|
|
White House
2012: General Election
(p. 4) |
|
|
CNN/ORC Poll. Dec. 16-18, 2011. N=928
registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and [see below]
were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote
for: Obama, the Democrat, or [see below], the Republican?" If
unsure:
"As of today, who do you lean more toward?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Rick
Perry (R) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
12/16-18/11 |
57 |
39 |
3 |
1 |
- |
|
|
11/11-13/11 |
52 |
45 |
2 |
- |
- |
|
|
9/23-25/11 |
51 |
46 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
8/5-7/11 |
51 |
46 |
3 |
- |
- |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Michele
Bachmann (R) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
12/16-18/11 |
57 |
38 |
3 |
1 |
- |
|
|
9/23-25/11 |
54 |
42 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
8/5-7/11 |
51 |
45 |
3 |
- |
1 |
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Dec. 15-18, 2011. N=1,005 adults
nationwide. Results below are among registered voters. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"How about if the candidates were Barack Obama, the Democrat, and [see
below], the Republican, and Ron Paul running as an independent candidate
for president -- for whom would you vote?" If unsure:
"Would you lean toward Obama, [see below], or toward Paul?" |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Mitt
Romney (R) |
Ron
Paul (I) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)/
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
12/15-18/11 |
42 |
32 |
21 |
2 |
3 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Newt
Gingrich (R) |
Ron
Paul (I) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
12/15-18/11 |
43 |
32 |
21 |
2 |
1 |
|
|
USA Today/Gallup Poll. Dec. 15-18, 2011. N=898 registered voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 4. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and former
Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney were the Republican Party's candidate,
who would you be more likely to vote for: Barack Obama, the Democrat, or
Mitt Romney, the Republican?" If unsure:
"As of today, do you lean more toward Obama, the Democrat, or Romney, the
Republican?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Mitt
Romney (R) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
12/15-18/11 |
50 |
48 |
2 |
- |
|
|
|
9/15-18/11 |
47 |
49 |
3 |
1 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and former speaker of
the House Newt Gingrich were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you
be more likely to vote for: Barack Obama, the Democrat, or Newt Gingrich,
the Republican?" If unsure:
"As of today, do you lean more toward Obama, the Democrat,
or Gingrich, the Republican?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Newt
Gingrich (R) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
12/15-18/11 |
50 |
48 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
Reuters/Ipsos Poll conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs. Dec. 8-12,
2011. N=approx. 900 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.2. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2012 presidential election were being held today and the candidates
were Barack Obama, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, for
whom would you vote?" If unsure:
"Would you lean toward Obama or toward [see below]?" |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Rick
Perry (R) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
None/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
12/8-12/11 |
50 |
37 |
3 |
7 |
4 |
|
|
10/31 - 11/3/11 |
47 |
41 |
2 |
6 |
4 |
|
|
9/8-12/11 |
50 |
42 |
1 |
3 |
4 |
|
|
Fairleigh Dickinson University PublicMind. Nov. 29-Dec. 5, 2011.
N=approx. 290 registered voters nationwide. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I know it's early, but let me ask: In a race for president between Barack
Obama, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, who would you
vote for?" If unsure:
"Which way do you lean?"
Options
rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Jon
Huntsman (R) |
Neither/Other
(vol.)/Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
11/29 - 12/5/11 |
50 |
32 |
18 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Rick
Perry (R) |
Neither/Other
(vol.)/Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
11/29 - 12/5/11 |
53 |
35 |
12 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Michele
Bachmann (R) |
Neither/Other
(vol.)/Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
11/29 - 12/5/11 |
57 |
30 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
6/1-7/11 |
51 |
32 |
17 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Herman
Cain (R) |
Neither/Other
(vol.)/Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
11/29 - 12/5/11 |
56 |
30 |
15 |
|
|
|
|
6/1-7/11 |
47 |
33 |
20 |
|
|
|
|
Quinnipiac University Poll. Nov. 14-20, 2011. N=2,552 registered
voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 1.9. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2012
election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Barack
Obama the Democrat and [see below]
the Republican, for whom would you vote?" |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Herman
Cain (R) |
Someone
else (vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
11/14-20/11 |
50 |
37 |
3 |
4 |
7 |
|
|
10/25-31/11 |
50 |
40 |
2 |
3 |
5 |
|
|
Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw &
Company Research (R). Nov. 13-15, 2011. N=914 registered voters nationwide.
Margin of error ± 3. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the presidential election were held today, how would you vote if the
candidates were Democrat Barack Obama and Republican [see below]?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Herman
Cain (R) |
Other
(vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
11/13-15/11 |
47 |
38 |
3 |
6 |
6 |
|
|
7/17-19/11 |
48 |
35 |
1 |
4 |
12 |
|
|
Pew Research Center. Nov. 9-14, 2011. N=1,576 registered voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 3. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Now, suppose the 2012 presidential election were being held TODAY and you
had to choose between Barack Obama, the Democrat, and [see
below], the Republican, who would you vote for?" If other/unsure:
"As of TODAY, do you LEAN more to [see below]?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Rick
Perry (R) |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
11/9-14/11 |
53 |
42 |
1 |
4 |
|
|
|
9/22 - 10/4/11 |
50 |
46 |
1 |
4 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Herman
Cain (R) |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
11/9-14/11 |
54 |
42 |
1 |
3 |
|
|
|
CNN/ORC Poll. Nov. 11-13, 2011. N=925
registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and [see below]
were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote
for: Obama, the Democrat, or [see below], the Republican?" If
unsure:
"As of today, who do you lean more toward?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Herman
Cain (R) |
Neither (vol.) |
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
11/11-13/11 |
53 |
43 |
3 |
- |
- |
|
|
McClatchy-Marist Poll. Nov. 8-10, 2011. N=872 registered voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5.
8/09: Marist College Marist Poll. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2012 presidential election were held today, whom would you support
if the candidates are Barack Obama, the Democrat, and [see below],
the Republican?"
N=approx.
400 registered voters, margin of error ± 5 |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Herman
Cain (R) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
11/8-10/11 |
49 |
39 |
11 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Rick
Perry (R) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
11/8-10/11 |
51 |
40 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
9/13-14/11 |
50 |
41 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
8/2-4/11 |
52 |
33 |
14 |
|
|
|
|
6/15-23/11 |
48 |
39 |
13 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Michele
Bachmann (R) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
11/8-10/11 |
54 |
35 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
9/13-14/11 |
53 |
40 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
8/2-4/11 |
52 |
35 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
6/15-23/11 |
49 |
37 |
14 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2012 presidential election were held today, whom would you support
if the candidates are Barack Obama, the Democrat, Mitt
Romney, the Republican, and [see
below], an independent?"
N=approx.
400 registered voters, margin of error ± 5 |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Mitt
Romney (R) |
Ron
Paul (I) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
11/8-10/11 |
42 |
33 |
19 |
6 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Mitt
Romney (R) |
Donald
Trump (I) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
11/8-10/11 |
45 |
36 |
13 |
7 |
|
|
|
George Washington University/Politico Battleground Poll conducted by
the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D). Nov. 6-9, 2011.
N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.1. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the presidential election were held today and you had to make a choice, for whom
would you vote:
[see below], the Republican, or Barack Obama, the Democrat?"
If unsure:
"And which candidate do you lean toward slightly?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Herman
Cain (R) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
11/6-9/11 |
49 |
40 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
Gallup Poll. Nov. 3-6, 2011. N=889 registered voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 4. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Thinking about the presidential election in November 2012, are you more
likely to vote for Barack Obama or for the Republican Party's candidate for
president?"
If unsure/other:
"As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or the Republican Party's
candidate?"
2/11: "If Barack Obama runs for reelection in 2012, are you more likely to vote
for Obama or for the Republican Party's candidate for president?"
2010: "If Barack
Obama runs for reelection in 2012, in general, are you more likely to vote
for Obama or for the Republican Party's candidate for president?" |
| |
|
|
|
Obama |
Republican |
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
11/3-6/11 |
48 |
45 |
2 |
5 |
|
|
|
10/6-9/11 |
42 |
50 |
2 |
6 |
|
|
|
9/8-11/11 |
40 |
52 |
3 |
5 |
|
|
|
8/4-7/11 |
49 |
45 |
1 |
5 |
|
| |
|
|
Excludes leaning
follow-up question: |
|
|
7/7-10/11 |
39 |
47 |
3 |
12 |
|
|
|
6/9-12/11 |
39 |
44 |
6 |
12 |
|
|
|
5/5-8/11 |
43 |
40 |
5 |
12 |
|
|
|
4/20-23/11 |
41 |
41 |
5 |
13 |
|
|
|
2/2-5/11 |
45 |
45 |
4 |
6 |
|
|
|
2/1-3/10 |
44 |
42 |
3 |
11 |
|
|
|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling
organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Nov. 2-5, 2011.
N=1,000 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the next election for president were held today, and [see below]
were the Republican candidate and Barack Obama were the Democratic
candidate, for whom would you vote?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Herman
Cain (R) |
Depends
(vol.) |
Neither/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
11/2-5/11 |
53 |
38 |
1 |
5 |
3 |
|
|
10/6-10/11 |
49 |
38 |
1 |
4 |
8 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"And, if the next election for president were held today, and Mitt Romney
were the Republican candidate, Barack Obama were the Democratic candidate,
and [see below]
were the independent candidate, for whom would you
vote?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Mitt
Romney (R) |
Michael
Bloomberg (I) |
Depends/
None/Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
11/2-5/11 |
44 |
35 |
13 |
5 |
3 |
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Oct. 31-Nov. 3, 2011. N=1,004 adults
nationwide. Results below are among registered voters. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2012 presidential election were being held today and the candidates
were Barack Obama, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, for
whom would you vote?" If unsure:
"Would you lean toward Obama or toward [see below]?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Rick
Perry (R) |
Neither/
Other (vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
10/31 - 11/3/11 |
51 |
43 |
4 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
9/29 - 10/2/11 |
49 |
46 |
3 |
1 |
2 |
|
|
8/29 - 9/1/11 |
46 |
47 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
7/14-17/11 |
53 |
40 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Herman
Cain (R) |
Neither/
Other (vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
10/31 - 11/3/11 |
50 |
45 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
Reuters/Ipsos Poll conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs. Oct. 31-Nov. 3,
2011. N=937 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.2. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2012 presidential election were being held today and the candidates
were Barack Obama, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, for
whom would you vote?" If unsure:
"Would you lean toward Obama or toward [see below]?" |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Herman
Cain (R) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
None/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
10/31 - 11/3/11 |
46 |
41 |
2 |
6 |
5 |
|
|
Quinnipiac University Poll. Oct. 25-31, 2011. N=2,294 registered
voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 2.1. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2012
election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Barack
Obama the Democrat and [see below]
the Republican, for whom would you vote?" |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Rick
Perry (R) |
Someone
else (vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
10/25-31/11 |
52 |
36 |
2 |
4 |
5 |
|
|
9/27 - 10/3/11 |
45 |
44 |
3 |
3 |
7 |
|
|
8/16-27/11 |
45 |
42 |
2 |
2 |
8 |
|
|
7/5-11/11 |
50 |
37 |
2 |
2 |
10 |
|
|
USA Today/Gallup Poll. Oct. 26-27, 2011. N=908 registered voters nationwide.
Margin of error ± 4. Interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Suppose the presidential election were held today. If Barack Obama were the
Democratic Party's candidate and businessman Herman Cain were the Republican
Party's candidate, who would you vote for: Barack Obama, the Democrat, or
Herman Cain, the Republican?" If unsure:
"As of today, do you lean more toward Obama, the Democrat, or Cain, the
Republican?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Herman
Cain (R) |
Other
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
10/26-27/11 |
48 |
46 |
- |
4 |
3 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Suppose the presidential election were held today. If Barack Obama were the
Democratic Party's candidate and Texas governor Rick Perry were the
Republican Party's candidate, who would you vote for: Barack Obama, the
Democrat, or Rick Perry, the Republican?" If unsure:
"As of today, do you lean more toward Obama, the Democrat, or Perry, the
Republican?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Rick
Perry (R) |
Other
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
10/26-27/11 |
49 |
45 |
1 |
4 |
2 |
|
|
8/17-18/11 |
47 |
47 |
- |
3 |
3 |
|
|
AP-GfK Poll conducted by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Corporate
Communications. Oct. 13-17, 2011. N=1,000 adults nationwide. Margin of error
± 4. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"In the election for president in November 2012, if the candidates are
[see below], for whom will you vote?" If neither/unsure:
"Do you lean more toward Obama or more toward [see below]?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Rick
Perry (R) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
10/13-17/11 |
51 |
42 |
6 |
1 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Herman
Cain (R) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
10/13-17/11 |
49 |
43 |
6 |
2 |
|
|
|
Time Poll conducted by Abt SRBI. Oct. 9-10, 2011. N=838 likely voters
nationwide. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the presidential election were held today and the candidates were Barack
Obama, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, and you had to
choose, for whom would you vote?" If unsure:
"Do you lean more toward Barack Obama, the Democrat, or toward [see
below], the Republican?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Mitt
Romney (R) |
Neither/
Other (vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
10/9-10/11 |
48 |
44 |
3 |
1 |
4 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Rick
Perry (R) |
Neither/
Other (vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
10/9-10/11 |
51 |
40 |
4 |
1 |
4 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Herman
Cain (R) |
Neither/
Other (vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure/
No answer |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
10/9-10/11 |
50 |
38 |
4 |
1 |
6 |
|
|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling
organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Oct. 6-10, 2011.
N=1,000 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the next election for president were held today, and [see below]
were the Republican candidate and Barack Obama were the Democratic
candidate, for whom would you vote?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Rick
Perry (R) |
Depends
(vol.) |
Neither/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
10/6-10/11 |
51 |
39 |
1 |
5 |
4 |
|
|
8/27-31/11 |
47 |
42 |
2 |
4 |
5 |
|
|
Quinnipiac University Poll. Sept. 27-Oct. 3, 2011. N=2,118 registered
voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 2.1. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2012
election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Barack
Obama the Democrat and [see below]
the Republican, for whom would you vote?" |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Chris
Christie (R) |
Someone
else (vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
9/27 - 10/3/11 |
42 |
45 |
2 |
2 |
8 |
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Sept. 29-Oct. 2, 2011. N=1,002 adults
nationwide. Results below are among registered voters. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2012 presidential election were being held today and the candidates
were Barack Obama, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, for
whom would you vote?" If unsure:
"Would you lean toward Obama or toward [see below]?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Chris
Christie (R) |
Neither/
Other (vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
9/29 - 10/2/11 |
45 |
45 |
4 |
2 |
3 |
|
|
Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw &
Company Research (R). Sept. 25-27, 2011. N=925 registered voters nationwide.
Margin of error ± 3. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the presidential election were held today, how would you vote if the
candidates were Democrat Barack Obama and Republican [see below]?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Rick
Perry
(R) |
Other
(vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
9/25-27/11 |
47 |
39 |
2 |
4 |
7 |
|
|
7/17-19/11 |
47 |
37 |
1 |
3 |
11 |
|
|
CNN/ORC Poll. Sept. 23-25, 2011. N=917
registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and [see below]
were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote
for: Obama, the Democrat, or [see below], the Republican?" If
unsure:
"As of today, who do you lean more toward?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Sarah
Palin (R) |
Neither (vol.) |
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
9/23-25/11 |
58 |
37 |
4 |
1 |
- |
|
|
8/5-7/11 |
55 |
41 |
4 |
- |
- |
|
|
4/29 - 5/1/11 |
59 |
38 |
2 |
1 |
- |
|
|
10/27-30/10 |
52 |
44 |
4 |
- |
- |
|
|
4/9-11/10 |
55 |
42 |
3 |
- |
- |
|
|
USA Today/Gallup Poll. Sept. 15-18, 2011. N=889 registered voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 4. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Thinking now about the general election for president in November 2012,
suppose the election were being held today. If Barack Obama were the
Democratic Party's candidate and Texas governor Rick Perry were the
Republican Party's candidate, who would you vote for: Barack Obama, the
Democrat, or Rick Perry, the Republican?" If unsure:
"As of today, do you lean more toward Obama, the Democrat, or Perry, the
Republican?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Rick
Perry (R) |
Neither (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
9/15-18/11 |
50 |
45 |
3 |
2 |
|
|
|
McClatchy-Marist Poll. Sept. 13-14, 2011. N=825 registered voters
nationwide.
8/09: Marist College Marist Poll. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2012 presidential election were held today, whom would you support
if the candidates are Barack Obama, the Democrat, and [see below],
the Republican?"
N=approx.
400 registered voters, margin of error ± 5 |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Sarah
Palin (R) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
9/13-14/11 |
49 |
44 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
8/2-4/11 |
56 |
35 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
6/15-23/11 |
56 |
30 |
14 |
|
|
|
|
4/10-14/11 |
56 |
34 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
1/6-10/11 |
56 |
30 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
12/2-8/10 |
52 |
40 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
8/3-6/09 |
56 |
33 |
11 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Rudy
Giuliani (R) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
9/13-14/11 |
42 |
49 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
8/2-4/11 |
48 |
43 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
6/15-23/11 |
48 |
41 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
Reuters/Ipsos Poll conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs. Sept. 8-12,
2011. N=932 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.1. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2012 presidential election were being held today and the candidates
were Barack Obama, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, for
whom would you vote?" If unsure:
"Would you lean toward Obama or toward [see below]?" |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Jon
Huntsman (R) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
None/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
9/8-12/11 |
51 |
37 |
2 |
5 |
5 |
|
|
5/5-9/11 |
50 |
30 |
2 |
9 |
9 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Michele
Bachmann (R) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
None/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
9/8-12/11 |
54 |
36 |
2 |
5 |
4 |
|
|
5/5-9/11 |
53 |
33 |
2 |
6 |
5 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Ron Paul (R) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
None/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
9/8-12/11 |
49 |
42 |
2 |
4 |
3 |
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Aug. 29-Sept. 1, 2011. N=1,001 adults
nationwide. Results below are among registered voters, except where
indicated. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2012 presidential election were being held today and the candidates
were Barack Obama, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, for
whom would you vote?" If unsure:
"Would you lean toward Obama or toward [see below]?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Michele
Bachmann (R) |
Neither/
Other (vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
8/29 - 9/1/11 |
50 |
44 |
2 |
3 |
1 |
|
|
7/14-17/11 |
55 |
40 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
6/2-5/11 |
51 |
40 |
3 |
1 |
4 |
|
|
4/14-17/11 |
52 |
38 |
4 |
2 |
3 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Sarah
Palin (R) |
Neither/
Other (vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
8/29 - 9/1/11 |
53 |
41 |
2 |
4 |
- |
|
|
6/2-5/11 |
55 |
40 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
4/14-17/11 |
56 |
37 |
5 |
2 |
1 |
|
|
12/9-12/10
Adults |
54 |
39 |
4 |
3 |
1 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Jon
Huntsman (R) |
Neither/
Other (vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
8/29 - 9/1/11 |
47 |
42 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
|
|
6/2-5/11 |
50 |
40 |
3 |
1 |
6 |
|
|
Resurgent Republic poll conducted by Ayres, McHenry & Associates (R).
Aug. 28-31, 2011. N=1,000 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.1. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2012 election for president were
being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama, the Democratic
candidate, and his Republican opponent, would you vote for Obama or the
Republican?" |
| |
|
|
|
Obama |
Republican |
Won't vote
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
8/28-31/11 |
43 |
43 |
1 |
13 |
|
|
|
1/12-16/11 |
43 |
40 |
2 |
15 |
|
|
|
Quinnipiac University Poll. Aug. 16-27, 2011. N=2,730 registered
voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 1.9. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2012
election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Barack
Obama the Democrat and [see below]
the Republican, for whom would you vote?" |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Michele
Bachmann (R) |
Someone
else (vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
8/16-27/11 |
48 |
39 |
3 |
3 |
7 |
|
|
7/5-11/11 |
50 |
38 |
3 |
3 |
7 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Sarah
Palin (R) |
Someone
else (vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
8/16-27/11 |
51 |
37 |
3 |
4 |
4 |
|
|
7/5-11/11 |
53 |
34 |
3 |
4 |
6 |
|
|
5/31 - 6/6/11 |
53 |
36 |
3 |
4 |
4 |
|
|
11/8-15/10 |
48 |
40 |
4 |
3 |
4 |
|
|
Gallup Poll. Aug. 17-18, 2011. N=879 registered voters nationwide.
Margin of error ± 4. Interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Suppose the election were being held today. If Barack Obama were the
Democratic Party's candidate and [see below]
were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote
for: Barack Obama, the Democrat or [see below], the Republican?"
If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward Obama, the Democrat, or
[see below], the Republican?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Michele
Bachmann (R) |
Other (vol.)/
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
8/17-18/11 |
48 |
44 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
CNN/ORC Poll. Aug. 5-7, 2011. N=930
registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and [see below]
were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote
for: Obama, the Democrat, or [see below], the Republican?" If
unsure:
"As of today, who do you lean more toward?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Rudy
Giuliani (R) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
8/5-7/11 |
45 |
51 |
3 |
- |
- |
|
|
McClatchy-Marist Poll. Aug. 2-4, 2011. N=807 registered voters
nationwide. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2012 presidential election were held today, whom would you support
if the candidates are Barack Obama, the Democrat, and [see below],
the Republican?"
N=approx.
400 registered voters, margin of error ± 5 |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Tim
Pawlenty (R) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
8/2-4/11 |
49 |
36 |
15 |
|
|
|
|
6/15-23/11 |
47 |
33 |
20 |
|
|
|
|
Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw &
Company Research (R). July 17-19, 2011. N=904 registered voters nationwide.
Margin of error ± 3. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Thinking ahead to the next presidential election, if the election were held
today, how would you vote if the candidates were Democrat Barack Obama and
Republican [see below]?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Michele
Bachmann (R) |
Other
(vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
7/17-19/11 |
49 |
38 |
1 |
3 |
9 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Tim
Pawlenty (R) |
Other
(vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
7/17-19/11 |
47 |
37 |
1 |
3 |
12 |
|
|
6/5-7/11 |
50 |
32 |
1 |
3 |
14 |
|
|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling
organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). July 14-17, 2011.
N=1,000 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the next election for president were held today, and [see below]
were the Republican candidate and Barack Obama were the Democratic
candidate, for whom would you vote?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Michele
Bachmann (R) |
Depends
(vol.) |
Neither/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
7/14-17/11 |
50 |
35 |
1 |
7 |
7 |
|
|
Public Religion Research Institute/Religion News Service Religion News
Survey conducted by Opinion Research Corporation. July 14-17, 2011. N=1,012 adults
nationwide. Margin of error
±
3. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2012 presidential election were being held today and the candidates
were Barack Obama, the Democrat, and Governor Mitt Romney, the Republican,
for whom would you vote?" |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Mitt
Romney (R) |
Neither/
Other (vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
7/14-17/11 |
44 |
36 |
10 |
3 |
7 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2012 presidential election were being held today and the candidates
were Barack Obama, the Democrat, and Congresswoman Michele Bachmann, the
Republican, for whom would you vote?" |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Michele
Bachmann (R) |
Neither/
Other (vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
7/14-17/11 |
45 |
37 |
9 |
3 |
6 |
|
|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling
organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). June 9-13, 2011.
N=1,000 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the next election for president were held today, and [see below]
were the Republican candidate and Barack Obama were the Democratic
candidate, for whom would you vote?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Tim
Pawlenty (R) |
Depends
(vol.) |
Neither/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
6/9-13/11 |
50 |
37 |
2 |
3 |
8 |
|
|
2/24-28/11 |
50 |
31 |
3 |
6 |
10 |
|
|
Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw &
Company Research (R). June 5-7, 2011. N=912 registered voters nationwide.
Margin of error ± 3.
2010: Conducted by Opinion Dynamics Corp. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Thinking ahead to the next presidential election, if the election were held
today, how would you vote if the candidates were Democrat Barack Obama and
Republican [see below]?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Sarah
Palin (R) |
Other
(vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
6/5-7/11 |
56 |
35 |
1 |
5 |
3 |
|
|
2/7-9/11 |
56 |
35 |
2 |
4 |
3 |
|
|
9/28-29/10 |
48 |
35 |
7 |
3 |
8 |
|
|
1/12-13/10 |
55 |
31 |
4 |
4 |
5 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Rudy
Giuliani (R) |
Other
(vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
6/5-7/11 |
47 |
43 |
1 |
4 |
6 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Chris
Christie (R) |
Other
(vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
6/5-7/11 |
49 |
34 |
1 |
3 |
12 |
|
|
9/28-29/10 |
42 |
30 |
7 |
2 |
19 |
|
|
Fairleigh Dickinson University PublicMind. June 1-7, 2011.
N=826 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I know it's early, but let me ask: In a race for president between Barack
Obama, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, who would you
vote for?" If unsure:
"Which way do you lean?"
Options
rotated. Some matchups asked of a split sample. |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Chris
Christie (R) |
Neither/Other
(vol.)/Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
6/1-7/11 |
50 |
34 |
16 |
|
|
|
|
3/21-28/11 |
46 |
40 |
14 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Tim
Pawlenty (R) |
Neither/Other
(vol.)/Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
6/1-7/11
N=318 |
56 |
29 |
16 |
|
|
|
|
3/21-28/11
N=392 |
48 |
34 |
18 |
|
|
|
|
Reuters/Ipsos Poll conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs. June 3-6, 2011.
N=1,132 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2012 presidential election were being held today and the candidates
were Barack Obama, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, for
whom would you vote?" If unsure:
"Would you lean toward Obama or toward [see below]?" |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Mitt
Romney (R) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
None/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
6/3-6/11 |
51 |
38 |
2 |
5 |
3 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Tim
Pawlenty (R) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
None/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
6/3-6/11 |
53 |
34 |
2 |
5 |
5 |
|
|
5/5-9/11 |
51 |
33 |
3 |
7 |
6 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Jon
Huntsman (R) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
None/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
6/3-6/11 |
52 |
34 |
3 |
6 |
5 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Sarah
Palin (R) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
None/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
6/3-6/11 |
57 |
34 |
3 |
4 |
2 |
|
|
5/5-9/11 |
54 |
35 |
3 |
5 |
2 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Newt
Gingrich (R) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
None/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
6/3-6/11 |
55 |
34 |
2 |
5 |
4 |
|
|
5/5-9/11 |
53 |
35 |
2 |
5 |
3 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Michele
Bachmann (R) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
None/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
6/3-6/11 |
53 |
33 |
3 |
6 |
5 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Ron Paul (R) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
None/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
6/3-6/11 |
54 |
36 |
3 |
4 |
4 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Rick
Perry (R) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
None/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
6/3-6/11 |
54 |
34 |
3 |
5 |
4 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Herman
Cain (R) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
None/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
6/3-6/11 |
53 |
34 |
3 |
5 |
5 |
|
|
Quinnipiac University Poll. May 31-June 6, 2011. N=1,946 registered
voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 2.2. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2012
election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Barack
Obama the Democrat and [see below]
the Republican, for whom would you vote?" |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Jon
Huntsman (R) |
Someone
else (vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
5/31 - 6/6/11 |
48 |
34 |
3 |
3 |
12 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Tim
Pawlenty (R) |
Someone
else (vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
5/31 - 6/6/11 |
48 |
36 |
3 |
3 |
9 |
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. June 2-5, 2011. N=1,002 adults
nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If Sarah Palin runs for president in 2012, would you definitely vote for
her, would you consider voting for her, or would you definitely not vote for
her?" |
| |
|
|
|
Definitely
vote for |
Consider
voting for |
Definitely
not vote for |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
6/2-5/11 |
7 |
28 |
64 |
1 |
|
|
|
12/9-12/10 |
8 |
31 |
59 |
2 |
|
|
|
11/19-23/09 |
9 |
37 |
53 |
1 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2012 presidential election were being held today and the candidates
were Barack Obama, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, for
whom would you vote?" If unsure:
"Would you lean toward Obama or toward [see below]?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Tim
Pawlenty (R) |
Neither/
Other (vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
6/2-5/11 |
50 |
41 |
3 |
1 |
4 |
|
|
4/14-17/11 |
52 |
39 |
5 |
1 |
3 |
|
|
Suffolk University Poll. May 10-17, 2011. N=1,070 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the general election for United States president were held today and the
candidates were Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney for whom
will you vote or toward whom would you LEAN at this time?" |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Mitt
Romney (R) |
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
5/10-17/11 |
46 |
43 |
1 |
10 |
0 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"How about Barack Obama and [see below]?" |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Tim
Pawlenty (R) |
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
5/10-17/11 |
47 |
31 |
3 |
18 |
1 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Michele
Bachmann (R) |
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
5/10-17/11 |
50 |
30 |
3 |
16 |
1 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Newt
Gingrich (R) |
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
5/10-17/11 |
52 |
38 |
2 |
9 |
0 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Mitch
Daniels (R) |
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
5/10-17/11 |
48 |
30 |
3 |
19 |
1 |
|
|
George Washington University/Politico Battleground Poll conducted by
the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D). May 8-12, 2011.
N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.1. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Now, still thinking about the presidential election to be held in November
2012: If the election were held today and you had to make a choice, for whom
would you vote:
[see below], the Republican, or Barack Obama, the Democrat?"
If unsure:
"And which candidate do you lean toward slightly?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Tim
Pawlenty (R) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
5/8-12/11 |
51 |
38 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
Reuters/Ipsos Poll conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs. May 5-9, 2011.
N=1,029 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2012 presidential election were being held today and the candidates
were Barack Obama, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, for
whom would you vote?" If unsure:
"Would you lean toward Obama or toward [see below]?"
N=600 |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Mike
Huckabee (R) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
None/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
5/5-9/11 |
51 |
39 |
1 |
4 |
5 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Mitch
Daniels (R) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
None/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
5/5-9/11 |
51 |
33 |
2 |
7 |
7 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Donald
Trump (R) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
None/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure/
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
5/5-9/11 |
57 |
30 |
3 |
8 |
2 |
|
|
Newsweek/Daily Beast Poll conducted by Douglas E. Schoen LLC. May
2-3, 2011. N=600 adults nationwide. Results below are among likely voters. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"In thinking about the 2012 presidential election, suppose you had a choice
between Democrat Barack Obama and Republican [see
below]. If the election were held today, who would you vote for?" |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Mitt
Romney (R) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
5/2-3/11 |
42 |
36 |
22 |
|
|
|
|
4/30 - 5/1/11 |
44 |
44 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
2/12-15/11 |
49 |
47 |
5 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Sarah
Palin (R) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
5/2-3/11 |
50 |
29 |
21 |
|
|
|
|
4/30 - 5/1/11 |
53 |
35 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
2/12-15/11 |
51 |
40 |
9 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Mike
Huckabee (R) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
5/2-3/11 |
42 |
38 |
21 |
|
|
|
|
4/30 - 5/1/11 |
46 |
43 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
2/12-15/11 |
46 |
46 |
8 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Donald
Trump (R) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
5/2-3/11 |
53 |
25 |
22 |
|
|
|
|
4/30 - 5/1/11 |
55 |
30 |
15 |
|
|
|
|
2/12-15/11 |
43 |
41 |
16 |
|
|
|
|
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. April 29-May 1, 2011. N=964
registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and [see below]
were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote
for: Obama, the Democrat, or [see below], the Republican?" If
unsure:
"As of today, who do you lean more toward?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Mike
Huckabee (R) |
Neither (vol.) |
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
4/29 - 5/1/11 |
53 |
45 |
1 |
1 |
- |
|
|
10/27-30/10 |
44 |
52 |
3 |
- |
1 |
|
|
4/9-11/10 |
54 |
45 |
1 |
- |
- |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Donald
Trump (R) |
Neither (vol.) |
Other
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
4/29 - 5/1/11 |
58 |
36 |
4 |
1 |
- |
|
|
USA Today/Gallup
Poll. April 20-23, 2011. N=902 registered voters nationwide. Margin of
error ± 4. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Next, I'm going to ask you about some people who may run for president in
2012. For each one, please tell me whether you will definitely vote for that
person, whether you might consider voting for that person, or whether you
will definitely not vote for that person. How about . . . ?" |
| |
|
|
|
Definitely
vote for |
Might consider
voting for |
Definitely
not vote for |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
Barack Obama |
|
|
4/20-23/11 |
31 |
23 |
46 |
- |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
|
|
4/20-23/11 |
6 |
42 |
45 |
7 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
|
|
4/20-23/11 |
7 |
39 |
46 |
8 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Donald Trump |
|
|
4/20-23/11 |
7 |
28 |
64 |
2 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
|
|
4/20-23/11 |
8 |
26 |
65 |
1 |
|
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. April 14-17, 2011. N=1,001 adults
nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2012 presidential election were being held today and the candidates
were Barack Obama, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, for
whom would you vote?" If unsure:
"Would you lean toward Obama or toward [see below]?"
Options rotated. Among registered voters, except where
indicated. |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Mike
Huckabee (R) |
Neither/
Other (vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
4/14-17/11 |
50 |
44 |
3 |
1 |
2 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Donald
Trump (R) |
Neither/
Other (vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
4/14-17/11 |
52 |
39 |
4 |
3 |
1 |
|
|
McClatchy-Marist Poll. April 10-14, 2011. N=approx. 540 registered
voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2012 presidential election were held today, whom would you support
if the candidates are Barack Obama, the Democrat, and [see below],
the Republican?" |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Mike
Huckabee (R) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
4/10-14/11 |
48 |
43 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
1/6-10/11 |
50 |
38 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
12/2-8/10 |
47 |
43 |
11 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Donald
Trump (R) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
4/10-14/11 |
54 |
38 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw &
Company Research (R). April 3-5, 2011. N=914 registered voters nationwide.
Margin of error ± 3. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2012 presidential election were held today, how would you vote if
the candidates were President Barack Obama, the Democrat, and businessman
Donald Trump, the Republican?"
Options
rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Donald
Trump (R) |
Other (vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
4/3-5/11 |
52 |
34 |
3 |
6 |
5 |
|
|
Quinnipiac University Poll. March 22-28, 2011. N=2,069 registered
voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 2.2. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2012 election for president were being held today, do you think you
would vote for Barack Obama, the Democratic candidate, or the Republican
candidate?" |
| |
|
|
|
Obama |
Republican |
Depends on
candidate
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
3/22-28/11 |
36 |
37 |
14 |
12 |
|
|
|
7/13-19/10 |
36 |
39 |
13 |
12 |
|
|
|
3/16-21/10 |
40 |
41 |
9 |
9 |
|
|
|
Fairleigh Dickinson University PublicMind. March 21-28, 2011.
N=800 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I know it's early, but let me ask: In a race for president between Barack
Obama, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, who would you
vote for?" If unsure:
"Which way do you lean?"
Options
rotated. Some matchups asked of a split sample. |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Sarah
Palin (R) |
Neither/Other
(vol.)/Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
3/21-28/11 |
54 |
34 |
12 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Mike
Huckabee (R) |
Neither/Other
(vol.)/Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
3/21-28/11
N=364 |
46 |
46 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
Newsweek/Daily Beast Poll conducted by Douglas E. Schoen LLC. Feb.
12-15, 2011. N=918 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"In thinking about the 2012 presidential election, suppose you had a choice
between Democrat Barack Obama and Republican [see below], and
independent Donald Trump. If the election were held today, who would you
vote for?" |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Mitt
Romney (R) |
Donald
Trump (I) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
2/12-15/11 |
44 |
38 |
8 |
10 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Sarah
Palin (R) |
Donald
Trump (I) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
2/12-15/11 |
48 |
21 |
20 |
12 |
|
|
|
Democracy Corps poll conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research
(D). Feb. 7-9, 2011. N=500 likely voters nationwide. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I know it's a long way off, but thinking about the presidential election in
2012, if the election for president were held today and the candidates were
Democrat Barack Obama and Republican [see below], for whom would you
vote?"
Results
include leaners. |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Mike
Huckabee (R) |
Another
candidate
(vol.) |
Unsure |
Refused |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
2/7-9/11 |
47 |
47 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw &
Company Research (R). Feb. 7-9, 2011. N=911 registered voters nationwide.
Margin of error ± 3.
2010: Conducted by Opinion Dynamics Corp. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Thinking ahead to the next presidential election, if the election were held
today, how would you vote if the candidates were Democrat Barack Obama and
Republican [see below]?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Mike
Huckabee (R) |
Other
(vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
2/7-9/11 |
49 |
41 |
2 |
2 |
6 |
|
|
9/28-29/10 |
43 |
40 |
5 |
2 |
10 |
|
|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling
organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Jan. 13-17, 2011.
N=1,000 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.1. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the next election for president were held today, and [see below]
were the Republican candidate and Barack Obama were the Democratic
candidate, for whom would you vote?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Mike
Huckabee (R) |
Depends
(vol.) |
Neither/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
1/13-17/11 |
51 |
41 |
1 |
4 |
3 |
|
|
Democracy Corps/Campaign for America's Future poll conducted by
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D). Jan. 9-12, 2011. N=500 likely voters
nationwide. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I know it's a long way off, but thinking about the presidential election in
2012, if the election for president were held today and the candidates were
Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Sarah Palin, for whom would you
vote?"
Results
include leaners. |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Sarah
Palin (R) |
Another
candidate
(vol.) |
Unsure/
Refused |
Won't vote
in 2012
(vol.) |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
1/9-12/11 |
49 |
39 |
6 |
4 |
2 |
|
|
Clarus Research Group. Dec. 10-16,
2010. N=1,000 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.1. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Turning to the 2012 election for a moment: What if the candidates for
president in the next election were Barack Obama, the Democrat, [see
below], the Republican, and Michael Bloomberg, the independent
-- which one
would you most likely vote for?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Mitt
Romney (R) |
Michael
Bloomberg (I) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
12/10-16/10 |
39 |
36 |
13 |
12 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Sarah
Palin (R) |
Michael
Bloomberg (I) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
12/10-16/10 |
42 |
31 |
18 |
9 |
|
|
|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling
organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Dec. 9-13, 2010.
N=1,000 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.1. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Now thinking ahead to the next election for president in 2012: If President
Obama runs for reelection in the year 2012, do you think you will probably
vote for President Obama or probably vote for the Republican candidate?" |
| |
|
|
|
Obama |
Republican |
Another
party (vol.) |
Depends
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
12/9-13/10 |
42 |
39 |
3 |
10 |
6 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the next election for president were held today, and [see below]
were the Republican candidate and Barack Obama were the Democratic
candidate, for whom would you vote?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Sarah
Palin (R) |
Depends
(vol.) |
Neither/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
12/9-13/10 |
55 |
33 |
1 |
9 |
2 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
John
Thune (R) |
Depends
(vol.) |
Neither/
Other (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
12/9-13/10 |
47 |
27 |
3 |
6 |
17 |
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Dec. 9-12, 2010. N=1,001 adults
nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If Michael Bloomberg were an independent candidate for president in 2012,
would you definitely vote for him, would you consider voting for him, or
would you definitely not vote for him?" |
| |
|
|
|
Definitely
vote for |
Consider
voting for |
Definitely
not vote for |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
12/9-12/10 |
2 |
46 |
43 |
10 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2012 presidential election were being held today and the candidates
were Barack Obama, the Democrat, Sarah Palin, the Republican, and Michael
Bloomberg, an independent candidate, for whom would you vote?"
Options rotated. Results include leaners. |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Sarah
Palin (R) |
Michael
Bloomberg (I) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
None (vol.)/
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
12/9-12/10 |
47 |
31 |
18 |
1 |
4 |
|
|
McClatchy-Marist Poll. Nov. 15-18, 2010. N=810 registered voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Do you want Michael Bloomberg to run for president in 2012 or not?" |
| |
|
|
|
Yes |
No |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
11/15-18/10 |
12 |
61 |
27 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2012 presidential election were held today, whom would you support
if the candidates are Barack Obama, the Democrat, Sarah Palin, the
Republican, and Michael Bloomberg, the independent?" |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Sarah
Palin (R) |
Michael
Bloomberg (I) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
11/15-18/10 |
45 |
31 |
15 |
9 |
|
|
|
9/30 - 10/5/10 |
44 |
29 |
18 |
9 |
|
|
|
2/1-3/10 |
44 |
29 |
15 |
12 |
|
|
|
Quinnipiac University Poll. Nov. 8-15, 2010. N=2,424 registered
voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 2. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Turning to the November 2012 general election for president, if the 2012
election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Barack
Obama the Democrat and [see below]
the Republican, for whom would you vote?" |
| |
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Mike
Huckabee (R) |
Someone
else (vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
11/8-15/10 |
46 |
44 |
2 |
2 |
6 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Barack
Obama (D) |
Mitch
Daniels (R) |
Someone
else (vol.) |
Wouldn't
vote (vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
11/8-15/10 |
45 |
36 |
2 |
3 |
14 |
|
General
election continued
|
