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Election 2022


 

NBC News Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). Nov. 3-5, 2022. N=1,000 registered voters nationwide (margin of error ± 3.1), including 786 likely voters (± 3.5).

             

"What is your preference for the outcome of Tuesday's congressional elections: a Congress controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats?" Options rotated
10/22 & earlier: "What is your preference for the outcome of this November's congressional elections: a Congress controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats?" Options rotated

 
    Democratic
control
Republican
control
Unsure    
    % % %    
 
 

Among likely voters:

 

11/3-5/22

48 47 5    
 

10/14-18/22

47 48 5    
 

Among registered voters:

 

11/3-5/22

47 47 6    
 

10/14-18/22

47 46 7    
 

9/9-13/22

46 46 8    
 

8/12-16/22

45 47 8    
 

5/5-7 & 9-10/22

46 46 8    
 

3/18-22/22

44 46 10    
 

1/14-18/22

47 46 7    
 

10/23-26/21

47 45 8    
 

8/14-17/21

47 46 7    
 

4/17-20/21

47 42 11    

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Oct. 30-Nov. 2, 2022. N=881 registered voters nationwide (margin of error ± 4), including 708 likely voters (± 4.5).

             

"If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate in your congressional district?" If unsure: "Would you lean toward the Democratic candidate or toward the Republican candidate?" Options rotated
If already voted: "Confidentially and for statistical purposes only, did you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate in your congressional district?" Options rotated

 
    Democratic
candidate
Republican
candidate
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 
 

Among likely voters:

 

10/30 - 11/2/22

48 50 - - 1
 

Among registered voters:

 

10/30 - 11/2/22

48 49 1 1 2
 

9/18-21/22

46 47 1 2 4
 

4/24-28/22

46 45 1 5 4
 

2/20-24/22

42 49 1 3 5
 

11/7-10/21

41 51 1 4 4

 

Quinnipiac University Poll. Oct. 26-30, 2022. N=2,010 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 2.2.

             

"If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States House of Representatives?"

 
    Democrats
win control
Republicans
win control
Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 
 

10/26-30/22

44 48 9    
 

8/25-29/22

47 43 10    
 

7/14-18/22

45 44 11    
 

6/3-6/22

41 46 13    
 

5/12-16/22

43 47 9    
 

4/21-25/22

42 45 12    
 

3/31 - 4/4/22

43 47 10    
 

2/10-14/22

44 46 10    
 

1/7-10/22

43 44 13    
 

11/11-15/21

41 46 13    
 

10/1-4/21

44 47 9    
 

9/10-13/21

47 43 11    
 

7/27 - 8/2/21

45 44 10    
 

5/18-24/21

50 41 9    
             

"If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States Senate?"

 
    Democrats
win control
Republicans
win control
Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 
 

10/26-30/22

45 48 7    
 

8/25-29/22

47 45 7    
 

7/14-18/22

45 45 10    
 

5/12-16/22

44 48 8    
 

4/21-25/22

44 44 12    
 

3/31 - 4/4/22

44 48 8    
 

2/10-14/22

44 47 9    
 

1/7-10/22

42 46 12    
 

11/11-15/21

42 46 12    

 

Suffolk University/USA Today Poll. Oct. 19-24, 2022. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.1. LV = likely voters. Among registered voters, except where noted.

             

"If the elections for Congress were today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or Republican candidate?" Options rotated

 
    Democratic
candidate
Republican
candidate
Unsure    
    % % %    
 
 

10/19-24/22 LV

45 49 6    
 

7/22-25/22

44 40 16    
 

6/12-15/22

40 40 21    
 

12/27-30/21

39 37 24    
 

11/3-5/21

38 46 16    

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Oct. 9-12, 2022. N=1,206 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 2.5.

             

"If the election for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate in your district or the Republican candidate in your district?" If unsure: "Do you lean closer to one candidate?" Options rotated
If already voted: "When you cast your early or absentee ballot in the election for Congress, did you vote for the Democratic candidate in your district or the Republican candidate in your district?" Options rotated

 
    Democratic
candidate
Republican
candidate
Other
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 
 

10/9-12/22

44 41 4 11  
 

9/9-12/22

44 41 5 10  
 

8/6-9/22

41 41 6 12  
 

7/10-13/22

41 44 3 12  
 

6/10-13/22

44 47 3 5  
 

4/28 - 5/1/22

39 46 2 12  
 

3/18-21/22

41 43 4 12  
 

2/19-22/22

45 49 1 4  
 

1/16-19/22

43 44 1 11  
 

12/11-14/21

39 43 6 12  

 

Monmouth University Poll. Sept. 21-25, 2022. N=750 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.6.

             

"Would you rather see the Republicans or the Democrats in control of Congress, or doesn't this matter to you?" If doesn't matter: "If you had to lean one way or the other, would you pick the Republicans or the Democrats?" Options rotated

 
    Democrats Lean
Democrats
Lean
Republicans
Republicans Doesn't
matter/Don't lean/Unsure
    % % % % %
 
 

9/21-25/22

35 10 10 37 9
 

7/28 - 8/1/22

38 11 10 36 6
 

6/23-27/22

37 9 10 38 6
 

5/5-9/22

35 8 12 38 7
 

3/10-14/22

35 11 12 34 9
 

1/20-24/22

34 9 14 37 6

 

Grinnell College National Poll conducted by Selzer & Co. Sept. 21-25, 2022. N=563 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.1.

             

"If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your congressional district: the DEMOCRATIC candidate or the REPUBLICAN candidate?" If unsure: "Which way are you leaning -- toward the REPUBLICAN candidate or the DEMOCRATIC candidate?" Options rotated

 
    Democratic
candidate
Republican
candidate
Other
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 
 

9/21-25/22

46 42 6 6  

 

New York Times/Siena College Poll. Sept. 6-14, 2022. N=1,399 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.6.

             

"If this year's election for Congress were held today, which party's candidate would you be more likely to vote for in your district: the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?" If unsure: "If you had to decide today, would you lean toward the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?"

 
    Democratic
candidate
Republican
candidate
Unsure/
Refused
   
    % % %    
 
 

9/6-14/22

46 44 10    

 

NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll. Aug. 29-Sept. 1, 2022. N=1,151 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.3.

             

"If this year's election for Congress were held today, which party's candidate are you more likely to vote for in your district: [see below]?"

 
    Democrat Republican Other
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 
 

8/29 - 9/1/22

48 44 2 6  
 

6/24-25/22

48 41 3 7  
 

5/9-13/22

47 42 4 6  
 

4/19-26/22

44 47 3 7  
 

11/16-19/21

46 41 4 9  
 

10/18-22/21

44 41 4 11  
 

9/20-26/21

46 38 4 12  

 

Georgetown Institute of Politics and Public Service Battleground Poll conducted by the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D). July 16-20, 2022. N=801 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5.

             

"If the election for Congress were being held today, and you had to make a choice, would you be voting for the Republican candidate or the Democrat candidate, in your district?" If unsure: "And which party's candidate do you lean toward at this time?" Options rotated

 
    Democratic
candidate
Republican
candidate
Unsure    
    % % %    
 
 

7/16-20/22

48 46 6    

 

CNBC All-America Economic Survey conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). July 7-10, 2022. N=800 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters.

             

"What is your preference for the outcome of this year's congressional elections: a Congress controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats?" Options rotated

 
    Democratic
control
Republican
control
Unsure    
    % % %    
 
 

7/7-10/22

42 44 14    
 

12/1-4/21

35 45 20    
 

10/14-17/21

43 42 15    

 

New York Times/Siena College Research Institute Poll. July 5-7, 2022. N=849 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.1.

             

"What is your preference for the outcome of this year's congressional elections: Democratic control of Congress or Republican control of Congress?"

 
    Democratic
control
Republican
control
Unsure/
Refused
   
    % % %    
 
 

7/5-7/22

41 40 19    

 

Gallup Poll. June 1-20, 2022. N=900 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.

             

"Please tell me whether you think each of the following political office-holders deserves to be reelected, or not.

"How about the U.S. representative in your congressional district?"

 
    Deserves to
be reelected
Does not Unsure    
    % % %    
 
 

6/1-20/22

53 41 6    
             

"How about most members of Congress?"

 
    Deserve to
be reelected
Do not Unsure    
    % % %    
 
 

6/1-20/22

21 77 2    


 


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