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     Campaign 2012  (p. 4)    

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Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Poll. July 17-23, 2012. N=1,227 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.

             

"Which presidential candidate, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney, do you trust to do a better job [see below]?"

 
    Obama Romney Both (vol.) Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure/
Refused
    % % % % %
 
 

"Dealing with the future of the 2010 health care law"

 

7/17-23/12

45 34 2 11 7
 

5/8-14/12

50 31 1 10 8
             
 

"Handling the Medicaid program"

 

7/17-23/12

44 34 2 12 8
             
 

"Handling the Medicare program"

 

7/17-23/12

45 34 2 11 8

 

USA Today/Gallup Poll. July 19-22, 2012. N=1,030 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.

             

"Thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say whether you think each one applies more to Barack Obama or more to Mitt Romney. How about . . . ?"

 
    Obama Romney Both
equally (vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 
 

"Can get things done"

 

7/19-22/12

41 46 3 7 3
             

"Regardless of which presidential candidate you support, please tell me if you think Barack Obama or Mitt Romney would better handle each of the following issues. How about creating jobs?"

 
    Obama Romney Same (vol.) Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

7/19-22/12

44 50 3 4  
             

"Now, I'd like you to think about Mitt Romney's background in business, including his time as head of Bain Capital. Do you think his business background would cause him to make good decisions or bad decisions as president in dealing with economic problems the U.S. will face over the next four years?"

 
    Good
decisions
Bad
decisions
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/19-22/12

63 29 8    

 

United Technologies/National Journal Congressional Connection Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. July 19-22, 2012. N=1,001 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.8.

             

"If elected president in 2012, who do you think would do a better job of reaching agreement with members of Congress from the other party: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?" Options rotated

 
    Obama Romney Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

7/19-22/12

43 33 10 14

 


 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). July 18-22, 2012. N=1,000 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.1.

             

"For each of the following candidates, please tell me whether that person has a background and set of values that you can identify with, or whether he does NOT have a background and set of values that you can identify with. . . ."

 
    Can
identify with
Cannot
identify with
Unsure    
    % % %    
 
 

Barack Obama

 

7/18-22/12

50 47 3    
             
 

Mitt Romney

 

7/18-22/12

42 52 6    
             

"Now I'd like you to compare Barack Obama and Mitt Romney on a few qualities that people might look for in a president. For each one, please tell me whether you think that Barack Obama would be better or Mitt Romney would be better on that item. If you think that both would be equally good or that neither would be good on a particular item, just say so. Who do you think would be better when it comes to [see below]: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney, or do you think that both would be equally good or neither would be good?"

 
    Obama
better
Romney
better
Equally
good
Neither Depends
(vol.)/Unsure
    % % % % %
 
 

"Being consistent and standing up for his beliefs" Half sample (Form B)

 

7/18-22/12

37 35 17 9 2
 

4/13-17/12 Adults

41 30 14 13 2
             
 

"Having good ideas for how to improve the economy"

 

7/18-22/12

36 43 9 11 1
 

4/13-17/12 Adults

34 40 11 13 2
             

"Now I'd like you to compare Barack Obama and Mitt Romney on a few issues. For each one, please tell me whether you think that Barack Obama or Mitt Romney would be better on that issue. If you think that both would be equally good or that neither would be good on a particular issue, just say so. Who do you think would be better when it comes to [see below]: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney, or do you think that both would be equally good or neither would be good?"

 
    Obama
better
Romney
better
Equally
good
Neither Depends
(vol.)
    % % % % %
 
 

"Handling the situation in Afghanistan" Half sample (Form B)

 

7/18-22/12

43 27 8 17 5

 

USA Today/Gallup Poll. July 18, 2012. N=539 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 5. Interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking.

             

"Which comes closer to your view of presidential candidates publicly releasing their past tax returns? Tax returns provide legitimate information that helps voters make better decisions about who should be president. OR, Tax returns are largely irrelevant to helping voters decide who should be president." Options rotated

 
    Provide
legitimate
information
Largely
irrelevant
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/18/12

44 47 9

 

 

             

"As you may know, Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney has released his tax returns from the past two years, but the Obama campaign is calling for him to release returns from additional years. Do you think Romney should or should not release tax returns from additional years?"

 
    Should Should not Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/18/12

54 37 9

 

 

             

"Just your best guess, if Mitt Romney does release additional tax returns, do you think it would reveal information about his finances so serious it would show he is unfit to be president; it would reveal information that is politically harmful to his campaign, but nothing that would show he is unfit to be president; or it would not reveal anything politically harmful to his campaign?" Options rotated

 
    Would show
he's unfit
Harmful, but
not unfit
Nothing
harmful
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

7/18/12

15 29 42 14

 


 

CBS News/New York Times Poll. July 11-16, 2012. N=942 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.

             

"Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate do you think would do a better job handling illegal immigration: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?"

 
    Obama Romney Both (vol.) Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

7/11-16/12

38 46 1 4 11
             

"Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate do you think would do a better job handling social issues like abortion and same-sex marriage: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?"

 
    Obama Romney Both (vol.) Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

7/11-16/12

48 37 1 6 8
             

"Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate do you think would do a better job handling taxes: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?"

 
    Obama Romney Both (vol.) Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

7/11-16/12

42 47 0 4 7
             

"Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate do you think would do a better job handling terrorism and national security: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?"

 
    Obama Romney Both (vol.) Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

7/11-16/12

44 43 4 3 6

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. July 9-11, 2012. N=849 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5.

             

"Which candidate will do a better job handling the economy . . . ?"

 
    Obama Romney Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/9-11/12

46 44 11

 

 

             

"Which candidate will do a better job handling foreign policy . . . ?"

 
    Obama Romney Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/9-11/12

47 41 13

 

 


 

Pew Research Center. June 28-July 9, 2012. N=2,373 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 2.3.

             

"Regardless of who you support, which one of the presidential candidates -- Mitt Romney or Barack Obama -- do you think would do the best job of [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    Romney Obama Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 
 

"Improving economic conditions" N=1,185 (Form 1)

 

6/28 - 7/9/12

42 48 4 6  
 

6/7-17/12

49 41 5 5  
             
 

"Defending the country from future terrorist attacks" N=1,185 (Form 1)

 

6/28 - 7/9/12

38 50 5 7  
             
 

"Dealing with the nation's energy problems" N=1,185 (Form 1)

 

6/28 - 7/9/12

37 49 4 9  
             
 

"Selecting justices to serve on the Supreme Court" N=1,188 (Form 2)

 

6/28 - 7/9/12

41 46 4 9  
             
 

"Reflecting your views on social issues like abortion and gay rights"

 

6/28 - 7/9/12

36 50 5 9  
             
 

"Dealing with the problems of poor and needy people"

 

6/28 - 7/9/12

30 60 5 5  
             
 

"Dealing with immigration"

 

6/28 - 7/9/12

42 46 6 7  

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. July 5-8, 2012. N=1,003 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.

             

"Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you trust to do a better job [see below]: Obama or Romney?" Options rotated. RV = registered voters

 
    Obama Romney Both
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 
 

"Handling immigration issues" Half sample (Form A)

 

7/5-8/12

45 45 1 5 5
             
 

"Making appointments to the U.S. Supreme Court" Half sample (Form B)

 

7/5-8/12

48 37 2 6 7
 

"Regardless of who you may support, who do you think [see below]: Obama or Romney?" Options rotated

 
    Obama Romney Both
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 
 

"Is more likely to stand up for what he believes in" Half sample (Form B)

 

7/5-8/12

48 39 5 5 3
 

5/17-20/12

51 38 3 4 4
 
 

"Has presented a clearer plan for dealing with the economic situation" Half sample (Form B)

 

7/5-8/12

43 38 2 12 5

 

Quinnipiac University Poll. July 1-8, 2012. N=2,722 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 1.9.

             

"Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?"

 
    Deserves to
be reelected
Does not
deserve
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/1-8/12

47 49 5

 

 

 

11/14-20/11

45 48 7

 

 

 

10/25-31/11

47 49 4

 

 

 

9/27 - 10/3/11

42 54 4

 

 

 

8/16-27/11

42 51 7

 

 

 

7/5-11/11

47 47 7

 

 

 

5/31 - 6/6/11

46 48 6

 

 

 

5/2-3/11

46 42 11

 

 

 

4/26 - 5/1/11

45 48 6

 

 

 

3/22-28/11

41 50 9

 

 

 

2/21-28/11

45

47

7

 

 

 

11/8-15/10

43

49

9

 

 

 

7/13-19/10

40

48

12

 

 

 

3/16-21/10

40

48

11

 

 

             

"Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?"

 
    Obama Romney Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/1-8/12

45 46 9

 

 

             

"Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would be better for your personal economic future: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?"

 
    Obama Romney Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/1-8/12

44 47 9

 

 

             

"Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on foreign policy: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?"

 
    Obama Romney Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/1-8/12

47 40 13

 

 

             

"Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on immigration: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?"

 
    Obama Romney Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/1-8/12

43 45 12

 

 

             

"Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on health care: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?"

 
    Obama Romney Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/1-8/12

45 44 11

 

 


 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). June 24-26, 2012. N=912 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.

             

"Do you think Barack Obama has a clear plan for improving the economy, or not?"

 
    Yes No Unsure    
    % % %    
 

6/24-26/12

41 53 6

 

 

             

"Do you think Mitt Romney has a clear plan for improving the economy, or not?"

 
    Yes No Unsure    
    % % %    
 

6/24-26/12

27 55 17

 

 

             

"Who do you think will do a better job looking out for you and your family during tough economic times: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?" Options rotated

 
    Obama Romney Both
would (vol.)
Neither
would (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

6/24-26/12

47 36 1 9 7

 

Pew Research Center. June 7-17, 2012. N=1,563 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 2.9.

             

"And as I read a list of phrases, tell me if you think each phrase better describes Mitt Romney or Barack Obama. [See below.] Does this better describe Romney or Obama?" Options rotated

 
    Obama Romney Neither
(vol.)
Both
equally (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 
 

"Would use good judgment in a crisis"

 

6/7-17/12

50 37 3 5 6
             
 

"Can get things done"

 

6/7-17/12

41 39 11 3 7
             
 

"Willing to take a stand, even if it's unpopular"

 

6/7-17/12

54 35 4 3 4
             
 

"Shares my values"

 

6/7-17/12

46 40 8 3 4
             

"Do you think Barack Obama has been too personally critical of Mitt Romney, or not?"

 
    Too
critical
Not too
critical
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

6/7-17/12

30 61 9    
             

"Do you think Mitt Romney has been too personally critical of Barack Obama, or not?"

 
    Too
critical
Not too
critical
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

6/7-17/12

43 49 9    

 

Gallup Poll. June 7-10, 2012. N=1,004 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.

             

"Thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say whether you think each applies or doesn't apply to Mitt Romney. How about [see below]?"

 
    Applies Doesn't
apply
Unsure    
    % % %    
 
 

"Is a strong and decisive leader"

 

6/7-10/12

55 37 8    
             
 

"Shares your values"

 

6/7-10/12

45 49 6    
             
 

"Understands the problems Americans face in their daily lives"

 

6/7-10/12

46 50 4    
             
 

"Has a clear plan for solving the country's problems"

 

6/7-10/12

38 53 8    
             
 

"Is honest and trustworthy"

 

6/7-10/12

50 42 7    
             
 

"Can manage the government effectively"

 

6/7-10/12

53 38 8    
             
 

"Is likeable"

 

6/7-10/12

64 32 5    
             
 

"Changes his positions on issues for political reasons"

 

6/7-10/12

61 30 9    

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. June 6-10, 2012. N=1,007 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5.

             

"Overall, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Barack Obama's plans for the economy?"

 
    Favorable Unfavorable Unsure    
    % % %    
 

6/6-10/12

43 50 7

 

 

             

"Overall, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Mitt Romney's plans for the economy?"

 
    Favorable Unfavorable Unsure    
    % % %    
 

6/6-10/12

37 47 16

 

 


 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). June 3-5, 2012. N=907 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.

             

"Regardless of how you might vote, which presidential candidate do you trust to do a better job on each of the following issues: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? . . ."

 
    Obama Romney Both (vol.) Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 
 

"Handling education"

 

6/3-5/12

52 34 2 6 6
             
 

"Fighting terrorism"

 

6/3-5/12

47 34 7 6 6
             
 

"Bringing the country together"

 

6/3-5/12

43 38 2 11 5
             
 

"Standing up to special interests"

 

6/3-5/12

43 38 3 9 7
             
 

"Strengthening families"

 

6/3-5/12

44 40 5 6 5
             
 

"Restoring trust in government"

 

6/3-5/12

39 39 2 13 6
             
 

"Encouraging the values you believe in"

 

6/3-5/12

42 43 3 8 4
             
 

"Encouraging job creation"

 

6/3-5/12

39 46 4 5 5
             

"Which presidential candidate -- Barack Obama or Mitt Romney -- do you think is better described by the following qualities? . . ."

 
    Obama Romney Both (vol.) Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 
 

"Being a talker, not a doer"

 

6/3-5/12

47 34 6 6 6
             
 

"Taking personal responsibility"

 

6/3-5/12

46 38 5 6 5
             
 

"Being honest"

 

6/3-5/12

42 35 7 11 6
             
 

"Being on your side"

 

6/3-5/12

45 39 2 8 6
             
 

"Having the right experience"

 

6/3-5/12

44 39 6 8 4
             
 

"Being a strong leader"

 

6/3-5/12

45 40 6 6 4
             
 

"Being a doer, not a talker"

 

6/3-5/12

41 41 4 8 5
             

"Regardless of how you might vote, do you consider Mitt Romney's experience with the investment firm Bain Capital a good thing or a bad thing in preparing him to be president, or does it not make much difference either way?"

 
    Good thing Bad thing No
difference
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

6/3-5/12

32 17 44 6  

 

CNN/ORC Poll. May 29-31, 2012. N=1,009 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.

             

"Please tell me whether you agree or disagree that each of the following candidates has the personality and leadership qualities a president should have. Barack Obama."

 
    Agree, has
qualities
Disagree,
does not
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

5/29-31/12

60 39 -    
 

9/23-25/11

58 41 1    
             

"Please tell me whether you agree or disagree that each of the following candidates has the personality and leadership qualities a president should have. Mitt Romney."

 
    Agree, has
qualities
Disagree,
does not
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

5/29-31/12

51 44 4    
 

11/11-13/11

58 36 6    
 

9/23-25/11

60 36 5    
             

"Please tell me whether you agree or disagree with each of the following candidates on the issues that matter most to you. Barack Obama."

 
    Agree Disagree Unsure    
    % % %    
 

5/29-31/12

51 48 1    
 

9/23-25/11

46 52 1    
             

"Please tell me whether you agree or disagree with each of the following candidates on the issues that matter most to you. Mitt Romney."

 
    Agree Disagree Unsure    
    % % %    
 

5/29-31/12

46 51 3    
 

11/11-13/11

42 49 8    
 

9/23-25/11

46 50 5    
             

"Based on what you have read or heard about Mitt Romney's background in private business, do you think he does or does not have the right kind of business experience to reduce the unemployment rate and improve the economy if he were elected president?"

 
    Does have Does not
have
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

5/29-31/12

50 45 4    
             

"Who do you think better understands how the economy works: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?"

 
    Obama Romney Both equally
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
 
    % % % %  
 

5/29-31/12

45 45 3 7  
             

"Who do you think better understands the problems faced by ordinary Americans: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?"

 
    Obama Romney Both equally
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
 
    % % % %  
 

5/29-31/12

55 34 2 8  
             

"Which of the following statements best describes your view of the economy? It will only get better if Barack Obama is reelected president. It will only get better if Mitt Romney is elected president. It will get better if either Obama or Romney is elected. OR, It will not get better if either Obama or Romney is elected."

 
    Only better
if Obama
reelected
Only better
if Romney
elected
Better if
either is
elected
Not better
if either is
elected
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

5/29-31/12

28 31 19 21 2

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. May 17-20, 2012. N=1,004 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5.

             

"Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you trust to do a better job [see below]: Obama or Romney?" RV = registered voters

 
    Obama Romney Both
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 
 

"Creating jobs"

 

5/17-20/12

47 44 1 6 3
 

4/5-8/12

46 43 1 5 4
 

2/1-4/12 RV

46 46 1 3 4
 

"Regardless of who you may support, who do you think better represents your own personal values: Obama or Romney?" Options rotated

 
    Obama Romney Both
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

5/17-20/12

47 43 1 7 3
             

"Regardless of who you may support, who do you think has the better personal character to serve as president: Obama or Romney?" Options rotated

 
    Obama Romney Both
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

5/17-20/12

52 38 2 4 4
             

"Who do you think would do more to advance the economic interests of [see below]: Obama or Romney?" Options rotated

 
    Obama Romney Both (vol.) Neither (vol.) Unsure
    % % % % %
 
 

"Middle class Americans"

 

5/17-20/12

51 42 1 4 2
             
 

"Wealthy Americans"

 

5/17-20/12

24 65 2 3 6
             
 

"You and your family"

 

5/17-20/12

46 43 - 6 5
             
 

"Financial institutions"

 

5/17-20/12

32 56 2 4 6
             
 

"Small businesses"

 

5/17-20/12

45 47 1 3 4
             

"There have been reports recently that Romney bullied another student when he was in high school in the 1960s. Do you think this incident is a serious matter, or not serious?"

 
    Serious Not serious Unsure    
    % % %    
 

5/17-20/12

22 74 3    
             

"Regardless of whether you think this is or is not a serious matter, do you think it is or is not fair to bring up things that a political candidate did in high school?"

 
    Fair Not fair Unsure    
    % % %    
 

5/17-20/12

22 75 3    
             

"Do you think this incident does or does not provide relevant information about Romney's personal character?"

 
    Does Does not Unsure    
    % % %    
 

5/17-20/12

25 72 3    
             

"And how about Obama? Do you think things he did in high school do or do not provide relevant information about his personal character?"

 
    Do Do not Unsure    
    % % %    
 

5/17-20/12

24 70 6    
             

"For each item I name, please tell me if it is a major reason for you to support that candidate, a major reason for you to oppose that candidate, or not a major factor in your vote. . . ."

 
    Major
reason to
support
Major
reason to
oppose
Not a
major
factor
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 
 

"Obama's support for allowing gays and lesbians to get married"

 

5/17-20/12

20 23 55 2  
             
 

"The report that Romney bullied another student in high school"

 

5/17-20/12

1 8 90 1  
             
 

"Romney's work buying and restructuring companies before he went into politics"

 

5/17-20/12

21 21 54 4  

 

Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Poll. May 8-14, 2012. N=613 adults nationwide.

             

"Which presidential candidate, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney, do you trust to do a better job [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    Obama Romney Both (vol.) Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure/
Refused
    % % % % %
 
 

"Making decisions about women’s reproductive health choices and services"

 

5/8-14/12

52 25 1 14 8
             
 

"Looking out for the best interests of women"

 

5/8-14/12

56 26 2 10 6
             
 

"Dealing with the federal budget deficit"

 

5/8-14/12

40 39 1 11 9
             
 

"Improving education"

 

5/8-14/12

53 27 3 10 7
             
 

"Dealing with the economy and jobs"

 

5/8-14/12

48 38 1 9 4
             
 

"Dealing with the situation in Afghanistan"

 

5/8-14/12

50 28 2 12 8
             
 

"Addressing terrorism"

 

5/8-14/12

50 30 4 10 6

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. May 9-13, 2012. N=1,008 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5.

             

"Overall, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Mitt Romney's proposal to repeal the federal law making changes in the health care system?"

 
    Favorable Unfavorable Unsure    
    % % %    
 

ALL

40 40 20

 

 

 

Democrats

17 64

 

 

 

 

Republicans

75 10

 

 

 

 

Independents

33 47

 

 

 

 

Men

44 37

 

 

 

 

Women

35 43

 

 

 

             

"Overall, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Mitt Romney's proposal to cut federal income tax rates by 20 percent?"

 
    Favorable Unfavorable Unsure    
    % % %    
 

ALL

48 39 13

 

 

 

Democrats

33 57

 

 

 

 

Republicans

76 16

 

 

 

 

Independents

43 42

 

 

 

 

Men

52 37

 

 

 

 

Women

45 40

 

 

 


 

USA Today/Gallup Poll. May 10, 2012. N=1,013 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 4. Interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking.

             

"Does President Obama's support for same-sex marriage make you more likely to vote for him, less likely to vote for him, or doesn't it make any difference?"

 
    More likely Less likely No
difference
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

5/10/12

13 26 60 2

 


 

AP-GfK Poll conducted by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Corporate Communications. May 3-7, 2012. N=1,004 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.9.

             

"Regardless of whom you may support, who do you trust to do a better job of [see below]: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?" Options rotated

 
    Obama Romney Neither (vol.) Unsure Refused
    % % % % %
 
 

"Handling taxes"

 

5/3-7/12

47 41 5 7 -

 

Resurgent Republic poll conducted by North Star Opinion Research (R). April 30-May 3, 2012. N=1,000 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.1.

             

"Do you think Barack Obama deserves reelection as president, or do you think it is time to give someone else a chance?"

 
    Deserves
reelection
Give someone
else a chance
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

4/30 - 5/3/12

45 49 5

 

 

 

8/28-31/11

42 52 6

 

 


 

George Washington University/Politico Battleground Poll conducted by the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D). April 29-May 3, 2012. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.1.

             

"Thinking about the November 2012 election for president, do you think you will vote to reelect Barack Obama, will you consider voting for someone else, or do you think you will vote to replace him?"

 
    Will vote to
reelect
Will consider
someone else
Will vote
to replace
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

4/29 - 5/3/12

43 11 42 5  
             

"Now, I would like to read you a list of issues that some people have said are important to them. Please listen as I read the list and tell me, for each one, who will better handle this issue: Mitt Romney or Barack Obama. . . ." Options rotated. N=approx. 500 likely voters.

 
    Romney Obama Both (vol.) Neither (vol.) Unsure
    % % % % %
 
 

"Jobs"

 

4/29 - 5/3/12

46 48 - 2 4
             
 

"The economy"

 

4/29 - 5/3/12

48 45 1 2 5
             
 

"Standing up for the middle class"

 

4/29 - 5/3/12

35 58 1 3 4
             
 

"Taxes"

 

4/29 - 5/3/12

45 51 - 1 4
             
 

"Health care"

 

4/29 - 5/3/12

45 48 1 2 5
             
 

"Social Security and Medicare"

 

4/29 - 5/3/12

44 47 1 2 6
             
 

"Foreign policy"

 

4/29 - 5/3/12

38 51 - 2 9
             
 

"Sharing your values"

 

4/29 - 5/3/12

40 50 1 4 5

 

USA Today/Gallup Poll. May 1-2, 2012. N=872 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4. Interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking.

             

"If Barack Obama is reelected president in November, do you think he would do a very good, good, poor, or very poor job of handling the economy over the next four years?"

 
    Very good Good Poor Very poor Unsure
    % % % % %
 

5/1-2/12

17 35 22 22 4
             

"If Mitt Romney is elected president in November, do you think he would do a very good, good, poor, or very poor job of handling the economy over the next four years?"

 
    Very good Good Poor Very poor Unsure
    % % % % %
 

5/1-2/12

16 45 23 10 6
             

"Who do you think would do a better job of handling the economy over the next four years: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?" Options rotated

 
    Obama Romney Same (vol.) Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

5/1-2/12

45 47 2 7  
             

"Thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say whether you think each one applies more to Barack Obama or more to Mitt Romney. How about [see below]?"

 
    Obama Romney Both equally
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 
 

"Cares about the needs of people like you"

 

5/1-2/12

51 41 1 4 3
             
 

"Is a strong and decisive leader"

 

5/1-2/12

49 40 3 3 5
             
 

"Agrees with you on issues that you care about"

 

5/1-2/12

47 45 2 3 4
             
 

"Is likeable"

 

5/1-2/12

60 31 5 2 3
             
 

"Can manage the government effectively"

 

5/1-2/12

43 46 1 4 5

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). April 13-17, 2012. N=1,000 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.1.

             

"Now I'd like you to compare Barack Obama and Mitt Romney on a few qualities that people might look for in a president. For each one, please tell me whether you think that Barack Obama would be better or Mitt Romney would be better on that item. If you think that both would be equally good or that neither would be good on a particular item, just say so. Who do you think would be better when it comes to [see below]: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney, or do you think that both would be equally good or neither would be good?"

 
    Obama
better
Romney
better
Equally
good
Neither Unsure
    % % % % %
 
 

"Caring about average people" Half sample (Form B)

 

4/13-17/12

52 22 9 15 2
             
 

"Sharing your positions on the issues"

 

4/13-17/12

40 34 8 15 3
             
 

"Being honest and straightforward" Half sample (Form B)

 

4/13-17/12

37 30 10 21 2
             
 

"Setting the proper moral tone for the country" Half sample (Form A)

 

4/13-17/12

37 35 17 8 2

 

CNN/ORC Poll. April 13-15, 2012. N=1,015 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.

             

"Suppose that the presidential election were being held today and you had to choose between Barack Obama as the Democratic Party's candidate, and Mitt Romney as the Republican Party's candidate. Who would you be more likely to vote for: Barack Obama, the Democrat, or Mitt Romney, the Republican?" If unsure: "As of today, who do you lean more toward?" See also registered voter trend.

 
    Obama Romney Neither (vol.) Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

4/13-15/12

53 41 5 1

 

             
 

Asked of Obama voters:
"Is that more a vote FOR Barack Obama or more a vote AGAINST Mitt Romney?"

 
    For
Obama
Against
Romney
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

4/13-15/12

76 23 1

 

 

             
 

Asked of Romney voters:
"Is that more a vote FOR Mitt Romney or more a vote AGAINST Barack Obama?"

 
    For
Romney
Against
Obama
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

4/13-15/12

35 63 3

 

 

             

"Thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say whether you think each one applies more to Barack Obama or more to Mitt Romney. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not support him. . . ."

 
    Obama Romney Both (vol.) Neither (vol.) Unsure
    % % % % %
 
 

"Can get the economy moving"

 

4/13-15/12

44 42 2 10 2
             
 

"Agrees with you on the issues that matter most to you"

 

4/13-15/12

49 37 1 11 1
             
 

"Is in touch with the problems facing middle class Americans today"

 

4/13-15/12

51 33 2 12 2
             
 

"Is in touch with the problems facing women today"

 

4/13-15/12

55 27 3 12 3
             
 

"Can handle the responsibilities of commander in chief"

 

4/13-15/12

52 36 4 7 1
             
 

"Is a strong and decisive leader" N=509 (Version A), margin of error ± 4.5

 

4/13-15/12

50 34 5 10 1
             
 

"Is likeable" N=509 (Version A), margin of error ± 4.5

 

4/13-15/12

56 27 11 5 -
             
 

"Is more honest and trustworthy" N=509 (Version A), margin of error ± 4.5

 

4/13-15/12

44 33 3 19 2
             
 

"Shares your values" N=509 (Version A), margin of error ± 4.5

 

4/13-15/12

49 37 3 10 1
             
 

"Stands up for what he believes in" N=509 (Version A), margin of error ± 4.5

 

4/13-15/12

50 29 14 7 -
             
 

"Is a person you admire" N=506 (Version B), margin of error ± 4.5

 

4/13-15/12

44 25 6 24 1
             
 

"Can manage the government effectively" N=506 (Version B), margin of error ± 4.5

 

4/13-15/12

46 38 3 11 2
             
 

"Inspires confidence" N=506 (Version B), margin of error ± 4.5

 

4/13-15/12

50 30 5 13 1
             
 

"Has a clear plan for solving the country's problems" N=506 (Version B), margin of error ± 4.5

 

4/13-15/12

38 33 3 24 2
             
 

"Pays the right amount of attention to independents and moderates in this country" N=506 (Version B), margin of error ± 4.5

 

4/13-15/12

48 33 3 12 5
             

"Who do you think is more likely to change his position on issues for political reasons: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?"

 
    Obama Romney Both
equally (vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

4/13-15/12

39 47 8 4 3
             

"We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. New Jersey Governor Chris Christie. Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal. Virginia Governor Bob McDonnell. Ohio Senator Rob Portman. Former National Security Adviser Condoleezza Rice. Florida Senator Marco Rubio. Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan. Rick Santorum. ..."
"And of the people I just mentioned, which one would you most like to see Mitt Romney choose as his vice presidential running mate if Romney wins the Republican presidential nomination?" N=473 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, margin of error ± 4.5. Names read only if respondent requested.

 
    Republicans
& leaners
       
    %        
 

Condoleezza Rice

26

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

21

 

 

 

 

 

Chris Christie

14

 

 

 

 

 

Marco Rubio

14

 

 

 

 

 

Paul Ryan

8

 

 

 

 

 

Bobby Jindal

5

 

 

 

 

 

Bob McDonnell

1

 

 

 

 

 

Rob Portman

-

 

 

 

 

 

Someone else (vol.)

4

 

 

 

 

 

None/No one (vol.)

2

 

 

 

 

 

Unsure

4

 

 

 

 


 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. April 5-8, 2012. N=1,003 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.

             

"Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you trust to do a better job [see below]: Obama or Romney?" RV = registered voters

 
    Obama Romney Both
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 
 

"Protecting the middle class"

 

4/5-8/12

49 39 - 7 4
 

2/1-4/12 RV

56 37 2 5 1
 

"Regardless of who you may support, who do you think [see below]: Obama or Romney?"

 
    Obama Romney Both
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 
 

"Has a clearer vision for the future" Half sample (Form A)

 

4/5-8/12

45 40 2 7 7
             
 

"Is more inspiring" Half sample (Form B)

 

4/5-8/12

55 29 1 11 5
             
 

"Is more consistent in his positions" Half sample (Form B)

 

4/5-8/12

46 36 2 8 8
             

"For each item I name, please tell me if it is a major reason to support that candidate, a major reason to oppose that candidate, or not a major factor. . . ."

 
    Major
reason to
support
Major
reason to
oppose
Not a
major
factor
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 
 

"Romney's Mormon religion"

 

4/5-8/12

3 13 80 4  
 

2/1-4/12

4 17 77 2  
 
 

"Obama's handling of the economy"

 

4/5-8/12

32 46 19 3  
 

2/1-4/12

39 47 13 2  
 
 

"Romney's wealth"

 

4/5-8/12

6 19 71 3  
 
 

"Obama's views on the size and role of government"

 

4/5-8/12

22 39 34 5  

 

Pew Research Center. April 5-8, 2012. N=1,000 registered voters nationwide (margin of error ± 4), including 295 Republican and Republican-leaning registered voters (margin of error ± 7).

             

"Do you think the fact that the Republican primary contest has not yet been decided and is still going on is a good thing or a bad thing for the Republican Party?"

 
    Good thing Bad thing Neither/Still
early (vol.)
Unsure/
Refused
 
    % % % %  
 

ALL

26 51 5 17

 

 

Republican voters

36 47 8 9

 

             

"From what you've read and heard, do you think Mitt Romney will definitely be the Republican nominee for president this year, or is there still a chance that another candidate will become the nominee?"

 
    Romney will
definitely be
nominee
Still a chance
for another
candidate
Unsure/
Refused
   
    % % %    
 

ALL

61 26 13

 

 

 

Republican voters

74 21 6

 

 


 

CNN/ORC Poll. March 24-25, 2012. N=436 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.5.

             

"If you had to choose, would you rather see the Republican party choose its presidential nominee through the primaries and caucuses that are currently being conducted, or would you rather see the Republican nominee chosen at the party's national convention in August?"

 
    Primaries,
caucuses
National
convention
Other
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

3/24-25/12

53 43 2 2

 


 

CBS News/New York Times Poll. March 7-11, 2012. N=878 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.

             

"Do you think [see below] does or does not understand the needs and problems of people like yourself?"

 
    Does
understand
Does not
understand
Unsure    
    % % %    
 
 

Ron Paul

 

3/7-11/12

43 38 19    
 

2/8-13/12

47 33 20    
             
 

Rick Santorum

 

3/7-11/12

40 44 16    
 

2/8-13/12

37 37 26    
             
 

Newt Gingrich

 

3/7-11/12

33 57 10    
 

2/8-13/12

30 58 12    

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. March 7-10, 2012. N=1,003 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.

             

"Just your best guess -- who do you think will win the Republican nomination for president?" Among Republicans and independents who lean Republican.

 
    Mitt Romney Rick
Santorum
Newt
Gingrich
Ron Paul Unsure
    % % % % %
 

3/7-10/12

74 11 4 3 7
             

"Again, regardless of who you may support, which of the Republican candidates do you think best reflects the core values of the Republican Party?" If needed: "I can repeat the list. Is it Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, or Rick Santorum?" Options rotated. Among Republicans and independents who lean Republican.

 
    Rick
Santorum
Mitt Romney Newt
Gingrich
Ron Paul All/None
(vol.)/Unsure
    % % % % %
 

3/7-10/12

27 25 20 11 16
             

"Again, regardless of who you may support, which of the Republican candidates do you think has the best chance to defeat Barack Obama in the general election?" If needed: "I can repeat the list. Is it Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, or Rick Santorum?" Options rotated. Among Republicans and independents who lean Republican.

 
    Mitt Romney Rick
Santorum
Newt
Gingrich
Ron Paul All/None
(vol.)/Unsure
    % % % % %
 

3/7-10/12

52 15 11 6 16
             

"Just your best guess -- who do you think will win the presidential election this year: Obama or the Republican candidate?" Options rotated

 
    Obama Republican
candidate
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/7-10/12

54 40 6

 

 

 

1/12-15/12

46 49 5

 

 


 

Allstate/National Journal Heartland Monitor Poll conducted by FTI Consulting. March 3-6, 2012. N=1,000 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters, except where indicated.

             

"If the November election for president were held today, would you definitely vote to reelect Barack Obama, probably vote to reelect Barack Obama, probably vote for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else?" Options rotated. 2010: "If the election for president in 2012 were held today . . . ?"

 
    Definitely
Obama
Probably
Obama
Probably
someone else
Definitely
someone else
Unsure/
Refused
    % % % % %
 

3/3-6/12

31 13 11 39 6
 

11/30 - 12/4/11

26 12 14 41 7
 

9/28 - 10/2/11

28 14 11 41 6
 

5/18-22/11

29 15 14 34 9
 

3/4-8/11

22 18 16 35 10
 

8/27-30/10 Adults

23 15 14 38 9
 

4/22-26/10 Adults

25 14 13 37 12
 

1/3-7/10 Adults

23 16 13 37 10

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Feb. 29-March 3, 2012. N=800 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5.

             

"Now, has what you have seen, read, or heard so far during the Republican presidential nominating process made you feel more favorable or less favorable toward the Republican Party, or has it had no impact one way or the other on your feelings toward the Republican Party?"

 
    More
favorable
Less
favorable
No impact Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

2/29 - 3/3/12

12 40 47 1

 

 

1/22-24/12

15 33 51 1

 


 

AP-GfK Poll conducted by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Corporate Communications. Feb. 16-20, 2012. N=1,000 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.1.

             

"Regardless of how you might vote, do you think President Barack Obama deserves to be reelected or deserves to be voted out of office?" Options rotated

 
    Deserves to
be reelected
Deserves to
be voted out
Unsure Refused  
    % % % %  
 

2/16-20/12

50 46 3 -

 

 

12/8-12/11

43 52 4 -

 

 

10/13-17/11

46 50 4 -

 

 

8/18-22/11

47 48 4 1

 

 

6/16-20/11

48 47 5 1

 

 

5/5-9/11

53 43 3 1

 

 

3/24-28/11

50 47 3 -

 

 

1/5-10/11

50 45 5 -

 


 

USA Today/Gallup Poll. Feb. 16-19, 2012. N=1,014 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.

             

"Which Republican candidate do you think has the better chance of beating Barack Obama in November: Mitt Romney or Rick Santorum?" Options rotated

 
    Romney Santorum Same
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

ALL

54 29 1 10 7
 

Leaned Republicans

58 32 2 4 3

 

CNN/ORC Poll. Feb. 10-13, 2012. N=1,026 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.

             

"Please tell me whether you think each of the following generally favors the rich, favors the middle class, or favors the poor. . . ."

 
    Favors
the rich
Favors the
middle class
Favors
the poor
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 
 

Newt Gingrich

 

2/10-13/12

61 30 5 4  
             
 

Rick Santorum

 

2/10-13/12

39 46 7 9  
             
 

Ron Paul

 

2/10-13/12

29 52 12 7  

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Feb. 1-4, 2012. N=1,000 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.

             

"Based on his performance in office so far, would you say Obama deserves a second term as president, or not?"

 
    Deserves a
second term
Does not Unsure    
    % % %    
 

2/1-4/12

50 48 2    
             

"Thinking about what you're hearing from the candidates for the Republican nomination for president -- overall would you say you approve or disapprove of most of what they've been saying?"

 
    Approve Disapprove Depends
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

2/1-4/12

36 54 4 7  
             

"How much does it matter to you that a candidate for president shares your religious beliefs? Does it matter a great deal, somewhat, not so much, or not at all?"

 
    A great deal Somewhat Not so much Not at all  
    % % % %  
 

2/1-4/12

18 20 16 46  
             

"In his work as a corporate investor, do you think Mitt Romney did more to create jobs or more to cut jobs?" Options rotated

 
    Create jobs Cut jobs Unsure    
    % % %    
 

2/1-4/12

32 36 32    
             

"Do you think of Romney's wealth as more of a positive because it suggests he has achieved the American dream or as more of a negative because it suggests he benefited from opportunities that are not available to most people?" Options rotated

 
    Positive Negative Unsure    
    % % %    
 

2/1-4/12

43 44 13    
             

"Romney paid about a 14% federal tax rate on income of about 22 million dollars last year. Do you think he is or is not paying his fair share of taxes?"

 
    Is paying
fair share
Is not paying
fair share
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

2/1-4/12

30 66 4    
             

"For each item I name, please tell me if it is a major reason to support that candidate, a major reason to oppose that candidate, or not a major factor. . . ."

 
    Major
reason to
support
Major
reason to
oppose
Not a
major
factor
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 
 

"Obama's handling of the threat of terrorism"

 

2/1-4/12

56 20 21 3  
             
 

"Romney's business experience"

 

2/1-4/12

48 12 34 6  
             
 

"Gingrich's performance as speaker of the House in the early 1990s"

 

2/1-4/12

21 33 37 9  
             
 

"Gingrich's consulting work for companies with an interest in federal policymaking"

 

2/1-4/12

12 44 37 7  

 

United Technologies/National Journal Congressional Connection Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Jan. 19-22, 2012. N=773 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.1.

             

"Thinking about the 2012 elections, which of the following outcomes would you prefer? Would you rather see Barack Obama reelected, OR a Republican win the presidency?"

 
    Obama
reelected
A Republican
win
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure/
Refused
 
    % % % %  
 

1/19-22/12

48 40    

 

 

10/27-30/11

43 44 4 9

 


 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Jan. 12-14, 2012. N=906 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.
2010: Conducted by Opinion Dynamics Corp.

             

"Considering how President Obama has performed so far, do you think he deserves to be reelected, or would the country probably be better off with someone else as president?"

 
    Deserves to
be reelected
Better off with
someone else
Depends/Too
soon (vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

1/12-14/12

43 49 5 3  
 

5/15-17/11

50 43 5 3  
 

4/3-5/11

44 48 5 3  
 

12/14-15/10

35 53 9 4  
 

9/1-2/10

38 49 11 2  

 

Pew Research Center. Jan. 4-8, 2012. N=1,165 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5.

             

"Looking ahead, would you like to see Barack Obama reelected president in 2012 or would you prefer that a Republican candidate win the election?" If other/someone else: "If you had to choose, would you like to see Barack Obama reelected or would you prefer that a Republican candidate win the election?"

 
    Obama Republican Other (vol.)/
Unsure
   
    % % %    
 

1/4-8/12

41 41 19

 

 

 

8/17-21/11

43 40 17

 

 

 

7/20-24/11

41 40 19

 

 

 

5/25-30/11

48 37 15

 

 

 

3/8-14/11

47 37 16

 

 


 

CBS News Poll. Dec. 5-7, 2011. N=856 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.

             

"Do you think Barack Obama has performed his job as president well enough to deserve reelection, or don't you think so?"

 
    Deserves
reelection
Does not
deserve
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

12/5-7/11

41 54 5

 

 


 

Gallup Poll. Nov. 28-Dec. 1, 2011. N=903 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.

             

"Please tell me whether you think each of the following political officeholders deserves to be reelected, or not. How about President Obama?"

 
    Deserves to
be reelected
Does not
deserve to
be reelected
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

11/28 - 12/1/11

43 55 2

 

 

 

8/4-7/11

47 50 2

 

 

 

5/12-15/11

47 51 2

 

 

 

10/14-17/10

37 57 6

 

 

 

6/11-13/10

46 51 3

 

 

 

5/24-25/10

48 49 3

 

 

 

3/26-28/10

46 50 4

 

 


 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. Nov. 8-10, 2011. N=872 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5. 8/09: Marist College Marist Poll.

             

"Do you definitely plan to vote for Barack Obama for reelection as president or do you definitely plan to vote against him?"

 
    For him Against him Unsure    
    % % %    
 

11/8-10/11

38 48 14

 

 

 

9/13-14/11

36 49 15

 

 

 

8/2-4/11

40 40 20

 

 

 

6/15-23/11

36 43 21

 

 

 

4/10-14/11

37 44 18

 

 

 

11/15-18/10

36 48 16

 

 


 

George Washington University/Politico Battleground Poll conducted by the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D). Aug. 28-Sept. 1, 2011. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.1.

             

"Now, thinking ahead to the 2012 presidential elections: As you may know, Obama has announced that he is running for reelection in 2012. Would you say you will definitely vote for him, you will consider voting for him, or you definitely will not vote for him?" Options rotated

 
    Definitely
vote for
Consider
voting for
Definitely not
vote for
Unsure/
Refused
 
    % % % %  
 

8/28 - 9/1/11

26 28 43 2

 

 

5/8-12/11

30 29 38 3

 


 

Washington Post Poll. Aug. 9, 2011. N=601 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters, except where indicated. Trend results co-sponsored by ABC News.

             

"As you may know, Obama has announced that he is running for reelection in 2012. Would you say you will definitely vote for him, you'll consider voting for him, or you definitely will not vote for him?"
2010: "If Obama runs for reelection in 2012, would you definitely vote for him, would you consider voting for him, or would you definitely not vote for him?"
2009:
"Thinking ahead to 2012, at this point would you definitely vote to reelect Obama, would you consider voting for him, or would you definitely not vote for him?"

 
    Definitely
vote for
Consider
voting for
Definitely
not vote for
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

8/9/11

21 30 46 2

 

 

6/2-5/11

25 27 47 1

 

 

4/14-17/11

30 23 46 1

 

 

12/9-12/10

26 28 44 2

 

 

11/19-23/09 Adults

24 31 41 4

 


 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Aug. 7-9, 2011. N=904 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.
2009 & 2010: Conducted by Opinion Dynamics Corp.

             

"If the 2012 presidential election were held today, would you definitely vote to reelect Barack Obama, probably vote to reelect Obama, probably vote for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else?"

 
    Definitely
Obama
Probably
Obama
Probably
someone else
Definitely
someone else
Too soon
(vol.)/Unsure
    % % % % %
 

8/7-9/11

29 15 9 42 6
 

6/5-7/11

28 16 13 36 7
 

1/18-19/11

23 19 15 36 7
 

9/28-29/10

19 20 14 40 7
 

1/12-13/10

23 20 11 36 11
 

10/13-14/09

26 17 14 34 9
 

4/22-23/09

37 15 8 23 16

 

Bloomberg National Poll conducted by Selzer & Company. June 17-20, 2011. N=741 likely voters nationwide.

             

"In the 2012 election, do you anticipate you will definitely vote for President Obama, consider voting for another candidate, or definitely vote for another candidate?"

 
    Definitely
Obama
Consider
another
candidate
Definitely
another
candidate
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

6/17-20/11

31 24 40 5  

 

Reuters/Ipsos Poll conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs. May 5-9, 2011. N=1,029 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.

             

"I know it is a long way away, but putting your own position or who you would vote for aside, do you think President Obama will win reelection in 2012?"

 
    Yes No It depends/
Maybe (vol.)
Unsure/
Refused
 
    % % % %  
 

5/5-9/11

45 42 9 4

 

 

10/28-31/10

35 52 8 5

 


 

CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. May 2, 2011. N=649 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.

             

"Please tell me which of the following best describes how you would vote in 2012, if Barack Obama runs for reelection. Would you definitely vote for Obama, probably vote for Obama, probably not vote for Obama, or definitely not vote for Obama?"

 
    Definitely
vote for
Probably
vote for
Probably
not vote for
Definitely
not vote for
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

5/2/11

25 21 13 38 2
 

1/21-23/11

26 21 14 37 1
             

"Please give me your best guess: If Barack Obama decides to run for reelection, do you think he will win the presidential election in 2012, or do you think he will lose?"

 
    Will win Will lose Unsure    
    % % %    
 

5/2/11

50 44 6

 

 

 

1/21-23/11

46 51 3

 

 

 

3/19-21/10

44 54 2

 

 


 

McLaughlin & Associates (R). Jan. 11-12, 2011. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.1.

             

"In the next election for president, do you feel that Barack Obama has performed his job well enough to deserve reelection, or do you think it is time to give a new person a chance?"

 
    Obama
deserves
reelection
Time to give
new person
a chance
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

1/11-12/11

44 50 6

 

 


 

Bloomberg National Poll conducted by Selzer & Company. Dec. 4-7, 2010. N=1,000 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.1.

             

"Thinking forward to the election for president in 2012, do you think Barack Obama deserves to be reelected or deserves to be defeated?"

 
    Deserves to
be reelected
Deserves to
be defeated
Depends on
alternatives
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

12/4-7/10

42 45 4 9

 



 


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