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     Campaign 2012  (p. 2)  

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CNN/ORC Poll. Sept. 28-30, 2012. N=783 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.
RV = registered voters. Among likely voters, except where noted.

             

"Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me if you think Barack Obama or Mitt Romney would better handle that issue if they were elected president. . . ."

 
    Obama Romney Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 
 

"The economy"

 

9/28-30/12

49 48 3 1  
 

9/7-9/12

50 49 1 -  
 

8/31 - 9/3/12

45 51 3 1  
 

8/22-23/12

46 50 3 1  
 

6/28 - 7/1/12 RV

47 48 5 1  
             
 

"Foreign policy"

 

9/28-30/12

52 45 2 2  
 

9/7-9/12

54 42 3 2  
 

8/31 - 9/3/12

49 46 2 2  
 

8/22-23/12

51 44 3 1  
 

6/28 - 7/1/12 RV

53 41 4 1  
             
 

"Medicare"

 

9/28-30/12

52 44 2 2  
 

9/7-9/12

54 43 2 1  
 

8/31 - 9/3/12

49 46 2 3  
 

8/22-23/12

49 48 3 1  
             
 

"The federal budget deficit" N=392 (Version A), margin of error 5

 

9/28-30/12

43 51 4 3  
 

9/7-9/12

47 50 3 -  
 

8/22-23/12

42 52 6 -  
 

6/28 - 7/1/12 RV

42 52 5 1  
             
 

"Taxes" N=392 (Version A), margin of error 5

 

9/28-30/12

52 44 2 2  
 

9/7-9/12

51 46 2 1  
 

8/22-23/12

50 46 3 -  
             
 

"Health care" N=392 (Version A), margin of error 5

 

9/28-30/12

50 45 3 2  
 

9/7-9/12

54 45 2 -  
 

8/22-23/12

49 48 1 1  
 

6/28 - 7/1/12 RV

51 44 4 1  
             
 

"Immigration policy" N=391 (Version B), margin of error 5

 

9/28-30/12

51 47 1 1  
             
 

"Education" N=391 (Version B), margin of error 5

 

9/28-30/12

54 42 1 2  
 

9/7-9/12

59 38 1 2  
             
 

"Unemployment" N=391 (Version B), margin of error 5

 

9/28-30/12

45 51 2 1  
 

9/7-9/12

51 47 1 1  
             
 

"Mortgage and housing issues" N=391 (Version B), margin of error 5

 

9/28-30/12

49 48 1 1  
 

"Who do you think is likely to do a better job in the presidential debates: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?" N=392 (Version A), margin of error 5

 
    Obama Romney No
difference
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

9/28-30/12

56 32 2 9  
 

9/7-9/12

59 34 2 5  
             

"Who do you think is likely to do a better job in the vice presidential debates [sic]: Joe Biden, or Paul Ryan?" N=391 (Version B), margin of error 5

 
    Biden Ryan No
difference
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

9/28-30/12

39 55 1 5  

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Sept. 26-30, 2012. N=1,000 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.1.

             

"Now I'd like you to compare Barack Obama and Mitt Romney on a few qualities that people might look for in a president. For each one, please tell me whether you think that Barack Obama would be better or Mitt Romney would be better on that item. If you think that both would be equally good or that neither would be good on a particular item, just say so. Who do you think would be better when it comes to [see below]: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney, or do you think that both would be equally good or neither would be good?"

 
    Obama
better
Romney
better
Equally
good
Neither Depends
(vol.)/Unsure
    % % % % %
 
 

"Changing business as usual in Washington" Half sample (Form A)

 

9/26-30/12

36 36 8 18 2
 

8/16-20/12

31 37 5 24 3
 

7/18-22/12

32 33 6 27 2
 

4/13-17/12 Adults

29 36 9 23 3
             

"I'd like you to compare Barack Obama and Mitt Romney on a few issues. For each one, please tell me whether you think that Barack Obama or Mitt Romney would be better on that issue. If you think that both would be equally good or that neither would be good on a particular issue, just say so. Who do you think would be better when it comes to [see below]: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney, or do you think that both would be equally good or neither would be good?"

 
    Obama
better
Romney
better
Equally
good
Neither Depends
(vol.)/Unsure
    % % % % %
 
 

"Dealing with health care" Half sample (Form B)

 

9/26-30/12

49 40 4 6 1
 

7/18-22/12

44 37 5 12 2
             
 

"Handling the situation in the Middle East" Half sample (Form A)

 

9/26-30/12

48 32 5 12 3
             
 

"Dealing with immigration" Half sample (Form A)

 

9/26-30/12

45 31 9 12 3
 

7/18-22/12

38 36 8 16 2
             
 

"Dealing with the economic challenges we face from China" Half sample (Form B)

 

9/26-30/12

37 45 6 8 4

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Sept. 26-29, 2012. N=929 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.5. RV = registered voters.

             

"Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you trust to do a better job [see below]: Obama or Romney?" Candidate names rotated. Some items asked of half the sample.

 
    Obama Romney Both
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 
 

"Dealing with social issues such as abortion and gay marriage"

 

9/26-29/12 RV

52 38 1 5 4
 

9/7-9/12 RV

50 39 1 5 4
 

8/22-25/12 RV

52 38 1 5 4
 

4/5-8/12 Adults

46 38 1 5 10
             
 

"Handling terrorism"

 

9/26-29/12 RV

53 39 2 2 4
 

9/7-9/12 RV

51 40 3 4 3
 

4/5-8/12 Adults

47 40 2 3 8
 

2/1-4/12 RV

54 38 2 2 4
             
 

"Addressing women's issues"

 

9/26-29/12 RV

54 36 2 4 6
 

9/7-9/12 RV

55 34 1 3 7
 

8/22-25/12 RV

51 35 1 7 6
 

4/5-8/12 Adults

53 34 1 4 8
 

"Please tell me whether the following statement applies to Obama, or not: He knows enough about world affairs to serve effectively as president."

 
    Applies Does not
apply
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

9/26-29/12 RV

64 34 2

 

 

 

"Please tell me whether the following statement applies to Romney, or not: He knows enough about world affairs to serve effectively as president."

 
    Applies Does not
apply
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

9/26-29/12 RV

51 43 6

 

 

 

"How interested, if at all, are you in the upcoming presidential debates: very interested, somewhat interested, not so interested or not at all interested?"

 
    Very
interested
Somewhat
interested
Not so
interested
Not at all
interested
 
    % % % %  
 

9/26-29/12 RV

51 32 8 9

 

 

"Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think will win the debates: Obama or Romney?" Options rotated

 
    Obama Romney Tie (vol.) Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

9/26-29/12 RV

56 29 3 11

 


 

USA Today/Gallup Poll. Sept. 24-27, 2012. N=1,446 adults nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"Thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say whether you think each one applies more to Barack Obama or more to Mitt Romney. How about [see below]?"

 
    Obama Romney Both
equally
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 
 

"Is a strong and decisive leader"

 

9/24-27/12

49 41 3 5 2
 

8/20-22/12

47 42 5 6 2
             
 

"Can manage the government effectively"

 

9/24-27/12

46 44 2 7 2
 

8/20-22/12

45 44 3 6 2
             
 

"Understands the problems Americans face in their daily lives"

 

9/24-27/12

55 35 3 5 2
 

7/19-22/12

50 39 3 7 1
             
 

"Shares your values"

 

9/24-27/12

50 42 2 4 2
             
 

"Is more likely to keep his campaign promises"

 

9/24-27/12

48 41 2 8 2
             

"Regardless of which presidential candidate you support, please tell me if you think Barack Obama or Mitt Romney would better handle each of the following issues. How about [see below]?"

 
    Obama Romney Same (vol.) Unsure  
    % % % %  
 
 

"The economy"

 

9/24-27/12

45 49 3 4  
 

8/20-22/12

43 52 2 3  
 

7/19-22/12

41 51 3 5  
             
 

"The federal budget deficit"

 

9/24-27/12

39 52 3 6  
 

8/20-22/12

39 54 2 5  
 

7/19-22/12

36 55 4 6  
             
 

"Health care"

 

9/24-27/12

51 45 1 3  
 

8/20-22/12

52 43 1 4  
 

7/19-22/12

47 47 3 3  
             
 

"Foreign affairs"

 

9/24-27/12

53 41 2 4  
 

8/20-22/12

54 40 1 5  
 

7/19-22/12

52 40 2 6  
             
 

"Taxes"

 

9/24-27/12

48 45 2 5  
 

8/20-22/12

52 43 1 4  
 

7/19-22/12

45 49 2 4  
             
 

"Medicare"

 

9/24-27/12

50 42 3 5  
 

8/20-22/12

53 41 1 5  
             
 

"Energy"

 

9/24-27/12

50 41 2 7  
 

8/20-22/12

53 40 1 6  
             
 

"Social issues such as gay marriage and abortion"

 

9/24-27/12

59 33 2 7  
             
 

"Terrorism and other international threats"

 

9/24-27/12

52 42 3 4  
             

"Do you think each of the following groups in the United States would be better off in four years if Barack Obama is elected or if Mitt Romney is elected? How about [see below]?"

 
    Obama Romney Same/No
difference
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 
 

"Racial and ethnic minorities"

 

9/24-27/12

67 25 4 4  
             
 

"Lower-income Americans"

 

9/24-27/12

66 30 2 2  
             
 

"Women"

 

9/24-27/12

57 35 5 3  
             
 

"Young adults"

 

9/24-27/12

54 41 3 3  
             
 

"Senior citizens"

 

9/24-27/12

53 42 4 2  
             
 

"Middle-income Americans"

 

9/24-27/12

53 43 2 1  
             
 

"Small business owners"

 

9/24-27/12

47 47 2 3  
             
 

"Men"

 

9/24-27/12

35 51 8 6  
             
 

"Investors"

 

9/24-27/12

26 67 3 4  
             
 

"Upper-income Americans"

 

9/24-27/12

20 75 3 3  

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Sept. 24-26, 2012. N=1,092 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3. RV = registered voters

             

"Regardless of how you might vote, which presidential candidate do you trust to do a better job on each of the following issues: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? . . ." Each item asked of half the sample, margin of error 4.

 
    Obama Romney Both (vol.) Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 
 

"Handling foreign policy"

 

9/24-26/12

52 41 1 2 3
 

9/9-11/12

54 39 - 3 4
 

8/5-7/12 RV

51 38 2 4 5
 

6/3-5/12 RV

49 38 2 5 6
             
 

"Protecting the U.S. from terrorist attacks"

 

9/24-26/12

50 40 4 3 3
 

9/9-11/12

49 41 4 3 4
             
 

"Providing moral leadership for the country"

 

9/24-26/12

49 44 3 2 2
             
 

"Improving the economy and creating jobs"

 

9/24-26/12

47 46 1 3 2
 

9/9-11/12

46 46 1 4 3
             
 

"Managing your tax dollars"

 

9/24-26/12

45 46 1 5 3
             
 

"Cutting government spending"

 

9/24-26/12

38 55 1 4 3
 

9/9-11/12

39 52 1 5 4
 

6/3-5/12 RV

31 51 2 9 7

 

Bloomberg National Poll conducted by Selzer & Company. Sept. 21-24, 2012. N=1,007 adults nationwide. Margin of error 3.1.

             

"For each of the following, please tell me which candidate do you think would be best: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? . . ." N=789 likely voters, margin of error 3.5.

 
    Obama Romney Unsure    
    % % %    
 
 

"In understanding your problems and struggles"

 

9/21-24/12

51 38 11    
             
 

"In creating jobs"

 

9/21-24/12

45 47 8    
             
 

"In handling immigration"

 

9/21-24/12

46 42 12    
             
 

"In appearing regularly on your TV or computer screen for the next four years"

 

9/21-24/12

48 39 13    
             
 

"On health care"

 

9/21-24/12

49 43 8    
             
 

"On women's issues"

 

9/21-24/12

54 34 12    
             
 

"On improving the economic situation for the middle class"

 

9/21-24/12

49 44 7    
             
 

"On making the U.S. energy independent"

 

9/21-24/12

45 43 12    
             
 

"On dealing with gasoline prices"

 

9/21-24/12

39 46 15    
             
 

"On reviving the housing market"

 

9/21-24/12

44 44 12    
 

"Whom do you think has laid out a better vision for a successful economic future for the U.S.: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?" Options rotated

 
    Obama Romney Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

9/21-24/12

48 39 6 7  
             

"Is it your sense that Mitt Romney's economic policies would or would not be a revival of those of former president George W. Bush?"

 
    Would Would not Unsure    
    % % %    
 

9/21-24/12

45 37 18    
             

"Is it your sense that Barack Obama's economic policies are or are not a revival of those of former president Bill Clinton?"

 
    Are Are not Unsure    
    % % %    
 

9/21-24/12

40 43 17    
             

"The candidates are debating two main approaches to stimulating the economy. Barack Obama says resources and tax breaks should target the middle class so that they can spend more and earn more and create demand that will produce new jobs. Mitt Romney says resources and tax breaks should target higher income earners and corporations, who he calls the job creators, so they will invest and hire more workers. Regardless of whom you support, whose approach do you think would do the most good for the economy: Barack Obama's or Mitt Romney's?" Options rotated

 
    Obama's
approach
Romney's
approach
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

9/21-24/12

52 40 8    
             

"Gov. Mitt Romney has told donors that 47 percent of Americans think of themselves as 'victims' who are dependent on government programs. Which best describes your reaction? He's right and more people should be able to make it on their own. He's wrong and most Americans work hard and sometimes need some help from the government." Options rotated

 
    He's right He's wrong Unsure    
    % % %    
 

9/21-24/12

41 51 8    

 

George Washington University/Politico Battleground Poll conducted by the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D). Sept. 16-20, 2012. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.1.

             

"Thinking again about the presidential election, regardless of who you intend to vote for, which candidate for president do you think is going to win the election?"

 
    Obama Romney Unsure    
    % % %    
 

9/16-20/12

60 30 10    

 

Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Poll. Sept. 13-19, 2012. N=1,367 registered voters nationwide.

             

"Which presidential candidate, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney, do you trust to do a better job [see below]?"

 
    Obama Romney Both (vol.) Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure/
Refused
    % % % % %
 
 

"Determining the future of the 2010 health care law"

 

9/13-19/12

53 35 1 6 5
             
 

"Making decisions about women's reproductive health choices and services"

 

9/13-19/12

53 31 1 9 7
             
 

"Determining the future of the Medicare program"

 

9/13-19/12

52 35 1 7 6
             
 

"Lowering health costs for people like you"

 

9/13-19/12

51 34 1 9 6
 

7/17-23/12 Adults

43 33 2 14 8
             
 

"Determining the future of the Medicaid program"

 

9/13-19/12

53 33 1 6 7

 

USA Today/Gallup Poll. Sept. 18, 2012. N=885 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 4. Interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking.

             

"As you may know, a video in the news today shows Mitt Romney speaking at a fundraiser earlier this year. In the video, Romney described Obama supporters by saying 'there are 47 percent who are with Obama, who are dependent on government, who believe they are victims, and who believe the government has a responsibility to care for them.' Do these comments by Mitt Romney make you more likely to vote for Romney, less likely to vote for Romney, or don't they make a difference?"

 
    More likely Less likely No
difference
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

9/18/12

20 36 43 2  

 

USA Today/Gallup Poll. Sept. 16-17, 2012. N=954 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 4. Interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking.

             

"From what you know or have read, do you think each of the following has or has not put forth a specific plan to address issues facing the Medicare system? How about . . . ?"

 
    Has Has not Unsure    
    % % %    
 
 

"Barack Obama and Joe Biden"

 

9/16-17/12

49 48 4    
             
 

"Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan"

 

9/16-17/12

43 50 7    
             

"Do you think any changes made to the Medicare system by [see below] over the next four years would strengthen Medicare, weaken it, or not make much difference?"

 
    Strengthen Weaken Not much
difference
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 
 

"Barack Obama and Joe Biden"

 

9/16-17/12

33 35 29 4  
             
 

"Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan"

 

9/16-17/12

32 33 29 5  
             

"All in all, which presidential candidate do you trust more to address issues facing the Medicare system: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?" Options rotated

 
    Obama Romney Unsure    
    % % %    
 

9/16-17/12

51 43 6    

 

AP-GfK Poll conducted by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Corporate Communications. Sept. 13-17, 2012. N=1,512 adults nationwide (margin of error 3.2), including 807 likely voters (margin of error 4.3).
LV = likely voters. Among adults, except where noted.

             

"Do you feel you have a good idea of what policies Barack Obama would pursue if elected to a second term as president, or not?"

 
    Yes No Unsure    
    % % %    
 

9/13-17/12

82 14 4    
 

5/3-7/12

67 28 5    
             

"Do you feel you have a good idea of what policies Mitt Romney would pursue if elected president, or not?"

 
    Yes No Unsure Refused  
    % % % %  
 

9/13-17/12

68 27 5 -  
 

5/3-7/12

44 48 8 1  
             

"Regardless of whom you may support, who do you trust to do a better job of [see below]: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?" Options rotated

 
    Obama Romney Neither
(vol.)
Unsure Refused
    % % % % %
 
 

"Handling social issues, such as abortion and same-sex marriage"

 

9/13-17/12 LV

52 40 4 3 1
 

8/16-20/12

54 33 5 7 1
 

6/14-18/12

52 36 8 4 -
 

5/3-7/12

53 32 6 8 1
             
 

"Handling health care"

 

9/13-17/12 LV

50 43 4 3 -
 

6/14-18/12

49 40 7 4 -
             

"And regardless of whom you may support, which of the following candidates do you think [see below]: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?" Options rotated

 
    Obama Romney Neither
(vol.)
Unsure Refused
    % % % % %
 
 

"Is a stronger leader"

 

9/13-17/12 LV

50 46 1 3 1
 

8/16-20/12

52 40 3 5 -
 

5/3-7/12

50 39 5 6 -
             
 

"More often says what he really believes"

 

9/13-17/12 LV

50 42 4 3 -
 

8/16-20/12

52 35 8 6 -
 

5/3-7/12

54 31 10 6 -

 

Pew Research Center. Sept. 13-16, 2012. N=1,001 adults nationwide. Margin of error 3.6.

             

"As I read a list of some stories covered by news organizations this past week, please tell me if you happened to follow each news story very closely, fairly closely, not too closely, or not at all closely. ... Attacks on American embassies and consulates in the Middle East and the killing of the U.S. ambassador in Libya."

 
    Very
closely
Fairly
closely
Not too
closely
Not at all
closely
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

9/13-16/12

43 24 15 17 1
             

Asked of those who have followed news of the attacks (N=854, margin of error 3.9):
"Thinking about the recent attacks on U.S. embassies and consulates in the Middle East and the killing of the U.S. ambassador in Libya: From what you've seen and heard, do you approve or disapprove of how Barack Obama has handled this situation?"

 
    Approve Disapprove Unsure    
    % % %    
 

9/13-16/12

45 36 19

 

 

             

Asked of those who have followed news of the attacks (N=854, margin of error 3.9):
"Do you approve or disapprove of the comments Mitt Romney has made about this situation?"

 
    Approve Disapprove Unsure    
    % % %    
 

9/13-16/12

26 48 26

 

 


Campaign 2012 continued


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