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   White House 2008: General Election Trial Heats (p. 4)


Polls listed chronologically.

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.

         

CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Sept. 7-9, 2007. N=914 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.

.

"If [see below] were the Democratic Party's candidate and [see below] were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for: [see below], the Democrat, or [see below], the Republican?" If unsure: "As of today, who do you lean more toward?" Names rotated

.

Fred
Thompson (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Neither (vol.) Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %
9/7-9/07 42 55 2 - 1
6/22-24/07 46 50 3 1 1

.

Fred
Thompson (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Neither (vol.) Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %
9/7-9/07 41 53 5 - 1
6/22-24/07 40 52 4 - 3

 

George Washington University Battleground Poll conducted by the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D). July 15-18, 2007. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.1 (for all likely voters).

.

"Now, even though it is a long way off, as you think about the election for president that will be held in 2008 -- If the 2008 election for president were held today and you had to make a choice between these two candidates, for whom would you vote: [see below], the Republican,
or
[see below], the Democrat?" If unsure: "And which candidate do you lean toward slightly?" Names rotated. Each match-up asked of half the sample.

.

Fred
Thompson (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Unsure    
% % %    

7/15-18/07

46 46 8    

.

Fred
Thompson (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Unsure    
% % %    

7/15-18/07

35 56 9    

 

Zogby America Poll. July 12-14, 2007. N=1,012 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.1.

.

General Election Trial Heats:

.

Rudy
Giuliani (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Mike
Bloomberg (I)
Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

7/12-14/07

37

44

7

6

7

.

Fred
Thompson (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Mike
Bloomberg (I)
Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

7/12-14/07

37

44

8

4

7

.

Mitt
Romney (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Mike
Bloomberg (I)
Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

7/12-14/07

32

44

10

6

8

.

John
McCain (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Mike
Bloomberg (I)
Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

7/12-14/07

36

41

11

4

8

.

Rudy
Giuliani (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Mike
Bloomberg (I)
Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

7/12-14/07

39

43

6

4

8

.

Fred
Thompson (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Mike
Bloomberg (I)
Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

7/12-14/07

36

44

7

4

9

.

Mitt
Romney (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Mike
Bloomberg (I)
Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

7/12-14/07

29

45

9

6

12

.

John
McCain (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Mike
Bloomberg (I)
Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

7/12-14/07

37

41

9

4

10

.

Rudy
Giuliani (R)
John
Edwards (D)
Mike
Bloomberg (I)
Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

7/12-14/07

41

39

9

4

8

.

Fred
Thompson (R)
John
Edwards (D)
Mike
Bloomberg (I)
Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

7/12-14/07

37

42

8

5

9

.

Mitt
Romney (R)
John
Edwards (D)
Mike
Bloomberg (I)
Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

7/12-14/07

31

43

10

7

9

.

John
McCain (R)
John
Edwards (D)
Mike
Bloomberg (I)
Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

7/12-14/07

36

39

11

5

10


 

Daily News poll conducted by Blum & Weprin Associates. July 10-12, 2007. N=600 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 4.

.

"If the 2008 general election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, Rudy Giuliani, the Republican, and Michael Bloomberg, the independent, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "As of today, toward which candidate are you leaning?" Names rotated

.

Rudy
Giuliani (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Michael
Bloomberg (I)
Unsure  
% % % %  

7/10-12/07

33 40 10 17  

 

USA Today/Gallup Poll. July 6-8, 2007. N=916 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 4.

.

"Thinking now about the general election for president, which will be held in November 2008 -- Suppose the election were being held today. If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate, Rudy Giuliani were the Republican Party's candidate, and Michael Bloomberg were an independent candidate, who would you vote for: Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, Rudy Giuliani, the Republican, or Michael Bloomberg, the independent?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward Clinton, the Democrat, Giuliani, the Republican, or Bloomberg, the independent?" Names rotated

.

Rudy
Giuliani (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Michael
Bloomberg (I)
None (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %

7/6-8/07

39 45 12 2 1

 

CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. June 22-24, 2007. N=907 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.5.

.

"If [see below] were the Democratic Party's candidate and [see below] were the Republican Party's candidate, and Michael Bloomberg ran as an independent candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for: [see below], the Democrat, [see below], the Republican, or Bloomberg, the independent?" If unsure: "As of today, who do you lean more toward?" Names rotated

.

Rudy
Giuliani
(R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Michael
Bloomberg (I)
None (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %
6/22-24/07 38 41 17 2 2

.

John
McCain (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Michael
Bloomberg (I)
None (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %
6/22-24/07 34 40 21 2 2

 

Cook Political Report/RT Strategies Poll. June 21-23, 2007. N=844 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.4.

.

"I know the election in November 2008 is a long way off, but if [see below] were the Democratic Party's candidate and [see below] were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for: [see below], the Democrat, or [see below], the Republican?" If neither or unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward [see below], the Democrat, or [see below], the Republican?" Names rotated

.

Fred
Thompson (R)
Hillary
Rodham
Clinton (D)
Other (vol.) Unsure  
% % % %  

6/21-23/07

40 45 1 13  

6/15-17/07

42 42 2 14  

.

Rudy
Giuliani (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Other (vol.) Unsure  
% % % %  

6/21-23/07

41 42 2 15  

6/15-17/07

41 41 2 16  

.

Fred
Thompson (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Other (vol.) Unsure  
% % % %  

6/21-23/07

35 46 1 17  

6/15-17/07

33 46 1 20  

 

Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. June 20-21, 2007. N=831 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 4.

.

General Election Trial Heats:

.

John
McCain (R)
John
Edwards (D)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
   
% % %    

6/20-21/07

44 50 6    

5/2-3/07

42 52 6    

2/28 - 3/1/07

43 48 9    

1/24-25/07

44 48 8    

1/17-18/07

43 48 9    

.

John
McCain (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Michael
Bloomberg (I)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
 
% % % %  

6/20-21/07

35 46 13 6  

.

John
McCain (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Michael
Bloomberg (I)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
 
% % % %  

6/20-21/07

35 46 11 8  

.

Fred
Thompson (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Michael
Bloomberg (I)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
 
% % % %  

6/20-21/07

33 48 13 6  

.

Fred
Thompson (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Michael
Bloomberg (I)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
 
% % % %  

6/20-21/07

32 47 14 7  

 

Gallup Poll. June 11-14, 2007. N=927 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 4.

.

"Thinking now about the general election for president, which will be held in November 2008. Suppose the election were being held today -- If [see below] were the Democratic Party's candidate and [see below] were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you vote for: [see below], the Democrat or [see below], the Republican?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward [see below], the Democrat or [see below], the Republican?" Names rotated

.

Rudy
Giuliani (R)
John
Edwards (D)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %

6/11-14/07

45

50

-

2

2

.

John
McCain (R)
John
Edwards (D)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %

6/11-14/07

44

50

-

4

2

.

Mitt
Romney (R)
John
Edwards (D)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %

6/11-14/07

32

61

-

3

3


 

Quinnipiac University Poll. June 5-11, 2007. N=1,711 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 2.4.

.

"If the 2008 election for president were being held today, and the candidates were [see below] the Democrat and [see below] the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

.

Rudolph
Giuliani (R)
Al Gore (D) Someone
Else (vol.)
Wouldn't
Vote (vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %

6/5-11/07

43

45

2

4

6

4/25 - 5/1/07

48

41

1

3

7

.

John
McCain (R)
Al Gore (D) Someone
Else (vol.)
Wouldn't
Vote (vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %

6/5-11/07

41

44

3

5

7

4/25 - 5/1/07

47

41

2

3

8

.

Fred
Thompson (R)
Al Gore (D) Someone
Else (vol.)
Wouldn't
Vote (vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %

6/5-11/07

37

49

2

3

9

4/25 - 5/1/07

37

47

1

4

11


 

Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg Poll. June 7-10, 2007. N=1,056 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3 (for all registered voters).

.

"If the November general election for president were being held today, which party would you like to see win: the Democratic Party or the Republican Party?" Options rotated. Results include leaners.

.

Democratic
Party
Republican
Party
Other Party
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %

6/7-10/07

49 41 1 3 6

4/5-9/07

49 39 1 2 9

12/8-11/06

49 41 1 2 7

.

"If the November 2008 general election for president were being held today and the choices were [see below], the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, for whom would you vote: [see below] or [see below], or would you vote for a candidate from some other party?" Names rotated. Results include leaners. N=approx. 530 registered voters, MoE ± 4.

.

Rudy
Giuliani (R)
John
Edwards (D)
Other Unsure  
% % % %  

6/7-10/07

43 46 4 7  

4/5-9/07

45 43 6 6  

.

.

John
McCain (R)
John
Edwards (D)
Other Unsure  
% % % %  

6/7-10/07

45 40 7 8  

4/5-9/07

40 44 9 7  

.

.

Mitt
Romney (R)
John
Edwards (D)
Other Unsure  
% % % %  

6/7-10/07

32 46 13 9  

4/5-9/07

30 50 9 11  

 

Zogby America Poll. May 17-20, 2007. N=993 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.2

.

General Election Trial Heats:

.

Rudy
Giuliani (R)
Bill
Richardson (D)
Other (vol.) Unsure  
% % % %  
5/17-20/07

50

35

5

9

 

.

John
McCain (R)
Bill
Richardson (D)
Other (vol.) Unsure  
% % % %  
5/17-20/07

52

31

6

11

 

.

Mitt
Romney (R)
Bill
Richardson (D)
Other (vol.) Unsure  
% % % %  
5/17-20/07

37

40

6

17

 

.

Fred
Thompson (R)
Bill
Richardson (D)
Other (vol.) Unsure  
% % % %  
5/17-20/07

40

39

7

14

 

 

WNBC/Marist Poll. April 26-May 1, 2007. N=823 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.5.

.

"If the 2008 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?"

.

John
McCain (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Unsure
% % %
4/26 - 5/1/07

42

47

11

2/12-15/07

46

46

8

11/27 - 12/3/06

49

43

8

9/18-20/06

48

43

9

2/13-15/06

52

42

6

10/12-13 & 17/05

50

41

9

4/18-21/05

50

42

8

2/14-16/05

54

42

4

.

Rudy
Giuliani
(R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Unsure
% % %
4/26 - 5/1/07

43

41

16

2/12-15/07

45

41

14

.

John
McCain (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Unsure
% % %
4/26 - 5/1/07

46

39

15

2/12-15/07

44

41

15

.

Rudy
Giuliani
(R)
John
Edwards (D)
Unsure
% % %
4/26 - 5/1/07

43

49

8

2/12-15/07

44

44

12

2/13-15/06

47

44

9

10/12-13 & 17/05

48

43

9

4/18-21/05

45

48

7

2/14-16/05

49

43

8

.

John
McCain (R)
John
Edwards (D)
Unsure
% % %
4/26 - 5/1/07

39

49

12

2/12-15/07

44

43

13

2/13-15/06

47

41

12

10/12-13 & 17/05

49

41

10

4/18-21/05

46

43

11

2/14-16/05

51

39

10


 

Cook Political Report/RT Strategies Poll. April 20-22, 2007. N=855 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.4.

.

"If New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and [see below] were the Republican Party’s candidate, and New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg were running as an independent candidate who would you be more likely to vote for: Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, or [see below], the Republican, or Mike Bloomberg, the independent?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward Clinton, the Democrat, or [see below], the Republican, or Bloomberg, the independent?" Names rotated

.

John
McCain (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Mike
Bloomberg (I)
Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %
4/20-22/07 40 40 9 2 9

.

Rudy
Giuliani (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Mike
Bloomberg (I)
Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %
4/20-22/07 45 38 8 1 8

.

"If New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and [see below] were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for: Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, or [see below], the Republican, or would you strongly consider voting for an independent candidate if the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, or [see below], the Republican?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward Clinton, the Democrat, or [see below], the Republican, or strongly considering voting for an independent candidate [sic]?" Names rotated

.

John
McCain (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Strongly
Consider
Independent
Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %
4/20-22/07 40 39 13 1 8

.

Rudy
Giuliani (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Strongly
Consider
Independent
Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %
4/20-22/07 43 40 10 1 6

 

Time Poll conducted by Schulman, Ronca & Bucuvalas (SRBI) Public Affairs. April 5-9, 2007. N=1,102 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.

.

"If the election for president were held today and the candidates were [see below], the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, and you had to choose, for which of these candidates would you vote?" Names rotated

.

Rudy
Giuliani (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Other (vol.) Wouldn't
Vote (vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %

4/5-9/07

48 43 1 4 5

3/23-26/07

50 41 1 4 3

3/9-12/07

47 43 1 3 6

2/23-26/07

47 44 1 3 5

.

Rudy
Giuliani (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Other (vol.) Wouldn't
Vote (vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %

4/5-9/07

45 45 - 3 7

3/23-26/07

45 44 1 3 7

3/9-12/07

43 44 1 4 9

2/23-26/07

47 42 1 3 6

.

Mitt
Romney (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Other (vol.) Wouldn't
Vote (vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %

4/5-9/07

37 49 1 5 9

3/23-26/07

34 51 2 5 8

.

Mitt
Romney (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Other (vol.) Wouldn't
Vote (vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %

4/5-9/07

31 54 1 4 10

3/23-26/07

29 53 1 5 13

 

McLaughlin & Associates (R). March 21-25, 2007. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.1.

.

General Election Trial Heats:

.

Rudy
Giuliani
(R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Unsure    
% % %    
3/21-25/07 42 40 18    

.

John
McCain (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Unsure    
% % %    
3/21-25/07 44 38 19    

.

Rudy
Giuliani
(R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Unsure    
% % %    
3/21-25/07 40 38 21    

.

John
McCain (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Unsure    
% % %    
3/21-25/07 38 39 23    

 

American Research Group poll. March 2-5, 2007. N=2,104 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 2.2.

.

"If the 2008 presidential election were being held today between [see below], the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

.

Rudy
Giuliani (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
   
% % %    

3/2-5/07

48 42 10    

.

.

Rudy
Giuliani (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Other/
Unsure
   
% % %    

3/2-5/07

46 41 13    

.

.

John
McCain (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Other/
Unsure
   
% % %    

3/2-5/07

45 42 13    

.

.

John
McCain (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Other/
Unsure
   
% % %    

3/2-5/07

46 42 12    

 

WNBC/Marist Poll. Feb. 12-15, 2007. N=978 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.5.

.

"If the 2008 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?"

.

Mitt
Romney (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Unsure
% % %
2/12-15/07

36

49

15

.

Newt
Gingrich (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Unsure
% % %
2/12-15/07

36

56

8


 

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Feb. 13-14, 2007. N=900 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.

     

"Now I am going to read a list of possible candidates for the next presidential race. For each one, please tell me whether you would definitely vote for that candidate for president, if you might vote for that candidate, or if under no conditions would you vote for that candidate. . . . ." Names rotated

.

Definitely
Vote For
Might
Vote For
Never
Vote For
Unsure
% % % %

Hillary Clinton

18

34

44

3

Rudy Giuliani

15

44

36

5

Barack Obama

12

45

34

10

John McCain

9

43

40

8

John Edwards

7

39

45

9

Newt Gingrich

7

19

64

9

Ralph Nader

3

14

76

8

     

"Thinking ahead to the next presidential election, if the 2008 general election were held today and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?" Names rotated

.

Rudy
Giuliani (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ralph
Nader
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
% % % %

2/13-14/07

46

40

5

9


 

Times Union/Siena College Poll. Feb. 6-9, 2007. N=1,120 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 2.9.

.

"If the 2008 presidential election were held tomorrow and the candidates were Hillary Clinton for the Democrats and [see below] for the Republicans, who would you vote for?" Names rotated

.

John
McCain (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Unsure    
% % %    

2/6-9/07

44 45 12    

.

.

Rudy
Giuliani (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Unsure    
% % %    

2/6-9/07

45 44 12    

 

Time Poll conducted by Schulman, Ronca & Bucuvalas (SRBI) Public Affairs. Jan. 22-23, 2007. N=1,064 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.

.

"If the election for president were held today and the candidates were [see below], the Democrat, and John McCain, the Republican, and you had to choose, for which of these candidates would you vote?" Names rotated

.

John
McCain (R)
John
Edwards (D)
Wouldn't
Vote (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  

1/22-23/07

49 42 3 5  

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Jan. 16-19, 2007. N=1,000 adults nationwide. MoE ± 3. Fieldwork by TNS.

.

"If the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were [see below], the Republican, and [see below], the Democrat, for whom would you vote?" Names rotated. Results include leaners.

.

Rudy
Giuliani (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Neither (vol.) Wouldn't
Vote (vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %

1/16-19/07

49 45 3 1 2

 

Investor's Business Daily/TIPP poll conducted by TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence. Jan. 2-4, 2007. N=951 adults nationwide. MoE ± 3.

.

"I'm going to read a few candidate match-ups for the 2008 presidential election. As I read each pair, please tell me who you would vote for if the election for president were held today. OK? How about Democrat [see below] vs. Republican [see below]?"

.

John
McCain (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  
1/2-4/07 48 41 6 6  

.

Rudy
Giuliani
(R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  
1/2-4/07 48 43 4 5  

.

Mitt
Romney (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  
1/2-4/07 35 48 8 9  

.

John
McCain (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  
1/2-4/07 48 36 6 10  

.

Rudy
Giuliani
(R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  
1/2-4/07 49 36 5 10  

.

Mitt
Romney (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  
1/2-4/07 31 43 10 16  

.

John
McCain (R)
John
Edwards (D)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  
1/2-4/07 44 43 5 7  

.

Rudy
Giuliani
(R)
John
Edwards (D)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  
1/2-4/07 47 42 4 7  

.

Mitt
Romney (R)
John
Edwards (D)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  
1/2-4/07 29 53 6 12  

 

CNN Poll conducted by Opinion Research Corporation. Dec. 15-17, 2006. N=1,019 adults nationwide. MoE ± 3.

.

"If [see below] were the Democratic Party's candidate and [see below] were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for: [see below], the Democrat, or [see below], the Republican?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward: [see below], the Democrat, or [see below], the Republican?"

.

John
McCain (R)
Hillary Rodham
Clinton (D)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  
12/15-17/06 47 47 4 2  
11/3-5/06 48 47 3 2  
10/13-15/06 44 51 5 1  

.

Rudy
Giuliani
(R)
Hillary Rodham
Clinton (D)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  
12/15-17/06 46 48 4 2  
11/3-5/06 47 47 4 2  
10/13-15/06 47 48 3 2  

.

Mitt
Romney (R)
Hillary Rodham
Clinton (D)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  

12/15-17/06

34 57 6 3  

.

John
McCain (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  
12/15-17/06 47 43 4 6  
11/3-5/06 49 40 5 6  

.

Rudy
Giuliani
(R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  
12/15-17/06 49 42 4 5  
11/3-5/06 50 41 4 5  

.

Mitt
Romney (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  

12/15-17/06

35 51 7 7  

.

John
McCain (R)
Al
Gore (D)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  

12/15-17/06

46 47 4 3  

.

Rudy
Giuliani
(R)
Al
Gore (D)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  

12/15-17/06

46 46 5 3  

.

Mitt
Romney (R)
Al
Gore (D)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  

12/15-17/06

37 53 6 3  

 

Cook Political Report/RT Strategies Poll. Dec. 14-17, 2006. N=775 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.5.

.

"And now looking ahead to the 2008 election for president, if that election were today and there were three candidates -- Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, or John McCain, the independent, or Rudy Giuliani, the Republican -- for whom would you vote?" Names rotated

.

Rudy
Giuliani (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
John
McCain (I)
Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % % %
12/14-17/06 28 37 20 2 13

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Dec. 8-11, 2006. N=1,006 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters. MoE ± 3.3 for all registered voters; ± 4.7 for half-sample A; ± 4.6 for half-sample B.

.

"If the next election for president were held today, and [see below] were the Republican candidate and [see below] were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?"

.

John
McCain (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %

12/8-11/06

43

38

3

6

10

.

John
McCain (R)
John
Edwards (D)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %

12/8-11/06 Form B

41

43

2

7

7

.

"If the next election for president were held today, and John McCain were the Republican candidate, Hillary Clinton were the Democratic candidate, and Michael Bloomberg were an independent candidate, for whom would you vote?"

.

John
McCain (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Michael
Bloomberg (I)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %

12/8-11/06

39

40

10

5

6


 

WNBC/Marist Poll. Nov. 27-Dec. 3, 2006. N=967 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.5.

.

"If the 2008 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?"

.

Condoleezza
Rice (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Unsure
% % %
11/27 - 12/3/06

43

47

10

9/18-20/06

43

49

8

2/13-15/06

44

49

7

10/12-13 & 17/05

41

50

9

2/14-16/05

43

51

6

.

Rudy
Giuliani
(R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (I)
Unsure
% % % %
11/27 - 12/3/06

45

41

7

7

.

"Do you want [see below] to run for president in 2008 or not?"

.

Yes No Unsure
% % %

Rudy Giuliani

   11/27 - 12/3/06

56

37

7

   9/18-20/06

54

39

7

   2/13-15/06

49

45

6

   10/12-13 & 17/05

54

40

6

   4/18-21/05

49

43

8

   2/14-16/05

42

47

11

   12/04

32

42

26

.

John McCain

   11/27 - 12/3/06

52

39

9

   9/18-20/06

47

44

9

   2/13-15/06

56

39

5

   10/12-13 & 17/05

52

40

8

   4/18-21/05

51

39

10

.

Hillary Clinton

   11/27 - 12/3/06

48

50

2

   9/18-20/06

46

51

3

   2/13-15/06

47

51

2

   10/12-13 & 17/05

48

49

3

   4/18-21/05

49

48

3

   2/14-16/05

46

49

5

   12/04

38

50

12

.

Condoleezza Rice

   11/27 - 12/3/06

45

50

5

   9/18-20/06

41

53

6

   2/13-15/06

39

56

5

   10/12-13 & 17/05

37

57

6

.

John Edwards

   11/27 - 12/3/06

41

47

12

   9/18-20/06

32

57

11

   2/13-15/06

44

49

7

   10/12-13 & 17/05

47

44

9

.

Al Gore

   11/27 - 12/3/06

32

66

2

   9/18-20/06

31

66

3

   2/13-15/06

29

68

3

.

Barack Obama

   11/27 - 12/3/06

30

51

19

.

John Kerry

   11/27 - 12/3/06

22

72

6

   9/18-20/06

31

63

6

   2/13-15/06

35

62

3

   10/12-13 & 17/05

39

57

4

   4/18-21/05

40

56

4

.

Newt Gingrich

   11/27 - 12/3/06

21

69

10

   9/18-20/06

18

73

9

.

George Pataki

   11/27 - 12/3/06

17

64

19

   9/18-20/06

13

66

21

.

Joe Biden

   11/27 - 12/3/06

16

62

22

.

Mitt Romney

   11/27 - 12/3/06

13

57

30

.

Michael Bloomberg

   11/27 - 12/3/06

12

69

19

   9/18-20/06

17

65

18

.

Al Sharpton

   11/27 - 12/3/06

11

76

13

.

Donald Trump

   11/27 - 12/3/06

10

86

4


 

Gallup Poll. Nov. 27-29, 2006. N=1,003 adults nationwide, randomly drawn from Gallup's household panel, which was originally recruited through random selection methods. MoE ± 3.

           

.

"Thinking ahead to the election for president in 2008, who would you most like to see elected president?" Open-ended

           

.

      %      
 

Hillary Clinton

15      
 

John McCain

11      
 

Barack Obama

6      
 

Rudy Giuliani

5      
 

"A Democrat" (non-specific)

3      
 

John Edwards

2      
 

Condoleezza Rice

2      
 

Newt Gingrich

2      
 

"A Republican" (non-specific)

2      
 

Al Gore

2      
 

Mitt Romney

1      
 

Joe Biden

1      
 

John Kerry

1      
 

Bill Frist

1      
 

Colin Powell

1      
 

Other

7      
 

No one

5      
 

Unsure

33      
           

.

"Now, I am going to read a list of people who may run for president in 2008. For each, please say whether you, personally, would or would not like to see this person run for president in the next election. How about [see below]?"

           

.

    Would Like
To See Run
Would Not
Like To
See Run
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

John McCain

   
 

  11/27-29/06

56 40 4    
             
 

Rudy Giuliani

   
 

  11/27-29/06

55 43 2    
             
 

John Edwards

   
 

  11/27-29/06

45 49 6    
             
 

Hillary Rodham Clinton

   
 

  11/27-29/06

44 55 1    
             
 

Barack Obama

   
 

  11/27-29/06

38 48 14    
             
 

Condoleezza Rice

   
 

  11/27-29/06

38 60 3    
             
 

Al Gore

   
 

  11/27-29/06

31 67 2    
             
 

John Kerry

   
 

  11/27-29/06

23 74 2    
             
 

Newt Gingrich

   
 

  11/27-29/06

18 78 4    
             
 

Mitt Romney

   
 

  11/27-29/06

16 58 26    
             
 

George Allen

   
 

  11/27-29/06

13 62 25    

 

Cook Political Report/RT Strategies Poll. Nov. 9-12, 2006. N=1,735 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 2.4.

.

"And now looking ahead to the 2008 election for president, if that election were today and the candidates were [see below], the Democrat, or [see below], the Republican, for whom would you vote?" Names rotated

.

John
McCain (R)
Barack
Obama (D)
Other (vol.) Unsure  
% % % %  
11/9-12/06 44 37 4 15  

 

Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Nov. 9-10, 2006. N=918 registered voters nationwide.

           

.

"Now thinking ahead to the next presidential election in November 2008 -- In general, would you rather see a Republican or a Democrat elected as our next president in 2008?"

           

.

    Republican Democrat Other
Party (vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

11/9-10/06

28 48 4 20  
 

5/11-12/06

32 49 2 17  
           

.

"As I read you the names of some possible candidates for president in 2008, please tell me if there is a good chance, some chance, or no chance you would vote for each one. If I mention someone you've never heard of, just say so. What about [see below]?"

           

.

    Good
Chance
Some
Chance
No Chance Never
Heard of
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

Hillary Clinton

   
 

  11/9-10/06

33 20 45 - 2
             
 

Rudy Giuliani

   
 

  11/9-10/06

24 30 32 10 4
             
 

Condoleezza Rice

   
 

  11/9-10/06

24 27 43 4 2
             
 

Al Gore

   
 

  11/9-10/06

21 24 53 - 2
             
 

John McCain

   
 

  11/9-10/06

20 34 32 10 4
             
 

Barack Obama

   
 

  11/9-10/06

20 19 24 34 3
             
 

John Kerry

   
 

  11/9-10/06

16 24 55 2 3
             
 

John Edwards

   
 

  11/9-10/06

15 28 36 16 5
             
 

Newt Gingrich

   
 

  11/9-10/06

10 17 58 12 3
             
 

Joe Biden

   
 

  11/9-10/06

7 17 34 36 6
             
 

Mitt Romney

   
 

  11/9-10/06

6 13 27 48 6
             
 

Sam Brownback

   
 

  11/9-10/06

3 7 23 61 6
             
 

Duncan Hunter

   
 

  11/9-10/06

1 6 19 69 5

 

McLaughlin & Associates (R). Nov. 7, 2006. N=1,000 Nov. 2006 general election voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.1.

.

"Looking ahead to the 2008 election for president, if the candidates were [see below], the Republican candidate, and Hillary Clinton, the Democrat candidate, for whom would you vote?"

.

John
McCain (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Unsure    
% % %    
11/7/06 51 35 13    

.

Rudy
Giuliani
(R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Unsure    
% % %    
11/7/06 51 37 12    

 

CNN Poll conducted by Opinion Research Corporation. Nov. 3-5, 2006. N=1,008 adults nationwide. MoE ± 3.

.

"If [see below] were the Democratic Party's candidate and [see below] were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for: [see below], the Democrat, or [see below], the Republican?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward: [see below], the Democrat, or [see below], the Republican?"

.

John
McCain (R)
John
Kerry (D)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  
11/3-5/06 55 37 5 4  

.

Rudy
Giuliani
(R)
John
Kerry (D)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  
11/3-5/06 53 40 4 3  

 

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Oct. 24-25, 2006. N=900 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.
LV = likely voters. Except where noted, results below are among registered voters.

.

"Let's say the Democratic ticket is Hillary Clinton for president and Barack Obama for vice president, and the Republican ticket is John McCain for president and Rudy Giuliani for vice president. If you were voting today, how would you vote?" Tickets rotated

.

McCain/
Giuliani (R)
Clinton/
Obama (D)
Wouldn't
Vote
(vol.)
Unsure
% % % %

10/24-25/06 LV

48

40

3

8


 

CNN Poll conducted by Opinion Research Corporation. Oct. 13-15, 2006. N=1,012 adults nationwide.

.

"If New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Arizona Senator John McCain were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for: Hillary Rodham Clinton, the Democrat, or John McCain, the Republican?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward: Clinton, the Democrat, or McCain, the Republican?" Half sample, MoE ± 4.5

.

John
McCain (R)
Hillary
Rodham
Clinton (D)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  
10/13-15/06 44 51 5 1  

.

"If New York Senator Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Arizona Senator John McCain were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for: Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, or John McCain, the Republican?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward: Clinton, the Democrat, or McCain, the Republican?" Half sample, MoE ± 4.5

.

John
McCain (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  
10/13-15/06 48 47 3 2  

.

"If New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for: Hillary Rodham Clinton, the Democrat, or Rudolph Giuliani, the Republican?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward: Clinton, the Democrat, or Giuliani, the Republican?" Half sample, MoE ± 4.5

.

Rudolph
Giuliani
(R)
Hillary
Rodham
Clinton (D)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  
10/13-15/06 47 48 3 2  

.

"If New York Senator Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for: Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, or Rudolph Giuliani, the Republican?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward: Clinton, the Democrat, or Giuliani, the Republican?" Half sample, MoE ± 4.5

.

Rudolph
Giuliani
(R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
% % % %  
10/13-15/06 46 50 2 3  

 

Time Poll conducted by Schulman, Ronca & Bucuvalas (SRBI) Public Affairs. Oct. 3-4, 2006. N=1,002 adults nationwide. MoE ± 3.

           

.

". . . If [see below] were to run for president and the election was being held today, would you definitely support this candidate probably support this candidate, probably not support this candidate, or definitely not support this candidate?"

           

.

    Definitely
Support
Probably
Support
Probably
Not Support
Definitely
Not Support
Unfamiliar/
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

Former New York City Republican mayor Rudy Giuliani

   
    10/3-4/06 17 34 21 19 8
    7/13-17/06 17 33 21 14 15
             
 

New York Democratic Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton

   
    10/3-4/06 23 20 16 37 5
    7/13-17/06 19 27 14 34 6
             
 

Arizona Republican Senator John McCain

   
    10/3-4/06 12 28 28 19 13
    7/13-17/06 12 31 21 13 22
             
 

Former Democratic vice president Al Gore

   
    10/3-4/06 16 23 21 35 5
    7/13-17/06 16 25 20 32 7
             
 

Massachusetts Democratic Senator John Kerry

   
    10/3-4/06 14 20 23 34 9
    7/13-17/06 12 28 20 30 10

 

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Aug. 29-30, 2006. N=900 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.

.

"Thinking ahead to the next presidential election, if the 2008 election were held today and the candidates were Democrat [see below] and Republican [see below], for whom would you vote?" Names rotated

.

John
McCain (R)
Al
Gore (D)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
% % %

8/29-30/06

47

40

13

5/16-18/06

48

36

17

3/14-15/06

52

34

14

9/27-28/05

57

29

14

.

Rudy
Giuliani (R)
Al
Gore (D)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
% % %

8/29-30/06

46

42

12

5/16-18/06

50

37

13

9/27-28/05

55

32

13


 

Time Poll conducted by Schulman, Ronca & Bucuvalas (SRBI) Public Affairs. July 13-17, 2006. N=902 registered voters nationwide.

.

"Again, looking ahead to the presidential election in November 2008 -- If you had to decide now, would you be more likely to vote for [see below], the Democratic Party candidate, or John McCain, the Republican Party's candidate?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward [see below], the Democrat, or McCain, the Republican?"

.

John
McCain (R)
Hillary Rodham
Clinton (D)
Unsure    
% % %    

7/13-17/06

49 47 4    

.

John
McCain (R)
John
Kerry (D)
Unsure    
% % %    

7/13-17/06

52 42 7    

.

John
McCain (R)
Al Gore (D) Unsure    
% % %    

7/13-17/06

52 43 5    

 

Gallup Poll. June 26-29, 2006. Sample was randomly drawn from Gallup's nationally representative household panel, which was originally recruited through random selection methods.

.

"Next, I'm going to read you a list of people who may run for the Democratic nomination for president in 2008. For each, please tell me if you would find that person to be an acceptable nominee for president from the Democratic Party, or not. . . ." Candidates rotated. N=496 Democrats and Democratic leaners, MoE ± 5.

.

    Acceptable Not
Acceptable
Unsure
    % % %
Former North Carolina senator John Edwards

71

25

4

New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton

69

29

1

Former vice president Al Gore

68

31

1

Massachusetts Senator John Kerry

59

40

1

Delaware Senator Joe Biden

44

37

19

Retired general Wesley Clark

42

49

10

Democratic National Chairman Howard Dean

40

54

6

New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson

36

38

26

Former South Dakota senator Tom Daschle

35

50

15

Wisconsin Senator Russ Feingold

29

41

30

Former Virginia governor Mark Warner

29

42

29

Ohio Congressman Dennis Kucinich

21

51

27

Iowa Governor Tom Vilsack

19

47

35

.

"Next, I'm going to read you a list of people who may run for the Republican nomination for president in 2008. For each, please tell me if you would find that person to be an acceptable nominee for president from the Republican Party, or not. . . ." Candidates rotated. N=441 Republicans and Republican leaners, MoE ± 5.

.

    Acceptable Not
Acceptable
Unsure
    % % %
Former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani

73

25

2

Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice

68

29

3

Arizona Senator John McCain

55

41

5

Former speaker of the House Newt Gingrich

45

50

5

Florida Governor Jeb Bush

44

52

4

Tennessee Senator Bill Frist

38

44

18

Virginia Senator George Allen

36

35

29

Vice President Dick Cheney

34

61

5

New York Governor George Pataki

33

51

17

Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney

31

42

27

Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee

17

40

43

Kansas Senator Sam Brownback

14

43

43


 

CNN Poll conducted by Harris Interactive. June 1-6, 2006. N=1,001 adults nationwide. MoE ± 3.

.

"I'm going to ask you about some people who may run for president in 2008. For each one, please tell me whether you would definitely vote for that person, whether you might consider voting for that person, or whether you would definitely not vote for that person. New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton ... Former vice president Al Gore ... Massachusetts Senator John Kerry ... Former New York City mayor Rudolph Giuliani ... Arizona Senator John McCain ... Florida Governor Jeb Bush."

.

Definitely
Vote For
Might
Consider
Definitely
Not Vote For
Unsure  
% % % %  
Hillary Rodham Clinton

22

28

47

3

 
Al Gore

17

32

48

3

 
John Kerry

14

35

47

4

 
Rudolph Giuliani

19

45

30

6

 
John McCain

12

48

34

6

 
Jeb Bush

9

26

63

2

 

 

Diageo/Hotline Poll conducted by Financial Dynamics. May 18-21, 2006. N=801 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.5.

.

"Now, suppose the general election for president in 2008 were being held today between [see below] -- for whom would you vote?" If Unsure: "Which way would you lean as of today?" Names rotated

.

John
McCain (R)
Al Gore (D) Unsure    
% % %    
5/18-21/06 51 33 15    

 

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. May 16-18, 2006. N=900 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.

.

"Thinking ahead to the next presidential election, if the 2008 election were held today and the candidates were Democrat [see below] and Republican [see below], for whom would you vote?" Names rotated

.

Jeb Bush (R) Hillary
Clinton (D)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
% % %
5/16-18/06

35

51

15

12/14-15/04

35

46

19

.

Jeb Bush (R) Al
Gore (D)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
% % %
5/16-18/06

33

50

17


 

Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. April 7-16, 2006. N=1,501 adults nationwide. MoE ± 3.

.

"Looking ahead to the next presidential election, would you like to see a president who offers policies and programs similar to those of the Bush Administration, or would you like to see a president who offers different policies and programs?"

.

Similar Different Unsure    
% % %    
4/7-16/06 23 70 7    
10/05 25 69 6    

 

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. March 14-15, 2006. N=900 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.

.

"Thinking ahead to the next presidential election, if the 2008 election were held today and the candidates were Democrat [see below] and Republican [see below], for whom would you vote?" Names rotated

.

John
McCain (R)
John
Kerry (D)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
% % %
3/14-15/06

53

33

13

2/7-8/06

53

33

14

9/27-28/05

53

35

12

11/16-17/04

50

38

12

.

Dick
Cheney (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
% % %
3/14-15/06

37

50

12

.

Dick
Cheney (R)
Al
Gore (D)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
% % %
3/14-15/06

36

48

15


 

WNBC/Marist Poll. Feb. 13-15, 2006. N=931 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.5.

.

"If the 2008 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?"

.

Rudy
Giuliani
(R)
John
Kerry
(D)
Unsure
% % %
2/13-15/06

48

45

7

10/12-13 & 17/05

53

40

7

4/18-21/05

48

46

6

2/14-16/05

50

44

6

.

John
McCain (R)
John
Kerry
(D)
Unsure
% % %
2/13-15/06

54

37

9

10/12-13 & 17/05

51

40

9

4/18-21/05

51

41

8

2/14-16/05

55

37

8

.

Condoleezza
Rice (R)
John
Kerry
(D)
Unsure
% % %
2/13-15/06

50

44

6

10/12-13 & 17/05

45

46

9

.

Condoleezza
Rice (R)
John
Edwards
(D)
Unsure
% % %
2/13-15/06

42

51

7

10/12-13 & 17/05

42

49

9

.

Rudy
Giuliani
(R)
Al Gore (D) Unsure
% % %
2/13-15/06

53

42

5

.

John
McCain (R)
Al Gore (D) Unsure
% % %
2/13-15/06

55

38

7


 

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Feb. 7-8, 2006. N=900 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.

.

"Thinking ahead to the next presidential election, if the 2008 election were held today and the candidates were Democrat [see below] and Republican [see below], for whom would you vote?" Names rotated

.

Rudy
Giuliani (R)
John
Kerry (D)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
% % %
2/7-8/06

53

34

12

9/27-28/05

52

36

12

11/16-17/04

49

41

10

.

"I'm going to read you a list of names. For each one please tell me if you think that person would make a good president or not. If you have never heard of a person, please just say so . . . ." Names rotated

.

Would Would Not Unsure Never
Heard of
% % % %
Rudy Giuliani

60

26

11

2

John McCain

55

30

13

2

Hillary Clinton

50

47

3

-

Condoleezza Rice

47

38

10

5

John Kerry

45

49

6

-

Al Gore

34

60

6

-

Oprah Winfrey

24

71

5

-

Ted Kennedy

23

69

7

1

George Pataki

15

34

30

20

Donald Trump

11

82

6

1

Arnold Schwarzenegger

11

82

6

-

.

"Now I am going to read a list of possible candidates for the next presidential race. For each one, please tell me whether you would definitely vote for that candidate for president, if you would think about voting for that candidate, or if under no conditions would you vote for that candidate . . . ." Names rotated

.

Definitely
Vote For
Think
About It
Under No
Conditions
Unsure
% % % %
Hillary Clinton

35

19

44

2

Rudy Giuliani

33

38

24

6

John McCain

30

40

22

7

John Kerry

29

23

45

3


 

CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll. Jan. 20-22, 2006. N=928 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 4.

           

.

"Next, I'm going to ask you about some people who may run for president in 2008. For each one, please tell me whether you will definitely vote for that person, whether you might consider voting for that person, or whether you will definitely not vote for that person. How about [see below]?"

           

.

    Definitely
Vote For
Might Consider
Voting For
Definitely Not
Vote For
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

Hillary Rodham Clinton

   
    1/20-22/06 16 32 51 1  
           

.

 

Condoleezza Rice

   
    1/20-22/06 14 38 46 3  

 

Zogby America Poll. Dec. 6-8, 2005. N=1,013 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.1.

.

"If the election for president of the United States were held today and the candidates were Democrat [see below] and Republican [see below], for whom would you vote?" Options rotated. N=1,013 likely voters, MoE ± 3.1

.

Condoleezza
Rice (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Other (vol.) Unsure  
% % % %  

12/6-8/05

47

46

2

5

 

.

John
McCain (R)
John
Kerry
(D)
Other (vol.) Unsure  
% % % %  

12/6-8/05

55

34

4

7

 

.

Condoleezza
Rice (R)
John
Kerry
(D)
Other (vol.) Unsure  
% % % %  

12/6-8/05

48

45

2

5

 

.

John
McCain (R)
Mark
Warner (D)
Other (vol.) Unsure  
% % % %  

12/6-8/05

58

23

4

15

 

.

Condoleezza
Rice (R)
Mark
Warner (D)
Other (vol.) Unsure  
% % % %  

12/6-8/05

50

32

4

14

 

 

Time Poll conducted by Schulman, Ronca & Bucuvalas (SRBI) Public Affairs. Nov. 29-Dec. 1, 2005. N=1,004 adults nationwide. MoE ± 3.

.

"Thinking ahead to the 2008 presidential election, would you like the next president to be similar to George W. Bush in terms of policies and programs, or someone who is completely different?"

.

Similar
To Bush
Completely
Different
Unsure    
% % %    
11/29 - 12/1/05 36 60 5    

 

Diageo/Hotline Poll conducted by Financial Dynamics. Nov. 11-15, 2005. Registered voters nationwide.

.

"Now thinking about the general election for president in 2008: If John McCain were to run in the general election for president in 2008, how likely would you be to vote for him: very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, or not at all likely?" N=700 registered voters, MoE ± 3.7 (for all voters)

.

Very
Likely
Somewhat
Likely
Not Very
Likely
Not At All
Likely
Unsure
% % % % %
ALL voters 23 34 12 15 15
  Democrats 14 31 19 20 16
  Independents 19 37 12 17 16
  Republicans 36 34 7 10 13

.

"Now, suppose the general election for president in 2008 were being held today between [see below] -- for whom would you vote?" Names rotated. N=700 registered voters, MoE ± 3.7 (for all voters).

.

Jeb
Bush (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
John
McCain (I)
Unsure  
% % % %  
ALL voters 18 34 40 7  
  Democrats - 64 28 8  
  Independents 7 34 47 12  
  Republicans 40 8 49 3  

.

Condoleeza
Rice (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
John
McCain (I)
Unsure  
% % % %  
ALL voters 20 35 35 10  
  Democrats 7 61 22 9  
  Independents 8 35 42 15  
  Republicans 43 8 45 4  

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Nov. 4-7, 2005. N=1,003 adults nationwide.

.

"Thinking some more about the 2008 election for president: If the next election for president were held today, and [see below] was the Republican candidate and [see below] was the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?" Asked of registered voters. Each match-up asked of half the sample.

.

Bill
Frist
(R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %
11/4-7/05

37

50

2

7

4

.

John
McCain (R)
John
Kerry
(D)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %
11/4-7/05

53

35

1

6

5

.

Bill
Frist
(R)
John
Kerry
(D)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %
11/4-7/05

35

45

2

7

11


 

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Sept. 27-28, 2005. N=900 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.

.

"Thinking ahead to the next presidential election, if the 2008 election were held today . . . . What if the candidates were Democrat [see below] and Republican [see below]?" Names rotated

.

Condoleezza
Rice
(R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
% % %
9/27-28/05

43

46

10

.

Condoleezza
Rice
(R)
John
Kerry (D)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
% % %
9/27-28/05

45

43

12


 

Gallup Poll. July 25-28, 2005. N=922 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 4.

.

"If Massachusetts Senator John Kerry were the Democratic Party's candidate and Arizona Senator John McCain were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for: John Kerry, the Democrat or John McCain, the Republican?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward Kerry, the Democrat or McCain, the Republican?"  Names rotated

.

John
McCain (R)
John
Kerry (D)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %

7/25-28/05

54

41

-

2

3

.

"If Massachusetts Senator John Kerry were the Democratic Party's candidate and former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for: John Kerry, the Democrat or Rudy Giuliani, the Republican?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward Kerry, the Democrat or Giuliani, the Republican?"  Names rotated

.

Rudy
Giuliani (R)
John
Kerry (D)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %

7/25-28/05

54

41

-

2

3


 

Zogby America Poll. June 20-22, 2005. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.2.

.

"If the election for president of the United States were held today and the candidates were Republican John McCain and Democrat [see below], for whom would you vote?"

.

John
McCain (R)
Hillary
Clinton
(D)
Unsure
% % %
6/20-22/05

54

35

11

 

 

.

John
McCain (R)
John
Kerry (D)
Unsure
% % %
6/20-22/05

55

35

10

 

 


 

CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll. May 20-22, 2005. N=453 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 5.

.

"If Hillary Rodham Clinton were to run for president in 2008, how likely would you be to vote for her: very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, or not at all likely?"

.

Very
Likely
Somewhat
Likely
Not Very
Likely
Not At
All Likely
Unsure
% % % % %

5/20-22/05

28 24 7 40 1

6/9-10/03

20 21 12 45 2

 

Marist College Poll. April 18-21, 2005. Nationwide.

.

"If the 2008 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?" N=838 registered voters, MoE ± 3.5

.

Jeb
Bush
(R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Unsure
% % %
4/18-21/05

38

55

7


 

Moore Information (R). March 21-23, 2005. N=800 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.

.

"If the general election for president was held today and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?" Names rotated

.

John
McCain (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Neither Unsure
% % % %
3/21-23/05 49 38 5 8

.

Rudy
Giuliani (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Neither Unsure
% % % %
3/21-23/05 47 41 6 7

 

Democracy Corps Poll conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D). March 15-21, 2005. N=501 likely voters nationwide.

.

"I know it is far ahead, but thinking about the 2008 election for president, if the election for president were held today and the candidates were Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Jeb Bush, for whom would you vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Jeb Bush?"

.

Jeb
Bush (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Other
(vol.)
Unsure
% % % %
3/15-21/05 47 50 2 2

 

Westhill Partners/Hotline Poll. Feb. 24-27, 2005. N=800 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.5.

.

"Thinking about the presidential election in November of 2008, if the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the choice was between the Republican California governor, Arnold Schwarzenegger, and Democratic New Mexico governor, Bill Richardson, who would you vote for?" If unsure: "Toward which candidate would you say you are leaning at this time?" Split sample (Form A). Names rotated.

.

Schwar-
zenegger
Richardson Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % %
2/24-27/05 27 36 3 35

.

"Thinking about the presidential election in November of 2008, if the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the choice was between the Republican California governor and the Democratic New Mexico governor, who would you vote for?" If unsure: "Toward which candidate would you say you are leaning at this time?" Split sample (Form B). Options rotated.

.

CA
Governor
NM
Governor
Other (vol.) Unsure
% % % %
2/24-27/05 31 33 4 32

 

Westhill Partners/Hotline Poll. Jan. 25-27, 2005. N=800 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.5.

.

"Thinking about the presidential election in November of 2008, if the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the choice was between Jeb Bush or Hillary Clinton, who would you vote for?" If unsure: "Toward which candidate would you say you are leaning at this time?" Names rotated

.

Jeb
Bush (R)
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Other
(vol.)
Unsure
% % % %
1/25-27/05 37 46 2 15

 

Ipsos-Public Affairs poll. Dec. 17-19, 2004. Nationwide.

.

"If the election for president were held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate?" If unsure: "If you had to choose, would you lean more towards the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate?" N=839 registered voters; MoE ± 3.4

.

Republican Democrat Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
% % % %
12/17-19/04 44 48 5 3

 

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Dec. 14-15, 2004. N=900 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.

.

"Thinking ahead to the next presidential election, if the 2008 presidential election were held today and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?" Names rotated

.

%
Hillary Clinton (D)

40

Bill Frist (R)

33

 

 

 

 

Other (vol.)/Unsure

27

 

 

 

 

.

Hillary Clinton (D)

41

 

 

 

 

George Pataki (R)

35

Other (vol.)/Unsure

24

 

 

 

 

.

John Kerry (D)

45

 

 

 

 

Jeb Bush (R)

37

Other (vol.)/Unsure

18

 

 

 

 


 

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Nov. 16-17, 2004. N=900 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.

.

"Thinking ahead to the next presidential election, if the 2008 presidential election were held today and the candidates were Democrat [see below] and Republican [see below], for whom would you vote?" Names rotated

.

Rudy
Giuliani (R)
John
Edwards (D)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
% % %
11/16-17/04

50

38

12

 

 


 


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