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       Election 2014                         See also: Ratings of Congress


 
 

Pew Research Center. Oct. 15-20, 2014. N=1,494 registered voters nationwide (margin of error 2.9), including 1,126 likely voters (margin of error 3.4).

             

"... If the elections for U.S. Congress were being held TODAY, would you vote for the Republican Party's candidate or the Democratic Party's candidate for Congress in your district?" If other, unsure or refused: "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more to the Republican or the Democrat?"

 
    Republican
candidate
Democratic
candidate
Other (vol.)/
Unsure/
Refused
   
    % % %    
 

Likely voters:

 

10/15-20/14

46 47 7    
 

9/2-9/14

47 44 8    
 
 

Registered voters:

 

10/15-20/14

42 48 10    
 

9/2-9/14

42 47 11    
 

8/20-24/14

42 47 11    
 

7/8-14/14

45 47 9    
 

4/23-27/14

47 43 9    
 

2/12-26/14

44 46 10    
 

12/3-8/13

44 48 8    
 

10/9-13/13

43 49 8    
             

"Would you like to see your representative in Congress be reelected in the next congressional election, or not?" Among registered voters

 
    Yes No He/She is not
running (vol.)
Unsure/
Refused
 
    % % % %  
 

10/15-20/14

48 35 2 15  
 

7/8-14/14

48 36 1 15  
 

10/9-13/13

48 38 1 14  
             

"Regardless of how you feel about your own representative, would you like to see most members of Congress reelected in the next congressional election, or not?" Among registered voters

 
    Yes No Unsure/
Refused
   
    % % %    
 

10/15-20/14

23 68 9    
 

7/8-14/14

24 69 7    
 

10/9-13/13

18 74 8    

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Oct. 12-14, 2014. N=1,012 registered voters nationwide (margin of error 3), including 831 likely voters ( 3).

             

"If the election for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate in your district or the Republican candidate in your district?" If unsure: "Well, if you had to vote, which way would you lean?" Options rotated

 
    Republican
candidate
Democratic
candidate
Other
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

Likely voters:

 

10/12-14/14

45 42 3 9  
 

9/28-30/14

47 40 3 11  
 

9/7-9/14

47 40 4 9  
 
 

Registered voters:

 

10/12-14/14

43 43 4 11  
 

9/28-30/14

44 39 3 13  
 

9/7-9/14

45 41 4 11  
 

8/10-12/14

39 46 3 12  
 

7/20-22/14

41 43 3 13  
 

6/21-23/14

42 42 2 13  
 

6/1-3/14

43 39 3 15  
 

5/10, 12 & 13/14

40 43 4 13  
 

4/13-15/14

44 41 3 13  
 

3/2-4/14

38 40 8 14  
 

1/19-21/14

43 41 4 13  
 

12/14-16/13

43 43 3 12  
 

11/10-12/13

43 40 4 13  
 

10/20-22/13

37 45 5 12  

 

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Oct. 9-12, 2014. N=1,006 adults nationwide. Margin of error 3.5.

             

"Thinking about the midterm election in November, right now, are you inclined to vote to reelect your representative in Congress, or are you inclined to look around for someone else to vote for?"
9/14 & earlier: "Thinking about the next election in November, right now, are you inclined to vote to reelect your representative in Congress, or are you inclined to look around for someone else to vote for?"

 
    Reelect
representative
Look for
someone else
Depends
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

10/9-12/14

24 58 5 14  
 

9/4-7/14

23 67 3 8  
 

4/24-27/14

22 66 4 8  
 

2/27 - 3/2/14

22 68 3 8  
 

1/20-23/14

27 63 3 7  
 

10/17-20/13

24 66 4 6  
             

"If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate in your congressional district?" If other/unsure: "Would you lean toward the Democratic candidate or toward the Republican candidate?" Options rotated
If already voted: "Did you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate in your congressional district?"
Options rotated

 
    Republican
candidate
Democratic
candidate
Other
(vol.)
Neither
(vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)/
Unsure
    % % % % %
 

Likely voters:

 

10/9-12/14

50 43 1 2 4
 
 

Registered voters:

 

10/9-12/14

44 46 1 3 6
 

9/4-7/14

44 46 1 4 5
 

5/29 - 6/1/14

45 47 1 3 5
 

4/24-27/14

44 45 1 2 8
 

2/27 - 3/2/14

45 46 1 3 5
 

1/20-23/14

46 45 1 3 6
 

12/12-15/13

45 47 1 4 4
 

10/17-20/13

40 48 1 5 5
 

5/16-19/13

40 48 2 4 7

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). Oct. 8-12, 2014. N=1,000 registered voters nationwide (margin of error 3.1), including 666 likely voters ( 3.8).

             

"What is your preference for the outcome of next month's congressional elections: a Congress controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats?" Options rotated
9/14 & earlier: "What is your preference for the outcome of this year's congressional elections: a Congress controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats?"

 
    Republican
control
Democratic
control
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

Likely voters:

 

10/8-12/14

46 44 10    
 
 

Registered voters:

 

10/8-12/14

42 46 12    
 

9/3-7/14

45 43 12    
 

7/30 - 8/3/14

44 43 13    
 

6/11-15/14

43 45 12    
 

4/23-27/14

45 45 10    
 

3/5-9/14

44 43 13    
 

1/22-25/14

43 45 12    
 

12/4-8/13

44 42 14    
 

10/25-28/13

41 45 14    
 

10/7-9/13

39 47 14    
 

9/5-8/13

43 46 11    
 

7/17-21/13

44 44 12    
 

5/30 - 6/2/13

42 45 13    
             

"In the next election for U.S. Congress, do you feel that your representative deserves to be reelected, or do you think that it is time to give a new person a chance?" Among registered voters

 
    Deserves to
be reelected
Time for
new person
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

10/8-12/14

30 57 13    
 

9/3-7/14

32 57 11    
 

6/11-15/14

32 57 11    
 

3/5-9/14

34 55 11    
 

10/25-28/13

29 63 8    
 

7/17-21/13

32 57 11    
             

"If there were a place on your ballot that allowed you to vote to defeat and replace every single member of Congress, including your own representative, would you do this, or not?" Half sample. Among registered voters.

 
    Would Would not Unsure    
    % % %    
 

10/8-12/14

55 42 3    
 

3/5-9/14

54 42 4    
 

10/7-9/13

60 35 5    
 

7/17-21/13

57 39 4    

 

CBS News Poll. Oct. 3-6, 2014. N=575 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 4.

             

"If the 2014 election for U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in your district?" If depends/unsure: "Well as of today, do you lean more toward the Republican candidate or more toward the Democratic candidate?" Options rotated

 
    Republican
candidate
Democratic
candidate
Other
(vol.)
Won't
vote (vol.)
Depends
(vol.)/Unsure
    % % % % %
 

10/3-6/14

49 43 2 1 5
 

9/12-15/14

49 42 3 1 5

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Annenberg Poll. Sept. 26-Oct. 2, 2014. N=1,181 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.4.
High-interest voters are respondents who answered "nine" or "ten" to the question: "Please tell me how interested you are in November's elections, using a scale from one to ten, on which a 'ten' means that you are very interested in November's elections and a 'one' means that you are not at all interested. You may choose any number from one to ten."

             

"What is your preference for the outcome of this year's congressional elections: a Congress controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats?" Options rotated

 
    Republican
control
Democratic
control
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

9/26 - 10/2/14

 

ALL registered voters

43 46 12    
 

High-interest voters

49 44 7    
 
 

9/19-25/14

 

ALL registered voters

42 47 11    
 

High-interest voters

49 45 6    
 
 

9/14-18/14

 

ALL registered voters

42 46 12    
 

High-interest voters

51 43 6    

 

Gallup Poll. Sept. 25-30, 2014. N=1,252 adults nationwide. Margin of error 4.

             

"If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your congressional district: the Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's candidate?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward the Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's candidate?" Options rotated. N=1,095 registered voters, margin of error 4.

 
    Republican
candidate
Democratic
candidate
Other (vol.)/
Unsure
   
    % % %    
 

9/25-30/14

47 46 7    
 

8/7-10/14

45 47 7    
 

4/24-30/14

44 49 7    
             

"As you may know, the upcoming midterm elections in November will determine which party controls both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate. Thinking about these one at a time:

"Regardless of how you, yourself, plan to vote, which party do you think will win control of the U.S. House of Representatives in the congressional elections this fall: the Republicans or the Democrats?"
Options rotated

 
    Republicans Democrats Unsure    
    % % %    
 

9/25-30/14

63 33 4    
             

"And which party do you think will win control of the U.S. Senate in the congressional elections this fall: the Republicans or the Democrats?" Options rotated

 
    Republicans Democrats Unsure    
    % % %    
 

9/25-30/14

52 42 6    

 

McClatchy-Marist Poll. Sept. 24-29, 2014. N=884 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.3.

             

"If November's election for Congress were held today, which party's candidate are you more likely to vote for in your district . . . ?"

 
    Republican
candidate
Democratic
candidate
Neither Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

9/24-29/14

44 45 2 9  
 

8/4-7/14

43 38 6 12  
 

4/7-10/14

42 48 4 6  
 

2/4-9/14

44 46 4 5  
 

12/3-5/13

43 43 6 8  

 

CNN/ORC Poll. Sept. 25-28, 2014. N=948 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your congressional district?" If unsure: "As of today, who do you lean more toward?"

 
    Republican
candidate
Democratic
candidate
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Don't plan to
vote (vol.)
Unsure
    % % % % %
 
 

Likely voters:

 

9/25-28/14

45 47 4 - 3
 

9/5-7/14

49 45 4 1 1
 
 

Registered voters:

 

9/25-28/14

42 49 5 2 3
 

9/5-7/14

45 47 5 2 1
 

7/18-20/14

44 48 5 1 2
 

5/29 - 6/1/14

45 47 3 2 2
 

5/2-4/14

46 45 5 3 1
 

12/16-19/13

49 44 4 2 1
 

11/18-20/13

49 47 2 1 2
 

10/18-20/13

42 50 4 2 1

 

CBS News/New York Times Poll. Sept. 12-15, 2014. N=854 registered voters nationwide (margin of error 4), including 470 likely voters (margin of error 4).
Results are among registered voters, except where noted.

             

"If the 2014 election for U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in your district?" If depends/unsure: "Well as of today, do you lean more toward the Republican candidate or more toward the Democratic candidate?" Options rotated

 
    Republican
candidate
Democratic
candidate
Other
(vol.)
Won't
vote (vol.)
Depends
(vol.)/Unsure
    % % % % %
  Likely voters:
 

9/12-15/14

49 42 3 1 5
 
  Registered voters:
 

9/12-15/14

47 42 3 1 7
             

Without leaners:
"If the 2014 election for U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in your district?"
Options rotated

 
    Republican
candidate
Democratic
candidate
Other
(vol.)
Won't
vote (vol.)
Depends
(vol.)/Unsure
    % % % % %
  Likely voters:
 

9/12-15/14

45 39 2 1 12
 
  Registered voters:
 

9/12-15/14

42 38 2 1 15
 

7/29 - 8/4/14

37 41 3 2 17
 

6/20-22/14

39 42 2 1 16
 

5/16-19/14

39 40 2 2 16
 

3/20-23/14

39 39 3 2 17
 

2/19-23/14

42 39 3 3 15
             

"Do you think most members of Congress have done a good enough job to deserve reelection, or do you think it's time to give new people a chance?"

 
    Deserve
reelection
Time for
new people
Depends on
candidates
(vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
 
    % % % %  
 

9/12-15/14

5 87 4 4  
 

5/16-19/14

5 86 3 5  
             

"Do you think the representative in Congress from your district has performed his or her job well enough to deserve reelection, or do you think it's time to give a new person a chance?"

 
    Deserves
reelection
Time for
new person
Depends on
candidates
(vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
 
    % % % %  
 

9/12-15/14

28 63 2 7  
 

5/16-19/14

29 62 2 8  

 

Kaiser Family Foundation Health Tracking Poll. Aug. 25-Sept. 2, 2014. N=1,239 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"Thinking again about the upcoming congressional election in November: Would you prefer to see the Senate Democrats stay in the majority in the U.S. Senate, or do you want to see the Senate Republicans in the majority?" Options rotated

 
    Democratic
majority
Republican
majority
Neither/
Other (vol.)
Unsure/
Refused
 
    % % % %  
 

8/25 - 9/2/14

43 40 13 4  

 

George Washington University Battleground Poll conducted by the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D). Aug. 23-28, 2014. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.1.

             

"Now thinking again about the 2014 elections: If the election for Congress were being held today, and you had to make a choice, would you be voting for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate, in your congressional district?" If unsure: "And which party's candidate do you lean toward at this time?" Options rotated

 
    Republican
candidate
Democratic
candidate
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

8/23-28/14

46 42 12    
 

3/16-20/14

43 43 14    
 

1/12-16/14

43 41 16    
 

10/27-31/13

41 44 15    
 

12/2-6/12

42 45 13    

 

Gallup Poll. Aug. 7-10, 2014. N=897 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 4.

             

"Please tell me whether you think each of the following political office-holders deserves to be reelected, or not.

"How about the U.S. representative in your congressional district?"

 
    Deserves to
be reelected
Does not Unsure    
    % % %    
 

8/7-10/14

50 38 12    
 

4/24-30/14

50 37 13    
 

1/5-8/14

46 38 16    
 

11/3-4/12

59 30 11    
 

11/28 - 12/1/11

53 39 8    
 

8/4-7/11

54 34 12    
 

5/12-15/11

57 34 8    
             

"How about most members of Congress?"

 
    Deserve to
be reelected
Do not Unsure    
    % % %    
 

8/7-10/14

19 74 7    
 

4/24-30/14

22 72 7    
 

1/5-8/14

17 73 10    
 

11/3-4/12

36 56 8    
 

11/28 - 12/1/11

20 76 3    
 

8/4-7/11

21 70 9    
 

5/12-15/11

28 63 9    

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Poll. July 28-31, 2014. N=634 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.9.

             

"Do you want to see the congressional Republicans stay in the majority in the U.S. House of Representatives, or do you want to see the congressional Democrats in the majority?"

 
    Congressional
Republicans
Congressional
Democrats
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/28-31/14

43 41 16    
             

"Do you want to see the Senate Democrats stay in the majority in the U.S. Senate, or do you want to see the Senate Republicans in the majority?"

 
    Senate
Democrats
Senate
Republicans
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

7/28-31/14

41 43 15    

 

Quinnipiac University. June 24-30, 2014. N=1,446 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 2.6.

             

"If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate, or for the Democratic candidate in your district?"

 
    Republican
candidate
Democratic
candidate
Someone
else (vol.)
Wouldn't
vote (vol.)
Unsure/
No answer
    % % % % %
 

6/24-30/14

39 41 2 2 17
 

3/26-31/14

38 40 2 2 18
 

1/15-19/14

38 37 2 3 21
 

1/4-7/14

38 37 2 2 21
 

12/3-9/13

41 38 3 2 16
 

11/6-11/13

39 39 3 2 18
 

9/23-29/13

34 43 4 2 17
 

7/28-31/13

36 40 3 2 19
 

6/28 - 7/8/13

34 39 3 2 21
 

5/22-28/13

38 38 3 1 20
 

4/25-29/13

37 41 3 1 19
 

3/26 - 4/1/13

35 43 2 2 18
             

"And if the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States Senate?"

 
    Republican
Party
Democratic
Party
Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

6/24-30/14

46 44 10    
 

3/26-31/14

45 45 11    
 

1/15-19/14

43 44 13    
 

1/4-7/14

46 42 12    
 

12/3-9/13

47 42 11    
             

"If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States House of Representatives?"

 
    Republican
Party
Democratic
Party
Unsure/
No answer
   
    % % %    
 

6/24-30/14

46 44 10    
 

3/26-31/14

45 46 10    
 

1/15-19/14

43 45 12    
 

1/4-7/14

46 44 10    
 

12/3-9/13

47 42 11    

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by Hart Research Associates (D) and Public Opinion Strategies (R). June 11-15, 2014. N=1,000 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters.

             

"If the choice in your district had the following, would you be more likely to vote for a Republican candidate for Congress, a Democratic candidate for Congress -- or an independent or third party candidate for Congress?"

 
    Republican
candidate
Democratic
candidate
Independent,
third party
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

6/11-15/14

30 35 27 8  
 

10/25-28/13

28 35 30 7  

 

Bloomberg National Poll conducted by Selzer & Company. June 6-9, 2014. N=763 likely voters nationwide.

             

"If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your congressional district: the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?" If unsure: "Which way are you leaning: toward the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate?" Options rotated

 
    Republican
candidate
Democratic
candidate
Other
(vol.)
Unsure  
    % % % %  
 

6/6-9/14

43 43 3 11  

 

National Public Radio poll conducted by Democracy Corps (D) and Resurgent Republic (R). March 19-23, 2014. N=840 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.2.

             

"I know it's a long way off, but thinking about the election for Congress in November, if the election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate? ..."

 
    Republican
candidate
Democratic
candidate
Another
candidate
(vol.)
Unsure Refused
    % % % % %
 

3/19-23/14

43 44 2 9 1

 

Fox News Poll conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). March 2-4, 2014. N=1,002 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.

             

"If there were a place on the ballot in November where you could vote out all of the current members of Congress -- including your own senators and representative -- and replace them with new people, would you?"

 
    Yes No Unsure    
    % % %    
 

3/2-4/14

67 26 7    

 

George Washington University Battleground Poll conducted by the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D). Jan. 12-16, 2014. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. Margin of error 3.1.

             

"Thinking one more time about YOUR MEMBER OF CONGRESS: Do you think your member of Congress has performed their job well enough to deserve reelection, or do you think it's time to give a new person a chance?" Options rotated

 
    Deserves
reelection
Give new
person a
chance
Depends on
opponent
(vol.)/Unsure
   
    % % %    
 

1/12-16/14

29 54 17    
 

10/27-31/13

26 58 16    

 

CNN/ORC Poll. Oct. 18-20, 2013. N=841 adults nationwide. Results below are among registered voters.

             

"Please tell me whether you think each of the following political officeholders deserves to be reelected or not.

"The U.S. representative in your congressional district."
Half sample (Form A)

 
    Deserves to
be reelected
Does not
deserve to
be reelected
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

10/18-20/13

48 37 15    
             

"Most members of Congress." Half sample (Form A)

 
    Deserve to
be reelected
Do not
deserve to
be reelected
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

10/18-20/13

26 70 4    
             

"Most Democratic members of Congress." Half sample (Form B)

 
    Deserve to
be reelected
Do not
deserve to
be reelected
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

10/18-20/13

40 56 4    
             

"Most Republican members of Congress." Half sample (Form B)

 
    Deserve to
be reelected
Do not
deserve to
be reelected
Unsure    
    % % %    
 

10/18-20/13

20 76 4    

 

Democracy Corps poll conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D). March 9-12, 2013. N=840 likely voters nationwide.

             

"I know it's a long way off, but thinking about the election for Congress in 2014, if the election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?"

 
    Republican
candidate
Democratic
candidate
Another
candidate
(vol.)
Unsure Refused
    % % % % %
 

3/9-12/13

42 46 3 8 1

 


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