|
|
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Aug. 23-24, 2008. N=432
registered Republicans nationwide. MoE ± 4.5. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"If it were up to you, who would you
rather see the Republican Party choose -- John McCain or someone else -- as
its nominee for president?" |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
McCain |
Someone
Else |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
8/23-24/08 |
57 |
42 |
1 |
|
|
|
6/4-5/08 |
55 |
44 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
Gallup Poll
daily tracking. Three-day rolling average. N=approx. 1,000 Republican and
Republican-leaning voters nationwide. MoE ± 3. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
Preference for Republican Nominee: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
McCain |
Huckabee |
Paul |
Other/
Unsure |
Romney |
Giuliani |
|
Survey end
date |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3/3/08 |
62 |
21 |
5 |
13 |
n/a |
n/a |
|
3/2/08 |
64 |
19 |
5 |
12 |
n/a |
n/a |
|
3/1/08 |
63 |
22 |
4 |
12 |
n/a |
n/a |
|
2/29/08 |
62 |
24 |
3 |
11 |
n/a |
n/a |
|
2/28/08 |
60 |
26 |
3 |
11 |
n/a |
n/a |
|
2/27/08 |
61 |
24 |
3 |
12 |
n/a |
n/a |
|
2/26/08 |
63 |
22 |
4 |
11 |
n/a |
n/a |
|
2/25/08 |
64 |
20 |
5 |
11 |
n/a |
n/a |
|
2/24/08 |
63 |
21 |
6 |
10 |
n/a |
n/a |
|
2/23/08 |
65 |
20 |
6 |
10 |
n/a |
n/a |
|
2/22/08 |
63 |
20 |
6 |
11 |
n/a |
n/a |
|
2/20/08 |
62 |
22 |
5 |
11 |
n/a |
n/a |
|
2/19/08 |
58 |
24 |
5 |
12 |
n/a |
n/a |
|
2/18/08 |
54 |
26 |
6 |
14 |
n/a |
n/a |
|
2/17/08 |
54 |
26 |
6 |
14 |
n/a |
n/a |
|
2/16/08 |
53 |
29 |
6 |
13 |
n/a |
n/a |
|
2/15/08 |
54 |
28 |
5 |
13 |
n/a |
n/a |
|
2/14/08 |
53 |
28 |
5 |
14 |
n/a |
n/a |
|
2/13/08 |
51 |
29 |
5 |
15 |
n/a |
n/a |
|
2/12/08 |
51 |
29 |
6 |
15 |
n/a |
n/a |
|
2/11/08 |
52 |
28 |
5 |
16 |
n/a |
n/a |
|
2/10/08 |
56 |
25 |
6 |
14 |
n/a |
n/a |
|
2/9/08 |
57 |
23 |
5 |
15 |
n/a |
n/a |
|
2/8/08 |
53 |
21 |
5 |
12 |
10 |
n/a |
|
2/7/08 |
46 |
19 |
5 |
12 |
18 |
n/a |
|
2/6/08 |
40 |
21 |
3 |
9 |
26 |
n/a |
|
2/5/08 |
41 |
21 |
4 |
10 |
25 |
n/a |
|
2/4/08 |
41 |
21 |
4 |
10 |
24 |
n/a |
|
2/3/08 |
45 |
17 |
4 |
9 |
25 |
n/a |
|
2/2/08 |
43 |
18 |
4 |
11 |
24 |
n/a |
|
2/1/08 |
44 |
16 |
5 |
11 |
24 |
n/a |
|
1/31/08 |
39 |
17 |
5 |
13 |
24 |
3 |
|
1/30/08 |
37 |
17 |
4 |
13 |
22 |
7 |
|
1/29/08 |
32 |
18 |
4 |
15 |
21 |
11 |
|
1/28/08 |
31 |
17 |
4 |
16 |
19 |
13 |
|
1/27/08 |
29 |
18 |
5 |
15 |
21 |
13 |
|
1/26/08 |
31 |
18 |
5 |
14 |
21 |
12 |
|
1/25/08 |
30 |
20 |
5 |
12 |
20 |
13 |
|
1/24/08 |
31 |
20 |
5 |
12 |
19 |
14 |
|
|
Associated Press-Ipsos poll
conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs. Feb. 22-24, 2008. N=381 Republicans and
leaners nationwide. MoE ± 5. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"If the 2008
Republican presidential primary or caucus in your
state were being held today, and the candidates were [see
below], for whom would you vote?" |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
2/22-24/08 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
John McCain |
53 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
27 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
Other (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
None
(vol.) |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
2/7-10/08 |
1/15-17/08 |
12/3-5/07 |
11/5-7/07 |
10/1-3/07 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
John McCain |
44 |
22 |
13 |
13 |
12 |
|
Mike Huckabee |
30 |
16 |
18 |
10 |
7 |
|
Ron Paul |
9 |
4 |
3 |
n/a |
n/a |
|
Other (vol.) |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
- |
|
None
(vol.) |
12 |
8 |
7 |
7 |
9 |
|
Unsure |
4 |
10 |
9 |
8 |
8 |
|
Mitt Romney |
n/a |
16 |
12 |
12 |
9 |
|
Rudy Giuliani |
n/a |
14 |
26 |
29 |
25 |
|
Fred Thompson |
n/a |
9 |
11 |
19 |
22 |
|
Newt Gingrich |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
7 |
|
Sam Brownback |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
9/21-25/07 |
9/10-12/07 |
7/9-11/07 |
6/4-6/07 |
3/5-7/07 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Rudy Giuliani |
21 |
24 |
21 |
27 |
35 |
|
John McCain |
17 |
15 |
15 |
19 |
22 |
|
Fred Thompson |
17 |
19 |
19 |
17 |
n/a |
|
Mitt Romney |
10 |
7 |
11 |
10 |
8 |
|
Mike Huckabee |
7 |
5 |
3 |
2 |
3 |
|
Newt Gingrich |
5 |
6 |
5 |
7 |
11 |
|
Sam Brownback |
2 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
3 |
|
Other (vol.) |
1 |
- |
2 |
1 |
- |
|
None
(vol.) |
7 |
9 |
8 |
4 |
6 |
|
Unsure |
13 |
13 |
15 |
10 |
12 |
|
|
USA
Today/Gallup Poll.
Feb. 21-24, 2008. N=829 Republicans and Republican leaners nationwide. MoE ±
4. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who are running in
the Republican primary for president. After I read all the names, please
tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for
the Republican nomination for president in 2008, or if you would support
someone else. . . ."
Names rotated. Results from 9/07 & earlier calculated
using second choice of Gingrich supporters. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2/21-24/08 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
John McCain |
61 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
23 |
|
|
|
|
|
Alan Keyes |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
Someone else |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
None (vol.)/Unsure |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2/8-10/08 |
1/30 - 2/2/08 |
1/10-13/08 |
1/4-6/08 |
12/14-16/07 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
John McCain |
53 |
42 |
33 |
19 |
14 |
|
Mike Huckabee |
27 |
18 |
19 |
25 |
16 |
|
Ron Paul |
8 |
5 |
3 |
4 |
3 |
|
Alan Keyes |
2 |
2 |
1 |
- |
3 |
|
Someone else |
2 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
- |
|
None (vol.)/Unsure |
7 |
7 |
7 |
9 |
9 |
|
Mitt Romney |
n/a |
24 |
11 |
9 |
14 |
|
Tom Tancredo |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
1 |
|
Rudy Giuliani |
n/a |
n/a |
13 |
20 |
27 |
|
Fred Thompson |
n/a |
n/a |
9 |
12 |
14 |
|
Duncan Hunter |
n/a |
n/a |
2 |
1 |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11/30 -
12/2/07 |
11/11-14/07 |
11/2-4/07 |
10/12-14/07 |
10/4-7/07 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Rudy Giuliani |
25 |
28 |
34 |
32 |
32 |
|
Mike Huckabee |
16 |
10 |
6 |
6 |
7 |
|
John McCain |
15 |
13 |
18 |
14 |
16 |
|
Fred Thompson |
15 |
19 |
17 |
18 |
20 |
|
Mitt Romney |
12 |
12 |
14 |
10 |
9 |
|
Ron Paul |
4 |
5 |
1 |
5 |
2 |
|
Duncan Hunter |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Tom Tancredo |
1 |
2 |
- |
2 |
1 |
|
Someone else |
1 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
|
None (vol.)/Unsure |
10 |
9 |
9 |
9 |
11 |
|
Sam Brownback |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
2 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
9/14-16/07 |
9/7-8/07 |
8/13-16/07 |
8/3-5/07 |
7/12-15/07 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Rudy Giuliani |
30 |
34 |
32 |
33 |
33 |
|
Fred Thompson |
22 |
22 |
19 |
21 |
21 |
|
John McCain |
18 |
15 |
11 |
16 |
16 |
|
Mitt Romney |
7 |
10 |
14 |
8 |
8 |
|
Mike Huckabee |
4 |
5 |
4 |
2 |
2 |
|
Ron Paul |
4 |
1 |
3 |
2 |
3 |
|
Sam Brownback |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
Duncan Hunter |
2 |
- |
2 |
1 |
1 |
|
Tom Tancredo |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
- |
|
Someone else |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
|
None (vol.)/Unsure |
10 |
8 |
11 |
10 |
11 |
|
Chuck Hagel |
n/a |
1 |
1 |
1 |
- |
|
Tommy Thompson |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
2 |
1 |
|
Jim Gilmore |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
7/6-8/07 |
6/11-14/07 |
6/1-3/07 |
5/10-13/07 |
5/4-6/07 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Rudy Giuliani |
32 |
29 |
35 |
32 |
36 |
|
Fred Thompson |
21 |
21 |
12 |
12 |
14 |
|
John McCain |
16 |
20 |
20 |
24 |
21 |
|
Mitt Romney |
9 |
8 |
14 |
10 |
9 |
|
Duncan Hunter |
3 |
2 |
1 |
- |
1 |
|
Mike Huckabee |
2 |
3 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
|
Tom Tancredo |
2 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
|
Tommy Thompson |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
Sam Brownback |
1 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
|
Chuck Hagel |
1 |
1 |
- |
- |
1 |
|
Jim Gilmore |
- |
1 |
- |
1 |
1 |
|
Ron Paul |
- |
2 |
1 |
- |
- |
|
Someone else |
- |
- |
1 |
2 |
1 |
|
None (vol.)/Unsure |
10 |
8 |
10 |
13 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
4/13-15/07 |
4/2-5/07 |
3/23-25/07 |
3/2-4/07 |
2/9-11/07 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Rudy Giuliani |
38 |
42 |
34 |
49 |
42 |
|
John McCain |
24 |
18 |
22 |
21 |
25 |
|
Fred Thompson |
11 |
12 |
13 |
n/a |
n/a |
|
Mitt Romney |
10 |
7 |
4 |
10 |
6 |
|
Jim Gilmore |
2 |
- |
1 |
- |
2 |
|
George Pataki |
2 |
2 |
- |
1 |
1 |
|
Mike Huckabee |
2 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
|
Ron Paul |
2 |
2 |
1 |
n/a |
n/a |
|
Tommy Thompson |
1 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
|
Sam Brownback |
1 |
1 |
3 |
1 |
4 |
|
Duncan Hunter |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
Tom Tancredo |
- |
2 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
Chuck Hagel |
- |
1 |
- |
- |
1 |
|
Someone else |
1 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
|
None
(vol.) |
2 |
2 |
4 |
3 |
2 |
|
All/Any (vol.) |
- |
- |
1 |
- |
- |
|
Unsure |
4 |
5 |
9 |
8 |
8 |
|
|
Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted
by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Feb. 20-24, 2008.
N=482 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican.
MoE ± 5. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Which of the following Republican candidates would be your first choice
for president: [see below]?" If unsure: "Just as of today,
would you say you lean toward [see below]?"
Names rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
2/20-24/08 |
1/30 - 2/2/08 |
1/9-13/08 |
12/19-30/07 |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
John McCain |
61 |
42 |
29 |
22 |
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
23 |
20 |
20 |
17 |
|
|
Ron Paul |
7 |
5 |
6 |
4 |
|
|
Other
(vol.) |
1 |
- |
- |
1 |
|
|
None
(vol.) |
5 |
3 |
1 |
2 |
|
|
Unsure |
3 |
8 |
5 |
12 |
|
|
Mitt Romney |
n/a |
22 |
17 |
12 |
|
|
Rudy Giuliani |
n/a |
n/a |
13 |
20 |
|
|
Fred
Thompson |
n/a |
n/a |
9 |
9 |
|
|
Duncan Hunter |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
1 |
|
|
|
FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll.
Feb. 19-20, 2008. N=294 Republican voters nationwide. MoE ± 6. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"If
the 2008 Republican presidential primary were held
today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were
[see below]?" Names rotated. Results from 9/07 & earlier calculated
using second choice of Gingrich supporters. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
2/19-20/08 |
1/30-31/08 |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
John McCain |
51 |
48 |
|
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
34 |
19 |
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
7 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
Other (vol.) |
4 |
- |
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
4 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
Wouldn't vote (vol.) |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
n/a |
20 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12/18-19/07 |
11/13-14/07 |
10/23-24/07 |
10/9-10/07 |
9/11-12/07 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Rudy Giuliani |
20 |
33 |
31 |
29 |
34 |
|
Mike Huckabee |
19 |
8 |
5 |
5 |
2 |
|
John McCain |
19 |
17 |
12 |
12 |
16 |
|
Mitt Romney |
11 |
8 |
7 |
11 |
8 |
|
Fred Thompson |
10 |
12 |
17 |
16 |
22 |
|
Ron Paul |
3 |
3 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
|
Duncan Hunter |
2 |
3 |
3 |
1 |
3 |
|
Tom Tancredo |
1 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
|
Other (vol.) |
- |
- |
2 |
1 |
1 |
|
Unsure |
13 |
13 |
16 |
17 |
11 |
|
Wouldn't vote (vol.) |
1 |
2 |
4 |
3 |
1 |
|
Sam Brownback |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
2 |
1 |
|
Chuck Hagel |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
8/21-22/07 |
7/17-18/07 |
6/26-27/07 |
6/5-6/07 |
5/15-16/07 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Rudy Giuliani |
30 |
27 |
31 |
24 |
25 |
|
Fred Thompson |
15 |
17 |
18 |
14 |
9 |
|
Mitt Romney |
12 |
10 |
8 |
12 |
10 |
|
John McCain |
7 |
17 |
18 |
15 |
18 |
|
Mike Huckabee |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
1 |
|
Ron Paul |
3 |
2 |
- |
2 |
1 |
|
Sam Brownback |
1 |
1 |
1 |
- |
2 |
|
Tom Tancredo |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Chuck Hagel |
- |
- |
1 |
1 |
- |
|
Duncan Hunter |
- |
- |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Other (vol.) |
2 |
2 |
1 |
- |
2 |
|
Unsure |
24 |
20 |
12 |
21 |
26 |
|
Wouldn't vote (vol.) |
3 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
|
Tommy Thompson |
n/a |
1 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
|
Jim Gilmore |
n/a |
n/a |
- |
1 |
1 |
|
|
Diageo/Hotline Poll
conducted by Financial Dynamics.
conducted by Financial Dynamics. Feb. 14-17, 2008. N=266 Republican primary
voters nationwide. MoE ± 6. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"If the 2008 Republican
presidential primary were held today, whom
would you support if the candidates were
[see below]?"
If
"All":
"If you absolutely had
to choose, which one person would you support?"
Names rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
2/14-17/08 |
1/10-12/08 |
12/10-14/07 |
8/22-26/07 |
7/19-22/07 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
John McCain |
53 |
32 |
10 |
12 |
17 |
|
Mike Huckabee |
25 |
17 |
17 |
4 |
1 |
|
Ron Paul |
7 |
4 |
7 |
2 |
2 |
|
None of these (vol.) |
2 |
3 |
4 |
2 |
3 |
|
Other (vol.) |
3 |
- |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
All of these (vol.) |
- |
- |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Unsure |
10 |
9 |
14 |
18 |
21 |
|
Mitt Romney |
n/a |
15 |
13 |
15 |
8 |
|
Rudy Giuliani |
n/a |
12 |
21 |
27 |
20 |
|
Fred Thompson |
n/a |
7 |
11 |
17 |
19 |
|
Duncan Hunter |
n/a |
2 |
1 |
1 |
- |
|
Tom Tancredo |
n/a |
n/a |
- |
- |
1 |
|
Sam Brownback |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
- |
4 |
|
Tommy Thompson |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
1 |
|
|
Reuters/Zogby
Poll. Feb. 13-16, 2008. N=434 likely Republican primary voters
nationwide. MoE ± 4.8. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Preference for
Republican Presidential Nominee: |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
2/13-16/08 |
1/10-11/08 |
12/12-14/07 |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
John McCain |
47 |
28 |
12 |
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
32 |
23 |
22 |
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
7 |
4 |
4 |
|
|
|
Someone else |
7 |
- |
- |
|
|
|
Unsure |
8 |
9 |
9 |
|
|
|
Fred
Thompson |
n/a |
14 |
13 |
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
n/a |
13 |
16 |
|
|
|
Rudy Giuliani |
n/a |
9 |
23 |
|
|
|
Duncan Hunter |
n/a |
- |
1 |
|
|
|
Tom Tancredo |
n/a |
n/a |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
11/14-17/07 |
10/10-14/07 |
9/13-16/07 |
7/12-14/07 |
3/22-26/07 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Rudy Giuliani |
29 |
28 |
27 |
21 |
27 |
|
Fred
Thompson |
15 |
20 |
24 |
22 |
9 |
|
Mike Huckabee |
11 |
4 |
3 |
5 |
1 |
|
John McCain |
9 |
8 |
13 |
9 |
13 |
|
Mitt Romney |
9 |
14 |
7 |
11 |
9 |
|
Ron Paul |
5 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
|
Duncan Hunter |
1 |
- |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Tom Tancredo |
- |
2 |
1 |
- |
1 |
|
Someone else |
1 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
|
Unsure |
21 |
18 |
20 |
25 |
28 |
|
Sam Brownback |
n/a |
1 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
|
Tommy Thompson |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
- |
1 |
|
Jim Gilmore |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
- |
n/a |
|
Chuck Hagel |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
1 |
|
|
American Research Group poll.
Feb. 9-13, 2008. N=600 likely Republican primary and caucus voters
nationwide. MoE ± 4. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"If the 2008 Republican presidential preference
primary/caucus were being held today between [see below],
for whom would you vote:
[see below], someone else, or are
you undecided?"
Names rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
2/9-13/08 |
1/9-12/08 |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
John McCain |
54 |
25 |
|
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
31 |
19 |
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
3 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
12 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
Rudy Giuliani |
n/a |
18 |
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
n/a |
17 |
|
|
|
|
Fred Thompson |
n/a |
4 |
|
|
|
|
Duncan Hunter |
n/a |
1 |
|
|
|
|
Alan Keyes |
n/a |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
12/9-12/07 |
11/9-12/07 |
10/9-12/07 |
9/9-12/07 |
8/9-12/07 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Rudy Giuliani |
21 |
25 |
24 |
24 |
27 |
|
Mike Huckabee |
21 |
6 |
6 |
4 |
3 |
|
John McCain |
18 |
12 |
14 |
14 |
13 |
|
Mitt Romney |
16 |
21 |
15 |
9 |
16 |
|
Fred Thompson |
6 |
17 |
16 |
23 |
16 |
|
Ron Paul |
5 |
4 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
|
Duncan Hunter |
1 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
|
Tom Tancredo |
1 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
|
Alan Keyes |
- |
1 |
1 |
n/a |
n/a |
|
Unsure |
11 |
12 |
17 |
15 |
14 |
|
Sam Brownback |
n/a |
n/a |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Newt Gingrich |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
6 |
7 |
|
Tommy Thompson |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
7/9-12/07 |
6/9-12/07 |
5/9-12/07 |
4/9-12/07 |
3/2-5/07 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Rudy Giuliani |
30 |
24 |
28 |
27 |
34 |
|
Fred Thompson |
17 |
15 |
6 |
9 |
n/a |
|
John McCain |
14 |
20 |
24 |
23 |
30 |
|
Newt Gingrich |
10 |
12 |
13 |
10 |
12 |
|
Mitt Romney |
10 |
10 |
8 |
12 |
7 |
|
Sam Brownback |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Jim Gilmore |
1 |
1 |
1 |
- |
1 |
|
Chuck Hagel |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Mike Huckabee |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Duncan Hunter |
1 |
1 |
1 |
- |
- |
|
Ron Paul |
1 |
1 |
1 |
- |
1 |
|
Tom Tancredo |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Tommy Thompson |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
George Pataki |
- |
- |
- |
- |
1 |
|
Unsure |
11 |
11 |
13 |
14 |
9 |
|
|
Newsweek Poll conducted by
Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Feb. 6-7, 2008. N=463
registered Republicans and leaners nationwide. MoE ±
5. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Preference for Republican Nominee: |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
John McCain |
51 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
32 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
Other/Unsure |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
John McCain |
57 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
37 |
|
|
|
|
|
Other/Unsure |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
CNN/Opinion
Research Corporation Poll.
Feb. 1-3, 2008. N=412 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or
lean Republican. MoE ± 5. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Please tell me which of the following people you would be
most likely to support for the Republican
nomination for president:
[see below]?"
Names rotated. Results from 9/07 & earlier calculated using second choice of
Gingrich supporters. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
2/1-3/08 |
1/14-17/08 |
1/9-10/08 |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
John McCain |
44 |
29 |
34 |
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
29 |
19 |
14 |
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
18 |
20 |
21 |
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
6 |
6 |
5 |
|
|
|
Unsure |
2 |
4 |
2 |
|
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani |
n/a |
14 |
18 |
|
|
|
Fred Thompson |
n/a |
9 |
6 |
|
|
|
Duncan Hunter |
n/a |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
12/6-9/07 |
11/2-4/07 |
10/12-14/07 |
9/7-9/07 |
8/6-8/07 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Rudy
Giuliani |
24 |
28 |
27 |
28 |
29 |
|
Mike Huckabee |
22 |
10 |
5 |
5 |
3 |
|
Mitt Romney |
16 |
11 |
13 |
11 |
12 |
|
John McCain |
13 |
16 |
17 |
15 |
16 |
|
Fred Thompson |
10 |
19 |
19 |
27 |
22 |
|
Ron Paul |
6 |
5 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
|
Duncan Hunter |
2 |
4 |
3 |
1 |
- |
|
Tom Tancredo |
1 |
3 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
|
Unsure |
6 |
5 |
11 |
8 |
10 |
|
Sam Brownback |
n/a |
n/a |
1 |
2 |
3 |
|
Tommy Thompson |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
6/22-24/07 |
5/4-6/07 |
4/10-12/07 |
3/9-11/07 |
1/19-21/07 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Rudy
Giuliani |
31 |
25 |
30 |
38 |
35 |
|
Fred Thompson |
21 |
15 |
12 |
n/a |
n/a |
|
John McCain |
19 |
24 |
24 |
19 |
27 |
|
Mitt Romney |
11 |
11 |
10 |
10 |
8 |
|
Mike Huckabee |
2 |
3 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
|
Ron Paul |
2 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
|
Sam Brownback |
1 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
|
Tom Tancredo |
1 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
|
Tommy Thompson |
1 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Jim Gilmore |
- |
3 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
|
Duncan Hunter |
- |
2 |
- |
- |
1 |
|
Unsure |
11 |
9 |
13 |
18 |
17 |
|
George Pataki |
n/a |
n/a |
2 |
3 |
3 |
|
Chuck Hagel |
n/a |
n/a |
1 |
2 |
1 |
|
|
Cook Political Report/RT Strategies Poll.
Jan. 31-Feb. 2, 2008. N=308 Republican primary voters nationwide. MoE ± 5.6. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"I am going to read a list of people who might seek the
Republican nomination for president in 2008. I would like you to tell me who would be your
FIRST CHOICE for the nomination. . . ."
Names rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
1/31 - 2/2/08 |
12/15-17/07 |
11/8-11/07 |
9/13-16/07 |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
John McCain |
39 |
12 |
12 |
15 |
|
|
Mitt Romney |
24 |
14 |
12 |
8 |
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
18 |
18 |
8 |
4 |
|
|
Ron Paul |
6 |
11 |
6 |
3 |
|
|
Other (vol.) |
2 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
Unsure |
12 |
8 |
16 |
17 |
|
|
Rudy Giuliani |
n/a |
16 |
29 |
27 |
|
|
Fred
Thompson |
n/a |
12 |
12 |
18 |
|
|
Tom Tancredo |
n/a |
3 |
3 |
- |
|
|
Duncan Hunter |
n/a |
3 |
1 |
- |
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
5 |
|
|
Sam Brownback |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
8/2-5/07 |
6/21-23/07 |
6/15-17/07 |
5/11-13/07 |
4/27-29/07 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Rudy Giuliani |
26 |
20 |
20 |
25 |
28 |
|
John McCain |
16 |
20 |
16 |
24 |
21 |
|
Fred
Thompson |
14 |
14 |
15 |
8 |
10 |
|
Newt Gingrich |
8 |
5 |
3 |
7 |
6 |
|
Mitt Romney |
7 |
10 |
7 |
9 |
12 |
|
Duncan Hunter |
2 |
- |
1 |
- |
1 |
|
Tommy Thompson |
2 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
|
Jim Gilmore |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
- |
|
Chuck Hagel |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Mike Huckabee |
1 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
|
Tom Tancredo |
- |
1 |
1 |
- |
2 |
|
Sam Brownback |
- |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Ron Paul |
- |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
|
Other (vol.) |
2 |
2 |
3 |
- |
- |
|
Unsure |
20 |
18 |
24 |
19 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
3/29 - 4/1/07 |
2/15-18/07 |
11/9-12/06 |
8/25-27/06 |
6/1-4/06 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Rudy Giuliani |
34 |
32 |
27 |
32 |
24 |
|
John McCain |
17 |
23 |
25 |
20 |
29 |
|
Fred
Thompson |
10 |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
|
Newt Gingrich |
9 |
13 |
10 |
10 |
6 |
|
Mitt Romney |
6 |
10 |
9 |
5 |
8 |
|
Tommy Thompson |
3 |
1 |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
|
Mike Huckabee |
2 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
- |
|
George Pataki |
2 |
4 |
2 |
1 |
4 |
|
Sam Brownback |
1 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Jim Gilmore |
1 |
1 |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
|
Chuck Hagel |
- |
1 |
- |
- |
1 |
|
Duncan Hunter |
- |
1 |
- |
n/a |
n/a |
|
Ron Paul |
- |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
|
Tom Tancredo |
- |
2 |
1 |
3 |
3 |
|
Other (vol.) |
1 |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
|
Unsure |
13 |
8 |
19 |
14 |
15 |
|
Bill Frist |
n/a |
n/a |
4 |
8 |
5 |
|
George Allen |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
4 |
3 |
|
|
CBS News Poll. Jan. 30-Feb. 2, 2008. N=325 Republican primary voters
nationwide. MoE ± 6. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
"Who would you like to see the
Republican Party nominate as its presidential candidate in 2008: [see
below]?" |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
1/30 - 2/2/08 |
1/9-12/08 |
12/5-9/07 |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
John McCain |
46 |
33 |
7 |
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
23 |
8 |
16 |
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
12 |
18 |
21 |
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
9 |
5 |
4 |
|
|
|
Other
(vol.) |
2 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
Unsure |
8 |
15 |
17 |
|
|
|
Rudy Giuliani |
n/a |
10 |
22 |
|
|
|
Fred
Thompson |
n/a |
8 |
7 |
|
|
|
Duncan Hunter |
n/a |
1 |
3 |
|
|
|
Tom Tancredo |
n/a |
n/a |
1 |
|
|
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post Poll.
Jan. 30-Feb. 1, 2008. N=1,249 adults nationwide. MoE ± 3. Fieldwork by TNS. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"If the Republican
presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the
candidates were
[see below], for whom would you vote?"
Names rotated. Includes leaners. For 9/07 and earlier, includes second choices
of Gingrich supporters. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Among likely
Republican primary voters: |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
1/30 - 2/1/08 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
John McCain |
48 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
24 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
16 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Fred Thompson (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
None (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
1/9-12/08 |
12/6-9/07 |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
John McCain |
28 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
20 |
19 |
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
19 |
17 |
|
|
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani |
15 |
25 |
|
|
|
|
Fred Thompson |
8 |
14 |
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
3 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
Duncan Hunter |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
Other (vol.) |
1 |
- |
|
|
|
|
None (vol.) |
2 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
2 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
Tom Tancredo |
n/a |
0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
Among Republicans
and leaners: |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
10/29 -
11/1/07 |
9/27-30/07 |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
Rudy
Giuliani |
33 |
34 |
|
|
|
|
John McCain |
19 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
Fred Thompson |
16 |
17 |
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
11 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
9 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
3 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
Duncan Hunter |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
Tom Tancredo |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
None (vol.) |
4 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
Wouldn't vote
(vol.) |
- |
1 |
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
3 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
Sam Brownback |
n/a |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
9/4-7/07 |
7/18-21/07 |
5/29 - 6/1/07 |
4/12-15/07 |
2/22-25/07 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Rudy
Giuliani |
28 |
37 |
34 |
35 |
53 |
|
Fred Thompson |
19 |
15 |
13 |
10 |
n/a |
|
John McCain |
18 |
16 |
20 |
22 |
23 |
|
Mitt Romney |
10 |
8 |
10 |
10 |
5 |
|
Mike Huckabee |
5 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
|
Sam Brownback |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
Duncan Hunter |
1 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
- |
|
Ron Paul |
1 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
|
Tom Tancredo |
- |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Other (vol.) |
1 |
- |
- |
0 |
- |
|
None
(vol.) |
2 |
5 |
3 |
4 |
2 |
|
Wouldn't vote
(vol.) |
2 |
1 |
- |
- |
1 |
|
Unsure |
10 |
5 |
10 |
7 |
5 |
|
Tommy Thompson |
n/a |
3 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
|
Jim Gilmore |
n/a |
n/a |
1 |
2 |
- |
|
George Pataki |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
1 |
1 |
|
Chuck Hagel |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
- |
1 |
|
|
FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll.
Jan. 30-31, 2008. N=297 Republican voters nationwide. MoE ± 6. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"If John McCain and Mitt Romney were the only choices in
the Republican primary, how would you vote?" Names rotated |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
McCain |
Romney |
Unsure |
Wouldn't
Vote (vol.) |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
1/30-31/08 |
62 |
29 |
6 |
3 |
|
|
12/5-6/06 |
59 |
14 |
5 |
23 |
|
|
|
NBC
News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the
polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Jan. 20-22,
2008. Asked of Republicans, and non-Republicans who said they would vote in a
Republican presidential primary (from a total sample of 1,008
adults nationwide). MoE ± 5.1. |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
"Let me mention some people
who might seek the
Republican
nomination for president in 2008.
If the next Republican primary for president were
being held today, for which one of the following candidates would you vote
. . . ?"
If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
1/20-22/08 |
12/14-17/07 |
11/1-5/07 |
9/28-30/07 |
9/7-10/07 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
John McCain |
28 |
14 |
16 |
15 |
14 |
|
Mike Huckabee |
20 |
17 |
8 |
4 |
4 |
|
Mitt Romney |
17 |
20 |
11 |
10 |
11 |
|
Rudy
Giuliani |
13 |
20 |
33 |
30 |
32 |
|
Fred Thompson |
9 |
11 |
15 |
23 |
26 |
|
Ron Paul |
4 |
4 |
4 |
2 |
2 |
|
Other (vol.) |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
n/a |
|
None
(vol.) |
- |
1 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
|
Unsure |
8 |
9 |
7 |
10 |
6 |
|
Duncan Hunter |
n/a |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
|
Tom Tancredo |
n/a |
1 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
|
Sam Brownback |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
7/27-30/07 |
6/8-11/07 |
4/20-23/07 |
3/2-5/07 |
12/8-11/06 |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Rudy
Giuliani |
33 |
29 |
33 |
38 |
34 |
|
Fred Thompson |
20 |
20 |
17 |
n/a |
n/a |
|
John McCain |
17 |
14 |
22 |
24 |
29 |
|
Mitt Romney |
11 |
14 |
12 |
8 |
8 |
|
Ron Paul |
2 |
2 |
n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
| |