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White House 2000: General Election (Archive)
All data are from nationwide surveys of Americans 18 & older.


 

1998-99 Trial Heats

.

Al
Gore (D)
George W.
Bush (R)
Other/
Not
Sure
% % % N MoE
ABC News Poll
10/28-31/99 39 55 6 1,205 +/- 3
8/19-22/99 37 49 13 1,031 +/- 3
10/23-25/98 34 45 21 951

.

ABC News/Washington Post Poll
12/12-15/99 39 55 6 1,006 +/- 3
8/30 - 9/2/99 38 56 7 RV
6/9-13/99 36 53 10 1,045 +/- 3
3/11-14/99 42 54 4 RV
2/12-14/99 40 50 11 RV
8/19-21/98 41 43 15 1,015 +/- 3
1/15-19/98 35 40 25 1,206 +/- 3

.

American Association of Health Plans poll conducted by Ayres, McHenry & Associates
9/22-23/99 35 50 15 1,000RV +/- 3.2

.

American Viewpoint (R)
9/15-21/99 37 48 15 1,000RV +/- 3.2

.

CBS News Poll
10/28-30/99 37 52 11 901RV
9/29 - 10/3/99 35 52 13 1,346RV

.

CBS News/New York Times Poll
12/13-16/99 39 51 10 1,264RV +/- 3
11/4-7/99 41 50 9 953RV +/- 3

.

CNN/Time Poll conducted by Yankelovich Partners
11/10-11/99 42 52 6 1,021 +/- 3
9/21-23/99 41 53 6 1,011 +/- 3
8/19/99 37 54 9 942 +/- 3.3
7/14-15/99 38 56 6 1,017
6/9-10/99 42 55 3 1,031
5/26-27/99 41 54 5 1,017
3/25/99 40 54 6 1,049
3/4/99 41 52 7 1,071
1/7/99 46 49 5 1,067

.

Dallas Morning News/Belo Poll conducted by Blum & Weprin Associates
7/12-14/99 32 47 21 502RV +/- 4.5

.

Democracy Corps (D) conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Research
11/29 - 12/1/99 42 55 4 989LV +/- 3.1
10/5-12/99 40 57 4 1,000LV +/- 3.1

.

EMILY's List poll conducted by Garin-Hart-Yang (D) and Lake, Snell, Perry & Associates (D)
12/7-14/99 36 45 19 LV

.

Fabrizio, McLaughlin & Associates (R)
9/21-27/98 38 50 11 1,000RV

.

Fox News/Opinion Dynamics Poll
12/6-7/99 36 53 11 902RV +/- 3
11/17-18/99 33 55 12 900RV +/- 3
11/3-4/99 33 56 11 900RV +/- 3
10/20-21/99 32 56 12 904RV +/- 3
9/22-23/99 35 52 13 900RV +/- 3
8/25-26/99 34 52 14 902RV +/- 3
8/11-12/99 29 56 15 903RV +/- 3
7/14-15/99 33 54 13 900RV +/- 3
6/23-24/99 33 57 10 908RV +/- 3
6/2-3/99 28 60 12 924RV +/- 3
5/5-6/99 33 56 11 901RV +/- 3
4/7-8/99 32 58 10 921RV +/- 3
3/10-11/99 30 59 11 900RV +/- 3
2/12-13/99 34 55 11 938RV +/- 3
9/16-17/98 32 50 18 901RV +/- 3
6/30 - 7/1/98 38 45 17 900RV +/- 3
5/20-21/98 38 51 11 914RV +/- 3
3/10-11/98 37 50 13 901RV +/- 3
.

.

The Gallup Poll
When Bush is identified as "Texas Governor George W. Bush":
9/23-26/99 37 55 8 1,039 +/- 3
3/5-7/99 41 56 3 1,021 +/- 3
2/19-21/99 43 54 3 500
.

.

When Bush is identified as "Texas Governor George W. Bush, the son of former President George Bush":
2/19-21/99 41 56 3 500

.

Gallup/CNN/USA Today Poll
When Bush is identified as "Texas Governor George W. Bush":
12/20-21/99 42 53 5 892RV +/- 4
12/9-12/99 42 55 3 899RV +/- 4
11/18-21/99 40 56 4 854RV +/- 4
11/4-7/99 40 55 5 1,011 +/- 3
10/21-24/99 43 52 5 1,005 +/- 3
10/8-10/99 40 56 4 976 +/- 3
9/10-14/99 39 56 5 1,698 +/- 3
9/10-14/99 40 56 4 948LV +/- 4
8/16-18/99 41 55 4 1,028 +/- 3
7/16-18/99 38 55 7 1,031 +/- 3
6/25-27/99 41 56 3 1,016 +/- 3
6/4-5/99 40 56 4 1,053 +/- 3
5/23-24/99 40 54 6 1,050 +/- 3
4/30 - 5/2/99 40 56 4 1,014 +/- 3
4/13-14/99 38 59 3 1,069 +/- 3
3/12-14/99 41 56 3 1,025 +/- 3
1/8-10/99 47 48 5 1,014 +/- 3
5/8-10/98 46 50 4 1,005 +/- 3
.

.

When Bush is identified as "Texas Governor George W. Bush, the son of former President George Bush":
10/23-25/98 39 57 4 1,013

.

Gonzales/Arscott Research & Communications
8/6-14/99 37 55 8 1,109LV +/- 3
.

.

The Harris Poll
5/14-19/99 34 53 12 LV
.

.

The Los Angeles Times Poll
11/13-18/99 40 55 5 1,430RV
1/27-29/99 39 57 4 817RV
.

.

Luntz Research (R)
9/7-9/99 37 54 8 696LV +/- 3.8
.

.

Marist College Poll
10/18-20/99 39 53 8 761RV +/- 3.5
4/99 39 53 8
1/25-26/99 42 53 5 700RV
10/98 40 52 8 RV
4/98 41 45 14 RV
.

.

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Robert Teeter (R)
12/9-12/99 39 50 11 2,014 +/- 2.2
10/23-25/99 39 49 12 1,003 +/- 3.2
9/9-12/99 35 52 13 1,010 +/- 3.2
7/24-26/99 37 50 13 1,007 +/- 3.2
6/16-19/99 36 51 13 2,011
4/17-19/99 35 53 12 1,006 +/- 3.2
3/4-7/99 34 52 14 1,000 +/- 3.2
12/3-6/98 40 50 10 1,050
10/24-27/98 40 48 12 1,025RV
9/10-13/98 39 49 12 2,005
6/18-21/98 40 44 16 2,006
4/18-20/98 41 44 15 1,004
9/97 45 39 16 1,000
.

.

Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates
11/18-19/99 43 49 8 580RV +/- 4
10/28-29/99 39 53 8 630RV +/- 4
10/21-22/99 40 49 11 593RV +/- 5
6/10-11/99 38 54 8 625RV
5/14/99 42 51 7 431RV
5/6-7/99 36 54 10 544RV
4/21-22/99 41 48 11 609RV
3/4-5/99 36 57 7 618RV
1/28-29/99 43 45 12 751

.

Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates
12/8-12/99 40 55 5 745RV +/- 4
10//99 44 51 5 RV
9/1-12/99 39 54 7 867RV
7/13-18/99 42 53 5 875RV
3/24-30/99 41 54 5 1,324RV
1/14-17/99 44 50 6 472RV
8/27 - 9/8/98 40 53 7 1,164RV

.

Republican Leadership Council Poll conducted by Greg Strimple & Associates (R)
2/1-3/99 37 49 13 600 LV

.

Research 2000 for news media clients
5/5-7/99 42 49 9 813LV

.

Schroth & Associates (D)
4/5-9/99 33 57 12 800LV

.

Tarrance Group (R)/Lake Snell Perry & Associates (D) "Battleground" Survey
6/6-8/99 37 53 11 1,000LV

.

U.S. News & World Report Poll conducted by the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Snell Perry & Associates (D)
10/25-28/99 35 57 8 1,000LV +/- 3.1

.

The Washington Post Poll
10/27-31/99 39 51 10 RV
10/13-17/99 37 52 11 RV
6/5-6/99 40 54 6 RV
2/12-14/99 40 50 11 RV

.

Zogby International "America Poll" and Reuters/WHDH-TV/Zogby Poll
11/5-8/99 40 50 10 1,001LV +/- 3.2
10/23-25/99 37 52 11 1,017LV +/- 3.2
9/6-8/99 36 50 14 1,004LV +/- 3.2
6/17-19/99 37 55 8 1,006LV +/- 3.2
4/5-7/99 37 53 11 916LV
3/4-7/99 37 55 8 908LV
2/15-17/99 38 54 7 756LV
12/10-13/98 34 56 10 1,003LV +/- 3.2

.

RV = registered voters
LV = likely voters

 

Al Gore
(D)
George
W. Bush (R)
Pat
Buchanan
(Reform)
Not
Sure
% % % % N MoE
ABC News Poll
10/28-31/99 37 50 8 6 1,205 +/- 3

.

American Association of Health Plans poll conducted by Ayres, McHenry & Associates
9/22-23/99 32 44 9 15 1,000RV +/- 3.2

.

American Viewpoint (R)
9/15-21/99 36 45 8 11 1,000RV +/- 3.2

.

CBS News/New York Times Poll
11/4-7/99 40 46 6 8 953RV

.

CNN/Time Poll conducted by Yankelovich Partners
9/21-23/99 36 48 8 8 1,011 +/- 3
7/14-15/99 38 48 9 5 1,017 +/- 3

.

Democracy Corps (D) conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Research
11/29 - 12/1/99 40 52 5 3 989LV +/- 3.1
10/5-12/99 38 52 7 3 1,000LV +/- 3.1

.

Fox News/Opinion Dynamics Poll
10/20-21/99 33 50 6 11 904RV +/- 3
9/22-23/99 33 46 9 12 900RV +/- 3

.

The Gallup Poll
9/23-26/99 37 49 9 5 1,039 +/- 3

.

Gallup/CNN/USA Today Poll
10/21-24/99 42 48 5 5 493 +/- 5
10/8-10/99 38 51 9 2 976 +/- 3

.

The Los Angeles Times Poll
11/13-18/99 37 49 9 5 1,430RV

.

Luntz Research (R)
9/7-9/99 35 53 7 5 696LV +/- 3.8

.

Marist College Poll
10/18-20/99 36 49 6 9 761RV +/- 3.5

.

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Robert Teeter (R)
12/9-12/99 38 47 6 9 2,014 +/- 2.2
10/23-25/99 38 44 6 12 500 +/- 4.5
9/9-12/99 34 47 8 11 1,010 +/- 3.2

.

Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates
10/28-29/99 39 46 7 8 630RV +/- 4
10/1/99 38 46 8 8 400RV +/- 5

.

Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates
9/1-12/99 35 49 10 6 867RV +/- 4

.

Schroth & Associates (D)
8/15-17/99 35 39 16 10 1,000LV +/- 3

.

U.S. News & World Report Poll conducted by the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Snell Perry & Associates (D)
10/25-28/99 35 54 5 6 1,000LV

+/- 3.1

.

Zogby International "America Poll" and Reuters/WHDH-TV/Zogby Poll
11/5-8/99 40 45 6 9 1,001 +/- 3.2

.

LV = likely voters
RV = registered voters

 

Al Gore
(D)
George
W. Bush (R)
Jesse
Ventura
*
Not
Sure
% % % % N MoE
American Association of Health Plans poll conducted by Ayres, McHenry & Associates
9/22-23/99 31 44 11 14 1,000RV +/- 3.2
.
CNN/Time Poll conducted by Yankelovich Partners
7/14-15/99 33 45 17 5 1,017 +/- 3
.
Fox News/Opinion Dynamics Poll
9/22-23/99 32 47 9 12 900RV +/- 3
8/11-12/99 25 50 13 12 903RV +/- 3
5/5-6/99 30 50 9 11 901RV +/- 3
.
Gallup/CNN/USA Today Poll
7/16-18/99 34 50 13 3 1,031 +/- 3
.
Gonzales/Arscott Research & Communications
8/6-14/99 32 48 14 6 1,109LV +/- 3
.
Luntz Research (R)
9/7-9/99 33 52 9 6 696LV +/- 3.8
.
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Robert Teeter (R)
12/9-12/99 37 44 10 9 1,000 +/- 3.2
7/24-26/99 32 44 12 12 1,007 +/- 3.2
.
Schroth & Associates (D)
8/15-17/99 34 43 12 11 1,000LV +/- 3
4/5-9/99 31 40 27 2 800LV
.

.

Zogby International "America Poll"
3/4-7/99 33 47 11 9 908LV
.

.

* Ventura was identified as
the Reform Party nominee.
RV = registered voters
LV = likely voters

 

Al
Gore (D)
John
McCain (R)
Not
Sure
% % % N MoE
ABC News Poll
10/28-31/99 51 38 11 1,205 +/- 3
.

.

ABC News/Washington Post Poll
12/12-15/99 47 44 9 1,006 +/- 3
.

.

CBS News/New York Times Poll
12/13-16/99 42 40 18 1,264RV +/- 3
11/4-7/99 47 36 17 953RV +/- 3
.

.

CNN/Time Poll conducted by Yankelovich Partners
11/10-11/99 51 37 12 1,021 +/- 3
.

.

Fox News/Opinion Dynamics Poll
12/6-7/99 42 41 17 902RV +/- 3
11/17-18/99 38 41 21 900RV +/- 3
11/3-4/99 41 40 19 900RV +/- 3
3/10-11/99 44 30 26 900RV +/- 3
5/20-21/98 43 25 32 914RV +/- 3

.

Gallup/CNN/USA Today Poll
12/20-21/99 47 47 6 892RV +/- 4
12/9-12/99 44 52 4 899RV +/- 4
4/13-14/99 50 43 7 1,069
.

.

The Los Angeles Times Poll
11/13-18/99 47 42 11 715RV
.

.

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Robert Teeter (R)
12/9-12/99 40 40 20 1,000 +/- 3.2
10/23-25/99 43 36 21 500 +/- 4.5
.

.

Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates
10/28-29/99 46 38 16 630RV +/- 4
.

.

Zogby International "America Poll" and Reuters/WHDH-TV/Zogby Poll
11/5-8/99 42 41 17 1,001LV +/- 3.2
10/23-25/99 40 42 18 1,017LV +/- 3.2
9/6-8/99 43 33 24 1,004LV +/- 3.2
.

.

RV = registered voters
LV = likely voters

 

Al
Gore (D)
John
McCain
(R)
Pat
Buchanan
(Reform)
Not
Sure
% % % % N
The Los Angeles Times Poll
11/13-18/99 44 36 11 9 715RV

.

RV = registered voters

 

Al Gore/
Bill Bradley (D)
George
W. Bush/
Elizabeth
Dole (R)
Not
Sure
% % % N MoE
Fox News/Opinion Dynamics Poll
9/22-23/99 35 55 10 900RV +/- 3
.

.

RV = registered voters

 

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