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       White House 2016: General Election                 See also: Rating the contenders


     
 
Info on accessing STATE POLLS
 

Quinnipiac University. Feb. 2-4, 2016. N=1,125 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 2.9.

             

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were [see below] the Democrat and [see below] the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

2/2-4/16

46 41 3 7 3
 

12/16-20/15

47 40 2 6 5
 

11/23-30/15

47 41 2 6 4
 

10/29 -11/2/15

46 43 2 5 4
 

9/17-21/15

45 43 2 6 4
 

8/20-25/15

45 41 3 7 4
 

7/23-28/15

48 36 4 8 4
 

5/19-26/15

50 32 3 9 5
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

2/2-4/16

41 48 2 4 4
 

12/16-20/15

44 43 2 4 6
 

11/23-30/15

45 44 2 5 5
 

10/29 -11/2/15

41 46 2 4 7
 

8/20-25/15

44 43 2 6 5
 

5/19-26/15

45 41 2 5 7
 

4/16-21/15

45 43 2 3 7
 

2/26 - 3/2/15

46 41 2 3 7
 

2/27 - 3/4/13

50 34 2 3 11
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

2/2-4/16

45 45 2 5 3
 

12/16-20/15

44 44 1 4 6
 

11/23-30/15

47 42 2 5 5
 

10/29 -11/2/15

43 46 2 4 5
 

5/19-26/15

48 37 3 5 7
 

4/16-21/15

48 41 2 3 6
 

2/26 - 3/2/15

48 38 3 4 7
 

11/18-23/14

48 37 2 4 9
 

1/15-19/14

50 35 2 4 10
 

12/3-9/13

50 37 3 3 7
 

11/6-11/13

51 36 3 3 7
 

9/23-29/13

54 31 3 3 9
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

2/2-4/16

49 39 2 6 5
 

12/16-20/15

51 38 1 6 4
 

11/23-30/15

49 41 1 5 4
 

10/29 -11/2/15

46 44 1 4 4
 

9/17-21/15

47 42 1 5 5
 

8/20-25/15

44 41 2 6 6
 

7/23-28/15

45 37 3 8 7
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

2/2-4/16

43 43 1 5 8
 

12/16-20/15

42 45 1 6 6
 

11/23-30/15

44 43 1 5 6
 

10/29 -11/2/15

41 47 1 4 6
 

8/20-25/15

40 41 2 5 11
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

2/2-4/16

46 42 1 5 6
 

12/16-20/15

43 44 1 5 7
 

11/23-30/15

49 39 1 5 6
 

10/29 -11/2/15

44 45 1 4 7
             

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat, Donald Trump the Republican, and Michael Bloomberg running as an independent, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (I)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Other/Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

2/2-4/16

35 36 15 4 10
             

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat, Ted Cruz the Republican, and Michael Bloomberg running as an independent, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (I)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

2/2-4/16

37 36 15 4 8

 

CNN/ORC Poll. Jan. 21-24, 2016. N=907 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5.

             

"If [see below] were the Democratic Party's candidate and [see below] were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for: [see below]?" If neither or unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward: [see below]?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

1/21-24/16

48 47 1 4 -
 

12/17-21/15

49 47 1 3 -
 

11/27 - 12/1/15

49 46 1 3 -
 

10/14-17/15

50 45 2 4 -
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

1/21-24/16

47 50 1 2 1
 

12/17-21/15

46 49 2 3 -
 

11/27 - 12/1/15

48 49 1 2 -
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

1/21-24/16

47 50 1 2 -
 

12/17-21/15

46 48 1 4 -
 

11/27 - 12/1/15

50 47 1 2 -
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

1/21-24/16

50 47 - 3 -
 

10/14-17/15

53 44 - 3 -
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

1/21-24/16

49 48 - 2 1
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

1/21-24/16

50 47 - 3 -

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). Jan. 9-13, 2016. N=800 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5.

             

"And, if the election for president were held today, and [see below] were the Republican candidate and Hillary Clinton were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

1/9-13/16

51 41 - 6 2
 

12/6-9/15

50 40 - 8 2
 

10/25-29/15

50 42 - 6 2
 

9/20-24/15

49 39 - 10 2
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

1/9-13/16

47 46 1 4 2
 

12/6-9/15

45 48 - 5 2
 

10/25-29/15

47 44 - 5 4
 

10/15-18/15

46 45 - 5 4
 

6/14-18/15

50 40 1 4 5
 

4/26-30/15

49 43 - 4 4
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

1/9-13/16

49 45 1 4 1
 

12/6-9/15

48 45 - 6 1
 

10/15-18/15

49 41 - 6 4
             

"And, if the election for president were held today, and Donald Trump were the Republican candidate and Bernie Sanders were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?" Options rotated

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

1/9-13/16

54 39 1 5 1
 

10/25-29/15

50 41 - 6 3
 

9/21-24/15

52 36 - 8 4

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Jan. 4-7, 2016. N=1,006 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican [see below]?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated. Split sample. Margin of error ± 4.

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

1/4-7/16

44 47 2 5 2
 

12/16-17/15

49 38 3 6 4
 

11/16-19/15

41 46 2 7 5
 

10/10-12/15

40 45 4 7 3
 

9/20-22/15

46 42 3 7 2
 

8/11-13/15

47 42 2 7 3
 

6/21-23/15

51 34 3 9 3
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

1/4-7/16

43 50 1 4 3
 

12/16-17/15

45 45 2 4 4
 

11/16-19/15

41 45 2 5 5
 

6/21-23/15

48 42 3 4 4
 

5/9-12/15

48 43 1 4 4
 

4/19-21/15

47 42 1 5 5
 

3/29-31/15

48 42 2 4 4
 

3/2-4/14

52 36 2 4 5
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

1/4-7/16

41 50 1 5 3
 

12/16-17/15

43 45 2 5 5
 

11/16-19/15

42 50 1 3 4
 

8/11-13/15

44 46 1 4 4
 

6/21-23/15

45 44 1 5 5
 

5/9-12/15

47 43 2 4 4
 

4/19-21/15

46 42 2 4 5
 

3/29-31/15

47 43 2 4 4
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

1/4-7/16

44 44 2 7 3
 

11/16-19/15

39 45 3 9 4
 

10/10-12/15

40 44 4 9 2
 

8/11-13/15

42 44 3 8 3
 

6/21-23/15

43 43 3 5 6
 

5/9-12/15

44 45 2 5 4
 

4/19-21/15

45 41 2 6 6
 

3/29-31/15

45 45 1 6 3
 

1/25-27/15

48 43 2 4 3
 

12/7-9/14

49 42 1 3 4
 

7/20-22/14

52 39 1 4 3
 

4/13-15/14

51 42 1 3 3
 

3/2-4/14

51 38 3 4 4

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Dec. 16-17, 2015. N=1,013 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Ben Carson?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated.

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ben
Carson (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

12/16-17/15

46 44 2 5 4
 

11/16-19/15

42 47 2 4 4
 

10/10-12/15

39 50 1 4 5
 

6/21-23/15

46 41 2 4 7
 

5/9-12/15

48 42 2 4 5

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Dec. 10-13, 2015. N=851 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Would you lean toward Clinton or toward Trump?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

12/10-13/15

50 44 4 2 1
 

9/7-10/15

46 43 7 4 1

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). Dec. 6-9, 2015. N=849 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.4.

             

"And, if the election for president were held today, and [see below] were the Republican candidate and Hillary Clinton were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ben
Carson (R)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

12/6-9/15

46 47 - 5 2
 

10/25-29/15

47 47 - 4 2
 

10/15-18/15

47 45 - 5 3
 

9/20-24/15

45 46 - 6 3

 

Suffolk University/USA Today. Dec. 2-6, 2015. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.

             

"I'm going to run Democrat Hillary Clinton against the top four polled Republicans and for each, please tell me if you would vote for Clinton or the Republican I name. Let's start with Democrat Hillary Clinton versus Republican [see below]."
7/15: "Now let's jump right to possible matchups in the general election in 2016. First I'm going to run Democrat Hillary Clinton against each of the top seven nationally polled Republican candidates. Please let me know who would you prefer. ..."

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Unsure Refused  
    % % % %  
 

12/2-6/15

48 44 7 1  
 

7/9-12/15

51 34 16 n/a  
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Unsure Refused  
    % % % %  
 

12/2-6/15

45 48 7 -  
 

7/9-12/15

46 40 14 n/a  
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ben
Carson (R)
Unsure Refused  
    % % % %  
 

12/2-6/15

46 45 8 1  
 

7/9-12/15

49 36 16 n/a  
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Unsure Refused  
    % % % %  
 

12/2-6/15

47 45 7 1  

 

MSNBC/Telemundo/Marist Poll. Nov. 15-Dec. 2, 2015. N=2,360 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 2.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

11/15 - 12/2/15

48 45 6    
 

8/26 - 9/9/15

50 44 6    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

11/15 - 12/2/15

52 41 6    
 

8/26 - 9/9/15

53 40 7    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

11/15 - 12/2/15

49 45 6    
 

8/26 - 9/9/15

49 45 6    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

11/15 - 12/2/15

51 44 6    
 

8/26 - 9/9/15

52 41 7    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ben
Carson (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

11/15 - 12/2/15

48 47 5    

 

CNN/ORC Poll. Nov. 27-Dec. 1, 2015. N=930 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.

             

"If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and [see below] were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for: [see below]?" If neither or unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward: [see below]?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ben
Carson (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

11/27 - 12/1/15

47 50 - 2 1
 

10/14-17/15

47 48 1 4 -
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

11/27 - 12/1/15

49 47 1 4 -

 

Quinnipiac University. Nov. 23-30, 2015. N=1,453 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 2.6.

             

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were [see below] the Democrat and Ben Carson the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ben
Carson (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

11/23-30/15

46 43 1 6 4
 

10/29 - 11/2/15

40 50 2 3 6
 

9/17-21/15

42 49 2 3 4
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Ben
Carson (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

11/23-30/15

47 41 1 6 5
 

10/29 -11/2/15

39 51 1 3 7
 

9/17-21/15

39 49 1 4 7

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Nov. 16-19, 2015. N=1,016 registered voters nationwide.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were Democrat [see below] and Republican [see below]?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated. Split sample. Margin of error ± 4.

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Carly
Fiorina (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

11/16-19/15

42 42 2 7 6
 

10/10-12/15

39 42 3 7 8
 

8/11-13/15

47 40 1 6 5
 

6/21-23/15

45 39 3 6 7
 

5/9-12/15

49 37 2 6 6
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Chris
Christie (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

11/16-19/15

43 46 3 4 4
 

1/25-27/15

48 42 1 6 3
 

12/7-9/14

52 40 1 3 4
 

7/20-22/14

50 40 1 4 3
 

4/13-15/14

50 42 2 4 3
 

3/2-4/14

49 38 3 5 5
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

11/16-19/15

41 46 3 6 4

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. Oct. 29-Nov. 4, 2015. Registered voters nationwide.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican?" N=541, margin of error ± 4.2.

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

10/29 - 11/4/15

50 45 4    
 

7/22-28/15

47 42 10    
 

3/1-4/15

49 42 8    
 

4/7-10/14

54 38 8    
 

2/4-9/14

58 37 4    
 

12/3-5/13

52 42 5    
 

7/15-18/13

50 38 12    
 

3/25-27/13

52 40 8    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

10/29 - 11/4/15

52 44 4    
 

7/22-28/15

49 43 8    
 

3/1-4/15

49 42 9    
 

12/3-9/14

53 40 7    
 

9/24-29/14

53 42 4    
 

8/4-7/14

48 41 10    
 

4/7-10/14

55 39 6    
 

2/4-9/14

58 38 4    
 

12/3-5/13

53 41 6    
 

7/15-18/13

48 40 12    
 

3/25-27/13

54 38 8    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

10/29 - 11/4/15

53 43 4    
 

7/22-28/15

49 40 11    
 

3/1-4/15

53 39 8    
 

4/7-10/14

54 39 7    
 

2/4-9/14

56 39 5    
 

12/3-5/13

57 35 7    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ben
Carson (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

10/29 - 11/4/15

50 48 2    
 

7/22-28/15

49 39 12    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

10/29 - 11/4/15

56 41 3    
 

7/22-28/15

54 38 8    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Carly
Fiorina (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

10/29 - 11/4/15

53 43 4    
 

7/22-28/15

53 35 13    
             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are Bernie Sanders, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican?" N=540, margin of error ± 4.2.

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

10/29 - 11/4/15

48 45 7    
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

10/29 - 11/4/15

51 41 8    
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

10/29 - 11/4/15

51 39 10    
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Ben
Carson (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

10/29 - 11/4/15

45 47 8    
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

10/29 - 11/4/15

53 41 6    
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Carly
Fiorina (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

10/29 - 11/4/15

53 39 8    

 

Quinnipiac University. Oct. 29-Nov. 2, 2015. N=1,144 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 2.9.

             

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were [see below] the Democrat and [see below] the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Chris
Christie (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

10/29 -11/2/15

41 46 3 6 5
 

5/19-26/15

46 37 3 7 6
 

4/16-21/15

45 40 3 5 7
 

2/26 - 3/2/15

46 39 3 5 7
 

11/18-23/14

43 42 3 4 8
 

6/24-30/14

47 38 2 6 7
 

1/15-19/14

46 38 3 5 9
 

12/3-9/13

41 42 4 3 9
 

11/6-11/13

42 43 3 4 9
 

9/23-29/13

49 36 3 3 9
 

6/28 - 7/8/13

46 40 3 3 8
 

2/27 - 3/4/13

45 37 3 4 12
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Chris
Christie (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

10/29 -11/2/15

42 45 1 4 7

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). Oct. 25-29, 2015. N=847 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.4.

             

"And, if the election for president were held today, and [see below] were the Republican candidate and [see below] were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

10/25-29/15

47 43 - 7 3
 

9/20-24/15

45 44 - 8 3
 

6/14-18/15

48 40 - 8 4
 

4/26-30/15

49 43 - 5 3
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

10/25-29/15

46 41 - 7 6
 

10/15-18/15

45 41 1 6 7

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). Oct. 15-18, 2015. N=1,000 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters.

             

"And, if the election for president were held today, and [see below] were the Republican candidate and [see below] were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?" Options rotated

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Ben
Carson (R)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

10/15-18/15

44 43 - 6 7
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

10/15-18/15

50 38 - 6 6

 

CNN/ORC Poll. Oct. 14-17, 2015. N=956 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.

             

"If [see below] were the Democratic Party's candidate and [see below] were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for: [see below]?" If neither or unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward: [see below]?"

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Ben
Carson (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

10/14-17/15

46 48 1 5 1
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

10/14-17/15

53 43 1 3 -
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Ben
Carson (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

10/14-17/15

52 44 1 3 -

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Oct. 10-12, 2015. N=1,004 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were Democrat Joe Biden and Republican [see below]?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated. Split sample. Margin of error ± 4.

 
    Joe
Biden (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

10/10-12/15

50 37 2 7 3
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

10/10-12/15

46 41 2 7 4
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Carly
Fiorina (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

10/10-12/15

46 42 3 4 6
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Ben
Carson (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

10/10-12/15

46 42 3 4 5
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

10/10-12/15

44 43 2 4 7
 

"Let's say the Democratic ticket is Joe Biden for president and Elizabeth Warren for vice president, and the Republican ticket is Donald Trump for president and Carly Fiorina for vice president. If you were voting today, how would you vote?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    Biden/
Warren (D)
Trump/
Fiorina (R)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

10/10-12/15

48 42 6 4  
 

"Let's say the Democratic ticket is Joe Biden for president and Elizabeth Warren for vice president, and the Republican ticket is Jeb Bush for president and Marco Rubio for vice president. If you were voting today, how would you vote?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    Biden/
Warren (D)
Bush/
Rubio (R)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

10/10-12/15

45 43 7 5  

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). Sept. 20-24, 2015. N=1,000 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters.

             

"And, if the election for president were held today, and [see below] were the Republican candidate and [see below] were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Carly
Fiorina (R)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

9/20-24/15

44 45 - 7 4
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

9/20-24/15

48 40 1 8 3
 

4/26-30/15

40 48 - 8 4
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

9/20-24/15

56 35 - 7 -
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Ben
Carson (R)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

9/20-24/15

49 41 - 5 5
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Carly
Fiorina (R)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

9/20-24/15

47 41 - 8 4

 

Quinnipiac University. Sept. 17-21, 2015. N=1,574 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 2.5.

             

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were [see below] the Democrat and [see below] the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

9/17-21/15

42 44 3 7 4
 

8/20-25/15

42 40 3 10 5
 

7/23-28/15

41 42 5 5 6
 

5/19-26/15

47 37 3 7 6
 

4/16-21/15

46 39 3 6 6
 

2/26 - 3/2/15

45 42 3 4 6
 

11/18-23/14

46 41 3 3 7
 

6/24-30/14

48 41 2 5 5
 

1/15-19/14

49 38 3 3 7
 

12/3-9/13

48 39 3 3 6
 

5/22-28/13

48 40 3 3 7
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Carly
Fiorina (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

9/17-21/15

43 44 2 6 5
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

9/17-21/15

46 41 2 5 5
 

8/20-25/15

45 39 2 7 7
 

7/23-28/15

43 42 4 5 6
 

5/22-28/13

38 44 4 5 9
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Ben
Carson (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

9/17-21/15

45 45 1 3 6
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Carly
Fiorina (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

9/17-21/15

46 43 1 5 5
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

9/17-21/15

51 40 1 4 4
 

8/20-25/15

48 40 2 5 5
 

7/23-28/15

49 37 3 6 5
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

9/17-21/15

44 44 2 6 5
 

8/20-25/15

43 39 2 7 9
 

7/23-28/15

39 44 3 5 9
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Carly
Fiorina (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

9/17-21/15

43 44 1 6 6

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Sept. 7-10, 2015. N=821 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: Would you lean toward Clinton or toward Trump?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

ALL

46 43 7 4 1
 

Men

37 52      
 

Women

55 34      

 

MSNBC/Telemundo/Marist Poll. Aug. 26-Sept. 9, 2015. N=1,115 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 2.9.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are Joe Biden, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican?"

 
    Joe
Biden (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

8/26 - 9/9/15

50 42 8    
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

8/26 - 9/9/15

56 38 7    
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

8/26 - 9/9/15

50 42 8    
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

8/26 - 9/9/15

54 39 8    

 

CNN/ORC Poll. Sept. 4-8, 2015. N=930 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.

             

"For the next few questions, let's assume that former secretary of state Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2016. I'm going to read the names of a few Republicans who may run for their party's nomination. After I read each one, please tell me if you would be more likely to vote for that Republican candidate or if you would be more likely to vote for Hillary Clinton. ... Former Florida governor Jeb Bush ... Businessman Donald Trump ... Former neurosurgeon Ben Carson."

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

9/4-8/15

47 49 - 3 -
 

8/13-16/15

52 43 - 5 -
 

7/22-25/15

51 46 - 3 -
 

6/26-28/15

54 41 1 3 -
 

1/31 - 2/2/14

57 37 - 3 2
 

12/16-19/13

58 37 1 3 1
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

9/4-8/15

48 48 - 3 -
 

8/13-16/15

51 45 - 4 -
 

7/22-25/15

56 40 - 4 -
 

6/26-28/15

59 35 - 6 -
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ben
Carson (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

9/4-8/15

46 51 1 2 -
             

"And now, let's assume that Vice President Joe Biden will be the Democratic presidential nominee for 2016. ..."

 
    Joe
Biden (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

9/4-8/15

52 44 1 3 -
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

9/4-8/15

54 44 - 1 -
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Ben
Carson (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

9/4-8/15

47 50 - 2 -

 

Quinnipiac University. Aug. 20-25, 2015. N=1,563 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 2.5.

             

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were [see below] the Democrat and [see below] the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Joe
Biden (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

8/20-25/15

44 41 2 5 7
 

2/27 - 3/4/13

45 38 2 4 11
             

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat, Jeb Bush the Republican, and Donald Trump running as an independent, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Donald
Trump (I)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Someone else
(vol.)/Unsure
/No answer
    % % % % %
 

8/20-25/15

40 24 24 4 7

 

CNN/ORC Poll. Aug. 13-16, 2015. N=897 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5.

             

"For the next few questions, let's assume that former secretary of state Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2016. I'm going to read the names of a few Republicans who may run for their party's nomination. After I read each one, please tell me if you would be more likely to vote for that Republican candidate or if you would be more likely to vote for Hillary Clinton. ... Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker ... Businesswoman Carly Fiorina."

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Scott
Walker (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

8/13-16/15

52 46 - 2 -
 

7/22-25/15

53 44 - 2 1
 

6/26-28/15

57 40 - 3 -
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Carly
Fiorina (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

8/13-16/15

53 43 - 3 -

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Aug. 11-13, 2015. N=1,008 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.

             

"How would you vote if the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, [see below], the Republican, and Donald Trump, an independent?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Carly
Fiorina (R)
Donald
Trump (I)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

8/11-13/15

42 24 25 4 5
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Donald
Trump (I)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

8/11-13/15

42 30 22 3 4
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Donald
Trump (I)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

8/11-13/15

40 29 23 4 4

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. July 22-28, 2015. N=964 registered voters nationwide.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican?" Each match-up asked of approx. half the sample.

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Scott
Walker (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/22-28/15

48 41 11    
 

3/1-4/15

48 44 9    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Rick
Perry (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/22-28/15

47 40 13    
 

3/1-4/15

51 42 8    
 

12/3-5/13

58 37 5    
 

7/15-18/13

52 36 12    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Rand
Paul (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/22-28/15

48 43 9    
 

3/1-4/15

51 40 9    
 

12/3-9/14

54 40 6    
 

9/24-29/14

52 43 5    
 

8/4-7/14

48 42 10    
 

4/7-10/14

54 40 6    
 

2/4-9/14

58 38 4    
 

12/3-5/13

55 40 5    
 

7/15-18/13

50 38 11    
 

3/25-27/13

52 41 7    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Chris
Christie (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/22-28/15

50 40 10    
 

12/3-9/14

53 41 6    
 

9/24-29/14

51 42 6    
 

8/4-7/14

47 41 12    
 

4/7-10/14

53 42 5    
 

2/4-9/14

58 37 6    
 

12/3-5/13

48 45 7    
 

7/15-18/13

47 41 12    
 

3/25-27/13

46 43 11    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
John
Kasich (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/22-28/15

49 39 12    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Mike
Huckabee (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/22-28/15

50 41 9    
 

4/7-10/14

53 40 6    
 

2/4-9/14

55 41 4    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Rick
Santorum (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/22-28/15

51 39 10    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Bobby
Jindal (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/22-28/15

52 36 12    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Lindsey
Graham (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/22-28/15

52 35 13    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
George
Pataki (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/22-28/15

50 37 13    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Jim
Gilmore (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/22-28/15

53 32 15    
             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, Jeb Bush, the Republican, and Donald Trump, an independent?" N=964 registered voters, margin of error ± 3.2.

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Donald
Trump (I)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

7/22-28/15

44 29 20 6  

 

Quinnipiac University. July 23-28, 2015. N=1,644 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 2.4.

             

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were [see below] the Democrat and [see below] the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Scott
Walker (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

7/23-28/15

44 43 4 3 7
 

5/19-26/15

46 38 2 4 10
 

4/16-21/15

46 41 2 3 8
 

2/26 - 3/2/15

48 39 2 4 8
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Scott
Walker (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

7/23-28/15

43 43 2 4 8
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Scott
Walker (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

7/23-28/15

37 42 3 6 12

 

CNN/ORC Poll. July 22-25, 2015. N=898 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5.

             

"And now, let's assume Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2016. After I read each one, please tell me if you would be more likely to vote for that Republican candidate or if you would be more likely to vote for Bernie Sanders. ... Former Florida governor Jeb Bush ... Businessman Donald Trump ... Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker."

 
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

7/22-25/15

47 48 - 4 1
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

7/22-25/15

59 38 - 3 -
             
    Bernie
Sanders (D)
Scott
Walker (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

7/22-25/15

48 43 - 7 2

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. July 16-19, 2015. N=815 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Jeb Bush, the Republican, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Would you lean toward Clinton or toward Bush?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

7/16-19/15

50 44 4 2 1
 

5/28-31/15

47 44 4 4 1
 

3/26-29/15

53 41 2 2 2
 

1/12-15/15

54 41 2 1 1
 

4/24-27/14

53 41 4 1 1
             

"How about if the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, Jeb Bush, the Republican, and Donald Trump running as an independent candidate for president, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Would you lean toward Clinton, towards Bush, or toward Trump?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Donald
Trump (I)
None/Would not vote (vol.) Unsure
    % % % % %
 

7/16-19/15

46 30 20 2 2

 

Suffolk University/USA Today. July 9-12, 2015. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.

             

"Now let's jump right to possible matchups in the general election in 2016. First I'm going to run Democrat Hillary Clinton against each of the top seven nationally polled Republican candidates. Please let me know who would you prefer. ..."

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/9-12/15

46 42 12    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Scott
Walker (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/9-12/15

48 37 15    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Rand
Paul (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/9-12/15

48 38 15    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Mike
Huckabee (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/9-12/15

49 40 11    

 

CNN/ORC Poll. June 26-28, 2015. N=890 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5.

             

"For the next few questions, let's assume that former secretary of state Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2016. I'm going to read the names of a few Republicans who may run for their party's nomination. After I read each one, please tell me if you would be more likely to vote for that Republican candidate or if you would be more likely to vote for Hillary Clinton. ... Florida Senator Marco Rubio ... New Jersey Governor Chris Christie."

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

6/26-28/15

56 40 - 3 -
 

12/16-19/13

56 37 1 4 2
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Chris
Christie (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

6/26-28/15

55 39 - 5 -
 

1/31 - 2/2/14

55 39 - 4 2
 

12/16-19/13

46 48 - 4 1

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). June 21-23, 2015. N=1,005 registered voters nationwide. Split sample. Margin of error ± 4.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican [see below]?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Scott
Walker (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

6/21-23/15

47 41 2 4 7
 

5/9-12/15

48 42 2 4 4
 

4/19-21/15

46 40 2 4 8
 

3/29-31/15

48 42 2 4 4
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Rand
Paul (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

6/21-23/15

46 42 2 5 5
 

4/19-21/15

46 43 1 4 6
 

3/29-31/15

47 45 1 4 4
 

1/25-27/15

47 44 2 3 4
 

12/7-9/14

51 40 1 2 5
 

7/20-22/14

52 41 1 2 3
 

4/13-15/14

51 42 1 3 3
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

6/21-23/15

48 42 2 5 3
 

1/25-27/15

46 46 1 3 3
             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were Democrat Hillary Clinton and independent Mike Bloomberg?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Mike
Bloomberg (I)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

6/21-23/15

44 38 3 9 6

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). June 14-18, 2015. N=1,000 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters.

             

"And, if the election for president were held today, and [see below] were the Republican candidate and Hillary Clinton were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Scott
Walker (R)
Depends
(vol.)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

6/14-18/15

51 37 1 5 6
 

4/26-30/15

50 40 - 5 5

 

CNN/ORC Poll. May 29-31, 2015. N=1,025 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.
RV = registered voters

             

"For the next few questions, let's assume that former secretary of state Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2016. I'm going to read the names of a few Republicans who may run for their party's nomination. After I read each one, please tell me if you would be more likely to vote for that Republican candidate or if you would be more likely to vote for Hillary Clinton. ... Former Florida governor Jeb Bush ... Florida Senator Marco Rubio ... Kentucky Senator Rand Paul ... Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker ... Texas Senator Ted Cruz."

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

5/29-31/15

51 43 - 5 1
 

4/16-19/15

56 39 - 4 1
 

3/13-15/15

55 40 - 4 1
 

12/18-21/14

54 41 1 4 -
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

5/29-31/15

49 46 - 4 1
 

4/16-19/15

55 41 - 3 1
 

3/13-15/15

55 42 - 3 -
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Rand
Paul (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

5/29-31/15

48 47 - 4 1
 

4/16-19/15

58 39 - 3 1
 

3/13-15/15

54 43 - 2 -
 

12/18-21/14

58 38 - 3 1
 

1/31 - 2/2/14 RV

57 39 - 3 1
 

12/16-19/13 RV

54 41 1 4 1
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Scott
Walker (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

5/29-31/15

49 46 - 3 2
 

4/16-19/15

59 37 - 3 1
 

3/13-15/15

55 40 - 3 1
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

5/29-31/15

52 43 - 4 1
 

4/16-19/15

60 36 - 3 1
 

12/18-21/14

60 35 1 3 1
 

12/16-19/13 RV

57 39 - 3 1

 

Quinnipiac University. May 19-26, 2015. N=1,711 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 2.4.

             

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and [see below] the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Rand
Paul (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

5/19-26/15

46 42 2 4 7
 

4/16-21/15

46 42 2 3 6
 

2/26 - 3/2/15

47 41 2 4 6
 

11/18-23/14

46 41 2 2 8
 

6/24-30/14

49 40 1 4 6
 

1/15-19/14

49 39 2 3 8
 

12/3-9/13

48 41 2 2 6
 

11/6-11/13

49 40 2 3 7
 

9/23-29/13

53 36 2 3 6
 

6/28 - 7/8/13

50 38 2 2 7
 

5/22-28/13

49 41 2 2 6
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Mike
Huckabee (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

5/19-26/15

47 40 2 5 6
 

4/16-21/15

47 42 2 3 6
 

2/26 - 3/2/15

47 40 3 4 7
 

11/18-23/14

46 41 3 3 8
 

6/24-30/14

49 40 1 4 6

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). May 9-12, 2015. N=1,006 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican [see below]?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
John
Kasich (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

5/9-12/15

48 40 1 5 6
 

12/7-9/14

53 37 2 3 5
 

7/20-22/14

54 35 1 4 7
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Mike
Huckabee (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

5/9-12/15

47 44 1 4 4

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). April 26-30, 2015. N=632 registered voters nationwide.

             

"And, if the election for president were held today, and [see below] were the Republican candidate and Hillary Clinton were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Rand
Paul (R)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

4/27-30/15

47 44 5 4  

 

CNN/ORC Poll. April 16-19, 2015. N=1,018 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.
RV = registered voters

             

"For the next few questions, let's assume that former secretary of state Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2016. I'm going to read the names of a few Republicans who may run for their party's nomination. After I read each one, please tell me if you would be more likely to vote for that Republican candidate or if you would be more likely to vote for Hillary Clinton. ... New Jersey Governor Chris Christie ... Former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee ... Former neurosurgeon Ben Carson."

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Chris
Christie (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

4/16-19/15

58 39 - 3 1
 

3/13-15/15

55 40 - 5 -
 

12/18-21/14

56 39 1 3 1
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Mike
Huckabee (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

4/16-19/15

58 37 - 3 1
 

3/13-15/15

55 41 - 3 1
 

12/18-21/14

59 38 1 2 -
 

1/31 - 2/2/14 RV

56 39 - 2 2
 

12/16-19/13 RV

55 40 - 4 1
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ben
Carson (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

4/16-19/15

60 36 - 3 1
 

3/13-15/15

56 40 1 3 1
 

12/18-21/14

56 35 2 4 3

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. March 26-29, 2015. N=1,003 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters. Margin of error ± 4.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Would you lean toward Clinton or toward [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Scott
Walker (R)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

3/26-29/15

54 40 2 1 3
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

3/26-29/15

56 39 2 1 2
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

3/26-29/15

54 39 2 2 3

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Jan. 12-15, 2015. N=843 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Would you lean toward Clinton or toward [see below]?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Rand
Paul (R)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

1/12-15/15

54 41 2 1 1
 

5/29 - 6/1/14

53 43 3 1 1
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Chris
Christie (R)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

1/12-15/15

53 40 3 2 2
 

1/20-23/14

53 41 2 2 2
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Mike
Huckabee (R)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

1/12-15/15

56 39 3 1 2
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

1/12-15/15

55 40 2 2 1

 

Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D) for Democracy Corps and Women's Voices Women Vote Action Fund. Jan. 7-11, 2015. Likely voters nationwide.

             

"I know it's a long way off, but thinking about the election for president in 2016, if the election for president were held today, would you vote for Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Mitt Romney?" N=475 (Split A). Includes leaners.

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

1/7-11/15

49 43 6 2  
             

"I know it's a long way off, but thinking about the election for president in 2016, if the election for president were held today, would you vote for Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Jeb Bush?" N=475 (Split B). Includes leaners.

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

1/7-11/15

52 40 6 2  

 

CNN/ORC Poll. Dec. 18-21, 2014. N=1,011 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.
RV = registered voters

             

"For the next few questions, let's assume that former secretary of state Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2016. I'm going to read the names of a few Republicans who may run for their party's nomination. After I read each one, please tell me if you would be more likely to vote for that Republican candidate or if you would be more likely to vote for Hillary Clinton. ... Texas Senator Ted Cruz ... Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan."

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Paul
Ryan (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

12/18-21/14

56 41 1 2 -
 

1/31 - 2/2/14 RV

55 40 1 2 2
 

12/16-19/13 RV

52 44 1 2 1

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. Dec. 5-9, 2014. N=627 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 5.4.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

12/5-9/14

53 41 6    
 

2/4-9/14

53 44 3    

 

Bloomberg Politics Poll conducted by Selzer & Company. Dec. 3-5, 2014. N=753 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.6.

             

"Turning to the general election for president in 2016, if the election were held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton for the Democrats and [see below] for the Republicans, for whom would you vote: Hillary Clinton, [see below], or for someone else?" Candidate options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Other/
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

12/3-5/14

43 37 17 3  
 

6/6-9/14

47 38 11 4  
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Chris
Christie (R)
Other/
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

12/3-5/14

42 36 18 4  
 

6/6-9/14

45 38 12 5  
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Rand
Paul (R)
Other/
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

12/3-5/14

45 37 15 3  
 

6/6-9/14

47 38 10 5  
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Other/
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

12/3-5/14

46 33 16 5  
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Other/
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

12/3-5/14

45 39 14 2  

 

Quinnipiac University. Nov. 18-23, 2014. N=1,623 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 2.4.

             

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and [see below] the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Paul
Ryan (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

11/18-23/14

46 42 3 2 7
 

6/24-30/14

48 41 1 4 6
 

11/6-11/13

49 40 3 3 5
 

2/27 - 3/4/13

50 38 3 2 7
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

11/18-23/14

44 45 2 3 5

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Oct. 23-26, 2014. N=1,204 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.

             

"Do you think [see below] would or would not make a good president?"

 
    Would Would not Unsure    
    % % %    
 

Hillary Clinton

 

10/23-26/14

51 41 8    
 
 

Jeb Bush

 

10/23-26/14

26 51 23    
 
 

Chris Christie

 

10/23-26/14

24 46 30    
 
 

Rand Paul

 

10/23-26/14

21 44 34    
 
 

Rick Perry

 

10/23-26/14

18 49 34    

 

CNN/ORC Poll. July 18-20, 2014. N=1,012 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.

             

"And suppose that a presidential election were being held today and you had to choose between Hillary Clinton and Mitt Romney. Who would you be more likely to vote for?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward . . . ?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Neither
(vol.)
   
    % % %    
 

7/18-20/14

55 42 2    

 

Bloomberg National Poll conducted by Selzer & Company. June 6-9, 2014. N=723 likely voters nationwide.

             

"Turning to the general election for president in 2016, if the election were held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton for the Democrats and [see below] for the Republicans, for whom would you vote: Hillary Clinton, [see below], or for someone else?" Candidate options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Other/
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

6/6-9/14

47 36 11 6  

 

Fairleigh Dickinson University’s PublicMind. April 21-27, 2014. N=1,051 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.

             

"I know it's early, but if the 2016 presidential election was held today, and it was between Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Chris Christie, the Republican, who would be likely to vote for?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Chris
Christie (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

4/21-27/14

46 36 18    
             

"How about Hillary Clinton against [see below], the Republican?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Rand
Paul (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

4/21-27/14

48 37 15    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

4/21-27/14

49 33 18    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Paul
Ryan (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

4/21-27/14

46 38 16    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Mike
Huckabee (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

4/21-27/14

49 36 15    

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. April 7-10, 2014. N=518 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.3.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Paul
Ryan (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

4/7-10/14

51 43 5    
 

2/4-9/14

52 44 4    
 

12/3-5/13

56 40 4    
 

7/15-18/13

53 37 9    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Joe
Scarborough
(R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

4/7-10/14

56 35 9    

 

Bloomberg National Poll conducted by Selzer & Company. March 7-10, 2014. N=678 likely voters nationwide.

             

"If the presidential election were held today and the candidates were Chris Christie for the Republicans and Hillary Clinton for the Democrats, for whom would you vote?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Chris
Christie (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

3/7-10/14

52 39 5 4  

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. Feb. 4-9, 2014. N=approx. 485 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.5.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Sarah
Palin (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

2/4-9/14

62 35 3    
 

12/3-5/13

59 36 4    

 

NBC News/Marist Poll. Jan. 12-14, 2014. N=1,039 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Chris Christie, the Republican?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Chris
Christie (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

1/12-14/14

50 37 12    

 

CNN/ORC Poll. Dec. 16-19, 2013. N=950 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.

             

"For the next few questions, let's assume that former secretary of state Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2016. I'm going to read the names of a few Republicans who may run for their party's nomination. After I read each one, please tell me if you would be more likely to vote for that Republican candidate or if you would be more likely to vote for Hillary Clinton. ... Texas Governor Rick Perry ... Former Pennsylvania senator Rick Santorum."

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Rick
Perry (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

12/16-19/13

56 39 1 3 1
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Rick
Santorum (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

12/16-19/13

57 38 - 4 1

 

NBC News Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Nov. 7-10, 2013. N=1,003 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.6.

             

"And if the 2016 general election for president were being held today, and Chris Christie were the Republican candidate, and Hillary Clinton were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Chris
Christie (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
Refused
    % % % % %
 

11/7-10/13

44 34 3 5 13

 

Monmouth University Poll. July 25-30, 2013. N=850 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.4.

             

"Who would you vote for if the candidates were [see below] the Republican and Hillary Clinton the Democrat?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Chris
Christie (R)
Another
candidate
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

7/25-30/13

43 39 4 14  
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Another
candidate
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

7/25-30/13

47 36 4 13  
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Another
candidate
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

7/25-30/13

47 37 4 11  
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Another
candidate
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

7/25-30/13

48 32 4 17  

 

Quinnipiac University Poll. June 28-July 8, 2013. N=2,014 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 2.2.

             

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were [see below] the Democrat and [see below] the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Joe
Biden (D)
Chris
Christie (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

6/28 - 7/8/13

35 46 4 5 10
 

2/27 - 3/4/13

40 43 3 5 9
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Rand
Paul (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

6/28 - 7/8/13

42 42 3 4 9
 

5/22-28/13

39 43 3 3 11

 

Bloomberg Poll conducted by Selzer & Company. May 31-June 3, 2013. N=1,002 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.1.

             

"Hillary Clinton may decide to run for president in 2016. If she is the Democratic nominee, will you definitely vote for her, probably vote for her, might or might not vote for her, or definitely not vote for her?"

 
    Definitely
vote for
Probably
vote for
Might
vote for
Definitely
not vote for
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

5/31 - 6/3/13

23 17 23 34 3

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. March 25-27, 2013. Registered voters nationwide.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below], the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican?"

 
    Joe
Biden (D)
Chris
Christie (R)
Unsure    
  N=541, MoE ± 4.2 % % %    
 

3/25-27/13

43 46 11    
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Unsure    
  N=541, MoE ± 4.2 % % %    
 

3/25-27/13

49 41 10    
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Unsure    
  N=541, MoE ± 4.2 % % %    
 

3/25-27/13

53 39 8    
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Rand
Paul (R)
Unsure    
  N=541, MoE ± 4.2 % % %    
 

3/25-27/13

50 41 8    

 

Quinnipiac University Poll. Feb. 27-March 4, 2013. N=1,944 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 2.2.

             

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were [see below] the Democrat and [see below] the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Joe
Biden (D)
Paul
Ryan (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
  Split sample A % % % % %
 

2/27 - 3/4/13

45 42 2 3 7
             
    Andrew
Cuomo (D)
Christopher
Christie (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
  Split sample B % % % % %
 

2/27 - 3/4/13

28 45 3 4 20
             
    Andrew
Cuomo (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
  Split sample B % % % % %
 

2/27 - 3/4/13

37 37 2 5 19
             
    Andrew
Cuomo (D)
Paul
Ryan (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
  Split sample B % % % % %
 

2/27 - 3/4/13

37 42 2 3 16

 


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