White House 2004: General Election (p. 4)

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"Do you think President Bush deserves to be reelected, or do you think it is time for someone new?" Trend includes slight variations in wording.

Time Poll conducted by Schulman, Ronca & Bucuvalas (SRBI) Public Affairs. Oct. 6-7, 2004. N=1,024 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.

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"In your opinion, do you think President Bush deserves to be reelected to a second term, or do you think it is time for someone else to be president?"

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Among registered voters:

10/6-7/04

9/21-23/04

9/7-9/04

8/31 - 9/2/04

8/24-26/04

8/3-5/04

7/20-22/04

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Trend, among likely voters:

8/31 - 9/2/04

8/3-5/04

7/20-22/04

American Research Group Poll. Oct. 2-4, 2004. N=1,005 registered voters nationwide (MoE ± 3); 800 likely voters (MoE ± 3.5).

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"If the election for president were being held between George W. Bush, the Republican, and John Kerry, the Democrat, for whom would you vote: Bush or Kerry?" Names rotated

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Among likely voters:

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Among registered voters:

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"What if the election for president were being held between George W. Bush, the Republican, and John Kerry, the Democrat, and Ralph Nader, for whom would you vote: Bush, Kerry or Nader?" Names rotated

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Among likely voters:

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Among registered voters:

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McLaughlin & Associates (R). Oct. 2-3, 2004. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.1.

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"If the election for president were held today, and the candidates were George W. Bush, the Republican candidate, John Kerry, the Democrat candidate, and Ralph Nader, the independent candidate, for whom would you vote?" As of 10/04, Nader included only in states where he is on the ballot.

General Election Trial Heat:

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"Thinking about the elections in November, if the election for president were held today and the candidates were Republican George Bush and the Democrat John Kerry, for whom would you vote: George Bush or John Kerry?"

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Sept. 17-19, 2004. N=1,006 registered voters nationwide (MoE ± 3); 787 likely voters.

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"If the election for president were held today, and George W. Bush and Dick Cheney were the Republican candidates, John Kerry and John Edwards were the Democratic candidates, and Ralph Nader and Peter Camejo were running as independent candidates, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean at this time?"

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Among likely voters:

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Among registered voters:

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"And if the election for president were held today, and George W. Bush and Dick Cheney were the Republican candidates and John Kerry and John Edwards were the Democratic candidates, for whom would you vote?"

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Among registered voters:

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"If the election for president were held today, and you had to make a choice, for which candidate would you probably vote?" NOTE: Candidate names NOT read to respondents.

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Gallup Poll. Sept. 13-15, 2004. N=935 registered voters nationwide (MoE ± 4); 767 likely voters (MoE ± 4).

"Next, I'm going to read a list of six candidates for president who may appear on the ballot in a significant number of states this November. Supposing that all of these candidates were on the ballot in your state, which one would you be most likely to vote for: John Kerry, the Democratic candidate, George W. Bush, the Republican candidate, Ralph Nader, the independent or Reform Party candidate, Michael Badnarik, the Libertarian Party candidate, David Cobb, the Green Party candidate, Michael Peroutka, the Constitution Party candidate -- or will you be voting for someone else?" If undecided: "As of today, which one of these candidates do you lean toward: John Kerry, the Democratic candidate, George W. Bush, the Republican candidate, Ralph Nader, the independent or Reform Party candidate, Michael Badnarik, the Libertarian Party candidate, David Cobb, the Green Party candidate, Michael Peroutka, the Constitution Party candidate -- or will you be voting for someone else?" Names rotated

Among likely voters:

9/13-15/04

Among registered voters:

9/13-15/04

The Harris Poll. Sept. 9-13, 2004. N=803 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 4.

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"If the next presidential election were held today between George W. Bush for the Republicans, John Kerry for the Democrats, and Ralph Nader as an independent, for whom would you most likely vote?" If undecided: "Well, if you had to say would you lean toward George W. Bush, John Kerry, or Ralph Nader?"

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Among likely voters:

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Trend, among all adults:

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"Based on who he is and his record, do you think George W. Bush deserves to be reelected for another four years?"

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New Democrat Network poll conducted by Penn, Schoen & Berland Associates (D). Sept. 9-12, 2004. N=800 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.5.

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General Election Trial Heat:

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Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Sept. 9-10, 2004. N=1,003 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 4 (for all registered voters).

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"Suppose the election were being held TODAY and you had the following three choices for president and vice president: George W. Bush and Dick Cheney, the Republicans; John Kerry and John Edwards, the Democrats; and Ralph Nader and Peter Camejo, the independent or third party candidates. [Choices rotated.] Who would you vote for?" If none of these: "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more toward Bush and Cheney, the Republicans; Kerry and Edwards, the Democrats; or Nader and Camejo?"

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ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Aug. 26-29, 2004. N=945 registered voters nationwide (MoE ± 3), 775 likely voters (MoE ±  3.5). Fieldwork by TNS. 7/8-11/04: Washington Post Poll.

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"If the 2004 presidential election were being held today, would you vote for George W. Bush and Dick Cheney, the Republicans, John Kerry and John Edwards, the Democrats, or Ralph Nader and Peter Camejo, the independents?" If undecided: "Which one are you leaning toward?" Names rotated.

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8/26-29/04

7/30 - 8/1/04

7/22-25/04

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Among registered voters:

8/26-29/04

7/30 - 8/1/04

7/22-25/04

7/8-11/04

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Asked of Nader supporters and undecideds:
"If Nader does not run or is not on the ballot, for whom would you vote: Bush or Kerry?" If undecided: "Which one are you leaning toward?" Names rotated.
 

Combined results of this question and preceding question:

8/26-29/04

7/30 - 8/1/04

7/22-25/04

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8/26-29/04

7/30 - 8/1/04

7/22-25/04

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Aug. 23-25, 2004. N=806 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.5.

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"If the election for president were held today, and George W. Bush and Dick Cheney were the Republican candidates, John Kerry and John Edwards were the Democratic candidates, and Ralph Nader and Peter Camejo were running as independent candidates, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean at this time?"

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"Looking ahead to November's presidential election, do you feel George W. Bush deserves to be reelected, or do you feel he does not deserve to be reelected?"

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Among ALL adults:

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National Public Radio Poll conducted by Public Opinion Strategies (R) and Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D). Aug. 21-24, 2004. N=800 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.5.

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"Thinking again about the election to be held in November, if the election for president were held today and the candidates were Republican George W. Bush and Democrat John Kerry, for whom would you vote: Republican George W. Bush or Democrat John Kerry?" If undecided: "Which way do you lean as of today? Do you lean toward Republican George W. Bush or Democrat John Kerry?" Options rotated

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Unsure

8/21-24/04

6/6-10/04

2-3/04

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"If the candidates for president were Republican George Bush, Democrat John Kerry and independent Ralph Nader, for whom would you vote?"

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Unsure

8/21-24/04

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"Do you feel that George W. Bush has done his job as president well enough to deserve reelection, or do you feel it is time to give someone new a chance?"

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"If the election for president were held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote: George W. Bush and Dick Cheney, the Republicans, John Kerry and John Edwards, the Democrats, OR Ralph Nader and Peter Camejo?" Names rotated

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CBS News Poll. July 30-Aug. 1, 2004. N=881 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.

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"If the 2004 presidential election were being held today, and the candidates were John Kerry, the Democrat, George W. Bush, the Republican, and Ralph Nader, would you vote for John Kerry, George W. Bush, or Ralph Nader?"

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"Suppose you were voting only for president and not for vice president. If the 2004 presidential election were being held today, would you vote for John Kerry, the Democratic candidate, or for George W. Bush, the Republican candidate?" Names rotated

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Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. July 29-30, 2004. N=1,010 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 4 (for all registered voters).

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"Suppose the election were being held TODAY and you had the following three choices for president and vice president: George W. Bush and Dick Cheney, the Republicans; John Kerry and John Edwards, the Democrats; and Ralph Nader and Peter Camejo, the independent or third party candidates. [Choices rotated.] Who would you vote for?" If none of these: "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more toward Bush and Cheney, the Republicans; Kerry and Edwards, the Democrats; or Nader and Camejo, the third party candidates?"

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Quinnipiac University Poll. July 18-22, 2004. N=1,551 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 2.5.

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"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were John Kerry the Democrat and George W. Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

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"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were John Kerry the Democrat, George W. Bush the Republican, and Ralph Nader the independent, for whom would you vote?"

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National Public Radio Poll conducted by Public Opinion Strategies (R) and Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D). July 18-20, 2004. N=800 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.5.

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"Thinking again about the election to be held in November: If the election for president were being held today and the candidates were George W. Bush and Richard Cheney, Republicans, and John Kerry and John Edwards, Democrats . . . ?" Includes leaners

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"Thinking about the elections in November, if the election for president were held today and the candidates were John Kerry, with John Edwards for vice president, and George Bush, with Dick Cheney for vice president -- would you vote for the Democrats, Kerry and Edwards, or the Republicans, Bush and Cheney?"

Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. July 8-9, 2004. N=1,001 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 4 (for all registered voters).

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"Suppose the election were being held TODAY and you had the following three choices for president and vice president: George W. Bush and Dick Cheney, the Republicans; John Kerry and John Edwards, the Democrats; and Ralph Nader and Peter Camejo, the independent or third party candidates. [Choices rotated.] Who would you vote for?" If none of these: "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more toward Bush and Cheney, the Republicans; Kerry and Edwards, the Democrats; or Nader and Camejo, the third party candidates?"

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"Now I'm going to ask how you would vote if George W. Bush's vice-presidential running mate this year was someone other than Dick Cheney. What if Bush's running mate was [see below]? If the election were held TODAY, would you be more likely to vote for Bush and Powell, the Republicans; or Kerry and Edwards, the Democrats?" Choices rotated. If neither: "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more toward Bush and [see below], the Republicans; or Kerry and Edwards, the Democrats?"

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Time Poll conducted by Ken Dautrich and Chris Barnes. July 6-8, 2004. N=774 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.5.

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"Suppose the 2004 election for president were being held today, and you had to choose between Massachusetts Senator John Kerry, the Democrat, and George W. Bush, the Republican -- for whom would you vote?"
6/2-4/04: Asked of undecideds: "Even though you haven't made up your mind yet, do you lean more toward supporting Bush or Kerry?"

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"Now suppose the 2004 election for president were being held today, and you had to choose between George W. Bush, the Republican, John Kerry, the Democrat, and Ralph Nader -- for whom would you vote?"

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General Election Trial Heats:

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