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       White House 2016: Republican Nomination            See also: Rating the contenders


 
 
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CNN/ORC Poll. April 28-May 1, 2016. N=406 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error 5.

             

"Who would you MOST like to see win the Republican nomination for president: [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    4/28 -
5/1/16
3/17-20/16      
    % %      
 

Donald Trump

49 47      
 

Ted Cruz

25 31      
 

John Kasich

19 17      
 

Someone else (vol.)

3 3      
 

None/No one (vol.)

3 1      
 

Unsure

1 1      

 

Investor's Business Daily/TIPP Poll. April 22-28, 2016. N=397 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean to the Republican Party. Margin of error 5.

             

"I am going to read you the names of the candidates who are running for the Republican presidential nomination. If the Republican presidential primary were held today, whom would you support for the nomination? Would you say [see below], or someone else?" Options rotated

 
    4/22-28/16 3/28 -
4/2/16
2/19-24/16    
    % % %    
 

Donald Trump

48 38 31    
 

Ted Cruz

29 31 20    
 

John Kasich

16 19 7    
 

Someone else

6 7 3    
 

Unsure

1 4 11    
 

Refused

- 1 2    
 

Marco Rubio

n/a n/a 18    
 

Ben Carson

n/a n/a 8    
 

Jeb Bush

n/a n/a 1    
             
    1/22-27/16 1/4-8/16 11/30 -
12/4/15
10/24-29/15 9/26 -
10/1/15
    % % % % %
 

Donald Trump

31 34 27 28 17
 

Ted Cruz

21 18 13 6 6
 

Marco Rubio

10 9 14 11 11
 

Ben Carson

9 8 15 23 24
 

Jeb Bush

5 4 3 6 8
 

Rand Paul

4 3 2 2 3
 

Carly Fiorina

2 2 3 3 9
 

John Kasich

2 2 2 1 4
 

Chris Christie

1 4 2 1 2
 

Mike Huckabee

1 1 2 1 2
 

Rick Santorum

1 - - 1 -
 

Jim Gilmore

- - - - 0
 

Someone else

2 3 3 3 2
 

Unsure

12 11 14 11 9
 

Refused

1 1 1 0 1
 

Lindsey Graham

n/a n/a - 0 0
 

Bobby Jindal

n/a n/a n/a 2 -
 

George Pataki

n/a n/a n/a 0 1

 

Suffolk University/USA Today. April 20-24, 2016. N=292 likely voters nationwide who say they will participate in or have participated in the Republican presidential primary or caucus in their state. Margin of error 5.7.

             

"If the Republican primary for president of the United States were held today, and the candidates were Ted Cruz, John Kasich, or Donald Trump, for whom would/did you vote?" Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Donald Trump

45        
 

Ted Cruz

29        
 

John Kasich

17        
 

Other

1        
 

Unsure

8        

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). April 10-14, 2016. N=310 Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error 5.6.

             

"And, if the Republican primary for president were being held today, which one of the following candidates would you favor: [see below]?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated
10/15: "If a Republican primary for president were being held today, which one of the following candidates would you favor: Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, John Kasich, Mike Huckabee, Ted Cruz, Ben Carson, Donald Trump, or Carly Fiorina, or would you vote for one of the other candidates?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?"

 
    4/10-14/16 3/3-6/16 2/14-16/16 1/9-13/16 12/6-9/15
    % % % % %
 

Donald Trump

40 30 26 33 27
 

Ted Cruz

35 27 28 20 22
 

John Kasich

24 22 11 3 2
 

None (vol.)

1 - 1 1 -
 

Unsure

- 1 3 1 3
 

Marco Rubio

n/a 20 17 13 15
 

Ben Carson

n/a n/a 10 12 11
 

Jeb Bush

n/a n/a 4 5 7
 

Chris Christie

n/a n/a n/a 5 3
 

Carly Fiorina

n/a n/a n/a 3 5
 

Rand Paul

n/a n/a n/a 3 2
 

Mike Huckabee

n/a n/a n/a 1 3
 
    10/25-29/15 10/15-18/15 9/20-24/15 7/26-30/15 6/14-18/15
    % % % % %
 

Ben Carson

29 22 20 10 11
 

Donald Trump

23 25 21 19 1
 

Marco Rubio

11 13 11 5 14
 

Ted Cruz

10 9 5 9 4
 

Jeb Bush

8 8 7 14 22
 

Carly Fiorina

3 7 11 - 2
 

John Kasich

3 3 6 3 1
 

Mike Huckabee

3 3 2 6 9
 

Chris Christie

3 1 3 3 4
 

Rand Paul

2 2 3 6 7
 

Jim Gilmore

- - - - n/a
 

Rick Santorum

- - 1 1 -
 

Bobby Jindal

- - 1 1 -
 

Lindsey Graham

- - - - 1
 

George Pataki

- - - - -
 

Other (vol.)

1 1 1 - -
 

None (vol.)

1 1 2 1 1
 

Unsure

3 5 6 4 1
 

Scott Walker

n/a n/a n/a 15 17
 

Rick Perry

n/a n/a n/a 3 5

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). April 11-13, 2016. N=419 likely Republican primary and caucus voters nationwide. Margin of error 4.5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of potential candidates for the 2016 Republican nomination. Please tell me which one you would like to see as the Republican presidential nominee. [See below.]" If unsure: "Well, if you had to decide today, which one would you choose?" Options rotated
Note: Follow-up question added June 21-23, 2015.

 
    4/11-13/16 3/20-22/16 2/15-17/16    
    % % %    
 

Donald Trump

45 41 36    
 

Ted Cruz

27 38 19    
 

John Kasich

25 17 8    
 

Other (vol.)

1 1 1    
 

None of above (vol.)

1 2 1    
 

Unsure

1 1 3    
 

Marco Rubio

n/a n/a 15    
 

Ben Carson

n/a n/a 9    
 

Jeb Bush

n/a n/a 9    
             
    1/18-21/16 1/4-7/16 12/16-17/15 11/16-19/15 11/1-3/15
    % % % % %
 

Donald Trump

34 35 39 28 26
 

Ted Cruz

20 20 18 14 11
 

Marco Rubio

11 13 11 14 11
 

Ben Carson

8 10 9 18 23
 

Jeb Bush

4 4 3 5 4
 

John Kasich

4 2 2 2 4
 

Chris Christie

3 2 3 3 2
 

Rand Paul

2 2 3 2 4
 

Mike Huckabee

2 1 1 3 4
 

Carly Fiorina

1 3 3 3 3
 

Jim Gilmore

1 0 0 0 -
 

Rick Santorum

- - 1 0 -
 

Other (vol.)

- - 0 1 1
 

None of above (vol.)

- 2 1 1 1
 

Unsure

8 6 6 5 5
 

George Pataki

n/a n/a - 1 0
 

Lindsey Graham

n/a n/a - - -
 

Bobby Jindal

n/a n/a n/a n/a -
             
    10/10-12/15 9/20-22/15 8/11-13/15 7/30 -
8/2/15
7/13-15/15
    % % % % %
 

Donald Trump

24 26 25 26 18
 

Ben Carson

23 18 12 7 6
 

Ted Cruz

10 8 10 6 4
 

Marco Rubio

9 9 4 5 7
 

Jeb Bush

8 7 9 15 14
 

Carly Fiorina

5 9 5 2 1
 

Mike Huckabee

5 3 6 6 4
 

Rand Paul

3 2 3 5 8
 

Chris Christie

1 5 3 3 3
 

John Kasich

1 4 4 3 2
 

George Pataki

1 1 1 - -
 

Bobby Jindal

1 0 1 1 -
 

Jim Gilmore

- - - - n/a
 

Rick Santorum

- 0 1 2 2
 

Lindsey Graham

0 0 - - -
 

Other (vol.)

1 3 - 1 1
 

None of above (vol.)

1 1 2 1 4
 

Unsure

7 4 7 7 9
 

Rick Perry

n/a n/a 1 1 1
 

Scott Walker

n/a n/a 6 9 15
             
    6/21-23/15 5/31 -
6/2/15
5/9-12/15 4/19-21/15 3/29-31/15
    % % % % %
 

Jeb Bush

15 12 13 9 12
 

Donald Trump

11 4 4 5 3
 

Ben Carson

10 11 13 6 11
 

Rand Paul

9 9 7 10 9
 

Scott Walker

9 12 11 12 15
 

Marco Rubio

8 7 9 13 8
 

Mike Huckabee

6 6 10 9 10
 

Ted Cruz

4 8 6 8 10
 

Carly Fiorina

3 2 1 - 1
 

Rick Santorum

3 2 2 1 2
 

Chris Christie

2 5 6 6 4
 

Bobby Jindal

2 1 1 1 2
 

John Kasich

2 2 2 2 1
 

Rick Perry

2 4 2 2 3
 

Lindsey Graham

1 2 - 1 -
 

George Pataki

1 2 - 1 1
 

Other (vol.)

- 1 1 1 1
 

None of above (vol.)

3 2 3 3 4
 

Unsure

9 10 10 9 6

 

CBS News Poll. April 8-12, 2016. N=399 Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error 6.

             

"Which one of these candidates would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for president in 2016: [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    4/8-12/16 3/17-20/16 2/12-16/16 1/7-10/16  
    % % % %  
 

Donald Trump

42 46 35 36  
 

Ted Cruz

29 26 18 19  
 

John Kasich

18 20 11 2  
 

Someone else (vol.)

- - 1 -  
 

None of them (vol.)

4 4 5 1  
 

Unsure/No answer

6 4 8 7  
 

Marco Rubio

n/a n/a 12 12  
 

Ben Carson

n/a n/a 6 6  
 

Jeb Bush

n/a n/a 4 6  
 

Mike Huckabee

n/a n/a n/a 4  
 

Chris Christie

n/a n/a n/a 3  
 

Carly Fiorina

n/a n/a n/a 3  
 

Rand Paul

n/a n/a n/a 1  
 

Rick Santorum

n/a n/a n/a -  
             
    12/4-8/15 10/21-25/15 10/4-8/15 9/9-13/15 7/29 -
8/2/15
    % % % % %
 

Donald Trump

35 22 27 27 24
 

Ted Cruz

16 4 9 5 6
 

Ben Carson

13 26 21 23 6
 

Marco Rubio

9 8 8 6 6
 

Rand Paul

4 4 4 3 4
 

Jeb Bush

3 7 6 6 13
 

Mike Huckabee

3 4 2 6 8
 

John Kasich

3 4 2 3 1
 

Chris Christie

3 1 3 1 3
 

Carly Fiorina

1 7 6 4 -
 

Rick Santorum

- 1 1 1 1
 

Lindsey Graham

- 2 - - -
 

George Pataki

- - - - 1
 

Jim Gilmore

- - - - 1
 

Someone else (vol.)

- - - - 1
 

None of them (vol.)

2 3 2 4 3
 

Unsure/No answer

7 6 11 9 9
 

Bobby Jindal

n/a - - - 2
 

Scott Walker

n/a n/a n/a 2 10
 

Rick Perry

n/a n/a n/a 1 2

 

Public Religion Research Institute/The Atlantic. March 30-April 3, 2016. N=676 Republican and Republican-leaning voters nationwide.

             

"Which of the following Republican candidates would you most like to see as the Republican Party's 2016 nominee for president: [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Donald Trump

37        
 

Ted Cruz

31        
 

John Kasich

23        
 

Other/Unsure/Refused

9        

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. March 29-31, 2016. N=444 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error 4.7.

             

Republican Presidential Preference, including those who are leaning toward a candidate:

 
    3/29-31/16 10/29 -
11/4/15
3/1-4/15    
    % % %    
 

Donald Trump

40 23 n/a    
 

Ted Cruz

35 8 4    
 

John Kasich

20 4 n/a    
 

Other

1 - -    
 

Unsure

3 4 13    
 

Ben Carson

n/a 24 9    
 

Marco Rubio

n/a 12 5    
 

Jeb Bush

n/a 8 19    
 

Rand Paul

n/a 5 7    
 

Carly Fiorina

n/a 3 2    
 

Mike Huckabee

n/a 3 10    
 

Chris Christie

n/a 2 6    
 

George Pataki

n/a 1 n/a    
 

Bobby Jindal

n/a 1 n/a    
 

Rick Santorum

n/a 1 2    
 

Jim Gilmore

n/a - n/a    
 

Lindsey Graham

n/a - 1    
 

Scott Walker

n/a n/a 18    
 

Rick Perry

n/a n/a 3    

 

Pew Research Center. March 17-27, 2016. N=834 Republican and Republican-leaning registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.9.

             

"As I name some Republican candidates for president in 2016, please tell me which one, if any, you would most like to see nominated as the Republican Party's candidate: [see below]." If unsure: "As of today, who would you say you LEAN toward?" Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Donald Trump

41        
 

Ted Cruz

32        
 

John Kasich

20        
 

None (vol.)

4        
 

Too early to tell (vol.)

1        
 

Unsure/Refused

1        

 

Bloomberg Politics Poll conducted by Selzer & Company. March 19-22, 2016. N=366 likely Republican primary and caucus voters nationwide, including those who have already participated. Margin of error 5.1.

             

"Which one of the following Republicans would be your first choice for president: [see below]?" If unsure: "Which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Donald Trump

40        
 

Ted Cruz

31        
 

John Kasich

25        
 

Unsure

5        
             

"If the race for the Republican nomination came down to just two candidates, which of the following would be your choice: Donald Trump or Ted Cruz?" Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Donald Trump

48        
 

Ted Cruz

44        
 

Unsure

8        
             

"If the race for the Republican nomination came down to just two candidates, which of the following would be your choice: Donald Trump or John Kasich?" Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Donald Trump

51        
 

John Kasich

43        
 

Unsure

6        

 

Quinnipiac University. March 16-21, 2016. N=652 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error 3.8.

             

"Who would you like to see win the Republican nomination for president this year: Ted Cruz, John Kasich, or Donald Trump?"

 
    %        
 

Donald Trump

43        
 

Ted Cruz

29        
 

John Kasich

16        
 

Someone else (vol.)

3        
 

Unsure

9        

 

Monmouth University Poll. March 17-20, 2016. N=353 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error 5.2.

             

"Who do you support for the Republican nomination for president: [see below]?" Options rotated
1/16 & earlier: "Who would you support for the Republican nomination for president if the candidates were [see below]?"

 
    3/17-20/16 1/15-18/16 12/10-13/15 10/15-18/15  
    % % % %  
 

Donald Trump

41 36 41 28  
 

Ted Cruz

29 17 14 10  
 

John Kasich

18 3 3 1  
 

Other (vol.)

2 0 0 0  
 

No one (vol.)

5 2 2 3  
 

Unsure

4 8 6 9  
 

Marco Rubio

n/a 11 10 6  
 

Ben Carson

n/a 8 9 18  
 

Jeb Bush

n/a 5 3 5  
 

Chris Christie

n/a 3 2 3  
 

Mike Huckabee

n/a 3 2 4  
 

Rand Paul

n/a 2 2 4  
 

Carly Fiorina

n/a 1 2 6  
 

Rick Santorum

n/a 1 - 0  
 

Jim Gilmore

n/a 0 0 0  
 

George Pataki

n/a n/a 1 -  
 

Lindsey Graham

n/a n/a 1 1  
 

Bobby Jindal

n/a n/a n/a 1  
             
    8/31 -
9/2/15
7/30 -
8/2/15
7/9-12/15 6/11-14/15 3/30 -
4/2/15
    % % % % %
 

Donald Trump

30 26 13 2 7
 

Ben Carson

18 5 6 11 7
 

Jeb Bush

8 12 15 9 13
 

Ted Cruz

8 6 9 5 11
 

Marco Rubio

5 4 6 9 5
 

Carly Fiorina

4 2 1 2 1
 

Mike Huckabee

4 6 7 8 9
 

Scott Walker

3 11 7 10 11
 

Chris Christie

2 4 2 4 5
 

John Kasich

2 3 1 1 1
 

Rand Paul

2 4 6 6 6
 

Rick Perry

1 2 2 4 5
 

Bobby Jindal

- 1 2 1 1
 

George Pataki

- - - 0 0
 

Jim Gilmore

0 0 0 n/a n/a
 

Lindsey Graham

0 1 - 2 1
 

Rick Santorum

0 1 2 3 1
 

Other (vol.)

0 0 0 0 1
 

No one (vol.)

2 1 1 2 2
 

Unsure

9 10 18 20 14
 

John Bolton

n/a n/a n/a n/a 0

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. March 3-6, 2016. N=400 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error 5.5.

             

"Who would you like to see win the Republican nomination for president this year: Ted Cruz, John Kasich, Marco Rubio, or Donald Trump?" If unsure: "Which candidate are you leaning toward?" Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Donald Trump

34        
 

Ted Cruz

25        
 

Marco Rubio

18        
 

John Kasich

13        
 

Other (vol.)

4        
 

None (vol.)

5        
 

Unsure

2        
             

"Who would you like to see win the Republican nomination for president this year: Ted Cruz, John Kasich, Marco Rubio, or Donald Trump?" If unsure: "Which candidate are you leaning toward?"
If not Cruz or Trump: "What if the choice was just between Trump and Cruz? Who would you like to see win?" If unsure: "Who do you lean toward?"
Options rotated
Combined responses:

 
    %        
 

Ted Cruz

54        
 

Donald Trump

41        
 

Neither (vol.)

3        
 

Unsure

2        
             

"Who would you like to see win the Republican nomination for president this year: Ted Cruz, John Kasich, Marco Rubio, or Donald Trump?" If unsure: "Which candidate are you leaning toward?"
If not Rubio or Trump: "What if the choice was just between Trump and Rubio? Who would you like to see win?" If unsure: "Who do you lean toward?"
Options rotated
Combined responses:

 
    %        
 

Marco Rubio

51        
 

Donald Trump

45        
 

Neither (vol.)

2        
 

Unsure

1        

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). March 3-6, 2016. N=397 Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error 4.9.

             

"Now, if you had to choose between ONLY Donald Trump and [see below] in the Republican primary for president, which one would you favor?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    3/3-6/16 2/14-16/16 1/9-13/16    
    % % %    
 

Donald Trump

40 40 43    
 

Ted Cruz

57 56 51    
 

Neither (vol.)

2 3 5    
 

Unsure

1 1 1    
             
    3/3-6/16 2/14-16/16 1/9-13/16    
    % % %    
 

Donald Trump

43 41 52    
 

Marco Rubio

56 57 45    
 

Neither (vol.)

- 1 2    
 

Unsure

1 1 1    
             
    3/3-6/16 2/14-16/16      
    % %      
 

Donald Trump

40 52      
 

John Kasich

57 44      
 

Neither (vol.)

1 2      
 

Unsure

2 2      

 

CNN/ORC Poll. Feb. 24-27, 2016. N=427 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error 5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of people who are running in the Republican primaries for president this year. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president, or if you would support someone else. Ben Carson, Ted Cruz, John Kasich, Marco Rubio, or Donald Trump." Options rotated.
Note: Lindsey Graham not included in interviews conducted on Dec. 21, 2015.

 
    2/24-27/16 1/21-24/16 12/17-21/15 11/27 -
12/1/15
10/14-17/15
    % % % % %
 

Donald Trump

49 41 39 36 27
 

Marco Rubio

16 8 10 12 8
 

Ted Cruz

15 19 18 16 4
 

Ben Carson

10 6 10 14 22
 

John Kasich

6 1 2 2 3
 

Someone else

3 3 3 1 1
 

None/No one (vol.)

1 1 1 4 2
 

Unsure

1 4 1 2 4
 

Jeb Bush

n/a 5 3 3 8
 

Chris Christie

n/a 4 5 4 4
 

Mike Huckabee

n/a 3 2 2 5
 

Rand Paul

n/a 3 4 1 5
 

Carly Fiorina

n/a 2 1 3 4
 

Rick Santorum

n/a - - - 2
 

Jim Gilmore

n/a - - - -
 

Lindsey Graham

n/a n/a 1 - 1
 

George Pataki

n/a n/a - - -
 

Bobby Jindal

n/a n/a n/a n/a -
 
    9/17-19/15 9/4-8/15 8/13-16/15 7/22-25/15 6/26-28/15
    % % % % %
 

Donald Trump

24 32 24 18 12
 

Carly Fiorina

15 3 5 1 1
 

Ben Carson

14 19 9 4 8
 

Marco Rubio

11 3 8 6 7
 

Jeb Bush

9 9 13 15 17
 

Ted Cruz

6 7 5 7 3
 

Mike Huckabee

6 5 4 5 5
 

Rand Paul

4 3 6 6 8
 

Chris Christie

3 2 3 4 3
 

John Kasich

2 2 5 4 3
 

Rick Santorum

1 1 1 2 4
 

Jim Gilmore

- - - - n/a
 

Lindsey Graham

- 1 - 1 1
 

Bobby Jindal

- 1 - 2 2
 

George Pataki

- - - 1 -
 

Scott Walker

- 5 8 10 6
 

Someone else

- 3 4 4 5
 

None/No one (vol.)

1 2 3 4 6
 

Unsure

3 2 1 3 3
 

Rick Perry

n/a - 2 3 4

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). Feb. 14-16, 2016. N=400 Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error 4.9.

             

"Now, if you had to choose between ONLY Donald Trump and [see below] in the Republican primary for president, which one would you favor?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Donald Trump

54        
 

Jeb Bush

43        
 

Neither (vol.)

3        

 

Suffolk University/USA Today. Feb. 11-15, 2016. N=358 likely voters nationwide who say they will participate in the Republican presidential primary or caucus in their state. Margin of error 5.2.

             

"If the Republican primary for president of the United States were held today, who would be your first choice to win the Republican nomination: [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    2/11-15/16 12/2-6/15 9/24-28/15 7/9-12/15  
    % % % %  
 

Donald Trump

35 27 23 17  
 

Ted Cruz

20 17 6 6  
 

Marco Rubio

17 16 9 5  
 

John Kasich

7 2 2 1  
 

Jeb Bush

6 4 8 14  
 

Ben Carson

4 10 13 4  
 

Other

- - 1 1  
 

Unsure

12 17 18 30  
 

Rand Paul

n/a 2 2 4  
 

Chris Christie

n/a 2 1 3  
 

Mike Huckabee

n/a 1 2 4  
 

Carly Fiorina

n/a 1 13 1  
 

Rick Santorum

n/a 1 0 1  
 

Jim Gilmore

n/a 0 n/a n/a  
 

Lindsey Graham

n/a 0 1 -  
 

George Pataki

n/a 0 0 -  
 

Bobby Jindal

n/a n/a 1 1  
 

Scott Walker

n/a n/a n/a 8  
 

Rick Perry

n/a n/a n/a 1  

 

Quinnipiac University. Feb. 10-15, 2016. N=602 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error 4.

             

"If the Republican primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?"
9/15: Results include second choice preferences of Walker supporters.

 
    2/10-15/16        
    %        
 

Donald Trump

39        
 

Marco Rubio

19        
 

Ted Cruz

18        
 

John Kasich

6        
 

Jeb Bush

4        
 

Ben Carson

4        
 

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

1        
 

Unsure/No answer

9        
 
    2/2-4/16 12/16-20/15 11/23-30/15 10/29 -
11/2/15
9/17-21/15
    % % % % %
 

Donald Trump

31 28 27 24 25
 

Ted Cruz

22 24 16 13 7
 

Marco Rubio

19 12 17 14 9
 

Ben Carson

6 10 16 23 17
 

Jeb Bush

3 4 5 4 10
 

Chris Christie

3 6 2 3 2
 

John Kasich

3 1 2 3 2
 

Carly Fiorina

2 2 3 3 12
 

Jim Gilmore

- - - - -
 

Someone else (vol.)

1 - - - -
 

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

1 - 1 - -
 

Unsure/No answer

9 8 8 9 9
 

Rand Paul

n/a 2 2 2 1
 

Mike Huckabee

n/a 1 1 1 2
 

Rick Santorum

n/a 1 - 1 -
 

Lindsey Graham

n/a - - - -
 

George Pataki

n/a - - - 1
 

Bobby Jindal

n/a n/a n/a - -
 
    8/20-25/15 7/23-28/15 5/19-26/15 4/16-21/15 2/26 -
3/2/15
    % % % % %
 

Donald Trump

28 20 5 n/a n/a
 

Ben Carson

12 6 10 3 7
 

Jeb Bush

7 10 10 13 16
 

Ted Cruz

7 5 6 9 6
 

Marco Rubio

7 6 10 15 5
 

Scott Walker

6 13 10 11 18
 

John Kasich

5 5 2 2 1
 

Carly Fiorina

5 1 2 1 n/a
 

Chris Christie

4 3 4 7 8
 

Mike Huckabee

3 6 10 7 8
 

Rand Paul

2 6 7 8 6
 

Rick Santorum

1 1 - 2 2
 

Rick Perry

1 2 1 3 1
 

Jim Gilmore

- - n/a n/a n/a
 

Bobby Jindal

- 2 1 1 2
 

George Pataki

- 1 - n/a n/a
 

Lindsey Graham

- 1 1 2 1
 

Someone else (vol.)

1 - - 1 1
 

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

- 1 1 1 2
 

Unsure/No answer

11 12 20 14 17

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Jan. 21-24, 2016. N=356 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error 5.5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of candidates for the Republican nomination for president in 2016. If the 2016 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, for whom would you vote: [see below]?" If unsure: "Which candidate would you lean toward?"

 
    1/21-24/16 12/10-13/15 11/16-19/15    
    % % %    
 

Donald Trump

37 38 32    
 

Ted Cruz

21 15 8    
 

Marco Rubio

11 12 11    
 

Ben Carson

7 12 22    
 

Jeb Bush

5 5 6    
 

Chris Christie

4 4 2    
 

Carly Fiorina

3 1 4    
 

Mike Huckabee

2 1 3    
 

John Kasich

2 2 3    
 

Rand Paul

1 2 3    
 

Rick Santorum

- - 1    
 

Other (vol.)

1 - -    
 

None of these (vol.)

1 2 1    
 

Would not vote (vol.)

0 0 1    
 

Unsure

5 4 3    
 

Lindsey Graham

n/a 1 1    
 

George Pataki

n/a 0 -    
 

Bobby Jindal

n/a n/a 0    
             
    10/15-18/15 9/7-10/15 7/16-19/15 5/28-31/15 3/26-29/15
    % % % % %
 

Donald Trump

32 33 24 4 n/a
 

Ben Carson

22 20 6 8 6
 

Marco Rubio

10 7 7 10 8
 

Jeb Bush

7 8 12 10 21
 

Ted Cruz

6 7 4 8 12
 

Carly Fiorina

5 2 - 2 1
 

Chris Christie

3 1 3 6 7
 

Mike Huckabee

3 3 8 9 8
 

John Kasich

2 3 2 3 1
 

Rand Paul

2 5 6 11 8
 

Lindsey Graham

1 - - 1 1
 

George Pataki

1 - 1 1 n/a
 

Rick Santorum

- 1 1 4 2
 

Bobby Jindal

0 1 2 - 1
 

Other (vol.)

1 1 - - 1
 

None of these (vol.)

1 1 4 2 3
 

Would not vote (vol.)

0 1 1 1 1
 

Unsure

2 3 2 5 4
 

Scott Walker

n/a 2 13 11 13
 

Rick Perry

n/a 1 4 2 1
 

Jim Gilmore

n/a 0 n/a n/a n/a

 

Public Religion Research Institute. Jan. 20-24, 2016. N=215 registered Republicans nationwide.

             

"Which of the following Republican candidates would you most like to see as the Republican Party's 2016 nominee for president: [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    1/20-24/16 12/2-6/15      
    % %      
 

Donald Trump

33 22      
 

Ted Cruz

14 8      
 

Ben Carson

14 17      
 

Marco Rubio

12 12      
 

Jeb Bush

5 9      
 

John Kasich

2 2      
 

Mike Huckabee

2 3      
 

Rand Paul

1 2      
 

Chris Christie

1 2      
 

Carly Fiorina

1 2      
 

Other/Unsure/Refused

14 19      

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). Jan. 9-13, 2016. N=400 Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error 4.9.

             

"Now if you had to choose between ONLY the following candidates running for the Republican primary for president, which one would you favor: [see below]?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    1/9-13/16 12/6-9/15      
    % %      
 

Donald Trump

36 30      
 

Ted Cruz

25 24      
 

Marco Rubio

19 21      
 

Ben Carson

12 13      
 

Jeb Bush

7 9      
 

None (vol.)

1 1      
 

Unsure

- 2      

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Dec. 16-17, 2015. N=402 likely Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error 5.

             

"Who would you support for the nomination if the only Republican candidates running were [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    12/16-17/15        
    %        
 

Donald Trump

41        
 

Ted Cruz

25        
 

Marco Rubio

17        
 

Ben Carson

12        
 

None of above (vol.)

2        
 

Unsure

4        

 

Bloomberg Politics Poll conducted by Selzer & Company. Nov. 15-17, 2015. N=379 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean to the Republican Party. Margin of error 5.

             

"Which one of the following Republicans would be your first choice for president: [see below]?" Options rotated 11/15: Jindal supporters allocated based on 2nd choice.

 
    11/15-17/15 9/18-21/15 7/30 -
8/2/15
   
    % % %    
 

Donald Trump

24 21 21    
 

Ben Carson

20 16 5    
 

Marco Rubio

12 8 6    
 

Ted Cruz

9 5 4    
 

Jeb Bush

6 13 10    
 

Chris Christie

4 4 4    
 

Carly Fiorina

3 11 1    
 

Mike Huckabee

3 3 7    
 

John Kasich

3 4 4    
 

Rand Paul

3 2 5    
 

Lindsey Graham

1 - 1    
 

George Pataki

1 - -    
 

Rick Santorum

1 1 2    
 

Uncommitted

5 5 6    
 

Unsure

7 5 12    
 

Rick Perry

n/a n/a 2    
 

Bobby Jindal

n/a 1 1    
 

Scott Walker

n/a 1 8    
 

Jim Gilmore

n/a - -    

 

Fairleigh Dickinson University's PublicMind. Oct. 1-5, 2015. N=305 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean to the Republican Party. Margin of error 5.6.

             

"I'm going to read you a list of current and prospective candidates for the Republican nomination for president. If the election were held today, who would you vote for: [see below]?"

 
    %        
 

Donald Trump

26        
 

Ben Carson

22        
 

Marco Rubio

8        
 

Jeb Bush

7        
 

Carly Fiorina

7        
 

Mike Huckabee

6        
 

Ted Cruz

5        
 

Rand Paul

4        
 

Chris Christie

3        
 

Bobby Jindal

1        
 

John Kasich

1        
 

Rick Santorum

-        
 

Lindsey Graham

-        
 

Jim Gilmore

0        
 

George Pataki

0        
 

Other (vol.)

1        
 

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

1        
 

Unsure/Refused

8        

 

Pew Research Center. Sept. 22-27, 2015. N=496 potential Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error 5.

             

"Thinking about the 2016 presidential election, who would be your first choice for the Republican nomination for president?" Open-ended. One response accepted.

 
    %        
 

Donald Trump

25        
 

Ben Carson

16        
 

Marco Rubio

8        
 

Carly Fiorina

8        
 

Ted Cruz

6        
 

Jeb Bush

4        
 

Mike Huckabee

2        
 

Rand Paul

2        
 

John Kasich

1        
 

Chris Christie

1        
 

Lindsey Graham

1        
 

Bobby Jindal

-        
 

Rick Santorum

-        
 

George Pataki

0        
 

Jim Gilmore

0        
 

Other (vol.)

1        
 

None (vol.)

6        
 

Unsure

17        
 

Refused

2        

 

Monmouth University Poll. Aug. 31-Sept. 2, 2015. N=366 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error 5.1.

             

"Who would you vote for if the only two candidates for the Republican nomination were Donald Trump and Jeb Bush?"

 
    Donald
Trump
Jeb
Bush
No one
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

8/31 - 9/2/15

56 37 5 2  
             

"Who would you vote for if the only two candidates for the Republican nomination were Donald Trump and [see below]?" Asked of random half samples, margin of error 7.3.

 
    Donald
Trump
Ben
Carson
No one
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

8/31 - 9/2/15

36 55 1 8  
 
    Donald
Trump
Marco
Rubio
No one
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

8/31 - 9/2/15

52 38 1 9  
 
    Donald
Trump
Chris
Christie
No one
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

8/31 - 9/2/15

63 30 2 5  
 
    Donald
Trump
John
Kasich
No one
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

8/31 - 9/2/15

62 29 3 7  
 
    Donald
Trump
Ted
Cruz
No one
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

8/31 - 9/2/15

48 41 4 7  
 
    Donald
Trump
Carly
Fiorina
No one
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

8/31 - 9/2/15

50 37 5 8  
 
    Donald
Trump
Scott
Walker
No one
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

8/31 - 9/2/15

53 38 3 6  
 
    Donald
Trump
Rand
Paul
No one
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

8/31 - 9/2/15

60 27 5 8  

 

CNN/ORC Poll. May 29-31, 2015. N=483 Republicans and independents who lean Republican nationwide. Margin of error 4.5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump or Scott Walker." Options rotated.
Note: Nov. 2014 results show second choice of respondents who initially supported Mitt Romney when his name was included in the list.

 
    5/29-31/15        
    %        
 

Marco Rubio

14        
 

Jeb Bush

13        
 

Mike Huckabee

10        
 

Scott Walker

10        
 

Ted Cruz

8        
 

Rand Paul

8        
 

Ben Carson

7        
 

Rick Perry

5        
 

Chris Christie

4        
 

George Pataki

3        
 

Donald Trump

3        
 

Rick Santorum

2        
 

Carly Fiorina

1        
 

Lindsey Graham

1        
 

Bobby Jindal

1        
 

John Kasich

1        
 

Someone else

5        
 

None/No one (vol.)

2        
 

Unsure

1        
 
    4/16-19/15 3/13-15/15 2/12-15/15 12/18-21/14 11/21-23/14
    % % % % %
 

Jeb Bush

17 16 14 23 14
 

Scott Walker

12 13 11 4 5
 

Rand Paul

11 12 10 6 8
 

Marco Rubio

11 7 5 5 3
 

Mike Huckabee

9 10 16 6 10
 

Ted Cruz

7 4 3 4 7
 

Ben Carson

4 9 8 7 11
 

Chris Christie

4 7 7 13 9
 

Rick Perry

3 4 3 4 5
 

Rick Santorum

3 1 3 2 2
 

Carly Fiorina

2 - 1 n/a n/a
 

Lindsey Graham

2 1 1 n/a n/a
 

Bobby Jindal

2 1 1 4 1
 

John Kasich

2 2 2 3 3
 

George Pataki

- n/a n/a n/a n/a
 

Someone else

5 4 4 5 6
 

None/No one (vol.)

5 6 7 5 2
 

Unsure

2 3 3 3 4
 

Paul Ryan

n/a n/a n/a 5 9
 

Mike Pence

n/a n/a n/a - 1
 

Rob Portman

n/a n/a n/a - -

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). April 26-30, 2015. N=251 Republican primary voters nationwide. Margin of error 6.2.

             

"And, still thinking about people who might seek the Republican nomination for president in 2016. If the next Republican primary for president were being held today, which one of the following candidates would you favor?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Jeb Bush

23        
 

Marco Rubio

18        
 

Scott Walker

14        
 

Rand Paul

11        
 

Ted Cruz

11        
 

Ben Carson

7        
 

Chris Christie

5        
 

Mike Huckabee

5        
 

Rick Perry

2        
 

Carly Fiorina

1        
 

Unsure

3        

 

Quinnipiac University. April 16-21, 2015. N=567 registered voters nationwide who are Republican or lean Republican. Margin of error 4.1.

             

"If the Republican primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, and Scott Walker, for whom would you vote?"

 
    4/16-21/15 2/26 -
3/2/15
     
    % %      
 

Marco Rubio

15 5      
 

Jeb Bush

13 16      
 

Scott Walker

11 18      
 

Ted Cruz

9 6      
 

Rand Paul

8 6      
 

Chris Christie

7 8      
 

Mike Huckabee

7 8      
 

Ben Carson

3 7      
 

Rick Perry

3 1      
 

Lindsey Graham

2 1      
 

John Kasich

2 1      
 

Rick Santorum

2 2      
 

Carly Fiorina

1 n/a      
 

Bobby Jindal

1 2      
 

Someone else (vol.)

1 1      
 

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

1 2      
 

Unsure/No answer

14 17      
             
 

Without Bush (Bush supporters allocated based on 2nd choice):

 
    4/16-21/15 2/26 -
3/2/15
     
    % %      
 

Marco Rubio

18 8      
 

Scott Walker

12 20      
 

Ted Cruz

9 6      
 

Chris Christie

8 10      
 

Mike Huckabee

8 9      
 

Rand Paul

8 6      
 

Ben Carson

4 8      
 

Rick Perry

3 1      
 

Rick Santorum

3 2      
 

Carly Fiorina

2 n/a      
 

Lindsey Graham

2 1      
 

Bobby Jindal

2 3      
 

John Kasich

2 1      
 

Someone else (vol.)

1 2      
 

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

1 2      
 

Unsure/No answer

15 20      

 

Bloomberg Politics Poll conducted by Selzer & Company. April 6-8, 2015. N=655 Republicans and independents nationwide.

             

"I'm going to name some of the people considering running for the Republican nomination for president, including some names I've already mentioned. For each, please tell me if this is someone you would seriously consider supporting, might consider, or would never consider supporting this person. ..."

 
    Would
seriously
consider
Might
consider
Would
never
consider
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 
 

"John Bolton, former U.S. ambassador to the U.N."

 

4/6-8/15

5 35 33 27  
             
 

"Jeb Bush"

 

4/6-8/15

14 38 42 6  
             
 

"Ben Carson, retired neurosurgeon from Maryland"

 

4/6-8/15

15 31 30 24  
             
 

"Chris Christie"

 

4/6-8/15

8 40 42 10  
             
 

"Ted Cruz"

 

4/6-8/15

15 35 36 14  
             
 

"Carly Fiorina, former CEO of Hewlett-Packard and candidate for U.S. Senate in California"

 

4/6-8/15

7 31 35 27  
             
 

"Lindsey Graham, U.S. senator from South Carolina"

 

4/6-8/15

4 31 44 21  
             
 

"Mike Huckabee, former governor of Arkansas"

 

4/6-8/15

15 40 36 9  
             
 

"Bobby Jindal, governor of Louisiana"

 

4/6-8/15

10 34 31 25  
             
 

"John Kasich, governor of Ohio"

 

4/6-8/15

6 35 27 32  
             
 

"George Pataki, former governor of New York"

 

4/6-8/15

3 29 45 23  
             
 

"Rand Paul"

 

4/6-8/15

17 41 33 9  
             
 

"Mike Pence, governor of Indiana"

 

4/6-8/15

3 29 36 32  
             
 

"Rick Perry, former governor of Texas"

 

4/6-8/15

13 41 37 9  
             
 

"Marco Rubio"

 

4/6-8/15

12 41 28 19  
             
 

"Rick Santorum, former U.S. senator from Pennsylvania"

 

4/6-8/15

7 37 38 18  
             
 

"Donald Trump, a businessman from New York"

 

4/6-8/15

9 26 62 3  
             
 

"Scott Walker"

 

4/6-8/15

16 33 26 25  

 

Monmouth University Poll. March 30-April 2, 2015. N=355 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error 5.2.

             

"I know the 2016 election is far away, but who would you support for the Republican nomination for president if the candidates were [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Jeb Bush

13        
 

Ted Cruz

11        
 

Scott Walker

11        
 

Mike Huckabee

9        
 

Ben Carson

7        
 

Donald Trump

7        
 

Rand Paul

6        
 

Chris Christie

5        
 

Rick Perry

5        
 

Marco Rubio

5        
 

Carly Fiorina

1        
 

Lindsey Graham

1        
 

Bobby Jindal

1        
 

John Kasich

1        
 

Rick Santorum

1        
 

John Bolton

0        
 

George Pataki

0        
 

Other (vol.)

1        
 

No one (vol.)

2        
 

Unsure

14        
             

"If the only two candidates for the Republican nomination were [see below], who would you choose?" N=175 (Form A), margin of error 7.4

 
    Scott
Walker
Jeb Bush Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

3/30 - 4/2/15

46 42 5 7  
             
    Scott
Walker
Chris
Christie
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

3/30 - 4/2/15

58 26 6 10  
             
    Jeb Bush Chris
Christie
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

3/30 - 4/2/15

54 28 12 6  
             

"If the only two candidates for the Republican nomination were [see below], who would you choose?" N=180 (Form B), margin of error 7.3

 
    Ted Cruz Scott
Walker
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

3/30 - 4/2/15

41 36 11 12  
             
    Jeb Bush Ted Cruz Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

3/30 - 4/2/15

49 40 6 5  
             
    Ted Cruz Chris
Christie
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

3/30 - 4/2/15

55 30 9 6  

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). March 29-31, 2015. N=379 likely Republican primary voters nationwide.

             

"I'm going to read a list of potential candidates for the 2016 Republican nomination. Please tell me which one you would like to see as the Republican presidential nominee. [See below.]"

 
    %        
 

Scott Walker

15        
 

Jeb Bush

12        
 

Ben Carson

11        
 

Ted Cruz

10        
 

Mike Huckabee

10        
 

Rand Paul

9        
 

Marco Rubio

8        
 

Chris Christie

4        
 

Rick Perry

3        
 

Donald Trump

3        
 

Bobby Jindal

2        
 

Rick Santorum

2        
 

Carly Fiorina

1        
 

John Kasich

1        
 

George Pataki

1        
 

Lindsey Graham

-        
 

Other (vol.)

1        
 

None of the above (vol.)

4        
 

Unsure

6        
             
 

Without Bush (Bush supporters allocated based on 2nd choice):

 
    %        
 

Scott Walker

16        
 

Ben Carson

12        
 

Ted Cruz

10        
 

Mike Huckabee

10        
 

Rand Paul

10        
 

Marco Rubio

9        
 

Chris Christie

7        
 

Rick Perry

3        
 

Donald Trump

3        
 

Bobby Jindal

2        
 

Rick Santorum

2        
 

Carly Fiorina

2        
 

John Kasich

1        
 

George Pataki

1        
 

Lindsey Graham

-        
 

Other (vol.)

1        
 

None of the above (vol.)

4        
 

Unsure

6        
             
 

Without Walker (Walker supporters allocated based on 2nd choice):

 
    %        
 

Jeb Bush

13        
 

Ben Carson

13        
 

Ted Cruz

11        
 

Mike Huckabee

10        
 

Rand Paul

10        
 

Marco Rubio

9        
 

Chris Christie

5        
 

Rick Perry

3        
 

Donald Trump

3        
 

Bobby Jindal

3        
 

Rick Santorum

2        
 

Carly Fiorina

2        
 

John Kasich

1        
 

George Pataki

1        
 

Lindsey Graham

-        
 

Other (vol.)

1        
 

None of the above (vol.)

5        
 

Unsure

7        

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). March 1-5, 2015. N=229 Republican presidential primary voters nationwide. Margin of error 6.5.

             

"Next, I'm going to mention a number of people who might seek the Republican nomination for president in 2016. For each one, please tell me, yes or no, whether you could see yourself supporting that person for the Republican nomination for president in 2016. If you don't know the name, please just say so. ..."

 
    Yes, could
support
No, could
not support
Don't know
the name
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 
 

"Marco Rubio"

 

3/1-5/15

56 26 14 4  
             
 

"Scott Walker"

 

3/1-5/15

53 17 27 3  
             
 

"Mike Huckabee"

 

3/1-5/15

52 40 3 5  
             
 

"Jeb Bush"

 

3/1-5/15

49 42 4 5  
             
 

"Rand Paul"

 

3/1-5/15

49 40 8 3  
             
 

"Rick Perry"

 

3/1-5/15

45 40 9 5  
             
 

"Ben Carson"

 

3/1-5/15

41 18 38 3  
             
 

"Ted Cruz"

 

3/1-5/15

40 38 18 4  
             
 

"Rick Santorum"

 

3/1-5/15

40 40 16 4  
             
 

"Bobby Jindal"

 

3/1-5/15

36 25 36 3  
             
 

"Chris Christie"

 

3/1-5/15

32 57 7 4  
             
 

"Donald Trump"

 

3/1-5/15

23 74 1 2  
             
 

"Lindsey Graham"

 

3/1-5/15

20 51 24 5  
             
 

"Carly Fiorina"

 

3/1-5/15

18 25 54 3  

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Jan. 25-27, 2015. N=394 Republican registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 4.5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of potential candidates for the 2016 Republican nomination. Please tell me which one you would like to see as the Republican presidential nominee. [See below.]"

 
    1/25-27/15 12/7-9/14      
    % %      
 

Mitt Romney

21 19      
 

Mike Huckabee

11 8      
 

Rand Paul

11 8      
 

Jeb Bush

10 10      
 

Ben Carson

9 6      
 

Scott Walker

8 7      
 

Marco Rubio

5 4      
 

Chris Christie

4 8      
 

Ted Cruz

4 5      
 

Rick Perry

4 2      
 

Bobby Jindal

2 1      
 

John Kasich

1 2      
 

Rick Santorum

1 1      
 

Lindsey Graham

1 n/a      
 

Other (vol.)

1 -      
 

None of the above (vol.)

4 2      
 

Unsure

5 8      
 

Paul Ryan

n/a 6      
             
 

Without Romney (Romney supporters allocated based on 2nd choice):

 
    %        
 

Jeb Bush

15        
 

Rand Paul

13        
 

Mike Huckabee

13        
 

Ben Carson

10        
 

Scott Walker

9        
 

Chris Christie

6        
 

Marco Rubio

5        
 

Ted Cruz

4        
 

Rick Perry

4        
 

Bobby Jindal

3        
 

John Kasich

2        
 

Rick Santorum

2        
 

Lindsey Graham

1        
 

Other (vol.)

1        
 

None of the above (vol.)

6        
 

Unsure

6        

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Dec. 11-14, 2014. N=410 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error 5.5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of possible candidates for the Republican nomination for president in 2016. If the 2016 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, for whom would you vote: [see below]?" If unsure: "Which candidate would you lean toward?"

 
    12/11-14/14 10/9-12/14      
    % %      
 

Mitt Romney

21 21      
 

Jeb Bush

10 10      
 

Rand Paul

9 9      
 

Paul Ryan

8 5      
 

Ben Carson

7 6      
 

Chris Christie

6 8      
 

Ted Cruz

6 3      
 

Mike Huckabee

6 10      
 

Scott Walker

5 1      
 

Rick Perry

4 5      
 

Marco Rubio

4 6      
 

Rick Santorum

3 4      
 

Bobby Jindal

2 1      
 

John Kasich

2 1      
 

Other (vol.)

- 1      
 

None of these (vol.)

2 2      
 

Unsure

6 6      
             

"I'm going to read a list of possible candidates for the Republican nomination for president in 2016. If the 2016 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, for whom would you vote: [see below]?" If unsure: "Which candidate would you lean toward?"
Asked of Romney supporters: "If Romney does not run for president, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Which candidate would you lean toward?" Combined responses, excluding Romney.

 
    12/11-14/14 10/9-12/14      
    % %      
 

Jeb Bush

14 13      
 

Paul Ryan

11 9      
 

Rand Paul

10 12      
 

Ben Carson

8 7      
 

Ted Cruz

8 4      
 

Chris Christie

7 8      
 

Mike Huckabee

7 12      
 

Marco Rubio

7 8      
 

Scott Walker

7 2      
 

Rick Perry

5 6      
 

Bobby Jindal

3 2      
 

Rick Santorum

3 4      
 

John Kasich

2 2      
 

Other (vol.)

- 1      
 

None of these (vol.)

2 3      
 

Unsure

6 9      

 

Monmouth University Poll. Dec. 10-14, 2014. N=399 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error 4.9.

             

"I know the 2016 election is far away, but who would you like to see as the Republican nominee for president?" Open-ended

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

8        
 

Ben Carson

7        
 

Chris Christie

7        
 

Jeb Bush

6        
 

Ted Cruz

5        
 

Rand Paul

5        
 

Scott Walker

3        
 

Mike Huckabee

3        
 

Bobby Jindal

2        
 

Rick Perry

2        
 

Marco Rubio

2        
 

Rick Santorum

1        
 

Other

4        
 

No one

8        
 

Unsure

37        

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. Dec. 3-9, 2014. N=360 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error 5.2.

             

"If the 2016 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?"

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

19        
 

Jeb Bush

14        
 

Chris Christie

9        
 

Mike Huckabee

9        
 

Ben Carson

8        
 

Rand Paul

5        
 

Ted Cruz

4        
 

Rick Perry

4        
 

Paul Ryan

3        
 

Rick Santorum

3        
 

Marco Rubio

3        
 

Scott Walker

3        
 

John Kasich

2        
 

Bobby Jindal

1        
 

Carly Fiorina

1        
 

Unsure

13        
             
 

Without Romney:

 
    %        
 

Jeb Bush

16        
 

Mike Huckabee

12        
 

Chris Christie

10        
 

Ben Carson

8        
 

Paul Ryan

7        
 

Rand Paul

6        
 

Ted Cruz

5        
 

Rick Perry

5        
 

Marco Rubio

3        
 

Scott Walker

3        
 

John Kasich

3        
 

Rick Santorum

3        
 

Bobby Jindal

1        
 

Carly Fiorina

1        
 

Unsure

18        

 

CNN/ORC Poll. Nov. 21-23, 2014. N=510 Republicans and independents who lean Republican nationwide. Margin of error 4.5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, Rand Paul, Mike Pence, Rick Perry, Rob Portman, Mitt Romney, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, Rick Santorum, or Scott Walker." Options rotated

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

20        
 

Ben Carson

10        
 

Jeb Bush

9        
 

Chris Christie

8        
 

Mike Huckabee

7        
 

Rand Paul

6        
 

Paul Ryan

6        
 

Ted Cruz

5        
 

Scott Walker

5        
 

Rick Perry

4        
 

Marco Rubio

3        
 

John Kasich

2        
 

Rick Santorum

2        
 

Bobby Jindal

1        
 

Mike Pence

1        
 

Rob Portman

-        
 

Someone else

6        
 

None/No one (vol.)

2        
 

Unsure/No answer

3        

 

Quinnipiac University. Nov. 18-23, 2014. N=707 registered voters nationwide who are Republican or lean Republican. Margin of error 3.7.

             

"If the Republican primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?"

 
    %        
 

Mitt Romney

19        
 

Jeb Bush

11        
 

Ben Carson

8        
 

Chris Christie

8        
 

Rand Paul

6        
 

Ted Cruz

5        
 

Mike Huckabee

5        
 

Paul Ryan

5        
 

Scott Walker

5        
 

Bobby Jindal

2        
 

John Kasich

2        
 

Rick Perry

2        
 

Marco Rubio

2        
 

Rick Santorum

1        
 

Rob Portman

-        
 

Someone else (vol.)

1        
 

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

1        
 

Unsure/No answer

16        
             
 

Without Romney (Romney supporters allocated based on 2nd choice):

 
    %        
 

Jeb Bush

14        
 

Chris Christie

11        
 

Ben Carson

9        
 

Rand Paul

8        
 

Mike Huckabee

7        
 

Paul Ryan

7        
 

Scott Walker

6        
 

Ted Cruz

5        
 

Bobby Jindal

3        
 

Rick Perry

3        
 

Marco Rubio

3        
 

John Kasich

2        
 

Rick Santorum

2        
 

Rob Portman

1        
 

Someone else (vol.)

1        
 

Wouldn't vote (vol.)

1        
 

Unsure/No answer

19        

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. Sept. 24-29, 2014. N=376 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. Margin of error 5.1.

             

"If the 2016 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?"

 
    9/24-29/14 8/4-7/14      
    % %      
 

Jeb Bush

15 13      
 

Rand Paul

13 7      
 

Paul Ryan

13 9      
 

Chris Christie

12 13      
 

Rick Perry

7 7      
 

Marco Rubio

6 9      
 

Ted Cruz

4 10      
 

Bobby Jindal

4 2      
 

Rick Santorum

3 3      
 

Scott Walker

3 4      
 

Unsure

21 23      

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). July 20-22, 2014. N=358 Republican registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of potential candidates for the 2016 Republican nomination. Please tell me which one you would like to see as the Republican presidential nominee. [See below.]"

 
    7/20-22/14 4/13-15/14 12/14-16/13    
    % % %    
 

Jeb Bush

12 14 12    
 

Rick Perry

12 5 3    
 

Rand Paul

11 14 11    
 

Chris Christie

10 15 16    
 

Paul Ryan

9 9 12    
 

Marco Rubio

9 8 8    
 

Ted Cruz

9 7 12    
 

Scott Walker

4 5 6    
 

Bobby Jindal

4 2 n/a    
 

Rick Santorum

3 5 3    
 

John Kasich

2 n/a n/a    
 

Other (vol.)

2 1 1    
 

None of the above (vol.)

4 6 5    
 

Unsure

6 9 11    

 

CNN/ORC Poll. July 18-20, 2014. N=470 Republicans and independents who lean Republican nationwide. Margin of error 4.5.

             

"I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else. Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush, New Jersey Governor Chris Christie, Texas Senator Ted Cruz, Kentucky Senator Rand Paul, Texas Governor Rick Perry, Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan, Florida Senator Marco Rubio, former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum, former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee or Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker." Options rotated

 
    7/18-20/14 5/29 -
6/1/14
     
    % %      
 

Chris Christie

13 8      
 

Rand Paul

12 14      
 

Mike Huckabee

12 11