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     White House 2012: Republican Nomination  (p. 2)   

 
 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Aug. 29-31, 2011. N=341 Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error 5.5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of potential candidates for the 2012 Republican nomination. Please tell me which one you would like to see as the Republican presidential nominee. [See below.]" Options rotated

 
    8/29-31/11 8/7-9/11 7/17-19/11 6/26-28/11  
    % % % %  
 

Rick Perry

26 13 14 13

 

 

Mitt Romney

18 21 17 18

 

 

Sarah Palin

8 8 9 8

 

 

Ron Paul

7 6 9 7

 

 

Michele Bachmann

4 7 10 11

 

 

Rudy Giuliani

4 7 9 10

 

 

Herman Cain

4 5 5 5

 

 

Mike Huckabee (vol.)

4 3 1 1

 

 

Newt Gingrich

3 6 4 3

 

 

Rick Santorum

3 2 2 2

 

 

Chris Christie (vol.)

2 1 1 1

 

 

Jon Huntsman

1 2 1 3

 

 

Gary Johnson

1 - - 1

 

 

Buddy Roemer

1 - - -

 

 

Roy Moore

- - - -

 

 

Fred Karger

- - - -

 

 

Thaddeus McCotter

- - - -

 

 

Jeb Bush (vol.)

- - - 1

 

 

Donald Trump (vol.)

- 1 1 1

 

 

Someone else (vol.)

2 1 1 1

 

 

Too soon to say (vol.)

9 7 6 6

 

 

Unsure

4 7 9 4

 

 

George Pataki

n/a 1 n/a n/a

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

n/a 2 2 3

 


 

Quinnipiac University Poll. Aug. 16-27, 2011. N=1,185 Republican and Republican-leaning registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 2.9.

             

"If the 2012 Republican primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were Rick Perry, Sarah Palin, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman, Herman Cain, and Thaddeus McCotter, for whom would you vote?"

 
 

Without Palin (Palin supporters allocated based on 2nd choice):

 
    8/16-27/11 7/5-11/11      
    % %      
 

Rick Perry

26 10

 

 

 

 

Mitt Romney

20 28

 

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

12 17

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

10 6

 

 

 

 

Herman Cain

5 6

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

4 6

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

2 1

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

1 1

 

 

 

 

Thaddeus McCotter

1 -

 

 

 

 

Unsure/No answer

19 22

 

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

n/a 3

 

 

 


 

CNN/ORC Poll. Aug. 24-25, 2011. N=467 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error 4.5.

             

"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primary for president in 2012. After I read all the names, please tell me which candidate you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in the year 2012, or if you would support someone else. Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann, businessman Herman Cain, former speaker of the House Newt Gingrich, former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani, former Utah governor Jon Huntsman, former New Mexico governor Gary Johnson, Michigan Congressman Thaddeus McCotter, former Alaska governor Sarah Palin, Texas Congressman Ron Paul, Texas Governor Rick Perry, former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney, or former Pennsylvania senator Rick Santorum." Options rotated

 
    8/24-25/11 8/5-7/11 7/18-20/11    
    % % %    
 

Rick Perry

27 15 14

 

 

 

Mitt Romney

14 17 16

 

 

 

Sarah Palin

10 12 13

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

9 7 12

 

 

 

Rudy Giuliani

9 12 13

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

6 5 4

 

 

 

Ron Paul

6 12 8

 

 

 

Herman Cain

2 4 6

 

 

 

Gary Johnson

2 - -

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

1 4 1

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

1 2 2

 

 

 

Thaddeus McCotter

- - -

 

 

 

Someone else

3 2 1

 

 

 

None/No one (vol.)

5 4 8

 

 

 

Unsure

3 2 1

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

n/a 2 3

 

 

             
 

Without Giuliani and Palin (based on 1st/2nd/3rd choices):

 
    8/24-25/11 8/5-7/11 7/18-20/11    
    % % %    
 

Rick Perry

32 18 17

 

 

 

Mitt Romney

18 23 22

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

12 9 14

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

7 8 5

 

 

 

Ron Paul

6 14 12

 

 

 

Herman Cain

3 5 7

 

 

 

Gary Johnson

2 - -

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

1 5 1

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

1 3 2

 

 

 

Thaddeus McCotter

1 - -

 

 

 

Someone else

4 2 3

 

 

 

None/No one (vol.)

6 5 10

 

 

 

Unsure

4 4 2

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

n/a 3 4

 

 


 

Gallup Poll. Aug. 17-21, 2011. N=1,040 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error 4. Interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking.

             

"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in the 2012 election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2012, or if you would support someone else. Minnesota Congresswoman, Michele Bachmann; Businessman, Herman Cain; Former speaker of the House, Newt Gingrich; former New York City mayor, Rudy Giuliani; former Utah governor, Jon Huntsman; former Alaska governor, Sarah Palin; Texas Congressman, Ron Paul; Texas governor, Rick Perry; former Massachusetts governor, Mitt Romney; former Pennsylvania senator, Rick Santorum." Options rotated

 
    8/17-21/11 7/20-24/11      
    % %      
 

Rick Perry

25 15

 

 

 

 

Mitt Romney

14 17

 

 

 

 

Sarah Palin

11 12

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

11 8

 

 

 

 

Rudy Giuliani

9 11

 

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

7 11

 

 

 

 

Herman Cain

4 3

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

3 3

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

3 2

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

1 2

 

 

 

 

Other

1 1

 

 

 

 

None/Unsure

12 14

 

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

n/a 2

 

 

 

             
 

Without Palin and Giuliani (based on 1st/2nd/3rd choices):

 
    %        
 

Rick Perry

29

 

 

 

 

 

Mitt Romney

17

 

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

13

 

 

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

10

 

 

 

 

 

Herman Cain

4

 

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

4

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

3

 

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

1

 

 

 

 

 

Other

2

 

 

 

 

 

None/Unsure

17

 

 

 

 


 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Aug. 7-9, 2011. N=319 Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error 5.5.

             

"If you had to pick from just the ANNOUNCED candidates, which one you would like to see as the Republican presidential nominee? Those candidates are [see below]." Options rotated

 
    8/7-9/11 7/17-19/11      
    % %      
 

Mitt Romney

26 26

 

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

13 15

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

10 10

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

9 9

 

 

 

 

Herman Cain

9 9

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

4 4

 

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

4 3

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

2 2

 

 

 

 

Gary Johnson

1 1

 

 

 

 

Thaddeus McCotter

1 -

 

 

 

 

Fred Karger

- -

 

 

 

 

Someone else (vol.)

4 2

 

 

 

 

Too soon to say (vol.)

8 7

 

 

 

 

Unsure

9 13

 

 

 


 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. Aug. 2-4, 2011. N=301 Republican voters and Republican-leaning independent voters nationwide. Margin of error 6.

             

"If the 2012 Republican presidential primary were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney, Texas Governor Rick Perry, former Alaska governor Sarah Palin, former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani, Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann, businessman Herman Cain, Texas Congressman Ron Paul, former Pennsylvania senator Rick Santorum, former Georgia congressman Newt Gingrich, former Minnesota governor Tim Pawlenty, former New Mexico governor Gary Johnson, former Louisiana governor Buddy Roemer, former U.S. ambassador to China Jon Huntsman, political activist Fred Karger."

 
    8/2-4/11 6/15-23/11      
    % %      
 

Mitt Romney

21 19

 

 

 

 

Rick Perry

18 13

 

 

 

 

Sarah Palin

10 11

 

 

 

 

Rudy Giuliani

9 13

 

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

8 8

 

 

 

 

Herman Cain

6 5

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

3 5

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

3 1

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

2 2

 

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

2 5

 

 

 

 

Gary Johnson

2 -

 

 

 

 

Buddy Roemer

2 n/a

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

1 2

 

 

 

 

Fred Karger

- -

 

 

 

 

Unsure

14 15

 

 

 


 

Pew Research Center. July 20-24, 2011. N=546 Republican and Republican-leaning registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 5.5.

             

"As I name some possible Republican candidates for president in 2012, please tell me which one, if any, you would most like to see nominated as the Republican Party's candidate. [See below.]" If unsure: "As of today, who would you say you LEAN toward?" Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

21

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Perry

12

 

 

 

 

 

Sarah Palin

11

 

 

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

11

 

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

9

 

 

 

 

 

Herman Cain

8

 

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

3

 

 

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

3

 

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

2

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

1

 

 

 

 

 

Other/None (vol.)/Unsure

20

 

 

 

 


 

Gallup Poll. July 20-24, 2011. N=1,088 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error 4. Interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking.

             

"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in the 2012 election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2012, or if you would support someone else. Minnesota Congresswoman, Michele Bachmann; businessman, Herman Cain; former speaker of the House, Newt Gingrich; former New York City mayor, Rudy Giuliani; former Utah governor, Jon Huntsman ; former Alaska governor, Sarah Palin; Texas Congressman, Ron Paul; former Minnesota governor, Tim Pawlenty; Texas governor, Rick Perry; former Massachusetts governor, Mitt Romney; former Pennsylvania senator, Rick Santorum." Options rotated

 
 

Without Perry, Palin, Giuliani (based on 1st/2nd/3rd choices):

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

27

 

 

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

18

 

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

11

 

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

7

 

 

 

 

 

Herman Cain

5

 

 

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

4

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

3

 

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

2

 

 

 

 

 

Other

2

 

 

 

 

 

Any/All (vol.)

1

 

 

 

 

 

None (vol.)

8

 

 

 

 

 

Unsure

12

 

 

 

 


 

CNN/ORC Poll. July 18-20, 2011. N=455 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error 4.5.

             

"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primary for president in 2012. After I read all the names, please tell me which candidate you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in the year 2012, or if you would support someone else. Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann, businessman Herman Cain, former speaker of the House Newt Gingrich, former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani, former Utah governor Jon Huntsman, former New Mexico governor Gary Johnson, Michigan Congressman Thaddeus McCotter, former Alaska governor Sarah Palin, Texas Congressman Ron Paul, former Minnesota governor Tim Pawlenty, Texas Governor Rick Perry, former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney, or former Pennsylvania senator Rick Santorum." Options rotated

 
 

Without Perry and McCotter (based on 1st/2nd/3rd choices):

 
    7/18-20/11 6/3-7/11 5/24-26/11    
    % % %    
 

Mitt Romney

17 24 15

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

15 4 7

 

 

 

Sarah Palin

15 20 13

 

 

 

Rudy Giuliani

14 12 16

 

 

 

Ron Paul

9 7 12

 

 

 

Herman Cain

8 10 10

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

4 10 8

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

4 3 5

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

3 1 2

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

1 1 1

 

 

 

Gary Johnson

1 n/a 1

 

 

 

Someone else

1 2 3

 

 

 

None/No one (vol.)

8 2 5

 

 

 

Unsure

2 3 2

 

 


 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. July 14-17, 2011. N=1,001 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters who are Republican or lean Republican.

             

"If the 2012 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Which candidate would you lean toward?" Options rotated

 
 

Without Perry (Perry supporters allocated based on 2nd choice):

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

28

 

 

 

 

 

Sarah Palin

17

 

 

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

14

 

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

8

 

 

 

 

 

Herman Cain

7

 

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

4

 

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

3

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

3

 

 

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

2

 

 

 

 

 

Other (vol.)

1

 

 

 

 

 

None (vol.)

2

 

 

 

 

 

Would not vote (vol.)

1

 

 

 

 

 

Unsure

8

 

 

 

 


 

Quinnipiac University Poll. July 5-11, 2011. N=913 Republican and Republican-leaning registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.2.

             

"If the 2012 Republican primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were Rick Perry, Sarah Palin, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Tim Pawlenty, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman, Herman Cain, and Thaddeus McCotter, for whom would you vote?"

 
 

Without Perry (Perry supporters allocated based on 2nd choice):

 
    7/5-11/11 5/31 -
6/6/11
     
    % %      
 

Mitt Romney

28 25

 

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

16 6

 

 

 

 

Sarah Palin

13 15

 

 

 

 

Herman Cain

7 9

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

6 8

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

5 8

 

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

3 5

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

1 1

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

1 4

 

 

 

 

Thaddeus McCotter

- n/a

 

 

 

 

Unsure/No answer

18 20

 

 

 

 

Gary Johnson

n/a -

 

 

 


 

Gallup Poll. July 7-10, 2011. N=482 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error 6.

             

"Thinking about the men and women who are running or are likely to run for the Republican Party's 2012 presidential nomination, who are you most likely to support for the Republican nomination?" Open-ended

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

13

 

 

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

9

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Perry

4

 

 

 

 

 

Sarah Palin

3

 

 

 

 

 

Herman Cain

2

 

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

1

 

 

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

1

 

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

1

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

1

 

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

1

 

 

 

 

 

Other

6

 

 

 

 

 

None/Would not vote

9

 

 

 

 

 

Any/All

1

 

 

 

 

 

Unsure

49

 

 

 

 


 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). June 9-13, 2011. N=1,000 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters who say they would vote in a Republican presidential primary.

             

"Let me read you a list of people who might seek the 2012 Republican nomination for president. If you were voting today in the 2012 Republican primary for president, which one of the following candidates would you favor: [see below]?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

30

 

 

 

 

 

Sarah Palin

14

 

 

 

 

 

Herman Cain

12

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Perry

8

 

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

7

 

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

6

 

 

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

4

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

4

 

 

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

3

 

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

1

 

 

 

 

 

Other (vol.)

1

 

 

 

 

 

None (vol.)

2

 

 

 

 

 

Unsure

8

 

 

 

 

             

"Now, let me read you a slightly shorter list of people who might seek the 2012 Republican nomination for president. If you were voting today in the 2012 Republican primary for president, which one of the following candidates would you favor: [see below]?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

43

 

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

11

 

 

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

11

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

9

 

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

8

 

 

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

7

 

 

 

 

 

None (vol.)

3

 

 

 

 

 

Unsure

8

 

 

 

 


 

USA Today/Gallup Poll. June 8-11, 2011. N=851 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error 4. Interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking.

             

"I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in the 2012 election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2012, or if you would support someone else. Former speaker of the House, Newt Gingrich; former New Mexico governor, Gary Johnson; former Alaska governor, Sarah Palin; Texas Congressman, Ron Paul; Former Minnesota governor, Tim Pawlenty; former Massachusetts governor, Mitt Romney; former Pennsylvania senator, Rick Santorum; former Utah governor, Jon Huntsman; Minnesota Congresswoman, Michele Bachmann; businessman, Herman Cain." Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

24

 

 

 

 

 

Sarah Palin

16

 

 

 

 

 

Herman Cain

9

 

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

7

 

 

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

6

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

6

 

 

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

5

 

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

5

 

 

 

 

 

Gary Johnson

2

 

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

1

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Perry (vol.)

1

 

 

 

 

 

Other

1

 

 

 

 

 

None (vol.)

8

 

 

 

 

 

Unsure

10

 

 

 

 


 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). June 5-7, 2011. N=338 Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error 5.5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of potential candidates for the 2012 Republican nomination. Please tell me which one you would like to see as the Republican presidential nominee. [See below.]" Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

23

 

 

 

 

 

Rudy Giuliani

13

 

 

 

 

 

Sarah Palin

12

 

 

 

 

 

Herman Cain

7

 

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

7

 

 

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

5

 

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

5

 

 

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

4

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

4

 

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

2

 

 

 

 

 

Buddy Roemer

1

 

 

 

 

 

Roy Moore

-

 

 

 

 

 

Fred Karger

-

 

 

 

 

 

Gary Johnson

-

 

 

 

 

 

Mike Huckabee (vol.)

2

 

 

 

 

 

Chris Christie (vol.)

1

 

 

 

 

 

Jeb Bush (vol.)

1

 

 

 

 

 

Donald Trump (vol.)

1

 

 

 

 

 

Someone else (vol.)

1

 

 

 

 

 

Too soon to say (vol.)

5

 

 

 

 

 

Unsure

7

 

 

 

 


 

CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. June 3-7, 2011. N=433 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error 4.5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primary for president in 2012. After I read all the names, please tell me which candidate you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in the year 2012, or if you would support someone else. Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann, businessman Herman Cain, former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich, former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani, former Utah Governor Jon Huntsman, former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin, Texas Congressman Ron Paul, former Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney, or former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum?" Options rotated

 
 

Other candidate scenarios (based on 1st/2nd/3rd choices):

 
 

Without Giuliani:

    6/3-7/11 5/24-26/11      
    % %      
 

Mitt Romney

28 19

 

 

 

 

Sarah Palin

23 15

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

11 11

 

 

 

 

Herman Cain

10 11

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

10 13

 

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

5 7

 

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

3 5

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

1 3

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

1 2

 

 

 

 

Someone else

2 3

 

 

 

 

None/No one (vol.)

3 6

 

 

 

 

Unsure

3 2

 

 

 

 

Gary Johnson

n/a 2

 

 

 

 

Buddy Roemer

n/a 1

 

 

 

 

Fred Karger

n/a 0

 

 

 

             
 

Without Giuliani and Palin:

    6/3-7/11 5/24-26/11      
    % %      
 

Mitt Romney

35 21

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

16 12

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

13 15

 

 

 

 

Herman Cain

10 13

 

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

7 9

 

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

4 5

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

2 3

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

1 3

 

 

 

 

Someone else

2 5

 

 

 

 

None/No one (vol.)

8 9

 

 

 

 

Unsure

3 2

 

 

 

 

Gary Johnson

n/a 2

 

 

 

 

Buddy Roemer

n/a 1

 

 

 

 

Fred Karger

n/a 0

 

 

 


 

Reuters/Ipsos Poll conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs. June 3-6, 2011. N=456 Republicans nationwide. Margin of error 4.6.

             

"Several commentators have said the Republican presidential field for the 2012 presidential election is becoming clear. If the 2012 Republican presidential primaries were being held today, for whom of the following would you vote . . . ?"

 
    %        
 

Sarah Palin

22

 

 

 

 

 

Mitt Romney

20

 

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

7

 

 

 

 

 

Herman Cain

7

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Perry

6

 

 

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

6

 

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

6

 

 

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

2

 

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

2

 

 

 

 

 

Wouldn't vote

1

 

 

 

 

 

None/Other

8

 

 

 

 

 

Unsure

13

 

 

 

 


 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. June 2-5, 2011. N=1,002 adults nationwide. Results below are among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents. Margin of error 5.

             

"If the 2012 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, for whom would you vote?" Open-ended. If necessary: "Which candidate would you lean toward?"

 
    6/2-5/11 4/14-17/11      
    % %      
 

Mitt Romney

21 16

 

 

 

 

Sarah Palin

17 5

 

 

 

 

Rudy Giuliani

8 n/a

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

6 2

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

6 2

 

 

 

 

Herman Cain

4 n/a

 

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

4 1

 

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

3 1

 

 

 

 

Rick Perry

3 0

 

 

 

 

Chris Christie

1 1

 

 

 

 

Mitch Daniels

1 1

 

 

 

 

Mike Huckabee

1 6

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

1 -

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

1 -

 

 

 

 

Donald Trump

- 8

 

 

 

 

Haley Barbour

0 1

 

 

 

 

Jim DeMint

0 -

 

 

 

 

Gary Johnson

0 n/a

 

 

 

 

George Pataki

0 n/a

 

 

 

 

Mike Pence

0 1

 

 

 

 

John Thune

0 0

 

 

 

 

Other

3 5

 

 

 

 

No one

5 12

 

 

 

 

Anyone

- 4

 

 

 

 

Unsure

14 33

 

 

 


 

Pew Research Center. May 25-30, 2011. N=535 Republican and Republican-leaning registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 5.5.

             

"I'm going to read you a list of possible Republican presidential candidates. Not everyone will have heard of them. For each one that I name, please tell me whether or not you have heard of this person. First, [see below]. Have you heard of [see below] or not?" If yes: "How much of a chance is there that you would vote for [see below] if he/she is a candidate for president in 2012? Is there a good chance, some chance, or no chance?"

 
      Among those who have heard of:
 
    HEARD OF Good chance Some chance No chance Unsure
    % % % % %
 
 

Herman Cain

44 39 35 18 8
 
 

Mitt Romney

85 32 43 18 7
 
 

Tim Pawlenty

52 27 44 19 10
 
 

Michele Bachmann

60 25 42 23 10
 
 

Sarah Palin

98 24 33 39 4
 
 

Rick Santorum

48 20 41 29 10
 
 

Newt Gingrich

90 16 39 38 6
 
 

Ron Paul

80 14 36 42 8
 
 

Jon Huntsman

35 13 35 36 15
 
 

Gary Johnson

19 11 31 42 16

 

CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. May 24-26, 2011. N=473 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error 4.5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primary for president in 2012. After I read all the names, please tell me which candidate you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in the year 2012, or if you would support someone else. Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann, businessman Herman Cain, former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich, former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani, former Utah Governor Jon Huntsman, former New Mexico Governor Gary Johnson, political activist Fred Karger, former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin, Texas Congressman Ron Paul, former Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty, former Louisiana Governor Buddy Roemer, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney, or former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum?" Options rotated

 
 

Other candidate scenarios (based on 1st/2nd/3rd choices):

 
 

Without Giuliani and Cain:

    %        
 

Mitt Romney

21

 

 

 

 

 

Sarah Palin

16

 

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

15

 

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

12

 

 

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

10

 

 

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

6

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

3

 

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

3

 

 

 

 

 

Gary Johnson

-

 

 

 

 

 

Buddy Roemer

-

 

 

 

 

 

Fred Karger

0

 

 

 

 

 

Someone else

6

 

 

 

 

 

None/No one (vol.)

6

 

 

 

 

 

Unsure

2

 

 

 

 

             

"How satisfied are you with the field of Republican candidates running for president? Are you very satisfied, fairly satisfied, not very satisfied, or not satisfied at all?"

 
    Very
satisfied
Fairly
satisfied
Not very
satisfied
Not satisfied
at all
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

5/24-26/11

16 45 28 11 1
 

9/7-9/07

19 54 19 6 1
 

5/4-6/07

20 50 21 5 3

 

Gallup Poll. May 20-24, 2011. N=971 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error 4. Interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking.
PER GALLUP: Mitch Daniels included May 20-22, but removed for May 23-24 after he announced he was not running. Daniels supporters' second choice was substituted for their Daniels vote.

             

Preference for Republican nominee:

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

17

 

 

 

 

 

Sarah Palin

15

 

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

10

 

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

9

 

 

 

 

 

Herman Cain

8

 

 

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

6

 

 

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

5

 

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

2

 

 

 

 

 

Gary Johnson

2

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

2

 

 

 

 

 

Mike Huckabee (vol.)

1

 

 

 

 

 

Other

2

 

 

 

 

 

None/Unsure

22

 

 

 

 

             
 

Without Palin:

    %        
 

Mitt Romney

19

 

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

12

 

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

12

 

 

 

 

 

Herman Cain

8

 

 

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

7

 

 

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

7

 

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

3

 

 

 

 

 

Gary Johnson

3

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

2

 

 

 

 

 

Other

4

 

 

 

 

 

None/Unsure

25

 

 

 

 


 

Suffolk University Poll. May 10-17, 2011. N=468 Republican presidential primary voters nationwide.

             

"If the Republican primary for president of the United States were held today and the candidates were [see below], for whom will you vote or toward whom would you LEAN at this time?" Among respondents who initially selected Huckabee or Trump, and who were successfully re-contacted (n=51): "Now that Mike Huckabee / Donald Trump has withdrawn from the race, who will you vote for in the Republican primary?" Combined responses

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

20

 

 

 

 

 

Sarah Palin

12

 

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

9

 

 

 

 

 

Mike Huckabee

8

 

 

 

 

 

Rudy Giuliani

7

 

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

5

 

 

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

4

 

 

 

 

 

Herman Cain

4

 

 

 

 

 

Mitch Daniels

4

 

 

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

3

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

3

 

 

 

 

 

Donald Trump

1

 

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

0

 

 

 

 

 

Gary Johnson

0

 

 

 

 

 

Buddy Roemer

0

 

 

 

 

 

Unsure

20

 

 

 

 


 

AP-GfK Poll conducted by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Corporate Communications. May 5-9, 2011. N=378 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error 6.9.

             

"Thinking about the people who may be candidates in the upcoming elections for the Republican presidential nomination, would you say you are more satisfied with your choices or more dissatisfied with your choices?" Options rotated

 
    Satisfied Dissatisfied Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

5/5-9/11

41 45 8 6

 

 

3/24-28/11

52 33 7 9

 


 

CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. April 29-May 1, 2011. N=475 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error 4.5.

             

"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primary for president in 2012. After I read all the names, please tell me which candidate you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in the year 2012, or if you would support someone else. Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann, Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels, former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich, former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee, former Utah Governor Jon Huntsman former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin, Texas Congressman Ron Paul, former Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney, former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum, or businessman Donald Trump." Options rotated

 
    4/29 -
5/1/11
4/9-10/11 3/11-13/11    
    % % %    
 

Mike Huckabee

16 19 19

 

 

 

Donald Trump

14 19 10

 

 

 

Mitt Romney

13 11 18

 

 

 

Sarah Palin

11 12 12

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

10 11 14

 

 

 

Ron Paul

10 7 8

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

5 5 n/a

 

 

 

Mitch Daniels

5 3 3

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

3 2 3

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

2 2 3

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

1 n/a n/a

 

 

 

Someone else

3 3 4

 

 

 

None/No one (vol.)

4 4 3

 

 

 

Unsure

2 1 2

 

 

 

Haley Barbour

n/a - 1

 

 

             

". . . And who would be your second choice? . . ." Options rotated
Results below based on 1st and 2nd choices, omitting Trump and Bachmann.

 
    4/29 -
5/1/11
4/9-10/11      
    % %      
 

Mike Huckabee

18 24

 

 

 

 

Mitt Romney

18 16

 

 

 

 

Sarah Palin

16 16

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

12 16

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

12 9

 

 

 

 

Mitch Daniels

6 4

 

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

3 3

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

2 2

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

1 n/a

 

 

 

 

Someone else

3 3

 

 

 

 

None/No one (vol.)

6 6

 

 

 

 

Unsure

2 1

 

 

 

 

Haley Barbour

n/a -

 

 

 


 

Quinnipiac University Poll. April 26-May 1, 2011. N=1,408 registered voters nationwide. Results below are among Republicans and Republican leaners.

             

"If the 2012 Republican primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?"

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

18

 

 

 

 

 

Mike Huckabee

15

 

 

 

 

 

Sarah Palin

15

 

 

 

 

 

Donald Trump

12

 

 

 

 

 

Mitch Daniels

5

 

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

5

 

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

5

 

 

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

4

 

 

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

4

 

 

 

 

 

Gary Johnson

1

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

1

 

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

1

 

 

 

 

 

Unsure/No answer

15

 

 

 

 


 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). April 25-27, 2011. N=322 Republican registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 6.

             

"I'm going to read a list of potential candidates for the 2012 Republican nomination. Please tell me which one you would like to see as the Republican presidential nominee. [See below.]" Options rotated

 
    4/25-27/11 4/3-5/11      
    % %      
 

Mitt Romney

19 14

 

 

 

 

Mike Huckabee

17 15

 

 

 

 

Sarah Palin

9 12

 

 

 

 

Donald Trump

8 11

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

7 7

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

7 3

 

 

 

 

Herman Cain

4 2

 

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

3 4

 

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

3 2

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

3 2

 

 

 

 

Mitch Daniels

2 3

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

1 1

 

 

 

 

Gary Johnson

1 1

 

 

 

 

Fred Karger

1 n/a

 

 

 

 

Roy Moore

1 n/a

 

 

 

 

Buddy Roemer

- n/a

 

 

 

 

Someone else (vol.)

1 1

 

 

 

 

Too soon to say (vol.)

9 5

 

 

 

 

Unsure

4 8

 

 

 

 

Rudy Giuliani

n/a 9

 

 

 

 

Haley Barbour

n/a 1

 

 

 


 

Gallup Poll. April 15-20, 2011. N=1,047 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error 4. Interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking.

             

"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in the 2012 election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2012, or if you would support someone else. Mississippi governor, Haley Barbour; Indiana governor, Mitch Daniels; former speaker of the House, Newt Gingrich; former Arkansas governor, Mike Huckabee; former New Mexico governor, Gary Johnson; former Alaska governor, Sarah Palin; Texas Congressman, Ron Paul; former Minnesota governor, Tim Pawlenty; former Massachusetts governor, Mitt Romney; former Pennsylvania senator, Rick Santorum; former Utah governor, Jon Huntsman; Minnesota Congresswoman, Michele Bachmann; businessman, Donald Trump." Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Mike Huckabee

16

 

 

 

 

 

Donald Trump

16

 

 

 

 

 

Mitt Romney

13

 

 

 

 

 

Sarah Palin

10

 

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

6

 

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

6

 

 

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

4

 

 

 

 

 

Mitch Daniels

3

 

 

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

3

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

2

 

 

 

 

 

Haley Barbour

2

 

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

1

 

 

 

 

 

Gary Johnson

-

 

 

 

 

 

Chris Christie (vol.)

-

 

 

 

 

 

Herman Cain (vol.)

-

 

 

 

 

 

Someone else

1

 

 

 

 

 

None (vol.)

6

 

 

 

 

 

Unsure

8

 

 

 

 


 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. April 10-14, 2011. N=468 Republican voters and Republican-leaning independent voters nationwide. Margin of error 4.5.

             

"If the 2012 Republican presidential primary were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are Mississippi Governor Haley Barbour, Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels, former Georgia congressman Newt Gingrich, former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, former Alaska governor Sarah Palin, Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty, former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney, former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani, Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann, former Pennsylvania senator Rick Santorum, former Utah governor and current U.S. Ambassador to China Jon Huntsman, businessman Herman Cain, businessman Donald Trump, Texas Congressman Ron Paul."

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

18

 

 

 

 

 

Mike Huckabee

17

 

 

 

 

 

Donald Trump

13

 

 

 

 

 

Rudy Giuliani

9

 

 

 

 

 

Sarah Palin

8

 

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

7

 

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

4

 

 

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

3

 

 

 

 

 

Herman Cain

2

 

 

 

 

 

Mitch Daniels

2

 

 

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

2

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

2

 

 

 

 

 

Haley Barbour

1

 

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

1

 

 

 

 

 

Unsure

11

 

 

 

 


 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). March 31-April 4, 2011. N=238 registered voters nationwide who say they would vote in a Republican presidential primary.

             

"Let me read you a list of people who might seek the 2012 Republican nomination for president. If you were voting today in the 2012 Republican primary for president, which one of the following candidates would you favor: [see below]?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

21

 

 

 

 

 

Mike Huckabee

17

 

 

 

 

 

Donald Trump

17

 

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

11

 

 

 

 

 

Sarah Palin

10

 

 

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

6

 

 

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

5

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

3

 

 

 

 

 

Haley Barbour

1

 

 

 

 

 

Other (vol.)

1

 

 

 

 

 

None (vol.)

4

 

 

 

 

 

Unsure

4

 

 

 

 

             

"Let me read you a slightly shorter list of people who might seek the 2012 Republican nomination for president. If you were voting today in the 2012 Republican primary for president, which one of the following candidates would you favor: [see below]?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

40

 

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

20

 

 

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

12

 

 

 

 

 

Michele Bachmann

11

 

 

 

 

 

Haley Barbour

3

 

 

 

 

 

Other (vol.)

1

 

 

 

 

 

None (vol.)

6

 

 

 

 

 

Unsure

7

 

 

 

 


 

Fairleigh Dickinson University PublicMind. March 21-28, 2011. N=800 registered voters nationwide. Results below are among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents.

             

"In 2012 there will be an election for president of the United States. To run as the Republican candidate for president, who would you prefer? [Names read 'as necessary.']" If unsure: "Which way do you lean?"

 
    %        
 

Mike Huckabee

21

 

 

 

 

 

Mitt Romney

19

 

 

 

 

 

Sarah Palin

11

 

 

 

 

 

Chris Christie

11

 

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

8

 

 

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

5

 

 

 

 

 

Other (vol.)/Unsure

23

 

 

 

 


 

Gallup Poll. March 18-22, 2011. N=1,082 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error 4. Interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking.

             

"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in the 2012 election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2012, or if you would support someone else. Mississippi Governor Haley Barbour; Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels; Former speaker of the House Newt Gingrich; former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee; former New Mexico governor Gary Johnson; former Alaska governor Sarah Palin; Texas Congressman Ron Paul; former Minnesota governor Tim Pawlenty; former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney; former Pennsylvania senator Rick Santorum; South Dakota Senator John Thune; former Utah governor Jon Huntsman; Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann." Options rotated. Mike Pence removed after 2010. John Thune removed after Feb. 2011.

 
    3/18-22/11 2/18-20/11 11/13-14/10 9/25-26/10  
    % % % %  
 

Mike Huckabee

19 18

16

12

 

 

Mitt Romney

15 16

19

19

 

 

Sarah Palin

12 16

16

16

 

 

Newt Gingrich

10 9

13

9

 

 

Ron Paul

6 5

6

7

 

 

Michele Bachmann

5 4

n/a

n/a

 

 

Mitch Daniels

4 3

1

2

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

3 3

4

3

 

 

Haley Barbour

2 3

4

3

 

 

Jon Huntsman

2 1

n/a

n/a

 

 

Rick Santorum

2 2

1

2

 

 

Gary Johnson

2 1

1

1

 

 

Donald Trump (vol.)

1 -

-

-

 

 

Chris Christie (vol.)

- 1

1

1

 

 

Someone else

2 3

2

4

 

 

Any/All (vol.)

1 -

-

1

 

 

None (vol.)

7 4

5

7

 

 

Unsure

8 10

9

11

 

 

Mike Pence

- 1

1

1

 

 

John Thune

- 1

2

2

 

             
 

Ballot scenarios:
Per Gallup: Ballot without Huckabee re-configured to substitute Huckabee voters' second choice. Ballot without Palin re-configured to substitute Palin voters' second choice. Ballot without Huckabee and Palin re-configured to substitute Huckabee or Palin voters' second choice or -- if their first and second choices are Huckabee and Palin -- third choice.

 
    ALL w/o Huckabee w/o Palin w/o Palin and
Huckabee
 
    % % % %  
 

Mike Huckabee

19 n/a

23

n/a

 

 

Mitt Romney

15 19

16

22

 

 

Sarah Palin

12 17

n/a

n/a

 

 

Newt Gingrich

10 13

12

16

 

 

Ron Paul

6 8

7

9

 

 

Michele Bachmann

5 5

6

7

 

 

Mitch Daniels

4 4

4

5

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

3 3

3

4

 

 

Haley Barbour

2 3

2

3

 

 

Jon Huntsman

2 2

2

2

 

 

Rick Santorum

2 2

2

2

 

 

Gary Johnson

2 2

2

2

 

 

Donald Trump (vol.)

1 2

2

2

 

 

Someone else

2 3

2

3

 

 

Any/All/None (vol.)/Unsure

15 18

18

24

 


 

Pew Research Center. March 8-14, 2011. N=538 Republican and Republican-leaning registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 5.5.

             

"As I name some possible Republican candidates for president in 2012, please tell me which one, if any, you would most like to see nominated as the Republican Party's candidate. [See below.]" If unsure: "As of today, who would you say you LEAN toward?" Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

21

 

 

 

 

 

Mike Huckabee

20

 

 

 

 

 

Sarah Palin

13

 

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

11

 

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

8

 

 

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

3

 

 

 

 

 

Mitch Daniels

2

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

2

 

 

 

 

 

Haley Barbour

2

 

 

 

 

 

Chris Christie (vol.)

2

 

 

 

 

 

Other (vol.)

1

 

 

 

 

 

None (vol.)

5

 

 

 

 

 

Unsure

10

 

 

 

 


 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Feb. 24-28, 2011. N=282 registered voters nationwide who say they would vote in a Republican presidential primary.

             

"Let me read you a list of people who might seek the 2012 Republican nomination for president. If you were voting today in the 2012 Republican primary for president, which one of the following candidates would you favor: [see below]?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Mike Huckabee

25

 

 

 

 

 

Mitt Romney

21

 

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

13

 

 

 

 

 

Sarah Palin

12

 

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

6

 

 

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

3

 

 

 

 

 

Mitch Daniels

3

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

2

 

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

1

 

 

 

 

 

Haley Barbour

-

 

 

 

 

 

Other (vol.)

2

 

 

 

 

 

None (vol.)

4

 

 

 

 

 

Unsure

8

 

 

 

 


 

Newsweek/Daily Beast Poll conducted by Douglas E. Schoen LLC. Feb. 12-15, 2011. N=918 likely voters nationwide. Results below are among Republicans and independents.

             

"In thinking about the 2012 Republican primary for president, suppose you had a choice between Sarah Palin, Tim Pawlenty, Haley Barbour, Mike Huckabee, Mitt Romney, Mitch Daniels Newt Gingrich, Donald Trump and Jon Huntsman. If the election were held today, who would you vote for?"

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

19

 

 

 

 

 

Mike Huckabee

18

 

 

 

 

 

Sarah Palin

10

 

 

 

 

 

Donald Trump

8

 

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

7

 

 

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

5

 

 

 

 

 

Mitch Daniels

1

 

 

 

 

 

Haley Barbour

1

 

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

1

 

 

 

 

 

Unsure

31

 

 

 

 


 

CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Jan. 21-23, 2011. N=479 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error 4.5.

             

"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primary for president in 2012. After I read all the names, please tell me which candidate you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in the year 2012, or if you would support someone else. Mississippi Governor Haley Barbour. Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels. Former speaker of the House Newt Gingrich. Former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee. Former Alaska governor Sarah Palin. Texas Congressman Ron Paul. Former Minnesota governor Tim Pawlenty. Indiana Congressman Mike Pence. Former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney. Former Pennsylvania senator Rick Santorum. South Dakota Senator John Thune." Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Mike Huckabee

21

 

 

 

 

 

Sarah Palin

19

 

 

 

 

 

Mitt Romney

18

 

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

10

 

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

7

 

 

 

 

 

Haley Barbour

3

 

 

 

 

 

Mitch Daniels

3

 

 

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

3

 

 

 

 

 

Mike Pence

1

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

1

 

 

 

 

 

John Thune

1

 

 

 

 

 

Someone else (vol.)

5

 

 

 

 

 

None/No one (vol.)

4

 

 

 

 

 

Unsure

2

 

 

 

 

             

"If you had to choose, would you rather see the Republican Party nominate a presidential candidate who agrees with you on every issue that matters to you but may not be able to beat Barack Obama, or a presidential candidate who can beat Barack Obama but does not agree with you on every issue that matters to you?"

 
    Agrees on
every issue
Can beat
Obama
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

1/21-23/11

29 68 2

 

 


 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Jan. 13-17, 2011. N=1,000 adults nationwide. Results below are among Republicans and strict independents.

             

"Let me read you a list of people who might seek the 2012 Republican nomination for president. If you were voting today in the 2012 Republican primary for president, which one of the following candidates would you favor: [see below]?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

19

 

 

 

 

 

Mike Huckabee

18

 

 

 

 

 

Sarah Palin

14

 

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

10

 

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

8

 

 

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

5

 

 

 

 

 

Mitch Daniels

3

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

3

 

 

 

 

 

Haley Barbour

2

 

 

 

 

 

John Thune

1

 

 

 

 

 

Other (vol.)

2

 

 

 

 

 

None (vol.)

6

 

 

 

 

 

Unsure

8

 

 

 

 


 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Jan. 13-16, 2011. N=425 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error 5.5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of possible candidates for the Republican nomination for president in 2012. After you hear the list, please tell me, if the 2012 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, for whom would you vote: [see below]? ... Which candidate would you lean toward?"

 
    %        
 

Mike Huckabee

21

 

 

 

 

 

Sarah Palin

19

 

 

 

 

 

Mitt Romney

17

 

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

9

 

 

 

 

 

Chris Christie

8

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Perry

3

 

 

 

 

 

Mitch Daniels

2

 

 

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

2

 

 

 

 

 

Mike Pence

2

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum

1

 

 

 

 

 

Haley Barbour

1

 

 

 

 

 

Jim DeMint

1

 

 

 

 

 

Jon Huntsman

1

 

 

 

 

 

John Thune

-

 

 

 

 

 

Other (vol.)

1

 

 

 

 

 

None of these (vol.)

6

 

 

 

 

 

Unsure

6

 

 

 

 


 

CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Dec. 17-19, 2010. N=470 Republicans nationwide. MoE 4.5.

             

"I'm going to read you the names of a few people who might run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2012. For each one, please tell me whether you would be very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, or not likely at all to support them if they decided to run for the Republican nomination in 2012. . . ."

 
    Very
likely
Somewhat
likely
Not very
likely
Not likely
at all
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

Alaska Governor Sarah Palin

 

12/17-19/10

23

26

23

28

-

 

12/1-2/08

32

35

21

12

-

 
 

Former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney

 

12/17-19/10

24

35

25

15

2

 

12/1-2/08

28

33

23

13

3

 
 

Former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee

 

12/17-19/10

27

40

20

11

2

 

12/1-2/08

34

31

21

13

1

 
 

Former House speaker Newt Gingrich

 

12/17-19/10

19

35

22

22

2

 

12/1-2/08

27

25

28

19

1


 

Clarus Research Group. Dec. 10-16, 2010. N=365 Republican voters nationwide. Margin of error 5.1.

             

"As you may know, there are a number of Republicans who are considering running for president in 2012. Please tell me which ONE of the following would you most likely vote for if the presidential primary were held today: Mitt Romney, Sarah Palin, Mike Huckabee, Newt Gingrich, Chris Christie, John Thune, Haley Barbour, Tim Pawlenty, Ron Paul, Bobby Jindal, Marco Rubio, or Mitch Daniels?" Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

19

 

 

 

 

 

Mike Huckabee

18

 

 

 

 

 

Sarah Palin

17

 

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

10

 

 

 

 

 

Chris Christie

9

 

 

 

 

 

Marco Rubio

5

 

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul

4

 

 

 

 

 

Bobby Jindal

4

 

 

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

3

 

 

 

 

 

Haley Barbour

2

 

 

 

 

 

John Thune

2

 

 

 

 

 

Mitch Daniels

2

 

 

 

 

 

Unsure

5

 

 

 

 


 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. Nov. 15-18, 2010. N=337 Republican voters and Republican-leaning independent voters nationwide. Margin of error 5.5.

             

"If the 2012 Republican presidential primary were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [names and titles read]?"

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

20

 

 

 

 

 

Mike Huckabee

16

 

 

 

 

 

Sarah Palin

13

 

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

10

 

 

 

 

 

Chris Christie

9

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Perry

5

 

 

 

 

 

Mitch Daniels

4

 

 

 

 

 

George Pataki

3

 

 

 

 

 

Mike Pence

3

 

 

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

2

 

 

 

 

 

Haley Barbour

1

 

 

 

 

 

Unsure

14

 

 

 

 


 

Quinnipiac University Poll. Nov. 8-15, 2010. N=2,424 registered voters nationwide. Results below are among Republicans and Republican leaners.

             

"It is a long way off but I would like to ask you some questions about the 2012 presidential election. If the 2012 Republican primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were Sarah Palin, Mike Huckabee, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Mitch Daniels, Tim Pawlenty, Haley Barbour, and John Thune, for whom would you vote?"

 
    ALL Men Women    
    % % %    
 

Sarah Palin

19

14

25

 

 

 

Mitt Romney

18

20

15

 

 

 

Mike Huckabee

17

17

18

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich

15

18

11

 

 

 

Tim Pawlenty

6

6

5

 

 

 

Mitch Daniels

2

3

2

 

 

 

Haley Barbour

2

3

1

 

 

 

John Thune

2

2

1

 

 

 

Someone else (vol.)

1

1

1

 

 

 

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

1

1

1

 

 

 

Unsure/No answer

17

15

19

 

 


Republican nomination continued


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