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       White House 2016: General Election                 See also: Rating the contenders


 
 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). July 20-22, 2014. N=1,057 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican [see below]?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Chris
Christie (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

7/20-22/14

50 40 1 4 3
 

4/13-15/14

50 42 2 4 3
 

3/2-4/14

49 38 3 5 5
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

7/20-22/14

52 39 1 4 3
 

4/13-15/14

51 42 1 3 3
 

3/2-4/14

51 38 3 4 4
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Rand
Paul (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

7/20-22/14

52 41 1 2 3
 

4/13-15/14

51 42 1 3 3
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
John
Kasich (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

7/20-22/14

54 35 1 4 7

 

CNN/ORC Poll. July 18-20, 2014. N=1,012 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.

             

"And suppose that a presidential election were being held today and you had to choose between Hillary Clinton and Mitt Romney. Who would you be more likely to vote for?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward . . . ?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Neither
(vol.)
   
    % % %    
 

7/18-20/14

55 42 2    

 

Quinnipiac University. June 24-30, 2014. N=1,446 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 2.6.

             

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and [see below] the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Chris
Christie (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

6/24-30/14

47 38 2 6 7
 

1/15-19/14

46 38 3 5 9
 

12/3-9/13

41 42 4 3 9
 

11/6-11/13

42 43 3 4 9
 

9/23-29/13

49 36 3 3 9
 

6/28 - 7/8/13

46 40 3 3 8
 

2/27 - 3/4/13

45 37 3 4 12
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Rand
Paul (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

6/24-30/14

49 40 1 4 6
 

1/15-19/14

49 39 2 3 8
 

12/3-9/13

48 41 2 2 6
 

11/6-11/13

49 40 2 3 7
 

9/23-29/13

53 36 2 3 6
 

6/28 - 7/8/13

50 38 2 2 7
 

5/22-28/13

49 41 2 2 6
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Mike
Huckabee (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

6/24-30/14

49 40 1 4 6
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

6/24-30/14

48 41 2 5 5
 

1/15-19/14

49 38 3 3 7
 

12/3-9/13

48 39 3 3 6
 

5/22-28/13

48 40 3 3 7
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Paul
Ryan (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

6/24-30/14

48 41 1 4 6
 

11/6-11/13

49 40 3 3 5
 

2/27 - 3/4/13

50 38 3 2 7

 

Bloomberg National Poll conducted by Selzer & Company. June 6-9, 2014. N=723 likely voters nationwide.

             

"Turning to the general election for president in 2016, if the election were held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton for the Democrats and [see below] for the Republicans, for whom would you vote: Hillary Clinton, [see below], or for someone else?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Other/
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

6/6-9/14

47 38 11 4  
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Chris
Christie (R)
Other/
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

6/6-9/14

45 38 12 5  
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Rand
Paul (R)
Other/
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

6/6-9/14

47 38 10 5  
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Other/
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

6/6-9/14

47 36 11 6  

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. May 29-June 1, 2014. N=851 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Rand Paul, the Republican, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Would you lean toward Clinton or toward Paul?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Rand
Paul (R)
Neither
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

5/29 - 6/1/14

53 43 3 1 1

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. April 24-27, 2014. N=855 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Jeb Bush, the Republican, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Would you lean toward Clinton or toward Bush?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Neither
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

4/24-27/14

53 41 4 1 1

 

Fairleigh Dickinson University’s PublicMind. April 21-27, 2014. N=1,051 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.

             

"I know it's early, but if the 2016 presidential election was held today, and it was between Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Chris Christie, the Republican, who would be likely to vote for?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Chris
Christie (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

4/21-27/14

46 36 18    
             

"How about Hillary Clinton against [see below], the Republican?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Rand
Paul (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

4/21-27/14

48 37 15    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

4/21-27/14

49 33 18    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Paul
Ryan (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

4/21-27/14

46 38 16    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Mike
Huckabee (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

4/21-27/14

49 36 15    

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. April 7-10, 2014. N=518 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.3.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Paul
Ryan (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

4/7-10/14

51 43 5    
 

2/4-9/14

52 44 4    
 

12/3-5/13

56 40 4    
 

7/15-18/13

53 37 9    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Chris
Christie (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

4/7-10/14

53 42 5    
 

2/4-9/14

58 37 6    
 

12/3-5/13

48 45 7    
 

7/15-18/13

47 41 12    
 

3/25-27/13

46 43 11    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Mike
Huckabee (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

4/7-10/14

53 40 6    
 

2/4-9/14

55 41 4    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Rand
Paul (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

4/7-10/14

54 40 6    
 

2/4-9/14

58 38 4    
 

12/3-5/13

55 40 5    
 

7/15-18/13

50 38 11    
 

3/25-27/13

52 41 7    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

4/7-10/14

54 39 7    
 

2/4-9/14

56 39 5    
 

12/3-5/13

57 35 7    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

4/7-10/14

55 39 6    
 

2/4-9/14

58 38 4    
 

12/3-5/13

53 41 6    
 

7/15-18/13

48 40 12    
 

3/25-27/13

54 38 8    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

4/7-10/14

54 38 8    
 

2/4-9/14

58 37 4    
 

12/3-5/13

52 42 5    
 

7/15-18/13

50 38 12    
 

3/25-27/13

52 40 8    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Joe
Scarborough
(R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

4/7-10/14

56 35 9    

 

Bloomberg National Poll conducted by Selzer & Company. March 7-10, 2014. N=678 likely voters nationwide.

             

"If the presidential election were held today and the candidates were Chris Christie for the Republicans and Hillary Clinton for the Democrats, for whom would you vote?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Chris
Christie (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

3/7-10/14

52 39 5 4  

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). March 2-4, 2014. N=1,002 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican [see below]?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Other
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

3/2-4/14

52 36 2 4 5

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. Feb. 4-9, 2014. N=approx. 485 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.5.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

2/4-9/14

53 44 3    
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Sarah
Palin (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

2/4-9/14

62 35 3    
 

12/3-5/13

59 36 4    

 

CNN/ORC Poll. Jan. 31-Feb. 2, 2014. N=900 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.5.

             

"For the next few questions, let's assume that former secretary of state Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2016. I'm going to read the names of a few Republicans who may run for their party's nomination. After I read each one, please tell me if you would be more likely to vote for that Republican candidate or if you would be more likely to vote for Hillary Clinton. ... Former Florida governor Jeb Bush ... New Jersey Governor Chris Christie ... Former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee ... Kentucky Senator Rand Paul ... Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan."

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

1/31 - 2/2/14

57 37 - 3 2
 

12/16-19/13

58 37 1 3 1
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Chris
Christie (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

1/31 - 2/2/14

55 39 - 4 2
 

12/16-19/13

46 48 - 4 1
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Mike
Huckabee (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

1/31 - 2/2/14

56 39 - 2 2
 

12/16-19/13

55 40 - 4 1
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Rand
Paul (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

1/31 - 2/2/14

57 39 - 3 1
 

12/16-19/13

54 41 1 4 1
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Paul
Ryan (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

1/31 - 2/2/14

55 40 1 2 2
 

12/16-19/13

52 44 1 2 1

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Jan. 20-23, 2014. N=1,003 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Chris Christie, the Republican, for whom would you vote?" If unsure: "Which candidate would you lean toward?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Chris
Christie (R)
Neither
(vol.)
Would not
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

1/20-23/14

53 41 2 2 2

 

Quinnipiac University Poll. Jan. 15-19, 2014. N=1,933 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 2.2.

             

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and [see below] the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

1/15-19/14

50 35 2 4 10
 

12/3-9/13

50 37 3 3 7
 

11/6-11/13

51 36 3 3 7
 

9/23-29/13

54 31 3 3 9

 

NBC News/Marist Poll. Jan. 12-14, 2014. N=1,039 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Chris Christie, the Republican?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Chris
Christie (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

1/12-14/14

50 37 12    

 

CNN/ORC Poll. Dec. 16-19, 2013. N=950 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.

             

"For the next few questions, let's assume that former secretary of state Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2016. I'm going to read the names of a few Republicans who may run for their party's nomination. After I read each one, please tell me if you would be more likely to vote for that Republican candidate or if you would be more likely to vote for Hillary Clinton. ... Former Florida governor Jeb Bush ... New Jersey Governor Chris Christie ... Texas Senator Ted Cruz ... Former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee ... Kentucky Senator Rand Paul ... Texas Governor Rick Perry ... Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan ... Florida Senator Marco Rubio ... Former Pennsylvania senator Rick Santorum."

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

12/16-19/13

57 39 - 3 1
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Rick
Perry (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

12/16-19/13

56 39 1 3 1
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

12/16-19/13

56 37 1 4 2
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Rick
Santorum (R)
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

12/16-19/13

57 38 - 4 1

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. Dec. 3-5, 2013. N=approx. 495 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 4.4.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Rick
Perry (R)
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

12/3-5/13

58 37 5    
 

7/15-18/13

52 36 12    

 

NBC News Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Nov. 7-10, 2013. N=1,003 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.6.

             

"And if the 2016 general election for president were being held today, and Chris Christie were the Republican candidate, and Hillary Clinton were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Chris
Christie (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
Refused
    % % % % %
 

11/7-10/13

44 34 3 5 13

 

Monmouth University Poll. July 25-30, 2013. N=850 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.4.

             

"Who would you vote for if the candidates were [see below] the Republican and Hillary Clinton the Democrat?" Options rotated

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Chris
Christie (R)
Another
candidate
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

7/25-30/13

43 39 4 14  
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Another
candidate
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

7/25-30/13

47 36 4 13  
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Another
candidate
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

7/25-30/13

47 37 4 11  
             
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Ted
Cruz (R)
Another
candidate
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

7/25-30/13

48 32 4 17  

 

Quinnipiac University Poll. June 28-July 8, 2013. N=2,014 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 2.2.

             

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were [see below] the Democrat and [see below] the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Joe
Biden (D)
Chris
Christie (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

6/28 - 7/8/13

35 46 4 5 10
 

2/27 - 3/4/13

40 43 3 5 9
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Rand
Paul (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

6/28 - 7/8/13

42 42 3 4 9
 

5/22-28/13

39 43 3 3 11

 

Bloomberg Poll conducted by Selzer & Company. May 31-June 3, 2013. N=1,002 adults nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.1.

             

"Hillary Clinton may decide to run for president in 2016. If she is the Democratic nominee, will you definitely vote for her, probably vote for her, might or might not vote for her, or definitely not vote for her?"

 
    Definitely
vote for
Probably
vote for
Might
vote for
Definitely
not vote for
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

5/31 - 6/3/13

23 17 23 34 3

 

Quinnipiac University Poll. May 22-28, 2013. N=1,419 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 2.6.

             

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were [see below] the Democrat and [see below] the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Joe
Biden (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

5/22-28/13

38 44 4 5 9

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. March 25-27, 2013. Registered voters nationwide.

             

"If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below], the Democrat, and [see below], the Republican?"

 
    Joe
Biden (D)
Chris
Christie (R)
Unsure    
  N=541, MoE ± 4.2 % % %    
 

3/25-27/13

43 46 11    
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Jeb
Bush (R)
Unsure    
  N=541, MoE ± 4.2 % % %    
 

3/25-27/13

49 41 10    
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Unsure    
  N=541, MoE ± 4.2 % % %    
 

3/25-27/13

53 39 8    
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Rand
Paul (R)
Unsure    
  N=541, MoE ± 4.2 % % %    
 

3/25-27/13

50 41 8    

 

Quinnipiac University Poll. Feb. 27-March 4, 2013. N=1,944 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 2.2.

             

"If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were [see below] the Democrat and [see below] the Republican, for whom would you vote?"

 
    Hillary
Clinton (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

2/27 - 3/4/13

50 34 2 3 11
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
  Split sample A % % % % %
 

2/27 - 3/4/13

45 38 2 4 11
             
    Joe
Biden (D)
Paul
Ryan (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
  Split sample A % % % % %
 

2/27 - 3/4/13

45 42 2 3 7
             
    Andrew
Cuomo (D)
Christopher
Christie (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
  Split sample B % % % % %
 

2/27 - 3/4/13

28 45 3 4 20
             
    Andrew
Cuomo (D)
Marco
Rubio (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
  Split sample B % % % % %
 

2/27 - 3/4/13

37 37 2 5 19
             
    Andrew
Cuomo (D)
Paul
Ryan (R)
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
  Split sample B % % % % %
 

2/27 - 3/4/13

37 42 2 3 16

 


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