"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running
in the Republican primary for president in the next election. After I read
all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most
likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in the year
2008, or if you would support someone else. . . ."
Names rotated
.
9/14-16/07
9/7-8/07
8/13-16/07
%
%
%
Rudy Giuliani
27
32
31
John McCain
18
14
10
Fred Thompson
18
20
16
Newt Gingrich
11
7
9
Mitt Romney
6
9
12
Mike Huckabee
3
4
4
Ron Paul
3
1
3
Duncan Hunter
2
-
1
Sam Brownback
1
2
1
Tom Tancredo
1
1
1
Someone else
-
1
1
None
(vol.)/Unsure
9
8
10
Chuck Hagel
n/a
1
1
.
8/3-5/07
7/12-15/07
7/6-8/07
6/11-14/07
6/1-3/07
%
%
%
%
%
Rudy Giuliani
30
30
30
28
32
Fred Thompson
19
20
20
19
11
John McCain
14
16
16
18
19
Newt Gingrich
10
7
6
7
8
Mitt Romney
6
8
9
7
12
Mike Huckabee
2
2
2
3
2
Ron Paul
2
3
-
2
1
Sam Brownback
1
2
1
2
1
Chuck Hagel
1
-
1
1
-
Duncan Hunter
1
1
2
2
1
Tom Tancredo
1
-
2
-
2
Tommy Thompson
1
1
1
2
1
Someone else
2
1
-
-
1
None
(vol.)/Unsure
9
10
9
8
9
Jim Gilmore
n/a
-
-
1
-
.
5/10-13/07
5/4-6/07
4/13-15/07
4/2-5/07
3/23-25/07
%
%
%
%
%
Rudy Giuliani
29
34
35
38
31
John McCain
23
20
22
16
22
Fred Thompson
12
13
10
10
12
Mitt Romney
8
7
9
6
3
Newt Gingrich
6
8
7
10
8
Sam Brownback
2
1
1
1
3
Tommy Thompson
1
2
1
2
2
Mike Huckabee
1
1
2
1
1
George Pataki
1
1
2
2
-
Tom Tancredo
1
1
-
2
1
Jim Gilmore
-
1
2
-
-
Chuck Hagel
-
1
-
1
-
Duncan Hunter
-
1
-
1
-
Ron Paul
-
-
2
2
1
Someone else
2
-
1
1
2
None
(vol.)
5
3
2
2
3
Unsure
8
7
3
4
10
.
3/2-4/07
2/9-11/07
1/12-14/07
12/11-14/06
11/9-12/06
%
%
%
%
%
Rudy Giuliani
44
40
31
28
28
John McCain
20
24
27
28
26
Newt Gingrich
9
9
10
8
7
Mitt Romney
8
5
7
4
5
Tommy Thompson
2
2
2
2
n/a
Sam Brownback
1
3
1
2
1
Duncan Hunter
1
1
-
1
-
George Pataki
1
1
3
1
1
Tom Tancredo
1
1
n/a
n/a
n/a
Jim Gilmore
-
2
2
n/a
n/a
Chuck Hagel
-
1
1
1
1
Mike Huckabee
-
2
1
2
1
Someone else
2
1
2
1
2
None
(vol.)
3
2
3
3
3
Unsure
8
7
10
7
7
Condoleezza
Rice
n/a
n/a
1
12
13
George Allen
n/a
n/a
n/a
2
2
Bill Frist
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
4
Cook Political Report/RT Strategies Poll.
Sept. 13-16, 2007. N=340 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or
lean Republican. MoE ± 5.3.
.
"I am going to read a list of people who might seek the
Republican nomination for president in 2008, and I
will read the list twice. I would like you to tell me who would be your
FIRST CHOICE for the nomination. . . ." Names rotated
.
Without
Gingrich (recalculated, based on second choice
of Gingrich
voters):
.
9/13-16/07
8/2-5/07
6/21-23/07
6/15-17/07
5/11-13/07
%
%
%
%
%
Rudy Giuliani
28
28
22
22
28
Fred
Thompson
20
15
14
16
9
John McCain
16
17
21
16
25
Mitt Romney
9
8
12
7
9
Mike Huckabee
4
2
2
2
2
Ron Paul
3
1
2
2
1
Sam Brownback
1
-
1
1
1
Duncan Hunter
1
2
-
1
-
Tom Tancredo
-
-
1
1
-
Other (vol.)
2
2
2
3
-
Unsure
17
20
18
25
20
Tommy Thompson
n/a
2
3
4
2
Jim Gilmore
n/a
1
1
1
1
Chuck Hagel
n/a
1
1
1
1
.
Without
McCain (recalculated, based on second choice of McCain voters):
.
9/13-16/07
8/2-5/07
6/21-23/07
6/15-17/07
5/11-13/07
%
%
%
%
%
Rudy Giuliani
33
32
27
26
35
Fred
Thompson
20
14
15
18
11
Mitt Romney
10
8
11
8
11
Newt Gingrich
5
9
7
5
9
Mike Huckabee
4
1
4
2
2
Ron Paul
3
-
2
2
1
Sam Brownback
1
1
2
1
1
Duncan Hunter
-
2
-
1
-
Tom Tancredo
-
-
1
1
-
Other (vol.)
2
2
2
3
1
Unsure
21
23
24
28
23
Tommy Thompson
n/a
4
3
4
2
Jim Gilmore
n/a
1
1
1
1
Chuck Hagel
n/a
1
1
1
1
.
Without
McCain or Gingrich
(recalculated, based on second choice of McCain and Gingrich voters):
"If
the 2008 Republican presidential primary were held
today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were
[see below]?" Names
rotated
.
9/11-12/07
8/21-22/07
7/17-18/07
6/26-27/07
%
%
%
%
Rudy Giuliani
32
29
27
29
Fred Thompson
21
14
16
15
John McCain
15
7
16
17
Mitt Romney
8
11
9
8
Newt Gingrich
4
5
2
8
Duncan Hunter
3
-
-
1
Sam Brownback
1
1
1
1
Chuck Hagel
1
-
-
1
Mike Huckabee
1
3
3
3
Ron Paul
1
3
2
-
Tom Tancredo
1
1
1
1
Other (vol.)
1
1
2
1
Unsure
11
23
20
11
Wouldn't vote (vol.)
1
3
2
2
Tommy Thompson
n/a
n/a
1
2
Jim Gilmore
n/a
n/a
n/a
-
.
6/5-6/07
5/15-16/07
4/17-18/07
3/27-28/07
2/27-28/07
%
%
%
%
%
Rudy Giuliani
22
24
35
36
39
John McCain
15
17
16
20
19
Fred Thompson
13
8
8
9
n/a
Mitt Romney
10
9
10
6
6
Newt Gingrich
8
6
9
6
7
Mike Huckabee
3
1
1
3
4
Ron Paul
2
1
-
n/a
n/a
Tommy Thompson
2
2
4
2
-
Chuck Hagel
1
-
-
-
1
Duncan Hunter
1
1
2
1
2
Tom Tancredo
1
1
n/a
n/a
n/a
Sam Brownback
-
2
2
1
2
Jim Gilmore
-
1
-
1
-
Other (vol.)
-
1
-
3
4
Unsure
19
24
11
10
16
Wouldn't vote (vol.)
2
2
-
2
1
.
1/30-31/07
12/5-6/06
8/29-30/06
3/14-15/06
6/14-15/05
%
%
%
%
%
Rudy Giuliani
34
30
27
29
29
John McCain
22
23
25
22
26
Newt Gingrich
15
9
14
8
9
Mitt Romney
3
8
5
4
2
Duncan Hunter
2
1
n/a
n/a
n/a
Sam Brownback
1
3
n/a
n/a
n/a
Jim Gilmore
-
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Mike Huckabee
-
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Tommy Thompson
-
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Chuck Hagel
-
-
3
1
n/a
Other (vol.)
4
1
3
3
2
Unsure
17
22
14
22
23
Wouldn't vote (vol.)
1
2
1
1
3
George Pataki
n/a
2
4
2
n/a
George Allen
n/a
n/a
3
3
3
Bill Frist
n/a
n/a
2
5
3
CNN/Opinion
Research Corporation Poll.
Sept. 7-9, 2007. N=379 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or
lean Republican. MoE ± 5.
.
"Please tell me which of the following people you would be
most likely to support for the Republican
nomination for president in the year 2008. . . ."
Names rotated
.
9/7-9/07
%
Rudy
Giuliani
27
Fred Thompson
26
John McCain
14
Mitt Romney
10
Newt Gingrich
6
Mike Huckabee
4
Tom Tancredo
2
Sam Brownback
1
Duncan Hunter
1
Ron Paul
1
Unsure
8
.
8/6-8/07
6/22-24/07
5/4-6/07
4/10-12/07
3/9-11/07
%
%
%
%
%
Rudy
Giuliani
27
30
25
27
34
Fred Thompson
19
19
13
11
n/a
John McCain
14
18
23
24
18
Newt Gingrich
12
8
9
8
9
Mitt Romney
11
9
10
10
9
Sam Brownback
3
1
2
1
2
Mike Huckabee
2
2
3
-
1
Tom Tancredo
2
1
2
1
1
Ron Paul
1
2
1
1
2
Tommy Thompson
1
1
1
1
1
Duncan Hunter
-
-
1
-
-
Unsure
8
10
8
13
17
Jim Gilmore
n/a
-
2
-
2
Chuck Hagel
n/a
n/a
n/a
1
2
George Pataki
n/a
n/a
n/a
2
3
.
1/19-21/07
12/5-7/06
11/17-19/06
10/27-29/06
8/30 - 9/2/06
%
%
%
%
%
Rudy
Giuliani
32
29
33
29
32
John McCain
26
24
30
27
21
Newt Gingrich
9
13
9
12
12
Mitt Romney
7
6
9
7
6
Jim Gilmore
3
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
George Pataki
3
2
1
5
3
Sam Brownback
2
2
2
1
1
Chuck Hagel
1
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Mike Huckabee
1
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Duncan Hunter
1
1
2
n/a
n/a
Ron Paul
1
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Tom Tancredo
1
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Tommy Thompson
1
2
3
n/a
n/a
Unsure
12
23
8
11
14
Bill Frist
n/a
n/a
3
6
4
George Allen
n/a
n/a
n/a
2
7
USA
Today/Gallup Poll.
Sept. 7-8, 2007. N=425 Republicans and Republican leaners nationwide. MoE ±
5.
.
"Suppose the choice for the Republican presidential
nomination narrows down to [see below].
Which one would
you prefer the Republican Party nominate for president:
[see below]?"
Names rotated
.
Rudy
Giuliani
Fred
Thompson
Unsure
%
%
%
9/7-8/07
53
40
8
8/13-16/07
59
34
7
8/3-5/07
55
38
7
7/12-15/07
54
34
11
6/11-14/07
53
41
7
ABC News/Washington Post Poll.
Sept. 4-7, 2007. N=401 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents
nationwide. MoE ± 5. Fieldwork by TNS.
.
"If the 2008 Republican
presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the
candidates were
[see below], for whom would you vote?"
Names rotated. Includes leaners.
.
Without
McCain (recalculated, based on second choice of McCain voters):
.
9/4-7/07
7/18-21/07
%
%
Rudy
Giuliani
36
39
Fred Thompson
21
16
Mitt Romney
12
10
Newt Gingrich
6
8
Mike Huckabee
5
2
Sam Brownback
2
1
Duncan Hunter
1
2
Ron Paul
1
2
Tom Tancredo
-
1
Other (vol.)
1
1
None
of these
(vol.)
2
5
Wouldn't vote
(vol.)
2
2
Unsure
11
6
Tommy Thompson
n/a
4
.
"Overall, how satisfied or
dissatisfied are you with the choice of candidates for the Republican nomination
for president this year -- are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat
dissatisfied or very dissatisfied?"
.
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Unsure
%
%
%
9/4-7/07
68
26
5
7/18-21/07
65
32
3
5/29 - 6/1/07
68
28
4
4/12-15/07
65
31
3
2/22-25/07
73
24
3
Diageo/Hotline Pollconducted by Financial Dynamics. Aug.
22-26, 2007. N=604 Republican registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 4.
.
"Are you generally satisfied with the
candidates now running for the Republican nomination for president, or do
you wish there were more choices?"
.
Generally
Satisfied
With There
Were More
Unsure
%
%
%
8/22-26/07
54
38
8
FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll.
Aug. 21-22, 2007. N=314 Republican voters nationwide. MoE ± 5.5.
.
"If
the 2008 Republican presidential primary were held
today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were
[see below]?" Names
rotated
.
Without
Fred Thompson (recalculated, based on second choice of Fred Thompson
voters):
.
8/21-22/07
7/17-18/07
6/26-27/07
6/5-6/07
5/15-16/07
%
%
%
%
%
Rudy Giuliani
36
34
34
26
26
Mitt Romney
13
12
10
14
12
John McCain
9
18
21
16
19
Newt Gingrich
6
3
11
9
7
Mike Huckabee
4
3
3
3
1
Ron Paul
3
2
-
2
1
Sam Brownback
1
1
1
-
2
Tom Tancredo
1
1
1
1
1
Chuck Hagel
-
-
1
1
-
Duncan Hunter
-
-
1
1
1
Other (vol.)
1
2
1
-
1
Unsure
25
22
13
20
25
Wouldn't vote (vol.)
3
2
3
3
2
Tommy Thompson
n/a
1
2
3
2
Jim Gilmore
n/a
n/a
-
-
1
Gallup Poll.
Aug. 13-16, 2007. N=451 Republicans and Republican leaners nationwide. MoE ±
5.
.
"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running
in the Republican primary for president in the next election. After I read
all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most
likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in the year
2008, or if you would support someone else. . . ."
Names rotated
.
Without
Fred Thompson,
Gingrich, Hagel (recalculated, based on second choice):
.
8/13-16/07
%
Rudy Giuliani
39
Mitt Romney
17
John McCain
15
Mike Huckabee
7
Ron Paul
3
Sam Brownback
2
Duncan Hunter
2
Tom Tancredo
1
Someone else
1
None (vol.)/Unsure
13
Quinnipiac University Poll.
Aug. 7-13, 2007. N=611 registered Republicans nationwide. MoE ± 4.
.
"If the 2008
Republican primary for president were being held today, and the candidates
were [see below],
for whom would you vote?"
.
8/7-13/07
6/5-11/07
4/25 - 5/1/07
2/13-19/07
%
%
%
%
Rudy Giuliani
28
27
27
40
Mitt Romney
15
10
8
7
Fred Thompson
12
15
14
n/a
John McCain
11
15
19
18
Newt Gingrich
7
5
8
10
Mike Huckabee
2
2
2
2
Ron Paul
2
1
-
1
Sam Brownback
1
1
1
1
Duncan Hunter
1
1
1
2
Tom Tancredo
1
1
-
1
Tommy Thompson
1
1
1
1
Jim Gilmore
-
-
-
-
Other (vol.)
3
2
2
1
Wouldn't vote (vol.)
2
1
1
-
Unsure
16
17
16
15
George Pataki
n/a
n/a
1
1
Chuck Hagel
n/a
n/a
-
-
CBS
News Poll. Aug. 8-12, 2007. N=295 Republican primary voters nationwide.
.
"Are you generally satisfied
with the candidates now running for the Republican nomination for president, or
do you wish there were more choices?"
.
Satisfied
More Choices
Unsure
%
%
%
8/8-12/07
46
49
5
7/9-17/07
36
60
4
6/26-28/07
30
61
9
5/18-23/07
38
57
5
USA Today/Gallup Poll.
Aug. 3-5, 2007. N=406 Republicans and Republican leaners nationwide. MoE ±
5.
.
"Suppose the choice for the Republican presidential
nomination narrows down to [see below].
Which one would
you prefer the Republican Party nominate for president:
[see below]?"
Names rotated
.
Rudy
Giuliani
John
McCain
Unsure
%
%
%
8/3-5/07
62
33
5
6/1-3/07
56
38
6
5/10-13/07
52
42
6
5/4-6/07
56
38
6
4/13-15/07
57
39
4
4/2-5/07
57
38
6
3/23-25/07
54
39
7
3/2-4/07
58
34
8
2/9-11/07
57
39
4
1/5-7/07
50
42
8
Diageo/Hotline Pollconducted by Financial Dynamics. July
19-22, 2007. Republican primary voters nationwide.
.
"If the 2008 Republican
presidential primary were held today, whom
would you support if the candidates were[see below]?"If
"All": "If you absolutely had
to choose, which one person would you support?"
Names rotated. N=128 Republican
primary voters.
.
%
Rudy Giuliani
36
Fred Thompson
21
Mitt Romney
11
Tommy Thompson
6
Sam Brownback
5
Ron Paul
2
Duncan Hunter
1
Tom Tancredo
1
Mike Huckabee
-
None of these (vol.)
5
Other (vol.)
4
Unsure
8
ABC News/Washington Post Poll.
July 18-21, 2007. N=403 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents
nationwide. MoE ±
5. Fieldwork by TNS.
.
"If the 2008 Republican
presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the
candidates were
[see below], for whom would you vote?"
Names rotated. Includes leaners.
.
Without
Fred Thompson (recalculated, based on second choice of Fred Thompson
voters):
.
7/18-21/07
5/29 - 6/1/07
4/12-15/07
%
%
%
Rudy
Giuliani
39
37
37
John McCain
17
21
22
Mitt Romney
10
9
10
Newt Gingrich
8
10
7
Mike Huckabee
3
2
1
Tommy Thompson
3
1
2
Duncan Hunter
2
1
1
Ron Paul
2
1
1
Tom Tancredo
2
1
1
Sam Brownback
1
1
1
None
of these
(vol.)
6
4
5
Unsure
7
9
8
Jim Gilmore
n/a
1
1
George Pataki
n/a
n/a
1
Chuck Hagel
n/a
n/a
-
CBS
News/New York Times Poll. July 9-17, 2007. Republican primary voters,
from a sample of 1,554 adults nationwide.
.
"Suppose the race for the
Republican Party's presidential nomination in 2008 comes down to a choice among
[see below]. Who would you most like to see
nominated: [see below], or would you
rather see someone else nominated?"
Names rotated
.
Rudy
Giuliani
John
McCain
Mitt
Romney
Other/None
Unsure
%
%
%
%
%
7/9-17/07
37
19
10
26
8
6/26-28/07
42
26
8
19
5
5/18-23/07
36
22
15
21
6
4/9-12/07
47
25
10
13
5
Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg Poll. June 7-10, 2007. N=408 Republican
primary voters nationwide. MoE ± 5.
.
"What if the primary or caucus
in your state was narrowed down to Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Mitt Romney and
Fred Thompson? Regardless of your choice for president, if the election were
being held today, for whom would you vote: Giuliani, McCain, Romney or
Thompson?"
Names rotated. Results include leaners.
.
%
Rudy Giuliani
32
Fred Thompson
28
John McCain
17
Mitt Romney
14
Unsure
9
McLaughlin & Associates (R). May
28-June 1,
2007. N=350 Republican voters
nationwide. MoE ±
5.2.
Note: McLaughlin & Associates polls for
Fred Thompson. This question is from the McLaughlin & Associates National
Omnibus Poll and was not paid for by the Thompson exploratory committee.
.
Preference for Republican Presidential Nominee:
.
%
Rudy
Giuliani
24
Fred Thompson
18
John McCain
17
Mitt Romney
7
Newt Gingrich
5
Sam Brownback
1
Duncan Hunter
1
Mike Huckabee
1
Tom Tancredo
1
Ron Paul
0
Jim Gilmore
0
Tommy Thompson
0
Unsure
26
Diageo/Hotline Pollconducted by Financial Dynamics. May
16-20, 2007. N=196 Republican primary voters nationwide.
.
"If the 2008 Republican
presidential primary were held today, whom
would you support if the candidates were[see below]?"If
"All": "If you absolutely had
to choose, which one person would you support?"
Names rotated
.
%
Rudy Giuliani
26
John McCain
17
Newt Gingrich
10
Fred Thompson
9
Mitt Romney
8
Sam Brownback
2
Mike Huckabee
2
Tom Tancredo
2
Jim Gilmore
1
Duncan Hunter
1
Ron Paul
1
Tommy Thompson
1
Other (vol.)
1
None of these (vol.)
2
Unsure
18
FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll.
May 15-16, 2007. N=900
registered voters nationwide. Results below are
among Republican voters (MoE ± 6).
.
"If
the 2008 Republican presidential primary were held
today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were
[see below]?" Names
rotated
.
Without
Giuliani (recalculated, based on second choice of Giuliani
voters):
.
%
John McCain
25
Mitt Romney
13
Fred Thompson
10
Newt Gingrich
7
Sam Brownback
2
Tom Tancredo
2
Tommy Thompson
2
Jim Gilmore
1
Mike Huckabee
1
Duncan Hunter
1
Ron Paul
1
Chuck Hagel
-
.
Without
McCain (recalculated, based on second choice of McCain
voters):
.
%
Rudy Giuliani
30
Mitt Romney
10
Fred Thompson
8
Newt Gingrich
6
Sam Brownback
3
Mike Huckabee
2
Tommy Thompson
2
Jim Gilmore
1
Chuck Hagel
1
Duncan Hunter
1
Ron Paul
1
Tom Tancredo
1
.
Without
Romney (recalculated, based on second choice of Romney
voters):
.
%
Rudy Giuliani
28
John McCain
18
Fred Thompson
8
Newt Gingrich
7
Sam Brownback
2
Mike Huckabee
2
Tom Tancredo
2
Tommy Thompson
2
Jim Gilmore
1
Duncan Hunter
1
Ron Paul
1
Chuck Hagel
-
Cook Political Report/RT Strategies Poll.
May 11-13, 2007. N=333 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or
lean Republican. MoE ±
5.4.
.
"I am going to read a list of people who might seek the
Republican nomination for president in 2008, and I
will read the list twice. I would like you to tell me who would be your
FIRST CHOICE for the nomination. . . ." Names rotated
.
Without
Fred Thompson (recalculated, based on second choice
of Thompson
voters):
.
5/11-13/07
4/27-29/07
3/29 - 4/1/07
%
%
%
Rudy Giuliani
28
33
38
John McCain
25
22
18
Mitt Romney
10
13
8
Newt Gingrich
8
7
10
Mike Huckabee
2
2
2
Tommy Thompson
2
4
3
Sam Brownback
1
1
1
Jim Gilmore
1
-
1
Chuck Hagel
1
1
-
Ron Paul
1
1
-
Tom Tancredo
1
3
-
Duncan Hunter
-
1
-
Other (vol.)
1
-
1
Unsure
20
13
14
George Pataki
n/a
n/a
2
.
Without
Fred Thompson or Gingrich (recalculated, based on second choice
of Thompson
and Gingrich voters):
.
5/11-13/07
4/27-29/07
3/29 - 4/1/07
%
%
%
Rudy Giuliani
31
36
42
John McCain
27
23
20
Mitt Romney
11
14
9
Mike Huckabee
2
2
2
Tommy Thompson
2
4
4
Sam Brownback
1
1
2
Jim Gilmore
1
-
1
Chuck Hagel
1
1
-
Ron Paul
1
1
-
Tom Tancredo
1
3
-
Duncan Hunter
-
1
-
Other (vol.)
1
-
1
Unsure
21
15
14
George Pataki
n/a
n/a
3
CNN/Opinion
Research Corporation Poll.
May 4-6, 2007. N=414
registered voters nationwide who are
Republicans or lean Republican.
MoE ± 5.
.
"Please tell me which of the following people you would be
most likely to support for the Republican
nomination for president in the year 2008. . . ."
Names rotated
.
Without
Fred Thompson (recalculated, based on second choice of Fred Thompson
voters):
.
5/4-6/07
4/10-12/07
%
%
Rudy
Giuliani
30
31
John McCain
25
25
Mitt Romney
11
12
Newt Gingrich
10
10
Mike Huckabee
4
1
Sam Brownback
3
1
Tom Tancredo
3
1
Jim Gilmore
2
1
Tommy Thompson
2
1
Duncan Hunter
1
-
Ron Paul
1
1
Unsure
8
14
Chuck Hagel
n/a
1
George Pataki
n/a
2
.
"How satisfied are you with the field of Republican
candidates running for president? Are you very satisfied, fairly satisfied,
not very satisfied, or not satisfied at all?"
.
Very
Satisfied
Fairly
Satisfied
Not Very
Satisfied
Not at All
Satisfied
Unsure
%
%
%
%
%
5/4-6/07
20
50
21
5
3
Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton
Survey Research Associates International. May 2-3,
2007.
N=324 registered Republicans and Republican leaners nationwide. MoE ±
7.
.
"Suppose the race for the Republican
Party's presidential nomination
next year comes down
to a choice between [see below]. Who would you MOST like to see
nominated?" If other/unsure:
"As of TODAY, do you LEAN more toward [see below]?"
.
Rudy
Giuliani
John
McCain
Unsure
%
%
%
5/2-3/07
56
41
3
2/28 - 3/1/07
59
34
7
1/24-25/07
48
44
8
.
Rudy
Giuliani
Mitt
Romney
Unsure
%
%
%
5/2-3/07
71
20
9
2/28 - 3/1/07
70
20
10
1/24-25/07
72
17
11
.
John
McCain
Mitt
Romney
Unsure
%
%
%
5/2-3/07
66
21
13
2/28 - 3/1/07
59
26
15
1/24-25/07
69
19
12
.
"All in all, are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the
choice of candidates running for your party's
presidential nomination?"
.
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Unsure
%
%
%
5/2-3/07
52
38
10
Cook Political Report/RT Strategies Poll.
April 27-29, 2007. N=258 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or
lean Republican. MoE ±
6.1.
.
"I am going to read a list of people who might seek the
Republican nomination for president in 2008, and I
will read the list twice. I would like you to tell me who would be your
FIRST CHOICE for the nomination. . . ." Names rotated
.
Without
Giuliani (recalculated, based on second choice
of Giuliani
voters):
.
4/27-29/07
%
John McCain
34
Mitt Romney
16
Fred
Thompson
11
Newt Gingrich
10
Mike Huckabee
3
Tom Tancredo
2
Tommy Thompson
2
Sam Brownback
1
Chuck Hagel
1
Duncan Hunter
1
Ron Paul
1
Jim Gilmore
-
Unsure
16
.
3/29 - 4/1/07
2/15-18/07
11/9-12/06
8/25-27/06
6/1-4/06
%
%
%
%
%
John McCain
27
37
34
30
37
Newt Gingrich
13
20
16
14
9
Fred
Thompson
12
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Mitt Romney
8
12
10
8
10
George Pataki
7
6
5
3
6
Tommy Thompson
4
1
n/a
n/a
n/a
Jim Gilmore
2
1
n/a
n/a
n/a
Mike Huckabee
2
2
2
3
-
Sam Brownback
1
3
1
1
2
Tom Tancredo
1
2
1
4
3
Chuck Hagel
-
1
1
1
1
Duncan Hunter
-
1
1
n/a
n/a
Other (vol.)
1
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Unsure
20
13
24
22
21
Bill Frist
n/a
n/a
5
11
5
George Allen
n/a
n/a
n/a
4
5
CBS News
Poll.
April 9-12, 2007.
N=274 Republican primary voters nationwide.
.
"Suppose the race for the
Republican Party's presidential nomination in 2008 comes down to a choice
between John McCain and Rudy Giuliani. Who would you most like to see nominated:
McCain or Giuliani, or neither of these two candidates?"
.
Rudy
Giuliani
John
McCain
Neither/
Other
Unsure
%
%
%
%
4/9-12/07
52
29
15
4
3/7-11/07
43
34
11
12
2/8-11/07
50
29
13
8
Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg
Poll. April 5-9, 2007.
N=437 Republican primary voters nationwide. MoE ±
5.
.
"What if the primary or
caucus in your state was narrowed down to Rudy Giuliani, John McCain and Mitt
Romney? Regardless of your choice for president, if the election were being held
today, for whom would you vote: Giuliani, McCain or Romney?"
Names rotated. Results include leaners.
.
Giuliani
McCain
Romney
Other (vol.)
Unsure
%
%
%
%
%
4/5-9/07
48
25
20
3
4
Time
Pollconducted by Schulman, Ronca &
Bucuvalas (SRBI) Public Affairs. April 5-9, 2007.
N=437 registered voters nationwide
who are Republicans or lean Republican. MoE ± 4.
.
"What if your choices for
the Republican nomination were just John McCain, Mitt Romney, Rudy Giuliani,
Newt Gingrich and Fred Thompson -- which one would you
vote for if you had to decide today?"
Names rotated
.
%
Rudy
Giuliani
35
John McCain
20
Newt Gingrich
11
Mitt Romney
10
Fred Thompson
10
Other
(vol.)
5
Will not vote (vol.)
3
Unsure
5
FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll.
March 27-28, 2007. N=900
registered voters nationwide. Results below are
among Republican voters (MoE ± 6).
.
"If
Rudy Giuliani and
John McCain were the only choices in the Republican
primary, how would you vote?" Names
rotated
.
Rudy
Giuliani
John
McCain
Unsure
Wouldn't
Vote (vol.)
%
%
%
%
3/27-28/07
50
37
10
4
2/13-14/07
56
31
11
2
12/5-6/06
42
40
15
3
8/29-30/06
46
36
16
2
Time
Pollconducted by Schulman, Ronca &
Bucuvalas (SRBI) Public Affairs. March 23-26, 2007.
N=407 registered voters nationwide
who are Republicans or lean Republican.
.
"Now I'm
going to read a list of candidates who might be running for the Republican
Party presidential nomination in 2008. If the
Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today,
listen carefully to the names and then tell me which candidate you would be most
likely to vote for. . . ."
Names rotated
.
3/23-26/07
3/9-12/07
2/23-26/07
1/22-23/07
%
%
%
%
Rudy
Giuliani
35
40
38
26
John McCain
22
20
24
30
Newt Gingrich
12
10
12
14
Mitt Romney
11
7
7
5
Sam Brownback
2
2
2
3
Jim Gilmore
1
1
-
1
Mike Huckabee
1
2
1
1
Chuck Hagel
-
1
1
1
Tom Tancredo
-
-
1
1
Other
(vol.)
3
2
1
1
Will not
vote (vol.)
1
2
1
1
Unsure
11
13
12
14
George Pataki
n/a
n/a
n/a
2
.
"What if your choices for the
Republican nomination were just John McCain, Mitt Romney, Rudy Giuliani
and Newt Gingrich
-- which one would
you vote for?"
Names rotated
.
3/23-26/07
3/9-12/07
%
%
Rudy
Giuliani
35
43
John McCain
28
24
Newt Gingrich
14
13
Mitt Romney
12
9
Other
(vol.)
1
-
Will not vote (vol.)
1
1
Unsure
9
9
Democracy
Corps Poll conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D).
March 20-25, 2007. N=465
likely Republican primary/caucus voters nationwide.
.
"I know it is a long way
off, but thinking about next year's Republican primary/caucus for president, if
the Republican primary/caucus for president were held today and the candidates
were
[see below], for whom would you vote?"
.
%
Rudy
Giuliani
41
John McCain
23
Mitt Romney
12
Tommy Thompson
4
Sam Brownback
2
Mike Huckabee
2
Duncan Hunter
2
Tom Tancredo
2
Ron Paul
1
Jim Gilmore
0
Other
(vol.)
2
None
(vol.)
1
Unsure
8
McLaughlin & Associates (R). March
21-25,
2007. N=1,000 likely voters
nationwide.
Results below are among Republicans and independents.
.
Preference for Republican Presidential Nominee:
.
%
Rudy
Giuliani
29
John McCain
19
Newt Gingrich
7
Fred Thompson
6
Mitt Romney
5
Mike Huckabee
2
Sam Brownback
1
Chuck Hagel
1
George Pataki
1
Tommy Thompson
1
Ron Paul
0
Tom Tancredo
0
Duncan Hunter
0
Jim Gilmore
0
Unsure
28
NBC
News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted
by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Neil Newhouse (R).
March 2-5, 2007.
Asked of Republicans, and non-Republicans who said they would
vote in a Republican presidential primary (from a total sample of 1,007
adults nationwide).
.
"Thinking of these same
candidates again, are there any candidates for whom you would definitely NOT
vote for the Republican nomination for president?"
.
3/2-5/07
%
John McCain
20
Newt Gingrich
14
Mitt Romney
9
Rudy
Giuliani
7
Sam Brownback
6
Mike Huckabee
4
Tommy Thompson
3
Duncan Hunter
2
None
(vol.)
24
Unsure
22
.
"If the choice for the Republican nomination came down to
Rudy Giuliani and John McCain, for whom would you vote?" If unsure:
"Well, which way do you lean?"
.
Rudy
Giuliani
John
McCain
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
%
%
%
%
3/2-5/07
55
34
1
10
Time
Pollconducted by Schulman, Ronca &
Bucuvalas (SRBI) Public Affairs. Feb. 23-26, 2007.
N=447 registered voters nationwide
who are Republicans or lean Republican.
.
"What if your choices for the
Republican nomination were just John McCain, Mitt Romney, and Rudy Giuliani
-- which one would
you vote for?"
Names rotated
"If
the Republican primary for president were held
today, for whom would you vote: [see below]?"
.
2/22-24/07
1/5-9/07
12/6-8/05
%
%
%
Rudy Giuliani
29
21
17
John McCain
20
17
19
Mitt Romney
9
6
2
Newt Gingrich
7
8
4
Condoleezza
Rice
7
7
12
Sam Brownback
4
1
1
Tom Tancredo
1
n/a
n/a
Duncan Hunter
1
-
n/a
Tommy Thompson
-
2
n/a
Chuck Hagel
-
1
1
Mike Huckabee
-
1
1
Someone else
4
5
4
Unsure
19
23
26
Jeb Bush
n/a
7
4
George Pataki
n/a
1
1
Fred Thompson
n/a
1
1
Bill Frist
n/a
n/a
3
George Allen
n/a
n/a
3
Tim Pawlenty
n/a
n/a
2
Rick Santorum
n/a
n/a
-
Haley Barbour
n/a
n/a
-
Mark Sanford
n/a
n/a
-
Cook Political Report/RT Strategies Poll.
Feb. 15-18, 2007. N=320 Republicans and Republican leaners nationwide. MoE ±
5.5.
.
"I am going to read a list of people who might seek the
Republican nomination for president in 2008, and I
will read the list twice. I would like you to tell me who would be your
FIRST CHOICE for the nomination. . . ." Names rotated
.
WithoutMcCain (recalculated, based on second choice
of McCain
voters):
.
%
Rudy Giuliani
40
Newt Gingrich
17
Mitt Romney
14
George Pataki
5
Sam Brownback
2
Mike Huckabee
2
Duncan Hunter
2
Tom Tancredo
2
Tommy Thompson
2
Jim Gilmore
1
Chuck Hagel
1
Unsure
12
FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll.
Feb. 13-14, 2007. N=900 registered voters nationwide.
Results below are among Republican voters.
.
"If John McCain and
Newt Gingrich were the only choices in the Republican
primary, how would you vote?" Names
rotated
.
John
McCain
Newt
Gingrich
Unsure
Wouldn't
Vote (vol.)
%
%
%
%
2/13-14/07
55
28
14
3
CNN/Opinion
Research Corporation
Poll. Jan. 19-21, 2007. N=365
registered voters nationwide who are
Republicans or lean Republican.
MoE ± 5.
.
"Regardless of who you support, please tell me whether you
would or would not like to see each of the following people run for the
Republican nomination for president . . . ."
Names rotated
.
Would
Would Not
Unsure
%
%
%
Rudy
Giuliani
77
17
6
John McCain
71
23
7
Newt Gingrich
44
46
9
Mitt Romney
34
36
30
WNBC/Marist
Poll.
Nov. 27-Dec. 3, 2006.
N=967 registered voters nationwide. Results below
are among
Republicans and Republican leaners. MoE ± 5.
.
"If the 2008
Republican presidential primary were held today,
whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?"
.
11/27 -
12/3/06
9/18-20/06
2/13-15/06
10/12-13 &
17/05
2/14-16/05
%
%
%
%
%
Rudy Giuliani
24
23
22
21
25
John McCain
23
15
22
19
21
Condoleezza
Rice
15
20
22
21
14
Newt Gingrich
8
7
5
5
5
Mitt Romney
4
4
4
-
1
Bill Frist
3
4
2
2
3
Chuck Hagel
2
-
1
1
-
Tommy Thompson
1
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Mike Huckabee
1
-
n/a
n/a
n/a
Tom Tancredo
1
1
1
1
n/a
George Pataki
1
2
2
2
1
Sam Brownback
-
1
-
2
n/a
Duncan Hunter
-
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Unsure
17
21
17
17
20
George Allen
n/a
2
2
4
-
Jeb Bush
n/a
n/a
n/a
5
7
Rick Santorum
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
1
Bill Owens
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
2
Pew
Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted
by Princeton Survey Research Associates International.
Nov. 9-12, 2006.N=1,191
registered voters nationwide. Results below are
among
Republican voters.
.
"Now I am going to read you
the names of some possible candidates for the Republican
nomination for president in 2008. AFTER I READ ALL THE NAMES, please tell me
which one you would most like to see nominated as the Republican Party's
candidate for president." If unsure: "Well as of today, to whom do you
most lean?"
Names rotated
GallupPoll.
June 1-4, 2006.
N=419 Republicans and Republican leaners nationwide who are registered to
vote. MoE ± 5.
.
"Next, I'm going to read a list of
people who may be running in the Republican primary for president in the
next election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those
candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination
for president in the year 2008, or if you would support someone else. . . ."
Names rotated
.
%
Rudy Giuliani
29
John McCain
24
Newt Gingrich
8
Mitt Romney
6
Bill Frist
6
George Allen
5
Sam Brownback
2
Mike Huckabee
2
George Pataki
1
Someone else
3
None
(vol.)
4
All/Any
(vol.)
1
Unsure
9
Diageo/Hotline Pollconducted by Financial Dynamics. March
16-19, 2006. N=602 registered Republicans nationwide. MoE ± 4.
.
"If the 2008 Republican
presidential primary were held today, whom
would you support if the candidates were[see below]?"If
"All": "If you absolutely had
to choose, which one person would you support?"
.
%
John McCain
25
Rudy Giuliani
23
Newt Gingrich
7
Bill Frist
5
Mitt Romney
4
George Allen
3
George Pataki
2
Chuck Hagel
1
Tom Tancredo
1
None of these (vol.)
4
Wouldn't vote (vol.)
1
Unsure
22
.
"Now, suppose the 2008
Republican presidential primary were being held today between John McCain
and Rudy Giuliani, for whom would you vote?" If unsure:
"Which way would you lean as of today?"
Names rotated
.
Rudy
Giuliani
John
McCain
Unsure
Refused
%
%
%
%
3/16-19/06
42
40
14
3
Cook Political Report/RT Strategies Poll.
Feb. 23-26, 2006.
Republican and Republican-leaning voters nationwide.
.
"Thinking now about the Republican nomination for president
in 2008, will you support John McCain, the senator from Arizona, Newt
Gingrich, the former speaker of the House, Rudy Giuliani, the former mayor
of New York City, or someone else for the Republican nomination for
president in 2008?"
Names rotated
.
John
McCain
Rudy
Giuliani
Newt
Gingrich
Someone
Else
Unsure
%
%
%
%
%
2/23-26/06
30
30
11
12
16
CNN/USA
Today/GallupPoll.
Feb. 9-12, 2006.
N=400 Republicans and Republican leaners nationwide who are registered to
vote. MoE ± 5.
.
"Next, I'm going to read a list of
people who may be running in the Republican primary for president in the
next election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those
candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination
for president in the year 2008, or if you would support someone else.
Virginia Senator George Allen; Kansas Senator Sam Brownback; Tennessee
Senator Bill Frist; former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani; Arizona
Senator John McCain; Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney."
Names rotated
.
%
Rudy Giuliani
33
John McCain
28
George Allen
7
Bill Frist
6
Mitt Romney
3
Sam Brownback
1
Condoleezza
Rice (vol.)
1
Someone else
3
None
(vol.)
6
Unsure
12
CNN/USA
Today/GallupPoll.
Dec. 9-11, 2005.
N=405 Republicans and Republican leaners nationwide who are registered to
vote. MoE ± 5.
.
"Next, I'm
going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primary
for president in the next election. After I read all the names, please tell
me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the
Republican nomination for president in the year 2008, or if you would
support someone else. Virginia Senator George Allen; Mississippi Governor
Haley Barbour; Tennessee Senator Bill Frist; Former New York City mayor Rudy
Giuliani; Arizona Senator John McCain; Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice;
Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney."
Names rotated
.
%
Rudy Giuliani
30
John McCain
22
Condoleezza
Rice
18
George Allen
7
Bill Frist
3
Haley Barbour
2
Mitt Romney
2
Someone else
3
None
(vol.)
3
Unsure
10
Cook Political Report/RT Strategies Poll.
Dec. 8-11, 2005.
N=380 Republicans/Republican leaners
nationwide.
.
"I am going to read a list of people who might
seek the Republican nomination for president in 2008, and I will read the
list twice. I would like you to tell me who would be your first choice for
the nomination: John McCain, the senator from Arizona; Rudy Giuliani, the
former mayor of New York City; Newt Gingrich, the former speaker of the
House; Bill Frist, the senator from Tennessee;
Rick Santorum, the senator from Pennsylvania; Mitt Romney, the governor of
Massachusetts;George Allen, the senator from
Virginia; George Pataki, the governor of New York; Mike Huckabee, the
governor of Arkansas; Mark Sanford, the governor of South Carolina; Chuck
Hagel, the senator from Nebraska; Sam Brownback, the senator from Kansas;
or Tim Pawlenty, the governor of Minnesota?"
Names rotated
.
%
John McCain
25
Rudy Giuliani
25
Newt Gingrich
12
Bill Frist
5
Rick Santorum
4
Mitt Romney
4
George Allen
3
George Pataki
3
Mike Huckabee
2
Mark Sanford
2
Chuck Hagel
2
Sam Brownback
1
Tim Pawlenty
-
Unsure
14
.
Without
Giuliani (recalculated, based on second choice of Giuliani voters):
%
John McCain
30
Newt Gingrich
16
Bill Frist
7
George Pataki
6
Mitt Romney
5
Rick Santorum
5
George Allen
5
Chuck Hagel
2
Mike Huckabee
2
Mark Sanford
2
Sam Brownback
1
Tim Pawlenty
-
Unsure
18
.
Without
McCain (recalculated, based on second choice
of McCain voters):
"Suppose the 2008 Republican
presidential primary were held today, forwhom
would you support if the candidates were[see below]?"If
"All": "If you absolutely had
to choose, which one person would you support?"
Names rotated. N=326 Republican voters, MoE ± 5.4.
.
%
Rudy Giuliani
22
Condoleezza
Rice
22
John McCain
21
Jeb Bush
11
Newt Gingrich
6
Bill Frist
3
None (vol.)
3
Unsure
11
.
"If John McCain were to run in
the Republican primary election forpresident in
2008, how likely would you be to vote for him: very likely,somewhat likely, not very likely, or not at all likely?"
N=326 Republican voters, MoE ± 5.4.
.
Very
Likely
Somewhat
Likely
Not Very
Likely
Not At All
Likely
Unsure
%
%
%
%
%
11/11-15/05
27
39
14
10
10
NBC
News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted
by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill
McInturff (R). Nov. 4-7, 2005.
N=1,003 adults nationwide.
.
"Let me mention
some people who might seek the Republican nomination for president in
2008. If the next Republican primary for president were being held today,
for which one of the following candidates would you vote:
[see below]?"If unsure: "Well,
which way do you lean?"Asked of registered voters who are Republicans/leaners,
or are independents who would vote in a Republican presidential primary.
.
%
Rudy Giuliani
34
John McCain
31
Newt Gingrich
8
Bill Frist
5
Mitt Romney
3
George Allen
3
Sam Brownback
1
Other (vol.)
2
None (vol.)
2
Unsure
11
.
"Are there any
candidates on this list for whom you would definitely NOT vote for the 2008
Republican presidential nomination?"
Multiple responses
accepted. Asked of registered voters who are Republicans/leaners,
or are independents who would vote in a Republican presidential primary.
"If
the 2008 Republican presidential primary were held
today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were[see below]?" Names rotated. Among Republican
voters; MoE ± 5
.
%
Rudy Giuliani
26
John McCain
23
Condoleezza
Rice
18
Newt Gingrich
7
Mitt Romney
3
Bill Frist
2
George Allen
2
Other (vol.)
2
Unsure
17
Wouldn't vote (vol.)
1
CNN/USA
Today/GallupPoll.
Aug. 5-7, 2005.
N=406 Republicans and Republican leaners nationwide who are registered to
vote. MoE ± 5.
.
"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may
be running in the Republican primary for president in the next election.
After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you
would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president
in the year 2008:
Virginia Senator George Allen, Kansas Senator Sam
Brownback, Tennessee Senator Bill Frist,former New York City mayor
Rudy Giuliani, Nebraska Senator Chuck Hagel,
Arizona Senator John McCain, New York Governor
George Pataki, Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice,
Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney."
Names rotated
.
%
Rudy Giuliani
27
John McCain
24
Condoleezza
Rice
19
Bill Frist
9
Mitt Romney
4
George Pataki
3
George Allen
3
Sam Brownback
2
Chuck Hagel
-
None (vol.)
2
All/Any (vol.)
1
Unsure
6
Zogby America Poll.
June 20-22, 2005. Nationwide.
.
"If the Republican primary for president were held
today and the candidates were John McCain, Sam Brownback, Rick Santorum, Bill
Frist, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Chuck Hagel, Rudolph Giuliani, or George
Pataki, for whom would you vote?"
N=632 Republican primary voters, MoE ± 4
.
%
John McCain
35
Rudolph
Giuliani
19
Bill Frist
6
Newt Gingrich
5
Rick Santorum
2
Mitt Romney
2
George Pataki
2
Chuck Hagel
1
Sam Brownback
1
Unsure
27
.
"Now
if the Republican primary for president were held today and the candidates were
John McCain, Sam Brownback, Rick Santorum, Bill Frist, Newt Gingrich, Mitt
Romney, Chuck Hagel, Rudolph Giuliani, George Pataki, Jeb Bush, Dick Cheney, and
Condoleezza Rice, for whom would you vote?"
N=632 Republican primary voters, MoE ± 4
"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may
be running in the Republican primary for president in the next election.
After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you
would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president
in the year 2008: Florida Governor Jeb Bush, Tennessee Senator Bill Frist,
former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani, or Arizona Senator John McCain -- or would you support someone else?"
Names rotated. N=491 Republicans and Republicans leaners
who are registered to vote, MoE ± 5.
"I know it is early, but if the
Republican primary for president were held today, which of the following
would you support for the Republican nomination for president?
. . . "
N=381
registered voters who consider themselves Republicans or lean Republican,
plus independent and undeclared voterswho say they generally vote in Republican primaries;
MoE ±
4.9
"If the Republican primary
for president were held today and the candidates
wereJohn McCain and Rudy Giuliani, for whom would
you vote?"Names
rotated. N=389 Republican presidential primary voters, MoE ± 5.
.
%
Rudy Giuliani
42
John McCain
24
Unsure
34
Gallup Poll.
Nov. 7-10, 2004. Nationwide.
.
"Looking ahead to four years from now when George
Bush will have finished his two terms in office, who do you want to be the
Republican Party presidential nominee in 2008, if
you had to choose today?"
Open-ended. N=505 Republicans and Republicans leaners, MoE ± 5.
.
%
John McCain
10
Rudy Giuliani
10
Colin Powell
7
Jeb Bush
3
Condoleezza
Rice
2
Bill Frist
2
Arnold
Schwarzenegger
2
None
3
Other
12
Unsure
49
.
"Suppose
the choice for the Republican presidential nomination narrows down to
Florida Governor Jeb Bush, former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani, and
Arizona Senator John McCain. Which
one would you prefer the Republican Party nominate for president: Jeb Bush
or Rudy Giuliani or John McCain?"
Names rotated.
N=505 Republicans and Republicans leaners, MoE ± 5.
.
%
Rudy Giuliani
47
John McCain
27
Jeb Bush
17
Unsure
9
McLaughlin & Associates (R). Conducted
the evening of Election Day, Nov. 2,
2004. N=1,000 Nov. 2004 general
election voters
nationwide.
.
"Thinking
ahead to the next presidential election, if the 2008 Republican primary for
president were held today and the candidates were
John McCain, Bill Frist, Rudy Giuliani, George Pataki, Mitt Romney, Jeb
Bush, and Bill Owens, for whom would you vote?"
.
Reps. +
Inds.
Repub-
licans
Indepen-
dents
%
%
%
Rudy Giuliani
30
34
17
.
.
John McCain
18
15
26
.
.
Jeb Bush
5
7
0
.
.
Bill Frist
2
2
2
.
.
George Pataki
2
2
3
.
.
Mitt Romney
1
1
2
.
.
Bill Owens
1
1
2
.
.
Unsure
40
37
49
.
.
Newsweek
Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates
International. Sept. 2-3, 2004.
N=1,008 registered voters nationwide
(MoE ± 4), including 374 Republicans (MoE ±
6).
.
"Looking ahead to the next
presidential campaign, please tell me which, if any, of the following
Republicans you would like to see run for president in 2008. What about
[see below]? Would you like him to run in 2008, or not?"
.
Would
Would Not
Unsure
%
%
%
Rudy Giuliani
ALL voters
50
37
13
Republicans
65
24
11
.
John McCain
ALL voters
48
36
16
Republicans
47
39
14
.
Arnold Schwarzenegger, if the
Constitution were changed to allow foreign-born U.S. citizens to run
