Al Sharpton
1
Wesley Clark
0
Chris Dodd
0
Unsure
28
Democracy
Corps Poll conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D).
March 20-25, 2007. N=617
likely Democratic primary/caucus voters nationwide.
.
"I know it is a long way
off, but thinking about next year's Democratic primary/caucus for president, if
the Democratic primary/caucus for president were held today and the candidates
were
[see below], for whom would you vote?"
.
%
Hillary
Rodham Clinton
39
Barack Obama
26
John Edwards
20
Bill Richardson
3
Joe Biden
3
Dennis Kucinich
2
Chris Dodd
1
Mike Gravel
0
Other
(vol.)
1
None
(vol.)
1
Unsure
5
NBC
News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted
by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Neil Newhouse (R).
March 2-5, 2007.
Asked of Democrats, and non-Democrats who said they would
vote in a Democratic presidential primary (from a total sample of 1,007
adults nationwide).
.
"Thinking of these same
candidates again, are there any candidates for whom you would definitely NOT
vote for the Democratic nomination for president?"
.
3/2-5/07
%
Hillary
Clinton
16
Dennis Kucinich
11
Joe Biden
9
John Edwards
7
Chris Dodd
7
Barack Obama
7
Wesley Clark
5
Bill Richardson
5
Other (vol.)
1
None
(vol.)
29
Unsure
17
.
"If the choice for the Democratic nomination came down to
Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, for whom would you vote?" If unsure:
"Well, which way do you lean?"
.
Hillary
Clinton
Barack
Obama
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
%
%
%
%
3/2-5/07
47
39
4
10
Times Union/Siena College Poll.
Feb. 6-9, 2007. N=1,120 registered voters nationwide.
Results below are among Democratic voters.
.
"If the
Democratic candidates for president in 2008 were [see below],
who would you vote for?" Names
rotated
.
%
Hillary
Clinton
45
Barack Obama
12
John Edwards
10
Al Gore
10
Bill Richardson
2
Joe Biden
1
Dennis Kucinich
1
Tom Vilsack
0
Unsure
20
Time
Pollconducted by Schulman, Ronca &
Bucuvalas (SRBI) Public Affairs. Jan. 22-23, 2007.
N=480 registered voters nationwide
who are Democrats or lean Democratic.
.
"What if your choices for the
Democratic nomination were just Hillary Rodham Clinton and Barack Obama
-- which one would you vote for?"
Names rotated
.
%
Hillary
Rodham Clinton
55
Barack Obama
32
Neither (vol.)
4
Unsure
9
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Jan. 19-21, 2007. N=467
registered voters nationwide who are Democrats or independents who lean to
the Democratic Party.
MoE ± 4.5.
.
"Please tell me which of the following people you would be
most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in the
year 2008 . . . .And
who would be your second choice?"
Names rotated
.
First
Choice
Second
Choice
%
%
Hillary
Rodham Clinton
34
21
Barack
Obama
18
17
John Edwards
15
14
Al Gore
10
14
John Kerry
5
13
Joe Biden
3
3
Wesley
Clark
2
2
Dennis
Kucinich
2
1
Bill Richardson
2
4
Christopher Dodd
1
1
Al
Sharpton
1
3
Tom
Vilsack
1
1
Unsure
7
6
.
.
With
certain candidates excluded -- substituting respondents' second choices:
.
Excluding
Clinton
Excluding
Gore
Excluding
Kerry
Excluding
Obama
Excluding
Edwards
%
%
%
%
%
Hillary
Rodham Clinton
n/a
37
36
41
39
Barack
Obama
27
18
18
n/a
21
John Edwards
21
16
16
18
n/a
Al Gore
18
n/a
12
12
11
John Kerry
9
8
n/a
7
6
Joe Biden
4
3
3
4
4
Wesley
Clark
2
2
2
2
2
Dennis
Kucinich
2
2
2
2
2
Bill Richardson
4
2
2
3
3
Christopher Dodd
2
1
1
1
1
Al
Sharpton
1
1
1
1
2
Tom
Vilsack
1
1
1
2
1
.
"Regardless of who you support, please tell me whether you
would or would not like to see each of the following people run for the
Democratic nomination for president. . . ."
.
Would
Would Not
Unsure
%
%
%
Hillary
Rodham Clinton
75
23
2
Barack
Obama
60
28
12
Al Gore
59
40
1
John Kerry
45
51
4
CBS News
Poll.
Jan. 18-21, 2007.
N=1,168 adults nationwide. Results below are among
Democratic primary voters.
.
"Suppose
the race for the Democratic Party's presidential nomination in 2008 comes
down to a choice between Hillary Rodham Clinton and Barack Obama. Who would
you most like to see nominated: Clinton or Obama, or neither of these two
candidates?"
.
Clinton
Obama
Neither
Undecided
Don't know/
No Answer
%
%
%
%
%
1/18-21/07
45
28
11
11
5
Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton
Survey Research Associates International. Dec. 6-7, 2006.
N=422 registered Democrats and Democratic leaners nationwide. MoE ±
5.
.
"Suppose the race for the Democratic Party's
presidential nomination in 2008 comes down to a choice between Hillary
Clinton and Barack Obama. Who would you MOST like to see nominated: Clinton
or Obama?"
.
Hillary
Clinton
Barack
Obama
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
%
%
%
%
12/6-7/06
50
32
2
16
FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll.
Dec. 5-6, 2006. N=900 registered voters nationwide.
Results below are among Democratic voters (MoE ± 5).
.
"If Hillary
Clinton and [see below] were the only choices in the Democratic primary, how
would you vote?" Names
rotated
"I am going to read a list of people who might seek the
Democratic nomination for president in 2008, and I will read the list twice.
I would like you to tell me who would be your FIRST CHOICE for the
nomination. . . ." Names rotated. Among Democrats
and leaners.
.
.
Without
Gore (recalculated, based on second choice of Gore
voters):
.
11/9-12/06
8/25-27/06
%
%
Hillary
Rodham Clinton
39
37
Barack Obama
21
n/a
John Edwards
11
17
John Kerry
6
12
Joe Biden
4
6
Bill Richardson
2
3
Wesley Clark
2
2
Evan Bayh
1
2
Russ Feingold
1
5
Tom Vilsack
1
1
Chris Dodd
-
1
Unsure
12
12
Mark Warner
n/a
2
Pew
Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted
by Princeton Survey Research Associates International.
Nov. 9-12, 2006.N=1,191
registered voters nationwide. Results below are
among Democratic voters.
.
"Now I am going to read you
the names of some possible candidates for the Democratic
nomination for president in 2008. AFTER I READ ALL THE NAMES, please tell me
which one you would most like to see nominated as the
Democratic Party's candidate for president."
If unsure: "Well as of today, to whom do you most lean?"
Names rotated
Pew
Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey
Research Associates International.Aug. 9-13, 2006.N=1,219
registered voters nationwide, including 407
Democrats.
.
"Now I am going to read you
the names of some possible candidates for the Democratic
nomination for president in 2008. AFTER I READ ALL THE NAMES, please tell me
which one you would most like to see nominated as the
Democratic Party's candidate for president."
If unsure: "Well as of today, to whom do you most lean?"
Names rotated
.
ALL
Democrats
%
%
Hillary
Clinton
29
40
Al Gore
13
18
John Edwards
11
11
John Kerry
9
11
Joe Biden
6
6
Bill Richardson
5
4
Mark Warner
3
2
Russ Feingold
3
2
Other
(vol.)
2
1
None
(vol.)
16
4
Unsure
3
1
GallupPoll.
June 1-4, 2006. N=447 Democrats and Democratic leaners
nationwide
who are registered to vote. MoE ± 5.
.
"Next, I'm going to read a list of
people who may be running in the Democratic primary for president in the
next election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those
candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination
for president in the year 2008, or if you would support someone else. . . ."
Names rotated
.
%
Hillary
Rodham Clinton
36
Al Gore
16
John Edwards
12
John Kerry
11
Wesley Clark
4
Joe Biden
4
Russ Feingold
3
Mark Warner
2
Tom Daschle
-
Tom Vilsack
-
Someone else
3
None
(vol.)
2
Unsure
5
Diageo/Hotline Pollconducted by Financial Dynamics. April
19-23, 2006. N=603 registered Democrats nationwide. MoE ± 4.
.
"If the 2008 Democratic presidential primary were held
today, whom would you support if the candidates were [see below]?"
If "all": "If you absolutely had to choose, which one person would
you support?"
.
%
Hillary
Clinton
38
John Kerry
14
John Edwards
13
Joe Biden
5
Wesley Clark
3
Russ Feingold
3
Bill Richardson
2
Mark Warner
2
Evan Bayh
1
Tom Vilsack
-
All of these (vol.)
1
None of these (vol.)
5
Unsure
12
.
"Now, suppose the 2008 Democratic presidential primary were
being held today between Hillary Clinton and [see below], for whom
would you vote?" If unsure: "Which way would you lean as of today?"
.
Hillary
Clinton
John
Kerry
Unsure
Refused
%
%
%
%
4/19-23/06
57
30
11
3
.
Hillary
Clinton
John
Edwards
Unsure
Refused
%
%
%
%
4/19-23/06
52
33
12
3
.
Hillary
Clinton
Mark
Warner
Unsure
Refused
%
%
%
%
4/19-23/06
66
15
17
3
.
Hillary
Clinton
Al Gore
Unsure
Refused
%
%
%
%
4/19-23/06
57
29
12
2
Cook Political Report/RT Strategies Poll.
Feb. 23-26, 2006. Democratic
and Democratic-leaning voters nationwide.
.
"Thinking now about the Democratic nomination for president
in 2008, will you support Hillary Clinton, the senator from New York, John
Kerry, the senator from Massachusetts, John Edwards, the former candidate
for vice president, or someone else for the Democratic nomination for
president in 2008?"
Names rotated
.
Hillary
Clinton
John
Edwards
John
Kerry
Someone
Else
Unsure
%
%
%
%
%
2/23-26/06
44
16
14
12
14
WNBC/Marist
Poll.
Feb. 13-15, 2006.
Asked of Democrats and Democratic leaners
nationwide. MoE ± 5.
.
"If the 2008 Democratic presidential primary were held
today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?"
.
2/13-15/06
10/12-13
&
17/05
4/18-21/05
2/14-16/05
%
%
%
%
Hillary
Clinton
40
41
40
39
John Edwards
16
14
16
15
John Kerry
15
17
18
21
Joe Biden
7
5
7
5
Wesley Clark
4
3
4
4
Evan Bayh
3
2
-
1
Bill Richardson
3
n/a
1
2
Mark Warner
2
1
-
1
Tom Vilsack
-
1
-
-
Unsure
10
16
12
10
Russ Feingold
n/a
n/a
2
2
CNN/USA
Today/GallupPoll.
Feb. 9-12, 2006. N=429 Democrats and Democratic leaners
nationwide
who are registered to vote. MoE ± 5.
.
"Next, I'm going to read a list of
people who may be running in the Democratic primary for president in the
next election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those
candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination
for president in the year 2008, or if you would support someone else.
Delaware Senator Joe Biden; New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton; former
North Carolina senator John Edwards; former vice president Al Gore;
Massachusetts Senator John Kerry; former Virginia governor Mark Warner."
Names rotated
.
%
Hillary
Rodham Clinton
39
John Kerry
15
Al Gore
13
John Edwards
12
Mark Warner
5
Joe Biden
5
Russ Feingold
(vol.)
1
Someone else
3
None
(vol.)
3
All/Any (vol.)
1
Unsure
4
CNN/USA
Today/GallupPoll.
Dec. 9-11, 2005. N=446 Democrats and Democratic leaners
nationwide
who are registered to vote. MoE ± 5.
.
"Next, I'm going to read a list
of people who may be running in the Democratic primary for president in the
next election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those
candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination
for president in the year 2008, or if you would support someone else.
Indiana Senator Evan Bayh; Delaware Senator Joe Biden; New York Senator
Hillary Rodham Clinton; Former North Carolina senator John Edwards;
Massachusetts Senator John Kerry; New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson; Iowa
Governor Tom Vilsack; Virginia Governor Mark Warner."
"I am going to read a list of people who might
seek the Democratic nomination for president in 2008, and I will read the
list twice. I would like you to tell me who would be your first choice for
the nomination: Hillary Rodham Clinton, the senator from New York; John
Kerry, the senator from Massachusetts; John Edwards, former candidate for
vice president; Joe Biden, the senator from Delaware; Bill Richardson, the
governor of New Mexico; Russ Feingold, the senator from Wisconsin; Mark
Warner, the governor of Virginia; Wesley Clark, retired general; Evan Bayh,
the senator from Indiana; or Tom Vilsack, the
governor of Iowa?"
Names rotated
.
%
Hillary
Clinton
33
John Kerry
17
John Edwards
15
Joe Biden
7
Bill Richardson
4
Russ Feingold
4
Mark Warner
4
Wesley Clark
3
Evan Bayh
3
Tom Vilsack
-
Unsure
11
.
Without
Clinton (recalculated, based on second choice
of Clinton
voters):
%
John Kerry
28
John Edwards
23
Joe Biden
9
Russ Feingold
6
Bill Richardson
6
Wesley Clark
5
Mark Warner
5
Evan Bayh
4
Tom Vilsack
-
Unsure
14
NBC
News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted
by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill
McInturff (R). Nov. 4-7, 2005.
N=1,003 adults nationwide.
.
"Let me mention
some people who might seek the Democratic nomination for president in 2008.
If the next Democratic primary for president were being held today, for
which one of the following candidates would you vote:
[see below]?"If unsure: "Well,
which way do you lean?" Asked of registered voters who are Democrats/leaners, or
are independents who would vote in a Democratic presidential primary.
.
%
Hillary
Clinton
41
John Edwards
14
Al Gore
12
John Kerry
10
Joe Biden
5
Wesley Clark
4
Bill Richardson
3
Other (vol.)
1
None (vol.)
4
Unsure
6
.
"Are there any
candidates on this list for whom you would definitely NOT vote for the 2008
Democratic presidential nomination?"
Multiple responses accepted. Asked of registered voters
who are Democrats/leaners, or are independents who would vote in a
Democratic presidential primary.
.
%
Al Gore
17
John Kerry
14
Hillary
Clinton
13
Wesley Clark
9
Joe Biden
6
Bill Richardson
4
John Edwards
3
None (vol.)
31
Unsure
13
CNN/USA
Today/GallupPoll.
Aug. 5-7, 2005. N=424 Democrats and Democratic leaners
nationwide
who are registered to vote. MoE ± 5.
.
"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may
be running in the Democratic primary for president in the next
election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those
candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination
for president in the year 2008:
Indiana Senator Evan Bayh, Delaware Senator Joe
Biden,retiredgeneral Wesley Clark,
New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton,former North Carolina senator
John Edwards, Massachusetts Senator John Kerry,
New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson, Virginia
Governor Mark Warner."
Names rotated
"If the Democratic primary for president were held
today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, John Kerry, John Edwards, Joe
Biden, Wesley Clark, Bill Richardson, and Evan Bayh,
for whom would you vote?"
.
%
Hillary
Clinton
33
John Edwards
14
John Kerry
14
Joe Biden
6
Bill Richardson
5
Evan Bayh
5
Wesley Clark
5
Unsure
19
.
"If
the Democratic primary for president were held today and the candidates were
Hillary Clinton, John Kerry, John Edwards, Joe Biden, Wesley Clark, Bill
Richardson, Evan Bayh, Al Gore, and Howard Dean, for whom would you vote?"
.
%
Hillary
Clinton
29
John Kerry
13
John Edwards
12
Howard Dean
6
Al Gore
6
Joe Biden
5
Evan Bayh
4
Wesley Clark
4
Bill Richardson
3
Unsure
17
Wouldn't vote (vol.)
1
CNN/USA
Today/GallupPoll.
Feb. 4-6, 2005. N=383 Democrats and Democratic leaners
nationwide
who are registered to vote. MoE ± 6.
.
"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may
be running in the Democratic primary for president in the next
election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those
candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination
for president in the year 2008:
New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton, former North Carolina Senator John
Edwards, Massachusetts Senator John Edwards-- or
would you support someone else?"
Names rotated
.
%
Hillary
Rodham Clinton
40
John Kerry
25
John Edwards
18
Other
6
All/Any (vol.)
1
None (vol.)
4
Unsure
6
Ipsos-Public Affairs poll. Dec. 17-19,
2004.
N=399
registered voters nationwide who consider themselves Democrats or lean Democratic, plus independent and undeclared voterswho say they generally vote in Democratic primaries.
MoE ±
4.9.
.
"I know it is early, but if the
Democratic primary for president were held today,
which of the following would you support for the Democraticnomination for president? . . . "
"If the Democrat primary
for president
were held today and the
candidates were John Edwards and Hillary Rodham Clinton, for whom would you
vote?"Names
rotated
"Looking ahead to four years from now, who do you
want to be the Democratic Party presidential nominee in 2008,
if you had to choose today?"
Open-ended
.
%
Hillary
Clinton
25
John Kerry
15
John Edwards
7
Bill Clinton
3
Barack Obama
3
Al Gore
2
None
3
Other
9
Unsure
33
.
"Suppose
the choice for the Democratic presidential nomination narrows down to New
York Senator Hillary Clinton or North Carolina Senator John Edwards.
Which one would you prefer the Democratic Party nominate for president:
Hillary Clinton or John Edwards?"
Names rotated
.
%
Hillary
Clinton
55
John Edwards
39
Unsure
6
McLaughlin & Associates (R). Conducted
the evening of Election Day, Nov. 2, 2004.
N=1,000 Nov. 2004 general election voters nationwide.
.
"Thinking
ahead to the next presidential election, if the 2008 Democrat primary for
president were held today and the candidates were
Hillary Clinton, Al Gore, John Kerry, Mark Warner, Howard Dean, John
Edwards, Harold Ford Jr., Evan Bayh, Barack Obama, and Wesley Clark, for
whom would you vote?"
