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White House 2020: Republican Nomination 


 

Suffolk University/USA Today Poll. Dec. 10-14, 2019. N=329 registered voters nationwide who plan to vote in their state's Republican primary or caucus. Margin of error ± 5.4.

             

"If the Republican primary or caucus was held today in your state and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote or lean toward?"

 
    12/10-14/19 10/23-26/19      
    % %      
 
 

Donald Trump

88 85      
 

Bill Weld

2 2      
 

Joe Walsh

2 1      
 

Unsure

7 11      
 

Mark Sanford

n/a 1      

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Oct. 6-8, 2019. N=1,003 registered voters nationwide. Results below are among Republican primary and caucus voters. Margin of error ± 5.

             

"In 2020, would you like to see someone else as the Republican Party's presidential nominee or would you rather keep Donald Trump as the nominee?"

 
    Someone
else
Donald
Trump
Depends
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 
 

10/6-8/19

17 77 5 1  

 

Quinnipiac University Poll. Sept. 19-23, 2019. N=568 Republican and Republican leaning voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.9.

             

"If the Republican primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were Donald Trump, Bill Weld, Joe Walsh, and Mark Sanford, for whom would you vote?"

 
    %        
 
 

Donald Trump

80        
 

Mark Sanford

2        
 

Joe Walsh

2        
 

Bill Weld

2        
 

Someone else (vol.)

1        
 

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

1        
 

Unsure/No answer

12        

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Sept. 15-17, 2019. N=341 Republican primary and caucus voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of potential candidates for the 2020 Republican nomination for president. Please tell me which one you would like to see as the Republican presidential nominee. [See below.]" Options rotated

 
    %        
 
 

Donald Trump

86        
 

Mark Sanford

2        
 

Joe Walsh

2        
 

Bill Weld

2        
 

Other (vol.)

1        
 

None of these (vol.)

3        
 

Unsure

5        

 

Suffolk University/USA Today Poll. Aug. 20-25, 2019. N=289 Republican and independent registered voters nationwide who plan to vote in their state's Republican primary or caucus. Margin of error ± 5.8.

             

"If the Republican primary was held today and the candidates were Donald Trump or Bill Weld, for whom would you vote or lean toward?"
6/19: "If the Republican primary or caucus in your state were held today and the candidates were Donald Trump or Bill Weld, for whom would you vote or lean toward at this time: Trump or Weld?"

 
    Donald
Trump
Bill
Weld
Unsure    
    % % %    
 
 

8/20-25/19

90 5 5    
 

6/11-15/19

90 5 5    

 

Quinnipiac University Poll. April 26-29, 2019. N=456 Republican and Republican leaning voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.4.

             

"If the Republican primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were Donald Trump, Bill Weld, and Larry Hogan, for whom would you vote?"

 
    %        
 
 

Donald Trump

84        
 

Bill Weld

3        
 

Larry Hogan

3        
 

Someone else (vol.)

1        
 

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

1        
 

Unsure/No answer

8        

 

Quinnipiac University Poll. March 21-25, 2019. N=582 Republican and Republican leaning voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.

             

"Would you like to see someone else run against Donald Trump in the Republican primary for president, or wouldn't you like to see that?"

 
    Would like
to see
Wouldn't like
to see
Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 
 

3/21-25/19

35 56 9    

 

CNN Poll conducted by SSRS. March 14-17, 2019. N=448 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.5.

             

"Do you think the Republican Party should renominate Donald Trump as the party's candidate for president in 2020, or do you think the Republican Party should nominate a different candidate for president in 2020?"

 
    Donald
Trump
A different
candidate
Unsure/
Refused
   
    % % %    
 
 

3/14-17/19

76 19 5    
 

10/4-7/18

74 21 5    
 

3/22-25/18

75 20 4    
             

"Do you think Republicans have a better chance of winning the presidency in 2020 if Donald Trump is the party's nominee, or do they have a better chance of winning with someone else as the party's nominee?"

 
    Donald
Trump
Someone
else
Unsure/
Refused
   
    % % %    
 
 

3/14-17/19

78 17 6    

 

Monmouth University Poll. March 1-4, 2019. N=339 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 5.3.

             

"I know the 2020 election is far away, but would you prefer that Donald Trump run unopposed for the Republican nomination, or would you prefer to see him face a primary challenge in 2020?"

 
    Run
unopposed
Face a
challenge
Unsure    
    % % %    
 
 

3/1-4/19

53 40 7    
 

1/25-27/19

49 43 8    
             

"Who would you support if the 2020 Republican nomination contest was between Donald Trump and former Massachusetts governor William Weld?"

 
    Donald
Trump
William
Weld
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 
 

3/1-4/19

74 8 0 18  
             

"Who would you support if the 2020 Republican nomination contest was between Donald Trump and Maryland governor Larry Hogan?"

 
    Donald
Trump
Larry
Hogan
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 
 

3/1-4/19

75 6 2 16  

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). Feb. 24-27, 2019. N=210 Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 6.8.

             

"Would you like another Republican to challenge Donald Trump for the Republican nomination in 2020?"

 
    Yes No Unsure    
    % % %    
 
 

2/24-27/19

37 59 4    

 

Monmouth University Poll. Jan. 25-27, 2019. N=335 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error ± 5.4.

             

"Who would you support if the 2020 Republican nomination contest was between Donald Trump and former Ohio governor John Kasich?"

 
    Donald
Trump
John
Kasich
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 
 

1/25-27/19

73 14 3 11  
             

"Who would you support if the 2020 Republican nomination contest was between Donald Trump and Texas Senator Ted Cruz?"

 
    Donald
Trump
Ted
Cruz
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 
 

1/25-27/19

66 21 4 9  

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Jan. 21-24, 2019. N=405 Republicans and Republican leaners nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.5.

             

"Would you like the Republican Party to nominate Trump to run for a second term as president next year, or would you like the Republican Party to nominate someone other than Trump as its candidate for president in 2020?"

 
    Trump Someone
other than
Trump
Unsure    
    % % %    
 
 

1/21-24/19

65 32 3    

 

NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll. Jan. 10-13, 2019. N=324 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error ± 6.8.

             

"Do you want another Republican to challenge Donald Trump for the Republican nomination for president in the 2020 primaries?"

 
    Yes No Unsure    
    % % %    
 
 

1/10-13/19

44 45 11    

 

Democracy Corps & Greenberg Research (D). July 19-26, 2018. N=348 registered voters nationwide who say they will vote in the 2020 Republican presidential primary.

             

"President Trump has announced he will run for reelection in 2020. Do you want the Republican Party to continue to be led by Donald Trump, or do you want the Republican Party to be led by a different kind of leader?"

 
    Donald
Trump
A different
kind of leader
Unsure/
Refused
   
    % % %    
 
 

7/19-26/18

78 17 5    

 

Marist Poll. Aug. 8-12, 2017. N=361 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.2.

             

"If the 2020 Republican presidential primary were held today, whom would you support if the candidate are Donald Trump and John Kasich?"

 
    Donald
Trump
John
Kasich
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 
 

8/8-12/17

64 23 3 10  
             

"If the 2020 Republican presidential primary were held today, whom would you support if the candidate are Donald Trump and Mike Pence?"

 
    Donald
Trump
Mike
Pence
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 
 

8/8-12/17

56 33 3 8  


 


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