PollingReport.com

Home ] Up ]


     White House 2012: General Election (p. 2)

                  [ STATE POLLS are in our subscriber area. INFO ]
 
See also: Trial heat summary    Gallup daily tracking      < Trend line >
 
 

George Washington University/Politico Battleground Poll conducted by the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D). Nov. 4-5, 2012. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.1.

             

"If the presidential election were held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote: Mitt Romney, the Republican, or Barack Obama, the Democrat?" If unsure: "And which candidate do you lean toward slightly?" Options rotated

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Other
candidates
   
    % % %    
 

Tarrance Group's vote projection, with undecideds allocated:

 

 

 

11/4-5/12

48.8 50.3 0.9

 

 

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

11/4-5/12

47 47 6

 

 

 

10/29 - 11/1/12

48 48 3

 

 

 

10/22-25/12

49 48 3

 

 

 

10/14-18/12

47 49 4

 

 

 

10/7-11/12

49 48 3

 

 

 

10/1-4/12

49 48 3

 

 

 

9/24-27/12

49 47 4

 

 

 

9/16-20/12

50 47 4

 

 

 

8/5-8/12

48 46 5

 

 

 

4/29 - 5/3/12

47 48 5

 

 

 

2/19-22/12

52 43 5

 

 

 

11/6-9/11

48 43 9

 

 

 

5/8-12/11

52 39 9

 

 


 

Investor's Business Daily/TIPP Tracking Poll conducted by TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence. N=700-900 likely voters nationwide.

             

"If the 2012 election for United States President were held today and the following were candidates, for whom would you vote: [see below]?"

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Other
candidates
   
    % % %    
 

Vote projection, with undecideds allocated:

     
 

11/3-5/12

50.3 48.7 1.0    
 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Unsure Refused  
    % % % %  
 
 

10/22-27/12

45 44 7 3  
 

10/21-26/12

47 45 6 3  
 

10/20-25/12

47 45 6 3  
 

10/19-24/12

47 45 6 3  
 

10/18-23/12

47 44 6 3  
 

10/17-22/12

47 45 6 3  
 

10/16-21/12

47 43 7 2  
 

10/15-20/12

48 42 8 2  
 

10/14-19/12

47 44 8 2  
 

10/14-19/12

47 44 8 2  
 

10/13-18/12

47 45 7 2  
 

10/12-17/12

46 46 6 2  
 

10/11-16/12

47 45 6 2  
 

10/10-15/12

47 46 5 2  
 

10/9-14/12

47 47 5 2  
 

10/8-13/12

47 46 6 2  
 

10/7-12/12

46 46 6 2  
 

10/6-11/12

46 46 6 2  
 

10/5-10/12

46 47 5 2  
 

10/4-9/12

44 49 6 1  
 

10/2-8/12

45 47 7 1  

 

CNN/ORC Poll. Nov. 2-4, 2012. N=693 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"Suppose that the presidential election were being held today and you had to choose between Barack Obama and Joe Biden as the Democratic Party's candidates, and Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan as the Republican Party's candidates. Who would you be more likely to vote for: Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats, or Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan, the Republicans?" If unsure: "As of today, who do you lean more toward?"

 
    Obama/
Biden (D)
Romney/
Ryan (R)
Neither
(vol.)
Other
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

11/2-4/12

49

49

2

-

-

 

9/28-30/12

50

47

3

-

1

 

9/7-9/12

52

46

2

-

1

 

8/31 - 9/3/12

48

48

2

-

1

 

8/22-23/12

49

47

2

-

2

             

Obama vs. Romney trend (among registered voters):
"Suppose that the presidential election were being held today and you had to choose between Barack Obama as the Democratic Party's candidate, and Mitt Romney as the Republican Party's candidate. Who would you be more likely to vote for: Barack Obama, the Democrat, or Mitt Romney, the Republican?"
If unsure: "As of today, who do you lean more toward?"
3/12 & earlier: "If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and Mitt Romney were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for: Obama, the Democrat, or Romney, the Republican? "If unsure: "As of today, who do you lean more toward?"

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Neither
(vol.)
Other
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

8/7-8/12

52

45

3

-

1

 

6/28 - 7/1/12

49

46

3

1

-

 

5/29-31/12

49

46

4

1

-

 

4/13-15/12

52

43

5

1

1

 

3/24-25/12

54

43

3

-

-

 

2/10-13/12

51

46

2

-

-

 

1/11-12/12

47

48

3

1

1

 

12/16-18/11

52

45

2

1

-

 

11/11-13/11

47

51

2

-

-

 

9/23-25/11

49

48

2

1

-

 

8/5-7/11

49

48

2

-

-

 

4/29 - 5/1/11

54

43

2

1

-

 

10/27-30/10

45

50

3

-

1

 

4/9-11/10

53

45

1

-

-

             

"Now suppose that the presidential candidates on the ballot in your state included Barack Obama as the Democratic Party's candidate, Mitt Romney as the Republican candidate, Gary Johnson as the Libertarian party candidate, and Jill Stein as the Green party candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for?" Options rotated

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Gary
Johnson (L)
Jill
Stein (G)
None (vol.)/
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

11/2-4/12

48

48

2

1

1

 

9/28-30/12

47

44

4

3

2

 

9/7-9/12

51

43

3

1

2


 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. As of Oct. 18-21, 2012, based on daily tracking. N=1,300-2,300 likely voters nationwide.

             

"If the presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats, and Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan, the Republicans, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Which candidates are you leaning toward, Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats, or Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan, the Republicans?" If already voted: "For whom did you vote?" Options rotated

 
    Obama/
Biden (D)
Romney/
Ryan (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

11/1-4/12

50 47 1 - 1
 

10/31 - 11/3/12

49 48 2 1 2
 

10/30 - 11/2/12

48 48 1 1 2
 

10/29 - 11/1/12

48 49 1 1 1
 

10/28-31/12

49 48 1 1 1
 

10/27-30/12

49 49 1 - 1
 

10/26-29/12

48 49 1 - 1
 

10/25-28/12

49 49 1 1 1
 

10/24-27/12

48 49 1 1 1
 

10/23-26/12

48 49 1 1 1
 

10/22-25/12

48 49 1 1 1
 

10/21-24/12

47 50 1 1 1
 

10/20-23/12

48 49 - 1 1
 

10/19-22/12

48 49 - 2 1
 

10/18-21/12

49 48 - 2 1
 
 

10/10-13/12

49 46 1 1 2
 

9/26-29/12

49 47 - 2 1
 

9/7-9/12

49 48 - 1 2
 

8/22-25/12

47 49 1 1 1
             

Obama vs. Romney trend (among registered voters):
"If the presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama, the Democrat, and Mitt Romney, the Republican, for whom would you vote?"
If unsure: "Would you lean toward Obama or toward Romney?"
Options rotated

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

7/5-8/12

47 47 2 - 4
 

5/17-20/12

49 46 3 1 1
 

4/5-8/12

51 44 2 2 1
 

3/7-10/12

47 49 1 2 2
 

2/1-4/12

51 45 1 1 1
 

1/12-15/12

46 48 2 2 2
 

12/15-18/11

47 47 2 2 1
 

10/31 - 11/3/11

46 47 3 2 1
 

9/29 - 10/2/11

46 48 2 1 2
 

8/29 - 9/1/11

45 49 2 2 2
 

7/14-17/11

49 47 2 1 1
 

6/2-5/11

46 49 2 1 2
 

4/14-17/11

49 45 3 1 1

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Nov. 1-3, 2012. N=1,475 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 2.6. RV = registered voters.

             

"If the next election for president were held today, with Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan as the Republican candidates, and Barack Obama and Joe Biden as the Democratic candidates, for whom would you vote?" Options rotated

 
    Obama/
Biden (D)
Romney/
Ryan (R)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

11/1-3/12

48 47 2 2 1
 

10/17-20/12

47 47 1 2 3
 

9/26-30/12

49 46 - 2 3
 

9/12-16/12

50 45 1 1 3
 

8/16-20/12 RV

48 44 1 4 3
             

Obama vs. Romney trend (among registered voters, except where noted):
"
And, if the next election for president were held today, and Mitt Romney were the Republican candidate and Barack Obama were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?"
Options rotated

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

7/18-22/12

49 43 1 5 2
 

6/20-24/12

47 44 1 3 5
 

5/16-20/12

47 43 1 6 4
 

4/13-17/12

49 43 1 4 2
 

2/29 - 3/3/12

50 44 1 4 1
 

1/22-24/12

49 43 1 4 3
 

12/7-11/11

47 45 1 4 3
 

11/2-5/11

49 43 1 4 3
 

10/6-10/11

46 44 1 5 4
 

8/27-31/11

46 45 2 4 3
 

7/14-17/11

48 41 1 7 3
 

6/9-13/11

49 43 1 3 4
 

2/24-28/11

49 40 - 6 5
 

12/9-13/10 Adults

47

40

1

6

6

 

1/20-22/08 Adults

48

35

2

7

8

 

11/1-5/07 Adults

48

36

1

6

9

 

9/7-10/07 Adults

51

34

1

7

7


 

Pew Research Center. Oct. 31-Nov. 3, 2012. N=2,709 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 2.2.

             

"If the presidential election were being held TODAY, would you vote for the Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Joe Biden OR the Republican ticket of Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan?" If other/unsure: "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more to [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    Obama/
Biden (D)
Romney/
Ryan (R)
Other
candidates
   
    % % %    
 

Vote projection, with undecideds allocated:

 

 

 

10/31 - 11/3/12

50 47 3

 

 

 
    Obama/
Biden (D)
Romney/
Ryan (R)
Other (vol.) Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

10/31 - 11/3/12

48 45 4 4

 

 

10/24-28/12

47 47 3 3

 

 

10/4-7/12

45 49 2 4

 

 

9/12-16/12

51 43 1 5

 

             

Obama vs. Romney trend (among registered voters):
"
Now, suppose the 2012 presidential election were being held TODAY and you had to choose between Barack Obama, the Democrat, and Mitt Romney, the Republican, who would you vote for?"
If other/unsure: "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more to [see below]?"
Options rotated

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
   
    % % %    
 

7/16-26/12

51 41 7

 

 

 

6/28 - 7/9/12

50 43 6

 

 

 

6/7-17/12

50 46 5

 

 

 

5/9 - 6/3/12

49 42 9

 

 

 

4/4-15/12

49 45 6

 

 

 

3/7-11/12

54 42 4

 

 

 

2/8-12/12

52 44 4

 

 

 

1/11-16/12

50 45 6

 

 

 

11/9-14/11

49 47 4

 

 

 

9/22 - 10/4/11

48 48 4

 

 


 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Oct. 28-30, 2012. N=1,128 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.
2010: Conducted by Opinion Dynamics Corp.

             

"If the presidential election were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were Democrats Barack Obama and Joe Biden, and Republicans Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan?" If unsure: "Well, which way are you leaning?" Options rotated

 
    Obama/
Biden (D)
Romney/
Ryan (R)
Other
(vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

10/28-30/12

46 46 1 - 6
 

10/7-9/12

45 46 2 1 6
 

9/24-26/12

48 43 1 - 7
 

9/9-11/12

48 43 1 1 7
 

8/19-21/12

44 45 3 1 6
             

Obama vs. Romney trend (among registered voters):
"If the presidential election were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney?"
Options rotated

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Other
(vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

8/5-7/12

49 40 2 2 8
 

7/15-17/12

45 41 2 4 7
 

6/24-26/12

45 40 3 3 10
 

6/3-5/12

43 43 2 2 10
 

5/13-15/12

46 39 3 4 8
 

4/22-24/12

46 46 1 3 4
 

4/9-11/12

44 46 2 4 4
 

3/10-12/12

46 42 2 5 5
 

2/6-9/12

47 42 2 5 5
 

1/12-14/12

46 45 1 3 5
 

12/5-7/11

44 42 3 4 7
 

11/13-15/11

42 44 3 4 6
 

9/25-27/11

45 42 3 4 6
 

7/17-19/11

47 41 1 3 8
 

6/5-7/11

48 41 1 3 7
 

2/7-9/11

48

41

2

3

5

 

9/28-29/10

41

40

7

2

11

 

1/12-13/10

47

35

5

3

10


 

CBS News/New York Times Poll. Oct. 25-28, 2012. N=563 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 4. RV = registered voters

             

"If the 2012 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama for president and Joe Biden for vice president, the Democrats, and Mitt Romney for president and Paul Ryan for vice president, the Republicans, would you vote for Barack Obama and Joe Biden or Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan?" If depends/unsure: "Well as of today, do you lean more toward Barack Obama and Joe Biden or more toward Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan?"

 
    Obama/
Biden (D)
Romney/
Ryan (R)
Won't
vote (vol.)
Other
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

10/25-28/12

48 47 0 1 3
 

10/17-20/12

48 46 1 1 4
 

9/8-12/12

49 46 0 1 4
 

8/22-26/12 RV

46 45 2 2 6

 

United Technologies/National Journal Congressional Connection Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Oct. 25-28, 2012. N=713 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 4.4.

             

"Now, suppose the 2012 presidential election were being held TODAY. If you had to choose between the Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Joe Biden, or the Republican ticket of Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan, who would you vote for?" If other/unsure: "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more to Obama and Biden, the Democrats, or Romney and Ryan, the Republicans?" Options rotated

 
    Obama/
Biden (D)
Romney/
Ryan (R)
Other Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

10/25-28/12

50 45 1 4

 

 

9/27-30/12

47 47 1 5

 


 

National Public Radio poll conducted by Democracy Corps (D) and Resurgent Republic (R). Oct. 23-25, 2012. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.1.

             

"If the election for president were being held today and the candidates for president and vice president are Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan, the Republicans, and Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats, for which candidates would you vote?" Options rotated. Results include leaners

 
    Obama/
Biden (D)
Romney/
Ryan (R)
Other
(vol.)
Unsure Refused
    % % % % %
 

10/23-25/12

47 48 1 3 2

 

AP-GfK Poll conducted by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Corporate Communications. Oct. 19-23, 2012. N=839 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 4.2. LV = likely voters. RV = registered voters.

             

"In the election for president in November 2012, if the candidates are Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats, or Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan, the Republicans, for whom will you vote?" If neither/other/unsure: "Do you lean more toward Obama and Biden or more toward Romney and Ryan?" Options rotated

 
    Obama/
Biden (D)
Romney/
Ryan (R)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure Refused
    % % % % %
 

10/19-23/12 LV

45 47 2 3 3
 

9/13-17/12 LV

47 46 2 2 3
 

8/16-20/12 RV

47 46 4 2 1
             

Obama vs. Romney trend:
"In the election for president in November 2012, if the candidates are Barack Obama, the Democrat, and Mitt Romney
, the Republican, for whom will you vote?" If neither/unsure: "Do you lean more toward Obama or more toward Mitt Romney?"
Options rotated

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure Refused
    % % % % %
 

6/14-18/12 RV

47 44 8 2 -
 

5/3-7/12 RV

50 42 5 2 1
 

2/16-20/12 Adults

51 43 5 2 -
 

12/8-12/11 Adults

47 46 7 1 -
 

10/13-17/11 Adults

48 45 5 2 -

 

Washington Times/Zogby Poll. Oct. 18-20, 2012. N=800 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

General Election Trial Heat:

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

10/18-20/12

50 47 3

 

 


 

University of Connecticut/Hartford Courant Poll. Oct. 11-16, 2012. N=1,023 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"Thinking about the presidential election in November, will you vote for Republicans Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan, Democrats Barack Obama and Joe Biden, someone else, or haven't you decided?" Candidates rotated

 
    Obama/
Biden (D)
Romney/
Ryan (R)
Other Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

10/11-16/12

48 45 1 6  
 

9/11-18/12

46 43 2 8  

 

Washington Times/Zogby Poll. Oct. 5-7, 2012. N=800 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

General Election Trial Heats:

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

10/5-7/12

45 45 10

 

 

 

9/27-29/12

50 41 9

 

 

             
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Gary
Johnson (L)
Jill
Stein (G)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

10/5-7/12

46 45 2 - 7

 

Clarus Research Group. Oct. 4, 2012. N=590 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 4.

             

"I'd like to ask you about the upcoming presidential election. Of the two candidates, Barack Obama and Mitt Romney, which one would you most likely vote for if the election were held today?"

 
    Barack
Obama (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Unsure/
Refused
   
    % % %    
 

10/4/12

46 47 7

 

 

 

10/2/12

49 45 6

 

 


 

National Journal Next America Survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Sept. 27-Oct. 2, 2012. N=723 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 5.

             

"Now, suppose the 2012 presidential election were being held TODAY and you had to choose between [see below]. Who would you vote for?" If other/unsure: "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more to [see below]?" If already voted: "In the presidential election, did you happen to vote for [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    Obama/
Biden (D)
Romney/
Ryan (R)
Another
candidate
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

9/27 - 10/2/12

50 46 1 2

 


General election continued


HOME | TABLE OF CONTENTS | SEARCH THE SITE

Copyright 2014 POLLING REPORT, INC., and polling/sponsoring organizations