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     Campaign 2012  (p. 3)

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CBS News/New York Times Poll. Sept. 8-12, 2012. N=1,162 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3. RV = registered voters

             

"Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate do you think would do a better job handling each of the following issues: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

"Which candidate would do a better job handling health care?"

 
    Obama Romney Both (vol.) Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

9/8-12/12

50 46 0 2 3
 

7/11-16/12 RV

43 42 2 4 9
             

"Which candidate would do a better job handling taxes?"

 
    Obama Romney Both (vol.) Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

9/8-12/12

48 46 0 2 4
 

7/11-16/12 RV

42 47 0 4 7
             

"Which candidate would do a better job handling Medicare?"

 
    Obama Romney Both (vol.) Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

9/8-12/12

50 43 0 3 4
 

8/22-26/12 RV

45 44 1 2 7
             

"Which candidate do you think would do more to help middle class Americans?"

 
    Obama Romney Both (vol.) Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

9/8-12/12

54 40 0 3 4
 

8/22-26/12 RV

50 42 1 3 4
 

7/11-16/12 RV

52 38 1 4 5
             

"Do you think Barack Obama says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what he thinks people want to hear?"

 
    What he
believes
What people
want to
hear
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

9/8-12/12

54 43 3    
             

"If Barack Obama is reelected president, do you think the policies of his administration will favor the rich, favor the middle class, favor the poor, or will they treat all groups the same?"

 
    Rich Middle
class
Poor All the
same
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

9/8-12/12

12 26 22 30 10
             

"Do you think Barack Obama is honest and trustworthy, or not?"

 
    Is Is not Unsure    
    % % %    
 

9/8-12/12

58 37 5    
             

"Do you think Barack Obama has made it clear what he wants to accomplish if he were reelected president, or not?"

 
    Has Has not Unsure    
    % % %    
 

9/8-12/12

59 37 4    
             

"Do you think Mitt Romney says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what he thinks people want to hear?"

 
    What he
believes
What people
want to
hear
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

9/8-12/12

42 53 5    
             

"If Mitt Romney is elected president, do you think the policies of his administration will favor the rich, favor the middle class, favor the poor, or will they treat all groups the same?"

 
    Rich Middle
class
Poor All the
same
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

9/8-12/12

53 8 1 33 6
             

"Do you think Mitt Romney is honest and trustworthy, or not?"

 
    Is Is not Unsure    
    % % %    
 

9/8-12/12

53 36 11    
             

"Do you think Mitt Romney has made it clear what he wants to accomplish if he were elected president?"

 
    Has Has not Unsure    
    % % %    
 

9/8-12/12

50 44 6    

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Sept. 9-11, 2012. N=1,056 likely voters nationwide. RV = registered voters

             

"Regardless of how you might vote, which presidential candidate do you trust to do a better job on each of the following issues: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? . . ." Each item asked of half the sample, margin of error 4.

 
    Obama Romney Both (vol.) Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 
 

"Handling same-sex marriage"

 

9/9-11/12

53 33 1 6 7
 

8/5-7/12 RV

52 32 2 6 8
             
 

"Demanding more from the country's education system"

 

9/9-11/12

51 37 2 3 7
             
 

"Protecting Medicare and making sure it's there for future generations"

 

9/9-11/12

51 40 - 4 5
             
 

"Handling health care"

 

9/9-11/12

51 42 1 4 3
 

8/5-7/12 RV

49 42 1 5 4
 

6/3-5/12 RV

43 40 3 9 5
             
 

"Being a strong negotiator with foreign leaders"

 

9/9-11/12

49 43 1 2 5
             
 

"Handling illegal immigration"

 

9/9-11/12

46 42 2 4 6
 

8/5-7/12 RV

43 43 1 7 6
 

6/3-5/12 RV

36 43 2 11 8
             
 

"Handling taxes"

 

9/9-11/12

48 45 - 3 3
 

8/5-7/12 RV

46 43 1 6 4
 

6/3-5/12 RV

40 44 2 7 7
             
 

"Making the country a better place to live"

 

9/9-11/12

47 45 2 3 3
             
 

"Taking the country in the right direction"

 

9/9-11/12

47 47 1 3 3
             
 

"Helping small business"

 

9/9-11/12

46 48 - 2 3
 

8/5-7/12 RV

45 45 1 5 4
             

"Which presidential candidate -- Barack Obama or Mitt Romney -- do you think is better described by the following phrases and qualities? . . ." Each item asked of half the sample, margin of error 4.

 
    Obama Romney Both (vol.) Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 
 

"Is intelligent"

 

9/9-11/12

41 25 29 1 4
             
 

"Is honest"

 

9/9-11/12

46 35 5 10 3
             
 

"Is a steady leader"

 

9/9-11/12

50 40 3 4 3
             
 

"Has the right experience"

 

9/9-11/12

49 42 2 4 2
             
 

"Is a hard worker"

 

9/9-11/12

39 32 25 1 3
             
 

"Will keep his promises"

 

9/9-11/12

43 39 2 13 4
             
 

"Understands American history"

 

9/9-11/12

44 41 6 4 5
             
 

"Has strong moral values"

 

9/9-11/12

41 39 16 2 2
             
 

"Understands the principles of capitalism"

 

9/9-11/12

29 54 11 1 5

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Sept. 7-9, 2012. N=826 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 4. RV = registered voters.

             

"Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you trust to do a better job [see below]: Obama or Romney?" Candidate names rotated. Each item asked of half the sample, except for "Handling the economy."

 
    Obama Romney Both
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 
 

"Supporting small business"

 

9/7-9/12 RV

46 45 1 3 5
 

8/22-25/12 RV

48 47 1 3 2
 

4/5-8/12 Adults

47 45 1 4 4
             
 

"Handling Medicare, the government health insurance program for seniors"

 

9/7-9/12 RV

48 43 - 4 5
 

8/22-25/12 RV

42 45 1 7 5
             
 

"Advancing the interests of the middle class"

 

9/7-9/12 RV

53 38 1 4 4
 

"Regardless of who you may support, who do you think [see below]: Obama or Romney?" Candidate names rotated.

 
    Obama Romney Both
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 
 

"Would work better with both Democrats and Republicans in Congress" Half sample (Form B)

 

9/7-9/12 RV

46 41 1 8 4
 

"Do you think Romney has or has not done enough to provide details about the policies he would pursue as president?"

 
    Has Has not Unsure    
    % % %    
 

9/7-9/12 RV

31 63 7

 

 

 

"Do you think Obama has or has not done enough to provide details about the policies he would pursue in a second term as president?"

 
    Has Has not Unsure    
    % % %    
 

9/7-9/12 RV

46 49 5

 

 


 

CNN/ORC Poll. Sept. 7-9, 2012. N=709 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.
RV = registered voters. Among likely voters, except where noted.

             

"Suppose that the presidential election were being held today and you had to choose between Barack Obama and Joe Biden as the Democratic Party's candidates, and Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan as the Republican Party's candidates. Who would you be more likely to vote for: Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats, or Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan, the Republicans?" If unsure: "As of today, who do you lean more toward?"

 
    Obama/
Biden (D)
Romney/
Ryan (R)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

9/7-9/12

52 46 2 1  
             
 

Among Obama/Biden supporters:
"Is that more a vote FOR Barack Obama or more a vote AGAINST Mitt Romney?"

 
    For
Obama
Against
Romney
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

9/7-9/12

74 23 3    
             
 

Among Romney/Ryan supporters:
"Is that more a vote FOR Mitt Romney or more a vote AGAINST Barack Obama?"

 
    For
Romney
Against
Obama
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

9/7-9/12

48 47 5    
             

"Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me if you think Barack Obama or Mitt Romney would better handle that issue if they were elected president. . . ."

 
    Obama Romney Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 
 

"Energy policy" N=354 (Version B), margin of error 5

 

9/7-9/12

51 44 2 2  
 

8/22-23/12

51 45 2 2  
 

"Thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say whether you think each one applies more to Barack Obama or more to Mitt Romney. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not support him. . . ."

 
    Obama Romney Both
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 
 

"Shares your values"

 

9/7-9/12

51 44 2 2 1
 

8/22-23/12

47 45 2 5 1
 

4/13-15/12 RV

48 38 3 10 1
             
 

"Is a strong and decisive leader"

 

9/7-9/12

50 44 2 3 1
 

8/31 - 9/3/12

43 48 3 4 1
 

8/22-23/12

49 46 2 4 -
 

4/13-15/12 RV

51 35 6 8 1
             
 

"Is more honest and trustworthy"

 

9/7-9/12

51 41 2 4 1
 

8/22-23/12

49 42 1 6 1
 

4/13-15/12 RV

44 34 3 17 1
             
 

"Has an optimistic vision for the country's future"

 

9/7-9/12

51 41 5 2 1
 

8/31 - 9/3/12

43 47 7 2 1
 

8/22-23/12

48 45 5 2 -
             
 

"Has a clear plan for solving the country's problems"

 

9/7-9/12

45 39 3 12 2
 

8/22-23/12

39 45 1 15 1
 

4/13-15/12 RV

37 36 3 24 1
             
 

"Is in touch with the problems facing middle class Americans today"

 

9/7-9/12

57 37 1 4 -
 

8/31 - 9/3/12

49 43 1 5 1
 

8/22-23/12

53 39 1 7 -
 

4/13-15/12 RV

50 36 2 11 1
             
 

"Is in touch with the problems facing women today"

 

9/7-9/12

59 34 2 4 1
 

8/31 - 9/3/12

56 36 2 3 3
 

8/22-23/12

60 31 1 6 3
 

4/13-15/12 RV

54 28 3 12 2
             
 

"Can manage the government effectively"

 

9/7-9/12

48 45 1 5 1
 

8/22-23/12

44 48 2 4 2
 

4/13-15/12 RV

45 41 3 10 1
             

"Regardless of whom you support, and trying to be as objective as possible, who do you think will win the election in November: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?"

 
    Obama Romney Other (vol.) Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

9/7-9/12

59 37 - 4  
 

8/7-8/12 Adults

63 33 - 4  
 

4/13-15/12 Adults

61 35 1 4  
             

"As you may know, the presidential candidates will hold televised debates later this fall. Who do you think is likely to do a better job in the presidential debates: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?"

 
    Obama Romney No
difference
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

9/7-9/12

59 34 2 5  

 

CBS News Poll. Aug. 22-26, 2012. N=1,051 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate do you think would do a better job handling each of the following issues: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

"Which candidate would do a better job handling social issues like abortion and same-sex marriage?"

 
    Obama Romney Both (vol.) Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

8/22-26/12

54 38 1 2 5
 

7/11-16/12

48 37 1 6 8
             

"Which candidate would do a better job handling terrorism and national security?"

 
    Obama Romney Both (vol.) Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

8/22-26/12

45 41 3 2 9
 

7/11-16/12

44 43 4 3 6
             

"Do you think Barack Obama does or does not have a clear plan for creating jobs?"

 
    Does Does not Unsure    
    % % %    
 

8/22-26/12

35 58 7    
             

"Do you think Mitt Romney does or does not have a clear plan for creating jobs?"

 
    Does Does not Unsure    
    % % %    
 

8/22-26/12

43 45 12    

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Aug. 22-25, 2012. N=857 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 4. RV = registered voters. Among adults, except where indicated.

             

"Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you trust to do a better job [see below]: Obama or Romney?" Options rotated. RV = registered voters

 
    Obama Romney Both
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 
 

"Handling energy policy" Half sample (Form A)

 

8/22-25/12 RV

49 41 - 3 7
 

4/5-8/12

42 47 1 2 7
             
 

"Handling education" Half sample (Form B)

 

8/22-25/12 RV

45 42 2 7 5
 

"Generally speaking, would you say you favor smaller government with fewer services, or larger government with more services?" Options rotated

 
    Smaller,
fewer
Larger,
more
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

8/22-25/12 RV

59 35 6

 

 

             

"What about Obama? Would you say Obama favors smaller government with fewer services, or larger government with more services?" Options rotated

 
    Smaller,
fewer
Larger,
more
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

8/22-25/12 RV

16 73 11

 

 

             

"What about Romney? Would you say Romney favors smaller government with fewer services, or larger government with more services?" Options rotated

 
    Smaller,
fewer
Larger,
more
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

8/22-25/12 RV

69 18 13

 

 


 

CNN/ORC Poll. Aug. 22-23, 2012. N=719 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.
LV = likely voters. RV = registered voters.

             

"Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me if you think Barack Obama or Mitt Romney would better handle that issue if they were elected president. . . ."

 
    Obama Romney Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 
 

"Illegal immigration" N=355 (Version A), margin of error 5

 

8/22-23/12 LV

42 52 5 1  
 

6/28 - 7/1/12 RV

46 49 4 1  
             
 

"Terrorism" N=355 (Version A), margin of error 5

 

8/22-23/12 LV

50 43 5 2  
             
 

"Policies toward gays and lesbians" N=355 (Version A), margin of error 5

 

8/22-23/12 LV

59 33 5 3  
             
 

"Welfare policy" N=364 (Version B), margin of error 5

 

8/22-23/12 LV

51 47 1 1  
             
 

"Abortion policy" N=364 (Version B), margin of error 5

 

8/22-23/12 LV

53 40 3 3  
             

"Thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say whether you think each one applies more to Barack Obama or more to Mitt Romney. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not support him. . . ."

 
    Obama Romney Both
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 
 

"Cares about the needs of people like you"

 

8/22-23/12 LV

53 40 1 5 -
             
 

"Inspires confidence" N=355 (Version A), margin of error 5

 

8/22-23/12 LV

47 44 3 7 -
 

4/13-15/12 RV

46 35 5 13 1
             
 

"Does not change his position on issues for political reasons" N=364 (Version B), margin of error 5

 

8/22-23/12 LV

43 39 3 14 1
             

Asked of Republicans:
"
If it were up to you, who would you rather see the Republican Party choose Mitt Romney or someone else as its nominee for president?" N=473 registered Republicans, margin of error
4.5

 
    Romney Someone
else
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

8/22-23/12

69 30 1    
             

Asked of Democrats:
"
If it were up to you, who would you rather see the Democratic Party choose Barack Obama or someone else as its nominee for president?" N=404 registered Democrats, margin of error
5

 
    Obama Someone
else
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

8/22-23/12

81 17 2    

 

USA Today/Gallup Poll. Aug. 20-22, 2012. N=1,033 adults nationwide. Margin of error 4.

             

"Thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say whether you think each one applies more to Barack Obama or more to Mitt Romney. How about . . . ?"

 
    Obama Romney Both
equally (vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 
 

"Is likeable"

 

8/20-22/12

54 31 10 4 2
 

7/19-22/12

60 30 7 4 -
             
 

"Cares about the needs of people like you"

 

8/20-22/12

52 36 2 7 2
             
 

"Is honest and trustworthy"

 

8/20-22/12

48 36 4 10 2
 

7/19-22/12

47 39 3 10 2
             
 

"Would stand up to special interests, including those aligned with his own party"

 

8/20-22/12

48 37 2 8 5
             
 

"Would work well with both parties to get things done in Washington"

 

8/20-22/12

45 40 3 11 2
             

"Regardless of whom you support, and trying to be as objective as possible, who do you think will win the election in November: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?" Options rotated

 
    Obama Romney Unsure    
    % % %    
 

8/20-22/12

58 36 6    
 

5/10-13/12

56 36 8    

 

AP-GfK Poll conducted by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Corporate Communications. Aug. 16-20, 2012. N=1,006 adults nationwide. Margin of error 3.9.

             

"Regardless of whom you may support, who do you trust to do a better job of [see below]: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?" Options rotated

 
    Obama Romney Neither
(vol.)
Unsure Refused
    % % % % %
 
 

"Handling Medicare"

 

8/16-20/12

49 41 5 5 -
             
 

"Handling Social Security"

 

8/16-20/12

47 44 4 5 -
             
 

"Creating jobs"

 

8/16-20/12

45 44 6 5 -
             

"And regardless of whom you may support, which of the following candidates do you think [see below]: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?" Options rotated

 
    Obama Romney Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 
 

"Is more honest and trustworthy" Half sample (N=447)

 

8/16-20/12

45 34 12 8  

 

USA Today/Gallup Poll. Aug. 11 & 13, 2012. N=913 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 4. Interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking.

             

"Now, thinking about what may happen if Barack Obama is reelected president and what may happen if Mitt Romney is elected president this November:

"If Mitt Romney is elected president, do you think you and your family will be better off in four years than you are today, or not better off?"

 
    Better off Not
better off
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

8/11 & 13/12

46 47 7

 

 

             

"If Barack Obama is reelected president, do you think you and your family will be better off in four years than you are today, or not better off?"

 
    Better off Not
better off
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

8/11 & 13/12

40 54 6

 

 


 

USA Today/Gallup Poll. Aug. 12, 2012. N=1,006 adults nationwide. Margin of error 4. Interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking.

             

"As you may know, Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney has selected Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan as his vice presidential running mate. How would you rate Mitt Romney's choice of Paul Ryan for vice president? Would you rate this choice as excellent, pretty good, only fair, or poor?"

 
    Excellent Pretty
good
Only fair Poor Unsure
    % % % % %
 

8/12/12

19 20 24 18 19
             

"Does having Paul Ryan as his running mate make you more likely to vote for Mitt Romney in November, less likely, or will it not have much effect on your vote?"

 
    More
likely
Less
likely
Won't have
much effect
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

8/12/12

17 12 66 5

 

             

"Based on what you know about Paul Ryan, do you think he is qualified to serve as president if it becomes necessary, or not?"

 
    Qualified Not
qualified
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

8/12/12

48 29 23

 

 


 

CNN/ORC Poll. Aug. 7-8, 2012. N=1,010 adults nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"Please tell me whether you think each of the following generally favors the rich, favors the middle class, or favors the poor. . . ."

 
    Favors
the rich
Favors the
middle class
Favors
the poor
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 
 

Barack Obama

 

8/7-8/12

18 42 34 6  
 

2/10-13/12

26 40 32 2  
             
 

Mitt Romney

 

8/7-8/12

64 27 2 6  
 

2/10-13/12

65 28 4 3  
             

"As you may know, Mitt Romney has released his tax returns from the past two years, but has refused to release tax returns for any other year. Do you think Romney should or should not release tax returns from additional years?"

 
    Should Should not Unsure    
    % % %    
 

8/7-8/12

63 36 2    
             

"Now I'm going to read you a short list of people that Mitt Romney may choose as his vice presidential candidate, and I'd like you to tell me which one you would most like to see as Romney's running mate. Florida Senator Marco Rubio. New Jersey Governor Chris Christie. Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan. Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal. Virginia Governor Bob McDonnell. Ohio Senator Rob Portman. Former Minnesota governor Tim Pawlenty." N=419 Republicans and Republican leaners, margin of 5. Options rotated.

 
    Republicans
& leaners
       
    %        
 

Marco Rubio

28        
 

Chris Christie

16        
 

Paul Ryan

16        
 

Bobby Jindal

8        
 

Bob McDonnell

6        
 

Rob Portman

6        
 

Tim Pawlenty

4        
 

Someone else (vol.)

4        
 

None/No one (vol.)

5        
 

Unsure

7        
             

"Now I'm going to read you a few phrases that might describe the person who Mitt Romney will choose as his vice presidential running mate. For each one, please tell me whether it would be very important to you, somewhat important to you, not very important to you, or not important at all for Romney to pick a running mate who has that quality. . . ." N=419 Republicans and Republican leaners, margin of 5.

 
    Republicans & Republican leaners
 
    Very
important
Somewhat
important
Not very
important
Not important
at all
Unsure
    % % % % %
 
 

"Someone who is qualified to be president if necessary"

 

8/7-8/12

88 11 - 1 -
             
 

"Someone who agrees with you on major issues"

 

8/7-8/12

63 28 5 4 -
             
 

"Someone who believes that abortion should be illegal"

 

8/7-8/12

42 23 15 18 3
             
 

"Someone who you currently know a lot about"

 

8/7-8/12

29 37 22 13 -
             
 

"Someone who comes from your state or the part of the country where you live"

 

8/7-8/12

12 18 28 42 -

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Aug. 5-7, 2012. N=930 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"Regardless of how you would vote, how comfortable would you be with Mitt Romney as president: [see below]?"

 
    Extremely
comfortable
Very
comfortable
Somewhat
comfortable
Not at all
comfortable
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

8/5-7/12

8 18 33 38 3
             

"Regardless of how you would vote, how comfortable would you be with Barack Obama as president for another four years: [see below]?"
2008: "Regardless of how you would vote, how comfortable would you be with Barack Obama as president: [see below]?" Conducted by Opinion Dynamics Corp.

 
    Extremely
comfortable
Very
comfortable
Somewhat
comfortable
Not at all
comfortable
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

8/5-7/12

21 20 22 37 1
 

8/19-20/08

15 26 25 31 2
             

"Regardless of how you might vote, which presidential candidate do you trust to do a better job on each of the following issues: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? . . ."

 
    Obama Romney Both (vol.) Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 
 

"Stopping Iran from getting nuclear weapons"

 

8/5-7/12

43 39 3 8 8
             
 

"Improving the economy"

 

8/5-7/12

43 46 2 6 3
 

6/3-5/12

39 46 2 6 6
             
 

"Reducing the deficit"

 

8/5-7/12

38 46 1 10 5
             
 

"Handling national security"

 

8/5-7/12

48 40 3 4 5
             
 

"Helping people achieve the American dream"

 

8/5-7/12

47 39 2 7 4

Campaign 2012 continued


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