|
|
White House
2012: Republican Nomination
(p. 2) |
|
|
Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw &
Company Research (R). Aug. 29-31, 2011. N=341 Republican primary voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'm going to read a list of potential candidates for the 2012 Republican
nomination. Please tell me which one you would like to see as the Republican
presidential nominee. [See below.]"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
8/29-31/11 |
8/7-9/11 |
7/17-19/11 |
6/26-28/11 |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
26 |
13 |
14 |
13 |
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
18 |
21 |
17 |
18 |
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
8 |
8 |
9 |
8 |
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
7 |
6 |
9 |
7 |
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
4 |
7 |
10 |
11 |
|
|
|
Rudy Giuliani |
4 |
7 |
9 |
10 |
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
4 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee (vol.) |
4 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
3 |
6 |
4 |
3 |
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
3 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
Chris Christie (vol.) |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
1 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
|
|
|
Gary Johnson |
1 |
- |
- |
1 |
|
|
|
Buddy Roemer |
1 |
- |
- |
- |
|
|
|
Roy Moore |
- |
- |
- |
- |
|
|
|
Fred Karger |
- |
- |
- |
- |
|
|
|
Thaddeus McCotter |
- |
- |
- |
- |
|
|
|
Jeb Bush (vol.) |
- |
- |
- |
1 |
|
|
|
Donald Trump (vol.) |
- |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
Someone else (vol.) |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
Too soon to say (vol.) |
9 |
7 |
6 |
6 |
|
|
|
Unsure |
4 |
7 |
9 |
4 |
|
|
|
George Pataki |
n/a |
1 |
n/a |
n/a |
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
n/a |
2 |
2 |
3 |
|
|
|
Quinnipiac University Poll. Aug. 16-27, 2011. N=1,185 Republican and Republican-leaning registered voters nationwide. Margin of error
±
2.9. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2012 Republican primary for president were being held today, and the
candidates were Rick Perry, Sarah Palin, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman, Herman
Cain, and Thaddeus McCotter, for whom would you vote?" |
| |
|
|
Without Palin (Palin
supporters allocated based on 2nd choice): |
| |
|
|
|
8/16-27/11 |
7/5-11/11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
26 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
20 |
28 |
|
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
12 |
17 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
10 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
5 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
4 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
2 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Thaddeus McCotter |
1 |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure/No answer |
19 |
22 |
|
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
n/a |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
CNN/ORC Poll. Aug. 24-25, 2011. N=467
Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error
± 4.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the
Republican primary for president in 2012. After I read all the names, please
tell me which candidate you would be most likely to support for the
Republican nomination for president in the year 2012, or if you would
support someone else. Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann, businessman
Herman Cain, former speaker of the House Newt Gingrich, former New York City
mayor Rudy Giuliani, former Utah governor Jon Huntsman, former New Mexico
governor Gary Johnson, Michigan Congressman Thaddeus McCotter, former Alaska
governor Sarah Palin, Texas Congressman Ron Paul, Texas Governor Rick Perry, former Massachusetts governor Mitt
Romney, or former Pennsylvania senator Rick Santorum."
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
8/24-25/11 |
8/5-7/11 |
7/18-20/11 |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
27 |
15 |
14 |
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
14 |
17 |
16 |
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
10 |
12 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
9 |
7 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
Rudy Giuliani |
9 |
12 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
6 |
5 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
6 |
12 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
2 |
4 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
Gary Johnson |
2 |
- |
- |
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
1 |
4 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
1 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
Thaddeus McCotter |
- |
- |
- |
|
|
|
|
Someone else |
3 |
2 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
None/No one (vol.) |
5 |
4 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
3 |
2 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
n/a |
2 |
3 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Without Giuliani and Palin
(based on 1st/2nd/3rd choices): |
| |
|
|
|
8/24-25/11 |
8/5-7/11 |
7/18-20/11 |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
32 |
18 |
17 |
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
18 |
23 |
22 |
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
12 |
9 |
14 |
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
7 |
8 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
6 |
14 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
3 |
5 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
Gary Johnson |
2 |
- |
- |
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
1 |
5 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
1 |
3 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
Thaddeus McCotter |
1 |
- |
- |
|
|
|
|
Someone else |
4 |
2 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
None/No one (vol.) |
6 |
5 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
4 |
4 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
n/a |
3 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
Gallup Poll. Aug. 17-21, 2011. N=1,040 Republicans and
Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error ± 4. Interviews
conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the
Republican primaries for president in the 2012 election. After I read all
the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely
to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2012, or if you
would support someone else. Minnesota Congresswoman, Michele Bachmann;
Businessman, Herman Cain; Former speaker of the House, Newt Gingrich; former
New York City mayor, Rudy Giuliani; former Utah governor, Jon Huntsman;
former Alaska governor, Sarah Palin; Texas Congressman, Ron Paul; Texas
governor, Rick Perry; former Massachusetts governor, Mitt Romney; former
Pennsylvania senator, Rick Santorum."
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
8/17-21/11 |
7/20-24/11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
25 |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
14 |
17 |
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
11 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
11 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rudy Giuliani |
9 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
7 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
4 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
3 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
3 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Other |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
None/Unsure |
12 |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
n/a |
2 |
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Without Palin and Giuliani
(based on 1st/2nd/3rd choices): |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
29 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
17 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
None/Unsure |
17 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw &
Company Research (R). Aug. 7-9, 2011. N=319 Republican primary voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If you had to pick from just the ANNOUNCED candidates, which one you would
like to see as the Republican presidential nominee? Those candidates are
[see below]."
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
8/7-9/11 |
7/17-19/11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
26 |
26 |
|
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
13 |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
10 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
9 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
9 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
4 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
4 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Gary Johnson |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Thaddeus McCotter |
1 |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
Fred Karger |
- |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
Someone else (vol.) |
4 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Too soon to say (vol.) |
8 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
9 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
McClatchy-Marist Poll. Aug. 2-4, 2011. N=301 Republican voters and
Republican-leaning independent voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 6. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2012 Republican presidential primary were held today, whom would you
support if the candidates are former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney,
Texas Governor Rick Perry, former Alaska governor Sarah Palin, former New
York City mayor Rudy Giuliani, Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann,
businessman Herman Cain, Texas Congressman Ron Paul, former Pennsylvania
senator Rick Santorum, former Georgia congressman Newt Gingrich, former
Minnesota governor Tim Pawlenty, former New Mexico governor Gary Johnson,
former Louisiana governor Buddy Roemer, former U.S. ambassador to China Jon
Huntsman, political activist Fred Karger." |
| |
|
|
|
8/2-4/11 |
6/15-23/11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
21 |
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
18 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
10 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rudy Giuliani |
9 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
8 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
6 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
3 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
3 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
2 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
Gary Johnson |
2 |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
Buddy Roemer |
2 |
n/a |
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Fred Karger |
- |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
14 |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
Pew Research Center. July 20-24, 2011. N=546 Republican and
Republican-leaning registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"As I name some possible Republican candidates for president in 2012, please
tell me which one, if any, you would most like to see nominated as the
Republican Party's candidate. [See below.]" If unsure:
"As of today, who would you say you LEAN toward?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
21 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other/None (vol.)/Unsure |
20 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gallup Poll. July 20-24, 2011. N=1,088 Republicans and
Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error ± 4. Interviews
conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the
Republican primaries for president in the 2012 election. After I read all
the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely
to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2012, or if you
would support someone else. Minnesota Congresswoman, Michele Bachmann;
businessman, Herman Cain; former speaker of the House, Newt Gingrich; former
New York City mayor, Rudy Giuliani; former Utah governor, Jon Huntsman ;
former Alaska governor, Sarah Palin; Texas Congressman, Ron Paul; former
Minnesota governor, Tim Pawlenty; Texas governor, Rick Perry; former
Massachusetts governor, Mitt Romney; former Pennsylvania senator, Rick
Santorum."
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
Without Perry, Palin, Giuliani
(based on 1st/2nd/3rd choices): |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
27 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
18 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Any/All (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
None (vol.) |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
CNN/ORC Poll. July 18-20, 2011. N=455
Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error
± 4.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the
Republican primary for president in 2012. After I read all the names, please
tell me which candidate you would be most likely to support for the
Republican nomination for president in the year 2012, or if you would
support someone else. Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann, businessman
Herman Cain, former speaker of the House Newt Gingrich, former New York City
mayor Rudy Giuliani, former Utah governor Jon Huntsman, former New Mexico
governor Gary Johnson, Michigan Congressman Thaddeus McCotter, former Alaska
governor Sarah Palin, Texas Congressman Ron Paul, former Minnesota governor
Tim Pawlenty, Texas Governor Rick Perry, former Massachusetts governor Mitt
Romney, or former Pennsylvania senator Rick Santorum."
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
Without Perry and McCotter
(based on 1st/2nd/3rd choices): |
| |
|
|
|
7/18-20/11 |
6/3-7/11 |
5/24-26/11 |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
17 |
24 |
15 |
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
15 |
4 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
15 |
20 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
Rudy Giuliani |
14 |
12 |
16 |
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
9 |
7 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
8 |
10 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
4 |
10 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
4 |
3 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
3 |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
Gary Johnson |
1 |
n/a |
1 |
|
|
|
|
Someone else |
1 |
2 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
None/No one (vol.) |
8 |
2 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
2 |
3 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. July 14-17, 2011. N=1,001 adults
nationwide. Results below are among registered voters who are Republican or
lean Republican. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2012 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were
being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would
you vote?" If unsure:
"Which candidate would you lean toward?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
Without Perry (Perry
supporters allocated based on 2nd choice): |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
28 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
17 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
None (vol.) |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Would not vote (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Quinnipiac University Poll. July 5-11, 2011. N=913 Republican and Republican-leaning registered voters nationwide. Margin of error
±
3.2. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2012 Republican primary for president were being held today, and the
candidates were Rick Perry, Sarah Palin, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Tim
Pawlenty, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman, Herman
Cain, and Thaddeus McCotter, for whom would you vote?" |
| |
|
|
Without Perry (Perry
supporters allocated based on 2nd choice): |
| |
|
|
|
7/5-11/11 |
5/31 -
6/6/11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
28 |
25 |
|
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
16 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
13 |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
7 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
6 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
5 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
3 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
1 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
Thaddeus McCotter |
- |
n/a |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure/No answer |
18 |
20 |
|
|
|
|
|
Gary Johnson |
n/a |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
Gallup Poll. July 7-10, 2011. N=482 Republicans and
Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error ± 6. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Thinking about the men and women who are running or are likely to run for
the Republican Party's 2012 presidential nomination, who are you most likely
to support for the Republican nomination?"
Open-ended |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
None/Would not vote |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Any/All |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
49 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling
organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). June 9-13, 2011.
N=1,000 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters who say they would vote in a Republican
presidential primary. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Let me read you a list of people who might seek the 2012 Republican
nomination for president. If you were voting today in the 2012 Republican
primary for president, which one of the following candidates would you
favor: [see below]?" If unsure:
"Well, which way do you lean?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
30 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
None (vol.) |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
8 |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Now, let me read you a slightly shorter list of people who might seek the
2012 Republican nomination for president. If you were voting today in the
2012 Republican primary for president, which one of the following candidates
would you favor: [see below]?" If unsure:
"Well, which way do you lean?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
43 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
None (vol.) |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
USA Today/Gallup Poll. June 8-11, 2011. N=851 Republicans and
Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error ± 4. Interviews
conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican
primaries for president in the 2012 election. After I read all the names,
please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support
for the Republican nomination for president in 2012, or if you would support
someone else. Former speaker of the House, Newt Gingrich; former New Mexico
governor, Gary Johnson; former Alaska governor, Sarah Palin; Texas
Congressman, Ron Paul; Former Minnesota governor, Tim Pawlenty; former
Massachusetts governor, Mitt Romney; former Pennsylvania senator, Rick
Santorum; former Utah governor, Jon Huntsman; Minnesota Congresswoman,
Michele Bachmann; businessman, Herman Cain."
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
24 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
16 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gary Johnson |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
None (vol.) |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw &
Company Research (R). June 5-7, 2011. N=338 Republican primary voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'm going to read a list of potential candidates for the 2012 Republican
nomination. Please tell me which one you would like to see as the Republican
presidential nominee. [See below.]"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
23 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rudy Giuliani |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Buddy Roemer |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Roy Moore |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fred Karger |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gary Johnson |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee (vol.) |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Chris Christie (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jeb Bush (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Donald Trump (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Someone else (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Too soon to say (vol.) |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. June 3-7, 2011. N=433
Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error
± 4.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican
primary for president in 2012. After I read all the names, please tell me
which candidate you would be most likely to support for the Republican
nomination for president in the year 2012, or if you would support someone
else. Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann, businessman Herman Cain,
former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich, former New York City Mayor Rudy
Giuliani, former Utah Governor Jon Huntsman, former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin,
Texas Congressman Ron Paul, former Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty, former
Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney, or former Pennsylvania Senator Rick
Santorum?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
Other candidate scenarios
(based on 1st/2nd/3rd choices): |
| |
|
|
Without Giuliani: |
|
|
|
6/3-7/11 |
5/24-26/11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
28 |
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
23 |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
11 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
10 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
10 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
5 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
3 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
1 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Someone else |
2 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
None/No one (vol.) |
3 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
3 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Gary Johnson |
n/a |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Buddy Roemer |
n/a |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Fred Karger |
n/a |
0 |
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Without Giuliani and Palin: |
|
|
|
6/3-7/11 |
5/24-26/11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
35 |
21 |
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
16 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
13 |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
10 |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
7 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
4 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
2 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
1 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Someone else |
2 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
None/No one (vol.) |
8 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
3 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Gary Johnson |
n/a |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Buddy Roemer |
n/a |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Fred Karger |
n/a |
0 |
|
|
|
|
|
Reuters/Ipsos Poll conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs. June 3-6, 2011.
N=456 Republicans nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.6. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Several commentators have said the Republican presidential field for the
2012 presidential election is becoming clear. If the 2012 Republican
presidential primaries were being held today, for whom of the following
would you vote . . . ?" |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
22 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
20 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Wouldn't vote |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
None/Other |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. June 2-5, 2011. N=1,002 adults
nationwide. Results below are among Republicans and Republican-leaning
independents. Margin of error ± 5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2012 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were
being held today, for whom would you vote?" Open-ended. If necessary:
"Which candidate would you lean toward?" |
| |
|
|
|
6/2-5/11 |
4/14-17/11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
21 |
16 |
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
17 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rudy Giuliani |
8 |
n/a |
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
6 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
6 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
4 |
n/a |
|
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
4 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
3 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
3 |
0 |
|
|
|
|
|
Chris Christie |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitch Daniels |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
1 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
1 |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
1 |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
Donald Trump |
- |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
Haley Barbour |
0 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jim DeMint |
0 |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
Gary Johnson |
0 |
n/a |
|
|
|
|
|
George Pataki |
0 |
n/a |
|
|
|
|
|
Mike Pence |
0 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
John Thune |
0 |
0 |
|
|
|
|
|
Other |
3 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
No one |
5 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
Anyone |
- |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
14 |
33 |
|
|
|
|
|
Pew Research Center. May 25-30, 2011. N=535 Republican and
Republican-leaning registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'm going to read you a list of possible Republican presidential
candidates. Not everyone will have heard of them. For each one that I name,
please tell me whether or not you have heard of this person. First, [see
below]. Have you heard of [see below]
or not?" If yes:
"How much of a chance is there that you would vote for [see below]
if he/she is a candidate for president in 2012? Is there a good chance, some
chance, or no chance?" |
| |
|
|
|
|
Among those who have heard of: |
|
|
|
|
|
HEARD OF |
Good chance |
Some chance |
No chance |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
44 |
39 |
35 |
18 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
85 |
32 |
43 |
18 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
52 |
27 |
44 |
19 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
60 |
25 |
42 |
23 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
98 |
24 |
33 |
39 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
48 |
20 |
41 |
29 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
90 |
16 |
39 |
38 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
80 |
14 |
36 |
42 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
35 |
13 |
35 |
36 |
15 |
|
|
|
|
Gary Johnson |
19 |
11 |
31 |
42 |
16 |
|
|
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. May 24-26, 2011. N=473
Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error
± 4.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican
primary for president in 2012. After I read all the names, please tell me
which candidate you would be most likely to support for the Republican
nomination for president in the year 2012, or if you would support someone
else. Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann, businessman Herman Cain,
former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich, former New York City Mayor Rudy
Giuliani, former Utah Governor Jon Huntsman, former New Mexico Governor Gary
Johnson, political activist Fred Karger, former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin,
Texas Congressman Ron Paul, former Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty, former
Louisiana Governor Buddy Roemer, former
Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney, or former Pennsylvania Senator Rick
Santorum?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
Other candidate scenarios
(based on 1st/2nd/3rd choices): |
| |
|
|
Without Giuliani and Cain: |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
21 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
16 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gary Johnson |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Buddy Roemer |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fred Karger |
0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Someone else |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
None/No one (vol.) |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
2 |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"How satisfied are you with the field of Republican candidates running for
president? Are you very satisfied, fairly satisfied, not very satisfied, or
not satisfied at all?" |
| |
|
|
|
Very
satisfied |
Fairly
satisfied |
Not very
satisfied |
Not satisfied
at all |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
5/24-26/11 |
16 |
45 |
28 |
11 |
1 |
|
|
9/7-9/07 |
19 |
54 |
19 |
6 |
1 |
|
|
5/4-6/07 |
20 |
50 |
21 |
5 |
3 |
|
|
Gallup Poll. May 20-24, 2011. N=971 Republicans and
Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error ± 4. Interviews
conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking.
PER GALLUP: Mitch Daniels included May 20-22, but removed for May 23-24
after he announced he was not running. Daniels supporters' second choice was
substituted for their Daniels vote. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Preference for Republican nominee: |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
17 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gary Johnson |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
None/Unsure |
22 |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Without Palin: |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gary Johnson |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
None/Unsure |
25 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Suffolk University Poll. May 10-17, 2011. N=468 Republican
presidential primary voters nationwide. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the Republican primary for president of the United States were held
today and the candidates were [see below], for whom will you vote or
toward whom would you LEAN at this time?" Among
respondents who initially selected Huckabee or Trump, and who were
successfully re-contacted (n=51): "Now that Mike Huckabee / Donald
Trump has withdrawn from the race, who will you vote for in the Republican
primary?" Combined
responses |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
20 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rudy Giuliani |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitch Daniels |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Donald Trump |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gary Johnson |
0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Buddy Roemer |
0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
20 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
AP-GfK Poll conducted by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Corporate
Communications. May 5-9, 2011. N=378 Republicans and Republican-leaning
independents nationwide. Margin of error ± 6.9. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Thinking about the people who may be candidates in the upcoming elections
for the Republican presidential nomination, would you say you are more
satisfied with your choices or more dissatisfied with your choices?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
Satisfied |
Dissatisfied |
Neither
(vol.) |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
5/5-9/11 |
41 |
45 |
8 |
6 |
|
|
|
3/24-28/11 |
52 |
33 |
7 |
9 |
|
|
|
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. April 29-May 1, 2011. N=475
Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error
± 4.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the
Republican primary for president in 2012. After I read all the names, please
tell me which candidate you would be most likely to support for the
Republican nomination for president in the year 2012, or if you would
support someone else. Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann, Indiana
Governor Mitch Daniels, former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich, former
Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee, former Utah Governor Jon Huntsman former
Alaska Governor Sarah Palin, Texas Congressman Ron Paul, former Minnesota
Governor Tim Pawlenty, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney, former
Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum, or businessman Donald Trump."
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
4/29 -
5/1/11 |
4/9-10/11 |
3/11-13/11 |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
16 |
19 |
19 |
|
|
|
|
Donald Trump |
14 |
19 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
13 |
11 |
18 |
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
11 |
12 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
10 |
11 |
14 |
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
10 |
7 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
5 |
5 |
n/a |
|
|
|
|
Mitch Daniels |
5 |
3 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
3 |
2 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
2 |
2 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
1 |
n/a |
n/a |
|
|
|
|
Someone else |
3 |
3 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
None/No one (vol.) |
4 |
4 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
2 |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
Haley Barbour |
n/a |
- |
1 |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
". . . And who would be your second choice? . . ."
Options rotated
Results below based on 1st and 2nd choices, omitting Trump and
Bachmann. |
| |
|
|
|
4/29 -
5/1/11 |
4/9-10/11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
18 |
24 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
18 |
16 |
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
16 |
16 |
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
12 |
16 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
12 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitch Daniels |
6 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
3 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
1 |
n/a |
|
|
|
|
|
Someone else |
3 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
None/No one (vol.) |
6 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
2 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Haley Barbour |
n/a |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
Quinnipiac University Poll. April 26-May 1, 2011. N=1,408 registered
voters nationwide. Results below are among Republicans and Republican
leaners. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2012 Republican primary for president were being held today,
and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?" |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
18 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Donald Trump |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitch Daniels |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gary Johnson |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure/No answer |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw &
Company Research (R). April 25-27, 2011. N=322 Republican registered voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 6. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'm going to read a list of potential candidates for the 2012 Republican
nomination. Please tell me which one you would like to see as the Republican
presidential nominee. [See below.]"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
4/25-27/11 |
4/3-5/11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
19 |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
17 |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
9 |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
Donald Trump |
8 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
7 |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
7 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
4 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
3 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
3 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
3 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mitch Daniels |
2 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Gary Johnson |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Fred Karger |
1 |
n/a |
|
|
|
|
|
Roy Moore |
1 |
n/a |
|
|
|
|
|
Buddy Roemer |
- |
n/a |
|
|
|
|
|
Someone else (vol.) |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Too soon to say (vol.) |
9 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
4 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rudy Giuliani |
n/a |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
Haley Barbour |
n/a |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Gallup Poll. April 15-20, 2011. N=1,047 Republicans and
Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error ± 4. Interviews
conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the
Republican primaries for president in the 2012 election. After I read all
the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely
to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2012, or if you
would support someone else. Mississippi governor, Haley Barbour; Indiana
governor, Mitch Daniels; former speaker of the House, Newt Gingrich; former
Arkansas governor, Mike Huckabee; former New Mexico governor, Gary Johnson;
former Alaska governor, Sarah Palin; Texas Congressman, Ron Paul; former
Minnesota governor, Tim Pawlenty; former Massachusetts governor, Mitt
Romney; former Pennsylvania senator, Rick Santorum; former Utah governor,
Jon Huntsman; Minnesota Congresswoman, Michele Bachmann; businessman, Donald
Trump."
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
16 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Donald Trump |
16 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitch Daniels |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Haley Barbour |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gary Johnson |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Chris Christie (vol.) |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain (vol.) |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Someone else |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
None (vol.) |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
McClatchy-Marist Poll. April 10-14, 2011. N=468 Republican voters and
Republican-leaning independent voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2012 Republican presidential primary were held today, whom would you
support if the candidates are Mississippi Governor Haley Barbour, Indiana
Governor Mitch Daniels, former Georgia congressman Newt Gingrich, former
Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, former Alaska governor Sarah Palin,
Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty, former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney,
former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani, Minnesota Congresswoman Michele
Bachmann, former Pennsylvania senator Rick Santorum, former Utah governor
and current U.S. Ambassador to China Jon Huntsman, businessman Herman Cain,
businessman Donald Trump, Texas Congressman Ron Paul." |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
18 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
17 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Donald Trump |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rudy Giuliani |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Herman Cain |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitch Daniels |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Haley Barbour |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling
organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). March 31-April 4, 2011.
N=238 registered voters nationwide who say they would vote in a Republican
presidential primary. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Let me read you a list of people who might seek the 2012 Republican
nomination for president. If you were voting today in the 2012 Republican
primary for president, which one of the following candidates would you
favor: [see below]?" If unsure:
"Well, which way do you lean?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
21 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
17 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Donald Trump |
17 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Haley Barbour |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
None (vol.) |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
4 |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Let me read you a slightly shorter list of people who might seek the 2012
Republican nomination for president. If you were voting today in the 2012 Republican
primary for president, which one of the following candidates would you
favor: [see below]?" If unsure:
"Well, which way do you lean?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
40 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
20 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Haley Barbour |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
None (vol.) |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fairleigh Dickinson University PublicMind. March 21-28, 2011.
N=800 registered voters nationwide. Results below are among Republicans and
Republican-leaning independents. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"In 2012 there will be an election for president of the United States. To
run as the Republican candidate for president, who would you prefer?
[Names read 'as necessary.']" If unsure:
"Which way do you lean?" |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
21 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Chris Christie |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other (vol.)/Unsure |
23 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gallup Poll. March 18-22, 2011. N=1,082 Republicans and
Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error ± 4. Interviews
conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the
Republican primaries for president in the 2012 election. After I read all
the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely
to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2012, or if you
would support someone else. Mississippi Governor
Haley Barbour; Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels;
Former speaker of the House Newt Gingrich; former Arkansas governor Mike
Huckabee; former New Mexico governor Gary Johnson; former Alaska governor
Sarah Palin; Texas Congressman Ron Paul; former Minnesota governor Tim
Pawlenty; former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney; former Pennsylvania
senator Rick Santorum; South Dakota Senator John Thune; former Utah governor
Jon Huntsman; Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann."
Options rotated.
Mike Pence removed after 2010. John Thune removed after Feb. 2011. |
| |
|
|
|
3/18-22/11 |
2/18-20/11 |
11/13-14/10 |
9/25-26/10 |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
19 |
18 |
16 |
12 |
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
15 |
16 |
19 |
19 |
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
12 |
16 |
16 |
16 |
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
10 |
9 |
13 |
9 |
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
6 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
5 |
4 |
n/a |
n/a |
|
|
|
Mitch Daniels |
4 |
3 |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
3 |
3 |
4 |
3 |
|
|
|
Haley Barbour |
2 |
3 |
4 |
3 |
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
2 |
1 |
n/a |
n/a |
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
2 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
Gary Johnson |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
Donald Trump (vol.) |
1 |
- |
- |
- |
|
|
|
Chris Christie (vol.) |
- |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
Someone else |
2 |
3 |
2 |
4 |
|
|
|
Any/All (vol.) |
1 |
- |
- |
1 |
|
|
|
None (vol.) |
7 |
4 |
5 |
7 |
|
|
|
Unsure |
8 |
10 |
9 |
11 |
|
|
|
Mike Pence |
- |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
John Thune |
- |
1 |
2 |
2 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ballot scenarios:
Per Gallup: Ballot without
Huckabee re-configured to substitute Huckabee voters' second choice. Ballot
without Palin re-configured to substitute Palin voters' second choice.
Ballot without Huckabee and Palin re-configured to substitute Huckabee or
Palin voters' second choice or -- if their first and second choices are
Huckabee and Palin -- third choice. |
| |
|
|
|
ALL |
w/o Huckabee |
w/o Palin |
w/o Palin and
Huckabee |
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
19 |
n/a |
23 |
n/a |
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
15 |
19 |
16 |
22 |
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
12 |
17 |
n/a |
n/a |
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
10 |
13 |
12 |
16 |
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
6 |
8 |
7 |
9 |
|
|
|
Michele Bachmann |
5 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
|
|
|
Mitch Daniels |
4 |
4 |
4 |
5 |
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
3 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
|
|
|
Haley Barbour |
2 |
3 |
2 |
3 |
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
Gary Johnson |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
Donald Trump (vol.) |
1 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
Someone else |
2 |
3 |
2 |
3 |
|
|
|
Any/All/None (vol.)/Unsure |
15 |
18 |
18 |
24 |
|
|
|
Pew Research Center. March 8-14, 2011. N=538 Republican and
Republican-leaning registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"As I name some possible Republican candidates for president in 2012, please
tell me which one, if any, you would most like to see nominated as the
Republican Party's candidate. [See below.]" If unsure:
"As of today, who would you say you LEAN toward?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
21 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
20 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitch Daniels |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Haley Barbour |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Chris Christie (vol.) |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
None (vol.) |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling
organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Feb. 24-28, 2011.
N=282 registered voters nationwide who say they would vote in a Republican
presidential primary. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Let me read you a list of people who might seek the 2012 Republican
nomination for president. If you were voting today in the 2012 Republican
primary for president, which one of the following candidates would you
favor: [see below]?" If unsure:
"Well, which way do you lean?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
25 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
21 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitch Daniels |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Haley Barbour |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other (vol.) |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
None (vol.) |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Newsweek/Daily Beast Poll conducted by Douglas E. Schoen LLC. Feb.
12-15, 2011. N=918 likely voters nationwide. Results below are among
Republicans and independents. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"In thinking about the 2012 Republican primary for president, suppose you
had a choice between Sarah Palin, Tim Pawlenty, Haley Barbour, Mike
Huckabee, Mitt Romney, Mitch Daniels Newt Gingrich,
Donald Trump and Jon Huntsman. If the
election were held today, who would you vote for?" |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
18 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Donald Trump |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitch Daniels |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Haley Barbour |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
31 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Jan. 21-23, 2011. N=479
Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error
± 4.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the
Republican primary for president in 2012. After I read all the names, please
tell me which candidate you would be most likely to support for the
Republican nomination for president in the year 2012, or if you would
support someone else. Mississippi Governor Haley Barbour. Indiana Governor
Mitch Daniels. Former speaker of the House Newt Gingrich. Former Arkansas
governor Mike Huckabee. Former Alaska governor Sarah Palin. Texas
Congressman Ron Paul. Former Minnesota governor Tim Pawlenty. Indiana
Congressman Mike Pence. Former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney. Former
Pennsylvania senator Rick Santorum. South Dakota Senator John Thune."
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
21 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
18 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Haley Barbour |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitch Daniels |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mike Pence |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
John Thune |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Someone else (vol.) |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
None/No one (vol.) |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
2 |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If you had to choose, would you rather see the Republican Party nominate a
presidential candidate who agrees with you on every issue that matters to
you but may not be able to beat Barack Obama, or a presidential candidate
who can beat Barack Obama but does not agree with you on every issue that
matters to you?" |
| |
|
|
|
Agrees on
every issue |
Can beat
Obama |
Unsure |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
1/21-23/11 |
29 |
68 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling
organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Jan. 13-17, 2011.
N=1,000 adults nationwide. Results below are among Republicans and strict
independents. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"Let me read you a list of people who might seek the 2012 Republican
nomination for president. If you were voting today in the 2012 Republican
primary for president, which one of the following candidates would you
favor: [see below]?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
18 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitch Daniels |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Haley Barbour |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
John Thune |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other (vol.) |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
None (vol.) |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Jan. 13-16, 2011. N=425 Republicans
and Republican-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'm going to read a list of possible candidates for the Republican
nomination for president in 2012. After you hear the list, please tell me,
if the 2012 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were
being held today, for whom would you vote: [see below]? ... Which
candidate would you lean toward?" |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
21 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
17 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Chris Christie |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitch Daniels |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mike Pence |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Santorum |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Haley Barbour |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jim DeMint |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Huntsman |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
John Thune |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other (vol.) |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
None of these (vol.) |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Dec. 17-19, 2010. N=470
Republicans nationwide. MoE ± 4.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"I'm going to read you the names of a few people who might run for the
Republican presidential nomination in 2012. For each one, please tell me
whether you would be very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, or not
likely at all to support them if they decided to run for the Republican
nomination in 2012. . .
." |
| |
|
|
|
Very
likely |
Somewhat
likely |
Not very
likely |
Not likely
at all |
Unsure |
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
|
Alaska Governor Sarah Palin |
|
|
12/17-19/10 |
23 |
26 |
23 |
28 |
- |
|
|
12/1-2/08 |
32 |
35 |
21 |
12 |
- |
| |
|
|
Former Massachusetts governor
Mitt Romney |
|
|
12/17-19/10 |
24 |
35 |
25 |
15 |
2 |
|
|
12/1-2/08 |
28 |
33 |
23 |
13 |
3 |
| |
|
|
Former Arkansas governor Mike
Huckabee |
|
|
12/17-19/10 |
27 |
40 |
20 |
11 |
2 |
|
|
12/1-2/08 |
34 |
31 |
21 |
13 |
1 |
| |
|
|
Former House speaker Newt
Gingrich |
|
|
12/17-19/10 |
19 |
35 |
22 |
22 |
2 |
|
|
12/1-2/08 |
27 |
25 |
28 |
19 |
1 |
|
|
Clarus Research Group. Dec. 10-16, 2010. N=365 Republican voters
nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.1. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"As you may know, there are a number of Republicans who are considering
running for president in 2012. Please tell me which ONE of the following
would you most likely vote for if the presidential primary were held today:
Mitt Romney, Sarah Palin, Mike Huckabee, Newt Gingrich, Chris Christie, John
Thune, Haley Barbour, Tim Pawlenty, Ron Paul, Bobby Jindal, Marco Rubio, or
Mitch Daniels?"
Options rotated |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
18 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
17 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Chris Christie |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Marco Rubio |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ron Paul |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Bobby Jindal |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Haley Barbour |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
John Thune |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitch Daniels |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
McClatchy-Marist Poll. Nov. 15-18, 2010. N=337 Republican voters and
Republican-leaning independent voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.5. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"If the 2012 Republican presidential primary were held today, whom would you
support if the candidates are [names and titles read]?" |
| |
|
|
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
20 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
16 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Chris Christie |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rick Perry |
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mitch Daniels |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
George Pataki |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mike Pence |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Haley Barbour |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unsure |
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Quinnipiac University Poll. Nov. 8-15, 2010. N=2,424 registered
voters nationwide. Results below are among Republicans and Republican
leaners. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
"It is a long way off but I would like to ask you some questions about the
2012 presidential election. If the 2012 Republican primary for president
were being held today, and the candidates were Sarah Palin, Mike Huckabee,
Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Mitch Daniels, Tim Pawlenty, Haley Barbour, and
John Thune, for whom would you vote?" |
| |
|
|
|
ALL |
Men |
Women |
|
|
|
|
|
% |
% |
% |
|
|
|
|
Sarah Palin |
19 |
14 |
25 |
|
|
|
|
Mitt Romney |
18 |
20 |
15 |
|
|
|
|
Mike Huckabee |
17 |
17 |
18 |
|
|
|
|
Newt Gingrich |
15 |
18 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
Tim Pawlenty |
6 |
6 |
5 |
|
|
|
|
Mitch Daniels |
2 |
3 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
Haley Barbour |
2 |
3 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
John Thune |
2 |
2 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
Someone else (vol.) |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
Wouldn't vote (vol.) |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
Unsure/No answer |
17 |
15 |
19 |
|
|
|
Republican nomination continued
|
