White House 2000
Presidential Debates
Gallup/CNN/USA
Today Poll. Oct. 17, 2000. N=522 registered voters nationwide who watched the Oct.
17 presidential debate. Respondents were first interviewed Oct. 11-16. MoE +/- 5. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Regardless
of which candidate you happen to support, who do you think did the better job in the
debate: [rotate] Al Gore or George W. Bush?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Al Gore |
46 |
|
|
|
|
|
George W. Bush |
44 |
|
|
|
|
|
Both/Equally (vol.) |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"How
would you rate the job Al Gore did in the debate tonight: excellent, good, only fair, or
poor? ... How would you rate the job George W. Bush did in the debate tonight: excellent,
good, only fair, or poor?" |
|
|
Gore |
Bush |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
Excellent |
28 |
24 |
|
|
|
|
Good |
49 |
47 |
|
|
|
|
Only fair |
19 |
24 |
|
|
|
|
Poor |
4 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Thinking
about the following characteristics and qualities, please say whether you think each one
better described Al Gore or George W. Bush during tonights debate. |
|
|
Gore |
Bush |
Both
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Not
Sure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
"Was
more likeable" |
31 |
60 |
6 |
2 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Agreed
with you more on the issues you care about" |
|
|
45 |
51 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Expressed
himself more clearly" |
|
|
57 |
33 |
8 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Was
more believable" |
|
|
41 |
52 |
5 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Was
more in touch with the average voter" |
|
|
45 |
47 |
5 |
1 |
2 |
|
ABC News Poll.
Oct. 17, 2000. Conducted among a random-sample panel of 507 registered voters nationwide
who watched the Oct. 17 debate. Respondents were initially interviewed Oct. 12-15. MoE ±
4.5. Fieldwork by TNS Intersearch. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Who, in your
opinion, won the debate?" |
|
|
ALL |
Men |
Women |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
Al Gore |
41 |
34 |
47 |
|
|
|
George W. Bush |
41 |
46 |
35 |
|
|
|
Tie |
14 |
17 |
12 |
|
|
|
No opinion |
4 |
3 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
Presidential
Preference, among debate-viewers: |
|
|
10/17 |
10/12-15 |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
Bush/Cheney (R) |
53 |
53 |
|
|
|
|
Gore/Lieberman (D) |
42 |
40 |
|
|
|
|
Nader/LaDuke (Green) |
2 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
Buchanan/Foster (Reform) |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
Other |
0 |
0 |
|
|
|
|
Undecided |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
Gallup/CNN/USA
Today Poll. Oct. 11, 2000. N=529 registered voters nationwide who watched the Oct.
11 presidential debate. Respondents were first interviewed Oct. 5-10. MoE +/- 5. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Regardless
of which candidate you happen to support, who do you think did the better job in the
debate: [rotate] Al Gore or George W. Bush?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
George W. Bush |
49 |
|
|
|
|
|
Al Gore |
36 |
|
|
|
|
|
Neither (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Both/Equally (vol.) |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
No opinion |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"How
would you rate the job Al Gore did in the debate tonight: excellent, good, only fair, or
poor? ... How would you rate the job George W. Bush did in the debate tonight: excellent,
good, only fair, or poor?" |
|
|
Gore |
Bush |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
Excellent |
18 |
29 |
|
|
|
|
Good |
54 |
51 |
|
|
|
|
Only fair |
25 |
18 |
|
|
|
|
Poor |
3 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Thinking about the following characteristics and qualities,
please say whether you think each one better described Al Gore or George W. Bush during
tonights debate. |
|
|
Gore |
Bush |
Both
(vol.) |
Neither
(vol.) |
Not
Sure |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
"Was
more likeable" |
31 |
56 |
10 |
2 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Agreed
with you more on the issues you care about" |
|
|
43 |
52 |
4 |
1 |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Expressed himself more clearly" |
|
|
47 |
39 |
13 |
- |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Was
more believable" |
|
|
38 |
51 |
9 |
2 |
- |
|
ABC News Poll.
Oct. 11, 2000. Conducted among a random-sample panel of 491 registered voters nationwide
who watched the Oct. 11 debate. Respondents were initially interviewed Oct. 6-9. MoE ±
4.5. Fieldwork by TNS Intersearch. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Who, in your
opinion, won the debate?" |
|
|
ALL |
Men |
Women |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
George W. Bush |
46 |
50 |
41 |
|
|
|
Al Gore |
30 |
24 |
37 |
|
|
|
Tie |
18 |
19 |
16 |
|
|
|
No opinion |
7 |
7 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
Presidential
Preference, among debate-viewers: |
|
|
10/11 |
10/6-9 |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
Bush/Cheney (R) |
54 |
52 |
|
|
|
|
Gore/Lieberman (D) |
41 |
42 |
|
|
|
|
Nader/LaDuke (Green) |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
Buchanan/Foster (Reform) |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
Other |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
Undecided |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
ABC News Poll.
Oct. 3, 2000. Conducted among a random-sample panel of 491 registered voters nationwide
who watched the Oct. 3 debate. Respondents were initially interviewed Sept. 28-Oct. 1. MoE
± 4.5. Fieldwork by TNS Intersearch. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Who, in your
opinion, won the debate?" |
|
|
ALL |
Men |
Women |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
Al Gore |
42 |
32 |
52 |
|
|
|
George W. Bush |
39 |
45 |
33 |
|
|
|
Tie |
13 |
18 |
9 |
|
|
|
No opinion |
5 |
5 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
Presidential
Preference, among debate-viewers: |
|
|
10/3 |
9/28-
10/1 |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
Bush/Cheney (R) |
49 |
48 |
|
|
|
|
Gore/Lieberman (D) |
45 |
45 |
|
|
|
|
Nader/LaDuke (Green) |
2 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
Buchanan/Foster (Reform) |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
Other |
- |
1 |
|
|
|
|
Undecided |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
Gallup/CNN/USA
Today Poll. Oct. 3, 2000. N=435 registered voters nationwide who watched the Oct.
3 presidential debate. MoE +/- 5. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Regardless
of which candidate you happen to support, who do you think did the better job in the
debate: [rotate] Al Gore or George W. Bush?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Al Gore |
48 |
|
|
|
|
|
George W. Bush |
41 |
|
|
|
|
|
Neither (vol.) |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Both/Equally (vol.) |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
No opinion |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"How
would you rate the job Al Gore did in the debate tonight: excellent, good, only fair, or
poor? ... How would you rate the job George W. Bush did in the debate tonight: excellent,
good, only fair, or poor?" |
|
|
Gore |
Bush |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
Excellent |
25 |
20 |
|
|
|
|
Good |
51 |
50 |
|
|
|
|
Only fair |
20 |
27 |
|
|
|
|
Poor |
4 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"As
a result of tonight's debate, have you changed your vote from one presidential candidate
to another?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Yes |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
No |
96 |
|
|
|
|
|
No opinion |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Based
on your impressions of Al Gore from the debate, are you more confident that he can handle
the job of being president, less confident, or has your confidence in Gore not changed
much? ... Based on your impressions of George W. Bush from the debate, are you more
confident that he can handle the job of being president, less confident, or has your
confidence in Bush not changed much?" |
|
|
Gore |
Bush |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
More confident |
33 |
40 |
|
|
|
|
Less confident |
15 |
20 |
|
|
|
|
No change |
50 |
38 |
|
|
|
|
Never had confidence (vol.) |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
No opinion |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
Marist College
Poll. Sept. 27-28 & Oct. 1, 2000. N=588 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 4.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Do
you plan on watching the presidential debate this Tuesday night between George W. Bush and
Al Gore, or not?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Yes |
76 |
|
|
|
|
|
No |
18 |
|
|
|
|
|
Undecided |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Who
do you expect will win the presidential debate this Tuesday night: George W. Bush or Al
Gore?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Bush |
32 |
|
|
|
|
|
Gore |
38 |
|
|
|
|
|
Undecided |
30 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Asked of those who
plan to watch the debate:
"How much will the presidential debate matter to you when deciding whom to vote for
president: a great deal, somewhat, not very much, or not at all?" |
|
|
Debate
Watchers |
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
A great deal |
24 |
|
|
|
|
|
Somewhat |
31 |
|
|
|
|
|
Not very much |
20 |
|
|
|
|
|
Not at all |
25 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Do
you want the Green Party candidate Ralph Nader and the Reform Party candidate Pat Buchanan
to be included in this Tuesday night's presidential debate?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Yes |
53 |
|
|
|
|
|
No |
37 |
|
|
|
|
|
Other (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Undecided |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
Newsweek
Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates. Sept. 27-29, 2000. N=1,002
registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"The presidential debates begin next week. Regardless of which candidate you now support, who do
you think has better debating skills, including the use of language, command of
information, and ability to relate to an audience: [rotate] Al Gore or
George W. Bush?" |
|
|
ALL |
Repub-
licans |
Demo-
crats |
Indepen-
dents |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Gore |
49 |
31 |
70 |
45 |
|
|
Bush |
29 |
44 |
13 |
31 |
|
|
Same (vol.) |
8 |
10 |
7 |
9 |
|
|
Neither (vol.) |
2 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
|
|
Don't know |
12 |
13 |
9 |
12 |
|
|
ABC News/Washington
Post Poll. Sept. 4-6, 2000. N=1,065 registered voters nationwide. MoE
+/- 3. Field work by TNS Intersearch. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Do you think the
presidential debates this fall should be between Bush and Gore; or between Bush, Gore,
Nader and Buchanan?" |
|
|
9/00
(Registered
Voters) |
7/00
(All Adults) |
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
Bush and Gore |
59 |
49 |
|
|
Bush, Gore, Nader and Buchanan |
38 |
44 |
|
|
Both ways (vol.) |
1 |
1 |
|
|
Bush, Gore and Nader (vol.) |
1 |
1 |
|
|
Bush, Gore and Buchanan (vol.) |
- |
1 |
|
|
No opinion |
1 |
4 |
|
|
Fox
News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. July 12-13, 2000. N=900 registered voters nationwide.
MoE +/- 3. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"The National
Commission on Presidential Debates decided to include only candidates who receive at least
15% of the vote in major national opinion polls in this falls presidential debates.
Which of the following comes closer to your opinion on this issue? Any candidate who is on
enough state ballots to actually win the presidency should be allowed to participate in
the debates. OR, Only candidates who have achieved a certain level of support should be
allowed to participate in the debates." |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
Anyone on enough
state ballots |
50 |
|
|
|
Only if achieve a
certain level of support |
39 |
|
|
|
Not sure |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Some
people say that while there should be a cutoff for letting candidates into the
presidential debates, 15% is too high and the limit should be 5% instead. Would you favor
or oppose lowering the limit to 5%?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Favor |
45 |
|
|
|
|
|
Oppose |
40 |
|
|
|
|
|
Not sure |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Regardless
of what the limit is, do you think Ralph Nader and Pat Buchanan should be in the
presidential debates or not?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Should be |
64 |
|
|
|
|
|
Should not be |
25 |
|
|
|
|
|
One should (vol.) |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Not sure |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Do
you think the presidential debates would be more interesting or less interesting if Ralph
Nader and Pat Buchanan were allowed to participate?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
More interesting |
73 |
|
|
|
|
|
Less interesting |
17 |
|
|
|
|
|
Same (vol.) |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
Not sure |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
NBC News/Wall
Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and
Robert Teeter (R). Jan. 25-26, 2000. N=505 adults nationwide. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"As you may know, the
commission that sponsors presidential debates has said that the Reform Party candidates
will not be able to participate in presidential debates with the Democratic and Republican
candidates this fall unless they earn 15% of the vote in national news polls preceding the
debates. Do you think that Reform Party candidates should or should not have to meet this
requirement to participate in presidential debates?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
Should have to |
41 |
|
|
|
|
Should not |
51 |
|
|
|
|
Not sure |
8 |
|
|
|
|
Probing Candidates' Pasts
CNN/Time
Poll conducted by Yankelovich Partners. Latest: Aug. 19, 1999. N=942 adults
nationwide. MoE ± 3.3. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Now I'd like you to
think about all the candidates running for president in the year 2000. Do you think that a
presidential candidate should or should not have to answer questions about each of the
following? Please keep in mind that they are not meant to describe any particular
candidate. . . ." |
|
|
Should |
Should
Not |
Not
Sure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
"Whether they had
cheated on their taxes in the past." |
|
8/99 |
67 |
29 |
4 |
|
|
|
6/99 |
78 |
20 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Whether they had not
paid taxes on domestic help in the past." |
|
8/99 |
65 |
30 |
5 |
|
|
|
6/99 |
70 |
27 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Whether they had
used cocaine in the past." |
|
8/99 |
48 |
49 |
3 |
|
|
|
6/99 |
60 |
38 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Whether they had an
alcohol problem in the past." |
|
8/99 |
47 |
49 |
4 |
|
|
|
6/99 |
60 |
38 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Whether they had
used marijuana in the past." |
|
8/99 |
35 |
63 |
2 |
|
|
|
6/99 |
43 |
55 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Whether they had an
extramarital affair in the past." |
|
8/99 |
25 |
71 |
4 |
|
|
|
6/99 |
30 |
68 |
2 |
|
|
|
Policy
Direction
NBC News/Wall
Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and
Robert Teeter (R). Latest: Aug. 10-11, 2000. N=802 registered voters nationwide. MoE +/-
3.6. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Which
one of the following statements do you agree with more? (A) After eight years of the
Clinton-Gore Administration, it's time for a change. OR, (B) With the nation at peace and
the economy as strong as it is, we should continue with the Democrats in the White
House." |
|
|
8/00 |
7/00 |
6/00 |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
A. Time for a change |
47 |
47 |
47 |
|
|
B. Continue with the Democrats |
46 |
45 |
46 |
|
|
Some of both (vol.) |
3 |
4 |
2 |
|
|
Not sure |
4 |
4 |
5 |
|
|
ABC News/Washington
Post Poll. Latest: Aug. 4-6, 2000. N=1,205 adults nationwide. MoE ± 3. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Which of these two
statements comes closest to your own views? (A) After eight years of Bill Clinton, we need
to elect a president who can set the nation in a new direction. (B) We need to keep the
country moving in the direction Bill Clinton has been taking us." |
|
|
8/00 |
7/00 |
2/00 |
1/00 |
10/99 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
New direction |
48 |
46 |
48 |
44 |
47 |
|
Clinton direction |
44 |
49 |
49 |
53 |
48 |
|
In between (vol.) |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
|
Neither (vol.) |
4 |
1 |
- |
2 |
1 |
|
No opinion |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Newsweek
Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates. August 3-4, 2000. N=817
registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 4. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Regardless of which
presidential candidate you now support, in general, would you like to see the next
president continue with Bill Clinton's policies, or change direction from Clinton's
policies?" |
|
|
8/3-4 |
7/27-28 |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
Continue |
39 |
41 |
|
|
|
|
Change |
50 |
48 |
|
|
|
|
Don't know |
11 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
Pew Research
Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research
Associates. Feb. 9-14, 2000. N=1,330 adults nationwide. MoE ± 3.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Looking ahead to
the next presidential election, would you like to see a president who offers policies and
programs similar to those of the Clinton Administration, OR would you like to see a
president who offers different policies and programs?" |
|
|
2/00 |
8/99 |
6/99 |
2/99 |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Similar |
41 |
43 |
43 |
54 |
|
|
Different |
51 |
50 |
50 |
41 |
|
|
Don't know |
8 |
7 |
7 |
5 |
|
|
Are You Better
Off?
Gallup/CNN/USA
Today Poll. Jan. 7-10, 2000. N=1,633 adults nationwide. MoE ± 3. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Now here are some
questions that ask you to compare the situation today with what it was in 1992 -- eight
years ago. Are you better off than you were eight years ago, or not?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
Better off |
73 |
|
|
|
|
Not better off |
19 |
|
|
|
|
Just as well off
(vol.) |
7 |
|
|
|
|
No opinion |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Is
America as respected throughout the world as it was eight years ago, or not?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
As respected |
40 |
|
|
|
|
Not as respected |
54 |
|
|
|
|
No opinion |
6 |
|
|
|
|
A Third-Party
Candidate?
Gallup/CNN/USA
Today Poll. July 16-18, 1999. N=1,031 adults nationwide. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
Form A (N=513; MoE +/- 5):
"If Al Gore and George W. Bush were the only two candidates on the presidential
ballot in 2000, would you be satisfied with that choice or would you want to see a
third-party candidate on the ballot as well?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Satisfied |
51 |
|
|
|
|
|
Want 3rd party |
46 |
|
|
|
|
|
No opinion |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
Form B (N=518; MoE +/- 5):
"Would you favor or oppose having a third political party that would run candidates
for president, Congress, and state offices against the Republican and Democratic
candidates?" |
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Favor |
67 |
|
|
|
|
|
Oppose |
28 |
|
|
|
|
|
No opinion |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
The Primary
Process
CBS News/New York Times Poll. May 10-13, 2000. N=947
adults nationwide. MoE ± 3 (total sample). |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
ALL |
Repub-
licans |
Demo-
crats |
Indepen-
dents |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
"Who do you think had
more say in deciding that George W. Bush would be the Republican nominee: Republican Party
leaders, Republican primary voters, or people who contributed money to the
candidates?" |
|
Party leaders |
26 |
29 |
26 |
24 |
|
|
Primary voters |
21 |
28 |
13 |
21 |
|
|
Contributors |
43 |
30 |
53 |
46 |
|
|
Combination (vol.) |
5 |
6 |
4 |
5 |
|
|
Don't know/No answer |
5 |
7 |
4 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Who do you think had
more say in deciding that Al Gore would be the Democratic nominee: Democratic Party
leaders, Democratic primary voters, or people who contributed money to the
candidates?" |
|
Party leaders |
46 |
46 |
49 |
43 |
|
|
Primary voters |
20 |
22 |
21 |
18 |
|
|
Contributors |
25 |
23 |
22 |
32 |
|
|
Combination (vol.) |
2 |
3 |
2 |
3 |
|
|
Don't know/No answer |
6 |
7 |
6 |
4 |
|
|
Does It Matter?
CBS News/New York Times Poll. May 10-13, 2000. N=947
adults nationwide. MoE ± 3 (total sample). |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
"Would you agree or
disagree with the following statement? It makes no real difference who is elected
president -- things go on just as they did before." |
|
|
ALL |
Repub-
licans |
Demo-
crats |
Indepen-
dents |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Agree |
33 |
27 |
28 |
43 |
|
|
Disagree |
65 |
71 |
70 |
56 |
|
|
Don't know/No answer |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
|
|
|