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       White House 2016: Democratic Nomination              See also: Rating the contenders


 
 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Oct. 9-12, 2014. N=871 registered voters nationwide. Results below are among registered voters who are Democrats or lean Democratic.

             

"I'm going to read a list of possible candidates for the Democratic nomination for president in 2016. After you hear the list, please tell me, if the 2016 Democratic presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, for whom would you vote? [See below.]" If unsure: "Which candidate would you lean toward?"

 
    10/9-12/14 5/29 -
6/1/14
     
    % %      
 

Hillary Clinton

64 69      
 

Joe Biden

13 12      
 

Elizabeth Warren

11 7      
 

Jim Webb

2 1      
 

Martin O'Malley

1 2      
 

Bernie Sanders

1 2      
 

None of these (vol.)

3 2      
 

Unsure

5 2      
 

Andrew Cuomo

n/a 2      
 

Brian Schweitzer

n/a 1      

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. Sept. 24-29, 2014. N=408 registered voters nationwide who are Democrats or lean Democratic. Margin of error ± 4.9.

             

"If the 2016 Democratic presidential primary or caucus in your state were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?"

 
    %        
 

Hillary Clinton

64        
 

Joe Biden

15        
 

Elizabeth Warren

8        
 

Bernie Sanders

4        
 

Martin O'Malley

2        
 

Jim Webb

1        
 

Unsure

6        

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). July 20-22, 2014. N=438 Democratic registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of potential candidates for the 2016 Democratic nomination. Please tell me which one you would like to see as the Democratic presidential nominee. [See below.]"

 
    7/20-22/14 4/13-15/14 12/14-16/13    
    % % %    
 

Hillary Clinton

64 69 68    
 

Joe Biden

12 14 12    
 

Elizabeth Warren

9 6 7    
 

Andrew Cuomo

5 2 4    
 

Martin O'Malley

1 1 1    
 

None of the above (vol.)

4 4 2    
 

Unsure

4 3 6    
 

Deval Patrick

n/a n/a 1    

 

CNN/ORC Poll. July 18-20, 2014. N=449 Democrats and independents who lean Democratic nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Democratic primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Vice President Joe Biden, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, New York Governor Andrew Cuomo, Maryland Governor Martin O'Malley, or Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren." Options rotated

 
    7/18-20/14 11/18-20/13 9/6-8/13    
    % % %    
 

Hillary Clinton

67 63 65    
 

Elizabeth Warren

10 7 7    
 

Joe Biden

8 12 10    
 

Andrew Cuomo

4 5 6    
 

Martin O'Malley

2 2 2    
 

Someone else (vol.)

6 6 4    
 

None/No one (vol.)

2 3 5    
 

Unsure

1 3 2    

 

Quinnipiac University. June 24-30, 2014. N=610 registered voters nationwide who are Democratic or lean Democratic. Margin of error ± 4.

             

"If the Democratic primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?"

 
    6/24-30/14 1/15-19/14 12/3-9/13 9/23-29/13 4/25-29/13
    % % % % %
 

Hillary Clinton

58 65 66 61 65
 

Elizabeth Warren

11 7 7 7 n/a
 

Joe Biden

9 8 8 11 13
 

Andrew Cuomo

4 3 3 2 4
 

Martin O'Malley

1 1 - - 1
 

Brian Schweitzer

1 1 1 n/a n/a
 

Someone else (vol.)

1 1 1 - 1
 

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

1 - 1 2 -
 

Unsure/No answer

15 13 12 15 14
 

Howard Dean

n/a 2 1 n/a n/a
 

Mark Warner

n/a n/a n/a 1 1
 

Deval Patrick

n/a n/a n/a n/a 1

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. May 29-June 1, 2014. N=851 registered voters nationwide. Results below are among registered voters who are Democrats or lean Democratic.

             

"What's your preference -- that Hillary Clinton runs unopposed for the Democratic nomination for president in 2016, that Clinton runs for the nomination but that other Democrats also run, or that Clinton does not run for the presidential nomination?"

 
    Runs
unopposed
Others
also run
Does
not run
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

5/29 - 6/1/14

28 55 13 4  

 

CNN/ORC Poll. March 7-9, 2014. N=372 Democrats and independents who lean Democratic nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Democratic primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Vice President Joe Biden, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, New York Governor Andrew Cuomo, Maryland Governor Martin O'Malley, or former Montana Governor Brian Schweitzer." Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Hillary Clinton

64        
 

Joe Biden

13        
 

Andrew Cuomo

4        
 

Martin O'Malley

4        
 

Brian Schweitzer

3        
 

Someone else (vol.)

6        
 

None/No one (vol.)

5        
 

Unsure

1        

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Jan. 20-23, 2014. N=1,003 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters who are Democrats or lean Democratic.

             

"If the 2016 Democratic presidential primary or caucus in your state was being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Which candidate would you lean toward?" Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Hillary Clinton

73        
 

Joe Biden

11        
 

Elizabeth Warren

9        
 

None of these (vol.)

3        
 

Unsure

4        

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. Dec. 3-5, 2013. N=466 registered voters nationwide who are Democrats or lean Democratic. Margin of error ± 4.5.

             

"If the 2016 Democratic presidential primary or caucus in your state were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?"

 
    12/3-5/13 7/15-18/13      
    % %      
 

Hillary Clinton

65 63      
 

Joe Biden

12 13      
 

Elizabeth Warren

9 n/a      
 

Andrew Cuomo

3 6      
 

Martin O'Malley

1 1      
 

Unsure

9 18      
             

"How about if the candidates are [see below]?"

 
    %        
 

Joe Biden

45        
 

Elizabeth Warren

25        
 

Andrew Cuomo

11        
 

Martin O'Malley

4        
 

Unsure

15        

 

CNN/ORC Poll. Nov. 18-20, 2013. N=374 Democrats and independents who lean Democratic nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Democratic primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Vice President Joe Biden, former secretary of state Hillary Clinton, New York Governor Andrew Cuomo, Maryland Governor Martin O'Malley or Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren." Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Hillary Clinton

63        
 

Joe Biden

12        
 

Elizabeth Warren

7        
 

Andrew Cuomo

5        
 

Martin O'Malley

2        
 

Someone else (vol.)

6        
 

None/No one (vol.)

3        
 

Unsure

3        
             
 

"... And who would be your second choice?"

 
    %        
 

Joe Biden

37        
 

Hillary Clinton

16        
 

Elizabeth Warren

14        
 

Andrew Cuomo

14        
 

Martin O'Malley

8        
 

Someone else (vol.)

3        
 

None/No one (vol.)

7        
 

Unsure

1        
             
 

First-choice, excluding Clinton (Clinton supporters reallocated based on their second choice):

 
    %        
 

Joe Biden

43        
 

Elizabeth Warren

17        
 

Andrew Cuomo

15        
 

Martin O'Malley

6        
 

Someone else (vol.)

8        
 

None/No one (vol.)

7        
 

Unsure

4        

 

NBC News Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Nov. 7-10, 2013. N=428 Democrats and independents who lean Democratic nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.5.

             

"If the 2016 Democratic presidential primary were held today and Hillary Clinton were running, do you think you would vote for Hillary Clinton or for another Democratic candidate?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton
Another
candidate
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure Refused
    % % % % %
 

11/7-10/13

66 14 2 18 1

 

Fairleigh Dickinson University’s PublicMind. April 22-28, 2013. N=373 Democrats and voters who lean Democratic nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.1.

             

"I know it's early, but if the election for president were held today, which of the following people would you like to see as the Democratic candidate: Hillary Clinton, Andrew Cuomo, Joe Biden, or someone else?" Options rotated.

 
    %        
 

Hillary Clinton

63        
 

Joe Biden

12        
 

Andrew Cuomo

3        
 

Other

12        
 

Unsure

10        
 

Refused

1        

 

CNN/ORC Poll. Dec. 17-18, 2012. N=290 Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents nationwide. Margin of error ± 6.

             

"I'm going to read you the names of a few people who might run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2016. For each one, please tell me whether you would be very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, or not likely at all to support them if they decide to run for the Democratic nomination four years from now. . . ."

 
    Very
likely
Somewhat
likely
Not very
likely
Not likely
at all
Unsure
    % % % % %
 
 

"Secretary of State Hillary Clinton"

 

12/17-18/12

65 20 8 6 -
             
 

"Vice President Joe Biden"

 

12/17-18/12

26 40 21 13 1
             
 

"Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren"

 

12/17-18/12

16 36 26 14 8
             
 

"New York Governor Andrew Cuomo"

 

12/17-18/12

11 45 25 16 3
             
 

"Montana Governor Brian Schweitzer"

 

12/17-18/12

10 27 32 18 13
             
 

"Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick"

 

12/17-18/12

8 33 29 18 11

 


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