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    White House 2012: Republican Nomination  (p. 3)


.        [ STATE ELECTION POLLS are in our subscriber area. ]

 

.

Pew Research Center. Nov. 4-7, 2010. Adults nationwide.

.

"Now I am going to read you the names of some possible candidates for the REPUBLICAN nomination for president in 2012. AFTER I READ ALL THE NAMES, please tell me which one you would most like to see nominated as the Republican Party's candidate for president or if there is someone else you support." If unsure: "Well as of today, to whom do you most lean?" Options rotated. N=360 Republicans, MoE 6.5.

.

%

Mike Huckabee

19

Sarah Palin

18

Mitt Romney

17

Newt Gingrich

10

Ron Paul

9

Tim Pawlenty

6

Haley Barbour

3

Rick Santorum

1

Someone else

3

None (vol.)

5

Unsure

10

 

CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Oct. 27-30, 2010. Nationwide.

.

"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primary for president in 2012. After I read all the names, please tell me which candidate you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in the year 2012, or if you would support someone else. Former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney. Former Alaska governor Sarah Palin. Former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee. Former speaker of the House Newt Gingrich. Texas Congressman Ron Paul. Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty. Former Pennsylvania senator Rick Santorum. Indiana Congressman Mike Pence. Mississippi Governor Haley Barbour." N=500 Republicans and independents who lean Republican, MoE 4.5

.

10/27-30/10 8/6-10/10 4/9-11/10 3/19-21/10
% % % %

Mike Huckabee

21 14 24 17

Mitt Romney

20 21 20 22

Sarah Palin

14 18 15 18

Newt Gingrich

12 15 14 8

Ron Paul

7 10 8 8

Haley Barbour

3 3 1 1

Tim Pawlenty

3 3 2 5

Mike Pence

3 3 2 4

Rick Santorum

2 2 3 5

Someone else

7 6 5 8

No one (vol.)

4 - 5 2

Unsure

6 4 1 3

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. Sept. 14-16, 2010. N=369 Republican voters and Republican-leaning independent voters nationwide. MoE 5.

.

"If the 2012 Republican presidential primary were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are Mississippi Governor Haley Barbour, Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels, former Georgia congressman Newt Gingrich, former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, former Alaska governor Sarah Palin, Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty, and former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney?"

.

%

Mitt Romney

25

Sarah Palin

18

Mike Huckabee

16

Newt Gingrich

16

Tim Pawlenty

6

Mitch Daniels

4

Haley Barbour

2

Unsure

13

 

Clarus Research Group. July 26-27, 2010. N=374 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or independents who lean Republican. MoE 5.

.

"Of the following possible candidates for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination, which ONE would you now favor if you had to vote today: Lamar Alexander, Haley Barbour, Mitch Daniels, Newt Gingrich, Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, Tim Pawlenty, Mitt Romney, or John Thune?" Options rotated

.

%

Mitt Romney

26

Mike Huckabee

21

Newt Gingrich

14

Sarah Palin

12

Tim Pawlenty

3

Lamar Alexander

3

Haley Barbour

2

Mitch Daniels

1

John Thune

1

Other (vol.)

2

Unsure

15

 

Time Poll conducted by Abt SRBI. July 12-13, 2010. N=1,003 adults nationwide.

.

"I'm going to read a list of people who may be running for president in the Republican Party in 2012. Please tell me which one of these candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in the year 2012 if you had to choose today. If you would most likely support someone else, please tell me. The candidates are [see below] -- or you can name someone else." Options rotated. Among  Republicans and Republican leaners.

.

%

Mike Huckabee

19

Mitt Romney

18

Sarah Palin

14

Newt Gingrich

12

Jeb Bush

9

Tim Pawlenty

3

Mitch Daniels

2

Haley Barbour

1

Someone else (vol.)

7

Unsure

13

.

"And are there any candidates who you probably could not support for the Republican nomination? . . ." Read names again, if necessary, omitting choice from above. Multiple responses accepted. Among  Republicans and Republican leaners.

.

%

Sarah Palin

22

Newt Gingrich

8

Jeb Bush

7

Mitt Romney

7

Mike Huckabee

4

Haley Barbour

3

Mitch Daniels

2

Tim Pawlenty

2

Someone else (vol.)

3

Unsure

53

 

Clarus Research Group. March 17-20, 2010. Registered voters nationwide.

.

"If the following candidates were seeking the next Republican presidential nomination, which ONE would you now most likely favor: [see below]?" N=415 Republicans and independents who lean Republican

.

%

Mitt Romney

29

Mike Huckabee

19

Sarah Palin

18

Newt Gingrich

13

Jeb Bush

8

John Thune

1

Mitch Daniels

1

Other (vol.)

2

Unsure

10

 

Gallup Poll. Feb. 1-3, 2010. Nationwide.

.

"Just off the top of your head, which Republican would you most like to see as the party's candidate for president in the 2012 election?" Open-ended. N=490 Republicans and Republican leaners, MoE 5.

.

%

Mitt Romney

14

Sarah Palin

11

John McCain

7

Scott Brown

4

Mike Huckabee

3

Newt Gingrich

3

Ron Paul

2

Tim Pawlenty

1

Bob McDonnell

1

Fred Thompson

1

Bobby Jindal

1

Other

10

None (vol.)

6

Unsure

36

 

Washington Post Poll. Nov. 19-23, 2009. N=804 Republicans and Republican-leaning nonpartisans nationwide.

.

"If the 2012 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, for whom would you vote?"

.

%

.

Sarah Palin

17

.

Mike Huckabee

10

.

Mitt Romney

9

.

John McCain

7

.

Newt Gingrich

2

.

Bobby Jindal

1

.

Ron Paul

1

.

Rudy Giuliani

1

.

Tim Pawlenty

1

.

Other

8

.

No one

12

.

Wouldn't vote

2

.

Unsure

28

.


 

USA Today/Gallup Poll. Oct. 31-Nov. 1, 2009. N=1,021 adults nationwide. MoE 4. Per Gallup: "These questions were asked of random half-samples for two nights of Gallup Daily polling, which interviews 1,000 U.S. adults each night."

.

"Next, I'm going to read you a list of possible Republican candidates in the 2012 presidential election. Please tell me whether you would, or would not, seriously consider supporting each for president. How about . . . ?"

.

Would Would not Unsure

.

% % %

.

.

Former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee

ALL

40 51 10

.

Republicans

71

.

.

.

Independents

40

.

.

.

Democrats

18

.

.

.

.

Former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney

ALL

39 51 11

.

Republicans

65

.

.

.

Independents

40

.

.

.

Democrats

20

.

.

.

.

Former Alaska governor Sarah Palin

ALL

33 63 5

.

Republicans

65

.

.

.

Independents

32

.

.

.

Democrats

10

.

.

.

.

Former House speaker Newt Gingrich

ALL

29 63 9

.

Republicans

60

.

.

.

Independents

28

.

.

.

Democrats

8

.

.

.

.

Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty

ALL

18 60 22

.

Republicans

32

.

.

.

Independents

17

.

.

.

Democrats

11

.

.

.

.

Mississippi Governor Haley Barbour

ALL

15 65 21

.

Republicans

26

.

.

.

Independents

15

.

.

.

Democrats

7

.

.

.

.

"Please tell me whether you think each of the following people is or is not qualified to be president. How about . . . ?"

.

Is Is not Unsure

.

% % %

.

.

Former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee

ALL

50 36 14

.

Republicans

72

.

.

.

Independents

48

.

.

.

Democrats

38

.

.

.

.

Former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney

ALL

49 39 12

.

Republicans

71

.

.

.

Independents

45

.

.

.

Democrats

37

.

.

.

.

Former House speaker Newt Gingrich

ALL

44 46 10

.

Republicans

68

.

.

.

Independents

39

.

.

.

Democrats

32

.

.

.

.

Former Alaska governor Sarah Palin

ALL

31 62 7

.

Republicans

58

.

.

.

Independents

28

.

.

.

Democrats

14

.

.

.

.

Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty

ALL

25 51 25

.

Republicans

33

.

.

.

Independents

23

.

.

.

Democrats

21

.

.

.

.

Mississippi Governor Haley Barbour

ALL

18 57 26

.

Republicans

27

.

.

.

Independents

15

.

.

.

Democrats

12

.

.

.


 

CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Oct. 16-18, 2009. N=462 Republicans nationwide. MoE 4.5.

.

"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primary for president in 2012. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in the year 2012, or if you would support someone else. Former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee. Former Alaska governor Sarah Palin. Former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney. Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty." Options rotated

.

%

.

Mike Huckabee

32

.

Sarah Palin

25

.

Mitt Romney

21

.

Tim Pawlenty

5

.

Someone else

10

.

No one (vol.)

5

.

Unsure

1

.


 

Clarus Research Group. Aug. 14-18, 2009. N=353 Republicans and independents who lean Republican nationwide.

.

"Of the following possible candidates for the next Republican presidential nomination, which one would you now most likely favor: [see below]?"

.

%

Mitt Romney

30

Mike Huckabee

22

Sarah Palin

18

Newt Gingrich

15

Bobby Jindal

4

Someone else (vol.)

2

Unsure

10

 

Marist College Marist Poll. Aug. 3-6, 2009. N=310 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. MoE 5.5.

.

"If the 2012 Republican presidential primary were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?"

.

%

Mitt Romney

21

Sarah Palin

20

Mike Huckabee

19

Newt Gingrich

10

Bobby Jindal

5

Tim Pawlenty

1

Unsure

24

 

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. July 21-22, 2009. N=303 Republican voters nationwide. MoE 6.

.

"I'm going to read a list of potential candidates for the 2012 Republican nomination. Please tell me which one you would like to see as the Republican presidential nominee. . . ." Options rotated

.

.

7/21-22/09 5/12-13/09

.

% %

.

Mitt Romney

22 18

.

Mike Huckabee

21 20

.

Sarah Palin

17 13

.

Rudy Giuliani

13 12

.

Newt Gingrich

9 14

.

Bobby Jindal

3 3

.

Jeb Bush

1 3

.

Tim Pawlenty

1 n/a

.

Mark Sanford

- 4

.

Someone else (vol.)

1 3

.

Too soon to say (vol.)

10 7

.

Unsure

2 4

.


 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. July 15-18, 2009. N=1,001 adults nationwide. Results below are among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents.

.

"If the 2012 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?"

.

%

.

Mike Huckabee

26

.

Mitt Romney

21

.

Sarah Palin

19

.

Newt Gingrich

10

.

Tim Pawlenty

4

.

Jeb Bush

3

.

Haley Barbour

1

.

Bobby Jindal (vol.)

2

.

Other (vol.)

2

.

None of these (vol.)

5

.

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

1

.

Unsure

6

.


 

Gallup Poll. July 10-12, 2009. N=455 Republicans and Republican leaners nationwide. MoE 5.

.

"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in 2012. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2012, or if you would support someone else: Mississippi Governor Haley Barbour, former speaker of the House Newt Gingrich, former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, Alaska Governor Sarah Palin, Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty, former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney." Options rotated

.

%

.

Mitt Romney

26

.

Sarah Palin

21

.

Mike Huckabee

19

.

Newt Gingrich

14

.

Tim Pawlenty

3

.

Haley Barbour

2

.

Other (vol.)

4

.

Any/All/None (vol.)

3

.

Unsure

7

.


 

CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. May 14-17, 2009. N=448 Republicans nationwide. MoE 4.5.

.

"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primary for president in 2012. After I read all the names, please tell me which candidate you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in the year 2012, or if you would support someone else. Former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, Alaska Governor Sarah Palin, former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney, former speaker of the House Newt Gingrich, former Florida governor Jeb Bush." Options rotated

.

%

.

Mike Huckabee

22

.

Sarah Palin

21

.

Mitt Romney

21

.

Newt Gingrich

13

.

Jeb Bush

6

.

Someone else

10

.

No one (vol.)

3

.

Unsure

4

.


 

CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Feb. 18-19, 2009. N=429 Republicans nationwide. MoE 4.5.

.

"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primary for president in 2012. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in the year 2012, or if you would support someone else. Alaska Governor Sarah Palin. Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee. Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney. Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal."

.

%

.

Sarah Palin

29

.

Mike Huckabee

26

.

Mitt Romney

21

.

Bobby Jindal

9

.

Someone else

10

.

None/No one (vol.)

4

.

Unsure

2

.


 

CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Dec. 1-2, 2008. N=460 Republicans nationwide. MoE 4.5.

.

"I'm going to read you the names of a few people who might run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2012. For each one, please tell me whether you would be very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, or not likely at all to support them if they decided to run for the Republican nomination four years from now. . . ."

.

Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Not likely at all Unsure
% % % % %

.

Former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani

12/1-2/08

23 34 24 18 -

.

Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal

12/1-2/08

19 25 33 16 7

.

Florida Governor Charlie Crist

12/1-2/08

7 25 40 20 7

 

CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Oct. 30-Nov. 1, 2008. N=950 registered voters nationwide. MoE 3.

.

"If John McCain is NOT elected president in November, would you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose Sarah Palin if she ran for president four years from now?"

.

Strongly
support
Somewhat
support
Somewhat
oppose
Strongly
oppose
Unsure
% % % % %

ALL

22 18 13 46 1

Democrats

3 7 10 78 1

Independents

20 21 16 42 1

Republicans

46 31 13 9 1

 

Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Oct. 22-23, 2008. Registered Republicans and Republican leaners nationwide, from a total sample of 1,092 registered voters.

.

"Thinking ahead to the next presidential election: If John McCain is not elected president in November, would you like to see Sarah Palin run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2012, or not?"

.

Yes No Unsure

.

% % %

.

10/22-23/08

44 38 18

.

.

"If John McCain is not elected president, which one of the following three possible candidates would you be most likely to support for the Republican presidential nomination in 2012: [see below]?" Options rotated

.

Mitt Romney Mike Huckabee Sarah Palin Someone
else (vol.)
Unsure
% % % % %

10/22-23/08

35 26 20 10 9

 


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