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White House 2000

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The Candidates
Vice President

Miscellaneous Questions:

Probing candidates' pasts. Clinton's way or a new direction? Are you better off? Presidential debates. A third-party candidate? The primary process. Does it matter?

Democratic Nomination
Republican Nomination
Third Party Nomination


 

Presidential Debates

Gallup/CNN/USA Today Poll. Oct. 17, 2000. N=522 registered voters nationwide who watched the Oct. 17 presidential debate. Respondents were first interviewed Oct. 11-16. MoE +/- 5.

.

"Regardless of which candidate you happen to support, who do you think did the better job in the debate: [rotate] Al Gore or George W. Bush?"
%
Al Gore 46
George W. Bush 44
Both/Equally (vol.) 10

.

"How would you rate the job Al Gore did in the debate tonight: excellent, good, only fair, or poor? ... How would you rate the job George W. Bush did in the debate tonight: excellent, good, only fair, or poor?"
Gore Bush
% %
Excellent 28 24
Good 49 47
Only fair 19 24
Poor 4 4

.

"Thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say whether you think each one better described Al Gore or George W. Bush during tonight’s debate. 
Gore Bush Both
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Not
Sure
% % % % %
"Was more likeable" 31 60 6 2 1

.

"Agreed with you more on the issues you care about"
45 51 2 1 1

.

"Expressed himself more clearly"
57 33 8 1 1

.

"Was more believable"
41 52 5 1 1

.

"Was more in touch with the average voter"
45 47 5 1 2

 

ABC News Poll. Oct. 17, 2000. Conducted among a random-sample panel of 507 registered voters nationwide who watched the Oct. 17 debate. Respondents were initially interviewed Oct. 12-15. MoE ± 4.5. Fieldwork by TNS Intersearch.

.

"Who, in your opinion, won the debate?"
ALL Men Women
% % %
Al Gore 41 34 47
George W. Bush 41 46 35
Tie 14 17 12
No opinion 4 3 6

.

Presidential Preference, among debate-viewers:
10/17 10/12-15
% %
Bush/Cheney (R) 53 53
Gore/Lieberman (D) 42 40
Nader/LaDuke (Green) 2 3
Buchanan/Foster (Reform) 1 1
Other 0 0
Undecided 2 2

 

Gallup/CNN/USA Today Poll. Oct. 11, 2000. N=529 registered voters nationwide who watched the Oct. 11 presidential debate. Respondents were first interviewed Oct. 5-10. MoE +/- 5.

.

"Regardless of which candidate you happen to support, who do you think did the better job in the debate: [rotate] Al Gore or George W. Bush?"
%
George W. Bush 49
Al Gore 36
Neither (vol.) 1
Both/Equally (vol.) 13
No opinion 1

.

"How would you rate the job Al Gore did in the debate tonight: excellent, good, only fair, or poor? ... How would you rate the job George W. Bush did in the debate tonight: excellent, good, only fair, or poor?"
Gore Bush
% %
Excellent 18 29
Good 54 51
Only fair 25 18
Poor 3 2

.

"Thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say whether you think each one better described Al Gore or George W. Bush during tonight’s debate. 
Gore Bush Both
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Not
Sure
% % % % %
"Was more likeable" 31 56 10 2 1

.

"Agreed with you more on the issues you care about"
43 52 4 1 -

.

"Expressed himself more clearly"
47 39 13 - 1

.

"Was more believable"
38 51 9 2 -

 

ABC News Poll. Oct. 11, 2000. Conducted among a random-sample panel of 491 registered voters nationwide who watched the Oct. 11 debate. Respondents were initially interviewed Oct. 6-9. MoE ± 4.5. Fieldwork by TNS Intersearch.

.

"Who, in your opinion, won the debate?"
ALL Men Women
% % %
George W. Bush 46 50 41
Al Gore 30 24 37
Tie 18 19 16
No opinion 7 7 6

.

Presidential Preference, among debate-viewers:
10/11 10/6-9
% %
Bush/Cheney (R) 54 52
Gore/Lieberman (D) 41 42
Nader/LaDuke (Green) 2 2
Buchanan/Foster (Reform) 1 1
Other 1 1
Undecided 1 2

 

ABC News Poll. Oct. 3, 2000. Conducted among a random-sample panel of 491 registered voters nationwide who watched the Oct. 3 debate. Respondents were initially interviewed Sept. 28-Oct. 1. MoE ± 4.5. Fieldwork by TNS Intersearch.

.

"Who, in your opinion, won the debate?"
ALL Men Women
% % %
Al Gore 42 32 52
George W. Bush 39 45 33
Tie 13 18 9
No opinion 5 5 6

.

Presidential Preference, among debate-viewers:
10/3 9/28-
10/1
% %
Bush/Cheney (R) 49 48
Gore/Lieberman (D) 45 45
Nader/LaDuke (Green) 2 3
Buchanan/Foster (Reform) 1 1
Other - 1
Undecided 2 2

 

Gallup/CNN/USA Today Poll. Oct. 3, 2000. N=435 registered voters nationwide who watched the Oct. 3 presidential debate. MoE +/- 5.

.

"Regardless of which candidate you happen to support, who do you think did the better job in the debate: [rotate] Al Gore or George W. Bush?"
%
Al Gore 48
George W. Bush 41
Neither (vol.) 2
Both/Equally (vol.) 8
No opinion 1

.

"How would you rate the job Al Gore did in the debate tonight: excellent, good, only fair, or poor? ... How would you rate the job George W. Bush did in the debate tonight: excellent, good, only fair, or poor?"
Gore Bush
% %
Excellent 25 20
Good 51 50
Only fair 20 27
Poor 4 3

.

"As a result of tonight's debate, have you changed your vote from one presidential candidate to another?"
%
Yes 3
No 96
No opinion 1

.

"Based on your impressions of Al Gore from the debate, are you more confident that he can handle the job of being president, less confident, or has your confidence in Gore not changed much? ... Based on your impressions of George W. Bush from the debate, are you more confident that he can handle the job of being president, less confident, or has your confidence in Bush not changed much?"
Gore Bush
% %
More confident 33 40
Less confident 15 20
No change 50 38
Never had confidence (vol.) 1 1
No opinion 1 1

 

Marist College Poll. Sept. 27-28 & Oct. 1, 2000. N=588 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 4.5.

.

"Do you plan on watching the presidential debate this Tuesday night between George W. Bush and Al Gore, or not?"
%
Yes 76
No 18
Undecided 6

.

"Who do you expect will win the presidential debate this Tuesday night: George W. Bush or Al Gore?"
%
Bush 32
Gore 38
Undecided 30

.

Asked of those who plan to watch the debate:
"How much will the presidential debate matter to you when deciding whom to vote for president: a great deal, somewhat, not very much, or not at all?"
Debate
Watchers
%
A great deal 24
Somewhat 31
Not very much 20
Not at all 25

.

"Do you want the Green Party candidate Ralph Nader and the Reform Party candidate Pat Buchanan to be included in this Tuesday night's presidential debate?"
%
Yes 53
No 37
Other (vol.) 1
Undecided 9

 

Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates. Sept. 27-29, 2000. N=1,002 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.

.

"The presidential debates begin next week. Regardless of which candidate you now support, who do you think has better debating skills, including the use of language, command of information, and ability to relate to an audience: [rotate] Al Gore or George W. Bush?"
ALL Repub-
licans
Demo-
crats
Indepen-
dents
% % % %
Gore 49 31 70 45
Bush 29 44 13 31
Same (vol.) 8 10 7 9
Neither (vol.) 2 2 1 3
Don't know 12 13 9 12

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Sept. 4-6, 2000. N=1,065 registered voters nationwide. MoE +/- 3. Field work by TNS Intersearch.

.

"Do you think the presidential debates this fall should be between Bush and Gore; or between Bush, Gore, Nader and Buchanan?"
9/00
(Registered
Voters)
7/00
(All Adults)
% %
Bush and Gore 59 49
Bush, Gore, Nader and Buchanan 38 44
Both ways (vol.) 1 1
Bush, Gore and Nader (vol.) 1 1
Bush, Gore and Buchanan (vol.) - 1
No opinion 1 4

 

Fox News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. July 12-13, 2000. N=900 registered voters nationwide. MoE +/- 3.

.

"The National Commission on Presidential Debates decided to include only candidates who receive at least 15% of the vote in major national opinion polls in this fall’s presidential debates. Which of the following comes closer to your opinion on this issue? Any candidate who is on enough state ballots to actually win the presidency should be allowed to participate in the debates. OR, Only candidates who have achieved a certain level of support should be allowed to participate in the debates."
%
Anyone on enough state ballots 50
Only if achieve a certain level of support 39
Not sure 11

.

"Some people say that while there should be a cutoff for letting candidates into the presidential debates, 15% is too high and the limit should be 5% instead. Would you favor or oppose lowering the limit to 5%?"
%
Favor 45
Oppose 40
Not sure 15

.

"Regardless of what the limit is, do you think Ralph Nader and Pat Buchanan should be in the presidential debates or not?"
%
Should be 64
Should not be 25
One should (vol.) 3
Not sure 8

.

"Do you think the presidential debates would be more interesting or less interesting if Ralph Nader and Pat Buchanan were allowed to participate?"
%
More interesting 73
Less interesting 17
Same (vol.) 4
Not sure 6

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Robert Teeter (R). Jan. 25-26, 2000. N=505 adults nationwide.

.

"As you may know, the commission that sponsors presidential debates has said that the Reform Party candidates will not be able to participate in presidential debates with the Democratic and Republican candidates this fall unless they earn 15% of the vote in national news polls preceding the debates. Do you think that Reform Party candidates should or should not have to meet this requirement to participate in presidential debates?"
%
Should have to 41
Should not 51
Not sure 8

 


 

Probing Candidates' Pasts

CNN/Time Poll conducted by Yankelovich Partners. Latest: Aug. 19, 1999. N=942 adults nationwide. MoE ± 3.3.

.

"Now I'd like you to think about all the candidates running for president in the year 2000. Do you think that a presidential candidate should or should not have to answer questions about each of the following? Please keep in mind that they are not meant to describe any particular candidate. . . ."
Should Should
Not
Not
Sure
% % %
"Whether they had cheated on their taxes in the past."
8/99 67 29 4
6/99 78 20 2

.

"Whether they had not paid taxes on domestic help in the past."
8/99 65 30 5
6/99 70 27 3

.

"Whether they had used cocaine in the past."
8/99 48 49 3
6/99 60 38 2

.

"Whether they had an alcohol problem in the past."
8/99 47 49 4
6/99 60 38 2

.

"Whether they had used marijuana in the past."
8/99 35 63 2
6/99 43 55 2

.

"Whether they had an extramarital affair in the past."
8/99 25 71 4
6/99 30 68 2

 


Policy Direction

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Robert Teeter (R). Latest: Aug. 10-11, 2000. N=802 registered voters nationwide. MoE +/- 3.6.

.

"Which one of the following statements do you agree with more? (A) After eight years of the Clinton-Gore Administration, it's time for a change. OR, (B) With the nation at peace and the economy as strong as it is, we should continue with the Democrats in the White House."

8/00 7/00 6/00
% % %
A. Time for a change 47 47 47
B. Continue with the Democrats 46 45 46
Some of both (vol.) 3 4 2
Not sure 4 4 5

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Latest: Aug. 4-6, 2000. N=1,205 adults nationwide. MoE ± 3.

.

"Which of these two statements comes closest to your own views? (A) After eight years of Bill Clinton, we need to elect a president who can set the nation in a new direction. (B) We need to keep the country moving in the direction Bill Clinton has been taking us."
8/00 7/00 2/00 1/00 10/99
% % % % %
New direction 48 46 48 44 47
Clinton direction 44 49 49 53 48
In between (vol.) 2 2 1 1 3
Neither (vol.) 4 1 - 2 1
No opinion 2 2 1 1 1

 

Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates. August 3-4, 2000. N=817 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 4.

.

"Regardless of which presidential candidate you now support, in general, would you like to see the next president continue with Bill Clinton's policies, or change direction from Clinton's policies?"
8/3-4 7/27-28
% %
Continue 39 41
Change 50 48
Don't know 11 11

 

Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates. Feb. 9-14, 2000. N=1,330 adults nationwide. MoE ± 3.5.

.

"Looking ahead to the next presidential election, would you like to see a president who offers policies and programs similar to those of the Clinton Administration, OR would you like to see a president who offers different policies and programs?"
2/00 8/99 6/99 2/99
% % % %
Similar 41 43 43 54
Different 51 50 50 41
Don't know 8 7 7 5

 


Are You Better Off?

Gallup/CNN/USA Today Poll. Jan. 7-10, 2000. N=1,633 adults nationwide. MoE ± 3.

.

"Now here are some questions that ask you to compare the situation today with what it was in 1992 -- eight years ago. Are you better off than you were eight years ago, or not?"
%
Better off 73
Not better off 19
Just as well off (vol.) 7
No opinion 1

.

"Is America as respected throughout the world as it was eight years ago, or not?"
%
As respected 40
Not as respected 54
No opinion 6

 


A Third-Party Candidate?

Gallup/CNN/USA Today Poll. July 16-18, 1999. N=1,031 adults nationwide.

.

Form A (N=513; MoE +/- 5):
"If Al Gore and George W. Bush were the only two candidates on the presidential ballot in 2000, would you be satisfied with that choice or would you want to see a third-party candidate on the ballot as well?"
%
Satisfied 51
Want 3rd party 46
No opinion 3

.

Form B (N=518; MoE +/- 5):
"Would you favor or oppose having a third political party that would run candidates for president, Congress, and state offices against the Republican and Democratic candidates?"
%
Favor 67
Oppose 28
No opinion 5

 


The Primary Process

CBS News/New York Times Poll. May 10-13, 2000. N=947 adults nationwide. MoE ± 3 (total sample).

.

ALL Repub-
licans
Demo-
crats
Indepen-
dents
% % % %
"Who do you think had more say in deciding that George W. Bush would be the Republican nominee: Republican Party leaders, Republican primary voters, or people who contributed money to the candidates?"
Party leaders 26 29 26 24
Primary voters 21 28 13 21
Contributors 43 30 53 46
Combination (vol.) 5 6 4 5
Don't know/No answer 5 7 4 4

.

"Who do you think had more say in deciding that Al Gore would be the Democratic nominee: Democratic Party leaders, Democratic primary voters, or people who contributed money to the candidates?"
Party leaders 46 46 49 43
Primary voters 20 22 21 18
Contributors 25 23 22 32
Combination (vol.) 2 3 2 3
Don't know/No answer 6 7 6 4

 


Does It Matter?

CBS News/New York Times Poll. May 10-13, 2000. N=947 adults nationwide. MoE ± 3 (total sample).

.

"Would you agree or disagree with the following statement? It makes no real difference who is elected president -- things go on just as they did before."
ALL Repub-
licans
Demo-
crats
Indepen-
dents
% % % %
Agree 33 27 28 43
Disagree 65 71 70 56
Don't know/No answer 2 2 2 1

 

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